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The Global Pandemic of Terrorism – Another Mutation of The Terrorist Virus 恐怖主义的全球流行——恐怖主义病毒的另一种变异
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.1
S. Wojciechowski
From the editor
来自编辑
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引用次数: 0
The End of Artic Exceptionalism? New Artic Approach after February 24, 2022 北极例外论的终结?2022年2月24日之后的新北极方法
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.22
Tomasz Brańka
Since the end of the Cold War, the Arctic has often been portrayed as a symbol of model cooperation. Individual states were prepared to cooperate extensively despite disputes in other areas. The Arctic was therefore customarily regarded as an area with little potential for conflict. Cooperation between states that were in strong competition with each other in other regions or areas was so rare that the “Arctic exceptionalism’ was commonly recognized. This article examines updated Arctic strategies of states directly involved in the region. It analyzes the changes over the past few years, which have mostly been a consequence of Russia’s aggression (as early as 2014) and its strong militarization of the region. The article discusses the initiated process of Sweden and Finland’s accession to NATO and the consequences of this historic change for the High North. Finally, it analyses decisions taken by a number of Arctic organizations to exclude, freeze, or “pause’ their relations with Russia in consequence of the February 24, 2022 attack on Ukraine. This raises questions about whether the Arctic can be managed without Russia and whether measures adopted can be effective.
自冷战结束以来,北极经常被描绘成合作典范的象征。尽管在其他领域存在争议,但各国准备进行广泛合作。因此,北极通常被认为是一个不太可能发生冲突的地区。在其他地区或领域处于激烈竞争的国家之间的合作是如此罕见,以至于“北极例外论”被普遍认可。本文考察了直接参与该地区的国家最新的北极战略。报告分析了过去几年的变化,这些变化主要是俄罗斯的侵略(早在2014年)及其在该地区的强烈军事化的结果。本文讨论了瑞典和芬兰加入北约的启动过程以及这一历史性变化对北极的影响。最后,报告分析了一些北极组织在俄罗斯2022年2月24日袭击乌克兰之后做出的排除、冻结或“暂停”与俄罗斯关系的决定。这引发了一个问题:没有俄罗斯,北极能否得到管理?所采取的措施能否有效?
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引用次数: 0
Historical Development of Cybersecurity Studies: A Literature Review and Its Place in Security Studies 网络安全研究的历史发展:文献回顾及其在安全研究中的地位
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.23
Kamil Tarhan
This study discusses the formation and development of cybersecurity studies since the creation of the Internet. Although the origin of cybersecurity studies dates back to the 1970s, hacking, malicious software, computer intrusions, and espionage attacks that took place in the 1980s led cybersecurity studies to form in the area of computer science. By the 1990s, the Internet began to be used widely, and an increase in the level of attacks in cyberspace began to occur. This period was a major reason for the growth in writing on software and network security. Network security has become a key priority for governments and many industries. Cybersecurity studies have become a priority area in security studies with the increasing complexity of cyber threats towards 2000s. States and some supranational organizations have started to create cybersecurity strategies. The security of critical infrastructure and computer networks has begun to emerge as a high-priority area. It has been observed that the transition from classical security policies to modern security policies, which should be established in the information age, has begun. Cybersecurity studies were taken more seriously after the 2007 Estonian attacks, especially in the 2010s. In this period, the intensity of attacks on critical infrastructures and the occurrence of some physical attacks caused cybersecurity to deepen and become an issue on an international scale. Cybersecurity studies continue to be shaped by being influenced by many different disciplines, regardless of any discipline, with the important discussions and cyber incidents that have taken place in recent years. Therefore, the studies were handled from a multidisciplinary perspective.
