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“The Other/Alien” Image in the Russian Federation Strategic Communications During the Russian-Ukrainian Confrontation (2014–2021) 俄乌对峙期间俄罗斯联邦战略通信中的“他者/外星人”形象(2014-2011)
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.12
A. Shuliak, I.M. Konstankevych, Mykhaylo Kunytskyy
The purpose of the study is to investigate what communication and media technologies and information operations are used by the mass media of the Russian Federation in relation to Ukraine to propagate the image of the “other/alien”. The methodology chosen for the work combines the application of the following methods and approaches: network analysis, SWOT-analysis, system, integrated and civilization approaches, system analysis, method of systematization and classification, methods of analysis, synthesis, objectivity, generalizations, analogies, case study, etc. The article explores the use of communication, media and information-psychological technologies by the Russian mass media to create and effectively promote the image of an enemy, alien, the other during the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which began in 2014. The authors insist that the “Russkiy Mir” idea is promoted through the propaganda and manipulation resulting in the image of the adversary of this idea – “the other.” The “Russkiy Mir” foe does not perceive everything with the designation “Russian” as a priori positive and better, doubt the correctness of such a position, and therefore wishes evil to the supporters of the “Russkiy Mir”. Information operations and the most widespread media technologies in the Russian-Ukrainian information warfare are analyzed to model the image of “the other” as a threat. Prospects for further scientific researches are connected with the study of new scientific concepts that is some network-centric warfare, hybrid warfare, cyberwarfare, asymmetric warfare, undeclared information warfare, and others.
这项研究的目的是调查俄罗斯联邦的大众传播媒介在与乌克兰有关的问题上使用了哪些传播和媒介技术以及信息业务来宣传“他者/外国人”的形象。本研究选择的方法论综合运用了以下几种方法和途径:网络分析法、swot分析法、系统法、综合法和文明法、系统分析法、系统化和分类法、分析法、综合法、客观性法、概括法、类比法、案例研究法等。本文探讨了俄罗斯大众媒体在2014年俄乌冲突期间利用传播、媒体和信息心理技术,创造并有效宣传敌人、外星人和他者的形象。作者坚持认为,“俄罗斯和平”理念是通过宣传和操纵来推广的,从而形成了这一理念的对手——“他者”的形象。“俄罗斯和平”的敌人并不认为带有“俄罗斯”一词的一切都是先验的积极的和更好的,怀疑这种立场的正确性,因此希望“俄罗斯和平”的支持者受到惩罚。在俄罗斯-乌克兰信息战中,信息操作和最广泛的媒体技术被分析为“他者”作为威胁的形象模型。未来科学研究的前景与一些新的科学概念的研究有关,如网络中心战、混合战、网络战、不对称战、未申报信息战等。
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引用次数: 0
Debt Security of CEE Countries: Actual Approaches and Methods of Evaluation 中东欧国家债务安全:实际途径与评估方法
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.5
Yurii Chentukov, T. Marena, O. Zakharova
The study is aimed at analyzing methods of country’s debt security evaluation, developing methodic approach towards estimating the level of debt security based on the calculation of the integral index, and assessing the level of debt security of CEE countries on the basis of the proposed approach. A method of calculating the integral debt security index of the country is developed, taking into account generally accepted thresholds of indebtedness and solvency indicators and the trend of countries’ increasing dependence on external borrowing. The proposed approach is practically tested in assessing the level of debt security of CEE countries. It is determined that the group of CEE countries is differentiated by the state of indebtedness and solvency. The highest level of debt security is demonstrated by Bulgaria, the Czech Republic and Estonia, the worst situation with the debt security is formed in Slovakia and Slovenia. Based on the analysis of the dynamics of integral debt security indices for 2007–2019, the grouping of CEE countries by the level and zones of debt security, the trends of deterioration of the region’s debt security in 2010–2015 and its improvement in 2016–2019 has been found out. The proposed approach is universal one; it can be used to calculate debt security indices and to provide comparative studies of the debt sector of any country or region. It can also help to identify weaknesses in country’s debt security that is critically important for reasoning the public policy measures to ensure a proper level of debt security.
