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The Cost of Climate Change to Agricultural Industries: Coconuts in Sri Lanka 气候变化对农业产业的代价:斯里兰卡的椰子
Pub Date : 2019-10-31 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I5.29
Erandathie Pathiraja, G. Griffith, R. Farquharson, R. Faggian
Agriculture in low latitude countries such as Sri Lanka is already operating at the maximum temperature limits for crop growth and faces increased production risk from expected climate change. Sri Lanka is a developing country with limited economic and technological capacity to develop adaptation strategies; hence more vulnerable to climate change than developed countries. Coconut (Cocos nucifera L) is a rain fed perennial crop important in Sri Lankan culture, food consumption and the economy. It is the second most important food in the Sri Lankan diet after rice. Several studies have examined the impact of climate change on Sri Lankan agriculture, but none were conducted to simulate the impact of future climate change and future adaptation strategies on coconut production, or to calculate the economic welfare effects for different stakeholders in the coconut value chain. In this paper we report the development of an economic model of the coconut value chain that allows prediction of welfare impacts, and a quantitative representation of coconut yield that allows prediction of the impact of changing climatic conditions. The average outcome of 16 climate models was used to generate future climatic conditions, with two future climatic scenarios for 2020, 2030 and 2050 considered for three production regions. The most important yield estimate was a yield decline of more than 10 percent in the wet climatic zone due to the expected increase of maximum temperature. Without extra adaptation measures this is predicted to result in a loss to the industry of 4,795 Rs. Million annually by 2020, which is nearly 4.7 percent of the total value of the industry at equilibrium prices and quantities. The negative impact of climate change has the potential to be reduced with the implementation of additional adaptation practices. However, the cost effectiveness of these practices needs to be considered. Wider adoption of fertilizer application at specific times and moisture conservation practices are estimated to be economically beneficial.
斯里兰卡等低纬度国家的农业已经在作物生长的最高温度限制下运行,并面临着预期气候变化带来的生产风险增加。斯里兰卡是一个发展中国家,制定适应战略的经济和技术能力有限;因此比发达国家更容易受到气候变化的影响。椰子(Cocos nucifera L)是一种雨水灌溉的多年生作物,在斯里兰卡文化、食品消费和经济中都很重要。它是斯里兰卡饮食中仅次于大米的第二重要食物。有几项研究考察了气候变化对斯里兰卡农业的影响,但没有一项研究是为了模拟未来气候变化和未来适应战略对椰子生产的影响,也没有一项是为了计算椰子价值链中不同利益相关者的经济福利影响。在本文中,我们报告了椰子价值链经济模型的开发,该模型允许预测福利影响,以及椰子产量的定量表示,该模型可以预测气候条件变化的影响。16个气候模型的平均结果用于生成未来气候条件,其中三个生产区考虑了2020年、2030年和2050年的两种未来气候情景。最重要的产量估计是,由于最高温度的预期升高,潮湿气候区的产量下降了10%以上。如果没有额外的适应措施,预计到2020年,该行业每年将损失4.795亿卢比,在均衡价格和数量下,这几乎占该行业总价值的4.7%。随着更多适应做法的实施,气候变化的负面影响有可能减少。然而,需要考虑这些做法的成本效益。据估计,在特定时间广泛采用施肥和保湿措施在经济上是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
Innovation in Agri-food Systems – A Systematic Mapping of the Literature 农业食品系统的创新——文献的系统映射
Pub Date : 2019-10-31 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I5.28
S. Spendrup, F. Fernqvist
This study systematically explores, analyses, reports on and synthesises research on the topic of sectoral innovation systems related to agriculture and agri-food in OECD countries. It is based on systematic mapping of the literature (academic papers published in scientific journals) in the period 1997-2017. The aim is to show the state of current knowledge on sectoral innovation systems in agri-food, in order to identify knowledge gaps and future areas for research and provide methodological and theoretical perspectives. Abstracts for a total of 320 papers were analysed, using a qualitative approach. Key elements of agricultural innovation systems identified were organised into 8 main themes/topics: agents, basic technologies, knowledge and learning processes, mechanisms of interaction, institutions, end-users, system transition and contextual variables. Areas identified as requiring research included making the sector more consumer- and market-oriented, increasing interactions outside conventional system boundaries, including the consumer perspective and societal changes, and determining the role of gender in innovation in agri-food systems.
