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Resurgence in focus: Covid-19 dynamics and optimal control frameworks 重新聚焦:Covid-19动态和最优控制框架
Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100200
Evans O. Omorogie , Kolade M. Owolabi , Bola T. Olabode , Tunde T. Yusuf , Edson Pindza
The resurgence of Covid-19, accompanied by various variants of the virus, highlights the fact that Covid-19 is still present within the population. The study proposed a Covid-19 dynamical model for analyzing the effect of vaccination and the continuous use of non-medical interventions for addressing Covid-19 transmission dynamics. The Lyaponov function and Jacobian matrix techniques were used to analyze the stability of the model's equilibria. The model was transformed into a problem of optimal control with time-dependent variables, aimed at managing efforts to prevent the spread of Covid-19. Numerical assessments were deployed to assess the effect of vaccination and the continuous use of non-medical intervention strategies to mitigate the spread of Covid-19. The global sensitivity analysis of the model was used to detect the key parameters influencing the behavior of the model. In addition, numerical results showed a significant decrease in the basic reproduction rate 0 when implementing σ and ξ, either separately or together. The optimal control results suggested that the control measures should be consistently enforced without any relaxation.
2010 Mathematics Subject Classification: 92D30, 93C95, 49 N90, 34H05, 37 N25.
Covid-19的死灰复燃以及该病毒的各种变体,突显了Covid-19仍然存在于人群中的事实。该研究提出了一个Covid-19动态模型,用于分析疫苗接种和持续使用非医疗干预措施对解决Covid-19传播动态的影响。利用Lyaponov函数和雅可比矩阵技术分析了模型平衡点的稳定性。该模型被转化为具有时间相关变量的最优控制问题,旨在管理防止Covid-19传播的努力。采用数值评估来评估疫苗接种和持续使用非医疗干预策略以减轻Covid-19传播的效果。利用模型的全局灵敏度分析,检测影响模型行为的关键参数。此外,数值结果表明,单独或同时实现σ和ξ时,基本繁殖率的显著降低。最优控制结果表明,控制措施应始终如一地执行,不得放松。2010数学学科分类:92D30、93C95、49 N90、34H05、37 N25。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive analysis of stroke epidemiology in Vietnam: Insights from GBD 1990–2019 and RES-Q 2017–2023 越南脑卒中流行病学综合分析:GBD 1990-2019和RES-Q 2017-2023的见解
Pub Date : 2025-04-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100199
Minh Cong Tran , Lara Prisco , Phuong Minh Pham , Huy Quoc Phan , Mario Ganau , Nhat Pham , Linh Huyen Truong , Proochista Ariana , Phuong Viet Dao , Dung Tien Nguyen , Chi Van Nguyen , Hoa Thi Truong , Thang Huy Nguyen , Jeyaraj Pandian , Ton Duy Mai , Andrew Farmery

Background

Stroke is a significant health burden in Vietnam, with substantial impacts on mortality, morbidity, and healthcare resources. An up-to-date report on stroke epidemiology and associated risk factors in Vietnam was missing.

Method

We analyzed the data published in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019, in combination with the first-time analysis of the Registry of Stroke Care Quality Improvement (RES-Q) initiative in Vietnam from 2017 to 2023.

Findings

Comparative analysis globally revealed that Vietnam had one of the highest stroke incidence and prevalence rates in Southeast Asia and ranked 4th in stroke mortality among 11 neighbouring countries. In the RES-Q dataset, 95,696 patients (77 %) were ischemic stroke, 23,203 (18 %) were intracerebral haemorrhage, and 2816 (2 %) were subarachnoid haemorrhage. In GBD 2019, stroke was the leading cause of death among cardiovascular diseases in Vietnam, accounting for 135,999 fatalities. The incidence of stroke was 222 (95 % UIs 206–242) per 100,000 population, with a prevalence of 1541 (1430-1679) per 100,000. Results align with the report from the RES-Q dataset in two megacities of Vietnam: Hanoi (incidence rate of 168.9, prevalence rate of 1182.2) and Ho Chi Minh City (incidence rate of 207.1, prevalence rate of 1221.8). Key risk factors for stroke mortality are high systolic blood pressure (79,000 deaths), unhealthy dietary (43,000 deaths), high fasting plasma glucose (35,000 deaths), and air pollution (33,000 deaths). Incidence is lower in rural Vietnam, but availability and quality of care are higher in megacities.

