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Why is ASEAN not intrusive? Non-interference meets state strength 为什么东盟不介入?无干扰满足状态强度
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1681652
Sanae Suzuki
ABSTRACT Background: ASEAN is characterized as a non-intrusive regional organization. It has been argued that noninterference principle was prioritized over democracy and human rights because of undemocratic regimes in some member states and the success of its “ASEAN Way” of diplomacy. Purpose: This article demonstrates that such arguments, although dominant in the literature, struggle to explain the ASEAN experience. It will argue that, fundamentally, ASEAN remains non-intrusive because its member states share an understanding that domestic issues should be managed domestically, since the members have sufficient capability to do so. This common understanding enables each of them to avoid relying on ASEAN institutions. Main Argument: Taking non-traditional security issues as cases, this article argues that the noninterference principle has been maintained via this shared understanding. This argument might seem to be inconsistent with the moments when member states sometimes advocate for an intrusive ASEAN. It is not. Rather, such requests are made when doing so is line with the states’ own interests, but such advocacy does not lead to changes in the basic ASEAN approach because the members retain their shared understanding that domestic issues should be managed domestically. Conclusion: Members facing a domestic challenge with potential spillover effects persuade the organization that they have enough state strength to manage the challenge internally. All members are ready to be persuaded from their shared understanding that they can rely on state strength to solve domestic issues. To date, however, members have successfully convinced one another that domestic capabilities are sufficient to address the issues under discussion.
背景:东盟是一个非侵入性的区域组织。有人认为,不干涉原则优先于民主主义和人权,是因为一些成员国的不民主政权和“东盟方式”外交的成功。目的:本文表明,这些论点虽然在文献中占主导地位,但难以解释东盟的经验。它将辩称,从根本上说,东盟仍然是非干涉性的,因为其成员国都认为,国内问题应该在国内解决,因为成员国有足够的能力这样做。这种共识使他们每个人都能避免依赖东盟机构。主要论点:本文以非传统安全问题为例,认为不干涉原则是通过这种共识得以维持的。这一论点似乎与成员国有时主张东盟干预的时刻不一致。事实并非如此。相反,这样的要求是在符合各国自身利益的情况下提出的,但这种主张不会导致东盟基本做法的改变,因为成员国仍然认为国内问题应该在国内解决。结论:面对具有潜在溢出效应的国内挑战的成员说服组织,他们有足够的国家实力在内部应对挑战。所有成员国都已做好准备,相信他们可以依靠国家力量来解决国内问题。然而,到目前为止,各成员国已成功地使彼此相信,国内能力足以解决正在讨论的问题。
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引用次数: 11
Nihon no Gensiryoku Gaiko [Japan’s nuclear diplomacy: a resource-poor country’s 70 years of struggle] 日本核外交:一个资源匮乏的国家70年的斗争
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1675236
Shingo Tanaka
The objective of Prof. Takeda’s new book is to describe the history of the Japanese peaceful use of nuclear energy. Although many other books with the same objective have been published since the meltdown of Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, his book is distinctive because of two perspectives; the focus on Japanese diplomacy and comprehensiveness covering not only the history of peaceful use but the related history such as disarmament and non-proliferation of nuclear weapons. In Japan, the most important book in this field has been Yoshioka’s work. As the main focus of Yoshioka was understanding the Japanese domestic structure for developing of nuclear energy, Takeda’s book is another pillar of this field. In the introduction, Takeda gives a brief history of the discovery of nuclear energy and explains technical terms such as nuclear reactors and nuclear materials. With these explanations, even readers who are not familiar with the topic of peaceful use can read this book without difficulty. Chapter 1 outlines the Japanese history related to nuclear energy up to 1954, including the massive impact of the Lucky Dragon incident. This incident made Japan a three-time victim of nuclear weapons, and Japanese citizens began to feel anxious about nuclear energy itself. Japanese congressmen such as Yasuhiro Nakasone, future Japanese prime minister, planned to overwhelm those negative attitudes through cooperation with the U.S. This