本研究系统地探讨、分析、报告和综合了经合组织国家与农业和农产品相关的部门创新系统的研究。它基于1997-2017年期间文献(发表在科学期刊上的学术论文)的系统映射。其目的是展示农业食品部门创新系统的当前知识状况,以确定知识差距和未来的研究领域,并提供方法和理论视角。采用定性方法对总共320篇论文的摘要进行了分析。确定的农业创新系统的关键要素分为8个主题/主题:主体、基本技术、知识和学习过程、互动机制、机构、最终用户、系统转型和背景变量。被确定为需要研究的领域包括使该行业更加面向消费者和市场,增加传统系统边界之外的互动,包括消费者视角和社会变革,以及确定性别在农业食品系统创新中的作用。
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引用次数: 10
Land Rights Protection in the Pulp and Paper Production System 制浆造纸系统中的土地权利保护
Pub Date : 2019-10-31 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I5.34
C. Graça, D. Zylbersztajn
This article explores how the quality of institutions influences the strategic choice of agents in the pulp and paper production system based on the forest plantation sector. In order to proceed with the study, we employ the Economic Analysis of Property Rights (Barzel, 1982, 1989, 2002) as foundation, and test the proposition: in federative states where the institutional environment is fragile and therefore the State has a high cost to enforce property rights, private mechanisms stand out in the protection of property rights. According to Dixit (2009, p. 8), “if the government does not pro tect property rights, at least not as well as owners require, many private arrangements arise to satisfy the owners' needs”. The analysis of three business cases of companies with plantations in more than one federative unit revealed the broad range of private mechanisms in place to cope with insecure land rights. In addition to countrywide strategies, in the federative units where government fails to be a good property rights steward, we found geographically specific initiatives being used. Another finding was the identification of variables that are able to evaluate the quality of institutions and employed in the companies´ decision-making process for the selection of land rights protection strategies. Findings altogether are empirical evidence of how the quality of institutions influences the strategic choice of land rights protection in the forest plantation sector in Brazil.
本文探讨了制度质量如何影响基于森林种植部门的纸浆和纸张生产系统中代理人的战略选择。为了继续研究,我们采用了《产权经济分析》(Barzel, 1982,1989,2002)作为基础,并检验了以下命题:在制度环境脆弱,因此国家执行产权的成本很高的联邦制国家,私人机制在保护产权方面表现突出。根据Dixit (2009, p. 8)的观点,“如果政府不保护产权,至少不像业主要求的那样好,就会出现许多私人安排来满足业主的需求”。对在一个以上的联邦单位拥有种植园的公司的三个商业案例的分析显示,现有各种各样的私人机制来处理不安全的土地权利。除了全国范围内的战略之外,在政府未能成为良好产权管理者的联邦单位中,我们发现正在使用地理上特定的举措。另一个发现是确定了能够评估制度质量的变量,并将其用于公司选择土地权利保护战略的决策过程。所有研究结果都是关于制度质量如何影响巴西森林种植部门土地权利保护战略选择的经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Producers’ Cognitive Styles on their Purchasing Behavior 生产者认知风格对其购买行为的影响
Pub Date : 2019-10-31 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I5.33
R. Feeney, Federico Accursi, Pablo Mac Clay
This paper inquires on the impact of cognitive styles over the decision-making process producers perform while making input and capital equipment purchases. We will question if Argentine farmers with diverse cognitive styles have different purchasing behaviors when buying the inputs they use in their farming operations. Cognitive styles express differences in the way decision-makers process information and organize knowledge. Results show that different segments of producers have distinctive purchasing behaviors. Specifically, analytic-oriented producers tend to focus more on product performance and less on the relationship with suppliers when buying their inputs. They also tend to be loyal to input brands, they rely less on dealers/retailers and salespeople, and they are willing to change suppliers more often than other producers. Intuitive-oriented producers value more the relationship with the supplier and are interested in contacting the salesperson if they need a product. While balanced-oriented producers declare to be less loyal to brands but are more stable in terms of not changing input suppliers frequently. This characterization of producers has important business implications, since identifying and segmenting the different types of producers with different cognitive styles and distinctive buying profiles is a key aspect of the strategic marketing plan of any company in the input markets. To our knowledge, this is the first paper on the topic of cognitive styles of Argentine producers and their impact on their purchasing behaviors.
