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Improving casualty risk estimates for uncontrolled rocket body reentries 改进失控火箭箭体再入大气层的伤亡风险估计
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2024.01.004
Ewan Wright , Aaron Boley , Michael Byers

Approximately 70 % of launches in 2022 resulted in an uncontrolled rocket body reentry, creating an unnecessary casualty risk to people on the ground, at sea, and in aircraft. Rocket bodies have masses ranging from tens of kilograms to 20 tonnes. Using known rocket body masses and correlations between mass and casualty area, we present revised estimates for the expected risk, finding a 20–29 % probability of one or more casualties over the next decade.

Some states use a 1-in-10,000 threshold for accepting an uncontrolled reentry casualty risk when approving a space activity. This threshold, which is not universally agreed upon, represents a risk acceptance by one country, but imposed on the world population. As the use of space expands, with a record 180 successful launches in 2022, states and other launch providers should adopt technologies and mission designs that ensure controlled reentries. Uncontrolled reentries, particularly of large rocket bodies, constitute an unsafe and unnecessary practice.

在 2022 年的发射中,约有 70%的发射导致火箭箭体失控重返大气层,给地面、海上和飞机上的人员带来不必要的伤亡风险。火箭箭体的质量从几十公斤到 20 吨不等。利用已知的火箭体质量和质量与伤亡面积之间的相关性,我们对预期风险进行了修订估算,发现在未来十年内发生一次或多次伤亡的概率为 20-29%。这一阈值并没有得到普遍认同,它代表了一个国家接受的风险,但却强加给了全世界人民。随着空间利用的扩大,2022 年将有创纪录的 180 次成功发射,各国和其他发射提供商应采用确保可控重返的技术和飞行任务设计。不受控制的重返,特别是大型火箭的重返,是一种不安全和不必要的做法。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analytical analysis and component selection of resistojet thruster for satellite propulsion 用于卫星推进的电阻喷射推进器的比较分析和部件选择
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2024.01.002
Aswin M R, Akshay Pavithran, Yash Mangrole, Shriya Shivaraman, Chinmay Sanjay Kulaye, Amit Kumar Thakur, Balaji R

Resistojet is a thruster based on electrothermal propulsion which uses heating element to increase the temperature of the thruster, so the propellant ionizes and gives out thrust at the nozzle section. Given their high propulsive performance, resistojets are widely used in satellite technology for control, tangential orbit modification, and propulsion. Therefore, numerous experimental and numerical research was carried out to comprehend the performance of a resistojet. The four major elements of a resistojet thruster are the material for the heating element, the cooling system, the type of nozzle and the choice of propellant. The combination of these four major elements matters greatly to design an efficient resistojet thruster. The main objective here is to compare and analyze the existing high performance resistojet thrusters. Therefore, it is critical to comprehend how well the four major elements of a resistojet thruster perform under different conditions. A resistojets’ performance is greatly affected by the design of the thruster. The right choice of propellant plays an important role with respect to the performance of a resistojet thruster. Every propellant type used up to this point has been thoroughly analyzed with respect to its effect on the resistojets’ thrust and specific impulse values. Parallelly, several cooling system and flow channel designs were examined to a great extent keeping the metrics of a resistojet in mind. A thruster's nozzle is a part that enables hot gases to escape at a higher velocity. Hence, version of nozzle types was studied, and their performances are charted in this paper. In addition to the performance characteristics, future aspects of the resistojet in electric propulsion has been discussed.

