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Decarbonisation pathways for UK transport
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-11 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12410
Professor Jillian Anable
<p>While other sectors of the UK economy have made some progress in reducing their greenhouse gas emissions1 since 1990, the transport sector, taken to include both air and surface modes as well as domestic and international movements from the UK, has yet to do so (figure 1). In 2019, emissions were 11 per cent above 1990 levels compared to the 53 per cent reduction achieved by the rest of the economic sectors.2 Emissions from transport finally fell below the baseline level in 2020, due to the impacts on travel activity posed by the Covid-19 pandemic, only to bounce back again since. The latest figures (2023) show transport, including international movements, standing at 151 MtCO<sub>2</sub>e, essentially still at the 1990 baseline.</p><p>Without some specific policy instruments used over recent decades, the situation would have been even worse. The mandatory CO<sub>2</sub> vehicle emissions performance standards for cars and vans since 20094 and the Renewable Transport Fuels Obligation since 20085 brought continuous attention to the carbon intensity of the light duty vehicle fleet in use. However, the benefits achieved by these efforts have been more than negated by the cumulative impact of a combination of trends, many of which still prevail today. These include discrepancies between vehicle test-cycle and real-world performance, the growth in the size and weight of new cars, the slow uptake of pure battery electric vehicles, the increase in light goods vehicles (or ‘van’) traffic, minimal progress in efficiency improvements in heavy goods vehicles, and the immense rise in air passenger demand.</p><p>Thus, any discussion of UK transport decarbonisation pathways must begin with the hard truth that the sector's entire emissions reduction challenge will have to be achieved in less than half the allotted 60-year period set down by the UK Climate Change Act to achieve ‘net zero’ (1990-2050). In this next phase, the easier wins already secured in the rest of the economy will no longer be available to compensate for transport's failure. Any limited carbon sequestration options that may come online to allow the UK to still emit greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 (as defines the ‘net’ aspect of the target) are reserved for aviation in this sector; therefore, all surface transport modes must achieve ‘absolute zero’ emissions.6</p><p>Consequently, accounting for 36 per cent of UK emissions in 2023, if transport decarbonisation fails, net zero will also fail. Moreover, 2030 is the year designated by the UK for its legally-binding nationally determined contribution (NDC) towards meeting the UN goal under the Paris Agreement. This requires at least a 68 per cent fall in territorial emissions7 which translates into a quadrupling of the rate of emissions reductions outside of the power sector.8 A radically different decarbonisation pathway for transport is now an imperative to start to make deep cuts over the next half a decade. But what might this consist of an
