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Integration and Cointegration of Apartment Prices on the Primary and Secondary Market in Szczecin in the Years 2006-2022 2006-2022 年什切青一级市场和二级市场公寓价格的整合与协整关系
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0028
M. Doszyń
Abstract The objective of the paper is to verify hypotheses regarding integration and cointegration (relation) of mean apartment prices on the primary and secondary market in Szczecin. Both transaction prices as well as offer prices of apartments were investigated. The analysis period encompasses the years of 2006 – 2022 (quarterly data). An ADF test was employed to examine the integration of time series, taking into consideration a deterministic component in the form of a quadratic function. Only the time series of mean offer prices and transaction prices on the primary market proved to be integrated in the first degree. The time series of mean offer prices and transaction prices on the secondary market were not integrated, they occurred to be trend stationary series. A two-step Engle-Granger test was employed to analyze the cointegration of time series, which confirmed the cointegration of mean offer prices and transaction prices on the primary market. The relations between individual price types were examined with the use of a procedure which entailed analyzing (with an ADF test) difference stationarity between prices. From the empirical studies it arises that, in Szczecin, transaction and offer prices on the primary market follow one another. On the secondary market, offer and transaction prices are trend stationary and they converge. On the other hand, prices on the primary market diverge from prices on the secondary market (the primary market diverges from the secondary market). This concerns both offer prices as well as transaction prices.
摘要本文的目的是验证关于捷克共和国一级和二级市场平均公寓价格的整合和协整(关系)的假设。对公寓的交易价格和报价都进行了调查。分析期间包括2006年至2022年(季度数据)。采用ADF检验来检验时间序列的积分,考虑到二次函数形式的确定性成分。只有一级市场的平均报价和交易价格的时间序列被证明是一级整合的。二级市场平均卖出价和成交价格的时间序列不整合,出现趋势平稳序列。采用两步恩格尔-格兰杰检验对时间序列进行协整分析,证实了一级市场平均报价与交易价格之间存在协整关系。个别价格类型之间的关系进行了检查,使用程序,需要分析(与ADF测试)价格之间的差异平稳性。从实证研究中可以看出,在捷克,一级市场的交易价格和出价是相互遵循的。在二级市场上,卖出价和成交价格走势平稳且趋于一致。另一方面,一级市场的价格与二级市场的价格不同(一级市场与二级市场不同)。这既涉及报价,也涉及交易价格。
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引用次数: 0
Human-Machine Synergy in Real Estate Similarity Concept 房地产相似性概念中的人机协同作用
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2024-0010
M. Renigier‐Biłozor, Artur Janowski
Abstract The issue of similarity in the real estate market is a widely recognized aspect of analysis, yet it remains underexplored in scientific research. This study aims to address this gap by introducing the concept of a Property Cognitive Information System (PCIS), which offers an innovative approach to analyzing similarity in the real estate market. The PCIS introduces non-classical and alternative solutions, departing from the conventional data analysis practices commonly employed in the real estate market. Moreover, the study delves into the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in the PCIS. The paper highlights the value added by the PCIS, specifically discussing the validity of using automatic ML-based solutions to objectify the results of synergistic data processing in the real estate market. Furthermore, the article establishes a set of essential assumptions and recommendations that contribute to a well-defined and interpretable notion of similarity in the context of human-machine analyses. By exploring the intricacies of similarity in the real estate market through the innovative PCIS and AI-based solutions, this research seeks to broaden the understanding and applicability of data analysis techniques in this domain.
