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Cookie Cutter Covenants: Regulation-Induced Homogeneity of Homeowners Associations 千篇一律的契约:监管诱导的房主协会同质性
Pub Date : 2018-06-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3194419
Michael Makovi
Several authors have argued that homeowners associations (HOAs) constitute an ideal institution for implementing Buchanan and Tullock's Calculus of Consent. HOAs provide collective goods and mitigate collective action problems. Developers offer constitutions ready-made, economizing on the decision-making costs which render unanimity infeasible. Competition will constrain real-estate developers to offer exactly those constitutions which consumers themselves would have crafted. However, critics of HOAs have voiced a variety of criticisms. For example, they allege that HOAs often suffer from a high degree of conflict and consumer dissatisfaction. I argue that government regulation – especially FHA mortgage underwriting – has homogenized HOAs, reducing the scope for competition and product differentiation. Developers often adopt legal boilerplate, lifting their HOA contracts from government handbooks. This reduced competition undercuts the economic justification of HOAs. To some degree, the flaws and shortcomings of HOAs may owe themselves to regulatory-induced homogeneity.
一些作者认为,业主协会(hoa)构成了实施布坎南和图洛克同意演算的理想机构。hoa提供集体商品,减轻集体行动问题。开发商提供现成的章程,以节省决策成本,使一致同意成为不可能。竞争将迫使房地产开发商提供消费者自己制定的那些条款。然而,hoa的批评者提出了各种各样的批评。例如,他们声称hoa经常遭受高度冲突和消费者不满。我认为,政府监管——尤其是联邦住房管理局(FHA)的抵押贷款承销——使自有住房贷款机构同质化,减少了竞争和产品差异化的空间。开发商通常采用法律模板,将他们的居屋合同从政府手册中移除。这种竞争的减少削弱了hoa的经济合理性。在某种程度上,hoa的缺陷和缺点可能是由于监管导致的同质性。
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引用次数: 4
Subjective Probability and Legal Proof: A Ramsian Reply to Allen and Pardo 主观概率与法律证明:对艾伦和帕尔多的一个拉美式回答
Pub Date : 2018-05-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3181616
F. Guerra-Pujol
Ron Allen and Mike Pardo have criticized probabilistic theories of legal proof and have presented an alternative “relative plausibility” theory of legal proof. Alas, both Allen and Pardo’s critique and their new approach are wrong. The remainder of this paper will describe their theory of relative plausibility, restate Allen and Pardo’s objections to subjective or Bayesian probability, and then answer each one of these objections. This paper will then explain why a Ramsian or subjective view of proof provides a better explanation of juridical proof than Allen and Pardo’s relative plausibility theory. At the end of the day, the key question is this: which of the two competing theories of juridical proof--i.e. subjective probability or relative plausibility--makes more sense, either as a descriptive or normative manner? In summary, because relative plausibility models can be Dutch-booked, and because juror evaluation of proof is an essentially subjective exercise, this paper shall defend a subjective conception of legal proof. Lastly, I shall describe a simple method for operationalizing subjective verdicts in civil cases.