在另一项分析中,Marsden 比较了 CBDP 和 CCC 第六次碳预算(至 2037 年),发现即使雄心勃勃的零排放汽车授权(ZEV--见下文)和其他一些已确认的小规模行为改变措施得到充分实现,仅国内部门就有 1.82 亿吨碳的累计超额排放14。马斯登强调,这相当于 10 年的道路交通碳减排量,而这些减排量来自于 Covid-19 封锁期间被压制的活动。这两项分析都是对大量工作的补充,这些工作一致发现,与英国地方、区域、次国家和国家范围内的碳预算相比,已确认的政策严重不足。值得注意的是,尽管采用了不同的方法、碳预算期、地理和时间尺度以及系统边界,这些研究仍然得出了基本一致的明确结论:即使实现了雄心勃勃的电气化,也必须大幅减少汽车的使用。霍普金森等人对 2020 年前的一系列不同建模分析进行比较后发现,到 2030 年,平均汽车总里程数必须比约 2019 年的水平至少减少 20%。15 鉴于自这些研究使用的基准年以来,时间已经过去了一半左右,但汽车里程数仍然只是略有下降,电动汽车的普及速度也比预期的要慢,16 我们可以假设,现在至少要下降 50%。鉴于在短期内实现汽车二氧化碳排放量的大幅减少势在必行,本文的其余部分将探讨如果在 2025 年 5 月之前通过的英国修订战略中包括这种需求减少水平,那么交通脱碳的途径将会是怎样的。ZEV 要求汽车制造商每年销售越来越多的电动汽车 (EV),到 2035 年达到 100%,占到 2032 年国内交通部门确认政策的 80%(1.13 亿吨 CO2e)。因此,上述政策缺口的规模很可能被低估了,因为它假定已确认政策的减排量将在累积的基础上全部实现。在电动汽车的销售稳固步入所需的轨道之前,对未实现目标进行规划将是对预防原则的应用,尽管该原则在交通去碳化的治理中一直缺乏失败的记录。鉴于 ZEV 已代表了商业、实践和政治上可实现的最快电动汽车普及率,18 任何剩余的技术改进都必须从非电池电动汽车车队中获得。成功与否取决于从现在到禁止销售期间新车效率的提高速度19 以及整体报废率。汽油车、柴油车和非插电式混合动力车的平均尾气排放量在十多年间逐年略有减少,但从 2017 年左右开始增加,尽管汽油车的尾气排放量最近趋于稳定20 。SUV ("运动型多用途车")目前是最受欢迎的乘用车,2023 年将占英国新车注册量的 60%。21 其中五分之四以上是汽油车、柴油车、混合动力车或插电式混合动力车 (PHEV),它们的平均排放量比普通中型车高 20%。这意味着在未来 15 年或更长时间内,由于这些汽车在车队中所占比例仍然很高,特别是新车的使用时间更长,排放量将大幅增加。电动汽车的尺寸和重量都有增加的趋势,其较大的能源需求可能会阻碍可再生电力系统以许多模型中假设的速度扩展。23 这种 "流动性 "流行病还涉及更广泛的物质影响,包括土地使用、健康、安全和货币资源。24 因此,"供应方 "的一个明确选择是立即开始限制销售碳密集度最高的汽车。目前还没有任何地方通过法规限制这些车辆进入车队。不过,也有人试图抑制这些车辆的使用,如法国和挪威基于重量征收汽车税,巴黎最近也将 SUV 的停车费提高了三倍。 汽车的尺寸和重量减小得越多,人们就越少需要通过价格或物理限制来限制汽车的使用,尽管根据模型情景,后者仍然是必要的,但这两种措施都有。英国气候大会 (CAUK) 成员在权衡利弊时,"尽快停止销售污染最严重的汽车 "获得了最多的第一选票--86% 的人表示基本同意,仅次于增加公共交通投资26。在新近当选的工党政府的第一份预算(2024 年 10 月)中,第一年就根据尾气排放增加了汽车流通税27 ,尤其是针对最大的豪华车型。28 但最重要的是,与苏格兰和威尔士的分权地区不同,目前还没有根据碳预算限制减少汽车行驶距离的明确目标。工党的第一份预算几乎没有迹象表明工党正在考虑这个问题,工党延长了燃油税的冻结期,并维持了每升 5 便士的降幅,即使在燃油成本相对较低的情况下也是如此。英国交通部的交通脱碳计划包含近 80 项 "承诺",其中包括重申公共汽车和积极出行的目标(到 2030 年,城镇中 50% 的出行将通过步行、轮椅或自行车完成)。这些目标已经偏离了轨道,但还是被新政府采纳了。首先,公共交通乘客量、步行和骑自行车的改善本身只能在所需范围的边缘替代汽车出行。29 非常有力的证据表明,只有在通过定价、道路封闭和停车限制等措施限制汽车使用的同时,改善替代出行方式,才能有效减少汽车出行。31 即使在公共交通免费或票价明显降低的地方,汽车出行的替代作用也微乎其微,大部分都来自于以前步行或骑自行车的出行。32 第二个主要缺陷是只关注汽车出行的比例,而不是理论上可以转移到替代模式的汽车里程数。瓦杜德 (Wadud) 等人对不同距离段和不同交通方式(包括航空)的个人交通排放源进行了广泛分析,提出了一个令人震惊的统计数据:在英国个人旅行中,只有 2.7% 是长途旅行(单程 50 英里),但却占了 61.3% 的里程数和 69.3% 的乘客旅行二氧化碳排放量。人们经常大力重复这些统计数据,声称通过模式转换可以带来巨大的碳减排机会。然而,瓦杜德等人的分析表明,即使所有 8 英里以下的 74% 汽车出行都转为零排放的主动模式,也只能使整个交通部门的排放量减少 9.3%。相比之下,如果所有 50 英里以上的汽车出行都转为铁路出行(占所有出行的比例不到 2%),那么交通部门的排放量将减少 5.2%。除了缺乏同步的汽车限制措施外,上述统计数据还解释了为什么从脱碳的角度来看,所谓的 "良好实践 "在很大程度上是失败的。例如,"荷兰的自行车出行水平"--即在当地出行时不使用汽车,特别是骑自行车--经常被作为实现气候目标的一个重要愿望。在荷兰,29% 的出行是骑自行车,而在英国,这一比例还不到 2%。34 因此,尽管英国居民平均乘坐飞机更多,但两国人均交通碳排放量几乎相当(图 2)。简单地说,这是由于荷兰缺乏对拥有和使用汽车的限制或抑制,再加上长途旅行的距离,尤其是休闲和商务旅行。 其次,如果不通过其他方式,包括通过目的地转移来鼓励短途旅行,有意义地阻止和满足较长距离的汽车旅行,那么传统上对短途旅行,主要是城市旅行的关注,往往狭隘地集中在通勤和上学途中,只能维持现状。我们必须关注实际产生碳的地方,以及是什么在支撑着汽车的拥有和使用。因此,如果不改变这些以休闲和家庭为主的活动,我们就无法实现交通脱碳。现实情况是,目前还没有很好的例子表明,这些较长距离的汽车出行已被转移到其他方式,或被重新配置为大规模的短途出行。考虑到这一挑战的规模,规划失败并探索同时适应和减缓方案之间的协同作用,以创建一个灵活、有弹性和低碳的系统,似乎是规划新交付战略的唯一真正有意义的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Disabled people's access needs in transport decarbonisation 残疾人在交通脱碳中的通行需求