电阻喷射器是一种基于电热推进的推进器,它利用加热元件来提高推进器的温度,从而使推进剂电离并在喷嘴部分产生推力。鉴于其较高的推进性能,电阻喷射器在卫星技术中被广泛用于控制、切向轨道修正和推进。因此,为了了解电阻喷射器的性能,人们进行了大量的实验和数值研究。电阻喷射推进器的四大要素是加热元件的材料、冷却系统、喷嘴类型和推进剂的选择。这四大要素的组合对于设计高效的电阻喷气推进器非常重要。本文的主要目的是比较和分析现有的高性能电阻喷射推进器。因此,了解电阻喷射推进器的四大要素在不同条件下的性能至关重要。推进器的设计对电阻喷射器的性能影响很大。推进剂的正确选择对电阻喷射推进器的性能起着重要作用。到目前为止,我们已经全面分析了所使用的每一种推进剂对电阻喷射器推力和比冲值的影响。与此同时,还对几种冷却系统和流道设计进行了深入研究,并牢记了电阻喷射器的各项指标。推进器的喷嘴是使热气以更高的速度逸出的部件。因此,本文研究了各种类型的喷嘴,并绘制了它们的性能图。除了性能特点外,本文还讨论了电力推进中的电阻喷射器的未来方面。
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引用次数: 0
A study on EMI shielding in aircraft: introduction, methods and significance of using electrospun nanocomposites 飞机电磁干扰屏蔽研究:使用电纺纳米复合材料的简介、方法和意义
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2024.01.001
Bijulin Greety DJ, G. Jims John Wessley

In recent times, the explosion of digital appliances and radio communication systems has triggered an elevated debate over electromagnetic interference (EMI) in numerous industries, including the aerospace sector. EMI can disrupt verbal exchange systems, navigation gadgets, or even crucial flight controls. This paper aims to explore the need for EMI protection in the context of discussing the techniques and packages of nanocomposites used for effective shielding. It broadly covers the introduction to EMI shielding, strategies for effective shielding, and the utilization of advanced nanocomposites for EMI mitigation in aircraft. The paper also highlights the amplifying dependence on digital devices in the current aircraft and highlights the increasing coercion of EMI that leads to the demand for strong EMI-protecting solutions. Different EMI shielding techniques based on their effectiveness in protecting sensitive digital components from electromagnetic disturbances are discussed. The use of techniques such as EMI filters, shielded cables, and Faraday cages are investigated for applicability in distinctive aerospace appliances. The emerging requirement for slender and flexible EMI shielding materials that has resulted in the development of conductive polymer nanocomposites in recent years and the use of nanocomposites with excellent EMI shielding regardless of their sustaining mechanical properties has been discussed in detail. Different methods like in-situ polymerization, solution blending, layer-by-layer assembly, and electrospinning are also discussed. In conclusion, the importance of EMI protection in ensuring the dependable and stable operation of modern aircraft and the utility of polymer nanocomposites, a promising method to deal with EMI-related challenges in making air travel more secure and greener in the digital age has been impressed upon.

近来,数字家电和无线电通信系统的爆炸式增长引发了包括航空航天领域在内的众多行业对电磁干扰(EMI)的激烈讨论。电磁干扰会破坏语言交流系统、导航设备,甚至是关键的飞行控制装置。本文旨在通过讨论用于有效屏蔽的纳米复合材料的技术和复合材料,探讨电磁干扰防护的必要性。它广泛涵盖了 EMI 屏蔽简介、有效屏蔽策略以及在飞机中使用先进的纳米复合材料来减缓 EMI。论文还强调了当前飞机对数字设备的依赖性日益增强,并强调了 EMI 的威慑力日益增大,导致了对强大 EMI 保护解决方案的需求。本文讨论了不同的 EMI 屏蔽技术,这些技术在保护敏感的数字元件免受电磁干扰方面具有不同的效果。研究了 EMI 滤波器、屏蔽电缆和法拉第笼等技术在独特航空航天设备中的适用性。详细讨论了对纤细灵活的电磁干扰屏蔽材料的新要求,这种要求导致了近年来导电聚合物纳米复合材料的发展,以及具有优异电磁干扰屏蔽性能的纳米复合材料的使用,而不考虑其持续的机械性能。此外,还讨论了原位聚合、溶液混合、逐层组装和电纺丝等不同方法。总之,EMI 防护在确保现代飞机可靠稳定运行方面的重要性,以及聚合物纳米复合材料在应对与 EMI 有关的挑战方面的实用性,都给人留下了深刻印象。
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引用次数: 0
Tailored continuous risk management in nanosatellite space project VZLUSAT-1 using FMECA 利用 FMECA 对超小型卫星空间项目 VZLUSAT-1 进行量身定制的持续风险管理
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.008
Marek Cech, Martin Januska

