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Contributions to Succession in a Family Business from the Perspective of Global University Entrepreneurial Spirit Students’ Survey (GUESSS) 全球大学生创业精神视角下家族企业传承的贡献(猜测)
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n12p12
Fabiana Pinto de Almeida Bizarria, Flávia Lorenne Sampaio Barbosa, Fagner Martins Santana, Rogeane Morais Ribeiro, Maria do Socorro Silva Mesquita
Relationship between family support and organizational commitment is investigated, in the attitude of succession in a family business, and, this one, in the succession intention. Therefore, the research operationalizes constructs studied by the Global University Entrepreneurial Spirit Students’ Survey, in a survey with 289 university students from the Federal University in Brazil. Structural modeling showed satisfactory adjustment indices to support the seven hypotheses of the study: family support assumes an important explanatory capacity for the variation of affective commitment (R2=38%), as well as of normative commitment (R2=41%); commitment (affective and normative) assumes an important explanatory capacity for the variation in the succession attitude (R2=49%); and, the suggested relationship between the succession attitude and the succession intention (β=0.775; t=22.772, p=0.000), in addition to being supported, demonstrates the greater explanatory capacity of the predictor construct variation (R2=60%). It was concluded, therefore, that prior planning, with actions that mobilize future family members (successors) can result in the achievement of the longevity of these companies.
本文研究了家族企业继承态度与家族企业组织承诺的关系,以及家族企业继承意愿与家族企业组织承诺的关系。因此,本研究运用了“全球大学创业精神学生调查”中对巴西联邦大学289名大学生的调查所研究的结构。结构模型显示了令人满意的调整指标,支持了研究的七个假设:家庭支持对情感承诺(R2=38%)和规范性承诺(R2=41%)的变化具有重要的解释能力;承诺(情感性承诺和规范性承诺)对继任态度的变化具有重要的解释能力(R2=49%);并且,建议的继承态度与继承意向之间的关系(β=0.775;t=22.772, p=0.000),除了得到支持外,还表明预测因子结构变异的解释能力更强(R2=60%)。因此,得出的结论是,事先进行规划,并采取行动动员未来的家庭成员(继承人),可以使这些公司长寿。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Impact of Energy Efficiency Policies: A Scenario Analysis 能源效率政策的经济影响:情景分析
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-15 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n12p1
M. Beccarello, G. D. Foggia
The number of countries that have pledged to uphold the 2050 decarbonization targets is constantly growing, and many have established strategies and planned related investments for the coming years. The economic impact of decarbonization and energy efficiency policies has become a major topic of discussion in the global effort to mitigate climate change and contain the temperature rise to less than 2 degrees. Previous literature has identified the risks and opportunities of decarbonization policies, especially concerning the rebound effects and the situation that may arise if, due to persistent biases and the costs of fulfilling climate policies, industries were to transfer production to countries where laxer emission constraints are in force. At the core of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development is the Sustainable Development Goals, which are a global call for action regardless of countries’ level of economic development. With Goal 12 on sustainable production and consumption and Goal 14 on climate change mitigation in mind, we provide an economic impact analysis of decarbonization and energy efficiency policies. We compare two scenarios based on the Italian context. The reference scenario is a simulation that shows the development of energy-efficient technologies if the targets set in the national energy strategy were to be met without additional binding targets being added. The policy scenario sees energy efficiency as the principal driver of decarbonization in the presence of a national emissions constraint lasting until 2030, as envisaged by the European Commission. The results confirm that certain risks and opportunities arise from effective policymaking. The effects of decarbonization and energy efficiency policies in the reference scenario would increase final demand by approximately €278.34 billion and the policy scenario would increase it by approximately €380.36 billion by 2030.