Interpretation

The results promote a further understanding of stroke and risk factors for the Vietnamese population and suggest prevention and treatment strategies for the Vietnamese government, including facility and capacity improvement and applications of advanced technologies.
在越南,中风是一个重要的健康负担,对死亡率、发病率和医疗资源有重大影响。缺少关于越南中风流行病学和相关危险因素的最新报告。方法我们分析了2019年全球疾病负担(GBD)上发表的数据,并结合2017年至2023年越南卒中护理质量改善登记处(RES-Q)计划的首次分析。研究结果全球比较分析显示,越南是东南亚中风发病率和流行率最高的国家之一,中风死亡率在11个邻国中排名第四。在RES-Q数据集中,95,696例(77%)为缺血性卒中,23,203例(18%)为脑出血,2816例(2%)为蛛网膜下腔出血。在2019年GBD中,中风是越南心血管疾病死亡的主要原因,死亡人数为135999人。卒中发病率为每10万人222例(95%美国人口为206-242),患病率为每10万人1541例(1430-1679)。结果与越南两个特大城市RES-Q数据集报告一致:河内(发病率为168.9,患病率为1182.2)和胡志明市(发病率为207.1,患病率为1221.8)。中风死亡的主要危险因素是收缩压高(7.9万人死亡)、饮食不健康(4.3万人死亡)、空腹血糖高(3.5万人死亡)和空气污染(3.3万人死亡)。越南农村的发病率较低,但大城市的可获得性和护理质量较高。研究结果促进了对越南人口中风及其危险因素的进一步了解,并为越南政府提出了预防和治疗策略,包括改善设施和能力以及应用先进技术。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating risk of acquiring SARS-COV2 infection in treatment-experienced PLWH: A case-control study 估计接受过治疗的PLWH感染SARS-COV2的风险:一项病例对照研究
Pub Date : 2025-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100198
Pierluigi Francesco Salvo , Valentina Iannone , Francesca Lombardi , Arturo Ciccullo , Francesco Lamanna , Rosa Anna Passerotto , Gianmaria Baldin , Rebecca Jo Steiner , Andrea Carbone , Valentina Massaroni , Simona Di Giambenedetto , Alberto Borghetti

Background

Risk factors for acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection in people living with HIV (PLWH) and the true relationship between HIV and SARS CoV-2, are still not fully understood.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to identify the independent risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 acquisition in treatment experienced PLWH, shedding light on potential risk factors associated with SARS CoV-2 infection in PLWH undergoing treatment.

Study design

PLWH were recruited from the Infectious Diseases Outpatient Clinic of Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A.Gemelli IRCCS in Italy and randomly interviewed via a questionnaire during their follow-up visits to determine if they had experienced a SARS-CoV-2 infection between March 2020 and June 2022.
For each participant with reported history of SARS-CoV-2 (cases), two PLWH with no declared COVID-19 infection were selected (controls); PLWH had a similar potential exposure time to SARS-CoV-2. A total 220 PLWH were selected: 72 cases and 148 controls. None developed severe Covid-19 disease and only one participant required hospitalization.

Results

Overall, 220 PLWH were enrolled: 72 cases and 148 controls. Characteristics of cases and controls were similar, except for the ART regimen used and the last HIV-RNA concentration before the enrollment date. By an adjusted multivariable logistic regression, the estimated odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection was higher in more recent years (2022 versus 2020 aOR 20.74, 95 % CI 5.26–81.8) and in PLWH with last HIV-RNA >50 cp/mL before enrollment date (versus <50 aOR 4.56, 95 % CI 1.01–20.46). A reduced odds was correlated with >3 vaccine doses (versus <3 or not vaccinated aOR 0.08, 95 % CI 0.02–0.24).

Conclusion

In this cohort, the odds of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition increased over time, probably due to change in lock-down measures and in SARS-CoV-2 circulating variants.Detectable viral load was associated with increased risk of infection, highlighting the importance of HIV-RNA monitoring during pandemics.
HIV感染者感染SARS-CoV-2的危险因素以及HIV与SARS-CoV-2之间的真正关系尚不完全清楚。目的本研究的目的是确定PLWH治疗中感染SARS-CoV-2的独立危险因素,揭示PLWH治疗中感染SARS-CoV-2的潜在危险因素。研究设计从意大利杰梅利大学基金会(Fondazione Policlinico Universitario a . gemelli IRCCS)传染病门诊诊所招募plwh,并在随访期间通过问卷随机采访,以确定他们是否在2020年3月至2022年6月期间经历过SARS-CoV-2感染。对于每一名报告有SARS-CoV-2病史的参与者(病例),选择两名未报告感染COVID-19的PLWH(对照组);PLWH对SARS-CoV-2的潜在暴露时间相似。共选取PLWH 220例:72例,对照组148例。没有人患上严重的Covid-19疾病,只有一名参与者需要住院治疗。结果共纳入PLWH 220例,其中病例72例,对照组148例。除了使用抗逆转录病毒治疗方案和入组日期前最后一次HIV-RNA浓度不同,病例和对照组的特征相似。通过调整后的多变量logistic回归,近年来SARS-CoV-2感染的估计几率更高(2022年比2020年aOR 20.74, 95% CI 5.26-81.8),在入组日期前最后一次HIV-RNA为50 cp/mL的PLWH中(50 aOR 4.56, 95% CI 1.01-20.46)。降低的比值与接种3剂疫苗相关(与未接种3剂或未接种相关:or 0.08, 95% CI 0.02-0.24)。在该队列中,SARS-CoV-2感染的几率随着时间的推移而增加,可能是由于封锁措施和SARS-CoV-2循环变体的变化。可检测的病毒载量与感染风险增加有关,这突出了在大流行期间监测艾滋病毒rna的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Mpox: Characterization and clinical outcomes of patients in Colombian healthcare institutions Mpox:哥伦比亚卫生保健机构患者的特征和临床结果
Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100197
Carlos Arturo Álvarez-Moreno , Ludovic Reveiz , Claudia Aristizabal , Jesús Quevedo , María Lucia Mesa Rubio , Leonardo Arévalo-Mora , Julián Felipe Porras Villamil , Monica Padilla , Juan Carlos Alzate-Angel , Jamie Rylance , Kurbonov Firdavs , Ilich de la Hoz , Sandra Liliana Valderrama-Beltran , Santiago Arboleda , Otto Sussmann , Javier Andrade , Carolina Murillo Velásquez , Estefania García , Ximena Galindo , Daniela Martínez , Antoine Chaillon

