Pub Date : 2026-01-12DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00643-4
Alejandra Camacho-Soto, Irene M Faust, Brittany Krzyzanowski, Jordan A Killion, Kassu M Beyene, Edward F Ellerbeck, Jacob J Sosnoff, Brad A Racette
Background: Parkinson's disease (PD) is the second most common neurodegenerative disease, characterized by both motor and non-motor symptoms. Falls and fractures are common in advanced PD but the risk of fractures in newly diagnosed people with PD and the impact of treatment with levodopa is understudied.
Methods: We investigated the risk of fractures among Medicare beneficiaries with incident PD age ≥ 67 compared to controls. Among PD cases only with continuous Part D medication coverage, we examined the effect of levodopa treatment on fracture risk. We identified incident PD cases (N = 68,150) within a population-based sample of 2017 Medicare beneficiaries. Controls (N = 272,600) were matched 4:1 on age, sex, and month/year of the date of PD diagnosis. We used claims data from 2017-2019 to follow cases and controls to identify new fractures. Our primary outcome was any fracture. We classified fractures secondarily by body region (spine/vertebral, torso, pelvis, upper extremity, lower extremity [and separately hip]). We used competing risks regression models to estimate subhazard ratios (SHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between fracture and PD after adjusting for covariates. Among PD cases with continuous medication coverage (N = 61,317), we examined the effect of levodopa treatment in PD cases ever prescribed levodopa for 90 days (≥ 1 prescription fill).
Results: Following PD diagnosis/control reference date, the most common fracture location in incident PD cases and controls was in the hip, followed by the spine. PD cases had a greater risk of any fracture in all body regions compared to controls at any given time: any fracture (SHR 1.35, 95% CI 1.31-1.39), spine (SHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.35-1.59), hip (SHR 1.36, 95% CI 1.30-1.44), and upper extremity (SHR 1.34, 95% CI 1.22-1.48). PD cases who used levodopa for 90 days had a lower risk of any fracture (SHR 0.76, 95% CI 0.72-0.81) than those without treatment. This was also true for individual fracture types in all body regions with the exception of the torso and pelvis.
Conclusion: Medicare beneficiaries with incident PD have a greater risk of fracture in all body regions compared to controls and this risk may be reduced with levodopa use.
背景:帕金森病(PD)是第二常见的神经退行性疾病,以运动和非运动症状为特征。跌倒和骨折在晚期PD中很常见,但新诊断的PD患者骨折的风险和左旋多巴治疗的影响尚未得到充分研究。方法:与对照组相比,我们调查了年龄≥67岁的PD患者发生骨折的风险。在PD患者中,我们研究了左旋多巴治疗对骨折风险的影响。我们在2017年医疗保险受益人的人群样本中确定了PD事件病例(N = 68,150)。对照(N = 272,600)按年龄、性别和PD诊断日期的月份/年份按4:1匹配。我们使用2017-2019年的索赔数据来跟踪病例和对照,以确定新的骨折。我们的主要结果是骨折。我们根据身体部位(脊柱/椎体、躯干、骨盆、上肢、下肢[以及单独的髋关节])对骨折进行了分类。在调整协变量后,我们使用竞争风险回归模型来估计骨折与PD之间关联的亚危险比(SHR)和95%置信区间(CI)。在持续用药覆盖的PD患者中(N = 61,317),我们检查了曾服用左旋多巴90天(≥1个处方)的PD患者左旋多巴治疗效果。结果:在PD诊断/对照参考日期后,偶发PD病例和对照组中最常见的骨折部位是髋关节,其次是脊柱。与对照组相比,PD患者在任何给定时间发生所有身体部位骨折的风险都更高:任何骨折(SHR 1.35, 95% CI 1.31-1.39)、脊柱(SHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.35-1.59)、髋部(SHR 1.36, 95% CI 1.30-1.44)和上肢(SHR 1.34, 95% CI 1.22-1.48)。左旋多巴治疗90天的PD患者发生骨折的风险低于未治疗的患者(SHR 0.76, 95% CI 0.72-0.81)。除躯干和骨盆外,所有身体部位的个体骨折类型也是如此。结论:与对照组相比,发生PD的医疗保险受益人在所有身体区域都有更大的骨折风险,使用左旋多巴可以降低这种风险。
{"title":"Excess risk of fracture in incident Parkinson's disease Medicare beneficiaries.","authors":"Alejandra Camacho-Soto, Irene M Faust, Brittany Krzyzanowski, Jordan A Killion, Kassu M Beyene, Edward F Ellerbeck, Jacob J Sosnoff, Brad A Racette","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00643-4","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00643-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Parkinson's disease (PD) is the second most common neurodegenerative disease, characterized by both motor and non-motor symptoms. Falls and fractures are common in advanced PD but the risk of fractures in newly diagnosed people with PD and the impact of treatment with levodopa is understudied.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We investigated the risk of fractures among Medicare beneficiaries with incident PD age ≥ 67 compared to controls. Among PD cases only with continuous Part D medication coverage, we examined the effect of levodopa treatment on fracture risk. We identified incident PD cases (N = 68,150) within a population-based sample of 2017 Medicare beneficiaries. Controls (N = 272,600) were matched 4:1 on age, sex, and month/year of the date of PD diagnosis. We used claims data from 2017-2019 to follow cases and controls to identify new fractures. Our primary outcome was any fracture. We classified fractures secondarily by body region (spine/vertebral, torso, pelvis, upper extremity, lower extremity [and separately hip]). We used competing risks regression models to estimate subhazard ratios (SHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between fracture and PD after adjusting for covariates. Among PD cases with continuous medication coverage (N = 61,317), we examined the effect of levodopa treatment in PD cases ever prescribed levodopa for 90 days (≥ 1 prescription fill).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Following PD diagnosis/control reference date, the most common fracture location in incident PD cases and controls was in the hip, followed by the spine. PD cases had a greater risk of any fracture in all body regions compared to controls at any given time: any fracture (SHR 1.35, 95% CI 1.31-1.39), spine (SHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.35-1.59), hip (SHR 1.36, 95% CI 1.30-1.44), and upper extremity (SHR 1.34, 95% CI 1.22-1.48). PD cases who used levodopa for 90 days had a lower risk of any fracture (SHR 0.76, 95% CI 0.72-0.81) than those without treatment. This was also true for individual fracture types in all body regions with the exception of the torso and pelvis.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Medicare beneficiaries with incident PD have a greater risk of fracture in all body regions compared to controls and this risk may be reduced with levodopa use.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"13 1","pages":"4"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12797354/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145960511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-12DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00650-5
Elizabeth C Metzger, Douglas J Wiebe, Abigail C Bretzin, Adam Roby, Elizabeth J Allan, Lindsay M Orchowski, Cristóbal S Berry-Cabán
Background: Hazing-defined as an act that is required to gain entry into a group and humiliates, degrades, abuses, endangers, or otherwise embarrasses an individual, irrespective of willingness of the person-is a persistent problem in the United States (US) military, and can manifest in physical and emotional harm, and in extreme circumstances, death. However, the presentation of hazing, including the exact experiences and resulting outcomes is scarcely studied, leaving a gap in understanding and a need to specifically investigate this issue.
Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted by administering a survey with questions about hazing experiences and outcomes to 227 service members at a military installation in the Southeast United States over 14 months. Frequency of hazing experiences and outcomes were derived. To understand how the large number of variables related to each other, a cluster analysis provided Jaccard measures of similarities amongst experience variables. Logistic regressions were conducted to test the association between the experiences and outcomes of hazing.
Results: A total of 227 service members answered the survey; the final cleaned sample resulted in 202 participants who were primarily active-duty (94.0%), in the Army (95.6%), enlisted rank (E1-E4; 58.5%), male (69.6%), and white (49.4%). Almost one-fifth (19.8%) of the participants endorsed experiencing hazing at the installation, and over a fifth endorsed experiencing hazing in the form of sexual violence (22.4%), being tricked (27.8%), and acting like a servant (22.3%). Hazing experiences were significantly associated (p < 0.05) with greater odds of several types of negative physical (ORs ranging from 2.8 to 15.9) and mental health outcomes (ORs ranging from 4.7 to 68.0) and multiple effects on the organization, such as desire to leave the military (ORs ranging from 2.9 to 34.1), since arriving at the current military location.
Conclusions: Hazing manifests in various manners and results in harmful consequences for both individuals and the organization. The present study provides an understanding of hazing through descriptive epidemiology, which can help both leaders and practitioners address the issue.
{"title":"Exploring hazing experiences and perceived physical and mental health outcomes in the United States military through a cross-sectional study.","authors":"Elizabeth C Metzger, Douglas J Wiebe, Abigail C Bretzin, Adam Roby, Elizabeth J Allan, Lindsay M Orchowski, Cristóbal S Berry-Cabán","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00650-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00650-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hazing-defined as an act that is required to gain entry into a group and humiliates, degrades, abuses, endangers, or otherwise embarrasses an individual, irrespective of willingness of the person-is a persistent problem in the United States (US) military, and can manifest in physical and emotional harm, and in extreme circumstances, death. However, the presentation of hazing, including the exact experiences and resulting outcomes is scarcely studied, leaving a gap in understanding and a need to specifically investigate this issue.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cross-sectional study was conducted by administering a survey with questions about hazing experiences and outcomes to 227 service members at a military installation in the Southeast United States over 14 months. Frequency of hazing experiences and outcomes were derived. To understand how the large number of variables related to each other, a cluster analysis provided Jaccard measures of similarities amongst experience variables. Logistic regressions were conducted to test the association between the experiences and outcomes of hazing.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 227 service members answered the survey; the final cleaned sample resulted in 202 participants who were primarily active-duty (94.0%), in the Army (95.6%), enlisted rank (E1-E4; 58.5%), male (69.6%), and white (49.4%). Almost one-fifth (19.8%) of the participants endorsed experiencing hazing at the installation, and over a fifth endorsed experiencing hazing in the form of sexual violence (22.4%), being tricked (27.8%), and acting like a servant (22.3%). Hazing experiences were significantly associated (p < 0.05) with greater odds of several types of negative physical (ORs ranging from 2.8 to 15.9) and mental health outcomes (ORs ranging from 4.7 to 68.0) and multiple effects on the organization, such as desire to leave the military (ORs ranging from 2.9 to 34.1), since arriving at the current military location.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Hazing manifests in various manners and results in harmful consequences for both individuals and the organization. The present study provides an understanding of hazing through descriptive epidemiology, which can help both leaders and practitioners address the issue.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"13"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12888155/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145960578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00653-2
David Hemenway, Matthew Miller, Ezra Mason, Samuel Fischer, Deborah Azrael
Background: This study provides a contemporary estimate of how many adult US gun owners had a gun stolen in the past five years, along with information about the demographic and gun-related characteristics of these victims.
Methods: Data come from the 2024 National Firearms Survey, designed by the authors and conducted by the research firm Ipsos in December 2024. Close to 13,000 (n = 12,860) of those invited to take this on-line survey completed it (59% completion rate). Respondents who reported that they personally owned a gun (n = 4059) were asked "In the past 5 years, have you had any firearms stolen from you?" Respondents who answered in the affirmative were asked detailed questions about their most recent gun theft incident that occurred in the past five years. Data were weighted to provide national estimates.
