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Application of data-driven surrogate models for active human model response prediction and restraint system optimization 数据驱动代理模型在主动人体模型反应预测和约束系统优化中的应用
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1156785
J. Hay, L. Schories, E. Bayerschen, P. Wimmer, Oliver Zehbe, S. Kirschbichler, J. Fehr
Surrogate models are a must-have in a scenario-based safety simulation framework to design optimally integrated safety systems for new mobility solutions. The objective of this study is the development of surrogate models for active human model responses under consideration of multiple sampling strategies. A Gaussian process regression is chosen for predicting injury values based on the collision scenario, the occupant's seating position after a pre-crash movement and selected restraint system parameters. The trained models are validated and assessed for each sampling method and the best-performing surrogate model is selected for restraint system parameter optimization.
在基于场景的安全仿真框架中,代理模型是为新的移动解决方案设计最佳集成安全系统所必需的。本研究的目的是在考虑多种采样策略的情况下,为积极的人类模型反应开发替代模型。基于碰撞场景、碰撞前运动后乘员的座位位置和选定的约束系统参数,选择高斯过程回归来预测伤害值。对每种采样方法的训练模型进行验证和评估,并选择性能最佳的代理模型进行约束系统参数优化。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical analysis of the impact of community ignorance on the population dynamics of dengue 社区无知对登革热种群动态影响的数学分析
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1094971
D. Aldila, Chita Aulia Puspadani, Rahmi Rusin
This study proposes a dengue spread model that considers the nonlinear transmission rate to address the level of human ignorance of dengue in their environment. The SIR − UV model has been proposed, where SIR denotes the classification of the human population and UV denotes the classification of the mosquito population. Assuming that the total human population is constant, and the mosquito population is already in its steady-state condition, using the Quasi-Steady State Approximation (QSSA) method, we reduce our SIR − UV model into a more simple IR-model. Our analytical result shows that a stable disease-free equilibrium exists when the basic reproduction number is <1. Furthermore, our model also shows the possibility of a backward bifurcation. The more ignorant the society is about dengue, the higher the possibility that backward bifurcation phenomena may appear. As a result, the condition of the basic reproduction number being <1 is insufficient to guarantee the extinction of dengue in a population. Furthermore, we found that increasing the recovery rate, reducing the waning immunity rate, and mosquito life expectancy can reduce the possibility of backward bifurcation phenomena. We use dengue incidence data from Jakarta to calibrate the parameters in our model. Through the fast Fourier transform analysis, it was found that dengue incidence in Jakarta has a periodicity of 52.4, 73.4, and 146.8 weeks. This result indicates that dengue will periodically appear at least every year in Jakarta. Parameter estimation for our model parameters was carried out by assuming the infection rate of humans as a sinusoidal function by determining the three most dominant frequencies. Numerical and sensitivity analyses were conducted to observe the impact of community ignorance on dengue endemicity. From the sensitivity analysis, we found that, although a larger community ignorance can trigger a backward bifurcation, this threshold can be minimized by increasing the recovery rate, prolonging the temporal immunity, or reducing the mosquito population. Therefore, to control dengue transmission more effectively, media campaigns undertaken by the government to reduce community ignorance should be accompanied by other interventions, such as a good treatment in the hospital or vector control programs. With this combination of interventions, it will be easier to achieve a condition of dengue-free population when the basic reproduction number is less than one.
这项研究提出了一个登革热传播模型,该模型考虑了非线性传播率,以解决人类在其环境中对登革热的无知程度。已经提出了SIR−UV模型,其中SIR表示人类种群的分类,UV表示蚊子种群的分类。假设总人口是恒定的,蚊子种群已经处于稳态条件下,使用准稳态近似(QSSA)方法,我们将SIR−UV模型简化为更简单的IR模型。我们的分析结果表明,当基本繁殖数<1时,存在稳定的无病平衡。此外,我们的模型还显示了后向分叉的可能性。社会对登革热越是无知,出现后向分叉现象的可能性就越高。因此,基本繁殖数<1的条件不足以保证登革热在种群中的灭绝。此外,我们发现,提高恢复率、降低免疫力下降率和蚊子的预期寿命可以降低后向分叉现象的可能性。我们使用雅加达的登革热发病率数据来校准我们模型中的参数。通过快速傅立叶变换分析发现,雅加达登革热发病具有52.4、73.4和146.8周的周期性。这一结果表明,登革热至少每年都会在雅加达周期性出现。通过确定三个最主要的频率,将人类的感染率假设为正弦函数,对我们的模型参数进行参数估计。进行了数值和敏感性分析,以观察社区无知对登革热流行性的影响。从敏感性分析中,我们发现,尽管更大的社区无知会引发后向分叉,但可以通过提高恢复率、延长时间免疫力或减少蚊子数量来最小化这一阈值。因此,为了更有效地控制登革热的传播,政府为减少社区的无知而开展的媒体宣传活动应辅以其他干预措施,如在医院接受良好治疗或病媒控制计划。有了这种干预措施的结合,当基本繁殖数量小于1时,将更容易达到无登革热人群的状态。
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引用次数: 1
Three little arbitrage theorems 三个套利定理
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1138663
Mauricio Contreras G., Roberto Ortiz H.
