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Salience of infectious diseases did not increase xenophobia during the COVID-19 pandemic. 在 COVID-19 大流行期间,传染病的显著性并没有增加仇外心理。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-18 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.28
Lei Fan, Joshua M Tybur, Paul A M Van Lange

Multiple proposals suggest that xenophobia increases when infectious disease threats are salient. The current longitudinal study tested this hypothesis by examining whether and how anti-immigrant sentiments varied in the Netherlands across four time points during the COVID-19 pandemic (May 2020, February 2021, October 2021 and June 2022 through Flycatcher.eu). The results revealed that (1) anti-immigrant sentiments were no higher in early assessments, when COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths were high, than in later assessments, when COVID-19 hospitalizations were low, and (2) within-person changes in explicit disease concerns and disgust sensitivity did not relate to anti-immigrant sentiments, although stable individual differences in disgust sensitivity did. These findings suggest that anecdotal accounts of increased xenophobia during the pandemic did not generalize to the population sampled from here. They also suggest that not all increases in ecological pathogen threats and disease salience increase xenophobia.

多项研究表明,当传染病威胁突出时,仇外心理会增加。本纵向研究通过考察 COVID-19 大流行期间荷兰四个时间点(2020 年 5 月、2021 年 2 月、2021 年 10 月和 2022 年 6 月,通过 Flycatcher.eu)的反移民情绪是否以及如何变化来验证这一假设。结果显示:(1) 在 COVID-19 住院人数和死亡人数较高的早期评估中,反移民情绪并不比在 COVID-19 住院人数较低的后期评估中高;(2) 明确的疾病担忧和厌恶敏感度的人际变化与反移民情绪无关,但厌恶敏感度的稳定个体差异与反移民情绪有关。这些研究结果表明,关于大流行期间仇外心理增加的传闻并没有普遍适用于此处的抽样人群。这些研究还表明,并非所有生态病原体威胁和疾病显著性的增加都会增加仇外心理。
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引用次数: 0
Testing the expensive-tissue hypothesis' prediction of inter-tissue competition using causal modelling with latent variables. 利用潜变量因果模型检验 "昂贵组织假说 "对组织间竞争的预测。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-14 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.26
Meghan Shirley Bezerra, Samuli Helle, Kiran K Seunarine, Owen J Arthurs, Simon Eaton, Jane E Williams, Chris A Clark, Jonathan C K Wells

The expensive-tissue hypothesis (ETH) posited a brain-gut trade-off to explain how humans evolved large, costly brains. Versions of the ETH interrogating gut or other body tissues have been tested in non-human animals, but not humans. We collected brain and body composition data in 70 South Asian women and used structural equation modelling with instrumental variables, an approach that handles threats to causal inference including measurement error, unmeasured confounding and reverse causality. We tested a negative, causal effect of the latent construct 'nutritional investment in brain tissues' (MRI-derived brain volumes) on the construct 'nutritional investment in lean body tissues' (organ volume and skeletal muscle). We also predicted a negative causal effect of the brain latent on fat mass. We found negative causal estimates for both brain and lean tissue (-0.41, 95% CI, -1.13, 0.23) and brain and fat (-0.56, 95% CI, -2.46, 2.28). These results, although inconclusive, are consistent with theory and prior evidence of the brain trading off with lean and fat tissues, and they are an important step in assessing empirical evidence for the ETH in humans. Analyses using larger datasets, genetic data and causal modelling are required to build on these findings and expand the evidence base.

昂贵组织假说(ETH)假定了大脑与肠道之间的权衡,以解释人类如何进化出庞大而昂贵的大脑。针对肠道或其他身体组织的昂贵组织假说版本已在非人类动物身上进行过测试,但尚未在人类身上进行过测试。我们收集了 70 名南亚女性的大脑和身体成分数据,并使用了带有工具变量的结构方程模型,这种方法可以处理因果推断所面临的威胁,包括测量误差、未测量混杂因素和反向因果关系。我们检验了 "脑组织营养投资"(核磁共振成像得出的脑容量)这一潜在结构对 "瘦身组织营养投资"(器官体积和骨骼肌)这一结构的负向因果效应。我们还预测了大脑潜构对脂肪量的负因果效应。我们发现大脑和瘦身组织(-0.41,95% CI,-1.13,0.23)以及大脑和脂肪(-0.56,95% CI,-2.46,2.28)的因果关系估计值均为负值。这些结果虽然尚无定论,但与大脑与瘦肉和脂肪组织交换的理论和先前的证据是一致的,它们是评估人类 ETH 经验证据的重要一步。需要利用更大的数据集、遗传数据和因果模型进行分析,以巩固这些发现并扩大证据基础。
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引用次数: 0
Methods in causal inference. Part 2: Interaction, mediation, and time-varying treatments. 因果推论方法。第 2 部分:交互、中介和时变处理。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.32
Joseph A Bulbulia