本研究探讨网路安全研究自网际网路诞生以来的形成与发展。尽管网络安全研究的起源可以追溯到20世纪70年代,但20世纪80年代发生的黑客攻击、恶意软件、计算机入侵和间谍攻击导致网络安全研究在计算机科学领域形成。到20世纪90年代,互联网开始被广泛使用,网络空间的攻击水平开始上升。这一时期是软件和网络安全写作增长的主要原因。网络安全已成为政府和许多行业的首要任务。随着21世纪网络威胁的日益复杂,网络安全研究已成为安全研究的优先领域。国家和一些超国家组织已经开始制定网络安全战略。关键基础设施和计算机网络的安全已开始成为一个高度优先的领域。人们观察到,从传统的安全策略向信息时代应该建立的现代安全策略的过渡已经开始。在2007年爱沙尼亚遭受攻击之后,网络安全研究受到了更大的重视,尤其是在2010年代。在此期间,对关键基础设施的攻击强度和一些物理攻击的发生使网络安全加深并成为国际范围内的问题。网络安全研究继续受到许多不同学科的影响,无论任何学科,近年来发生的重要讨论和网络事件。因此,这些研究是从多学科的角度来处理的。
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引用次数: 0
Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy Towards Turkey During and After Arab Uprising: A Defensive Realism Approach 阿拉伯起义前后沙特对土耳其的外交政策:一种防御性的现实主义方法
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.4
Muzaffer Kural, Gökhan Erdem
The Arab Uprisings in 2011 have led to redistribution of power in the Middle East. It has brought challenges and opportunities for regional powers such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey. While Turkey has perceived the developments as an opportunity to increase its influence in the region, it has created threat perceptions for Saudi Arabia’s hegemony in the Middle East. Especially, due to Turkey’s rising influence in Egypt and Syria it has been perceived as a second rival, after Iran, by Riyadh. This article argues that due to Turkey’s rising power in Egypt and Syria, Saudi Arabia’s foreign policy towards Turkey has been shifting by supporting local actors in Egypt and Syria in order to maintain the status quo. The paper aims to analyze shifts in Saudi Arabia’s foreign policy towards Turkey during and post-Arab uprisings in the Middle East in the framework of defensive realism through the regional level of analysis.
2011年的阿拉伯起义导致了中东地区权力的重新分配。它给沙特阿拉伯和土耳其等地区大国带来了挑战和机遇。虽然土耳其认为这些事态发展是增加其在该地区影响力的机会,但它也给沙特阿拉伯在中东的霸权带来了威胁。特别是,由于土耳其在埃及和叙利亚的影响力不断上升,它被利雅得视为仅次于伊朗的第二个对手。本文认为,由于土耳其在埃及和叙利亚的崛起,沙特阿拉伯对土耳其的外交政策已经转变为支持埃及和叙利亚的当地行动者,以维持现状。本文旨在通过区域层面的分析,在防御现实主义的框架下,分析沙特阿拉伯在中东阿拉伯起义期间和之后对土耳其的外交政策的转变。
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引用次数: 0
Abraham Accords Against the Backdrop of the Middle East Political Mosaic 中东政治格局背景下的亚伯拉罕协议
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.7
Michał M. Kosman
In the second decade of the 21st century, many processes destabilized regional security in the Middle East. These include, first of all, the Arab Spring and the civil war in Syria, in which Russia, the United States, a number of regional powers and many non-state actors were involved. Iran’s nuclear ambitions turned out to be another major challenge, especially after the US withdrew from the JCPOA agreement in 2018. The pro-Israel stance of President Donald Trump’s administration has also strongly influenced the Middle East mosaic of interests. Under these circumstances, in 2020, Israel’s agreements with several Arab states, known as the Abraham Accords, were concluded. The aim of the article is to describe these agreements, analyze their causes and outline their consequences. The author adopted the hypothesis that the Abraham Accords constitute a significant step towards strengthening the acceptance of Arab states for Israel and its strategic interests. In the preparation of the text, the method of document and literature analysis was used primarily.
在21世纪第二个十年,中东地区的地区安全受到了诸多不稳定因素的影响。其中首先包括阿拉伯之春和叙利亚内战,俄罗斯、美国、一些地区大国和许多非国家行为体都参与其中。事实证明,伊朗的核野心是另一个重大挑战,尤其是在美国于2018年退出《联合全面行动计划》之后。唐纳德·特朗普政府的亲以色列立场也强烈影响了中东的利益格局。在这种情况下,2020年,以色列与几个阿拉伯国家签订了《亚伯拉罕协定》(Abraham Accords)。本文的目的是描述这些协议,分析其原因并概述其后果。作者的假设是,《亚伯拉罕协定》是加强阿拉伯国家接受以色列及其战略利益的一个重要步骤。在本文的编写中,主要采用了文献分析法。
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引用次数: 0
Japan’s Taiwan Policy in the Xi Jinping Era: Moving Toward Strategic Clarity
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.18
Yu-Hua Chen
Like the United States, Japan views its relations with Taiwan through a greater China framework. It uses a similar strategic ambiguity toward Taiwan to navigate its relations with China and Taiwan. However, Japan’s recent strong support for Taiwan to counter China’s pressure on the island seems to suggest that Japan’s Taiwan policy is moving away from its old strategic ambiguity toward a new strategic clarity. Why has Japan started to protect Taiwan proactively and directly in recent years? How to explain the transformation of Japan’s policy regarding Taiwan from strategic ambiguity to strategic clarity? Drawing upon various primary materials, this article approached those questions from a social constructivism lens. It argues that Japan’s new identity is a critical factor in Japan’s strategic transformation of its Taiwan policy. Japan’s new identity has first taken shape due to the growing challenge from China, and second been accelerated and hardened by the caprices of the United States. It is this new identity and its associated normative expectations that have caused Japan’s foreign behaviour to change fundamentally. This article will detail the process in which how Japan steadily changed its state identity over the years after showing that the existing explanations are unable to properly account for the shift of Japan’s policy toward Taiwan. Some policy implications will be offered in the conclusion section.
