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Characteristics of Kim Jong-un’s leadership: analyzing the tone of official North Korean media 从朝鲜官方媒体的语气看金正恩领导的特点
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1752425
Atsuhito Isozaki
ABSTRACT This paper describes the characteristics of Kim Jong-un’s leadership primarily through the analysis of the tone observed in Rodong Sinmun, the official organ of the Central Committee of the Workers’ Party of Korea (WPK). It has described five characteristics of the Kim Jong-un administration. The first characteristic is preference for fast-paced action. While there are considerable overlaps with previous studies, it is possible to clearly identify aspects that are different from the Kim Jong-il administration. The second characteristic is Kim Jong-un’s tendency toward pragmatism. He has repeatedly criticized “formalism” during his field inspections. Third, a new tendency to place greater importance on the policy-making process has become apparent. In addition to the plenary sessions of the Central Committee, meetings of the WPK Politburo Presidium, and Central Military Commission of the WPK are now convened, albeit irregularly. Fourth, obsession with certain specific issues is also characteristic of Kim Jong-un. His areas of concern are apparent from his works and from reports on his activities. These include science and technology, education, children, households, and families, the ilkun [executive staffs], buildings, vehicles, the air force, physical education, the Internet, and diversification of foreign trade. Lastly, the shift away from Songun is evident. The Kim Jong-un has increasingly distanced itself from the army-first Songun politics that symbolized the Kim Jong-il period. Kim Jong-un no longer mentions Songun. The National Defence Commission, which was the command center for the Songun system, was disbanded by an amendment to the Constitution.
摘要本文主要通过分析朝鲜劳动党中央委员会的官方机构《劳动新闻》的语气,来描述金正恩的领导特点。它描述了金正恩政府的五个特点。第一个特点是喜欢快节奏的动作。虽然与之前的研究有相当大的重叠,但可以清楚地确定与金正日政府不同的方面。第二个特点是金正恩的实用主义倾向。他在实地考察中多次批评“形式主义”。第三,更加重视决策过程的新趋势已经显现。除了中央委员会全体会议之外,现在还召开了劳动党政治局主席团和中央军事委员会的会议,尽管不定期。第四,对某些具体问题的痴迷也是金正恩的特点。从他的作品和有关他的活动的报道中可以明显看出他关注的领域。其中包括科技、教育、儿童、家庭和家庭、ilkun(行政人员)、建筑、车辆、空军、体育、互联网和外贸多样化。最后,离开松贡的转变是显而易见的。金正恩越来越远离象征金正日时期的先军先军政治。金正恩不再提及宋恩。国防委员会是松贡系统的指挥中心,因宪法修正案而解散。
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引用次数: 1
Religion and Nationalism in southeast Asia 东南亚的宗教与民族主义
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1726555
Naomi W. Nishi
In May 2017, the establishment of a wilayat (province) by militants who pledged allegiance to ISIS shook not only the Philippines and its neighbors but also the rest of the world. The Merdeka Cente...
2017年5月,宣誓效忠ISIS的武装分子建立了一个省,这不仅震惊了菲律宾及其邻国,也震惊了世界其他地区。Merdeka Cente。。。
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引用次数: 2
Four factors in the “special relationship” between China and North Korea: a framework for analyzing the China–North Korea Relationship under Xi Jinping and Kim Jong-un
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1754998
M. Hoshino, Shunji Hiraiwa
ABSTRACT Background Analyzing North Korea is essential for examining international relations in East Asia as a whole, but North Korea’s tight control over information makes this difficult. Another factor complicating analysis of North Korea is its “special relationship” with China. Purpose The aim of this paper is to examine four factors contributing to the “special relationship” between China and North Korea, how that relationship came about, and how it functions within the context of international politics today. Main Argument This paper is a structural analysis of China–North Korea relations that describes four factors behind their “special relationship.” It continues by analyzing China–North Korea relations under Xi Jinping and Kim Jong-un up to the deployment of THAAD in South Korea. Conclusion The “special relationship” between China and North Korea is based on four factors. What is distinctive about these factors is that they can bring the two sides together but also push them apart. In terms of national security issues, the force bringing them together has ultimately prevailed. Socialist ideology issues have surfaced much less frequently now and have lost their capacity to both bring the two together and push them apart. In the area of traditional ties, the two leaders are attempting to use their personal relationship to have closer relations, but this is not having much lasting effect. Where economic relations are concerned, Beijing and Pyongyang have become even more dependent on each other and this is a strong force pushing them closer together.