idea resulted in a bilateral agreement to the preliminary research of nuclear energy in 1955, and this agreement was expanded to operate a nuclear power reactor in 1958. As Takeda points out, this agreement established Japanese principles for developing nuclear energy; importing advanced technology and rushing for being a major state of peaceful use. In chapter 2, Takeda describes that the French nuclear experiments in 1960 and the Chinese experiments in 1964 made the U.S. increasingly concern about the proliferation of nuclear weapons. Thus, Japan was forced to consider whether Japan should participate in the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Takeda suggests that Japan finally decided to be an original signatory for several reasons in 1970. First, Japan succeeded in inserting a provision about holding review conferences every 5 years. Second, Japan also succeeded to revise the bilateral agreement of 1958 to enable Japan to import more nuclear fuel. Third, the U.S. assured Japan about a so-called “nuclear umbrella.” The first half of chapter 3 covers the Japanese process of NPT ratification. According to Takeda, after clarifying a safeguarding procedure required by the NPT would not be an obstacle for the peaceful use, the Japanese government decided to ratify the NPT in 1976. In addition, Takeda mentions that even by the incident of the Japanese nuclear-powered ship “Mutsu,” which led some Japanese people to establish public movements against nuclear power plants, Japan never changed its goal of becoming a
武田教授新书的目的是描述日本和平利用核能的历史。尽管自福岛核电站熔毁以来,已经出版了许多其他具有相同目标的书,但他的书之所以与众不同,是因为有两个视角;对日本外交的关注和全面性,不仅涵盖和平利用的历史,而且涵盖裁军和不扩散核武器等相关历史。在日本,这一领域最重要的书籍是吉冈的作品。由于吉冈的主要关注点是了解日本国内发展核能的结构,武田的书是这一领域的另一个支柱。在引言中,武田简要介绍了核能的发现历史,并解释了核反应堆和核材料等技术术语。有了这些解释,即使是不熟悉和平利用主题的读者也可以毫无困难地阅读这本书。第一章概述了日本直到1954年与核能有关的历史,包括幸运龙事件的巨大影响。这一事件使日本三次成为核武器的受害者,日本公民开始对核能本身感到焦虑。日本国会议员,如未来的日本首相中曾根康弘,计划通过与美国的合作来克服这些消极态度。1955年,这一想法促成了一项关于核能初步研究的双边协议,1958年,该协议扩大到运行核反应堆。正如武田指出的那样,该协议确立了日本发展核能的原则;进口先进技术,争取成为主要的和平利用国。在第二章中,武田描述了法国1960年的核实验和中国1964年的核试验使美国越来越担心核武器的扩散。因此,日本不得不考虑日本是否应该参加《不扩散核武器条约》(《不扩散条约》)。武田认为,日本在1970年出于几个原因最终决定成为最初的签署国。首先,日本成功地插入了关于每5年举行一次审查会议的规定。其次,日本还成功地修改了1958年的双边协议,使日本能够进口更多的核燃料。第三,美国向日本保证建立所谓的“核保护伞”。第三章的前半部分介绍了日本批准《不扩散条约》的过程。武田表示,在明确《不扩散条约》要求的保障程序不会成为和平利用的障碍后,日本政府于1976年决定批准《不扩散核武器条约》。此外,武田还提到,即使日本核动力船“木须”号事件导致一些日本人发起反对核电站的公众运动,日本也从未改变其成为主要和平利用国的目标。为了实现这一目标,日本寻求与其他国家合作。评论家非常感兴趣的是,尽管日本试图寻找另一家浓缩铀供应商,这让美国感到愤怒,但日本成功地与欧洲国家合作制定了乏燃料再处理计划。本章后半部分指出,印度1974年的试验加剧了美国对核扩散的担忧,美国开始建立出口管制制度。武田提到,日本被允许作为供应商集团加入这一制度
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引用次数: 0
Joint development in the South China sea: China’s incentives and policy choices 南海联合开发:中国的激励和政策选择
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1685427
Huaigao Qi
ABSTRACT Since 2017, China has actively proposed a number of joint development schemes in the South China Sea (SCS), namely with the Philippines and Vietnam. Both economic and strategic incentives lie behind China’s development of these schemes. China’s economic incentives include its domestic demand for energy, “21st Century Maritime Silk Road” construction, Hainan the pilot free trade zone construction, construction of a common market and the future economic integration among the SCS coastal States. China’s strategic incentives include achieving its goal of becoming a leading maritime power, playing its constructive role in maintaining a peaceful and stable SCS, developing good relations with other coastal States, and reducing the intensity of China-U.S. competition in the SCS. China’s policy choices on the SCS joint development are as follows: first, to promote good faith in the SCS; second, to limit unilateral activities in disputed areas; third, to focus on less sensitive areas of the SCS; fourth, to reach joint development arrangements by establishing relevant working mechanism; fifth, to begin the process in areas where there are only two claimants; sixth, to define sea areas for the joint development by seeking consensus; seventh, to discuss the feasibility of setting up a Spratly Resource Management Authority (SRMA) with supranational character.