本研究旨在分析国家债务安全评估的方法,在计算积分指数的基础上发展估算债务安全水平的方法方法,并在建议方法的基础上评估中东欧国家的债务安全水平。考虑到普遍接受的债务和偿付能力指标的阈值以及各国日益依赖外部借款的趋势,制定了一种计算国家整体债务安全指数的方法。该方法在评估中东欧国家债务安全水平方面得到了实践检验。可以确定的是,中东欧国家集团的债务和偿付能力状况是不同的。保加利亚、捷克共和国和爱沙尼亚的债务安全水平最高,斯洛伐克和斯洛文尼亚的债务安全状况最差。通过对2007-2019年整体债务安全指数的动态分析,对中东欧国家按债务安全水平和区域进行分组,发现了2010-2015年该地区债务安全恶化和2016-2019年改善的趋势。提议的方法是通用的;它可以用来计算债务安全指数,并为任何国家或地区的债务部门提供比较研究。它还可以帮助确定国家债务安全方面的弱点,这对于制定确保适当债务安全水平的公共政策措施至关重要。
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引用次数: 2
The European Union – Japan Strategic Partnership in the Contested Global Order. External Relations of the EU in the Context of Economic, Normative and Security Framework 全球秩序竞争中的欧盟-日本战略伙伴关系。经济、规范和安全框架下的欧盟对外关系
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.4
J. Jańczak
The aim of this article is to review the strategic partnership of the European Union-Japan in the context of the changing global order, exploring economic, normative and security dimensions. This leads to wider reflections allowing us to theorize international relations with regards to the concept of strategic partnerships. The research question concentrates on what the foundations of the strategic partnership between the European Union and Japan are, and how it answers the challenges in the three above indicated fields. The hypothesis is formulated from the perspective of strategic partnership theory. Methodologically, the work is based on the analysis of primary and secondary sources, as well as on qualitative methods implemented in the form of semi-structured interviews. The key findings reveal that the changing global order and international environment have pushed both partners to create a strategic partnership that has spilled over from economic relations to the normative, political and finally security fields.
本文的目的是在不断变化的全球秩序背景下回顾欧盟-日本的战略伙伴关系,探讨经济、规范和安全方面的问题。这导致了更广泛的思考,使我们能够根据战略伙伴关系的概念对国际关系进行理论化。研究问题集中在欧盟和日本之间的战略伙伴关系的基础是什么,以及它如何应对上述三个领域的挑战。这一假设是从战略伙伴关系理论的角度提出的。在方法上,这项工作是基于对一手和二手资料的分析,以及以半结构化访谈形式实施的定性方法。报告的主要结论显示,不断变化的全球秩序和国际环境促使双方建立战略伙伴关系,这种伙伴关系已从经济关系蔓延到规范、政治和安全领域。
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引用次数: 0
The Concept of China’s Peaceful Rise and Offensive Realism 中国和平崛起理念与进攻性现实主义
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.17
Adam Araszkiewicz
This article aims at adressing several research issues. Firstly, to present offensive realism as a proper research tool to analyse US-China rivalry. Secondly, the author discusses the theory of “China’s peaceful rise” and I argues that it smoothly overlapped with the US strategy of liberal hegemony. Thirdly, He presents and defends the argument that China does not rise peacefully. Fourthly, the author claims that China wants to became a regional hegemon in South-East Asia and the USA according to offensive realism cannot let it happen. Last but not least the author considers the arguments that are frequently used to support the theory of “China’s peaceful rise” and explains why they fail to depict the current and predict the future nature of US-China relations. In this article the author employed the following research methods: historical, descriptive and decision making methods.