Introduction

In 2022, the world experienced a monkeypox outbreak caused by the Clade IIb strain of the virus. While this outbreak had widespread effects, more information is needed on mpox's specific impact in Colombia, particularly regarding how it is managed, its burden, and its epidemiology. This research seeks to examine the medical context, clinical presentation, and health outcomes of individuals diagnosed with mpox infection, with a particular focus on those with HIV in Colombia.

Methods

This retrospective study was conducted in fourteen Health institutions in Colombia based on computerized clinical records from Jan 2022 to Dec 2023. Clinical and epidemiological characteristics were collected from diagnosis until discharge (or death). Participants in the study were diagnosed through molecular methods (PCR) and their clinical evolution was tracked through hospital and/or outpatient medical records. Registered variables were based on the mpox 2023 Case Report Form (2023 - CRF) proposed by the World Health Organization.

Results

One thousand four hundred thirteen (1413, 97.2 % male) individuals, including 2.6 % identified as healthcare workers, were included in this study. The majority (54 %, 764/1413 individuals) were persons living with HIV (PWH) and almost one-third of them (30.1 %, n = 284) of participants had concomitant sexually transmitted diseases and HIV, with syphilis being the most prevalent (20.4 %), followed by Neisseria gonorrhoeae (16.4 %). Complications were infrequent, with cellulitis being the most common, and no individuals received mpox-specific treatment or vaccination. Although all individuals had skin lesions distributed across various body regions, differences were noted in lesion distribution among women. Those living with HIV showed higher emergency department attendance and reported having known mpox contacts. While complications were rare, with cellulitis being the most common, women living with HIV showed a higher rate of emergency room visits and known mpox contacts. Although not statistically significant, gastrointestinal, musculoskeletal, psychological, respiratory, and STI symptoms, including syphilis and urethritis, were more common in the virologically non-suppressed HIV group. At the same time, proctitis was more prevalent in the suppressed group. No significant differences were found based on CD4 count, using 200 cells/mm3 in PWH.

