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Green growth or degrowth? Evaluating the potential of technology for sustainability 绿色增长还是去增长?评价可持续性技术的潜力
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2021-001002
P. Pyakurel
The raging debate between green growth and degrowth continues. Technology is a focal point in this debate as the advocates of green growth and degrowth have contradictory views on the roles and impacts of technology on environment and society. Green growth advocates believe that technology can allow indefinite growth while simultaneously ensuring environmental and societal sustainability, whereas the degrowth advocates argue that technological progress cannot allow indefinite growth. These views are largely opinion based rather than informed by objective and systematic analyses because comprehensive tools to evaluate the roles and impacts of technology on environment and society do not yet exist. This paper develops a much-needed framework to comprehensively evaluate the roles of technology on environment and society by analysing the interactions among the dimensions of technology, environment, economy and society. Key parameters that characterise technology are proposed for its evaluation and the policy implications of technological evaluations are examined. Finally, potential future research directions are explored. The technological evaluation approach proposed in this paper has a potential to significantly advance the green growth versus degrowth debate.
关于绿色增长和去增长的激烈辩论仍在继续。技术是这场辩论的焦点,因为绿色增长和去增长的倡导者对技术对环境和社会的作用和影响有着相互矛盾的看法。绿色增长的倡导者认为,技术可以允许无限增长,同时确保环境和社会的可持续性,而反增长的倡导者认为,技术进步不能允许无限增长。这些观点在很大程度上是基于意见,而不是基于客观和系统的分析,因为目前还不存在评估技术对环境和社会的作用和影响的全面工具。本文通过分析技术、环境、经济和社会维度之间的相互作用,开发了一个急需的框架来全面评估技术对环境和社会的作用。提出了评价技术特征的关键参数,并审查了技术评价的政策影响。最后,展望了未来可能的研究方向。本文提出的技术评价方法有可能显著推进绿色增长与去生长的辩论。
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引用次数: 2
The prioritization of renewable energy technologies in Pakistan: An urgent need 巴基斯坦可再生能源技术的优先次序:迫切需要
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2021-001005
Leezna Saleem, Imran Ahmad Siddiqui, I. Ulfat
Pakistan is the world's sixth most populous country, currently facing the worst energy crisis. Although rich in renewable resources, Pakistan's energy system relies mainly on fossil fuels and imported energy for its energy needs. This study aims to use an analytical hierarchy pro-cess to prioritize six renewable technologies for Pakistan, with four criteria and thirteen subcriteria. The results indicate that solar power is particularly well suited for Pakistan, as it gained 42% priority weightage in the final aggregation. Wind energy is ranked second with a priority weight of 24%, followed by hydro 13%, biomass 9%, ocean 8% and geothermal en-ergy 3%. Solar and wind energies accounted for nearly 66% of the total weightage. This result highlighted the significance of economic criteria for the selection of renewable technologies in Pakistan, with around 43% priority weightage. Environmental criteria gained 19% whereas socio-political criteria registered 14% and technical criteria 23% priority weightage. During the potential assessment of the research, it was concluded that although renewable resource development has not been allocated sufficient attention in Pakistan in the past, if the correct decisions are taken regarding the exploitation of these resources, this can remedy the country's hazardous dependence on fossil fuel and imported energy.