The analysis of 'moderation', 'interaction', 'mediation' and 'longitudinal growth' is widespread in the human sciences, yet subject to confusion. To clarify these concepts, it is essential to state causal estimands, which requires the specification of counterfactual contrasts for a target population on an appropriate scale. Once causal estimands are defined, we must consider their identification. I employ causal directed acyclic graphs and single world intervention graphs to elucidate identification workflows. I show that when multiple treatments exist, common methods for statistical inference, such as multi-level regressions and statistical structural equation models, cannot typically recover the causal quantities we seek. By properly framing and addressing causal questions of interaction, mediation, and time-varying treatments, we can expose the limitations of popular methods and guide researchers to a clearer understanding of the causal questions that animate our interests.

调节"、"互动"、"中介 "和 "纵向增长 "的分析在人文科学中非常普遍,但却容易引起混淆。要弄清这些概念,就必须说明因果估计值,这就需要在适当的规模上为目标人群指定反事实对比。一旦定义了因果估计值,我们就必须考虑如何识别它们。我采用因果有向无环图和单一世界干预图来阐明识别工作流程。我的研究表明,当存在多种处理方法时,常用的统计推断方法,如多层次回归和统计结构方程模型,通常无法恢复我们所寻求的因果数量。通过正确界定和解决交互、中介和时变处理的因果问题,我们可以揭示流行方法的局限性,并引导研究人员更清晰地理解激发我们兴趣的因果问题。
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引用次数: 0
Methods in causal inference. Part 3: measurement error and external validity threats. 因果推断方法。第 3 部分:测量误差和外部有效性威胁。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.33
Joseph A Bulbulia

The human sciences should seek generalisations wherever possible. For ethical and scientific reasons, it is desirable to sample more broadly than 'Western, educated, industrialised, rich, and democratic' (WEIRD) societies. However, restricting the target population is sometimes necessary; for example, young children should not be recruited for studies on elderly care. Under which conditions is unrestricted sampling desirable or undesirable? Here, we use causal diagrams to clarify the structural features of measurement error bias and target population restriction bias (or 'selection restriction'), focusing on threats to valid causal inference that arise in comparative cultural research. We define any study exhibiting such biases, or confounding biases, as weird (wrongly estimated inferences owing to inappropriate restriction and distortion). We explain why statistical tests such as configural, metric and scalar invariance cannot address the structural biases of weird studies. Overall, we examine how the workflows for causal inference provide the necessary preflight checklists for ambitious, effective and safe comparative cultural research.

人文科学应尽可能寻求概括性。出于伦理和科学方面的原因,最好能在比 "西方、受过教育、工业化、富裕和民主"(WEIRD)社会更广泛的范围内取样。不过,有时限制目标人群也是必要的;例如,有关老年人护理的研究不应招募幼儿。在什么情况下,不受限制的抽样是可取的,还是不可取的?在此,我们使用因果图来阐明测量误差偏差和目标人群限制偏差(或 "选择限制")的结构特征,重点关注比较文化研究中出现的对有效因果推断的威胁。我们将任何表现出此类偏差或混杂偏差的研究定义为怪异研究(由于不恰当的限制和扭曲而导致的错误推断)。我们解释了为什么配置不变性、度量不变性和标度不变性等统计检验方法无法解决怪异研究的结构性偏差。总之,我们探讨了因果推论的工作流程如何为雄心勃勃、有效和安全的比较文化研究提供必要的预检清单。
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引用次数: 0
Expanding the causal menu: An interventionist perspective on explaining human behavioural evolution. 扩大因果菜单:解释人类行为进化的干预主义视角。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.27
Ronald J Planer, Ross Pain

Theorists of human evolution are interested in understanding major shifts in human behavioural capacities (e.g. the creation of a novel technological industry, such as the Acheulean). This task faces empirical challenges arising both from the complexity of these events and the time-depths involved. However, we also confront issues of a more philosophical nature, such as how to best think about causation and explanation. This article considers such fundamental questions from the perspective of a prominent theory of causation in the philosophy of science literature, namely, the interventionist theory of causation. A signature feature of this framework is its recognition of a family of distinct types of causes. We set out several of these causal notions and show how they can contribute to explaining transitions in human behavioural complexity. We do so, first, in a preliminary way, and then in a more detailed way, taking the origins of behavioural modernity as our extended case study. We conclude by suggesting some ways in which the approach developed here might be elaborated and extended.