本文旨在解决几个研究问题。首先,将进攻性现实主义作为分析中美竞争的合适研究工具。其次,笔者论述了“中国和平崛起”理论,认为它与美国的自由霸权战略有很好的重合。第三,他提出并捍卫了中国不是和平崛起的观点。第四,作者声称中国想成为东南亚的地区霸主,而美国根据进攻性现实主义不能让它发生。最后但并非最不重要的是,作者考虑了经常被用来支持“中国和平崛起”理论的论点,并解释了为什么它们不能描绘当前和预测美中关系的未来性质。本文采用了历史研究法、描述研究法和决策研究法。
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引用次数: 0
Edward Azar’s Protracted Social Conflict Theory and Drivers of Self-Determination: the Case of Nigeria 爱德华·阿扎的长期社会冲突理论与自决的驱动因素:以尼日利亚为例
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.18
Najimdeen Bakare
Soon after attaining independence on October 1, 1960, the newly created nation-state – Nigeria had to wrestle with post-independent political realities. These combined with the legacies of colonial rule, and the prevalence of ethno-religious politics, led the country into civil war in 1967. Since 1960, Nigeria has experimented with different forms of government and achieved some degree of economic growth but is still plagued by the agitation of self-determination in the form of secessionist campaigns, be it the Biafra or the Oduduwa and Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND). To place the discussion in perspective, the paper reviews the existing literature on the subject and also discusses Edward Azar’s protracted social conflict (PSC) theory as the theoretical base. Upon laying the theoretical foundation, the paper situates and evaluates the agitation for self-determination in Nigeria in the light of PSC. Lastly, the paper concludes that instead of seeking self-determination or territorial disintegration, the polity of Nigeria should historically revert to the practice of congenial and connected regionalism.
1960年10月1日获得独立后不久,新成立的民族国家尼日利亚就不得不与独立后的政治现实作斗争。这些因素加上殖民统治的遗留问题,以及民族宗教政治的盛行,导致该国在1967年陷入内战。自1960年以来,尼日利亚尝试了不同形式的政府,并取得了一定程度的经济增长,但仍然受到分裂主义运动形式的自决煽动的困扰,无论是比夫拉还是奥杜瓦和尼日尔三角洲解放运动(MEND)。为了对这一问题进行正确的讨论,本文回顾了已有的关于这一问题的文献,并以爱德华·阿扎尔的持续性社会冲突理论为理论基础进行了探讨。在奠定理论基础的基础上,本文从PSC的角度对尼日利亚的民族自决运动进行了定位和评价。最后,本文的结论是,尼日利亚的政体不应寻求自决或领土解体,而应在历史上恢复到和谐和相互联系的区域主义的做法。
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引用次数: 1
Prospects for China’s BRI and Strategic Influence in the Post-COVID-19 Central Asia 中国“一带一路”倡议展望与后疫情中亚战略影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.19
Furqan Khan
COVID-19 brings a momentous decline for global economic activities but its consequences for China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) remains imminent. Despite the economic shocks of the Pandemic, BRI remains a top priority for China which allows Beijing to improve regional connectivity and expand its economic outreach far off to Europe and the American shores. On the other hand, the Central Asian economies are hard hit by the pandemic with a reduced regional trade, decline in oil prices and its commodities, deep slump in remittances, and the slackening manufacturing ability. The revival of BRI and its immediate success is desirable to the COVID-19 hit Central Asian economies. This is because BRI has bound the region together in terms of infrastructural development where China, under the rubric of BRI, is spearheading major developmental projects, pouring investment in energy sector, offering debt, and improving bilateral trade with regional economies. For this reason, the Central Asian countries desire immediate revival of close economic cooperation which could links the economic fortunes of regional countries to Beijing and brings the BRI to the fore in regional priorities. The paper highlight the impact of COVID-19 over Central Asian economies, the significance BRI for the region; its geopolitical importance for China; and the growing Chinese influence in the post-Pandemic Central Asia using Bourdieu’s Theory of Symbolic Power. Finally, using qualitative content analysis, the paper argues that the economic impact of COVID-19 are short-term and of limited nature and it will only increase prospects for BRI in the post-Pandemic Central Asia with vital strategic utilities for China’s geopolitical profile in the region.