巴基斯坦是世界第六人口大国,目前正面临最严重的能源危机。尽管巴基斯坦拥有丰富的可再生资源,但其能源系统主要依赖化石燃料和进口能源来满足其能源需求。本研究旨在使用层次分析法对巴基斯坦的六项可再生技术进行优先排序,其中包括四项标准和十三项次级标准。结果表明,太阳能特别适合巴基斯坦,因为它在最终聚合中获得了42%的优先权。风能以24%的优先权位居第二,其次是水力13%、生物质9%、海洋8%和地热3%。太阳能和风能占总重量的近66%。这一结果突出了巴基斯坦选择可再生技术的经济标准的重要性,约43%的优先权重。环境标准获得19%,而社会政治标准获得14%,技术标准获得23%的优先权重。在对研究进行潜在评估期间,得出的结论是,尽管巴基斯坦过去没有对可再生资源开发给予足够的重视,但如果在开发这些资源方面做出正确的决定,这可以弥补该国对化石燃料和进口能源的危险依赖。
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引用次数: 0
Performance analysis of standalone photovoltaic power generation in different load conditions in India 印度不同负荷条件下独立光伏发电性能分析
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2021-001007
Avijit Karmakar, Pradip Kumar Sadhu, S. Das
The conversion of solar energy into electrical energy by the design of energy-efficient way is the key objective of this paper, which can be used as a main source of power for the main building of Polytechnic Institute to meet its daily energy requirement by replacing the all exist-ing fluorescent lighting loads to LEDs. The main purpose to choose a standalone photovoltaic system is due to the huge power cut in this location. This institute is situated in a rural area of West Bengal, India. The use of photovoltaic power relies upon assortment factors, such as structuring, topographical area, climate condition, sun-based irradiance, and burden utilization. Point by point use examinations including the two sorts of lighting burden, establishment, and upkeep of sun-based PV framework amid its life expectancy has been completed. Moreover, the analysis has two dimensions, one is cost comparison and payback calculation with respect to energy by replacement of load and another is, though the initial investment is high in a off-grid photovoltaic system, during the life span of the scheme, it not only returns this capital in-vestment but also gains substantial dividend.
通过节能设计将太阳能转化为电能是本文的主要目标,它可以作为理工学院主楼的主要电源,通过将现有的所有荧光照明负载替换为LED来满足其日常能源需求。选择独立光伏系统的主要目的是由于该地区的巨大停电。该研究所位于印度西孟加拉邦的一个农村地区。光伏发电的使用取决于各种因素,如结构、地形面积、气候条件、基于太阳的辐照度和负荷利用率。已经完成了逐点使用检查,包括两种照明负担、太阳能光伏框架的建立和在其预期寿命内的维护。此外,该分析有两个维度,一个是通过更换负载进行的能源成本比较和回报计算,另一个是,尽管离网光伏系统的初始投资很高,但在该方案的使用寿命内,它不仅回报了这笔投资,还获得了可观的股息。
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引用次数: 0
Oil price, exchange rate and stock price in Nigeria: Fresh insights based on quantile ARDL model 尼日利亚的油价、汇率和股价:基于分位数ARDL模型的新见解
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2021-001004
E. Uche, L. Effiom
The pass-through of oil price to various macroeconomic aggregates, including the exchange rates and stock prices have been vigorously studied in the past albeit varying submissions. More so, these studies considered the relationship only within the conditional mean. To pro-vide fresh insights about the heterogeneous impacts, this study re-examines the dynamic pass-through of international oil prices to exchange rates and stock prices in Nigeria using the Quantile ARDL model. The quantile ARDL accounts for locational asymmetries among varia-bles. Findings indicate that the spillover effects of oil price shocks on both the exchange rate and stock prices in Nigeria are heterogeneous and differ significantly across the quantile dis-tributions of the foreign exchange and stock markets. The impact increases over time with greater impacts recorded at quantiles below the median. On this background, specific policies targeting the peculiar effects at each quantile of exchange rate and stock prices will ensure op-timal performance leading to higher returns to investors and market practitioners.
