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Robust optimization approach for system optimal dynamic traffic assignment with demand uncertainty 需求不确定性下系统最优动态交通分配的鲁棒优化方法
Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2012.663796
C. Lu
This research deals with the path-based system optimal dynamic traffic assignment (SODTA) problem with uncertain demands that are assumed to be bounded by a prescribed uncertainty set. A robust optimization approach is adopted to address this problem. The objective is to minimize the total network travel time under the worst-case scenario defined by a pre-determined demand uncertainty set. We formulate the robust counterpart optimization problem of SODTA for a general uncertainty set and show that solving the robust SODTA problem is not more difficult than solving the deterministic SODTA problem for some specific types of uncertainty set. Moreover, a column generation-based algorithmic framework that embeds a scaled gradient projection algorithm is proposed to solve the SODTA problem. Numerical experiments were conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm and to examine the impact of different types of demand uncertainty set on solution quality.
本文研究了具有不确定需求的基于路径的系统最优动态交通分配(SODTA)问题。采用鲁棒优化方法来解决这一问题。目标是在预先确定的需求不确定性集定义的最坏情况下最小化总网络运行时间。我们提出了一般不确定性集的稳健SODTA对偶优化问题,并证明了对于某些特定类型的不确定性集,求解稳健SODTA问题并不比求解确定性SODTA问题困难。此外,提出了一种基于列生成的嵌入缩放梯度投影算法的算法框架来解决SODTA问题。通过数值实验验证了该算法的有效性,并考察了不同类型的需求不确定性集对求解质量的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Manufacturing intelligence for Hsinchu Science Park semiconductor sales prediction 为新竹科技园制造智能半导体销售预测
Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2012.660200
Chen-Fu Chien, Kuo-Yi Lin
Hsinchu Science Park (HSP) is a high-tech cluster where semiconductor industry plays a decisive role in Taiwan's economy as well as global supply chains. Semiconductor industry is capital intensive, in which capacity utilization significantly affects the capital effectiveness and profitability of semiconductor companies. Thus, demand forecasting provides critical input to support strategic decisions of capacity planning and the associated capital expenditure that require long lead-time. This study aims to predict the sales of semiconductor industry in HSP as a reference signal for supporting the decisions of individual companies and the government to maintain a healthy ecosystem. Empirical data of semiconductor industry in HSP from 1983 to 2010 was collected and analyzed. Furthermore, this study incorporated historical events to adjust the prediction. The results have shown practical viability of this research to support companies to improve the demand forecast as well as to make strategic decisions for semiconductor ecosystem as a whole.
新竹科技园(HSP)是一个高科技集群,半导体产业在台湾经济和全球供应链中起着决定性的作用。半导体产业是资本密集型产业,产能利用率显著影响半导体企业的资本有效性和盈利能力。因此,需求预测为支持需要较长交货期的产能规划和相关资本支出的战略决策提供了关键输入。本研究旨在预测HSP中半导体产业的销售情况,作为支持个别公司和政府决策的参考信号,以维持健康的生态系统。本文收集并分析了1983 ~ 2010年HSP地区半导体产业的实证数据。此外,本研究还纳入了历史事件来调整预测。结果表明,本研究在支持公司改善需求预测以及为整个半导体生态系统做出战略决策方面具有实际可行性。
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引用次数: 4
An EOQ model with immediate return for imperfect items under an announced price increase 一个EOQ模型,在宣布价格上涨的情况下,不完美的物品可以立即退货
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2012.654828
Hong-Fwu Yu, W. Hsu
The main purpose of this article is to investigate an economic ordering quantity model with imperfect quality under an announced price increase. It is assumed that a 100% inspection process is conducted to screen out the defectives contained in the received lot, and the defectives thus screened out will be returned to the vendor immediately. In practice, the mechanism of returning defectives to the vendor immediately may result from the increasingly exerted power of retailers, the need of satisfying strict quality requirement of customers, or the limitation of the storage space of retailers. Besides, the mechanism of immediate return usually indicates a promise of the vendor to his/her customers and is used to highlight the vendor's confidence in his/her products. The optimal ordering policies associated with three kinds of effective times of the price increase are obtained. A numerical example is then provided to illustrate the proposed model. The results indicate that the optimal special ordering quantity and the corresponding saving cost for an increase in price are both increasing with the increment of the price. For any price increase, both of the optimal special ordering quantity and the corresponding saving cost are negatively related to the remnant stock level at the time that the price increase is effective.