摘要自2017年以来,中国积极提出了与菲律宾和越南在南海的多项联合开发方案。中国发展这些计划的背后既有经济动机,也有战略动机。中国的经济激励措施包括国内能源需求、“21世纪海上丝绸之路”建设、海南自由贸易试验区建设、共同市场建设以及南海沿岸国未来的经济一体化。中国的战略激励包括实现成为海洋强国的目标,为维护南海和平稳定发挥建设性作用,发展与其他沿海国家的良好关系,以及降低中美在南海的竞争强度。中国对南海合作开发的政策选择是:一是促进南海诚信;第二,限制在有争议地区的单方面活动;第三,将重点放在SCS不太敏感的领域;四是通过建立相关工作机制,达成共同发展安排;第五,在只有两个索赔人的地区开始这一进程;第六,通过寻求共识来界定共同开发的海域;第七,探讨建立具有超国家性质的斯普拉特利资源管理局(SRMA)的可行性。
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引用次数: 7
Drastic demographic and social change in East Asia: analysis of the population censuses 东亚急剧的人口和社会变化:人口普查分析
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1630942
Zhan Jin
technological advancements related to the peaceful use.” To the reviewer, this ambiguous definition poses some fundamental questions; why does Japan stick to the peaceful use? Moreover, what is the relationship between the Japanese nuclear diplomacy and diplomacy in other fields? In addition to the above questions, the subtitle of this book is also ambiguous. The reviewer did not understand what diplomatic struggle Japan has experienced. Certainly, the chapter dealing with the 1970s and 1980s discusses the Japanese struggle and strenuous negotiation with the U.S. However, in other chapters, domestic efforts of establishing fuel cycle have been described as struggle (e.g., page 177). Thus, the reviewer thinks that Takeda should have made diplomatic struggles in other periods more explicit, as this book focuses on diplomacy. However, these negative points, such as its lengthiness and ambiguousness are minor overall. As Takeda aims to shed light on history itself, it can be said that those are inevitable side effects. Rather, this book, including vast information and covering long periods, offers the correct and essential knowledge about the topics which each reader wants to know. This is exactly Takeda’s intention, and therefore I recommend this book for everyone.
与和平利用有关的技术进步。”对审稿人来说,这个模糊的定义提出了一些基本问题;为什么日本坚持和平利用?此外,日本的核外交与其他领域的外交又是怎样的关系?除了上述问题之外,这本书的副标题也是模棱两可的。评论者不理解日本经历了怎样的外交斗争。当然,关于20世纪70年代和80年代的章节讨论了日本的斗争和与美国的艰苦谈判。然而,在其他章节中,国内建立燃料循环的努力被描述为斗争(例如,第177页)。因此,评论家认为武田应该把其他时期的外交斗争写得更明确,因为这本书的重点是外交。然而,这些缺点,如它的长度和模糊性总体上是次要的。武田的目标是揭示历史本身,可以说这些都是不可避免的副作用。相反,这本书包含了大量的信息,涵盖了很长的时间,提供了每个读者想知道的关于主题的正确和基本的知识。这正是武田的意图,因此我向大家推荐这本书。
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引用次数: 2
Unknotting the heart: unemployment and therapeutic governance in China 解开心结:中国的失业和治疗性治理
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1613041
Pei‐Yi Liu
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引用次数: 1
The Senkaku Islands Dispute: Four Reasons of the Chinese Offensive - A Japanese View 尖阁诸岛争端:中国进攻的四个原因——日本观点
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1626567
Koichi Sato
ABSTRACT This article introduced China’s four reasons of offensive to the Senkaku Islands: the first reason China’s natural resources demand; the second reason historical issues with Japan that have some relationship to Chinese people’s wartime memories; the third reason the Senkaku Islands Dispute as a tool of Chinese Communist Party (CCP)’s internal power struggle; the fourth reason the Senkaku Islands Dispute as a tool of CCP for China’s national integration. Some reasons of Chinese offensive have been intertwined with each other, though the first reason is the main issue and the origin of the Senkaku Islands Dispute. It seems that other three reasons are supportive reasons for the natural resources demand, and byproducts of the dispute between Japan and China. The author discusses the occurrence and changes of these four reasons and concludes that the third and fourth reasons will be more troublesome than the others because they are unpredictable.