油价对包括汇率和股票价格在内的各种宏观经济总量的传递在过去得到了大力研究,尽管提交的意见各不相同。更重要的是,这些研究只考虑了条件均值内的关系。为了提供关于异质性影响的新见解,本研究使用分位数ARDL模型重新检查了国际油价对尼日利亚汇率和股票价格的动态传递。分位数ARDL解释了变量之间的位置不对称。研究结果表明,油价冲击对尼日利亚汇率和股票价格的溢出效应是异质的,并且在外汇和股票市场的分位数分布中存在显著差异。影响随着时间的推移而增加,在中位数以下的分位数记录的影响更大。在此背景下,针对汇率和股价各分位数的特殊效应制定具体的政策,将确保投资者和市场从业者获得最佳绩效,从而获得更高的回报。
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引用次数: 3
Utilization of biogas as an untapped renewable energy source in Vietnam 越南利用沼气作为未开发的可再生能源
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2021-001006
D. Dinh, T. Do, T. Le, N. Pham, A. Trinh, Duc-Huu Nguyen, W. Khanitchaidecha
In Asia, Vietnam is one of the countries severely affected by energy shortages and climate change. Development of renewable energy from livestock wastes, e.g., production of electricity from biogas, is a solution for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and pollution from untreated livestock wastes, as well as energy shortages. So that, biogas technology has been researched and applied in Vietnam since the 1960s. The development and state-of-art issue of household biogas, specifically, the opportunities and constraints of household biogas are presented in this paper. There are several opportunities for household biogas development, including, the availability of biogas fermentation materials, energy shortage issues, and policy support from the Government of Vietnam and international organizations. Besides, barriers encountered in household biogas development in Vietnam included technical barriers, financial policy barriers, awareness and capacity limitations. The capacity building should include the dissemination and update of policy to maintain transparency and credibility for attracting potential domestic investors. Training courses should be provided to technical staff of biogas digester on operation and maintenance. Measures should be taken to improve the policy and mechanisms, especially, financial mechanisms.
在亚洲,越南是受能源短缺和气候变化严重影响的国家之一。利用牲畜废物开发可再生能源,例如利用沼气发电,是减少温室气体排放和未经处理的牲畜废物污染以及能源短缺的解决方案。因此,自20世纪60年代以来,沼气技术在越南得到了研究和应用。本文介绍了家用沼气的发展和现状,特别是家用沼气的机遇和制约因素。家庭沼气发展有几个机会,包括沼气发酵材料的可用性、能源短缺问题以及越南政府和国际组织的政策支持。此外,越南家庭沼气发展遇到的障碍包括技术障碍、财政政策障碍、意识和能力限制。能力建设应包括传播和更新政策,以保持吸引潜在国内投资者的透明度和可信度。应为沼气池的技术人员提供操作和维护方面的培训课程。应采取措施改进政策和机制,特别是财务机制。
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引用次数: 0
What can be learned from the French partial nuclear shutdown of 2016? 从2016年法国部分核关闭事件中可以学到什么?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2021-001001
J. Percebois, S. Pommeret
The penetration of intermittent renewable energies in the electricity mixes impact the wholesale price. In the absence of electricity storing capacities at reasonable costs, the back-up of the intermittent renewable energies is ensured by fossil or nuclear power plants. In 2016 the French Nuclear Safety Authority has ordered the shutdown of a large part of nuclear units for safety reasons. This paper analyses the impact of such a decision both on the evolution of the whole-sale price of electricity and on the French commercial balance. Although the resulting mix from the partial shutdown of the nuclear power plants was able to produce the electrical energy consumed, it was unable to keep up with demand. This has resulted in a very sharp increase in the price of electricity on the spot market and in massive electricity imports at peak times. Moreover the carbon electricity footprint produced in France is much lower than the one pro-duced by its neighbors. Consequently, the nuclear partial shutdown has a negative climatic impact resulting in a deterioration of the citizen welfare. Thus, the French experience of 2016 teaches us that in the absence of electricity storage facilities, there is no point in trying to re-duce the share of nuclear and fossil fuels in the electricity mix. If the policymakers want to do so, they must ensure that massive electricity storage facilities are present and promote electrici-ty demand flexibility on a large scale. This study highlights also the divergence that can exist between the interest of the nuclear producer (higher revenues) and the collective interest (lower welfare and negative impact on the trade balance).