Conclusion

Over half of the participants were people living with HIV (PWH), with a significant presence of STIs like syphilis. While skin lesions and complications varied, no significant differences were linked to CD4 count or viral load suppression. Mpox symptomatology was not significantly associated with unsuppressed viral loads or low CD4 levels, highlighting the need for further research.
在2022年,世界经历了由IIb进化枝毒株引起的猴痘疫情。虽然这次暴发产生了广泛的影响,但需要更多地了解mpox在哥伦比亚的具体影响,特别是关于如何管理、负担和流行病学方面的信息。本研究旨在检查诊断为m痘感染的个人的医学背景、临床表现和健康结果,特别关注哥伦比亚的艾滋病毒感染者。方法基于2022年1月至2023年12月在哥伦比亚14家卫生机构的计算机临床记录进行回顾性研究。收集从诊断到出院(或死亡)的临床和流行病学特征。该研究的参与者通过分子方法(PCR)进行诊断,并通过医院和/或门诊医疗记录跟踪其临床演变。注册变量基于世界卫生组织提出的mpox 2023病例报告表(2023 - CRF)。结果共纳入1413人(男性占97.2%),其中卫生保健工作者占2.6%。大多数(54%,764/1413人)是艾滋病毒感染者(PWH),其中几乎三分之一(30.1%,n = 284)的参与者同时患有性传播疾病和艾滋病毒,其中梅毒最普遍(20.4%),其次是淋病奈瑟菌(16.4%)。并发症很少,蜂窝织炎是最常见的,没有个体接受过mpox特异性治疗或疫苗接种。尽管所有个体的皮肤病变分布在不同的身体区域,但在女性之间的病变分布存在差异。那些感染艾滋病毒的人在急诊室的出勤率更高,并报告有已知的麻疹接触者。虽然并发症很少,蜂窝织炎是最常见的,但感染艾滋病毒的妇女急诊室就诊率和已知的m痘接触率较高。虽然没有统计学意义,但胃肠道、肌肉骨骼、心理、呼吸和性传播感染症状,包括梅毒和尿道炎,在病毒学上未被抑制的HIV组中更为常见。同时,抑制组的直肠炎发生率更高。在PWH中使用200个细胞/mm3的CD4计数未发现显着差异。超过一半的参与者是艾滋病毒感染者(PWH),有明显的性传播感染,如梅毒。虽然皮肤病变和并发症各不相同,但与CD4计数或病毒载量抑制没有显著差异。m痘症状与未抑制的病毒载量或低CD4水平无显著相关性,这突出了进一步研究的必要性。
{"title":"Mpox: Characterization and clinical outcomes of patients in Colombian healthcare institutions","authors":"Carlos Arturo Álvarez-Moreno ,&nbsp;Ludovic Reveiz ,&nbsp;Claudia Aristizabal ,&nbsp;Jesús Quevedo ,&nbsp;María Lucia Mesa Rubio ,&nbsp;Leonardo Arévalo-Mora ,&nbsp;Julián Felipe Porras Villamil ,&nbsp;Monica Padilla ,&nbsp;Juan Carlos Alzate-Angel ,&nbsp;Jamie Rylance ,&nbsp;Kurbonov Firdavs ,&nbsp;Ilich de la Hoz ,&nbsp;Sandra Liliana Valderrama-Beltran ,&nbsp;Santiago Arboleda ,&nbsp;Otto Sussmann ,&nbsp;Javier Andrade ,&nbsp;Carolina Murillo Velásquez ,&nbsp;Estefania García ,&nbsp;Ximena Galindo ,&nbsp;Daniela Martínez ,&nbsp;Antoine Chaillon","doi":"10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100197","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100197","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>In 2022, the world experienced a monkeypox outbreak caused by the Clade IIb strain of the virus. While this outbreak had widespread effects, more information is needed on mpox's specific impact in Colombia, particularly regarding how it is managed, its burden, and its epidemiology. This research seeks to examine the medical context, clinical presentation, and health outcomes of individuals diagnosed with mpox infection, with a particular focus on those with HIV in Colombia.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This retrospective study was conducted in fourteen Health institutions in Colombia based on computerized clinical records from Jan 2022 to Dec 2023. Clinical and epidemiological characteristics were collected from diagnosis until discharge (or death). Participants in the study were diagnosed through molecular methods (PCR) and their clinical evolution was tracked through hospital and/or outpatient medical records. Registered variables were based on the mpox 2023 Case Report Form (2023 - CRF) proposed by the World Health Organization.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>One thousand four hundred thirteen (1413, 97.2 % male) individuals, including 2.6 % identified as healthcare workers, were included in this study. The majority (54 %, 764/1413 individuals) were persons living with HIV (PWH) and almost one-third of them (30.1 %, <em>n</em> = 284) of participants had concomitant sexually transmitted diseases and HIV, with syphilis being the most prevalent (20.4 %), followed by <em>Neisseria gonorrhoeae</em> (16.4 %). Complications were infrequent, with cellulitis being the most common, and no individuals received mpox-specific treatment or vaccination. Although all individuals had skin lesions distributed across various body regions, differences were noted in lesion distribution among women. Those living with HIV showed higher emergency department attendance and reported having known mpox contacts. While complications were rare, with cellulitis being the most common, women living with HIV showed a higher rate of emergency room visits and known mpox contacts. Although not statistically significant, gastrointestinal, musculoskeletal, psychological, respiratory, and STI symptoms, including syphilis and urethritis, were more common in the virologically non-suppressed HIV group. At the same time, proctitis was more prevalent in the suppressed group. No significant differences were found based on CD4 count, using 200 cells/mm<sup>3</sup> in PWH.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Over half of the participants were people living with HIV (PWH), with a significant presence of STIs like syphilis. While skin lesions and complications varied, no significant differences were linked to CD4 count or viral load suppression. Mpox symptomatology was not significantly associated with unsuppressed viral loads or low CD4 levels, highlighting the need for further research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36311,"journal":{"name":"Global Epidemiology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100197"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143777251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Patterns and Associated Factors of Congenital Anomalies Among Neonates in 14 Yemeni Governorates 2021–2023: A Case: Control Study 也门14个省份2021-2023年新生儿先天性异常的模式和相关因素:一个病例:对照研究
Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100196
Hiam Al-Atnah , Anas Al-Qubati , Amir Addin Al-Hashedi , Muath Al-Saidy , Saleh Al-Shawish , Moamer M. Badi , Najeeb Al-Qubati , Yasser Ghaleb , Maha Al-Muntaser

Background

Long-term disability and a reduced quality of life are often associated with congenital anomalies (CAs), which present as structural, functional, or metabolic defects. This study provides a comprehensive view of neonatal congenital anomalies in 14 Yemeni governorates, a significant but often overlooked public health concern. The current study aimed to determine the patterns and associated factors of congenital anomalies in 14 Yemeni governorates between 2021 and 2023.

Methods

An unmatched case-control 1:2 design was conducted using secondary data collected from various health facilities across 14 Yemeni governorates during 2021–2023. Sample size was calculated and data was analyzed using Epi Info version 7.2, with 612 neonates with documented diagnosis of congenital anomalies and 1224 healthy neonates. Binary and multiple logistic regression were used to identify factors associated with congenital anomalies, alongside the chi-square test.

Results

The majority of the congenital anomalies identified were located in Al Hudaydah (34 %), Ibb (17.2 %), and Sana'a (13.1 %). Most were isolated 518 (84.64 %), whereas 94 (15.36 %) were multiple. The predominant system was the nervous system (33.9 %), followed by the skeletal system (14.8 %) and orofacial anomalies (10.6 %). Furthermore, strong associations were found with positive consanguinity (OR = 28.82), low socioeconomic status (OR = 10.70), maternal age ≥ 35 years old (OR = 7.66), stress (OR = 4.95), acute diseases (OR = 3.56), gestational age < 37 weeks (OR = 3.32), maternal age < 20 years old (OR = 2.32), positive family history (OR = 1.74), low birth weight (OR = 1.27), grand-multiparity (OR = 0.71) and male sex (OR = 0.10).