人类进化理论家们有兴趣了解人类行为能力的重大转变(例如,新技术产业的创造,如阿契莱人)。由于这些事件的复杂性和所涉及的时间深度,这项任务面临着经验上的挑战。然而,我们也面临着一些更具哲学性质的问题,比如如何更好地思考因果关系和解释。本文从科学哲学文献中一个著名的因果关系理论--干预主义因果关系理论--的角度来探讨这些基本问题。这一框架的一个显著特点是它承认一系列不同类型的原因。我们阐述了其中几个因果概念,并说明它们如何有助于解释人类行为复杂性的转变。我们首先以初步的方式说明了这一点,然后以行为现代性的起源作为我们的扩展案例研究,以更详细的方式说明了这一点。最后,我们将提出一些方法,以便对本文提出的方法进行阐述和扩展。
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引用次数: 0
Methods in causal inference. Part 4: confounding in experiments. 因果推理的方法。第四部分:实验中的混淆。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.34
Joseph A Bulbulia

Confounding bias arises when a treatment and outcome share a common cause. In randomised controlled experiments (trials), treatment assignment is random, ostensibly eliminating confounding bias. Here, we use causal directed acyclic graphs to unveil eight structural sources of bias that nevertheless persist in these trials. This analysis highlights the crucial role of causal inference methods in the design and analysis of experiments, ensuring the validity of conclusions drawn from experimental data.

当一种治疗方法和结果有共同的原因时,就会出现混淆偏倚。在随机对照实验(试验)中,治疗分配是随机的,表面上消除了混杂偏差。在这里,我们使用因果有向无环图来揭示在这些试验中仍然存在的偏见的八个结构性来源。这一分析强调了因果推理方法在实验设计和分析中的关键作用,确保了从实验数据中得出结论的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Methods in causal inference. Part 1: causal diagrams and confounding. 因果推断方法。第 1 部分:因果图和混杂。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.35
Joseph A Bulbulia

Causal inference requires contrasting counterfactual states under specified interventions. Obtaining these contrasts from data depends on explicit assumptions and careful, multi-step workflows. Causal diagrams are crucial for clarifying the identifiability of counterfactual contrasts from data. Here, I explain how to use causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to determine if and how causal effects can be identified from non-experimental observational data, offering practical reporting tips and suggestions to avoid common pitfalls.

因果推理需要对特定干预措施下的反事实状态进行对比。从数据中获取这些对比取决于明确的假设和谨慎的多步骤工作流程。因果图对于从数据中明确反事实对比的可识别性至关重要。在此,我将解释如何使用因果有向无环图(DAG)来确定是否以及如何从非实验观察数据中识别因果效应,并提供实用的报告技巧和建议,以避免常见的陷阱。
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引用次数: 0
Kin selection as a modulator of human handedness: sex-specific, parental and parent-of-origin effects. 亲属选择是人类手性的调节器:性别特异性、父母和原生父母的影响。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.24
Bing Dong, Silvia Paracchini, Andy Gardner

The frequency of left-handedness in humans is ~10% worldwide and slightly higher in males than females. Twin and family studies estimate the heritability of human handedness at around 25%. The low but substantial frequency of left-handedness has been suggested to imply negative frequency-dependent selection, e.g. owing to a 'surprise' advantage of left-handers in combat against opponents more used to fighting right-handers. Because such game-theoretic hypotheses involve social interaction, here we perform an analysis of the evolution of handedness based on kin-selection, which is understood to play a major role in the evolution of social behaviour generally. We show that: (1) relatedness modulates the balance of right-handedness vs. left-handedness, according to whether left-handedness is marginally selfish vs. marginally altruistic; (2) sex differences in relatedness to social partners may drive sex differences in handedness; (3) differential relatedness of parents and offspring may generate parent-offspring conflict and sexual conflict leading to the evolution of maternal and paternal genetic effects in relation to handedness; and (4) differential relatedness of maternal-origin vs. paternal-origin genes may generate intragenomic conflict leading to the evolution of parent-of-origin-specific gene effects - such as 'genomic imprinting' - and associated maladaptation.