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-11 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12414
Dr Harrie Larrington-Spencer
<p>Decarbonising transport is essential for achieving net zero. Transport is the largest contributor to UK domestic greenhouse gas emissions – responsible for 27 per cent in 2019, even excluding emissions from international aviation and shipping.1 Simply electrifying private vehicle stock at existing levels of ownership and use will not be sufficient to achieve climate goals,2 and will fail to address the public health epidemics of road deaths and serious injuries, physical inactivity, and air pollution, all enabled by private car ownership.3</p><p>Transport decarbonisation, then, necessitates increasing levels of active travel, as well as increasing public transport use – also recognising that most public transport journeys will start and end with active travel. Within this paper, active travel is understood as walking, wheeling, and cycling, with wheeling including fully-powered mobility aids such as electric wheelchairs and mobility scooters – reflecting the infrastructural needs of such modes, as well as acknowledging disabled people's often non-normative forms of physical activity.4</p><p>Active travel targets have been established across the UK, recognising the necessity of increasing mode share. For example, 50 per cent of trips in England's towns and cities to be walked, wheels, or cycled by 2030,5 a mode share target of 45 per cent for public transport and active travel in Wales by 2040,6 and a reduction in car use by 20 per cent in Scotland by 2030.7</p><p>To increase levels of active travel, reallocating road space away from private vehicles and making space for and investing in safe, accessible, and dedicated walking, wheeling, and cycling infrastructure is essential. In a systematic review of a decade's worth of research on active travel interventions, Roaf et al demonstrate how active travel interventions with infrastructure change have the greatest positive impact upon levels of active travel, whilst social and behavioural interventions without infrastructure change have little impact.8 Safe and dedicated infrastructure is also important for extending the diversity of people travelling actively. For example, women9 and disabled people10 often have a strong preference for dedicated cycling infrastructure, and such infrastructure has been demonstrated to increase the number of women cycling.11</p><p>Access frictions are emerging as new infrastructure with an evidence base for positive impacts upon levels of active travel, for example dedicated and segregated cycle tracks and low traffic neighbourhoods,12 is being implemented.13 Such frictions occur when nuanced and individualised embodiments of disability mean that the access needs of some disabled people, ie the things one needs to be able to fully and meaningfully participate within a space or activity such as travel, are seemingly incompatible with the access needs of other disabled people. Access friction between disabled people has also been discussed as ‘conflicting’ or ‘compet