罗恩·艾伦和迈克·帕尔多批评了法律证明的概率理论,并提出了另一种“相对似是而非”的法律证明理论。唉,艾伦和帕尔多的批评和他们的新方法都是错误的。本文的其余部分将描述他们的相对合理性理论,重申Allen和Pardo对主观概率或贝叶斯概率的反对意见,然后回答每一个反对意见。然后,本文将解释为什么拉姆斯的或主观的证明观点比艾伦和帕尔多的相对似是而非的理论能更好地解释司法证明。归根结底,关键问题是:司法证明的两种相互竞争的理论——即。主观概率或相对合理性——更有意义,无论是描述性的还是规范性的?综上所述,由于相对的似是而非的模式可以被采用,而且陪审员对证据的评价本质上是一种主观的行为,因此本文应当为法律证明的主观概念进行辩护。最后,我将描述一种在民事案件中实施主观判决的简单方法。
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引用次数: 0
Complex and Entangled Public Policy: Here Be Dragons 复杂和纠缠的公共政策:这里有龙
Pub Date : 2018-05-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3177464
Abigail N. Devereaux
The tools and concepts of the emerging field of complexity science—like agent-based modeling, network theory, and machine learning—can offer powerful insights to economists and crafters of public policy. Complexity science enables us to explicitly model relationships between individuals and institutions, asymmetric information and influence, the emergence of unplanned emergent social orders, and dynamically adaptive individuals. In the last few decades the tools of complexity science have been applied to the problem of public goods provision, correcting hypothesized behavioral biases, and raising the efficiency of policy implementation. These analyses often lack public choice perspectives, which may complicate and even obviate their findings when the designer becomes entangled with the complex structures in his models. Furthermore, there remains a good deal of work to be done to harmonize traditional public choice work with the tools and insights of complexity science. Uncharted waters must eventually be charted; we hope to begin in such a way that avoids the worst of the dragons.
复杂性科学新兴领域的工具和概念,如基于主体的建模、网络理论和机器学习,可以为经济学家和公共政策制定者提供强有力的见解。复杂性科学使我们能够明确地模拟个人和机构之间的关系、信息和影响的不对称、意外出现的社会秩序和动态适应的个人之间的关系。在过去的几十年里,复杂性科学的工具被应用于公共产品提供的问题,纠正假设的行为偏差,提高政策实施的效率。这些分析往往缺乏公共选择的视角,当设计师与模型中的复杂结构纠缠在一起时,这可能会使他们的发现复杂化,甚至被排除在外。此外,要使传统的公共选择工作与复杂性科学的工具和见解相协调,还有很多工作要做。未知的水域最终必须被绘制出来;我们希望以这样一种方式开始,避免恶龙最坏的一面。
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引用次数: 0
The Method of Majority Decision: The Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Transitivity and Quasi-Transitivity 多数决法:及物性和拟及物性的充分必要条件
Pub Date : 2018-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3127727
S. Jain
This paper establishes the necessary and sufficient conditions for transitivity and quasi-transitivity under the method of majority decision. The terms 'necessary' and 'sufficient' here are used in the sense of logic, and not in the sense of usage common in the restricted domain literature. These necessary and sufficient conditions enable derivation of all existing theorems pertaining to transitivity and quasi-transitivity under the method of majority decision very simply, almost trivially.
本文建立了多数决法下可及性和拟可及性的充分必要条件。这里的术语“必要”和“充分”是在逻辑意义上使用的,而不是在受限领域文献中常见的用法意义上使用的。这些必要和充分条件使得在多数决法下非常简单地、几乎是平凡地推导出所有与传递性和拟传递性有关的现有定理。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Aspects of Subjective Attitudes towards the Minimum Wage Reform 对最低工资改革主观态度的经济层面
Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3105415
A. Fedorets, Carsten Schröder
Despite some skepticism among experts about the effects of a minimum wage, there is remarkably widespread public support for such policies. Using representative survey data from 2015 and 2016, we investigate the subjective attitudes driving public support for Germany’s recent minimum wage reform. We find that socio-economic characteristics and political orientations explain a minor part of the variation in attitudes, whereas beliefs that the reform will bring positive redistributional effects and perceptions that it will help people to maintain or improve their overall economic situation (measured by living standards, income, hours worked, and job security) play a major role.