背景分析朝鲜对整个东亚的国际关系至关重要,但朝鲜对信息的严格控制使这一点变得困难。另一个使分析朝鲜复杂化的因素是它与中国的“特殊关系”。目的本文的目的是考察促成中朝“特殊关系”的四个因素,这种关系是如何产生的,以及它在当今国际政治背景下是如何发挥作用的。 结论中朝之间的“特殊关系”是由四个因素构成的。这些因素的独特之处在于,它们可以将双方团结在一起,但也会将双方分开。在国家安全问题上,将它们结合在一起的力量最终占了上风。社会主义意识形态问题现在出现的频率要低得多,已经失去了将两者结合在一起并将其分开的能力。在传统关系领域,两位领导人正试图利用他们的私人关系来建立更密切的关系,但这并没有产生太大的持久影响。就经济关系而言,北京和平壤变得更加相互依赖,这是一股强大的力量,推动他们更加紧密地联系在一起。
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引用次数: 8
Window of opportunity for a New Détente: “Tight Link Strategy” of Moon Jae- in Administration and ROK–DPRK–US triangle 新缓和的机会之窗:文在寅政府与韩朝美三角关系的“紧密联系战略”
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1760430
Kyungwon Choi
ABSTRACT Regarding North Korea’s denuclearization and peace-building on the Korean Peninsula, South-North Korean dialogues used to be secondary to the United States (US) and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea(DPRK) negotiations. There were frictions between the two. However, this situation changed on the road to the US-DPRK summits in Singapore on June 12, 2018, and in Hanoi on February 26, 2019. From the perspective of a “détente as a policy,” this paper will define the Moon Jae-in administration’s policy as a “Tight Link Strategy” and examine how South Korea was trying to connect the South-North Korean dialogue and the US-DPRK negotiations tightly. The “Tight Link Strategy” has two aspects: one is that it made a new way to a “Fourth Détente” on the Korean Peninsular. Through this strategy, President Moon Jae-in was able to cooperate with Chairman Kim Jong-un for an integrated policy to obtain concrete results on denuclearization and peace-building at the US-DPRK summit. The other aspect is that the “Tight Link Strategy” contained a risk: if US-DPRK negotiation stagnates, the progress in the South-North Korean dialogue will become difficult as well. This risk became a reality after the failure of the US-DPRK summit in Hanoi and caused the stagnation of South-North Korean relations. The Moon Jae-in administration will probably try to change its “Tight Link Strategy” policy. South Korea is now trying to expand its policy space toward North Korea by promoting individual tourism to North Korea, and the railway-road connection project between South and North Korea. At the same time, he will have to avoid possible friction with the United States for policy coordination toward North Korea and use a “Loose Link” between South-North Korean dialogues and US-DPRK negotiations.
在朝鲜半岛无核化与和平建设问题上,朝韩对话一度次于美朝谈判。两人之间有摩擦。然而,在2018年6月12日在新加坡和2019年2月26日在河内举行的美朝首脑会晤的道路上,这种情况发生了变化。本文将从“作为一种政策”的角度,将文在寅政府的政策定义为“紧密联系战略”,并分析韩国是如何将南北对话与美朝谈判紧密联系起来的。“紧密联系战略”有两个方面:一是开辟了朝鲜半岛“第四次转型”的新途径。通过这一战略,文在寅总统得以与金正恩委员长合作,制定了一项综合政策,在美朝首脑会晤上就无核化与和平建设取得具体成果。另一方面,“紧密联系战略”存在风险:如果美朝谈判停滞不前,南北对话的进展也会变得困难。这一风险在河内美朝首脑会晤失败后成为现实,并导致了南北关系的停滞。文在寅政府可能会尝试改变“紧密联系战略”。目前,韩国政府正在推进对朝个人旅游、南北铁路连接事业等,试图扩大对朝政策空间。与此同时,在对朝政策协调上,他必须避免与美国发生摩擦,并利用南北对话与美朝谈判之间的“松散联系”。
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引用次数: 0
China’s governance model and system in transition 转型中的中国治理模式和体制
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1744229
Z. Bai, Juan Liu
ABSTRACT Background The modernization of China’s system and capacity for governance that China has promoted in recent years could be understood as China trying to reform its state governance. Purpose This article investigates the characteristics of the basic structure of China’s state governance model since the reform and opening up. Main Argument China’s governance model is a dual structure model that can be observed in its organization, decentralization, value and efficiency systems. At the same time, this reform, marked by the reform of Party and state institutions, establishes a party-centered state governance system and structure; that is, the adjustment of the relationship between politics and administration, promotes the construction of the state governance system of party centralism. Conclusion Based on ongoing reform activities, the essence of China’s current governance reform is a more comprehensive revision of China’s governance model since the reform and opening up.