交通去碳化是实现净零排放的关键。交通是英国国内温室气体排放的最大贡献者--2019 年占 27%,甚至不包括国际航空和海运的排放量。1 仅在现有的拥有和使用水平上对私家车进行电气化不足以实现气候目标,2 也无法解决因拥有私家车而导致的道路死亡和严重伤害、缺乏运动和空气污染等公共卫生流行病。因此,交通去碳化需要提高积极出行水平,同时增加公共交通的使用--也要认识到大多数公共交通出行的起点和终点都是积极出行。在本文中,积极出行被理解为步行、轮椅出行和骑自行车出行,其中轮椅出行包括电动轮椅和代步车等全动力代步工具--这反映了此类出行方式对基础设施的需求,同时也承认残疾人的体育活动形式通常并不规范。例如,到 2030 年,英格兰城镇中 50%的出行将以步行、轮椅或自行车代步;5 到 2040 年,威尔士的公共交通和积极出行的模式份额目标为 45%;6 到 2030 年,苏格兰的汽车使用量将减少 20%。7 为提高积极出行水平,必须重新分配道路空间,不再使用私家车,为安全、无障碍、专用的步行、轮椅和自行车基础设施留出空间并进行投资。Roaf 等人对十年来有关积极出行干预措施的研究进行了系统回顾,结果表明,改变基础设施的积极出行干预措施对积极出行水平的积极影响最大,而不改变基础设施的社会和行为干预措施影响甚微。例如,妇女9 和残疾人10 往往对专用的自行车基础设施情有独钟,而且此类基础设施已被证明可增加妇女骑车出行的人数。11 随着有证据证明对积极出行水平有积极影响的新基础设施(如专用和隔离的自行车道和低交通流量社区12)的实施,出现了准入摩擦。当残疾的细微和个性化体现意味着一些残疾人的无障碍需求,即一个人能够充分和有意义地参与一个空间或活动(如出行)所需要的东西,与其他残疾人的无障碍需求似乎不相容时,这种摩擦就会发生。残疾人之间的无障碍摩擦也被讨论为 "相互冲突 "或 "相互竞争 "的无障碍需求。然而,由于将残疾人的无障碍需求对立起来,这种框架排除了超越这种僵局并制定更具包容性的解决方案的可能性。这也是对残疾人团结和大多数残疾人满足他人无障碍需求的愿望的不公,即使这些需求似乎与自己的需求不相容。正如 Piepzna-Samarasinha 所反映的那样:"我经常看到,当我们无法满足朋友的某些需求时,瘸子专用空间充满了背叛感和无助感"。14 为了展示新的积极出行基础设施中的通行摩擦,我将在下文讨论公交站旁路的案例。公交站旁路是指在公交站后方设置专用自行车道,保持自行车道使用者与道路上机动车的隔离(图 1)。公交站旁路是满足残疾骑车人通行需求的重要基础设施,对他们来说,不与机动车共用车行道通常是能够骑车的重要便利因素。15 这种旁路也能让使用 2 级或 3 级代步车和电动轮椅的残疾人受益,他们可以合法使用自行车道。16 对于一些行动不便者和电动代步车使用者来说,自行车道(如果有的话)可能比人行道更容易到达,因为路面通常更平整,而且在通过路口时,路缘石掉落也不那么令人担忧。然而,由于新出现的通行摩擦,特别是来自盲人和视障人士以及皇家全国盲人协会 (RNIB)、全国盲人联合会 (NFB) 和导盲犬慈善机构等代表组织的反对意见也一直存在。 30 现在被认为是最佳做法的进一步迭代,是在过街点使用触线与路缘石相结合,允许轮椅使用者从人行道上通过过街通道,同时也提醒盲人和视障行人注意道路与人行道的交汇处31。在开发这种基础设施的过程中,我们必须认识到它并不 "完美"。对于坐轮椅的人来说,路缘石可能会让他们感到疼痛,对于行走不便的人来说,路缘石也会给他们带来绊倒的危险,32 而针对盲人和视障行人的行动能力培训也必须发展到能在建筑环境中导航路缘石的程度。35 与其追求无法实现的 "完全无障碍",这种 "完全无障碍 "掩盖了无障碍的摩擦,并将与残疾交织在一起的其他形式的差异非物质化。打造这样的集体通道并非易事,需要在有不同缺陷和看似不相容的通道需求的残疾人之间进行持续而艰难的对话,同时还要确保种族、性别和阶级形式的差异也得以实现。虽然我们有必要按残障类型来了解新的积极出行基础设施的具体体验,但积极出行基础设施的设计和开发必须是泛残障的。残疾人在积极出行基础设施的集体无障碍建设中的作用不能是象征性的,这不仅是因为残疾公正的基础是 "我们与我们无关",还因为正如 Piepzna-Samarasinha 所说:"如果你不知道如何进行无障碍建设,那就去问残疾人。36 残疾人是专家,也是日常生活的设计者。尊重我们的技能和知识,向我们学习。让我们从一开始就参与进来,但要记住,集体参与是一个过程。对发展和变化、持续的洞察力和改进持开放和灵活的态度(不仅在思想上,而且在资金上)。作为残疾人,无论多么令人沮丧,我们也需要尊重他人的使用需求,因为这些需求可能与我们自己的需求并不一致,并致力于 "建立一种实验模式,看看效果如何,然后进行调整 "38 。
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引用次数: 0
Transport's role in creating a fairer, healthier country 交通运输在建设更公平、更健康的国家中的作用
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12416
Angela Donkin, Mike Childs, Michael Marmot
