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Applying machine learning methods to predict the hospital re-admission within 30 days of total hip arthroplasty and hemiarthroplasty 应用机器学习方法预测全髋关节置换术和半髋关节置换术后30天内再次住院
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.11.009
J.-M. Wu , B.-W. Cheng , C.-Y. Ou , J.-E. Chiu , S.-S. Tsou

Background

Total hip arthroplasty (THA) and hemiarthroplasty are common treatments for severe hip joint disease. To predict the probability of re-admission after discharge when patients are hospitalized will support providing appropriate health education and guidance.

Methods

The research aims to use logistic regression (LR), decision trees (DT), random forests (RF), and artificial neural networks (ANN) to establish predictive models and compare their performances on re-admissions within 30 days after THA or hemiarthroplasty. The data of this study includes patient demographics, physiological measurements, disease history, and clinical laboratory test results.

Results

There were 508 and 309 patients in the THA and hemiarthroplasty studies respectively from September 2016 to December 2018. The accuracies of the four models LR, DT, RF, and ANN in the THA experiment are 94.3%, 93.2%, 97.3%, and 93.9%, respectively. In the hemiarthroplasty experiment, the accuracies of the four models are 92.4%, 86.1%, 94.2%, and 94.8%, respectively. Among these, we found that the RF model has the best sensitivity and ANN model has the best area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) score in both experiments.

Conclusions

The THA experiment confirmed that the performance of the RF model is better than the other models. The key factors affecting the prognosis after THA surgery are creatinine, sodium, anesthesia duration, and dialysis. In the hemiarthroplasty experiment, the ANN model showed more accurate results. Poor kidney function increases the risk of hospital re-admission. This research highlights that RF and ANN model perform well on the hip replacement surgery outcome prediction.

背景:全髋关节置换术和半髋关节置换术是严重髋关节疾病的常用治疗方法。预测患者出院后再入院的概率,有助于提供适当的健康教育和指导。方法采用logistic回归(LR)、决策树(DT)、随机森林(RF)和人工神经网络(ANN)建立预测模型,并比较其在人工髋关节置换术或半关节置换术后30天内再入院的效果。本研究的数据包括患者人口统计、生理测量、病史和临床实验室检查结果。结果2016年9月至2018年12月,分别有508例THA和309例半关节置换术患者。在THA实验中,LR、DT、RF和ANN四种模型的准确率分别为94.3%、93.2%、97.3%和93.9%。在半关节置换术实验中,四种模型的准确率分别为92.4%、86.1%、94.2%和94.8%。其中,我们发现射频模型在两个实验中都具有最佳的灵敏度,而人工神经网络模型在接收机工作特性(AUROC)评分下的面积最好。结论经THA实验证实,射频模型的性能优于其他模型。影响THA术后预后的关键因素是肌酐、钠、麻醉时间和透析。在半关节置换术实验中,人工神经网络模型显示出更准确的结果。肾功能不佳会增加再次住院的风险。本研究强调射频和人工神经网络模型在髋关节置换术预后预测上有较好的效果。
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引用次数: 0
El caballo de Troya como una metodología de gestión del cambio en una organización sanitaria: la experiencia y perspectiva de GiPSS, Tarragona 作为卫生组织变革管理方法的特洛伊木马:GiPSS的经验和观点,塔拉戈纳
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.11.004
R. Qanneta
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引用次数: 0
Factors from healthcare delivery affecting breast cancer survival in a health area of Northern of Spain 在西班牙北部的一个卫生保健区,保健服务影响乳腺癌生存的因素
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2023.04.001
N. Robles-Rodríguez , A. Llaneza-Folgueras , A. Lana

Objective

Clinical breast cancer decision-making significantly affects life expectancy and management of hospital resources. The aims of the present study were to estimate the time of survival for breast cancer patients and to identify independent factors from healthcare delivery associated with survival rates in a specific health area of Northern of Spain.

Methods

Survival analysis was conducted among a cohort of 2545 patients diagnosed with breast cancer between 2006 and 2012 from the population breast cancer registry of Asturias-Spain and followed up till 2019. Adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify the independent prognostic factors of all-cause from death.

Results

The 5-year survival rate was 80%. Advanced age (>80 years) (hazard ratio, HR: 4.35; 95% confidence interval, CI: 3.41–5.54), hospitalization in small hospitals (HR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.09–1.97), treatment in oncology wards (HR: 3.57; 95% CI: 2.41–5.27), and length of stay >30 days (HR: 2.24; 95% CI: 1.32–3.79) were the main predictors of death. By contrast, breast cancer suspected via screening was associated with a lower risk of death (HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.35–0.87).

Conclusion

There is room for improvement in survival rates after breast cancer in the health area of Asturias (Northern of Spain). Some healthcare delivery factors, and other clinical characteristics of the tumor influence the survival of breast cancer patients. Strengthening population screening programs could be relevant to increasing survival rates.