和美国一样,日本也通过一个大中国的框架来看待与台湾的关系。在处理与中国大陆和台湾的关系时,美国对台湾也采用了类似的战略模糊性。为什么日本近年来开始主动、直接地保护台湾?如何解释日本对台政策从战略模糊到战略清晰的转变?本文利用各种原始资料,从社会建构主义的视角来探讨这些问题。文章认为,日本的新身份认同是日本对台政策战略转变的关键因素。日本的新身份首先是由于中国日益增长的挑战而形成的,其次是由于美国的反复无常而加速和强化的。正是这种新身份及其相关的规范性期望,导致日本的外交行为发生了根本性的变化。本文将详细介绍日本多年来如何稳步改变其国家认同的过程,并表明现有的解释无法正确解释日本对台政策的转变。在结论部分将提供一些政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
The Policy of Maximum Pressure on Iran. US Policy Objectives and Effects 对伊朗施加最大压力的政策。美国的政策目标和效果
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.17
Radosław Fiedler
The main goal of this paper is to examine the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure policy toward the Islamic Republic of Iran. The main causes and rationale for withdrawing from the nuclear JCPOA are identified. In addition, the consequences of maximum pressure are addressed, which harm the so far failed JCPOA restoration negotiations. An additional thread in the article is a critical appraisal of the sanctions policy, which for decades has failed to deliver the results expected by the USA, which is an inhibiting factor in a dynamically changing international environment. Moreover, the costs to the US of sanctions pressure on Iran have been identified.
本文的主要目的是研究特朗普政府对伊朗伊斯兰共和国的最大压力政策。确定了退出核JCPOA的主要原因和理由。此外,最大压力的后果也得到了解决,这损害了迄今为止失败的JCPOA恢复谈判。文章中的另一个线索是对制裁政策的批判性评价,几十年来,制裁政策未能达到美国预期的结果,这是动态变化的国际环境中的一个抑制因素。此外,美国对伊朗施加制裁压力的代价已经确定。
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引用次数: 0
Mohammed Bin Salman’s Rising to Power. Chances for Transition in Saudi Arabia? 穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼的崛起。沙特阿拉伯政权移交的机会?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.10
R. Ożarowski
The aim of this paper is to present the outline of planned and already implemented social, political and economic changes in the context of gradual transition of power in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The main thesis put in this paper relates to Mohammed bin Salman’s leading project – “Vision 2030” which assumed gradual multi-dimensional transition in Saudi Arabia. Many of changes implemented already, including the limitation of clergy’s activity will not bring about quick social-political transition due to long-lasting and deeply rooted alliance between Saudi ruling clan and radical movement of Wahhabis, that determines conservative regime in the country. Basing on the main thesis Author tries to give the answer to research questions correlated with the thesis and touching the issue of possibility for implementation political, economic changes in Saudi Arabia by Mohammed bin Salman. In the paper following research methods has been applied: historical method, which refers to analysis of historical process of shaping and development Saudi monarchy; documentary analysis - relating to governmental project “Vision 2030” particularly; elements of systemic approach in which system is constituted by political regime of Saudi Arabia; elements of statistical method employed in the context of variable economic or social data and elements of predictive referring to the model of Saudi Arabia’s development under the rule of Mohammed bin Salman.