<p>Transport can enable everyone, across the social gradient, to benefit from access to schools, colleges, and jobs. It is also critical to enable people to engage with essential services such as doctors, dentists, and hospitals, and to interact with friends and family. However, it is not equally available and can promote, or damage, health. This article explores four key areas where we believe better transport can play a key role in creating a fairer, healthier country.</p><p>The 2010 Marmot Review described how having access to transport enables access to work, education, social networks, and services that improve people's opportunities and overall community functioning.1 Conversely, not having good transport access increases inequalities in a range of the social determinants of health.2 Yet, in the Marmot review 10 years on,3 we noted the under-investment in a crucial part of our transport system: bus services. The quality of bus services has the greatest effect on the day-to-day travel experience of those without access to a car. In 2021–22, one in four (28 per cent) of the poorest fifth of households did not have access to a car, compared with just 6 per cent of the wealthiest fifth of households.4</p><p>In 2018, analyses of the National Travel Survey found that 19 per cent of unemployed people in England either turned down a job or did not apply for a job due to transport problems, compared with 6 per cent of people who were already in employment.5 This followed a sustained decrease in national funding for buses, with a 35 per cent drop in funding between 2008/09 and 2019/20; financial support for buses then increased over the pandemic, but has now fallen back.6 A report published this year notes that bus services outside London, in rural and urban areas, have now halved since 2008, with some areas having reductions of greater than 80 per cent.7 In addition, the cost of bus and coach fares has risen by 69 per cent since 2015, more than rail fares, and average wages, which have increased by 46 per cent.8 Noting the unaffordability of travel, in 2021 the government stepped in with a £2 limit on bus fares, which will rise to £3 in 2025.9</p><p>For those needing to travel outside of peak times, there has been a significant drop in the frequency and reliability of services. This particularly impacts shift workers without a car, for example those working in the NHS. It also impacts those without a car wanting to travel to socialise or access cultural services.10 Given that lack of quality, affordable transport is a barrier to employment, this will be exacerbating economic and health inequalities and holding back growth. Over half of the working-age population (57 per cent) live in areas with low public transport access to employment opportunities, ie within reach of 45 minutes travel time. Lack of transport does not only impact the ability to engage in work; 66 per cent (7.8 million) of elderly people cannot reach a hospital within 30 minutes by
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引用次数: 0
How car finance is holding back a just transition
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12411
Tom Haines-Doran