本文的主要目的是研究在价格宣布上涨的情况下,质量不完全的经济订货数量模型。假设100%的检验过程将接收到的批次中的不合格品筛除,并将被筛除的不合格品立即退回给供应商。在实践中,不良品立即退货的机制可能是由于零售商的权力越来越大,也可能是满足顾客严格的质量要求的需要,或者是零售商存储空间的限制。此外,即时回报机制通常表明供应商对其客户的承诺,并用于突出供应商对其产品的信心。得到了与三种提价有效时间相关的最优订货策略。最后给出了一个数值例子来说明所提出的模型。结果表明,最优特殊订货量和相应的涨价节约成本都随着价格的增加而增加。对于任何提价,最优特殊订货量和相应的节约成本都与提价有效时的剩余库存水平负相关。
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引用次数: 6
A survey and numerical comparison of factor-free penalty function constraint-handling techniques in genetic algorithms 遗传算法中无因子罚函数约束处理技术的综述与数值比较
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2012.656329
J. Lee, Ping-Teng Chang
Numerous techniques have been proposed for handling almost all kinds of constraints in searching for solutions to constrained optimization problems. Among these methods, penalty function has been the most commonly used approach. However, a drawback of the penalty function method lies in the difficulty of setting adequate penalty factors. Thus, due to the unavailability of appropriate penalty factors, the factor-free penalty function is created to decide penalties directly by the severities of constraint violations, and is expected to capture the distance to feasibility without any user-defined factors. However, although various factor-free penalty functions have been developed, a formal comparison of these functions is short. Therefore, in order to have a clearer picture of the factor-free penalty functions and their performances, this article surveys and compares the factor-free penalty functions proposed in prior literature, and performs a numerical comparison of these (nine) functions by applying the genetic algorithm on a collection of 37 popular test problems.
在寻找约束优化问题的解时,已经提出了许多技术来处理几乎所有类型的约束。在这些方法中,惩罚函数是最常用的方法。然而,惩罚函数法的一个缺点是难以确定适当的惩罚因素。因此,由于没有合适的惩罚因素,因此创建无因素惩罚函数,直接根据违反约束的严重程度来决定处罚,并期望在没有任何用户自定义因素的情况下捕获到可行性的距离。然而,尽管已经开发了各种无因子惩罚函数,但对这些函数的正式比较很短。因此,为了更清晰地了解无因子惩罚函数及其性能,本文对以往文献中提出的无因子惩罚函数进行了调查和比较,并通过对37个流行测试问题的集合应用遗传算法对这9个函数进行了数值比较。
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引用次数: 4
A generic modeling framework for queueing-inventory systems with a single removable server 用于具有单个可移动服务器的排队库存系统的通用建模框架
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2011.653994
Fong-Fan Wang
In this article, we use a quasi-birth-and-death (QBD) modeling approach to model queueing-inventory systems with a single removable server. We consider both finite and infinite queueing capacities. Breakdowns and start-up times are also taken into account. All stochastic times are allowed to be general distributions except for the breakdown intervals, which are assumed to be exponential. The general distributions are approximated by phase type representations, resulting in the matrix-algebraic approach to derive the probability vector of the queue length. Some performance measures of interest are obtained by using both hybrid and standard procedures to solve the proposed QBD models. An optimal control policy based on a two-critical number approach using some convexity properties is proposed and its validity is verified through extensive numeric studies.
在本文中,我们使用准生与死(QBD)建模方法对具有单个可移动服务器的排队库存系统进行建模。我们同时考虑有限和无限的排队能力。故障和启动时间也被考虑在内。所有随机时间都允许是一般分布,除了假定击穿间隔是指数分布。一般分布近似于相位类型表示,导致矩阵-代数方法来导出队列长度的概率向量。通过使用混合和标准程序来求解所提出的QBD模型,获得了一些感兴趣的性能度量。提出了一种基于双临界数方法的最优控制策略,利用一些凸性,并通过大量的数值研究验证了其有效性。
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引用次数: 5
Estimation on the lower confidence limit of the breaking strength percentiles under progressive type-II censoring 渐进式ii型截割下断裂强度百分位数置信下限的估计
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2011.654132
Y. Lio, Tzong-Ru Tsai, Jyun-You Chiang
The breaking strength information of structure components is highly correlated with the safety manufacturing and much concerned by engineers. Components with deficient safety quality will be rejected to rework or discard due to an unsatisfactory level of the lower critical breaking strength percentile. When the breaking strength of components is assumed to have a Burr type-XII distribution, five parametric bootstrap methods are suggested to adjust the bias of the lower confidence limit estimate of the lower percentile with progressive type-II censored samples. The performance of the proposed bootstrap methods is evaluated through an intensive simulation study. Numerical results show that the hybrid bootstrap method and the bias-corrected and accelerated bias-corrected methods perform better with coverage probabilities near the nominal confidence level for almost all the cases considered. An example of the breaking strength data set of aluminum sheets is used for illustration.