全世界人类左撇子的比例约为 10%,男性略高于女性。双胞胎和家族研究估计,人类左撇子的遗传率约为 25%。有人认为,左撇子出现频率低但数量可观,这意味着与频率有关的负面选择,例如,左撇子在与习惯于与右撇子作战的对手作战时具有 "出其不意 "的优势。由于这种博弈论假说涉及社会互动,因此我们在此基于亲属选择对惯用手的进化进行分析,据了解,亲属选择在一般社会行为的进化中发挥着重要作用。我们证明(1)亲缘关系会调节右手与左手的平衡,这取决于左手是否具有边际自私性与边际利他性;(2)与社会伙伴的亲缘关系中的性别差异可能会驱动手性的性别差异;(3)父母与后代的不同亲缘关系可能会产生父母与后代的冲突和性冲突,从而导致与手性有关的母系和父系遗传效应的进化;以及(4)母系起源基因与父系起源基因的不同亲缘关系可能会产生与手性有关的母系和父系遗传效应。(4) 母源基因与父源基因的不同亲缘关系可能会产生基因组内冲突,从而导致父源特异性基因效应(如 "基因组印记")的进化以及相关的适应不良。
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引用次数: 0
The role of mating effort and co-residence history in step-grandparental investment. 交配努力和共同居住历史在继祖父母投资中的作用。
IF 2.6 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-16 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.17
Jenni E Pettay, David A Coall, Mirkka Danielsbacka, Antti O Tanskanen

The prevalence of divorce in both parental and grandparental generations has led to a rise in the number of children who now have families that include both biological and step-grandparents. Despite the thorough examination of biological grandparents' contributions in the recent literature, there remains a scarcity of studies focusing on the investment of step-grandparents. Using population-based data from a sample of 2494 parents in Germany, we assessed grandparental investment through financial support and assistance with childcare of grandparents (N = 4238) and step-grandparents (N = 486). The study revealed that step-grandparents provided lower levels of investment in their grandchildren compared with biological grandparents. Furthermore, the study identified that a longer duration of co-residence between step-grandparents and parents earlier in life did not correspond to an increase or decrease in step-grandparental investment. However, investment by separated biological grandparents increased with the increasing length of co-residence with parents. In line with the scarce literature on step-grandparental investment, these findings indicate that mating effort may be the most important motivation for step-grandparental investment.

父母和祖父母两代人的离婚率都很高,导致现在有亲生父母和继祖父母的家庭的儿童人数增加。尽管最近的文献对亲生祖父母的贡献进行了深入研究,但关注继祖父母投资的研究仍然很少。我们利用德国 2494 名父母的样本数据,通过祖父母(4238 人)和继祖父母(486 人)的经济支持和育儿援助,对祖父母的投资进行了评估。研究显示,与亲生祖父母相比,继祖父母对孙辈的投资水平较低。此外,研究还发现,继祖父母和父母在生命早期共同居住的时间越长,继祖父母对孙辈的投资就越多或越少。然而,随着与父母共同居住时间的延长,分居的亲生祖父母的投资也在增加。与有关继祖父母投资的稀缺文献相一致,这些研究结果表明,交配努力可能是继祖父母投资的最重要动机。
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引用次数: 0
The floating duck syndrome: biased social learning leads to effort-reward imbalances. 浮鸭综合症:偏颇的社会学习导致努力-回报失衡。
IF 2.2 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-29 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/ehs.2024.20
Erol Akçay, Ryotaro Ohashi

An increasingly common phenomenon in modern work and school settings is individuals taking on too many tasks and spending effort without commensurate rewards. Such an imbalance of efforts and rewards leads to myriad negative consequences, such as burnout, anxiety and disease. Here, we develop a model to explain how such effort-reward imbalances can come about as a result of biased social learning dynamics. Our model is based on a phenomenon that on some US college campuses is called 'the floating duck syndrome'. This phrase refers to the social pressure on individuals to advertise their successes but hide the struggles and the effort put in to achieve them. We show that a bias against revealing the true effort results in social learning dynamics that lead others to underestimate the difficulty of the world. This in turn leads individuals to both invest too much total effort and spread this effort over too many activities, reducing the success rate from each activity and creating effort-reward imbalances. We also consider potential ways to counteract the floating duck effect: we find that solutions other than addressing the root cause, biased observation of effort, are unlikely to work.

在现代工作和学习环境中,一个日益普遍的现象是个人承担了太多的任务,付出了努力却没有得到相应的回报。这种付出与回报的失衡会导致无数负面后果,如倦怠、焦虑和疾病。在这里,我们建立了一个模型来解释这种努力与回报的不平衡是如何由于有偏差的社会学习动力而产生的。我们的模型基于一种在美国大学校园中被称为 "浮鸭综合征 "的现象。这个短语指的是个人所面临的社会压力,即宣传自己的成功,但隐藏为取得成功而付出的奋斗和努力。我们的研究表明,对揭示真实努力的偏见会导致社会学习动力,使他人低估世界的难度。这反过来又会导致个人投入过多的总努力,并将这种努力分散到过多的活动中,从而降低每项活动的成功率,造成努力与回报的不平衡。我们还考虑了抵消浮萍效应的潜在方法:我们发现,除了解决根本原因--对努力的偏差观察--之外,其他解决方案都不太可能奏效。
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引用次数: 0
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Evolutionary Human Sciences
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