本文介绍了中国进攻尖阁诸岛的四个原因:一是中国对自然资源的需求;二是与中国人的战争记忆有一定关系的对日历史问题;三是尖阁诸岛争端成为中国共产党内部权力斗争的工具;第四个原因是尖阁诸岛争端成为中国共产党实现国家一体化的工具。中国进攻的一些原因是相互交织的,尽管第一个原因是尖阁诸岛争端的主要问题和根源。另外三个原因似乎是支持自然资源需求的原因,以及日中争端的副产品。作者讨论了这四个原因的发生和变化,得出结论:第三和第四个原因会比其他原因更麻烦,因为它们是不可预测的。
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引用次数: 11
China’s United Front Work in the Xi Jinping era – institutional developments and activities
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1627714
Takashi Suzuki
ABSTRACT [Background] To make China a superpower, Xi Jinping has provided the United Front Work (UFW) with large-scale resources to secure China's domestics stability and global outreach of its national power. [Purpose] This article investigates why and how the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) under Xi administration has been vigorously trying to co-opt politically non-communist forces at home and abroad by means of the UFW. The above analysis also sheds ligt on the characteristics of Xi's political thought, leadership style as well as his idea of political strategy for the "Great Rejuvenation of the Chinese Nation (zhonghua minzu weida fuxing)." [Main Argument] In foreign activities, China's influence through developing various UFW institutional settings has been strengthened. However, its construction of human network which contributes to CCP's political aims and its maintenance of information flaw bases have been mostly made up of personal effort in the long-term activity of the UFW. [Conclusions] It is true that the democratic regimes need to adopt a cautious approach toward China's foreign influence, but to identify activities of the UFW in their homeland is not so much difficult because they are usually patterned in most cases. Then, in the research on the UFW, Xi Jinping's political conservativeness has again become highlighted. The basic orientation of his political thinking is not the reform and innovation of the regime, but the revival of 'good tradition' and renovation of the CCP.
【主要论点】在对外活动中,通过发展各种UFW制度设置,中国的影响力得到了加强。然而,在UFW的长期活动中,其为中共政治目的服务的人际网络建设和信息漏洞库的维护,大多是由个人努力完成的。[结论]诚然,民主政权需要对中国的外国影响采取谨慎的态度,但识别UFW在其国内的活动并不那么困难,因为在大多数情况下,这些活动通常是模式化的。他政治思想的基本取向不是政权的改革和创新,而是“好传统”的复兴和中国共产党的革新。
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引用次数: 14
Preferential policies for China’s ethnic minorities at a crossroads 十字路口的中国少数民族优惠政策
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1625178
M. Hoshino
ABSTRACT Background: The Chinese government’s principle of regional ethnic autonomy has remained consistent since the founding of the PRC in 1949. However, some voices within the country are calling on the government to rethink the principle of ethnic autonomy. Purpose: This paper discusses two examples in support of the hypothesis that the system favoring ethnic minorities under the regional autonomy system implemented since the foundation of modern China has reached a turning point. Main Argument: The first example describes the government’s handling of ethnic minority issues, in particular the July 2009 disturbances in Urumqi in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. The second outlines the political discussion of the regional ethnic autonomy system, with open discussion in the past few years about changing the system advanced by an individual formerly directly involved in formulating and implementing ethnic policies. Conclusion: The first example demonstrates that the government’s policy of expanding preferential measures favoring ethnic minorities in order to stabilize restive autonomous regions has become untenable. The second highlights that the government’s confidence in its hard-line measures, even to the extent of allowing open discussion within China of whether the regional ethnic autonomy system should be reevaluated. This paper’s conclusion is that preferential policies for China’s ethnic minorities are at a crossroads.
摘要背景:中华人民共和国成立以来,中国政府的民族区域自治原则始终如一。然而,国内一些声音呼吁政府重新思考民族自治的原则。目的:本文讨论了两个例子来支持这样一种假设,即中国近代成立以来实行的区域自治制度下的有利于少数民族的制度已经达到了转折点。主要论点:第一个例子描述了政府对少数民族问题的处理,特别是2009年7月在新疆维吾尔自治区乌鲁木齐发生的骚乱。第二部分概述了对民族区域自治制度的政治讨论,在过去几年中公开讨论了改变以前直接参与制定和执行民族政策的个人提出的制度。结论:第一个例子表明,政府为稳定动荡的自治区而扩大有利于少数民族的优惠措施的政策已经站不住脚。第二个强调了政府对其强硬措施的信心,甚至允许在中国内部公开讨论是否应该重新评估民族区域自治制度。本文的结论是,中国的少数民族优惠政策正处于十字路口。
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引用次数: 5
Korean peace building and Sino–US relations: an “Ad-hoc” concert of interests? 朝鲜半岛和平建设与中美关系:“临时”利益协调?