The authors proved three theorems about the exact solutions of a generalized or interacting Black–Scholes equation that explicitly includes arbitrage bubbles. These arbitrage bubbles can be characterized by an arbitrage number AN. The first theorem states that if AN = 0, then the solution at maturity of the interacting equation is identical to the solution of the free Black–Scholes equation with the same initial interest rate of r. The second theorem states that if AN ≠ 0, then the interacting solution can be expressed in terms of all higher derivatives of the solutions to the free Black–Scholes equation with an initial interest rate of r. The third theorem states that for a given arbitrage number, the interacting solution is a solution to the free Black–Scholes equation but with a variable interest rate of r(τ) = r + (1/τ)AN(τ), where τ = T − t.
作者证明了关于明确包含套利泡沫的广义或相互作用的Black-Scholes方程精确解的三个定理。这些套利泡沫可以用套利数an来表征。第一个定理指出,如果an=0,则相互作用方程成熟时的解与初始利率为r的自由Black-Scholes方程的解相同。第二个定理指出如果an≠0,则相互作用解可以用初始利率为r的自由Black-Scholes方程解的所有高阶导数来表示。第三定理指出,对于给定的套利数,相互作用解是自由Black-Skoles方程的解,但可变利率为r(τ)=r+(1/τ)an(τ),其中τ=T−T。
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引用次数: 0
The soft computing FFNN method for adjusting heteroscedasticity on the time series model of currency exchange rate 货币汇率时间序列模型异方差调整的软计算FFNN方法
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1045218
D. Devianto, Mutia Yollanda, M. Maiyastri, F. Yanuar
Introduction Time series models on financial data often have problems with the stationary assumption of variance on the residuals. It is well known as the heteroscedasticity effect. The heteroscedasticity is represented by a nonconstant value that varies over time. Methods The heteroscedasticity effect contained in the basic classical time series model of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) can adjust its residuals as the variance model by using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH). In improving the model accuracy and overcoming the heteroscedasticity problems, it is proposed a combination model of ARIMA and Feed-Forward Neural Network (FFNN), namely ARIMA-FFNN. The model is built by applying the soft computing method of FFNN to replace the variance model. This soft computing approach is one of the numerical methods that can not be only applied in the theoretical subject but also in the data processing. Results In this research, the accuracy of the time series model using the case study of the exchange rate United States dollar-Indonesia rupiah with a monthly period from January 2001 to May 2021 shows that the best accuracy of the possible models is the model of ARIMA-FFNN, which applies soft computing to obtain the optimal fitted parameters precisely. Discussion This result indicates that the ARIMA-FFNN model is better used to approach this exchange rate than the rest model of ARIMA-GARCH and ARIMA-GARCH-FFNN.