Interpretation

This broad research identified significant patterns, maternal and neonatal associations, and protective variables for congenital anomalies. These results can help inform national interventions and policies for prevention and improving neonatal care.

Funding

This study was self-funded by the authors and did not receive any external funding or any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
长期残疾和生活质量下降通常与先天性异常(CAs)有关,先天性异常表现为结构、功能或代谢缺陷。这项研究提供了也门14个省新生儿先天性异常的全面观点,这是一个重要但往往被忽视的公共卫生问题。目前的研究旨在确定2021年至2023年期间也门14个省份先天性异常的模式和相关因素。方法采用无与伦比的病例对照1:2设计,使用2021-2023年期间从也门14个省的不同卫生机构收集的二手数据。使用Epi Info 7.2版本计算样本量并分析数据,其中612名新生儿被诊断为先天性异常,1224名健康新生儿。采用二元和多元logistic回归,结合卡方检验,确定与先天性异常相关的因素。结果发现的先天性异常主要集中在荷台达(34%)、伊卜(17.2%)和萨那(13.1%)。多数为分离病例518例(84.64%),多发性病例94例(15.36%)。以神经系统为主(33.9%),其次为骨骼系统(14.8%)和口面异常(10.6%)。此外,阳性亲缘关系(OR = 28.82)、低社会经济地位(OR = 10.70)、母亲年龄≥35岁(OR = 7.66)、压力(OR = 4.95)、急性疾病(OR = 3.56)、胎龄和早产有较强的相关性;37周(OR = 3.32),产妇年龄<;20岁(OR = 2.32),阳性家族史(OR = 1.74),低出生体重(OR = 1.27),多胎(OR = 0.71),男性(OR = 0.10)。这项广泛的研究确定了重要的模式,孕产妇和新生儿的关联,以及先天性异常的保护变量。这些结果有助于为国家预防和改善新生儿护理的干预措施和政策提供信息。本研究由作者自筹资金,没有接受任何外部资助,也没有从公共、商业或非营利部门的资助机构获得任何特定资助。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence and characteristics of tobacco use among adults in Kazakhstan: A cross-sectional National Survey 哈萨克斯坦成年人烟草使用的流行率和特征:一项横断面全国调查
Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100194
Anel Ibrayeva , Marat Shoranov , Rassulbek Aipov , Adil Katarbayev , Shynar Tanabayeva , Ildar Fakhradiyev

Background

Smoking remains a major public health concern worldwide, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality. Despite the implementation of tobacco control measures, smoking prevalence in Kazakhstan remains high. This study aims to assess the prevalence, demographic characteristics, and regional variations in smoking habits among adults in Kazakhstan.

Methods

A cross-sectional national survey was conducted from October 2021 to May 2022, covering all 17 regions of Kazakhstan. A total of 6720 adults aged 18–69 years participated, selected using a weighted multistage cluster sampling method. Data were collected through structured interviews based on the WHO STEPwise approach. Smoking status, tobacco consumption patterns, and smoking cessation attempts were analyzed. The results were reported as means with 95 % confidence intervals (CI).

Findings

The overall smoking prevalence was 19.1 %. Smoking was significantly more common among men (30.3 %) than women (7.9 %). The highest smoking prevalence was observed in the 30–44 age group (44.2 %) and among private-sector employees (53.2 %). Regional differences were notable, with the lowest smoking prevalence in Atyrau (9.2 %) and the highest in Pavlodar (30.4 %). Among current smokers, 89.1 % smoked daily, with an average of 11.8 cigarettes per day (95 % CI: 11.4–12.2). Only 36.7 % of smokers who visited healthcare professionals in the past year received advice to quit. Additionally, 42.8 % attempted to quit smoking in the past 12 months. Passive smoking exposure was common, with 26.8 % of women and 22.3 % of men exposed at home, and 30.2 % of men and 14.4 % of women exposed at work. The prevalence of smokeless tobacco use was low (1 %).