新冠肺炎疫情对全球经济活动造成严重影响,但对中国“一带一路”倡议的影响仍迫在眉睫。尽管疫情带来了经济冲击,但“一带一路”仍然是中国的首要任务,它使北京能够改善区域连通性,并将其经济触角延伸到欧洲和美国海岸。另一方面,中亚经济受到疫情的严重打击,区域贸易减少,油价及其大宗商品价格下跌,汇款严重下滑,制造业能力减弱。“一带一路”倡议复苏并取得成功,对遭受新冠肺炎疫情打击的中亚经济体是有利的。这是因为“一带一路”在基础设施建设方面将该地区联系在一起,中国在“一带一路”的名义下率先开展重大发展项目,在能源领域投入资金,提供债务,并改善与地区经济体的双边贸易。因此,中亚国家希望立即恢复密切的经济合作,将地区国家的经济财富与北京联系起来,并将“一带一路”置于地区优先事项的前列。文章强调了新冠肺炎疫情对中亚经济的影响、“一带一路”倡议对中亚经济的重要意义;它对中国的地缘政治重要性;以及利用布迪厄的象征权力理论,中国在大流行后的中亚日益增长的影响力。最后,通过定性内容分析,本文认为COVID-19的经济影响是短期和有限的,它只会增加“一带一路”在大流行后中亚地区的前景,对中国在该地区的地缘政治形象具有重要的战略效用。
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引用次数: 0
The Dilemma of War and Peace in the Trend of the XXI Century (Russian – Ukrainian case) 21世纪趋势中的战争与和平困境(俄乌案例)
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.15
H. Perepelytsia
In the presented article the author asks how the essence of the relationship between such states of international relations as war and peace has changed under the influence of the trends of the XXI century. A clear empirical example for such an analysis was the modern Russian-Ukrainian war, a manifestation of which we see on the Donbass. This war was largely the result and manifestation of these new trends in international relations at both the regional and global levels. First of all, these trends and their destructive consequences are typical for the security sphere. From so the dilemma of war and peace takes on a new dimension and becomes one of the most pressing problems of the theory of war and peace and the theory of international relations. The purpose of this article is to understand how the essence of the relationship between such states of international relations as war and peace has changed under the influence of the 21st century trends. In order to properly investigate this problem, was chosen as an object, a striking manifestation of which we see on the Donbass. Research questions relate to changing approaches to understanding the dilemma of war and peace and the nature of the relationship between these states of international relations under the influence of the 21st century trends. To address this research challenge, a systematic review of contemporary research on various aspects of war and peace has been carried out. The answers are based on a study of the criteria for determining the state of war and peace and the determinants that influence the dynamics of change in these states. The study used deductive methods, comparative, political and conflict analysis, as well as neo-realistic and neoliberal approaches to treating the dilemma of war and peace. The article based on the assumption that the modern Russo-Ukrainian war became a consequence and manifestation of these new trends in international relations both at the regional and global levels. The conclusions drawn from this study require a conceptual rethinking and a new reading of the dilemma of war and peace, which are becoming hybrid. Therefore, understanding the new quality of these hybrid forms of war and peace is a very important and necessary task. To solve it, it is necessary to determine how the parameters of the relationship between peace and war have changed. Empirical observations show that one of the new