金融数据的时间序列模型经常存在残差方差的平稳假设问题。它被称为异方差效应。异方差由一个随时间变化的非恒定值表示。方法利用广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH),将自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)基本经典时间序列模型中的异方差效应作为方差模型进行残差调整。为了提高模型精度和克服异方差问题,提出了一种ARIMA和前馈神经网络(FFNN)的组合模型,即ARIMA-FFNN。该模型采用FFNN的软计算方法代替方差模型建立。这种软计算方法是一种不仅可以应用于理论学科,而且可以应用于数据处理的数值方法。结果在本研究中,通过对2001年1月至2021年5月美元-印尼盾汇率的个案研究,时间序列模型的准确性表明,ARIMA-FFNN模型是可能模型的最佳准确性,它应用软计算来精确地获得最优拟合参数。讨论这一结果表明,ARIMA-FFNN模型比ARIMA-GARCH和ARIMA-GARH-FNN的其余模型更适合于接近这一汇率。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the political choice of public health insurance 公共医疗保险的政治选择模型
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.961158
Abdou Khadre Dit Jadir Fall
This article aimed to study the choice that people have to make between two health insurance systems in a monopolistic scheme. The first health insurance system proposes a uniform contribution level and the second one proposes a contribution level that is proportional to the probability of getting sick. The individuals differ (or are distinguished) by their number in a group, the net income, the contribution level, the probability of getting sick, and health cost. Two kinds of voting models using the welfare function are used; a direct vote that involves a size effect and a probabilistic vote that involves a bias in favor of one system. The results, according to theoretical models, indicate that a uniform contribution level is adopted by high-risk individuals and also if wealth and illness are strongly negatively correlated. However, when wealth and illness are not correlated or are poorly correlated, a contribution proportional to the probability of getting sick is adopted. These results were explained by the fact that the loss of wellbeing for low-income and sick people is more important.
本文旨在研究在垄断计划中,人们必须在两种医疗保险制度之间做出的选择。第一个健康保险系统提出了一个统一的缴费水平,第二个系统提出了与生病概率成比例的缴费水平。个体的差异(或区别)在于他们在一个群体中的数量、净收入、贡献水平、生病的概率和健康成本。使用了两种使用福利函数的投票模型;涉及规模效应的直接投票和涉及偏向一个系统的概率投票。根据理论模型,研究结果表明,高风险个人采用统一的贡献水平,如果财富和疾病呈强负相关,也会采用统一的水平。然而,当财富和疾病不相关或相关性较差时,会采用与患病概率成比例的贡献。这些结果的解释是,低收入人群和患病人群的福祉损失更为重要。
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引用次数: 0
Spherically symmetric black hole spacetimes on hyperboloidal slices 双曲面片上的球对称黑洞时空
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1206017
Alex Van'o-Vinuales
Gravitational radiation and some global properties of spacetimes can only be unambiguously measured at future null infinity (ℐ+). This motivates the interest in reaching it within simulations of coalescing compact objects, whose waveforms are extracted for gravitational wave modeling purposes. One promising method to include future null infinity in the numerical domain is the evolution on hyperboloidal slices: smooth spacelike slices that reach future null infinity. The main challenge in this approach is the treatment of the compactified asymptotic region at ℐ+. Evolution on a hyperboloidal slice of a spacetime including a black hole entails an extra layer of difficulty in part due to the finite coordinate distance between the black hole and future null infinity. Spherical symmetry is considered here as the simplest setup still encompassing the full complication of the treatment along the radial coordinate. First, the construction of constant-mean-curvature hyperboloidal trumpet slices for Schwarzschild and Reissner-Nordström black hole spacetimes is reviewed from the point of view of the puncture approach. Then, the framework is set for solving hyperboloidal-adapted hyperbolic gauge conditions for stationary trumpet initial data, providing solutions for two specific sets of parameters. Finally, results of testing these initial data in evolution are presented.
引力辐射和时空的一些全局性质只能在未来的零无穷远处明确测量(ℐ+). 这激发了人们对在凝聚紧凑物体的模拟中实现它的兴趣,这些物体的波形是为了引力波建模而提取的。将未来零无穷大包含在数值域中的一种很有前途的方法是双曲面切片上的进化:达到未来零无限大的光滑类空间切片。该方法的主要挑战是在ℐ+. 包括黑洞在内的时空双曲面切片上的进化带来了额外的困难,部分原因是黑洞和未来零无穷大之间的坐标距离有限。球面对称在这里被认为是最简单的设置,仍然包括沿径向坐标的治疗的全部复杂性。首先,从穿孔方法的角度,回顾了Schwarzschild和Reissner-Nordström黑洞时空的常平均曲率双曲面喇叭切片的构造。然后,建立了求解固定喇叭初始数据的双曲面适配双曲规范条件的框架,提供了两组特定参数的解。最后,给出了在进化论中对这些初始数据进行测试的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling and numerical analysis for mechanical characterization of soft tissue mechanism applying inverse finite element technique 应用逆有限元技术对软组织机构力学特性进行建模与数值分析
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1064130
M. Mulk, Kazi Nusrat Islam, M. H. A. Biswas
Tissue-mimicking materials [e.g., polyvinyl alcohol cryogel (PVA-C)] are extensively used in clinical applications such as tissue repair and tissue engineering. Various mechanical testing techniques have been used to assess the biomechanical compatibility of tissue-mimicking materials. This article presents the development of inverse finite element (FE) techniques that are solved using numerical optimization to characterize the mechanical properties of PVA-C specimens. In this study, a numerical analysis where the displacement influence factor was employed in conjunction with a linear elastic model of finite thickness was performed. In the analysis, the effects of Poisson's ratio, specimen aspect ratio, and relative indentation depth were investigated, and a novel mathematical term was introduced to Sneddon's equation. In addition, a robust optimization algorithm was developed in MATLAB that utilized FE modeling for parameter estimation before it was rigorously validated.