本文探讨了认知风格对生产者在投入和资本设备购买时的决策过程的影响。我们将质疑具有不同认知风格的阿根廷农民在购买他们在农业经营中使用的投入品时是否有不同的购买行为。认知风格表达了决策者处理信息和组织知识的方式的差异。结果表明,不同的生产者群体具有不同的购买行为。具体而言,以分析为导向的生产商在购买投入时往往更关注产品性能,而较少关注与供应商的关系。他们也倾向于忠于投入品牌,对经销商/零售商和销售人员的依赖较少,而且他们比其他生产商更愿意更换供应商。直觉导向的生产者更重视与供应商的关系,如果他们需要产品,他们有兴趣联系销售人员。而以平衡为导向的生产商宣称对品牌的忠诚度较低,但在不频繁更换投入供应商方面更稳定。生产者的这种特征具有重要的商业意义,因为识别和细分具有不同认知风格和独特购买特征的不同类型的生产者是投入市场中任何公司战略营销计划的一个关键方面。据我们所知,这是第一篇关于阿根廷生产者的认知风格及其对其购买行为的影响的论文。
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引用次数: 3
Responsible Innovation in Layer Poultry Farming: Are Organic Consumers Sufficiently Informed about the Current Situation of Killing Day-old Male Chicks to Contribute to the Innovation Process? 蛋鸡养殖中负责任的创新:有机消费者是否充分了解屠宰日龄雄鸡的现状,从而参与创新过程?
Pub Date : 2019-10-31 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I5.32
I. Schröter, M. Mergenthaler
Currently, there is no societal consensus on the handling of male chicks in layer poultry farming. When searching for responsible innovation in the face of ethical concerns due to the killing of these day-old male chicks, consumers as main stakeholders should be involved in the innovation process. However, participation in the innovation process requires sufficient knowledge of the current situation and its alternatives, since only this knowledge allows informed judgments. In order to gain insights into consumers’ knowledge and attitudes regarding the alternatives of rearing the male chicks, we conducted 146 tablet-aided standardised personal interviews with customers of a German organic butcher’s shop, as consumers of organic food may be a target group for cockerel products. The results reveal the respondents’ profound disapproval about the current situation of killing day-old male chicks, but also show a considerable lack of knowledge. We conclude that comprehensive educational work is necessary to enable consumers to form a sound opinion and to participate in the innovation process.
目前,在蛋鸡养殖中,对雄雏鸡的处理还没有达成社会共识。当面对因这些一天大的公小鸡被杀而引起的道德问题寻求负责任的创新时,作为主要利益相关者的消费者应该参与创新过程。然而,参与创新过程需要对当前形势及其替代方案有足够的了解,因为只有这些知识才能做出明智的判断。为了深入了解消费者对饲养公鸡替代品的知识和态度,我们对一家德国有机肉店的顾客进行了146次平板电脑辅助的标准化个人访谈,因为有机食品的消费者可能是公鸡产品的目标群体。调查结果显示,受访者对杀害日龄公雏鸡的现状深表不满,但也表现出相当的知识匮乏。我们得出的结论是,全面的教育工作是必要的,以使消费者形成健全的意见并参与创新过程。
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引用次数: 1
Public Images of Dairy Farms among Urban Dwellers in Bogotá, Colombia 哥伦比亚波哥大<e:1>城市居民中奶牛场的公众形象
Pub Date : 2019-10-31 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I5.31
W. Wellbrock, S. Burkart, Karen Encisco Valenciac, A. Knierim
This study explores the public images of dairy farms among urban dwellers in Bogota, Colombia. For the study, d esigned as an explorative case study, 30 participants were interviewed using a triangulated research method including a word association task, a drawing exercise, and a semi -structured interview. Public images reflected traditional dairy farms and were constructed through  personal experiences with peasants and traditional manors. Product choice was based on health and hygiene, associated with modern dairy farms. Yet, modernization was argued to threaten animal welfare, the environment, and peasant livelihoods. To ensure socio-cultural sustainability, traditional production systems need to be better integrated into the modernization process.