Results: Among the 4,059 gun owners in the study, 47 reported having had one or more guns stolen in the past five years, representing a weighted estimate of 1.4% (95% CI 0.9, 1.8) of gun owners, or approximately 1 million adults. Gun owners who had carried a handgun in the month prior to the survey were three times more likely to report having a gun stolen than those who had not carried (OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.1, 7.4). Gun owners who stored a gun in their car (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.2), and those who stored some of their guns loaded and unlocked compared to owners who stored all their guns unloaded and locked (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.6) were also three times more likely to have a gun stolen. Three fifths (60%) of the most recent gun theft incidents reported by respondents occurred in the victim's home. An additional 15% were from cars, and 25% from all other places. In about a quarter of these thefts (28%), at least one gun had been recovered by the time of the survey. Two-thirds (68%) of respondents reported their most recent gun theft to police (over 80% of non-Hispanic White gun owners compared to about half of other gun owners). One quarter of these theft victims had insurance that covered the firearm.
Conclusion: Gun carrying, keeping a gun in one's car, and storing guns loaded and unlocked may increase harm to the community by increasing the number of guns that get into the hands of criminals.
背景:本研究提供了在过去五年中有多少美国成年枪支拥有者枪支被盗的当代估计,以及这些受害者的人口统计学和枪支相关特征的信息。方法:数据来自2024年全国枪支调查,该调查由作者设计,由研究公司益普索于2024年12月进行。近13,000 (n = 12,860)被邀请参加这项在线调查的人完成了调查(完成率59%)。自称个人拥有枪支的受访者(n = 4059)被问及“在过去5年里,你是否有枪支被盗?”回答“肯定”的受访者被问及过去五年内发生的最近一次枪支盗窃事件的详细问题。对数据进行加权以提供国家估计。结果:在研究的4059名枪支拥有者中,47人报告在过去五年中有一支或多支枪支被盗,代表了1.4%的枪支拥有者(95% CI 0.9, 1.8),或大约100万成年人。在调查前一个月携带手枪的枪支拥有者报告枪支被盗的可能性是未携带枪支的人的三倍(OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.1, 7.4)。将枪存放在车里(OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.2),以及将部分上膛且未上锁的枪存放在车里(OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.6)的枪支所有者,与将所有未上膛且未上锁的枪存放在车里(OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.6)的枪支被盗的可能性是前者的三倍。受访者报告的最近枪支盗窃事件中有五分之三(60%)发生在受害者家中。另外15%来自汽车,25%来自其他地方。在大约四分之一(28%)的盗窃案中,至少有一支枪在调查期间被追回。三分之二(68%)的受访者向警方报告了他们最近的枪支盗窃案(超过80%的非西班牙裔白人枪支拥有者与其他枪支拥有者的约一半相比)。四分之一的被盗受害者有枪支保险。结论:携带枪支,把枪放在自己的车里,储存上膛和未上锁的枪支可能会增加枪支进入罪犯手中的数量,从而增加对社区的伤害。
{"title":"Gun theft from private citizens in the US 2020-2024: victims and circumstances from a national survey.","authors":"David Hemenway, Matthew Miller, Ezra Mason, Samuel Fischer, Deborah Azrael","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00653-2","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00653-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>This study provides a contemporary estimate of how many adult US gun owners had a gun stolen in the past five years, along with information about the demographic and gun-related characteristics of these victims.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data come from the 2024 National Firearms Survey, designed by the authors and conducted by the research firm Ipsos in December 2024. Close to 13,000 (n = 12,860) of those invited to take this on-line survey completed it (59% completion rate). Respondents who reported that they personally owned a gun (n = 4059) were asked \"In the past 5 years, have you had any firearms stolen from you?\" Respondents who answered in the affirmative were asked detailed questions about their most recent gun theft incident that occurred in the past five years. Data were weighted to provide national estimates.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the 4,059 gun owners in the study, 47 reported having had one or more guns stolen in the past five years, representing a weighted estimate of 1.4% (95% CI 0.9, 1.8) of gun owners, or approximately 1 million adults. Gun owners who had carried a handgun in the month prior to the survey were three times more likely to report having a gun stolen than those who had not carried (OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.1, 7.4). Gun owners who stored a gun in their car (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.2), and those who stored some of their guns loaded and unlocked compared to owners who stored all their guns unloaded and locked (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4, 9.6) were also three times more likely to have a gun stolen. Three fifths (60%) of the most recent gun theft incidents reported by respondents occurred in the victim's home. An additional 15% were from cars, and 25% from all other places. In about a quarter of these thefts (28%), at least one gun had been recovered by the time of the survey. Two-thirds (68%) of respondents reported their most recent gun theft to police (over 80% of non-Hispanic White gun owners compared to about half of other gun owners). One quarter of these theft victims had insurance that covered the firearm.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Gun carrying, keeping a gun in one's car, and storing guns loaded and unlocked may increase harm to the community by increasing the number of guns that get into the hands of criminals.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"11"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12866245/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145879290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-29DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00624-7
Julia J Lund, Julia P Schleimer, Paul M Reeping, Veronica A Pear
Objectives: To conduct a scoping review of research on government spending and violence.
Methods: We searched nine databases for peer-reviewed publications evaluating the association between government spending on public goods and services and (other- or self-directed) violent physical injury or death in the United States.
Results: Of 5,734 screened articles, 33 met the inclusion criteria. Over one-third of studies were published in the last ten years (n = 13). Studies most commonly evaluated spending at the state (n = 19), county (n = 5), and city (n = 5) levels. Studies examined spending on social welfare (n = 21), health (n = 12), education (n = 9), law enforcement (n = 8), and/or community development (n = 2). Outcomes were homicide/assault (n = 28) and suicide (n = 17). All studies were ecologic, 24 were serial cross-sectional, and most (n = 28) made attempts to control for confounding. Findings were mixed, but studies of social welfare, health, and education most commonly found that increased spending was significantly associated with reductions in violence.
Conclusions: While research has varied somewhat in methodology and findings, results of this scoping review indicate that government investments in supportive services may be promising structural interventions to prevent violence and promote safety and health.