features of this relationship is the blurring of the boundaries of war and peace. The objectives of the study are based on the discovery of a new content of the categories of war and peace and their interdependence due to the influence of 21st century trends in the modern system of international relations. The results of the study are based on the analysis of modern research on various aspects of the war and peace, as well as empirical data on the course of the Russian-Ukrainian war. This article provides an overview of current research on various aspects of w
在本文中,作者提出了在21世纪趋势的影响下,战争与和平等国际关系状态之间关系的本质是如何变化的问题。这种分析的一个明显的实证例子是现代俄乌战争,我们在顿巴斯看到了这种战争的表现。这场战争在很大程度上是区域和全球两级国际关系中这些新趋势的结果和表现。首先,这些趋势及其破坏性后果是安全领域的典型问题。由此,战争与和平的困境呈现出一个新的维度,成为战争与和平理论和国际关系理论中最紧迫的问题之一。本文的目的是了解在21世纪趋势的影响下,战争与和平等国际关系状态之间关系的本质是如何变化的。为了正确地研究这个问题,我们选择了它作为一个对象,这是我们在顿巴斯看到的一个惊人的表现。研究问题涉及在21世纪趋势的影响下,改变理解战争与和平的困境以及这些国际关系状态之间关系的性质的方法。为了应对这一研究挑战,对战争与和平各个方面的当代研究进行了系统回顾。这些答案是基于对确定战争与和平状态的标准以及影响这些状态变化动态的决定因素的研究得出的。该研究使用演绎方法、比较分析、政治和冲突分析,以及新现实主义和新自由主义方法来处理战争与和平的困境。本文基于这样一种假设,即现代俄乌战争是这些新趋势在地区和全球两级国际关系中的结果和表现。从这项研究中得出的结论需要重新思考概念,并对战争与和平的困境进行新的解读,这两者正在变得混合。因此,了解这些战争与和平混合形式的新性质是一项非常重要和必要的任务。为了解决这个问题,有必要确定和平与战争之间关系的参数是如何变化的。经验观察表明,这种关系的一个新特征是战争与和平的界限变得模糊。该研究的目标是基于发现战争与和平类别的新内容及其相互依存关系,这是由于21世纪现代国际关系体系趋势的影响。研究结果是基于对战争与和平的各个方面的现代研究的分析,以及俄乌战争过程的经验数据。本文概述了当前关于战争与和平各个方面的研究,确定了混合战争与混合和平之间的相互关系、相互依赖关系和界限。作者试图以新自由主义和新现实主义的国际关系理论为基础,界定战争与和平之间的这种区别的标准。该出版物的科学新颖之处在于,作者阐明了21世纪当前趋势中尚未解决的战争与和平困境的方法论原因。文章最后预测了战争与和平这一尚未解决的困境对国家和国际安全的影响。对顿巴斯战争与和平问题的可能解决方案提出了建议。本文提出的研究试图从概念上重新思考和重新解读战争与和平的困境,它们正在变得混合。这篇文章极大地扩展了对和平与战争之间关系的参数是如何变化的理解。
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引用次数: 2
The Weimar Triangle: France, Germany, Poland in the Middle East. United Arab Emirates Perspective 魏玛三角:法国,德国,波兰在中东。阿联酋展望
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.7
A. Krzymowski
The article’s scientific goal is to investigate the Weimar Triangle countries’ relations with the United Arab Emirates. Therefore, the author asks the research question. Are the Weimar Triangle states’ role and significance increasing in the external dimension of the European Union? Based on the example of the United Arab Emirates, the research adopted a hypothesis. It is the statement that after Brexit, the Weimar Triangle countries have a chance to improve their importance in the EU external activities. Apart from case studies, to revise the hypothesis, the author performed a meticulous comparative analysis. Moreover, the research implemented International Practice Theory as an appropriate tool to investigate the presented issue. This empirical research and its findings resulted from over ten years of the author’s direct observation, analysis, and participation in many initiatives, both in the European Union and in the United Arab Emirates. The Middle East for the Weimar Triangle countries is more significant than just from a trade potential perspective. The situation in this region is also affecting Europe, as well as global security architecture. For this reason, one should develop a coherent and comprehensive EU foreign and security policy towards the region, and the Weimar Triangle formula should be one of its pillars.