摘要 房地产市场中的相似性问题是一个被广泛认可的分析方面,但在科学研究中仍未得到充分探索。本研究旨在通过引入房地产认知信息系统(PCIS)的概念来弥补这一不足,该系统为分析房地产市场的相似性提供了一种创新方法。PCIS 引入了非经典性的替代解决方案,有别于房地产市场常用的传统数据分析方法。此外,研究还深入探讨了 PCIS 中人工智能(AI)的整合。文章强调了 PCIS 的附加值,特别讨论了在房地产市场中使用基于 ML 的自动解决方案来客观化协同数据处理结果的有效性。此外,文章还提出了一系列基本假设和建议,这些假设和建议有助于在人机分析中形成定义明确、可解释的相似性概念。通过基于 PCIS 和人工智能的创新解决方案来探索房地产市场中错综复杂的相似性,本研究旨在拓宽该领域对数据分析技术的理解和应用。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Efficiency and Investor Behavior on the European Real Estate Market in the Rising Inflation Environment 通货膨胀环境下欧洲房地产市场的金融效率和投资者行为
Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2024-0007
Sylwester J. Rzeszut, Michał J. Kowalski, Jan K. Kazak
Abstract The pandemic, followed by the Russian aggression against Ukraine, caused rapid changes in the economy. European countries experienced unprecedented price increases, which resulted in a significant increase in the cost of capital. This resulted primarily in limited access to capital and a significant reduction in investments in the real estate market. In addition, investors began to withdraw capital from investments in the real estate market to other assets, encouraged by their rising rates of return. The article presents how the indicated circumstances translated into the financial efficiency of companies from the Real Estate sector. Listed companies of the European Economic Area in the years 2019-2022 were analyzed. Changes in the main accounting measures and market measures for individual countries as well as the characteristics of real estate market participants were analyzed.
疫情爆发后,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰,导致经济迅速变化。欧洲国家经历了前所未有的物价上涨,导致资本成本大幅上升。这主要导致获得资本的机会有限,房地产市场投资大幅减少。此外,投资者开始将资金从房地产市场的投资撤回到其他资产,受到其收益率上升的鼓励。本文介绍了所指出的情况如何转化为房地产行业公司的财务效率。对2019-2022年欧洲经济区上市公司进行了分析。分析了各国主要会计措施和市场措施的变化,以及房地产市场参与者的特点。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 Impact to Retail, Hospitality, and Office Space in Malaysia 2019冠状病毒病对马来西亚零售、酒店和办公空间的影响
Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2024-0008
Ahmad Akmal Isa, Muhammad Najib Razali, Fatin Afiqah Azmi, Siti Zaleha Daud, Aminah Mohsin, Azizah Ismail, Mohamad Amir Lokman
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted economies and industries worldwide, including the real estate sector. This study aims to assess the effects of the pandemic on commercial real estate prices in the Malaysian market. By examining variations in property types and considering key factors influencing pricing, the research contributes to a better understanding of the pandemic’s impact on the real estate market. To analyze the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on commercial real estate prices, a mixed-method approach was employed. The study combines data from direct real estate indices, which provide insights into property prices based on transaction data, and listed real estate, which includes publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs). By utilizing both sources, a comprehensive analysis of the market is achieved. The sample for this study consists of commercial real estate properties in the Malaysian market. It includes properties from various sectors, such as retail, hospitality, and office buildings. The sample is representative of the overall market and captures the different property types affected by the pandemic. The analysis begins by comparing direct real estate indices to highlight the limitations and potential biases associated with using these indices. It then examines the variations in commercial real estate prices during the COVID-19 outbreak, focusing on the different property types. Statistical techniques, such as regression analysis and trend analysis, are employed to identify patterns and quantify the impact on commercial real estate prices. The study’s main findings reveal that the retail and hospitality sectors experienced the most significant impact on commercial real estate prices during the COVID-19 pandemic. These sectors witnessed a substantial decline in property values due to restrictions, lockdown measures, and reduced consumer demand. Office buildings, although moderately affected, also experienced some decline in prices. This research contributes to the existing literature on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on commercial real estate prices, specifically in the Malaysian market. By combining data from direct and listed real estate sources, the