{"title":"Public funds, public safety: a scoping review of government spending decisions and their impact on interpersonal violence and suicide.","authors":"Julia J Lund, Julia P Schleimer, Paul M Reeping, Veronica A Pear","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00624-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00624-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To conduct a scoping review of research on government spending and violence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We searched nine databases for peer-reviewed publications evaluating the association between government spending on public goods and services and (other- or self-directed) violent physical injury or death in the United States.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 5,734 screened articles, 33 met the inclusion criteria. Over one-third of studies were published in the last ten years (n = 13). Studies most commonly evaluated spending at the state (n = 19), county (n = 5), and city (n = 5) levels. Studies examined spending on social welfare (n = 21), health (n = 12), education (n = 9), law enforcement (n = 8), and/or community development (n = 2). Outcomes were homicide/assault (n = 28) and suicide (n = 17). All studies were ecologic, 24 were serial cross-sectional, and most (n = 28) made attempts to control for confounding. Findings were mixed, but studies of social welfare, health, and education most commonly found that increased spending was significantly associated with reductions in violence.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>While research has varied somewhat in methodology and findings, results of this scoping review indicate that government investments in supportive services may be promising structural interventions to prevent violence and promote safety and health.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"86"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12750604/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145858158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-27DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00652-3
Garen J Wintemute, Sonia L Robinson, Andrew Crawford, Elizabeth A Tomsich, Mona A Wright, Veronica A Pear, Aaron B Shev
Background: A nationally representative longitudinal survey in the USA found a decrease in population-level support for political violence from 2022 to 2023. This individual-level analysis of those data examines associations between the occurrence of 18 specified life events and subsequent change in views on political violence.
Methods: Participants in the Life in America Survey were members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel. Wave 2 of the survey was fielded online May 18-June 8, 2023; all respondents to 2022's Wave 1 who remained in KnowledgePanel were invited to participate. We calculated individual scores for 2022 and 2023 on 35 political violence measures from the first component of an ordinal principal components analysis and computed the difference in scores for individual respondents from 2022 to 2023 to represent a 1-year change in these measures. Our principal outcomes are adjusted mean differences in change scores from 2022 to 2023 between individuals experiencing and not experiencing the 18 life events.
Results: The completion rate was 84.2%; there were 9385 respondents. Support for political violence decreased for 19.9% of respondents, increased for 14.2%, and remained unchanged for 65.9%. When events were considered individually in a model that adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics and other life events, only "things improved for me financially" was associated with decreased support for political violence among respondents as a whole; "I gave up on politics" was associated with an increase. No event was associated with change among both men and women when they were analyzed separately. Among respondents who reported in 2022 that violence was usually or always justified for at least 1 political objective, no events were associated with change in support for political violence. Among those who strongly approved in 2022 of left-wing violent extremist organizations or movements, "my political beliefs changed a lot" was associated with a large decrease.
Conclusions: In this cohort, few life events were associated with changes in support for political violence across the entire population, but there were important subset findings. The findings support interventions to improve measures of economic well-being across the population and to encourage belief change among extremists as political violence prevention measures.
{"title":"Life events and change in support for political violence in the United States: findings from a 2023 nationally representative survey.","authors":"Garen J Wintemute, Sonia L Robinson, Andrew Crawford, Elizabeth A Tomsich, Mona A Wright, Veronica A Pear, Aaron B Shev","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00652-3","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00652-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>A nationally representative longitudinal survey in the USA found a decrease in population-level support for political violence from 2022 to 2023. This individual-level analysis of those data examines associations between the occurrence of 18 specified life events and subsequent change in views on political violence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Participants in the Life in America Survey were members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel. Wave 2 of the survey was fielded online May 18-June 8, 2023; all respondents to 2022's Wave 1 who remained in KnowledgePanel were invited to participate. We calculated individual scores for 2022 and 2023 on 35 political violence measures from the first component of an ordinal principal components analysis and computed the difference in scores for individual respondents from 2022 to 2023 to represent a 1-year change in these measures. Our principal outcomes are adjusted mean differences in change scores from 2022 to 2023 between individuals experiencing and not experiencing the 18 life events.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The completion rate was 84.2%; there were 9385 respondents. Support for political violence decreased for 19.9% of respondents, increased for 14.2%, and remained unchanged for 65.9%. When events were considered individually in a model that adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics and other life events, only \"things improved for me financially\" was associated with decreased support for political violence among respondents as a whole; \"I gave up on politics\" was associated with an increase. No event was associated with change among both men and women when they were analyzed separately. Among respondents who reported in 2022 that violence was usually or always justified for at least 1 political objective, no events were associated with change in support for political violence. Among those who strongly approved in 2022 of left-wing violent extremist organizations or movements, \"my political beliefs changed a lot\" was associated with a large decrease.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this cohort, few life events were associated with changes in support for political violence across the entire population, but there were important subset findings. The findings support interventions to improve measures of economic well-being across the population and to encourage belief change among extremists as political violence prevention measures.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"9"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12853587/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145847006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-17DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00638-1
Kelsey M Conrick, Erika Marts, Rachel Ross, Esprene Liddell-Quintyn, Julia P Schleimer, Ayah Mustafah, Nicole Asa, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar
Background: Extreme Risk Protection Orders (ERPOs) are civil legal tools that temporarily restrict firearm access for individuals deemed to pose a risk of harm to themselves or others. Although ERPOs are strictly civil orders, their implementation often overlaps with other legal and behavioral health interventions. This qualitative study examined patterns among individuals subject to law enforcement-filed ERPOs in Washington State who intersect with arrest and involuntary transportation for behavioral health evaluation, and how these intervention pathways relate to ERPO outcomes.