Interpretation

Smoking remains prevalent among adults in Kazakhstan, with significant differences by gender, age, occupation, and region. The high prevalence of daily smoking and the low frequency of smoking cessation advice from healthcare professionals indicate the need for stronger tobacco control policies, targeted public health campaigns, and enhanced smoking cessation support programs. These findings provide a basis for future research and policy-making efforts aimed at reducing tobacco consumption and its associated health risks.
吸烟仍然是世界范围内一个主要的公共卫生问题,在很大程度上导致发病率和死亡率。尽管实施了烟草控制措施,哈萨克斯坦的吸烟率仍然很高。本研究旨在评估哈萨克斯坦成年人吸烟习惯的患病率、人口统计学特征和区域差异。方法于2021年10月至2022年5月对哈萨克斯坦所有17个地区进行全国性横断面调查。采用加权多阶段整群抽样的方法,对6720名18-69岁的成年人进行了调查。数据是根据世卫组织STEPwise方法通过结构化访谈收集的。分析吸烟状况、烟草消费模式和戒烟尝试。结果以95%置信区间(CI)的平均值报告。总体吸烟率为19.1%。吸烟在男性中的比例(30.3%)明显高于女性(7.9%)。吸烟率最高的是30-44岁年龄组(44.2%)和私营部门雇员(53.2%)。地区差异显著,吸烟率最低的是阿特劳(9.2%),最高的是巴甫洛达尔(30.4%)。在目前的吸烟者中,89.1%每天吸烟,平均每天11.8支烟(95% CI: 11.4-12.2)。在过去的一年中,只有36.7%的吸烟者去看过医疗保健专业人员,他们得到了戒烟的建议。此外,42.8%的人在过去12个月内曾尝试戒烟。被动吸烟暴露很常见,26.8%的女性和22.3%的男性在家中暴露,30.2%的男性和14.4%的女性在工作中暴露。无烟烟草使用的流行率很低(1%)。吸烟在哈萨克斯坦成年人中仍然很普遍,在性别、年龄、职业和地区之间存在显著差异。日常吸烟的高流行率和来自卫生保健专业人员的戒烟建议的低频率表明需要加强烟草控制政策,有针对性的公共卫生运动和加强戒烟支持计划。这些发现为今后旨在减少烟草消费及其相关健康风险的研究和决策工作提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
An overview of reviews of breastfeeding barriers and facilitators: Analyzing global research trends and hotspots 母乳喂养障碍和促进因素综述:分析全球研究趋势和热点
Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100192
Agustín Ramiro Miranda , Paula Eugenia Barral , Ana Veronica Scotta , Mariela Valentina Cortez , Elio Andrés Soria
Breastfeeding is the most cost-effective intervention for reducing infant morbidity and mortality, offering benefits for infants and mothers. Despite extensive promotion, global adherence remains below 50 %, resulting in significant clinical, economic, and environmental impacts. Thus, this overview of reviews aims to synthesize barriers and facilitators of breastfeeding, analyze research trends, and identify gaps to guide future research. A comprehensive literature search was conducted, including systematic reviews that examine these factors. The search covered seven electronic data repositories. The methodological quality was assessed using the Risk of Bias in Systematic Reviews tool. Bibliometric analysis focused on identifying top journals, authors, and countries, assessing their impact, and exploring trends over time. Findings were classified and analyzed thematically through line-by-line coding, theme description, and analytical formulation. A total of 123 reviews were included, mostly of high quality and published in top journals. Key trends comprised a growing focus on psychosocial and cultural factors, increased representation from low- and middle-income countries, and improved methodological rigor. However, geographical representation remains biased towards high-income countries, and some breastfeeding outcomes need further exploration. Thematic analysis revealed four categories: Therapeutic and care interventions; Support networks and education; Maternal-infant health issues; and Societal and environmental context. In conclusion, this overview of reviews identifies barriers and facilitators of breastfeeding and emphasizes the need for more inclusive research and tailored support. Addressing gaps in evidence for enhancing healthcare systems and policies can improve breastfeeding practices and outcomes worldwide.
母乳喂养是降低婴儿发病率和死亡率的最具成本效益的干预措施,对婴儿和母亲都有好处。尽管进行了广泛推广,但全球依从性仍低于50%,造成了重大的临床、经济和环境影响。因此,本综述旨在综合母乳喂养的障碍和促进因素,分析研究趋势,并确定差距,以指导未来的研究。进行了全面的文献检索,包括检查这些因素的系统综述。搜索范围包括七个电子数据库。使用系统评价中的偏倚风险工具评估方法学质量。文献计量分析侧重于识别顶级期刊、作者和国家,评估其影响,并探索随时间变化的趋势。通过逐行编码、主题描述和分析公式,对研究结果进行分类和分析。共有123篇综述被纳入,其中大部分是高质量的,发表在顶级期刊上。主要趋势包括越来越重视社会心理和文化因素,增加来自低收入和中等收入国家的代表性,以及改进方法的严谨性。然而,地域代表性仍然偏向于高收入国家,一些母乳喂养结果需要进一步探索。专题分析揭示了四个类别:治疗和护理干预;支持网络和教育;母婴保健问题;以及社会和环境背景。总之,本综述确定了母乳喂养的障碍和促进因素,并强调需要开展更具包容性的研究和量身定制的支持。解决加强卫生保健系统和政策的证据差距可以改善全世界的母乳喂养做法和结果。
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引用次数: 0
Reproductive health services utilization and associated factors among university youth students in Ethiopia: A mixed-methods study 埃塞俄比亚大学生生殖健康服务利用及其相关因素:一项混合方法研究
Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100195
Tsiyon Birhanu Wube , Solomon Gebremichael Asgedom , Dawit Gebregziabher Abrha , Lielt Gebreselassie Gebrekirstos

Background

Reproductive health services utilization among youth university students is essential for their sexual and reproductive well-being. Despite growing awareness, students often face barriers—cultural, social, and economic—that limit their access to these services. Understanding service utilization patterns and associated factors is crucial for addressing unmet needs, such as limited access to family planning, maternal care, and sexual health services, as well as the lack of resources and awareness, which affect the quality of care and access to services. The study investigated the utilization of the services among youth university students, aiming to provide insights for targeted interventions and enhanced service delivery.

Methods

We conducted an institutional-based cross-sectional study with 768 youth university students, using a mixed-methods approach. Participants were selected via a multistage sampling technique. Data were collected through a self-administered questionnaire, supplemented by key informant interviews and in-depth interviews. Quantitative analysis was performed using SPSS version 25, and qualitative data were transcribed and analyzed narratively through content analysis. Logistic regression was employed to identify associations with service utilization.