摘要背景中国近年来推进的治理体系和治理能力现代化,可以理解为中国正在努力改革国家治理。目的探讨改革开放以来中国国家治理模式的基本结构特征。主论点中国的治理模式是一种双重结构模式,可以从组织、权力下放、价值和效率体系中观察到。同时,这项以党和国家机构改革为标志的改革,建立了以党为中心的国家治理体系和治理结构;即政治与行政关系的调整,促进了党中央集权的国家治理体系的建设。结论基于正在进行的改革活动,中国当前治理改革的实质是对改革开放以来中国治理模式的更全面的修订。
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引用次数: 6
Constructing dynamic security governance: institutional peace through multilateralism in the Asia Pacific 构建动态安全治理:亚太多边主义的制度性和平
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1675240
Kai He
ABSTRACT The world is experiencing a dramatic transformation. Many security challenges, from territorial disputes to climate change, are threatening political stability and economic prosperity in the world. One interesting puzzle in the Asia Pacific is the so-called “Asian exceptional peace” phenomenon, i.e. there has been no military conflict in the Asia Pacific since 1979. By engaging the debate over the “Asian exceptional peace” puzzle, I introduce an “institutional peace” argument, which suggests that Asian countries have constructed an institutional framework of “dynamic security governance” to manage three types of security challenges in the region. I also discuss three future challenges as well as how to sustain this “institutional peace” in the Asia Pacific.
摘要世界正在经历一场戏剧性的变革。从领土争端到气候变化,许多安全挑战正在威胁世界的政治稳定和经济繁荣。亚太地区的一个有趣的谜题是所谓的“亚洲异常和平”现象,即自1979年以来,亚太地区没有发生过军事冲突。通过参与关于“亚洲特殊和平”之谜的辩论,我引入了一个“制度和平”论点,该论点表明亚洲国家已经构建了一种“动态安全治理”的制度框架,以应对该地区的三种类型的安全挑战。我还讨论了未来的三个挑战,以及如何在亚太地区维持这种“体制和平”。
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引用次数: 3
ASEAN centrality under threat – the cases of RCEP and connectivity 东盟中心地位受到威胁——以RCEP和互联互通为例
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1691703
L. Mueller
ABSTRACT This contribution takes stock of ASEAN centrality in trade and the emerging policy area of trade infrastructure, also known as connectivity. ASEAN centrality in the East Asian and Indo-Pacific regions has increasingly been called into question, but most studies have failed to specify what ASEAN centrality is and how it can be measured. Outlining both a technical and a substantial definition, this study presents the state of affairs and current trends of ASEAN centrality in the areas of trade and connectivity. Disaggregating the concept, the paper assesses ASEAN’s role in the two policy areas as a leader, convener, convenience, and necessity. ASEAN’s central position in trade is under threat due to a changing environment, with trade ties increasing between ASEAN’s partners. In addition, ASEAN leadership in the RCEP negotiations has been symbolic rather than substantial. In connectivity, ASEAN centrality is even more questionable. Its regional connectivity vision is contested by other states and relationships act as conduits for the exercise of power.
摘要:这一贡献评估了东盟在贸易和新兴贸易基础设施政策领域(也称为互联互通)中的中心地位。东盟在东亚和印太地区的中心地位越来越受到质疑,但大多数研究都未能具体说明东盟的中心地位是什么以及如何衡量。本研究概述了技术性和实质性的定义,介绍了东盟在贸易和互联互通领域的中心地位的现状和当前趋势。将这一概念分解,本文评估了东盟在这两个政策领域中作为领导者、召集者、便利性和必要性的作用。由于环境的变化,东盟在贸易中的中心地位受到威胁,东盟伙伴之间的贸易关系日益密切。此外,东盟在RCEP谈判中的领导地位是象征性的,而不是实质性的。在互联互通方面,东盟的中心地位更值得怀疑。其区域连通性愿景受到其他国家的质疑,而这种关系是行使权力的渠道。
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引用次数: 16
Reisenki Nikkan Anzenhosho Kankei No Keisei [Formation of the Japan-South Korea security relationship during the Cold War] Reisenki Nikkan Anzenhosho Kankei No Keisei[冷战期间日韩安全关系的形成]
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1695306
Haruka Matsuda
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引用次数: 0
Does regionalization promote regionalism? Evidence from East Asia 区域化是否促进了区域主义?来自东亚的证据
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1693944
Hiroyuki Hoshiro
ABSTRACT Scholars generally agree that regionalization and regionalism are different phenomena; however, unresolved arguments remain as to whether there is a causal relationship between the two. In particular, whether or not regionalization promotes regionalism is a subject of debate. This paper aims to comprehensively clarify and explain the relationship between regionalization as embodied in trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) and regionalism as characterized by preferential trade agreements (PTAs) using event history analyses of East Asian economic data from 1985 to 2018. The paper concludes that although a positive and significant relationship exists between FDI and some types of PTAs, trade has no relationship with the latter. This conclusion challenges extant literature, which has argued that an increase in PTAs in East Asia (the outcome of regionalism) is the consequence of economic interdependence (regionalization). Moreover, these findings indicate that political factors such as territorial disputes and joint democracy negatively affect certain types of PTAs. This result is contrary to the conventional wisdom that predicts increased cooperation and lower tariffs between democracies and therefore suggests further investigations of the determinants of PTAs.