目的临床乳腺癌决策对预期寿命和医院资源管理有显著影响。本研究的目的是估计乳腺癌患者的生存时间,并确定与西班牙北部特定健康区域的医疗保健服务相关的独立因素。方法对2006年至2012年西班牙阿斯图里亚斯乳腺癌登记的2545例乳腺癌患者进行生存分析,随访至2019年。校正后的Cox比例风险模型用于确定全因死亡的独立预后因素。结果5年生存率为80%。高龄(80岁)(风险比,HR: 4.35;95%可信区间,CI: 3.41-5.54),小医院住院(HR: 1.46;95% CI: 1.09-1.97),肿瘤病房的治疗(HR: 3.57;95% CI: 2.41-5.27),住院时间为30天(HR: 2.24;95% CI: 1.32-3.79)是死亡的主要预测因子。相比之下,通过筛查怀疑患有乳腺癌的患者死亡风险较低(HR: 0.55;95% ci: 0.35-0.87)。结论西班牙北部阿斯图里亚斯卫生区乳腺癌术后生存率仍有提高空间。一些医疗保健提供因素和肿瘤的其他临床特征影响乳腺癌患者的生存。加强人口筛查项目可能与提高生存率有关。
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引用次数: 0
Patient experience among adolescents in a Spanish paediatric emergency department 西班牙儿科急诊科的青少年患者经验
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.11.005
C. Parra , M. Boada , A. Rojas , A. Pallache , V. Trenchs , C. Luaces
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引用次数: 0
Algunas reflexiones sobre el estado mental de las segundas víctimas de COVID-19 de las áreas de cuidados críticos 对重症护理领域第二名COVID-19受害者精神状态的一些思考
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.08.003
A. Diaz , F. Astochado , J. Moya-Salazar , V. Rojas-Zumaran , M.C. Ruiz , A.N. Vasquez , C. Alcarraz
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引用次数: 1
Adherencia a las guías de práctica clínica, de la teoría a la acción en un hospital de Colombia 哥伦比亚一家医院坚持临床实践指南,从理论到行动
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.11.001
A. de la Torre , A. Franco
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引用次数: 0
Coste-efectividad de la oxigenoterapia de alto flujo en el tratamiento de la neumonía por SARS-CoV-2 大流量氧疗治疗SARS-CoV-2肺炎的成本-效果
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.10.004
A. González-Castro , E. Cuenca Fito , A. Fernandez , Y. Peñasco , V. Modesto i Alport , A. Medina Villanueva , A. Fajardo , P. Escude-Acha

Introduction

high-oxygen nasal cannulas in patients with respiratory failure secondary to SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia have not been studied from a cost-effectiveness point of view.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of patients who had entered the COVID-area of an intensive medicine service in a third reference hospital, between March-December 2020. An effectiveness cost analysis was carried out comparing 2 therapeutic decisions: the experimental strategy was defined as a mixed strategy consisting of the initial application of high flow nasal oxygen (HFNO) and application of VMI only to HFNO failures. The optimal rational decision was defined as maximizing expected profit, and economic efficiency was assessed by calculating the Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) for years of life gained.

Results

Of the 185 patients tested, 101 (55%) received invasive mechanical ventilation immediately and 84 (45%) were treated with HFNO at the outset. In the cost-effectiveness analysis, comparing both therapeutic strategies, the probability that the experimental strategy would be more effective was 0.974, reaching statistical significance: Difference in average proportions -0.113; 95% CI:-0.018 to -0.208. This corresponds to an NNT of 9 patients. The optimal decision was HFNO's strategy followed by VMI in HFNO failures. This option had an RCEI of 5582 euros per year of life gained.

Conclusions

It is important to establish in the future reliable markers in the use of HFNO so that this therapy improves its cost-effective benefits.

引言从成本效益的角度来看,尚未对严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型肺炎继发呼吸衰竭患者的高氧鼻插管进行研究。方法对2020年3月至12月期间进入第三家参考医院重症监护室的新冠肺炎患者进行回顾性分析。对两种治疗决策进行了有效性成本分析:实验策略被定义为一种混合策略,包括最初应用高流量鼻氧(HFNO)和仅应用VMI治疗HFNO失败。最优理性决策被定义为最大化预期利润,并通过计算所获得寿命年的增量成本效益比(ICER)来评估经济效率。结果185例患者中,101例(55%)立即接受有创机械通气,84例(45%)一开始接受HFNO治疗。在成本效益分析中,比较两种治疗策略,实验策略更有效的概率为0.974,达到统计学显著性:平均比例差异-0.113;95%可信区间:-0.018至-0.208。这相当于9名患者的NNT。在HFNO故障中,最优决策是HFNO的策略,然后是VMI。这一选择每年可获得5582欧元的RCEI。结论重要的是在未来建立可靠的HFNO使用标志物,以提高该疗法的成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
Consideraciones sobre el tratamiento de la epilepsia infantil con lamotrigina 拉莫三嗪治疗儿童癫痫的思考
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.08.009
D. Molina Herranz , A. Moreno Sánchez , J. López Pisón , B. Salinas Salvador , G. Carmen Marcen , M. Lafuente Hidalgo , J.P. García Íñiguez
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引用次数: 1
La muerte de los niños. Debates éticos en torno a la limitación del esfuerzo terapéutico 孩子们的死亡。关于限制治疗努力的伦理辩论
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.11.010
Mónica Clara Bonete Román , Gabriel Campos Rivera