组织模拟材料[如聚乙烯醇低温凝胶(PVA-C)]广泛用于临床应用,如组织修复和组织工程。各种机械测试技术已被用于评估模拟组织材料的生物力学相容性。本文介绍了反有限元(FE)技术的发展,该技术是用数值优化来表征PVA-C试件的力学性能。在本研究中,将位移影响因素与有限厚度的线性弹性模型结合进行了数值分析。在分析中,研究了泊松比、试件长径比和相对压痕深度的影响,并在Sneddon方程中引入了一个新的数学项。此外,在MATLAB中开发了一种鲁棒优化算法,该算法利用有限元建模进行参数估计,并进行了严格验证。
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引用次数: 0
Structured dynamics of the cell-cycle at multiple scales 多尺度细胞周期的结构动力学
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1090753
A. Hodgkinson, Aisha Tursynkozha, D. Trucu
The eukaryotic cell cycle comprises 4 phases (G1, S, G2, and M) and is an essential component of cellular health, allowing the cell to repair damaged DNA prior to division. Facilitating this processes, p53 is activated by DNA-damage and arrests the cell cycle to allow for the repair of this damage, while mutations in the p53 gene frequently occur in cancer. As such, this process occurs on the cell-scale but affects the organism on the cell population-scale. Here, we present two models of cell cycle progression: The first of these is concerned with the cell-scale process of cell cycle progression and the temporal biochemical processes, driven by cyclins and underlying progression from one phase to the next. The second of these models concerns the cell population-scale process of cell-cycle progression and its arrest under the influence of DNA-damage and p53-activation. Both systems take advantage of structural modeling conventions to develop novels methods for describing and exploring cell-cycle dynamics on these two divergent scales. The cell-scale model represents the accumulations of cyclins across an internal cell space and demonstrates that such a formalism gives rise to a biological clock system, with definite periodicity. The cell population-scale model allows for the exploration of interactions between various regulating proteins and the DNA-damage state of the system and quantitatively demonstrates the structural dynamics which allow p53 to regulate the G2- to M-phase transition and to prevent the mitosis of genetically damaged cells. A divergent periodicity and clear distribution of transition times is observed, as compared with the single-cell system. Comparison to a system with a reduced genetic repair rate shows a greater delay in cell cycle progression and an increased accumulation of cell in the G2-phase, as a result of the p53 biochemical feedback mechanism.
真核细胞周期包括4个阶段(G1、S、G2和M),是细胞健康的重要组成部分,允许细胞在分裂前修复受损的DNA。为了促进这一过程,p53被dna损伤激活,并阻止细胞周期以允许这种损伤的修复,而p53基因的突变经常发生在癌症中。因此,这个过程发生在细胞尺度上,但在细胞群尺度上影响生物体。在这里,我们提出了细胞周期进程的两个模型:第一个模型涉及细胞周期进程的细胞尺度过程和时间生化过程,由周期蛋白驱动,从一个阶段到下一个阶段的潜在进展。这些模型中的第二个涉及细胞群体规模的细胞周期进程及其在dna损伤和p53激活影响下的停滞。这两个系统都利用结构建模惯例来开发描述和探索这两个不同尺度上的细胞周期动力学的新方法。细胞尺度模型代表了周期蛋白在细胞内部空间的积累,并证明了这种形式产生了具有明确周期性的生物钟系统。细胞群体规模模型允许探索各种调节蛋白与系统dna损伤状态之间的相互作用,并定量地展示了允许p53调节G2期到m期转变并防止遗传损伤细胞有丝分裂的结构动力学。与单细胞系统相比,观察到不同的周期性和明显的过渡时间分布。与遗传修复率降低的系统相比,由于p53的生化反馈机制,细胞周期进展延迟更大,g2期细胞积累增加。
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引用次数: 0
Combining finite element space-discretizations with symplectic time-marching schemes for linear Hamiltonian systems 线性哈密顿系统的有限元空间离散与辛时间推进格式的结合
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1165371
Bernardo Cockburn, Shukai Du, M. Sánchez
We provide a short introduction to the devising of a special type of methods for numerically approximating the solution of Hamiltonian partial differential equations. These methods use Galerkin space-discretizations which result in a system of ODEs displaying a discrete version of the Hamiltonian structure of the original system. The resulting system of ODEs is then discretized by a symplectic time-marching method. This combination results in high-order accurate, fully discrete methods which can preserve the invariants of the Hamiltonian defining the ODE system. We restrict our attention to linear Hamiltonian systems, as the main results can be obtained easily and directly, and are applicable to many Hamiltonian systems of practical interest including acoustics, elastodynamics, and electromagnetism. After a brief description of the Hamiltonian systems of our interest, we provide a brief introduction to symplectic time-marching methods for linear systems of ODEs which does not require any background on the subject. We describe then the case in which finite-difference space-discretizations are used and focus on the popular Yee scheme (1966) for electromagnetism. Finally, we consider the case of finite-element space discretizations. The emphasis is placed on the conservation properties of the fully discrete schemes. We end by describing ongoing work.