study provides a comprehensive understanding of the variations in property prices across different sectors. The findings offer valuable insights for real estate investors, policymakers, and industry professionals in adapting to the changing market conditions and making informed decisions regarding commercial real estate investments. In conclusion, this article sheds light on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on commercial real estate prices in the Malaysian market. The research methodology, which combines data from direct and listed real estate, allows for a comprehensive analysis of property variations among different sectors. The findings emphasize the significant impact on the retail and hospitality sectors, while showing office buildings to have been
新冠肺炎疫情给全球经济和行业带来了冲击,房地产业也不例外。本研究旨在评估疫情对马来西亚市场商业房地产价格的影响。通过研究房地产类型的变化,并考虑影响定价的关键因素,该研究有助于更好地了解疫情对房地产市场的影响。为分析新冠肺炎疫情对商业地产价格的影响,采用混合方法。该研究结合了直接房地产指数和上市房地产的数据,前者提供了基于交易数据的房地产价格洞察,后者包括公开交易的房地产投资信托基金(REITs)。通过利用这两种来源,可以实现对市场的全面分析。本研究的样本包括马来西亚市场的商业房地产。它包括来自不同行业的物业,如零售、酒店和办公楼。样本代表了整个市场,并涵盖了受大流行影响的不同财产类型。分析首先比较了直接的房地产指数,以突出使用这些指数的局限性和潜在偏差。然后研究了2019冠状病毒病爆发期间商业房地产价格的变化,重点关注不同的房地产类型。统计技术,如回归分析和趋势分析,被用来确定模式和量化对商业房地产价格的影响。该研究的主要结果显示,在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,零售和酒店业对商业房地产价格的影响最为显著。由于限制、封锁措施和消费者需求减少,这些行业的房地产价值大幅下降。写字楼虽然受影响不大,但价格也有所下降。这项研究有助于现有文献关于COVID-19大流行对商业房地产价格的影响,特别是在马来西亚市场。通过结合直接和上市房地产来源的数据,该研究提供了对不同行业房地产价格变化的全面了解。研究结果为房地产投资者、政策制定者和行业专业人士提供了有价值的见解,帮助他们适应不断变化的市场条件,并就商业房地产投资做出明智的决策。总之,本文揭示了COVID-19大流行对马来西亚市场商业房地产价格的影响。该研究方法结合了直接房地产和上市房地产的数据,可以对不同行业之间的房地产变化进行全面分析。调查结果强调了对零售和酒店业的重大影响,同时显示办公楼受到的影响较小。它还为房地产行业的利益相关者提供了重要的见解,使他们能够做出明智的决策并制定适当的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Property Damage Assessment Methods and Models due to Armed Aggression 武装侵略财产损失评估方法与模型
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0019
O. Drapikovskyi, Iryna Ivanova
Abstract The paper deals with the conceptualization of the gross development value to assess direct damages and the restoration needs of lost, destroyed and damaged real estate as a result of armed aggression. A critical review of the existing practice of assessing property damage has been carried out. The measurement units of direct damages and the restoration needs, the evidence base used, the valuation methods for the determination of property damage are analyzed. The methodological potential of compounded cash flow models and the criteria for assessing their reliability is substantiated. A system of valuation models for calculating direct damages and restoration needs is proposed, depending on the category of real estate and market conditions at the valuation date. These valuation models are relatively simple to implement and understandable to the intended users of property damage valuation reports.
摘要本文探讨了总开发价值的概念,以评估武装侵略造成的损失、毁坏和损坏的房地产的直接损失和修复需求。对评估财产损失的现行做法进行了严格审查。分析了直接损害的计量单位和修复需要,使用的证据基础,确定财产损害的估价方法。复合现金流模型的方法潜力及其可靠性评估标准得到了证实。根据房地产类别和估价日的市场条件,提出了一个用于计算直接损失和修复需求的估价模型系统。这些估价模型实施起来相对简单,财产损失估价报告的预期用户也能理解。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of the Utility Function of Money and Housing Based on the Cumulative Prospect Theory 基于累积前景理论的货币和住房效用函数估计
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0024
Justyna Brzezicka, M. Tomal
Abstract This article addresses the issue of the utility of money and the utility of housing with a value equivalent to that amount of money. The literature provides many reports on the shape of the utility function for money, but much less research has been devoted to the utility function for housing. The aim of this study was to estimate the utility function of money and housing according to the cumulative prospect theory (CPT) developed by Tversky and Kahneman (1992). Parameters alpha (α), beta (β), and lambda (λ) were estimated to compare the utility value of money and housing. The most important conclusions of the study are as follows: parameters alpha and beta were greater than 0 and less than 1 for both housing and money. Function v(x) was concave in the gain domain and convex in the loss domain, which is consistent with the CPT. The differences in the lambda parameter denoting loss aversion were not significant, and the value of the utility function was somewhat higher for money than for housing. This study was undertaken to estimate the CPT parameters for housing, which, according to the authors’ best knowledge, has not been investigated to date.