本文的目的是在沙特阿拉伯王国权力逐步过渡的背景下,提出计划和已经实施的社会、政治和经济变革的大纲。本文的主要论点涉及穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼的主导项目——“2030年愿景”,该项目假设沙特阿拉伯将逐步实现多维转型。许多已经实施的改革,包括限制神职人员的活动,不会带来快速的社会政治转型,因为沙特统治家族与瓦哈比激进运动之间长期根深蒂固的联盟,决定了该国的保守政权。在主要论文的基础上,作者试图回答与论文相关的研究问题,并触及穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼在沙特阿拉伯实施政治、经济变革的可能性问题。本文采用了以下研究方法:历史方法,即分析沙特君主制形成和发展的历史过程;文献分析-特别是与政府计划“远景2030”有关;系统方法的要素,其中系统由沙特阿拉伯政权构成;在可变的经济或社会数据背景下采用的统计方法的要素和预测要素指的是沙特阿拉伯在穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼统治下的发展模式。
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引用次数: 0
The Scarborough Shoal Standoff and the Policy of the People’s Republic of China Towards Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea 黄岩岛对峙与中华人民共和国对南海领土争端的政策
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.15
Paweł Luzak
The aim of this article is to distinguish the key assumptions and instruments of the People’s Republic of China’s foreign policy towards territorial disputes in which this country is involved (with particular focus on the conflicts over islands and features in the South China Sea) through in-depth analysis of PRC’s policy in the conflict over Scarborough Shoal. According to the working hypothesis the events that took place in 2012 and ultimately led to the PRC’s de facto control over the shoal could be viewed as a model for the country’s future actions in the regional conflicts. The article has been divided into three parts. The first one presents the subject matter of the dispute and its historical determinants. The latter characterizes the interests of individual countries involved in the conflict, their position, and the legal background to the dispute. Finally, the third section analyzes the events of 2012 and their implications, along with an attempt to isolate the elements that may constitute the model of the PRC’s future policy with regard to territorial disputes in which it is involved (“Scarborough model”). The following research questions were asked for the purpose of structuring the analysis: 1) What is the factual and legal background to the Scarborough Shoal standoff? 2) How and by means of what instruments did China establish effective control of the atoll? 3) What is the role of the dispute in the context of the PRC’s remaining territorial claims over the South China Sea? The article primarily uses the method of gathering and observing facts, as well as the decision-making method in the context of analyzing the positions of the states involved in the dispute. Also, the process method was used to present the genesis of the studied political processes.
本文的目的是通过对中国在斯卡伯勒浅滩冲突中的政策的深入分析,区分中华人民共和国对其涉及的领土争端(特别关注南中国海岛屿和地物的冲突)的外交政策的关键假设和工具。根据工作假设,2012年发生的事件,最终导致中国对浅滩的实际控制,可以被视为中国未来在地区冲突中行动的典范。本文共分为三个部分。第一部分介绍了争端的主题及其历史决定因素。后者描述了卷入冲突的各个国家的利益、立场和争端的法律背景。最后,第三部分分析了2012年的事件及其影响,并试图分离出可能构成中国未来领土争端政策模式的要素(“斯卡伯勒模式”)。为了构建分析,我们提出了以下研究问题:1)黄岩岛对峙的事实和法律背景是什么?2)中国如何以及通过什么手段建立对该环礁的有效控制?3)在中国对南中国海的剩余领土主张的背景下,这一争端的作用是什么?本文主要运用收集和观察事实的方法,以及在分析争端当事国立场的背景下运用决策的方法。此外,过程方法被用来呈现所研究的政治过程的起源。
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引用次数: 0
The Politicization of Intellectual Property Rights in the Context of Karabakh 卡拉巴赫背景下的知识产权政治化
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.14746/ps.2022.1.25
A. Muradov, N. Hajiyeva
Until recently, intellectual property law has been kept away from the political realm, as it was merely linked to economic and legal factors. However, in light of recent geopolitical processes and politically charged conflicts, political science has taken dominance in terms of intellectual property (IP) development and proclivities. In contemporary international politics, it is critical to explain and perceive IP tendencies and systems from the perspectives of political science and political economy, to consider appropriate retorts to processes arising from IPR conflicts in the Karabakh region of Azerbaijan during the occupation. Azerbaijan had been confronted with limitations of its control over its territory due to the nearly three decades of the Karabakh conflict. In this regard, the article will answer questions related to the violation of intellectual property rights, the exploitation of goods and services, as well as the other IPR problems encountered by Azerbaijan during the occupation of Karabakh.
直到最近,知识产权法一直远离政治领域,因为它仅仅与经济和法律因素有关。然而,鉴于最近的地缘政治进程和政治冲突,政治学在知识产权(IP)的发展和倾向方面占据了主导地位。在当代国际政治中,从政治学和政治经济学的角度解释和理解知识产权趋势和制度,考虑对占领期间阿塞拜疆卡拉巴赫地区知识产权冲突产生的过程进行适当的反驳,是至关重要的。由于近三十年的卡拉巴赫冲突,阿塞拜疆对其领土的控制受到限制。在这方面,这篇文章将回答与侵犯知识产权、剥削商品和服务以及阿塞拜疆在占领卡拉巴赫期间遇到的其他知识产权问题有关的问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Przeglad Strategiczny
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