结构构件的断裂强度信息与安全制造高度相关,是工程技术人员十分关注的问题。由于较低的临界断裂强度百分位数不能令人满意,安全质量不足的部件将被拒绝返工或丢弃。假设构件的断裂强度具有Burr - xii型分布,提出了5种参数自举方法来调整渐进式ii型截尾样本的下百分位数下置信限估计的偏差。通过深入的仿真研究评估了所提出的自举方法的性能。数值结果表明,在几乎所有考虑的情况下,混合自举法、偏校正法和加速偏校正法在覆盖概率接近名义置信水平时都具有较好的效果。以铝板断裂强度数据集为例进行了说明。
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引用次数: 3
Solving the Economic Lot and Inspection Scheduling Problem using the Extended Basic Period approach under Power-of-Two policy 用延长基本周期法求解2次方策略下的经济批件和检验调度问题
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2012.655783
Ming-Jong Yao, Shih-Chieh Chen, Yu-Jen Chang, T. Tseng
The focus of this study is to solve the Economic Lot and Inspection Scheduling Problem (ELISP) using the Extended Basic Period (EBP) approach under Power-of-Two (PoT) policy. The objective of the ELISP is to determine an optimal cycle time and an optimal production and inspection schedule so as to minimize the total cost per unit time. Under PoT policy, we formulate a mathematical model by taking into account the constraints for both production and inspection capacities. Also, we propose a Hybrid Genetic Algorithm (HGA) which is equipped with a search algorithm that not only seeks to improve solution quality, but also assures a feasible solution for each chromosome obtained from the evolutionary processes. Our numerical experiments show that the proposed HGA effectively solves the ELISP using the EBP approach, and its solutions outperform the solutions from the ELISP using the Common Cycle approach.
本研究的重点是利用延长基本周期(EBP)方法,在2次方(PoT)策略下求解经济批件和检验调度问题(ELISP)。ELISP的目标是确定最优的周期时间和最优的生产和检验计划,以最小化单位时间的总成本。在PoT政策下,考虑生产能力和检验能力的约束,建立了一个数学模型。此外,我们提出了一种混合遗传算法(HGA),该算法配备了一种搜索算法,不仅寻求提高求解质量,而且保证从进化过程中获得的每个染色体都有一个可行的解。数值实验表明,采用EBP方法的HGA有效地解决了ELISP问题,其解优于采用公共循环方法的ELISP解。
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引用次数: 2
Framework of overlapping product development activities to maximize profit 重叠产品开发活动的框架,以实现利润最大化
Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2011.651166
Jack C. P. Su, Yih-Long Chang, J. C. Ho
Managing the overlapping of product development activities effectively is paramount to shortening lead-time; and hence, it is an important issue in new product development and has been widely studied. To the best of our knowledge, the literature has not yet addressed the topic of maximizing the product-development outcome by overlapping. In this article, a dynamic optimal control model is developed to maximize total profit of the product-development project. The closed form solutions are found, from which managerial insights are derived. Using two parameters, namely, evolution speed (slow and fast) and sensitivity (high and low), we create and examine four environments in our study – slow and high (SH), fast and high (FH), slow and low (SL), and fast and low (FL). Findings are obtained and organized into a framework to help with the management of product-development activities. We find that in most difficult environment, SH, the firm should invest in downstream activities lightly; while in the easiest environment, FL, the firm should invest heavily in downstream activities. In environment FH, the firm should postpone the investment in downstream activities to a later stage, start at a lower level, and increase efforts later at a faster pace. On the other hand, in environment SL, the firm should invest earlier, start at a higher level, and increase efforts at a slower pace. Finally, we develop the conditions and scenarios under which the final results and profits will be higher.