摘要本文讨论了货币的效用问题和价值相当于该金额的住房的效用问题。文献中提供了许多关于货币效用函数形状的报告,但对住房效用函数的研究却少得多。本研究的目的是根据Tversky和Kahneman(1992)提出的累积前景理论(CPT)来估计货币和住房的效用函数。估计参数α(α)、β(β)和λ(λ),以比较货币和住房的效用价值。该研究最重要的结论如下:住房和货币的参数α和β均大于0,小于1。函数v(x)在增益域是凹的,在损失域是凸的,这与CPT一致。表示损失厌恶的lambda参数的差异并不显著,效用函数对货币的价值略高于对住房的价值。这项研究是为了估计住房的CPT参数,据作者所知,迄今为止尚未对其进行调查。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Price Anchoring on the Housing Market Based on Studies of Local Markets in Poland 基于波兰当地市场研究的价格锚定对住房市场的影响
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0020
S. Kokot
Abstract The article attempts to explain market levels of housing prices by supplementing the set of typical objective explanatory variables with variables of behavioral background. The proposed explanatory variables reflect the anchoring effect of prices, understood as the acceptance by market participants of such price levels that are justified not only in terms of socio-economic factors, but also in levels entrenched in their minds. The purpose of the study is to show that the anchoring effect identified through behavioral economics can be generalized and applied to the market behavior of many market participants, and thus explain the weak correspondence between listed housing prices and their objective factors. The study covers 17 local real estate markets in Poland and employs econometric models built under slightly modified procedures of backward stepwise regression.
摘要本文试图通过用行为背景变量补充一组典型的客观解释变量来解释房价的市场水平。拟议的解释变量反映了价格的锚定效应,即市场参与者对这种价格水平的接受,这种价格水平不仅在社会经济因素方面是合理的,而且在他们心中根深蒂固的水平上也是合理的。研究的目的是表明,通过行为经济学识别的锚定效应可以推广并应用于许多市场参与者的市场行为,从而解释上市房价与其客观因素之间的弱对应性。该研究涵盖了波兰17个地方房地产市场,并采用了在略微修改的后向逐步回归程序下建立的计量经济模型。
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引用次数: 0
A Survey Analysis: The Current Real Estate Marketing Situation in the China Greater Bay Area in the Context of the COVID-19 Epidemic 调查分析:新冠肺炎疫情背景下中国大湾区房地产营销现状
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0017
Juan Kong, Ema Izati Zull Kepili
Abstract Real estate in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (also known as the Greater Bay Area, GBA) - a good representation of China’s advanced and developed urban agglomeration - has received considerable attention from the international community in recent years. However, the real estate market has been under extraordinary stress due to the expansion of COVID-19 in China, the strain on people’s livelihoods brought on by the coronavirus pandemic, and the Chinese government’s series of epidemic preventive initiatives. This study used a combination of qualitative and quantitative techniques, making use of interviews and questionnaires as instruments. It examined China’s GBA real estate market as the pandemic looms. The primary goals are to demonstrate the current state of the GBA’s real estate industry, pinpoint the factors holding back its growth, and estimate when the market might finally experience a breakthrough. Our findings suggested that the impact of COVID-19 on the GBA real estate sector in China is evident, but that it still has a bright future despite the negative externalities. This is because the city has a large population, high purchasing power, and is close to some of the most developed areas in southern China. This study establishes a baseline for studying the impact of China’s “One Belt, One Road” initiative on the GBA real estate market in the future. It also provides valuable resources for China’s GBA’s real estate industry.