学者们普遍认为,区域化和区域主义是不同的现象;然而,关于两者之间是否存在因果关系的争论仍未解决。特别是,区域化是否促进区域主义是一个争论的主题。本文旨在通过对1985年至2018年东亚经济数据的事件历史分析,全面阐明和解释以贸易和外国直接投资为代表的区域化与以优惠贸易协定为特征的区域主义之间的关系。文章的结论是,尽管外国直接投资与某些类型的自由贸易协定之间存在着积极而显著的关系,但贸易与后者没有关系。这一结论对现有文献提出了质疑,现有文献认为,东亚PTA的增加(区域主义的结果)是经济相互依存(区域化)的结果。此外,这些调查结果表明,领土争端和联合民主等政治因素对某些类型的PTA产生了负面影响。这一结果与传统观点相反,传统观点预测民主国家之间的合作会增加,关税会降低,因此建议对PTA的决定因素进行进一步调查。
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引用次数: 1
Further development of Asian regionalism: institutional hedging in an uncertain era 亚洲地区主义的进一步发展:不确定时代的制度对冲
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1688905
Mie Oba
ABSTRACT Currently, the confrontation between two global giants, the United States and China, in trade and technology advancement and hegemony in international politics is escalating. The possibility of a Sino-U.S. economic “war,” or the so-called “new Cold War,” not only indicates the escalation of this confrontation but also symptomizes the international order’s transformation as a result of the change in power balance and rise of a challenger against the existing United States–led international liberal order. Most IR specialists focus on the prospects of this confrontation and its uncertain worldwide circumstances and are concerned about its impact on East Asian/Asia Pacific regional circumstances. Among them, prospects regarding regionalism and regional institutions in Asia seem pessimistic. However, Asian regionalism was activated following the decline in United States’ power and rise of China as a global power, and the international liberal order’s retreat became visible toward the end of the 2000s. Furthermore, even under the uncertain situations created by the Sino-U.S. confrontation, regional powers, including China, Japan, and the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), are promoting their multilateral approach by proposing and advancing various regional frameworks. This indicates that each regional power is adopting the “institutional hedging” strategy to ensure that their individual interests are satisfied and the regional order is comfortable for themselves. This paper verifies that regionalism and regional institutions have become important as measures of regional power for countries’ institutional hedging strategies to overcome the challenges posed by the beginning of regional uncertainties and that Asian regionalism is more active today than ever before.
当前,中美两大全球巨头在贸易、科技进步和国际政治霸权方面的对抗不断升级。中美经贸合作的可能性。经济“战争”或所谓的“新冷战”,不仅表明了这种对抗的升级,而且体现了国际秩序的转变,这是由于力量平衡的变化和对美国主导的现有国际自由秩序的挑战者的崛起。大多数国际关系专家关注这种对抗的前景及其不确定的全球环境,并关注其对东亚/亚太地区环境的影响。其中,有关地区主义和亚洲地区机构的前景显得悲观。然而,随着美国实力的衰落和中国作为全球大国的崛起,亚洲地区主义被激活,国际自由主义秩序的退步在2000年代末开始显现。此外,即使在中美关系不确定的情况下。与此同时,中国、日本、东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)等地区大国通过提出和推进各种地区框架,积极推进多边主义。这表明,各地区大国都在采取“制度对冲”策略,以确保自身利益得到满足和地区秩序的舒适。本文验证了区域主义和区域制度作为衡量区域实力的重要手段,对于各国克服区域不确定性开始带来的挑战所采取的制度对冲策略具有重要意义,并且验证了今天亚洲区域主义比以往任何时候都更加活跃。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies
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