Methods: Of the 859 ERPOs granted at the temporary level in Washington State between 2016 and 2022, 57.6% (n = 495) involved one of the three intervention pathways: arrest (29.6%, n = 254), involuntary transport for behavioral health evaluation (26.1%, n = 224), or both (2.0%, n = 17) during the precipitating event that led to ERPO filing. We conducted qualitative analysis using the pen portrait method for n = 130 of these 495 cases to examine how risk was framed in court narratives and how those narratives corresponded with intervention pathways and ERPO outcomes.
Results: Narratives that emphasized self-harm frequently described involuntary transport, while those highlighting threats to others often involved arrest. Other factors, including firearm presence, mental health history, and how intent was described, emerged as recurring narrative elements and corresponded with specific intervention pathways. Judges ordered behavioral health evaluations in 36.3% of granted one-year ERPOs, but no clear patterns emerged between intervention pathways and this outcome.
Conclusions: Findings suggest that law enforcement narratives were associated with how ERPO cases unfolded and which systems became involved. These findings highlight how variation in the way risk is framed in ERPO petitions, particularly around perceived intent, danger to self versus others, and contextual factors, can influence how systems respond, even under similar behavioral circumstances.
{"title":"Criminal legal and behavioral health pathways in law enforcement-petitioned extreme risk protection orders.","authors":"Kelsey M Conrick, Erika Marts, Rachel Ross, Esprene Liddell-Quintyn, Julia P Schleimer, Ayah Mustafah, Nicole Asa, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00638-1","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00638-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Extreme Risk Protection Orders (ERPOs) are civil legal tools that temporarily restrict firearm access for individuals deemed to pose a risk of harm to themselves or others. Although ERPOs are strictly civil orders, their implementation often overlaps with other legal and behavioral health interventions. This qualitative study examined patterns among individuals subject to law enforcement-filed ERPOs in Washington State who intersect with arrest and involuntary transportation for behavioral health evaluation, and how these intervention pathways relate to ERPO outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Of the 859 ERPOs granted at the temporary level in Washington State between 2016 and 2022, 57.6% (n = 495) involved one of the three intervention pathways: arrest (29.6%, n = 254), involuntary transport for behavioral health evaluation (26.1%, n = 224), or both (2.0%, n = 17) during the precipitating event that led to ERPO filing. We conducted qualitative analysis using the pen portrait method for n = 130 of these 495 cases to examine how risk was framed in court narratives and how those narratives corresponded with intervention pathways and ERPO outcomes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Narratives that emphasized self-harm frequently described involuntary transport, while those highlighting threats to others often involved arrest. Other factors, including firearm presence, mental health history, and how intent was described, emerged as recurring narrative elements and corresponded with specific intervention pathways. Judges ordered behavioral health evaluations in 36.3% of granted one-year ERPOs, but no clear patterns emerged between intervention pathways and this outcome.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Findings suggest that law enforcement narratives were associated with how ERPO cases unfolded and which systems became involved. These findings highlight how variation in the way risk is framed in ERPO petitions, particularly around perceived intent, danger to self versus others, and contextual factors, can influence how systems respond, even under similar behavioral circumstances.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"84"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12709734/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145775317","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-17DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00639-0
Samar Al-Hajj, Larry Thomas, Len Garis, Khalil El-Asmar, Farah El-Hajj, Ian Pike
Background: Occupational injury accounts for the highest rate of morbidity and mortality among firefighters, surpassing other occupations. Canada is particularly susceptible to fires and consequently increased health burden. This study examines trends in firefighters' injury and death claims across Canada, focusing on claim characteristics, mechanisms of injury and disease, and geographic distribution across provinces and territories.
Methods: Data on accepted fatality and time-loss injury claims were collected from the Association of Workers' Compensation Boards of Canada (AWCBC) and WorkSafeBC over 15 years (2007-2021). Linear regression models were used to assess trends in time-loss injury and fatality claims. Chi-square tests were conducted to analyze the distribution of fatalities and injuries across age groups.
Results: A total of 29,499 claims were analyzed, including 1,509 fatalities and 27,990 time-loss injuries, with males representing 92.2% of injury and 99.4% of fatality claims. Cancer was the leading cause of fatalities, accounting for 84.6% of claims with a fatality rate of 993.7 per 100,000 firefighters per year. Traumatic injuries were the primary cause of time-loss claims, comprising 80.6% of cases with a rate of 17,859.1 per 100,000 firefighters per year. Mental health-related claims saw a significant 231.2% increase. The "65 and over" age group had the highest fatality claims (n = 826, 54.7%), with statistically significant differences observed in the distribution of fatalities and injuries between age groups (p = 0.002 < 0.05). Ontario reported the most fatalities (n = 713, 47.3%) and time-loss claims (n = 8591, 30.7%), followed by Quebec, British Columbia, and Alberta.
Conclusion: This study highlights the increasing burden of cancer among Canadian firefighters and the sharp rise in mental health-related claims, emphasizing the need for further research into the occupational health risks faced by firefighters to improve their long-term well-being.