我们简要介绍了一种特殊类型的方法的设计,用于数值逼近哈密顿偏微分方程的解。这些方法使用Galerkin空间离散化,这导致ODE系统显示原始系统的哈密顿结构的离散版本。然后用辛时间推进法对所得的常微分方程组进行离散化。这种组合产生了高阶精确、完全离散的方法,可以保留定义ODE系统的哈密顿量的不变量。我们将注意力局限于线性哈密顿系统,因为主要结果可以简单直接地获得,并且适用于许多实际感兴趣的哈密顿系统,包括声学、弹性动力学和电磁学。在简要描述了我们感兴趣的哈密顿系统之后,我们简要介绍了常微分方程线性系统的辛时间推进方法,该方法不需要任何背景知识。然后,我们描述了使用有限差分空间离散化的情况,并重点介绍了流行的电磁学Yee格式(1966)。最后,我们考虑了有限元空间离散化的情况。重点讨论了完全离散格式的守恒性质。我们最后描述正在进行的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Shimizu–Morioka's chaos synchronization: An efficacy analysis of active control and backstepping methods 清水-盛冈的混沌同步:主动控制和反推方法的有效性分析
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1100147
Absana Tarammim, M. T. Akter
This research study inspects the effectiveness of synchronization methods such as active control and backstepping control from systematic design procedures of a synchronized Shimizu–Morioka system for the same parameter. It aimed to achieve synchronization between the state variables of two identical Shimizu–Morioka chaotic systems by defining the proposed varieties of the error dynamics coefficient matrix. Furthermore, this study also aimed to designed an active controller that enables the synchronization of these systems. The use of designed recursive backstepping nonlinear controllers was based on the Lyapunov function. Furthermore, it also demonstrated the stability of the synchronization of the nonlinear identical Shimizu–Morioka system. The new virtual state variable and establishment of Lyapunov functionals are used in the backstepping controller to stabilize and reduce errors between the Master (MS)/Drive (DS) systems. For comparison, the complexity of active controllers is verified to be such that the designed controller's effectiveness based on backstepping is attainable in engineering applications. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed synchronization strategy with the Runge–Kutta (RK-4) algorithm of fourth order through MatLab Simulink.
本研究从清水-盛冈同步系统的系统设计过程中检验了相同参数下主动控制和反步控制等同步方法的有效性。它旨在通过定义所提出的误差动力学系数矩阵的变体,实现两个相同清水-盛冈混沌系统的状态变量之间的同步。此外,本研究还旨在设计一种有源控制器,使这些系统能够同步。所设计的递归反推非线性控制器的使用是基于李雅普诺夫函数的。此外,还证明了非线性同型清水-盛冈系统同步的稳定性。在反步控制器中使用了新的虚拟状态变量和Lyapunov泛函的建立来稳定和减少主(MS)/驱动(DS)系统之间的误差。为了进行比较,验证了主动控制器的复杂性,使得基于反步的控制器设计的有效性在工程应用中是可以实现的。最后,通过MatLab Simulink对所提出的四阶Runge–Kutta(RK-4)算法的同步策略进行了数值模拟,验证了其有效性。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
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