<p>Studies on how to decarbonise our transport system usually focus on technical solutions, and economic, social and political barriers. Very few have investigated the relationship between consumer finance and car dependency. This article focusses on how new retail car financing models have deepened car dependency and indebted consumers, to the benefit of a crisis-ridden car industry, and to the detriment of everyone else. It suggests that recognising the importance of car consumption financing is an important step in building the necessary political coalitions to achieve a ‘just transition’.</p><p>Most progressive commentary on transport and the environment recognises that we need to reduce car use, in order to reduce carbon emissions to safer levels and tackle social inequality. Although electric vehicles (EVs) undoubtedly play an important role in a just transition, the wholesale electrification of the car fleet would require enormous energy resources, a wholesale upgrade to the energy grid, and would deplete global lithium supplies. Moreover, the electrification of vehicles has enabled consumers to buy bigger and heavier cars; EVs – whether full EVs or hybrids – make heavier cars cheaper to drive, because electricity is cheaper than petrol or diesel. Maintaining high levels of car ownership and car usage, and allowing vehicles to increase in size, would have a detrimental impact on more vulnerable road users, especially those that, whether by choice or economic necessity, move around much more sustainably by walking and cycling.1</p><p>Recognising many of these factors, governments have made some limited policy decisions to prioritise active travel modes in recent years, whether through segregated bike lanes and ‘low traffic neighbourhoods’, or experiments in pollution charging with clean air zones.2 In many cases, these have generated considerable opposition. While these movements have not necessarily reflected the majority of public opinion, they have been sufficient to reduce the scope of schemes both locally and in terms of national policy.3 This has resulted in ‘culture wars’, seemingly dividing the population with motorists and the car industry on the one side, and environmental crusaders on the other.</p><p>Such patterns reveal the persistence of a strong ‘culture of car dependence’ in society, where support for car use, whether through, for example, tax breaks on consumption or increasing road capacity for cars, is commonsense and is broadly supported. As Mattioli et al argue, explaining the strength of this culture requires a deep understanding of the car industry.4 They show that car manufacturing is characterised by its huge economies of scale and high capital intensity. This gives the car industry considerable political clout. The increased provision of road capacity by politicians, and the travel habits that car owners establish, lead to ‘lock in’ mechanisms that continually reinforce car dependency and its political apologists.