本研究探讨了哥伦比亚波哥大城市居民对奶牛场的公众形象。本研究设计为探索性案例研究,采用三角研究方法对30名参与者进行了访谈,包括单词联想任务、绘画练习和半结构化访谈。公共形象反映了传统的奶牛场,并通过与农民和传统庄园的亲身体验来构建。产品选择以健康和卫生为基础,与现代奶牛场有关。然而,有人认为现代化会威胁到动物福利、环境和农民的生计。为了确保社会文化的可持续性,传统生产系统需要更好地融入现代化进程。
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引用次数: 1
Internationalization Strategies in the German Dairy Industry and their Influence on the Economic Performance of Firms 德国乳业的国际化战略及其对企业经济绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2019-08-23 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I4.22
Johannes Meyer, Jan‐Henning Feil, C. Schaper
Growing  milk  production,  stagnating  domestic  consumption  and  ongoing  liberalization  of  the  worldwide  milk  market  have  led  to  increasing  exports  of  milk  and  milk  products  out  of  Germany.  This  situation  heightens competition amongst German dairies for market share on foreign markets. The German dairy industry, which  comprises of some international corporations and many medium sized companies, including both cooperatives and  privately owned companies, therefore has to find strategies with which to compete successfully on international  markets. This study analyzes the German dairy industry comparing different internationalization strategies and their  influence on the firms’ economic success. 18 German dairy companies have been analyzed. We identified different  internationalization strategies with reference to Perlmutter’s EPRG model. To measure economic success, we  analyzed annual reports from the dairy companies observed over the years 2010 to 2017 and so calculated different  key figures. The influence of different internationalization strategies on economic success is analyzed by a Hausman  Taylor estimation where the EBIT‐margin is the dependent variable in our model, representing economic success.  We found that German dairy industry companies do pursue different internationalisation strategies and that these  have different influences on the companies’ economic success.
牛奶产量的增长、国内消费的停滞以及全球牛奶市场的持续自由化导致了德国牛奶和奶制品出口的增加。这种情况加剧了德国乳业在国外市场上争夺市场份额的竞争。德国乳制品工业由一些国际公司和许多中型公司组成,包括合作社和私营公司,因此必须找到在国际市场上成功竞争的战略。本研究分析了德国乳业,比较了不同的国际化战略及其对企业经济成功的影响。对18家德国乳制品公司进行了分析。我们参照Perlmutter的EPRG模型确定了不同的国际化策略。为了衡量经济上的成功,我们分析了2010年至2017年观察到的乳制品公司的年度报告,并计算了不同的关键数据。不同的国际化策略对经济成功的影响通过豪斯曼泰勒估计进行了分析,其中息税前利润率是我们模型中的因变量,代表经济成功。我们发现,德国乳制品行业公司确实追求不同的国际化战略,这些战略对公司的经济成功有不同的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Value Beyond Price: End User Value Chain Analysis 价值超越价格:终端用户价值链分析
Pub Date : 2019-08-23 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I4.23
E. Ellis, E. Kwofie, M. Ngadi
Uniqueness does not lead to value addition, if it is not valuable to the consumer. A supplier’s value chain activity is inherently dependent on the satisfaction it provides to consumers in addressing their needs. This is particularly important since the supplier’s product is the input in the consumers’ value chain. Therefore, this article presents a methodological framework of value‐chain concept and analysis that is tailored to revealing and understanding consumer needs by ensuring that the consumer is the focus of the analysis. The framework proposes to view the consumer beyond just a buyer by understanding its own value chain within which the product is fits. This is achieved by defining the consumption chain and assessing the consumers experience with the product. It therefore goes beyond analyzing the factors affecting the availability and prices of food products to more subtle value elements including acceptability, utilization, physical and nutritional quality of food. Following that, it introduces the consumer into the supply chain by realigning production processes based on identified consumer requirements. The framework focuses on getting the product value chain to focus on providing consumer value by identifying areas where activities can be adjusted to have a greater influence on the consumption chain.
如果独特性对消费者没有价值,它就不会带来附加价值。供应商的价值链活动本质上依赖于它在满足消费者需求方面提供的满意度。这一点尤其重要,因为供应商的产品是消费者价值链中的输入。因此,本文提出了一个价值链概念和分析的方法论框架,通过确保消费者是分析的焦点,来揭示和理解消费者的需求。该框架建议通过了解产品适合的价值链,将消费者视为不仅仅是买家。这是通过定义消费链和评估消费者对产品的体验来实现的。因此,它超越了分析影响食品供应和价格的因素,而涉及到更微妙的价值因素,包括食品的可接受性、利用、物理和营养质量。随后,它根据确定的消费者需求重新调整生产流程,将消费者引入供应链。该框架的重点是通过确定可以调整活动以对消费链产生更大影响的领域,使产品价值链专注于提供消费者价值。
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引用次数: 4
The Role of Innovation Poles in Agri‐food System Development: The Case of Abruzzo’s Model 创新极在农产品体系发展中的作用——以阿布鲁佐模型为例
Pub Date : 2019-08-23 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I4.21
N. Casolani, M. Perito, L. Liberatore
The Innovation Poles represent a new industrial policy instruments to support the competitiveness of companies  that favor the sharing of knowledge between companies and the convergence of investments on trajectories of  innovation. This paper provides an indepth analysis of the case of Abruzzo Innovation Pole “Agire” Consortium, a  cluster that includes food companies and joint research, innovation and strategic services. Results showed that  requirements of companies to improve their competitiveness are not only devoted to research and innovation in  strictly sense (product/process) but also to the exigence of general improvement of services oriented to market  development, internationalization / export and support in participation in calls for projects proposal; companies’  point out the high cost of innovation as the main limitation; a general strategy improving internal and external  policies could overcome or limit this barrier and facilitate the symbiosis process.