本文的科学目标是调查魏玛三角国家与阿拉伯联合酋长国的关系。因此,笔者提出了研究问题。魏玛三角国家在欧盟外部层面的作用和重要性是否在增加?本研究以阿拉伯联合酋长国为例,采用假设。这是一份声明,在英国脱欧后,魏玛三角国家有机会提高他们在欧盟对外活动中的重要性。除了案例研究,为了修正假设,笔者进行了细致的对比分析。此外,本研究将国际实践理论作为一种合适的工具来研究所提出的问题。这项实证研究及其结果来自作者十多年来对欧盟和阿拉伯联合酋长国许多倡议的直接观察、分析和参与。中东对魏玛三角国家的意义远不止从贸易潜力的角度来看。这一地区的局势也影响着欧洲,影响着全球安全架构。为此,应制定连贯、全面的欧盟地区外交安全政策,“魏玛三角”模式应成为其支柱之一。
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引用次数: 0
Passion for Putin’s Palace: Political Protests in Modern Russia 对普京宫殿的热情:现代俄罗斯的政治抗议
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.14
A. Skiperskikh
In this article, the author analyzes the protest activity in Russia in January–February 2021. Protest activity came to Russia after A. Navalny’s investigation of V. Putin’s palace in Gelendzhik. Like the Belarusian protests in August 2021, the Russian protests were suppressed by the police. A feature of the Russian protests was their mass character. A large number of cities in almost all Russian regions were involved in the protest. Based on the data of secondary analysis, the author tries to give his own research of the Russian protest activity in January–February 2021. Protest activity in a number of Russian regions did not look accidental. One could observe protest activity in them before, but with a different agenda. The factor of unpopular government is of great importance in regional protests. The authorities no longer have the proper stock of legitimacy. This fully applies to the governors appointed by V. Putin, and, often, not directly related to the regions that have their own specificity. Case studies of protests in Russian regions show new trends. The protests are increasingly carnival-like. Power is ridiculed and discussed with irony. Familiar dialogue with the authorities is confirmed in various forms and languages of protest. From the author’s point of view, protest activity in Russia will increase by the fall of 2021. In September 2021, elections to the Russian Parliament are to be held. The author assumes that disappointment with the authorities in Russia will grow. The social base of new protests can be broader.
在这篇文章中,作者分析了俄罗斯在2021年1 - 2月的抗议活动。在纳瓦尔尼(A. Navalny)对普京位于格伦日克的宫殿进行调查之后,抗议活动来到了俄罗斯。与白俄罗斯2021年8月的抗议活动一样,俄罗斯的抗议活动也遭到了警方的镇压。俄罗斯抗议活动的一个特点是群众性。俄罗斯几乎所有地区的许多城市都参与了抗议活动。基于二次分析的数据,笔者试图对俄罗斯2021年1 - 2月的抗议活动进行自己的研究。俄罗斯许多地区的抗议活动看起来并非偶然。人们以前可以观察到他们的抗议活动,但目的不同。在地区抗议活动中,不受欢迎的政府是非常重要的因素。当局不再拥有适当的合法性。这完全适用于普京任命的州长,而且往往与具有自身特殊性的地区没有直接关系。对俄罗斯各地区抗议活动的个案研究显示出新的趋势。抗议活动越来越像狂欢节。权力被讽刺地嘲笑和讨论。以各种抗议形式和语言与当局进行了熟悉的对话。在作者看来,到2021年秋天,俄罗斯的抗议活动将会增加。2021年9月,俄罗斯将举行议会选举。作者认为,对俄罗斯当局的失望情绪将会加剧。新的抗议活动的社会基础可能更广泛。
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引用次数: 0
History Repeats Itself. The Issue of Terrorism and Afghanistan on the Twentieth Anniversary of the 9/11 Attacks 历史重演。9·11恐怖袭击20周年之际恐怖主义与阿富汗问题
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2021.1.1
S. Wojciechowski
From the editor
来自编辑
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引用次数: 0
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