承诺坚持2050年脱碳目标的国家数量不断增加,许多国家已经制定了未来几年的战略和相关投资计划。脱碳和能源效率政策的经济影响已经成为全球努力减缓气候变化和将气温上升控制在2度以内的主要讨论话题。以前的文献已经确定了脱碳政策的风险和机遇,特别是关于反弹效应和可能出现的情况,如果由于持续的偏见和履行气候政策的成本,工业将生产转移到排放限制较宽松的国家。2030年可持续发展议程的核心是可持续发展目标,这是一项全球行动呼吁,无论各国的经济发展水平如何。考虑到关于可持续生产和消费的目标12和关于减缓气候变化的目标14,我们对脱碳和能源效率政策进行了经济影响分析。我们根据意大利的情况比较两种情况。参考情景是一种模拟,它显示如果要达到国家能源战略中规定的指标而不增加额外的约束性指标,节能技术的发展情况。根据欧盟委员会的设想,在国家排放限制持续到2030年的情况下,政策情景将能源效率视为脱碳的主要驱动力。结果证实,有效的政策制定产生了一定的风险和机遇。参考情景中的脱碳和能源效率政策的影响将使最终需求增加约2783.4亿欧元,到2030年,政策情景将使最终需求增加约3803.6亿欧元。
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引用次数: 5
The Impact of FDI Inflows on Poverty Reduction: Empirical Evidence from Egypt 外国直接投资流入对减贫的影响:来自埃及的经验证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n11p32
Rasha M. Elakkad, A. Hussein
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is a major driver of international economic integration. With the right policy framework, FDI can provide financial stability, promote economic development and enhance the well-being of societies. It is generally considered by many international institutions, politicians and economists, as a factor promoting the economic growth of the recipient/ host country, as well as solving the economic problems of developing countries. This can be achieved through allowing the host country to; improve its competitive position; transfer technology and knowledge between economies; promote its products on a larger scale in international markets. In addition to all these benefits, FDI is considered as an important source of capital for the host country. In the light of this, this paper aims to determine the impact of FDI on poverty in Egypt during the period of 1961 to 2018 using Autoregressive distributive lag model (ARDL) Since there is no single variable that can capture poverty in Egypt, three variables have been used as proxy to poverty which are Household Consumption (POV1), Infant Mortality rate (POV2), and Life Expectancy at birth (POV3). After combining the results, some policy recommendations are proposed to enhance the impact of FDI on poverty reduction in Egypt which in turn affects economic growth.
外国直接投资(FDI)是国际经济一体化的主要推动力。在正确的政策框架下,外国直接投资可以提供金融稳定,促进经济发展,增进社会福祉。它被许多国际机构、政治家和经济学家普遍认为是促进接受国/东道国经济增长和解决发展中国家经济问题的一个因素。这可以通过允许东道国:提高竞争地位;在经济体之间转让技术和知识;在国际市场上更大规模地推广产品。除了所有这些好处之外,外国直接投资被认为是东道国的一个重要资本来源。鉴于此,本文旨在利用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)确定1961年至2018年期间外国直接投资对埃及贫困的影响。由于没有单一变量可以反映埃及的贫困,因此使用三个变量作为贫困的代表,即家庭消费(POV1),婴儿死亡率(POV2)和出生时预期寿命(POV3)。在综合研究结果后,提出了一些政策建议,以增强外国直接投资对埃及减贫的影响,从而影响经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Informality, Trade Facilitation, and Trade Flows: Evidence from Guinea-Bissau 非正式、贸易便利化与贸易流动:来自几内亚比绍的证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n11p21
J. Cateia, L. Savard, Edivo Oliveira de Almeida, William Barbosa
This paper aims to assess the role of informality and trade facilitation on the export probability of Guinea-Bissau. We include informality in the Féchet function, which gives the expression for the country’s supply probability. We find that Guinea-Bissau is about 7.2% less likely to export due to the 1% increase in informality. The export’s probability increases by about 1.7%, 4%, and 1.1% due to a 1% increase in trade facilitation, R&D stock, and year of education. These results are significant at the usual levels. We suggest a development agenda aimed at reducing the level of informality in this country.