Results

The study found that the prevalence of adequate reproductive health service utilization rate was 42.5 % (95 % CI: 38.81 % - 46.20 %), which is comparable to similar studies conducted in other low- and middle-income countries. Key factors included open discussions about reproductive health (AOR = 4.1, 95 % CI: 2.14–7.16), positive attitudes towards services (AOR = 6.03, 95 % CI: 3.72–9.75), and perceived HIV risk (AOR = 4.32, 95 % CI: 2.39–7.77).

Conclusion

Utilization of reproductive health services is relatively low, with only 42.5 % reporting usage. Key factors influencing utilization include open discussions, positive attitudes towards services, and perceived HIV risk. Addressing barriers through inclusive, youth-friendly interventions such as peer education programs could significantly improve outcomes.
青年大学生利用生殖健康服务对其性健康和生殖健康至关重要。尽管越来越多的人意识到这一点,但学生们经常面临文化、社会和经济方面的障碍,这些障碍限制了他们获得这些服务。了解服务利用模式和相关因素对于解决未满足的需求至关重要,例如获得计划生育、孕产妇保健和性健康服务的机会有限,以及缺乏资源和认识,这些都影响到护理质量和获得服务的机会。本研究调查了大学生服务的使用情况,旨在为有针对性的干预和加强服务提供提供见解。方法采用混合方法对768名青年大学生进行了基于机构的横断面研究。参与者通过多阶段抽样技术选择。数据通过自我管理的问卷收集,辅以关键信息提供者访谈和深度访谈。定量分析采用SPSS version 25进行,定性数据通过内容分析进行转录和叙述性分析。采用逻辑回归来确定与服务利用率的关联。结果研究发现,生殖健康服务使用率为42.5% (95% CI: 38.81% - 46.20%),与其他中低收入国家进行的类似研究相当。关键因素包括对生殖健康的公开讨论(AOR = 4.1, 95% CI: 2.14-7.16)、对服务的积极态度(AOR = 6.03, 95% CI: 3.72-9.75)和感知到的艾滋病毒风险(AOR = 4.32, 95% CI: 2.39-7.77)。结论我国生殖健康服务使用率较低,使用率仅为42.5%。影响利用的关键因素包括公开讨论、对服务的积极态度和认识到的艾滋病毒风险。通过同伴教育项目等包容的、对青年友好的干预措施来解决障碍,可以显著改善结果。
{"title":"Reproductive health services utilization and associated factors among university youth students in Ethiopia: A mixed-methods study","authors":"Tsiyon Birhanu Wube ,&nbsp;Solomon Gebremichael Asgedom ,&nbsp;Dawit Gebregziabher Abrha ,&nbsp;Lielt Gebreselassie Gebrekirstos","doi":"10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100195","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100195","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Reproductive health services utilization among youth university students is essential for their sexual and reproductive well-being. Despite growing awareness, students often face barriers—cultural, social, and economic—that limit their access to these services. Understanding service utilization patterns and associated factors is crucial for addressing unmet needs, such as limited access to family planning, maternal care, and sexual health services, as well as the lack of resources and awareness, which affect the quality of care and access to services. The study investigated the utilization of the services among youth university students, aiming to provide insights for targeted interventions and enhanced service delivery.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We conducted an institutional-based cross-sectional study with 768 youth university students, using a mixed-methods approach. Participants were selected via a multistage sampling technique. Data were collected through a self-administered questionnaire, supplemented by key informant interviews and in-depth interviews. Quantitative analysis was performed using SPSS version 25, and qualitative data were transcribed and analyzed narratively through content analysis. Logistic regression was employed to identify associations with service utilization.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The study found that the prevalence of adequate reproductive health service utilization rate was 42.5 % (95 % CI: 38.81 % - 46.20 %), which is comparable to similar studies conducted in other low- and middle-income countries. Key factors included open discussions about reproductive health (AOR = 4.1, 95 % CI: 2.14–7.16), positive attitudes towards services (AOR = 6.03, 95 % CI: 3.72–9.75), and perceived HIV risk (AOR = 4.32, 95 % CI: 2.39–7.77).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Utilization of reproductive health services is relatively low, with only 42.5 % reporting usage. Key factors influencing utilization include open discussions, positive attitudes towards services, and perceived HIV risk. Addressing barriers through inclusive, youth-friendly interventions such as peer education programs could significantly improve outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36311,"journal":{"name":"Global Epidemiology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100195"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143580161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Time-varying confounders in association between general and central obesity and coronary heart disease: Longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation on atherosclerosis risk in communities study 全身性和中枢性肥胖与冠心病之间的时变混杂因素:社区研究中动脉粥样硬化风险的纵向目标最大似然估计
Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100193
Hossein Mozafar Saadati PhD , Niloufar Taherpour MSc , Seyed Saeed Hashemi Nazari MD, MPH, PhD

Aim

This study examines the association between general and central obesity and the risk of cardiovascular diseases, utilizing the Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimator (TMLE) method to account for time-varying covariates and also we compares the findings with those derived from conventional regression methods in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort study.