尽管一些专家对最低工资的影响持怀疑态度,但公众对这类政策的支持非常广泛。利用2015年和2016年的代表性调查数据,我们调查了推动公众支持德国最近的最低工资改革的主观态度。我们发现,社会经济特征和政治取向解释了态度变化的一小部分,而相信改革将带来积极的再分配效应和认为改革将帮助人们维持或改善他们的整体经济状况(以生活水平、收入、工作时间和工作保障衡量)的看法发挥了主要作用。
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引用次数: 5
Constructing Economic Interests: Geography, Culture, & the Liberal International Order 建构经济利益:地理、文化与自由国际秩序
Pub Date : 2017-10-06 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3057049
K. McNamara
The liberal international order seems to be resting on very shaky ground. While the election of Donald Trump and the Brexit vote were startling shocks, these developments represented only the most extreme outcomes of anti-globalization and anti-establishment politics that had been growing for some time. As analysts today struggle to understand these complex phenomena, they most often divide their explanations into two opposing camps: identity politics versus economic anxiety. I argue that we need instead to understand the new political cleavages in terms of the interactions between economic circumstances and culture, rather than thinking of them as competing explanations. I offer a new way of theorizing about where interests come from, one that focuses on the stark geographic cleavages of the new post-industrial economy and how these material circumstances have created polarized everyday lived experiences. Although I focus on the US case in this short memo, this emphasis on the cultural class cleavages created by the twenty-first century economy should also illuminate some of the drivers for Brexit and the rise of populist politics more generally.
自由主义的国际秩序似乎建立在非常不稳固的基础上。尽管唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)当选美国总统和英国脱欧公投令人震惊,但这些事态发展只是一段时间以来愈演愈烈的反全球化和反建制政治的最极端结果。今天的分析人士在努力理解这些复杂的现象时,他们通常会将自己的解释分为两个对立的阵营:身份政治与经济焦虑。我认为,我们需要从经济环境和文化之间的相互作用来理解新的政治分歧,而不是把它们视为相互竞争的解释。我提供了一种新的方式来理论化兴趣的来源,一种关注新后工业经济的明显地理分裂,以及这些物质环境如何创造了两极分化的日常生活体验的方式。尽管在这篇简短的备忘录中,我关注的是美国的情况,但这种对21世纪经济造成的文化阶级分裂的强调,也应该能更广泛地阐明英国退欧和民粹主义政治崛起的一些驱动因素。
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引用次数: 3
Consumption Response to Temporary Price Shock: Evidence from Singapore's Annual Sale Event 消费对暂时价格冲击的反应:来自新加坡年度销售活动的证据
Pub Date : 2017-09-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3035787
Sumit Agarwal, Kang Mo Koo, Wenlan Qian
Exploiting a novel panel dataset of consumer financial transactions in Singapore, we examine the consumption response to an anticipated, transitory price shock generated by the nation-wide annual sale event. Consistent with theory, we find inter-temporal substitution where consumers spend less immediately before the event, and cross-categorical substitution behavior where consumers decrease spending in items unaffected by the sale event. However, liquidity constrained consumers responded to the price change with significant spending increase and little substitution behavior. Moreover, consumers pay by credit card first and switch to debit card afterwards, further highlighting the role of liquidity in understanding the consumption response.
利用新加坡消费者金融交易的新面板数据集,我们研究了消费者对全国性年度销售活动产生的预期的暂时价格冲击的反应。与理论一致,我们发现了跨时间替代行为,即消费者在事件发生前减少消费,以及跨类别替代行为,即消费者在不受销售事件影响的项目上减少支出。然而,流动性受限的消费者对价格变化的反应是显著的消费增加和很少的替代行为。此外,消费者先用信用卡支付,然后再用借记卡支付,这进一步凸显了流动性在理解消费反应中的作用。
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引用次数: 4
Institutional Choice and Cooperation in Representative Democracies: An Experimental Approach 代议制民主的制度选择与合作:一种实验方法
Pub Date : 2017-04-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2951008
Fanny E. Schories
This paper examines whether an institution has a differing impact on cooperation if it is introduced by a representative of the affected parties rather than exogenously imposed. The experimental design is able to control for selection effects arising from the democratic policy choice. I find evidence of a large democracy premium in the sense that endogenously implemented institutions lead to more cooperation than iden- tical exogenous institutions. Especially the subjects who initially did not prefer the policy comply if it was brought about by an elected representative. The results have implications for the analysis of decision-making processes and policy recommendations in general.