有效地管理产品开发活动的重叠对缩短交货期至关重要;因此,它是新产品开发中的一个重要问题,得到了广泛的研究。据我们所知,文献还没有解决通过重叠最大化产品开发结果的主题。本文建立了以产品开发项目总利润最大化为目标的动态最优控制模型。找到封闭形式的解决方案,从中获得管理见解。使用两个参数,即进化速度(慢和快)和灵敏度(高和低),我们在研究中创建并检查了四种环境-慢和高(SH),快和高(FH),慢和低(SL)和快和低(FL)。所得的结果被组织成一个框架,以帮助产品开发活动的管理。研究发现,在最困难的环境下,企业应减少对下游活动的投资;而在最容易的环境中,FL,公司应该大力投资下游活动。在FH环境下,企业应该将下游活动的投资推迟到较晚的阶段,从较低的水平开始,然后以更快的速度增加努力。另一方面,在SL环境中,企业应该更早地投资,从更高的层次开始,以较慢的速度增加努力。最后,我们开发了最终结果和利润更高的条件和场景。
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引用次数: 1
Group acceptance sampling plans for resubmitted lots under Burr-type XII distributions 在Burr-type XII分配下重新提交的批次的组验收抽样计划
Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2011.651165
M. Aslam, C. Jun, Y. Lio, M. Ahmad, Mujahid Rasool
In this article, a group acceptance sampling plan (GASP) for lot resubmitting is developed to ensure the quality of product lifetime assuming that the product lifetime follows the Burr-type XII distribution. The parameters of the GASP are determined by satisfying the specified producer's and consumer's risks according to the experiment termination time and the number of testers. A comparison between the proposed group sampling plan and the ordinary group sampling plan shows that the proposed plan requires less sample size. Two examples are used for illustration.
本文在假定产品寿命遵循burr - XII型分布的前提下,为保证产品寿命的质量,制定了批重提交的组验收抽样计划(GASP)。GASP的参数是根据实验终止时间和测试者的数量,在满足规定的生产者和消费者风险的情况下确定的。将本文提出的分组抽样方案与普通分组抽样方案进行比较,发现本文提出的分组抽样方案所需的样本量更少。这里用了两个例子来说明。
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引用次数: 17
Fatal occupational falls in the Taiwan construction industry 台湾建造业致命工伤事故
Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/10170669.2011.647099
Yen-Hui Lin, Chih-Yong Chen, Tengsheng Wang
This study examined fatal occupational falls in the Taiwan construction industry. Data extracted from 1062 work-related accident reports filed in the years 1996–2007 in annual reports by the Council of Labor Affairs (CLA) were analyzed in terms of gender, age, and work experience of the accident victim as well as activity at the time of the incident, personal protective equipment (PPE) worn at the time of accident, height of the work surface, and other accident-related factors (i.e. time of day, day of week, month of year, accident event, fall height) to identify significant contributing factors. The CLA data showed that roofing work was the activity most commonly associated with fatal falls (128 victims, 12.1%). Approximately, 30% (315 victims) of fatal events were attributed to falls from scaffold or staging. Age differences were also noted in fatality rate, which was highest in workers aged 34–44 years. Additionally, most (218 victims, 20.5%) workers who died were in their first year of employment with their current employer. Further, most (536, 50.4%) victims fell from a height of ≤10 m. Notably, most of the fall victims were not using handrails or safety belts at the time of the accident. These analytical findings provide guidelines for developing inspection strategies and programs for preventing occupational falls in the construction industry.
摘要本研究调查台湾建造业致命职业跌倒事故。从劳工事务委员会(CLA) 1996-2007年年度报告中提交的1062份与工作有关的事故报告中提取的数据,分析了事故受害者的性别、年龄和工作经验,以及事故发生时的活动、事故发生时所穿的个人防护装备、工作台面高度和其他与事故有关的因素(即一天中的时间、星期几、一年中的月份、事故事件、坠落高度)来确定重要的影响因素。CLA的数据显示,屋顶工作是最常与致命跌倒相关的活动(128名受害者,12.1%)。大约30%(315名受害者)的致命事件归因于从脚手架或分期跌落。死亡率也存在年龄差异,34-44岁工人的死亡率最高。此外,大多数死亡工人(218名受害者,20.5%)是在受雇于现任雇主的第一年。此外,大多数受害者(536人,50.4%)是从≤10米的高度坠落的。值得注意的是,大多数坠落的受害者在事故发生时没有使用扶手或安全带。这些分析结果为制定检查策略和计划提供了指导方针,以防止建筑行业的职业跌倒。
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引用次数: 31
期刊
Journal of The Chinese Institute of Industrial Engineers
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