本文旨在评估非正式性和贸易便利化对几内亚比绍出口概率的作用。我们将非正式性包含在fsamchet函数中,该函数给出了国家供给概率的表达式。我们发现,由于非正式性增加了1%,几内亚比绍出口的可能性降低了约7.2%。由于贸易便利化、研发存量和受教育年限分别增加1%,出口概率分别增加1.7%、4%和1.1%。这些结果在通常水平上是显著的。我们建议制定一项旨在降低这个国家非正规程度的发展议程。
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引用次数: 0
Value Investing: Evidence From Listed Companies in China’s Banking Industry During the COVID-19 Epidemic 价值投资:新冠肺炎疫情期间中国银行业上市公司的证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-08 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n11p1
Xiuying Qin, Tao Zhu
The purpose of this paper is to explore the influencing factors of return on investment (ROI) from listed companies in China’s banking industry during the COVID-19 epidemic. Based on value investing perspectives, a simple accounting -based fundamental analysis is employed to establish the conceptual framework of this research which aims to discover the relationship between ROI and the historic financial indices documented in financial statements. The results from the empirical analysis shows that average three-year earning per share has a significant positive impact on ROI,while PB and NPL ratios have a significant negative impact on ROI, however, the size of the bank does not have an impact on ROI.
本文旨在探讨新冠肺炎疫情期间中国银行业上市公司投资回报率的影响因素。基于价值投资的观点,本研究采用简单的基于会计的基本分析来建立概念框架,旨在发现投资回报率与财务报表中记录的历史财务指标之间的关系。实证分析结果表明,三年平均每股收益对投资回报率有显著的正向影响,而资产负债率和不良贷款率对投资回报率有显著的负向影响,而银行规模对投资回报率没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of Capital Structure on Growth in Wealth of Investment Groups in Kenya 资本结构对肯尼亚投资集团财富增长的影响
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n10p87
Monicah Nderitu, A. Njeru, E. Waiganjo
Investment groups are formed with the aim of growing and maximizing wealth for the members. However, some have failed making it difficult for them to be sustainable. The main objective of the study is to establish the influence of capital structure on growth in wealth of investment groups in Kenya, and to establish the moderating effect of group size on the relationship between capital structure and the growth in wealth of investment groups in Kenya. The study used cross sectional survey research design. The population of interest was 4020 investment groups registered by Kenya association of Investment groups. Stratified random sampling method was used and 364 investment groups were selected proportionate to the size of the strata. The survey instrument was a questionnaire administered to the group members and their officials. Pilot test was done using 36 respondents who were drawn from target population but not be included in the main study sample. Cronbach alpha was used to test reliability of the instrument, factor analysis was used in the testing of construct validity by considering average variances extracted and squared correlations of the constructs. Analysis of the data was done using descriptive statistics and inferential statistics. Descriptive statistics involved computations measures of central tendency and presented in frequency tables, pie charts and graphical charts. Inferential statistics was done using the multiple regression. Inferential analysis involved fitting of regression models. The regression analysis results obtained from the study show capital structure had a significant influence on growth in wealth. A moderated multiple regression was fitted to test the moderating effect of size on the relationship between capital structure and growth in wealth. The Moderated Multiple regression model results showed that size has a significant influence on the relationship between capital structure and growth in wealth. The findings and conclusions of this study are of significance to the investment groups. They are able to appreciate how growth in wealth of their groups is influenced by the study variables. Based on the findings the management can be able to understand the strategies to be taken in order to improve the growth of the respective investment groups.