Ethical dilemmas take importance in current medical practice, especially at the end of life. Limitation of therapeutic effort, understood as not starting or withdrawing life support measures, is an alternative to preserve patient dignity when death approaches. Ethical dilemmas in this context have been widely studied in adults; not in children, in which the big psychological tension experienced by parents and professionals makes difficult to take accepted and consensual ethical decisions. The objective of this work has been to understand the concept of limitation of therapeutic effort and the deontological principles that support them in the pediatric field. The purpose was none other than to establish improvements in dying children whom peculiar life-end makes necessary a different approach of adults and an ethical conceptual clarification which justify LET practice in youngers.

伦理困境在当前的医疗实践中非常重要,尤其是在生命的尽头。限制治疗努力,被理解为不开始或撤回生命支持措施,是在死亡临近时维护患者尊严的一种替代方案。这方面的道德困境已在成年人中得到广泛研究;而儿童则不然,在儿童中,父母和专业人士所经历的巨大心理紧张使他们很难做出公认的、双方同意的道德决定。这项工作的目的是了解治疗努力有限的概念以及在儿科领域支持这些概念的义务生物学原则。其目的无非是为了改善垂死儿童的状况,这些儿童的特殊生命终结使成年人有必要采取不同的方法,并对伦理概念进行澄清,以证明在年轻人中实施LET的合理性。
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引用次数: 1
Análisis de las «estancias cero» pediátricas en un hospital de nivel 2 a lo largo de 25 años 25年来二级医院儿科“零住院”情况分析
IF 1.2 Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhqr.2022.11.003
I. Doval Alcalde , S. Corral Hospital , C. González García , J.F. Soltero Carracedo , A. Macías Panedas , J.M. Andrés de Llano , M.P. Barrio Alonso

Introduction

It is essential to admit patients to hospital in an efficient way in order to use resources rationally. Short hospitalary stays are hospitalizations which does not include 00:00 h and are considered avoidable. This study describes trends and characteristics of short stays throughout 25 years in our hospital.

Patients and methods

We analyzed hospital pediatric discharges in a second-level hospital through the registration system «conjunto mínimo básico de datos». We categorized pediatric patients and newborn patients in two groups according to length of hospital stay: «short stays» and «prolonged stays». We analyzed and compared the following variables: gender, age, type of admission, month, diagnosis-related groups (DRG) and admission service. Binary logistic regression analysis and assessment of trends through joinpoint regression analysis were performed.

Results

From 1993 to 2017, 45710 children were admitted to our hospital, of which 7.3% were short stays. The trend analysis showed a point of change upwards–downwards at the beginning of the millennium. Pediatric short stays: the most important variables were emergency admissions (89%), urgent transfers (9%), month December (11%) and main diagnosis category: nervous system (18%). Mean diagnosis-related groups cost was 2432 ± 1115€ in short stays group and 2549 ± 1065€ in prolonged stays.

Conclusions

Short stays and prolonged stays show a falling trend in our hospital. Short stays percentage in our environment is similar to other neighbor countries. Some of our short stays are urgent transfers and admissions for clinical observation. We did not find clinical significance in weight or cost of pediatric patients’ DRG comparing to prolonged stays.

引言为了合理利用资源,以有效的方式让病人入院是至关重要的。短期住院是指不包括00:00的住院,被认为是可以避免的。本研究描述了我院25年来短期住院的趋势和特点。患者和方法我们通过注册系统“congeto mínimo básico de datos”分析了二级医院的儿科出院情况。我们根据住院时间将儿科患者和新生儿患者分为两组:“短期住院”和“长期住院”。我们分析并比较了以下变量:性别、年龄、入院类型、月份、诊断相关组(DRG)和入院服务。进行二元逻辑回归分析,并通过连接点回归分析对趋势进行评估。结果1993年至2017年,我院共收治儿童45710例,其中短期住院儿童占7.3%。趋势分析显示,在本世纪初出现了向上-向下的变化点。儿科短期住院:最重要的变量是急诊入院(89%)、紧急转移(9%)、12月(11%)和主要诊断类别:神经系统(18%)。短期住院组的平均诊断相关组费用为2432±1115欧元,长期住院组为2549±1065欧元。结论我院住院时间短、住院时间长呈下降趋势。在我们的环境中短期停留的百分比与其他邻国相似。我们的一些短期停留是紧急转移和入院进行临床观察。与长期住院相比,我们没有发现儿科患者DRG的重量或成本具有临床意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Healthcare Quality Research
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