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引用次数: 0
A just transition for transport
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12412
Shavanah Taj, Nisreen Mansour
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引用次数: 0
Mobility, emotion and political will
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-11-27 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12413
Filip Watteeuw
{"title":"Mobility, emotion and political will","authors":"Filip Watteeuw","doi":"10.1111/newe.12413","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/newe.12413","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37420,"journal":{"name":"IPPR Progressive Review","volume":"31 3","pages":"214-220"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/newe.12413","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142862187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A sustainable transport system needs to address inequities like transport poverty 可持续的交通系统需要解决交通贫困等不平等问题
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12406
Mari Martiskainen
<p>Imagine a situation where you have been offered an interview for a new job. You are excited about the potential new opportunity, but quickly realise that your chances of getting the job may be diminished by the fact that you will likely arrive at the interview all hot and flustered, perhaps even sweaty. This is because you will have to walk two hours to get to the interview. You are not walking because you want to be active in your daily life, but because you cannot afford the bus fare to get there. Similarly, imagine a situation where you keep cancelling medical appointments because you have to rely on expensive taxis to get to the hospital due to the lack of public transport, and while you can claim expenses for those costs, the process feels too complicated.1 Lastly, how would you feel if you had a beautiful national park near your home, but could not go there as it would require owning or having access to a car, both out of your reach as you do not drive due to a health condition? These are some of the real-life examples of transport inequities, as told by people who took part in our UKRI-funded research on transport poverty in the UK at the University of Sussex.2</p><p>Simcock and colleagues use a wider definition of transport poverty: “the inability to attain a socially- and materially- necessitated level of transport services”.4 There are various reasons why someone may experience transport poverty, but it is mainly due to a lack of access to transport, high transport costs and/or the unavailability of transport services. A person facing such inequities cannot easily meet their regular travel needs as transport services – such as local buses – may be too expensive, services may not take them where they want to go at the time they want to go or there may be no services available at all.</p><p>Initial research findings from follow-on research by colleagues at the Energy Demand Research Centre (EDRC) indicate that there are also safety aspects, as, for example, women, people from ethnic minorities and lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer plus (LGBTQ+) people are more likely to receive abuse or experience harassment on public transport, possibly discouraging some people to use those services.6 In terms of who is at risk of transport inequities, it is important to note that people often have intersecting vulnerabilities, which may mean that they are even more at risk.</p><p>In our research, we have also uncovered large regional differences in the UK in terms of public transport availability. For example, there is a limited rail network in Northern Ireland and there are limited bus services in many rural areas across the UK. Furthermore, local bus services were affected by the Covid-19 pandemic and overall usage remains below pre-pandemic levels.7 Transport inequities in urban areas also persist. Many of the sociodemographic groups who are at risk of transport inequities often live in urban areas (for example, people on low incomes, peo
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引用次数: 0
The public's pragmatic attitude to transport and what it means for achieving net zero
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12403
Lorraine Whitmarsh, Stephen Frost