{"title":"Occupational injury among firefighters in Canada: a trends analysis of fatality and time-loss injury claims (2007-2021).","authors":"Samar Al-Hajj, Larry Thomas, Len Garis, Khalil El-Asmar, Farah El-Hajj, Ian Pike","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00639-0","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00639-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Occupational injury accounts for the highest rate of morbidity and mortality among firefighters, surpassing other occupations. Canada is particularly susceptible to fires and consequently increased health burden. This study examines trends in firefighters' injury and death claims across Canada, focusing on claim characteristics, mechanisms of injury and disease, and geographic distribution across provinces and territories.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data on accepted fatality and time-loss injury claims were collected from the Association of Workers' Compensation Boards of Canada (AWCBC) and WorkSafeBC over 15 years (2007-2021). Linear regression models were used to assess trends in time-loss injury and fatality claims. Chi-square tests were conducted to analyze the distribution of fatalities and injuries across age groups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 29,499 claims were analyzed, including 1,509 fatalities and 27,990 time-loss injuries, with males representing 92.2% of injury and 99.4% of fatality claims. Cancer was the leading cause of fatalities, accounting for 84.6% of claims with a fatality rate of 993.7 per 100,000 firefighters per year. Traumatic injuries were the primary cause of time-loss claims, comprising 80.6% of cases with a rate of 17,859.1 per 100,000 firefighters per year. Mental health-related claims saw a significant 231.2% increase. The \"65 and over\" age group had the highest fatality claims (n = 826, 54.7%), with statistically significant differences observed in the distribution of fatalities and injuries between age groups (p = 0.002 < 0.05). Ontario reported the most fatalities (n = 713, 47.3%) and time-loss claims (n = 8591, 30.7%), followed by Quebec, British Columbia, and Alberta.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study highlights the increasing burden of cancer among Canadian firefighters and the sharp rise in mental health-related claims, emphasizing the need for further research into the occupational health risks faced by firefighters to improve their long-term well-being.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"85"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12709765/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145775491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-10DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00642-5
Meron Girma, Julia P Schleimer, Andrew Hillen, Astrid Aveledo, Ayah Mustafa, Deepika Nehra, Dominique Davis, Elaine Gonzalez, Emily Westlake, Esprene Liddell-Quintyn, Kris Torset, Kristian Jones, Laura Johnson, Lina R Benson, Lynniah Grayson, Orlando Ames, Rachel Ross, Samantha Decker, Taffy Hunter, Tarell Harrison, Tier Simon-Matthews, Vivian Lyons, Zaheed Lynch, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar
Background: Community violence intervention (CVI) is increasingly considered an important component of comprehensive public safety infrastructure, but research and evaluation of CVI programs remain underdeveloped. There is a critical need for evaluation measures that are developed collaboratively with those most proximate to these interventions and that capture interventions' nuanced and holistic impacts. This paper presents the process and results of a practitioner-academic partnership to co-develop youth-focused CVI evaluation measures in Washington state.
Results: The process of co-developing evaluation measures involved two phases. For phase 1, we created a menu of quantitative measures (n = 60) for each outcome construct in a previously co-developed CVI theory of change by integrating existing measures, identified through a literature review, with insights and recommendations from CVI practitioners gathered during a workshop. For phase 2, we tailored and refined quantitative and qualitative measures with/for 7 CVI programs involved in the collaboration via individual meetings (n = 45 one-hour meetings over the course of 10 months, average = 6.4 meetings per program). The process of refining measures involved extensive discussion around several key considerations, including confidentiality, age appropriateness of questions, and language/jargon. After revisions, each CVI program had a customized list of quantitative and qualitative measures that fit their program and the population they served. We also created an online toolkit accompanying this paper so others may easily use, tailor, and build upon our work.
Conclusions: Our process of co-developing youth-focused CVI evaluation measures drew from existing literature while heavily prioritizing the knowledge, expertise, and capacity of CVI practitioners. This helped facilitate power sharing and responsiveness to community needs, and we believe it resulted in more appropriate and contextually relevant measures. By detailing the iterative process that we took along with the resulting evaluation measures, our intent is to encourage practitioner-academic collaboration and underscore how such partnerships can enhance the field's understanding of CVI implementation and impacts.
{"title":"Engaging practitioners and academic researchers in co-developing evaluation measures for community violence interventions.","authors":"Meron Girma, Julia P Schleimer, Andrew Hillen, Astrid Aveledo, Ayah Mustafa, Deepika Nehra, Dominique Davis, Elaine Gonzalez, Emily Westlake, Esprene Liddell-Quintyn, Kris Torset, Kristian Jones, Laura Johnson, Lina R Benson, Lynniah Grayson, Orlando Ames, Rachel Ross, Samantha Decker, Taffy Hunter, Tarell Harrison, Tier Simon-Matthews, Vivian Lyons, Zaheed Lynch, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00642-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00642-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Community violence intervention (CVI) is increasingly considered an important component of comprehensive public safety infrastructure, but research and evaluation of CVI programs remain underdeveloped. There is a critical need for evaluation measures that are developed collaboratively with those most proximate to these interventions and that capture interventions' nuanced and holistic impacts. This paper presents the process and results of a practitioner-academic partnership to co-develop youth-focused CVI evaluation measures in Washington state.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The process of co-developing evaluation measures involved two phases. For phase 1, we created a menu of quantitative measures (n = 60) for each outcome construct in a previously co-developed CVI theory of change by integrating existing measures, identified through a literature review, with insights and recommendations from CVI practitioners gathered during a workshop. For phase 2, we tailored and refined quantitative and qualitative measures with/for 7 CVI programs involved in the collaboration via individual meetings (n = 45 one-hour meetings over the course of 10 months, average = 6.4 meetings per program). The process of refining measures involved extensive discussion around several key considerations, including confidentiality, age appropriateness of questions, and language/jargon. After revisions, each CVI program had a customized list of quantitative and qualitative measures that fit their program and the population they served. We also created an online toolkit accompanying this paper so others may easily use, tailor, and build upon our work.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our process of co-developing youth-focused CVI evaluation measures drew from existing literature while heavily prioritizing the knowledge, expertise, and capacity of CVI practitioners. This helped facilitate power sharing and responsiveness to community needs, and we believe it resulted in more appropriate and contextually relevant measures. By detailing the iterative process that we took along with the resulting evaluation measures, our intent is to encourage practitioner-academic collaboration and underscore how such partnerships can enhance the field's understanding of CVI implementation and impacts.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"7"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12801489/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145726525","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-08DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00649-y
Rosol Mikail, Rebecca Valek, Shauna Rakshe, Rebecca Teichman, Susan DeFrancesco, Kathleen F Carlson
Background: Firearm violence is a critical public health issue in the United States. Extreme Risk Protection Order (ERPO) laws have been enacted in many states to prevent firearm violence, including mass violence. Oregon's ERPO law allows family/household members or law enforcement officers to petition a civil court for an order to temporarily restrict a person's access to firearms when at imminent risk of harming themselves or others. This study examined the characteristics of ERPO petitions filed in Oregon that involved mass violence threats.