The purpose of the research is to demonstrate an application of the existing methodology for risk assessment Failure Mode and Effect Criticality Analysis (FMECA) in nanosatellite projects together with a risk register proposal elaborated based on a literature review and expert interviews. The paper also elaborates on the integration of FMECA and knowledge capture and transfer technique. Literature evidence and the use case of the VZLUSAT-1 CubeSat show that it is challenging to implement proper project management and especially risk management practices into nanosatellite (or CubeSat) projects. The risks identified are mostly connected with the technical part, design, and operation of the satellite, and personal, financial, stakeholder, or managerial risks are omitted. The mission success rate can be significantly improved when risks are adequately considered at stages preceding the launch and operation of the satellite.

该研究的目的是展示现有的风险评估方法失效模式和影响临界分析(FMECA)在超小型卫星项目中的应用,以及根据文献综述和专家访谈拟定的风险登记建议。本文还阐述了 FMECA 与知识捕获和转移技术的整合。文献证据和 VZLUSAT-1 CubeSat 的使用案例表明,在超小型卫星(或 CubeSat)项目中实施适当的项目管理,特别是风险管理做法具有挑战性。所发现的风险大多与卫星的技术部分、设计和运行有关,而个人、财务、利益相关者或管理方面的风险则被忽略。如果在卫星发射和运行前的各个阶段充分考虑风险,就能大大提高任务成功率。
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引用次数: 0
Re‐entry safety: Analysis and plasma wind tunnel testing of spacecraft design solutions to reduce on‐ground casualty risk 重返大气层安全:航天器设计方案的分析和等离子风洞试验,以降低地面伤亡风险
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.014
Lucia Suriani , Antonio Caiazzo , Britta Ganzer , Tobias Lips , Patrice Laurenti , Bradley Lockett , Thorn Schleutker , Tiago Soares , James Beck

In compliance with ISO 24,113 and ESA Space Debris Mitigation requirements, spacecrafts in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) must be removed from their operational orbit within 25 years and re-enter the Earth's atmosphere having an on-ground casualty risk lower than 1 in 10,000.

To maximize the number of uncontrolled re-entries, which have much less impact on system mass and costs, ESA's Clean Space initiative is investigating design for containment (D4C) techniques and collaborating with European industries and space agencies to assess, model, analyse, and test new concepts through re-entry tools and plasma wind tunnel experiments. The main objectives are to understand the survivability of materials and techniques suitable for different containment concepts, to improve re-entry modelling, and implement effective D4C measures.

This paper shows the results of these activities, that have been the first milestones in the knowledge of D4C, although further investigations are needed.

根据 ISO 24,113 和欧空局空间碎片缓减要求,低地球轨道(LEO)上的航天器必须在 25 年内脱离运行轨道,重返地球大气层的地面伤亡风险低于万分之一。为了最大限度地增加对系统质量和成本影响较小的不受控制的重返次数,欧空局的 "清洁空间 "计划正在研究遏制设计(D4C)技术,并与欧洲工业界和空间机构合作,通过重返工具和等离子风洞实验对新概念进行评估、建模、分析和测试。主要目标是了解适用于不同安全壳概念的材料和技术的生存能力,改进重返模型,并实施有效的 D4C 措施。
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引用次数: 0
Autonomous flight termination system: The need for an international regulatory frame 自主飞行终止系统:建立国际监管框架的必要性
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.013
L. Miquel Parra, G. Acampa, E. Castoldi, M. Cinque, W. Dai, P. Dell'Atti, D. Caporro

Among the unmanned launch service providers, the autonomous flight termination concept is no longer an unknown actor around the table. The goal of these systems is to limit the consequences of the potential feared events caused by a launch vehicle malfunction by automatically terminating the flight of the vehicle in a safe manner, replacing the human component on the traditional flight termination decision in case of failure.