Methods

We considered 15,792 participants 45–75 years of age registered in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, visit 1 and followed to visit 4. General obesity defined as body mass index and central obesity defined as Waist Circumference (WC), Waist-Hip-Ratio (WHR), Waist-Height-Ratio (WHtR), Body Shape Index (BSI) and Body Roundness Index (BRI). The effect of obesity on Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) was estimated and compared by Longitudinal Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (LTMLE) and generalized linear model.

Results

The effects of BMI, adjusted for baseline and time-varying confounders, was 1.15 (95 %CI =1.00, 1.34). About the gender groups, the effect of BMI for males and females was 1.17 (95 %CI =0.97,1.40) and 1.19 (95 %CI =0.94,1.52), respectively. Considering age groups, the effect of BMI was 1.21 (95 %CI =0.95, 1.53) and 1.13 (95 %CI = 0.93, 1.36) for age ≤ 54 years and age > 54 years, respectively. With regards to central obesity, the BSI and WC were shown the strongest effects, respectively. Among females and age group≤54 years, WHtR was associated with a higher incidence of CHD.

Conclusions

According to the results, the appropriate index for obesity varies based on gender and age. Knowledge about this difference will help to experts to implement appropriate interventions.
目的:本研究利用目标最大似然估计(Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimator, TMLE)方法来解释时变协变量,并将结果与社区动脉粥样硬化风险(ARIC)队列研究中传统回归方法得出的结果进行比较,探讨了一般肥胖和中心性肥胖与心血管疾病风险之间的关系。方法:我们纳入了15792名年龄在45-75岁之间的社区动脉粥样硬化风险研究的参与者,随访随访至随访4。一般肥胖定义为体重指数,中心性肥胖定义为腰围(WC)、腰臀比(WHR)、腰高比(WHtR)、体型指数(BSI)和身体圆度指数(BRI)。采用纵向目标最大似然估计(LTMLE)和广义线性模型估计和比较肥胖对冠心病(CHD)的影响。结果经基线和时变混杂因素调整后,BMI的影响为1.15 (95% CI =1.00, 1.34)。在性别分组中,BMI对男性和女性的影响分别为1.17 (95% CI =0.97,1.40)和1.19 (95% CI =0.94,1.52)。从年龄组来看,BMI对年龄≤54岁和年龄>的影响分别为1.21 (95% CI =0.95, 1.53)和1.13 (95% CI = 0.93, 1.36);分别是54年。对于中心性肥胖,体重指数和腰围分别表现出最强的影响。在女性和年龄≤54岁的人群中,WHtR与较高的冠心病发病率相关。结论根据研究结果,肥胖的适宜指标因性别和年龄而异。了解这种差异将有助于专家实施适当的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemiology of adult asthma within the Hungarian population between 2009 and 2019 – A retrospective financial database analysis 2009年至2019年匈牙利人群中成人哮喘的流行病学-回顾性财务数据库分析
Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2025.100191
B. Sánta , A. Keglevich , T. Kovács , B. Engi , A. Südi , E. Noémi , L. Tamási

Background

Asthma is the most common chronic obstructive respiratory disease and is a considerable burden on the patients, caregivers and healthcare providers. However, data on epidemiology, healthcare expenditures, inhalation medication usage and comorbidities are scarce on a country-wide level.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed on the Hungarian National Health Insurance Fund's financial database. All patients who had filled at least one prescription for asthma maintenance therapy between 2009-’19 had been enrolled. Prevalence for each year was assessed, based on prescriptions filled for asthma annually. Incidence was assessed only for 2011–’19. Frequency of exacerbations and their costs were calculated.

Results

Through the study period 439,977 patients filled at least one prescription for asthma maintenance therapy. The number of patients having at least one prescription in 12 months increased by 20.34 % (from 132,292 to 159,225 patients). Between 2011–’19 an average of 20,742.1 new patients used asthma maintenance medications. Between 2009 and ‘19 an average of 4308 patients were hospitalized due to asthma, on an average 5129 times. Healthcare expenditure on hospitalizations and outpatient treatment of asthmatics increased by 28.05 %.

Conclusion

Through our study period a substantial increase in patient numbers and overall expenditure was seen. Number and frequency of exacerbations however decreased over the years.
背景:哮喘是最常见的慢性阻塞性呼吸系统疾病,对患者、护理人员和医疗保健提供者来说是一个相当大的负担。然而,在全国范围内,关于流行病学、医疗支出、吸入性药物使用和合并症的数据很少。方法对匈牙利国家健康保险基金财务数据库进行回顾性分析。所有在2009年至2019年期间至少服用过一种哮喘维持治疗处方的患者都被纳入研究。根据每年开具的哮喘处方,评估了每年的患病率。发病率仅评估了2011 - 19年。计算恶化频率及其成本。结果在整个研究期间,439,977名患者至少服用了一种哮喘维持治疗处方。在12个月内至少有一个处方的患者数量增加了20.34%(从132,292例增加到159,225例)。2011年至2019年间,平均有20,742.1名新患者使用哮喘维持药物。2009年至1919年间,平均4308名患者因哮喘住院,平均5129次。用于哮喘患者住院和门诊治疗的医疗保健支出增加了28.05%。结论在我们的研究期间,患者人数和总费用均有显著增加。然而,病情恶化的次数和频率逐年下降。
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引用次数: 0
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Global Epidemiology
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