Methods: ERPO court records for petitions filed from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2023 were obtained through the Oregon Judicial Case Information Network and abstracted; double coding was completed to assess interrater reliability. Descriptive analyses were conducted to examine characteristics of ERPO petitions filed to prevent mass violence. These petitions were compared to those without mass violence threats using Fisher's exact tests and the Wilcoxon rank sum test.
Results: From 2018 to 2023, 835 ERPO petitions were filed, of which 92 (11.0%) cited a risk of mass violence. ERPO petitions citing threats of mass violence were more likely to be granted (90.2%) than those without such threats (76.3%; p = 0.002). Risks of mass violence to schools or college campuses, specifically, were cited in 27 petitions, all of which were granted. Law enforcement officers filed a larger proportion of the petitions citing threats of mass violence (88.0%) than petitions without such threats (57.9%; p < 0.001).
Conclusions: Our findings suggest that Oregon's ERPO law is being used as intended to address firearm injury risk, including mass violence risk and risk to schools and college campuses. Petitions citing mass violence threats appeared to differ significantly in terms of some characteristics from those citing non-mass violence threat types, including a higher likelihood of being granted. Further research on the use of ERPOs is needed to fully understand the barriers and facilitators to effective implementation of these laws to prevent mass violence.
背景:枪支暴力是美国一个重要的公共卫生问题。许多州颁布了极端风险保护令(ERPO)法律,以防止枪支暴力,包括大规模暴力。俄勒冈州的ERPO法律允许家庭成员或执法人员向民事法院申请命令,暂时限制一个人在有伤害自己或他人的危险时获得枪支。本研究调查了俄勒冈州提交的涉及大规模暴力威胁的ERPO请愿书的特征。方法:通过俄勒冈州司法案件信息网(Oregon Judicial Case Information Network)获取2018年1月1日至2023年12月31日提交的ERPO法庭案件记录,并进行摘录;完成双重编码以评估互译器的可靠性。进行了描述性分析,以检查为防止大规模暴力而提交的ERPO请愿书的特征。使用Fisher的精确检验和Wilcoxon秩和检验,将这些请愿书与没有大规模暴力威胁的请愿书进行比较。结果:从2018年到2023年,提交了835份ERPO请愿书,其中92份(11.0%)引用了大规模暴力的风险。引用大规模暴力威胁的ERPO请愿被批准的可能性(90.2%)高于没有此类威胁的(76.3%,p = 0.002)。具体来说,27份请愿书提到了对学校或大学校园实施大规模暴力的风险,所有请愿书都获得了批准。执法人员提交的请愿书中提到大规模暴力威胁的比例(88.0%)高于没有此类威胁的比例(57.9%);p结论:我们的研究结果表明,俄勒冈州的ERPO法被用来解决枪支伤害风险,包括大规模暴力风险和对学校和大学校园的风险。引用大规模暴力威胁的请愿书在某些特征上似乎与引用非大规模暴力威胁类型的请愿书有很大不同,包括获得批准的可能性更高。需要对ERPOs的使用进行进一步研究,以充分了解有效执行这些法律以防止大规模暴力的障碍和促进因素。
{"title":"Use of Oregon's Extreme Risk Protection Order law to prevent mass violence: A descriptive study.","authors":"Rosol Mikail, Rebecca Valek, Shauna Rakshe, Rebecca Teichman, Susan DeFrancesco, Kathleen F Carlson","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00649-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00649-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Firearm violence is a critical public health issue in the United States. Extreme Risk Protection Order (ERPO) laws have been enacted in many states to prevent firearm violence, including mass violence. Oregon's ERPO law allows family/household members or law enforcement officers to petition a civil court for an order to temporarily restrict a person's access to firearms when at imminent risk of harming themselves or others. This study examined the characteristics of ERPO petitions filed in Oregon that involved mass violence threats.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>ERPO court records for petitions filed from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2023 were obtained through the Oregon Judicial Case Information Network and abstracted; double coding was completed to assess interrater reliability. Descriptive analyses were conducted to examine characteristics of ERPO petitions filed to prevent mass violence. These petitions were compared to those without mass violence threats using Fisher's exact tests and the Wilcoxon rank sum test.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From 2018 to 2023, 835 ERPO petitions were filed, of which 92 (11.0%) cited a risk of mass violence. ERPO petitions citing threats of mass violence were more likely to be granted (90.2%) than those without such threats (76.3%; p = 0.002). Risks of mass violence to schools or college campuses, specifically, were cited in 27 petitions, all of which were granted. Law enforcement officers filed a larger proportion of the petitions citing threats of mass violence (88.0%) than petitions without such threats (57.9%; p < 0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our findings suggest that Oregon's ERPO law is being used as intended to address firearm injury risk, including mass violence risk and risk to schools and college campuses. Petitions citing mass violence threats appeared to differ significantly in terms of some characteristics from those citing non-mass violence threat types, including a higher likelihood of being granted. Further research on the use of ERPOs is needed to fully understand the barriers and facilitators to effective implementation of these laws to prevent mass violence.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":" ","pages":"5"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12797917/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145701669","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-08DOI: 10.1186/s40621-025-00631-8
Garen J Wintemute, Bradley Velasquez, Yueju Li, Elizabeth A Tomsich, Paul M Reeping, Daniel Tancredi, Sonia L Robinson
Background: Concern for political violence in the United States remains high. The limited information available indicates that approval of specific extreme right-wing organizations and social movements is associated with support for and willingness to engage in political violence, but systematic data are lacking. The study objective is to quantify those associations at the individual level in a nationally representative survey sample.