Although some public and private players have already designed (and even flown) an autonomous flight termination system, the problem arises when looking into the safety standards that need to be to be applied to launch from different locations, which are highly dependent on the respective safety authorities.

This paper aims at analysing the gap in the current launch safety policies and proposing the guidelines to be followed to widen the range of spaceports capable of hosting a launch vehicle with such a feature.

在无人发射服务提供商中,自主飞行终止概念已不再是一个默默无闻的概念。这些系统的目标是通过以安全的方式自动终止运载火箭的飞行来限制运载火箭故障可能造成的令人担忧的事件的后果,从而在发生故障时取代传统的飞行终止决策中的人为因素。虽然一些公共和私营机构已经设计(甚至试飞)了自主飞行终止系统,但在研究从不同地点发射需要适用的安全标准时,问题就出现了,这些标准在很大程度上取决于各自的安全当局。
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引用次数: 0
An overview of the destructive re-entry analysis tools available in Europe: State of the art, latest advances, and open points 欧洲现有的破坏性重返大气层分析工具概览:技术现状、最新进展和开放要点
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.009
Cristina De Persis , Stijn Lemmens

Over the past 30 years, numerous methods and tools have been developed to simulate spacecraft breakup during atmospheric re-entry, predict the characteristics of the surviving fragments, and estimate the ground casualty risk. With the introduction of the Design for Demise (or simply D4D) concept, these tools have become increasingly vital in designing spacecraft that break up and burn up during re-entry, thus reducing the risk posed by impacting debris. To enhance the accuracy and efficiency of predictions, researchers have made continuous improvements in this field, especially in the last decade, but uncertainties and gaps in knowledge remain. This article provides an overview of the state-of-the-art, with a particular emphasis on tools developed in Europe. It covers the latest advancements and improvements, as well as novel techniques proposed in the field.

在过去的 30 年中,开发了许多方法和工具来模拟航天器在重返大气层过程中的解体、预测幸存碎片的特征以及估计地面伤亡风险。随着 "灭亡设计"(简称 D4D)概念的引入,这些工具在设计再入大气层期间破裂和燃烧的航天器方面变得越来越重要,从而降低了撞击碎片带来的风险。为了提高预测的准确性和效率,研究人员在这一领域不断进行改进,特别是在过去十年中,但不确定性和知识差距依然存在。本文概述了该领域的最新进展,重点介绍了欧洲开发的工具。文章涵盖了该领域的最新进展和改进,以及提出的新技术。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting high‐speed particle impact damage in spacecraft thermal protection systems 预测航天器热保护系统中的高速粒子撞击损伤
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.007
William P. Schonberg , Michael D. Squire

All spacecraft use some sort of thermal insulation, or thermal protection system (TPS), in their design. TPS materials vary, ranging from ceramic tiles or phenolic ablators for heatshields to lightweight multi-layer insulation (MLI) blankets. Since TPS is usually placed on the spacecraft's exterior, it is susceptible to impacts by meteoroids and orbital debris. These high-speed impacts can damage the TPS to a point where the protection it offers is below acceptable limits. As such, it is important to be able to characterize expected TPS damage levels stemming from such high-speed impacts. In this paper, we present the results of a study that sought to characterize the high-speed impact damage that would be sustained by two TPS materials that have recently gained attention for possible use in future interplanetary missions. Empirical equations were developed for TPS crater depths, as well as maximum and minimum crater mouth dimensions. In the event of TPS perforations, empirical equations were developed for the maximum and minimum through-hole dimensions. As part of the analyses performed, ballistic limit equations (BLEs) for these TPS configurations were also developed where possible. The validity of the equations developed was assessed by comparing their predictions against test data. In nearly all cases, the empirical equations developed herein were seen to adequately capture the magnitudes of the measured damage parameters.