<p>The new Labour government wishes to be seen as a global climate leader and has prioritised delivering greener transport. Among its commitments are measures to improve public transport and make streets more attractive for those walking, wheeling and cycling. These transport policies are welcomed by many, but have also attracted opposition from some politicians and media outlets, and been the focus of intense pushback in several communities. How can the government achieve net zero transport in a way that is publicly acceptable?</p><p>The UK has made limited progress in reducing emissions from transport over the past three decades and transport is now the country's largest emitting sector. In standard emissions calculations, surface transport currently accounts for more carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emissions than aviation, with car use responsible for 52 per cent of domestic transport emissions.1 While these accounts do not adjust for non-CO<sub>2</sub> impacts of aviation nor emissions from return flights, therefore underplaying aviation's role, reducing surface transport emissions must be central to the UK's climate commitments. Indeed, avoiding driving is frequently cited as the single most effective action that individuals can take to cut their carbon footprint, followed by switching from a petrol/diesel car to an electric vehicle (EV).2</p><p>The transport sector is also unsustainable in other ways, besides being a major greenhouse gas contributor. It is inequitable, unhealthy and inefficient. People with an annual income of more than £100,000 travel almost three times further than those with an income under £10,000;3 meanwhile 28 per cent of the poorest fifth of households do not have a car, compared with just 6 per cent of the wealthiest fifth.4 Dominance of car use has also contributed to rising obesity, accidents and air pollution. And road traffic is estimated to place costs equivalent to £31.9 billion a year on communities in Britain, equivalent to 1.6 per cent of GDP.5 Shifting to a more sustainable transport system would therefore bring environmental, health, social and economic benefits.</p><p>Technology alone cannot deliver this. Reducing emissions from transport requires profound behaviour change too. Indeed, behaviour change is needed for all levels of the ‘avoid, shift, improve’ sustainable travel hierarchy. Avoiding the need to travel by using digital alternatives is essential to decarbonise transport, and requires radically different ways of interacting and working. Shifting to more sustainable – public, shared and active – modes of travel means breaking car-use habits and reconfiguring travel choices. Even switching from petrol/diesel to EV requires consumers to choose greener cars, and to adapt vehicle-refuelling habits to engage with the growing EV charging infrastructure.</p><p>In fact, behaviour change is fundamental to achieving net zero in all sectors. According to the Climate Change Committee, more than 60 per cent
欧洲各城市已经证明,作为改善公共交通基础设施综合计划的一部分,推动措施是多么重要。12 在斯德哥尔摩,自 2006 年实施拥堵费以来的 10 年间,尽管人口不断增长,但拥堵费却减少了 22%。13 这些举措打破了交通决策中长期坚持的格言,即人口增加和经济增长必然导致更多的汽车使用。认识到交通对当地经济、环境和社区造成危害的城市领导者已经证明,另辟蹊径是可行的。英国农村社区在改变出行方式方面面临着与城市社区不同的障碍。许多人认为,由于缺乏充电基础设施、路线不安全或公共汽车和火车服务不足,电动汽车、公共交通和积极的出行方式目前都与他们无缘。在这些地区,重点必须放在解决行为改变的障碍上,包括与农村当局合作,振兴城镇的命运,使其成为当地服务和设施的支柱,并提供多模式交通枢纽。例如,在康沃尔郡,人们对汽车的依赖程度高于城市地区,因此该郡议会一直在试验共享交通解决方案,包括为共享电动自行车提供信贷和营销。15 威尔士政府也一直在试验农村可持续交通解决方案,包括地方工作枢纽以及电动自行车和电动货运自行车贷款。公众对超低排放区和低交通流量街区的反弹说明了少数人如何将交通政策政治化,并挑战地方政府推广化石燃料汽车替代品的努力。随着地方新闻服务机构的关闭和虚假信息在网络上的传播,社区与当局之间出现了 "民主鸿沟",17 这在一定程度上助长了这种反对声音。右倾媒体和政客甚至将这些(拟议中的)政策称为 "对驾车者的战争",暗示驾车者构成了一个可定义的人口或身份群体。但这一假设在多大程度上反映了公众的观点和行为?IPPR 委托进行的最新研究表明,对于绝大多数英国公众而言,交通是实用的,而非意识形态的。事实上,人们希望改变交通系统,而公共交通实际上比汽车更受重视。在不同的社会群体中,无论是否拥有汽车,人们都强烈支持一系列有助于实现零排放、降低交通成本以及提供更健康、更安全的街道的政策。值得注意的是,学校街道等计划(为积极上学的儿童开放道路空间)得到了本分析中所有选民群体的支持。变革是艰难的,可能会扰乱人们的日常生活,但人们有一个明确的共识,那就是目前的交通方式行不通,而且人们希望采用新的方式--只要这种方式考虑到了生活成本危机。研究还发现,人们对交通方面的决策者缺乏信任,尽管人们更信任地方领导人,包括地方政府和市长。很明显,"公平 "是交通政策能否被接受的关键条件--这包括分配公平和程序公平(在决策中为公众提供发言权)。为了赢得对社会变革的支持,政府部门必须倾听不同的观点,共同设计解决人们关注的问题的政策,并了解哪些叙述方式和语言在其社区内最有效。结合有关行为改变和公众参与的更广泛证据,该研究报告得出结论,向可持续交通系统的过渡需要上游公众参与,即公民和社区尽早实质性地参与交通决策。这种参与不仅有助于避免反弹,还能提高决策的质量和有效性。19 这种参与应在两个层面上进行:战略性参与国家净零政策和制定可持续交通政策的一般原则(例如,英国气候大会和威尔士政府净零 2035);以及通过基于地方的参与和社区关系建设共同制定地方交通计划。
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引用次数: 0
Designing for equity: A public realm that works for all
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12408
Zoe Banks Gross
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引用次数: 0
Why 20mph? Why not? is a better question 为什么是 20mph?为什么不呢?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1111/newe.12404
Phil Jones
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引用次数: 0
期刊
IPPR Progressive Review
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