创新极点代表了一种新的产业政策工具,支持公司之间的知识共享和创新轨迹上的投资趋同,从而提高公司的竞争力。本文对Abruzzo Innovation Pole“Agire”Consortium的案例进行了深入分析,这是一个包括食品企业和联合研究、创新和战略服务的集群。结果表明,公司提高竞争力的要求不仅是严格意义上的研究和创新(产品/工艺),而且还需要普遍改善面向市场开发、国际化/出口和支持参与项目招标的服务;企业指出创新成本高是主要制约因素;改善内部和外部政策的总体战略可以克服或限制这一障碍,促进共生进程。
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引用次数: 3
Agriculture in Nigeria’s Economic Diversification Process: A Study of a Poultry Outgrower Scheme 尼日利亚经济多样化进程中的农业:家禽养殖户计划的研究
Pub Date : 2019-08-23 DOI: 10.18461/IJFSD.V10I4.25
G. Umoh, E. Essien, Kima Asuquo
Nigeria’s current economic plan targets diversification through leveraging the power of the private sector in order to enable and fast‐track business investments and job creation. This paper reports a study of a model of a poultry outgrower scheme ‐ Akwa Prime, used in catalysing private investments in the poultry sector of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. The scheme shares the potential of combined strength of the state and that of the private sector in stimulating increased production and integrating of small livestock farmers to the national economy. The study’s specific objectives were to examine the extent of smallholder farmer involvement in contract negotiations including price setting; the role of the key participants, particularly the regulatory function of the state in an out‐grower scheme construct; and the impact of the scheme on socioeconomic improvement of smallholder farmers. This research was conducted with 42 smallholder independent broiler poultry farmers who are registered members of the Akwa Prime outgrower scheme and receiving a range of input support and good production practices aimed at optimization. Findings show a positive impact of the scheme on small independent poultry farmers’ productivity, profitability and survival. Contract negotiations and key participants role were fully documented. Participating farmers were found to have high income and stocking density while the cost of day old chicks and other production inputs provided by the scheme accounted for 99.1% (R2=.991) of the variation in farmers income. This positive change on the bottom line of small independent poultry farmers indicate the prospects for greater deployment of out‐grower model to stimulate agriculture productivity and growth. However, despite some benefits there were major bottlenecks including compromised role of the state, imposed buyback price on farmers and late offtaking of the finished stock. The implication of this finding is that small poultry farmers left alone with their independent business choices may not stimulate much diversification driven by agriculture.
尼日利亚目前的经济计划旨在通过利用私营部门的力量实现多元化,以实现和快速跟踪商业投资和创造就业机会。本文报告了对尼日利亚阿夸伊博姆州用于促进家禽业私人投资的家禽养殖户计划模型——阿夸Prime的研究。该计划分享了国家和私营部门在刺激增加生产和使小畜牧业户融入国民经济方面的联合力量的潜力。该研究的具体目标是考察小农参与合同谈判的程度,包括价格制定;关键参与者的角色,特别是国家在种植者计划构建中的监管功能;以及该计划对小农社会经济改善的影响。这项研究是在42个独立的小型肉鸡养殖户中进行的,他们都是Akwa优质养殖计划的注册成员,并获得了一系列投入支持和旨在优化的良好生产规范。结果表明,该计划对小型独立家禽养殖户的生产力、盈利能力和生存产生了积极影响。合同谈判和主要参与者的角色被完整地记录下来。参与计划的农户收入和放养密度较高,日龄雏鸡成本和计划提供的其他生产投入占农户收入变化的99.1% (R2= 0.991)。小型独立家禽养殖户底线的这一积极变化表明,在更大程度上部署养殖户模式来刺激农业生产力和增长的前景。然而,尽管有一些好处,但也存在主要的瓶颈,包括国家角色的妥协,对农民的强制回购价格以及成品库存的延迟回收。这一发现的含义是,让小家禽养殖户独自进行独立的商业选择可能不会刺激农业驱动的多样化。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal on Food System Dynamics
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