所有航天器在设计中都使用某种隔热材料或热保护系统(TPS)。TPS 的材料多种多样,从用于隔热罩的陶瓷瓦片或酚醛消融器到轻质多层隔热(MLI)毯,不一而足。由于 TPS 通常位于航天器外部,因此很容易受到流星体和轨道碎片的撞击。这些高速撞击会损坏 TPS,使其提供的保护低于可接受的限度。因此,能够确定这种高速撞击造成的 TPS 预期损坏程度非常重要。在本文中,我们介绍了一项研究的结果,该研究旨在确定两种 TPS 材料将承受的高速撞击损坏程度,这两种材料最近因可能用于未来的星际飞行任务而备受关注。该研究为 TPS 撞击坑深度以及最大和最小撞击坑口尺寸制定了经验公式。在 TPS 穿孔的情况下,还为最大和最小通孔尺寸建立了经验方程。作为分析工作的一部分,在可能的情况下,还为这些 TPS 配置制定了弹道极限方程 (BLE)。通过将预测结果与测试数据进行比较,对所开发方程的有效性进行了评估。几乎在所有情况下,我们都发现所开发的经验公式能够充分捕捉到所测量的损坏参数的大小。
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引用次数: 0
Radar observation and recontruction of Cosmos 1408 fragmentation 宇宙 1408 号碎片的雷达观测和重构
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.006
Andrea Muciaccia , Luca Facchini , Marco Felice Montaruli , Giovanni Purpura , Roberto Detomaso , Camilla Colombo , Mauro Massari , Pierluigi Di Lizia , Alessandra Di Cecco , Luca Salotti , Germano Bianchi

The population of objects in space has increased dramatically over recent decades. Space debris now represents the majority of objects in space resulting from inactive satellites, breakups, collisions and fragmentations. It has become a concern for institutions all over the world and, as such, it has led to the fostering of several programmes to counter the issues. Among these, the use of ground-based sensors for Space Surveillance Tracking (SST) activities and services and tools for analysing fragmentations play a crucial role.

This work presents the activities carried out by Politecnico di Milano, Italian Space Agency and Italian National Institute of Astrophysics in this framework, using data from SST networks and the observation measurements from Bistatic Radar for LEo Survey (BIRALES), an Italian bistatic radar belonging to the EUropean Space Surveillance and Tracking (EUSST), which contributed most to the monitoring of the cloud of fragments. Exploiting Two-Line Elements (TLEs) of observed fragments, a reverse engineering approach is used to reconstruct a fragmentation in orbit through the use of the software suite PUZZLE developed at Politecnico di Milano. The analyses focus on studying the fragmentation of the Cosmos 1408 satellite, which occurred on November 15th 2021 following an Anti-SATellite (ASAT) missile test. More than 1000 trackable pieces and millions of smaller debris (estimated from numerical analysis) were produced by this event, increasing the population of inactive objects around the Earth, and threatening nearby orbiting objects.

First, the processing method adopted from BIRALES in observing Cosmos debris is presented and discussed and a critical analysis about the derivable information is conducted. Then, these data and those from SST network observations are used to identify the epoch and the location of the fragmentation. In this procedure, the software toolkit PUZZLE, developed by Politecnico di Milano within a project funded by the Italian Space Agency and extended through the European Research Council, is used.