粤港澳大湾区房地产作为中国先进发达城市群的一个很好的代表,近年来受到了国际社会的广泛关注。然而,由于新冠肺炎疫情在中国的蔓延,新冠肺炎疫情给民生带来的压力,以及中国政府采取的一系列防疫措施,房地产市场面临着非同寻常的压力。本研究采用定性和定量相结合的方法,以访谈和问卷调查为手段。在疫情逼近之际,该报告审视了中国大湾区的房地产市场。主要目标是展示大湾区房地产行业的现状,找出阻碍其增长的因素,并估计市场何时可能最终实现突破。我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19对中国大湾区房地产行业的影响是明显的,但尽管存在负面外部性,但它仍然有一个光明的未来。这是因为这座城市人口众多,购买力高,而且靠近中国南方一些最发达的地区。本研究为研究中国“一带一路”倡议未来对大湾区房地产市场的影响奠定了基础。它也为中国大湾区的房地产行业提供了宝贵的资源。
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引用次数: 0
Review of Clustering Methods Used in Data-Driven Housing Market Segmentation 数据驱动的住房市场分割中的聚类方法综述
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0022
Štěpán Skovajsa
Abstract A huge effort has already been made to prove the existence of housing market segments, as well as how to utilize them to improve valuation accuracy and gain knowledge about the inner structure of the entire superior housing market. Accordingly, many different methods on the topic have been explored, but no universal framework is yet known. The aim of this article is to review some previous studies on data-driven housing market segmentation methods with a focus on clustering methods and their ability to capture market segments with respect to the shape of clusters, fuzziness and hierarchical structure.
为了证明住房细分市场的存在,以及如何利用细分市场来提高估价的准确性和了解整个优质住房市场的内部结构,人们已经做了大量的工作。因此,关于这个主题的许多不同的方法已经被探索,但还没有一个通用的框架。本文的目的是回顾以往关于数据驱动的住房市场细分方法的一些研究,重点是聚类方法及其在集群形状、模糊性和层次结构方面捕捉细分市场的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting Abandoned Houses in Rural Areas using Multi-Source Data 利用多源数据检测农村废弃房屋
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2023-0021
Chan-Jae Lee
Abstract Abandoned houses have become a common feature of the local landscapes: the rising number of abandoned houses is a major challenge facing many counties in South Korea. Their presence negatively influences the neighborhood by undermining its aesthetic quality, depreciating the perception of safety in the neighborhood properties, and deepening the fiscal deficit of local financing. The detection of abandoned houses is the first step toward adequate housing management by local governments. This study aims to provide a cost-effective and prompt approach to identifying abandoned houses in rural areas. Multi-source data, that is, images and building registry data are utilized and a multi-input neural network is designed to adopt these heterogeneous datasets. Trained by the two source datasets, the proposed network achieves 86.2% accuracy in classifying abandoned houses, which is an acceptable performance level in administrative practice. The database of abandoned houses identified in this manner is expected to promote effective housing management by governments and ultimately contribute to mitigating vacancies in rural areas.
摘要废弃房屋已成为当地景观的一个共同特征:废弃房屋数量的增加是韩国许多县面临的一大挑战。他们的存在对社区产生了负面影响,破坏了社区的审美品质,贬低了社区财产的安全感,并加深了地方融资的财政赤字。发现废弃房屋是地方政府实现充分住房管理的第一步。这项研究旨在为识别农村地区的废弃房屋提供一种具有成本效益的快速方法。利用多源数据,即图像和建筑登记数据,并设计了一个多输入神经网络来采用这些异构数据集。通过两个源数据集的训练,所提出的网络在对废弃房屋进行分类时达到了86.2%的准确率,这在行政实践中是可以接受的性能水平。以这种方式确定的废弃房屋数据库有望促进政府有效的住房管理,并最终有助于减少农村地区的空置率。
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引用次数: 0
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Real Estate Management and Valuation
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