Methods: Cross-sectional analysis from Wave 1 of a nationally representative survey of members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel, conducted May-June 2022. The exposure is approval (categorized from non-approval to strong approval) of 8 named organizations and social movements, considered individually and together. Principal outcomes are justification for political violence, in general and to advance specific political objectives; willingness to engage in political violence, by type of violence and target population; and expectation of firearm use in political violence. Outcomes are expressed as weighted percentages and adjusted prevalence differences (aPDs, expressed in absolute percentage points (pp)).
Results: The completion rate was 55.8%; there were 8,620 respondents. After weighting, 50.6% of respondents (95% CI 49.4%, 51.7%) were female, and 62.6% (95% CI 61.4%, 63.9%) were white, non-Hispanic; the weighted mean (SD) age was 48.4 (18.0) years. Few respondents (1.4%, 95% CI 1.0%, 1.8%) strongly approved of the organizations and movements considered together. However, strong approvers were much more likely than non-approvers to consider violence usually or always justified to advance specific political objectives and much more willing to engage in political violence; aPDs frequently exceeded 30% points. To advance a political objective, 29.1% (95% CI 18.4%, 39.8%) of strong approvers were very or completely willing to kill someone, and 18.1% (95% CI 8.5%, 27.7%) thought it very or extremely likely that they would shoot someone; prevalences among non-approvers were 0.9% (95% CI 0.5%, 1.2%) and 0.6% (95% CI 0.3%, 0.9%), respectively.
Conclusions: Approval of extreme right-wing organizations and social movements is strongly associated with support for and willingness to engage in political violence. Given continued concern for political violence in the United States and the new possibility that such individuals might join federal law enforcement in large numbers, focused prevention measures are urgently needed.
背景:对美国政治暴力的关注仍然很高。现有的有限资料表明,对特定极右翼组织和社会运动的赞同与支持和愿意参与政治暴力有关,但缺乏系统的数据。研究的目的是在一个具有全国代表性的调查样本中,在个人层面上量化这些关联。方法:对Ipsos知识小组成员进行的全国代表性调查的第1波进行横断面分析,该调查于2022年5月至6月进行。曝光是对8个指定组织和社会运动的认可(从不认可到强烈认可),分别考虑和综合考虑。主要结果是为一般的政治暴力和推进具体的政治目标提供理由;参与政治暴力的意愿,按暴力类型和目标人群分列;以及在政治暴力中使用枪支的预期。结果以加权百分比和调整后的患病率差异(apd,以绝对百分比(pp)表示)表示。结果:完成率为55.8%;共有8620名受访者。加权后,50.6%的受访者(95% CI 49.4%, 51.7%)为女性,62.6% (95% CI 61.4%, 63.9%)为白人,非西班牙裔;加权平均(SD)年龄为48.4(18.0)岁。很少有受访者(1.4%,95%可信区间1.0%,1.8%)强烈赞成将这些组织和运动放在一起考虑。但是,强烈的赞成者比不赞成者更有可能认为暴力通常或总是有理由推进具体的政治目标,并且更愿意从事政治暴力;apd经常超过30%。为了推进政治目标,29.1% (95% CI 18.4%, 39.8%)的强烈支持者非常或完全愿意杀人,18.1% (95% CI 8.5%, 27.7%)的人认为他们非常或极有可能开枪杀人;未批准者的患病率分别为0.9% (95% CI 0.5%, 1.2%)和0.6% (95% CI 0.3%, 0.9%)。结论:对极右翼组织和社会运动的支持与参与政治暴力的支持和意愿密切相关。鉴于对美国政治暴力的持续关注,以及这类人可能大量加入联邦执法部门的新可能性,迫切需要有重点的预防措施。
{"title":"Approval of extreme right-wing organizations and social movements and support for political violence in the United States: findings from a nationally representative survey.","authors":"Garen J Wintemute, Bradley Velasquez, Yueju Li, Elizabeth A Tomsich, Paul M Reeping, Daniel Tancredi, Sonia L Robinson","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00631-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00631-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Concern for political violence in the United States remains high. The limited information available indicates that approval of specific extreme right-wing organizations and social movements is associated with support for and willingness to engage in political violence, but systematic data are lacking. The study objective is to quantify those associations at the individual level in a nationally representative survey sample.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Cross-sectional analysis from Wave 1 of a nationally representative survey of members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel, conducted May-June 2022. The exposure is approval (categorized from non-approval to strong approval) of 8 named organizations and social movements, considered individually and together. Principal outcomes are justification for political violence, in general and to advance specific political objectives; willingness to engage in political violence, by type of violence and target population; and expectation of firearm use in political violence. Outcomes are expressed as weighted percentages and adjusted prevalence differences (aPDs, expressed in absolute percentage points (pp)).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The completion rate was 55.8%; there were 8,620 respondents. After weighting, 50.6% of respondents (95% CI 49.4%, 51.7%) were female, and 62.6% (95% CI 61.4%, 63.9%) were white, non-Hispanic; the weighted mean (SD) age was 48.4 (18.0) years. Few respondents (1.4%, 95% CI 1.0%, 1.8%) strongly approved of the organizations and movements considered together. However, strong approvers were much more likely than non-approvers to consider violence usually or always justified to advance specific political objectives and much more willing to engage in political violence; aPDs frequently exceeded 30% points. To advance a political objective, 29.1% (95% CI 18.4%, 39.8%) of strong approvers were very or completely willing to kill someone, and 18.1% (95% CI 8.5%, 27.7%) thought it very or extremely likely that they would shoot someone; prevalences among non-approvers were 0.9% (95% CI 0.5%, 1.2%) and 0.6% (95% CI 0.3%, 0.9%), respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Approval of extreme right-wing organizations and social movements is strongly associated with support for and willingness to engage in political violence. Given continued concern for political violence in the United States and the new possibility that such individuals might join federal law enforcement in large numbers, focused prevention measures are urgently needed.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"82"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12683887/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145709968","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}