近几十年来,空间物体的数量急剧增加。空间碎片现在占空间物体的大多数,这些物体是由不活动的卫星、解体、碰撞和碎裂造成的。这已成为全世界各机构关注的问题,因此,已制定了若干方案来应对这些问题。其中,利用地基传感器进行空间监视跟踪(SST)活动以及分析碎裂的服务和工具发挥了至关重要的作用。这项工作介绍了米兰理工大学、意大利航天局和意大利国家天体物理研究所在这一框架内开展的活动,其中使用了 SST 网络的数据,以及 Bistatic Radar for LEo Survey(BIRALES)的观测测量数据,BIRALES 是属于欧盟空间监视和跟踪(EUSST)的意大利双曲面雷达,对碎片云的监测贡献最大。利用观测到的碎片的双线元素(TLE),通过使用米兰理工大学开发的软件套件 PUZZLE,采用逆向工程方法重建轨道上的碎片。分析的重点是研究宇宙 1408 号卫星的碎裂情况,这次碎裂发生在 2021 年 11 月 15 日一次反卫星(ASAT)导弹试验之后。首先,介绍并讨论了 BIRALES 在观测宇宙碎片时采用的处理方法,并对可推导出的信息进行了批判性分析。然后,利用这些数据和来自 SST 网络观测的数据来确定碎片发生的时间和位置。在这一过程中,使用了米兰理工大学在意大利航天局资助的一个项目内开发并通过欧洲研究理事会扩展的软件工具包 PUZZLE。
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引用次数: 0
Financing of space activities by organizations in conditions of war 战争状态下各组织对空间活动的资助
Q3 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsse.2023.11.003
Svitlana Koshova , Volodymyr Maksymov , Svitlana Bondar , Roman Derkach

The article provides a thorough characterization of wartime space activity, which has grown and evolved significantly over the past six decades. It is substantiated that the utilization of space under the auspices of several space states has turned into a type of activity in more than 60 countries around the world. Authors carried out a study of trends in the sources of funding for the space industry, as well as identified negative factors that affect the pace of development of the space industry established in previous years, namely: problems in the world economy caused by the introduction of sanctions against the Russian Federation, inflation rates, changes in interest rates and loss Ukraine's export opportunities. We studied the European Space Agency report on changes to funding amounts for space sector projects that fit the definition of projects with rapid development for the years 2019–2022. The impact of the conflict on Ukraine's space industry and strategies for maintaining pre-war accomplishments under novel circumstances are identified. The process via which the government and private businesses fund domestic space activities is examined. The purpose of the article is a thorough analysis of the pre-war and post-war financing of space activities, as well as the formulation of the main models of financing the space industry in the post-war period in order to bring it to a new level of functioning. The research underscores space activity as a major financing priority in developed nations. Pre-war, the space industry showed rapid growth, initially state-funded, later attracting private investments. However, ongoing conflict in Ukraine led to reduced funding for less profitable projects, emphasizing the need for a balanced strategy using state and private investments for post-war reconstruction and maintaining a strong national defense capability in the global space sector.

文章全面描述了战时空间活动的特点,这些活动在过去六十年间有了显著的增长和演变。事实证明,在几个空间国家的支持下,空间利用已成为全世界 60 多个国家的一种活动类型。作者对空间工业资金来源的趋势进行了研究,并确定了前几年影响空间工业发展速度的不利因素,即:对俄罗斯联邦实施制裁造成的世界经济问题、通货膨胀率、利率变化和乌克兰出口机会的丧失。我们研究了欧洲航天局关于 2019-2022 年符合快速发展项目定义的空间部门项目资助金额变化的报告。我们确定了冲突对乌克兰航天工业的影响,以及在新形势下保持战前成就的战略。对政府和私营企业资助国内太空活动的过程进行了研究。文章的目的是透彻分析战前和战后空间活动的融资情况,以及制定战后空间工业融资的主要模式,以便将其提升到一个新的运作水平。研究强调,空间活动是发达国家的主要融资优先事项。战前,航天工业发展迅速,最初由国家资助,后来吸引了私人投资。然而,乌克兰持续不断的冲突导致利润较低的项目资金减少,这突出表明需要采取平衡战略,利用国家和私人投资进行战后重建,并在全球航天领域保持强大的国防能力。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Space Safety Engineering
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