投资集团的成立是为了使成员的财富增长和最大化。然而,有些项目失败了,使得它们难以持续发展。本研究的主要目的是建立资本结构对肯尼亚投资集团财富增长的影响,并建立集团规模对资本结构与肯尼亚投资集团财富增长关系的调节作用。本研究采用横断面调查研究设计。研究对象为肯尼亚投资团体协会注册的4020个投资团体。采用分层随机抽样的方法,按地层大小选择364个投资集团。调查工具是发给小组成员及其官员的问卷。从目标人群中抽取36名未被纳入主要研究样本的受访者进行了试点测试。采用Cronbach alpha检验仪器的信度,通过考虑提取的平均方差和构念的平方相关性,采用因子分析检验构念的效度。采用描述性统计和推理统计对数据进行分析。描述性统计包括集中趋势的计算和度量,并以频率表、饼图和图形图表的形式呈现。采用多元回归进行推理统计。推论分析涉及回归模型的拟合。本研究的回归分析结果表明,资本结构对财富增长有显著影响。采用多元回归检验规模对资本结构与财富增长关系的调节作用。适度多元回归模型结果显示,规模对资本结构与财富增长的关系有显著影响。本研究的发现和结论对投资集团具有一定的指导意义。他们能够理解他们所在群体的财富增长是如何受到研究变量的影响的。根据调查结果,管理层可以了解为提高各自投资集团的增长而采取的策略。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of Deindustrialization: Are Countries Converging? 去工业化模式:各国正在趋同吗?
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n10p78
F. Ferretti, M. Mariani, Elena Sarti
During the last decades, the share of manufacturing in aggregate output (and employment) has declined in almost all advanced and emerging economies. In this paper, we investigated the patterns of deindustrialization in a sample of 117 (low-, middle-, and high-income) countries from 1995 to 2018. To this aim, we applied the nonlinear time-varying factor model, initially proposed by Phillips and Sul, to identify potential clubs wherein groups of countries converge toward a similar manufacturing share of GDP. Furthermore, we estimated an ordered logit model to assess the impact of economic globalization and technological revolution on the probability of falling into a particular club. Our results did not provide any support for the hypothesis of global convergence. However, the clustering algorithm successfully identified four strong final clubs, where the share of manufacturing on GDP ranges, on average, from 6% to 18%. Finally, the logit model indicated that as the R&D expenditures and the technological content of manufactured goods increased, so did the likelihood of belonging to a club with a high share of manufacturing value-added on GDP.
在过去的几十年里,几乎所有发达和新兴经济体的制造业在总产出(和就业)中的份额都有所下降。在本文中,我们调查了117个(低、中、高收入)国家1995年至2018年的去工业化模式。为此,我们应用了由Phillips和Sul最初提出的非线性时变因素模型,以确定潜在的俱乐部,其中国家集团向相似的GDP制造业份额趋同。在此基础上,我们利用有序logit模型来评估经济全球化和技术革命对特定俱乐部概率的影响。我们的结果不支持全局收敛的假设。然而,聚类算法成功地确定了四个强大的最终俱乐部,其中制造业占GDP的份额平均在6%到18%之间。最后,logit模型表明,随着研发支出和制成品技术含量的增加,加入制造业增加值占GDP比重高的俱乐部的可能性也会增加。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of the Principal Component Index for Housing Quality Satisfaction on Housing Price: Urban vs. Rural Analysis 住房质量满意度主成分指数对房价的影响:城乡对比分析
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n10p63
Nan-Yu Wang, Jen-Yu Lee, Chih-Jen Huang
The 2015 Questionnaire Survey on Housing Conditions by the Construction and Planning Agency surveyed four categories of satisfactions on housing quality: living convenience, surrounding environmental quality, satisfaction on interior environment, and satisfaction on exterior environment. This study pioneeringly investigates the effect of housing satisfaction on Taiwanese housing price for six municipalities and other rural area. Since the above four survey categories of housing quality are highly overlapping, to avoid variable interaction, we construct an index for housing quality satisfaction using principle component analysis to reduce dimensionality. After controlling the moderation effect of market condition, the results show that residential area, house age, floor location, and number of floors all significantly affect housing price. More importantly, the index for housing quality satisfaction is positively related to housing price, indicating that better housing quality helps in raising housing price. However, the positive relation does not exist in Taipei City or Kaohsiung City. Consistent with previous studies, stress on high housing price may weaken the need for quality consideration, especially the case of Taipei City. Finally, market variation does not lead to difference in the relation between housing quality satisfaction and housing price.