本文考察了如果一项制度是由受影响各方的代表引入的,而不是由外部强加的,那么它对合作的影响是否会有所不同。实验设计能够控制由民主政策选择产生的选择效应。从某种意义上说,我发现了一个巨大的民主溢价的证据,即内生实施的制度比相同的外生制度能带来更多的合作。特别是那些最初不喜欢这项政策的人,如果这项政策是由民选代表提出的,他们就会遵守。研究结果对分析决策过程和一般政策建议具有影响。
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引用次数: 1
Social Image, Networks, and Protest Participation 社会形象、网络和抗议参与
Pub Date : 2017-03-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2940171
R. Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin, M. Petrova, L. Polishchuk
Social motivation plays a vital role in electoral participation, political contributions, and charitable donations. We examine the role of social image concerns in the decision to participate in political protests. We develop a dynamic model of protest participation, where socially-minded individuals use protest participation to signal their type. We then test predictions of the model using individual and city-level data from 2011-2012 political protests in Russia. We report several findings, consistent with the theory. First, list experiment results from a specially conducted survey imply that social signaling motives indeed were important for the decision to participate in protests. Second, participation in online protest groups increased offline protest participation. Third, participation in protests was associated with higher social capital in a city. Finally, the importance of both online social networks and offline social capital for protest participation diminished over time.
社会动机在选举参与、政治捐款和慈善捐赠中起着至关重要的作用。我们研究了社会形象问题在决定参加政治抗议活动中的作用。我们开发了一个动态的抗议参与模型,其中有社会意识的个人使用抗议参与来表明他们的类型。然后,我们使用2011-2012年俄罗斯政治抗议活动的个人和城市层面的数据来测试模型的预测。我们报告了几个与理论一致的发现。首先,一项专门进行的调查的列表实验结果表明,社会信号动机确实对参加抗议的决定很重要。第二,线上抗议团体的参与增加了线下抗议的参与。第三,参与抗议活动与一个城市较高的社会资本有关。最后,随着时间的推移,在线社会网络和线下社会资本对抗议参与的重要性都在下降。
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引用次数: 37
Altruistic Norm Enforcement and Decision-Making Format in a Dilemma: Experimental Evidence 困境中的利他规范执行与决策形式:实验证据
Pub Date : 2017-02-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2912543
Kenju Kamei
Past research has shown that people often take punitive actions towards norm violators even when they are not directly involved in transactions. However, it at the same time suggests that such third-party punishment may not be strong enough to enforce cooperation norms in dilemma situations. This paper experimentally compares the effectiveness of third-party punishment between different enforcement formats. Consistent with past studies, our data shows that having an individual third-party punisher in a group does not make one’s defection materially unbeneficial because of the weak punishment intensity. It also shows that third-party punishment is not effective when two individuals form a pair as a punisher and jointly decide how strong third-party punishment they impose. However, third-party punishment can be sufficiently strong to enforce cooperation norms when a third-party punisher’s action choice is made known to another individual third-party punisher in a different group, or when there are two independent individual third-party players in a group.
过去的研究表明,人们经常对违反规范的人采取惩罚措施,即使他们没有直接参与交易。然而,它同时表明,这种第三方惩罚可能不足以在困境情况下强制执行合作规范。本文通过实验比较了不同执行形式下第三方处罚的有效性。与过去的研究一致,我们的数据表明,在一个群体中有一个单独的第三方惩罚者并不会因为惩罚强度弱而使一个人的背叛在物质上不利。当两个人组成一对作为惩罚者,共同决定第三方惩罚的力度时,第三方惩罚是无效的。然而,当一个第三方惩罚者的行动选择被另一个不同群体中的第三方惩罚者知道,或者当一个群体中有两个独立的第三方参与者时,第三方惩罚可以足够强大,以强制执行合作规范。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
ERN: Other Public Choice: Analysis of Collective Decision-Making (Topic)
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