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1631426
H. Kurata
ABSTRACT The Korean Peninsula is perceived by both the United States (US) and China as the region where they could cooperate despite other disputed problems. The Four-Party Talks were proposed amid a crisis in the Taiwan Strait in 1996, and the Six-Party Talks were convened during the controversies over the subsequent Iraq War in early 2000s. The author argues whether this “Ad-hoc Concert” still survives as an analytic framework for examining Sino–US relations on the Korean Peninsula, notwithstanding the new dimension of collective security as a result of Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK, North Korea)’s nuclear issues with respect to the United Nation Security Council (UNSC). This paper first examines the Chinese initiatives in the nuclear crisis in 2016–17; it makes an assessment of the developments of the triangulated US–China–DPRK relationship after Chairman Kim Jongun referred to the “denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula” in early 2018. In the successive Summit meetings that Kim Jongun held with the Republic of Korea (ROK, South Korea)’s President Moon Jaein, and US President Donald Trump, the declaration to end the Korean War dominated those in the triangulated relations. This paper also reviews the controversies related to that declaration and their implication for Sino–US relations. Those implications will provide the basis for an analysis of Sino–US relations on the Korean Peninsula following a speech delivered by US Vice-President Mike Pence in October 2018 that was widely seen as a declaration of a “new cold war” between the US and China.
摘要美国和中国都认为,尽管存在其他有争议的问题,但朝鲜半岛是他们可以合作的地区。四方会谈是在1996年台湾海峡危机期间提出的,六方会谈是在2000年代初关于随后的伊拉克战争的争议期间召开的。作者认为,尽管朝鲜民主主义人民共和国(朝鲜、朝鲜)在联合国安理会(UNSC)的核问题带来了新的集体安全层面,但这场“特设音乐会”是否仍然是审视中美在朝鲜半岛关系的分析框架。本文首先考察了中国在2016-17年核危机中的举措;它评估了2018年初金委员长提到“朝鲜半岛无核化”后,美中朝三角关系的发展。在金与大韩民国总统文在寅和美国总统唐纳德·特朗普连续举行的峰会上,结束朝鲜战争的宣言主导了三角关系。本文还回顾了与该宣言有关的争议及其对中美关系的启示。这些影响将为分析中美在朝鲜半岛的关系提供基础。2018年10月,美国副总统迈克·彭斯发表了一场被广泛视为美中之间“新冷战”宣言的演讲。
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引用次数: 2
The changing faces and roles of communist party membership in China: an empirical analysis based on CHIPS 1988, 1995 and 2002 中国共产党员的面貌和角色变化——基于1988、1995和2002年中国共产党党员状况的实证分析
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2019.1633987
Shanping Yan
ABSTRACT This paper analyses the evolution of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) using micro-data from three nationwide surveys. I examine how party membership affects people’s choice of employment, occupational attainment, and earnings, while including changes in the function of individual attributes and human capital. I endeavor to cover both urban and rural areas and gain a dynamic understanding of the topic. The proportion of people who joined the CCP as they grew older was relatively stable in the three surveys, while the overall education level of party members increased rapidly with time. Party membership and education had a statistically significant and positive effect on non-farm employment choice and earnings, but those effects decreased rapidly over time in rural China. In contrast, party membership and education exerted more and more of an effect on employment choice, occupational attainment, and earnings in urban China. Furthermore, in both rural and urban areas, the rate of return to education and the earnings premium for CCP membership are converging at the same level. This is evidence worthy of attention as it indicates that labor markets throughout the country are becoming integrated.
摘要本文利用三项全国性调查的微观数据分析了中国共产党的演变。我研究了党员如何影响人们的就业选择、职业成就和收入,同时包括个人属性和人力资本功能的变化。我努力报道城市和农村地区,并对这个话题有一个动态的理解。在三次调查中,随着年龄的增长加入中国共产党的人数比例相对稳定,而党员的整体教育水平随着时间的推移迅速提高。党员和受教育程度对非农就业选择和收入有显著的正向影响,但随着时间的推移,这种影响在中国农村迅速下降。相比之下,在中国城市,党员和学历对就业选择、职业成就和收入的影响越来越大。此外,在农村和城市地区,教育回报率和党员收入溢价都在同一水平上趋同。这是一个值得关注的证据,因为它表明全国各地的劳动力市场正在变得一体化。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies
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