日本建设规划厅2015年《居住条件问卷调查》调查了居住便利度、周边环境质量、室内环境满意度、外部环境满意度四类住房质量满意度。本研究开创性地以六个直辖市及其他农村地区为研究对象,探讨居住满意度对台湾房价的影响。由于上述四类住房质量调查类别高度重叠,为避免变量相互作用,我们采用主成分分析方法构建了住房质量满意度指标,降低了维度。在控制了市场条件的调节作用后,结果表明,住宅面积、房龄、楼层位置和楼层数对房价均有显著影响。更重要的是,住房质量满意度指数与房价正相关,说明更好的住房质量有助于提高房价。而台北市与高雄市则不存在正相关关系。与以往研究一致,强调高房价可能会削弱品质考量的需求,尤其是台北市。最后,市场变动不会导致住房质量满意度与房价关系的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Reflections on Learning from Observational Data 关于从观测数据中学习的思考
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-18 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n10p56
Caleb Piche-Larocque, Joseph Findlay, Akhter Faroque
The social sciences study various aspects of human behaviour – social, economic and political – based on observational data. Observational data are inaccurate and subject to simultaneity, seasonality, structural breaks, random variation and too many interlocking variables masking the underlying causal patterns. During the past two decades or so, the use experimental data (RCTs) has become widely popular across the social sciences, creating a tension between the supporters and critics of the new and the old methodologies. In this paper, we first review these methodologies, both observational and experimental, focusing on how economists and other social scientists try to learn about the underlying causal relationships from the correlations contained in the data. We then reflect on whether the new or the old methodologies should be the way forward from a purely statistical and a broader policy and development perspectives.
社会科学基于观测数据研究人类行为的各个方面——社会、经济和政治。观测数据是不准确的,并受到同时性、季节性、结构断裂、随机变化和太多连锁变量的影响,这些变量掩盖了潜在的因果模式。在过去二十年左右的时间里,使用实验数据(rct)在社会科学领域广泛流行,在新旧方法的支持者和批评者之间产生了紧张关系。在本文中,我们首先回顾了这些方法,包括观察和实验,重点关注经济学家和其他社会科学家如何试图从数据中包含的相关性中了解潜在的因果关系。然后,我们从纯粹的统计和更广泛的政策和发展的角度考虑新的或旧的方法是否应该是前进的方向。
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引用次数: 0
History Repeats Itself: Too Big to Fail as a Pedagogical Tool 历史重演:作为教学工具的大而不倒
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v14n10p46
Ronald L. Moy, T. E. Pactwa, R. Terregrossa
The HBO movie Too Big to Fail, based on the book by Andrew Ross Sorkin, represents a video case study of the 2008 financial crisis. The passage of time allows instructors a unique opportunity to engage students in a significant historical event that they lived through and where the impact can still be felt on the economy. It also allows us to debate policy responses to the 2020 global pandemic that may be attributed to lessons learned from the 2008 financial crisis. We also provide suggestions on using the video in the classroom and a unique approach for maintaining student engagement while viewing the video.
根据安德鲁·罗斯·索尔金的书改编的HBO电影《大而不倒》是对2008年金融危机的视频案例研究。时间的流逝为教师提供了一个独特的机会,让学生参与到他们所经历的重大历史事件中,以及这些事件对经济的影响仍然可以感受到。它还使我们能够就应对2020年全球大流行病的政策进行辩论,这可能归因于2008年金融危机的教训。我们还提供了在课堂上使用视频的建议,以及在观看视频时保持学生参与度的独特方法。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies
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