间歇性可再生能源在电力组合中的渗透影响批发价格。在缺乏合理成本的电力储存能力的情况下,间歇性可再生能源的备份由化石或核电站确保。2016年,法国核安全局出于安全原因下令关闭大部分核机组。本文分析了这一决定对整个电力销售价格的演变和对法国商业平衡的影响。尽管核电站部分关闭产生的混合能源能够产生所消耗的电能,但无法满足需求。这导致了现货市场电价的大幅上涨,并在高峰期大量进口电力。此外,法国生产的碳足迹远低于邻国生产的碳电力足迹。因此,核部分停堆对气候产生了负面影响,导致公民福利恶化。因此,法国2016年的经验告诉我们,在没有电力储存设施的情况下,试图减少核燃料和化石燃料在电力组合中的份额是没有意义的。如果政策制定者想这样做,他们必须确保有大规模的储电设施,并大规模提高电力需求的灵活性。这项研究还强调了核生产商的利益(较高的收入)和集体利益(较低的福利和对贸易平衡的负面影响)之间可能存在的分歧。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of energy subsidies on the sustainability of economy, society and environment: A case study of Iran 能源补贴对经济、社会和环境可持续性的影响:以伊朗为例
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2020-002005
Alireza Ghadertootoonchi, M. Fani, Masoume Bararzadeh
The elimination of energy subsidies leads to the increase in CPI (Consumer Price Index) di-rectly and indirectly. In this study, the effects removing energy subsidies on the Iranian econ-omies have been investigated; though, the main innovation introduced in the study was to con-sider the effect of energy price realization on the economy with respect to the monetary policy (path) that can be regarded as the third option; that is, rising energy price creates new sources that can cover the deficits of the countries. The countries don't need to cover their budget defi-cits by borrowing from the central bank; for this purpose, dynamic modeling in Vensim soft-ware was used via the equations obtained from the Time Series Data set prepared from 2000 to 2014. The results show that the annual increase of 10, 20, and 30 percent of prices after 2011 could have reduced liquidity volume in 2014 by 0.04, 0.11, and 0.75 million billion Rials respectively and leading to CPI reduction by 4, 7 and 10.3 units. Besides, the results indicated that the households reacted to gasoline price change more than the other two energy carriers; that is, gas and electricity. And the first income decile was the most sensitive decile of popula-tion towards price changes. compared to 2009, gasoline, gas and electricity consumption of the first decile declined by 68.5%, 21%, and 10% in 2010, respectively.
能源补贴的取消直接和间接地导致了CPI(消费者价格指数)的上涨。在本研究中,研究了取消能源补贴对伊朗经济的影响;然而,研究中引入的主要创新是考虑了能源价格实现对经济的影响,而货币政策(路径)可以被视为第三种选择;也就是说,不断上涨的能源价格创造了新的资源,可以弥补各国的赤字。这些国家不需要通过向中央银行借款来弥补预算赤字;为此,Vensim软件中的动态建模通过从2000年至2014年编制的时间序列数据集中获得的方程进行。结果表明,2011年后每年10%、20%和30%的价格上涨可能会使2014年的流动性分别减少0.04亿里亚尔、0.11亿里亚尔和0.75亿里亚尔,并导致CPI下降4、7和10.3个单位。此外,研究结果表明,家庭对汽油价格变化的反应大于其他两种能源载体;即天然气和电力。第一个收入十分位数是民众对价格变化最敏感的十分位数。与2009年相比,2010年第一个十分位数的汽油、天然气和电力消费量分别下降了68.5%、21%和10%。
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引用次数: 0
Competition in the Italian electricity market: The unforeseen social welfare losses of reform 意大利电力市场的竞争:改革带来的意外社会福利损失
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2020-002004
Maria Chiara D’Errico
The worldwide wave of reforms investing power industry has created new challenges to both supply demand side management. After deregulation, electric utilities restructured their opera-tions from vertically integrated mechanisms to open market systems in order to establish a new competitive sector. Reform has involved also the Italian power sector, but competition, as lar-gely shown by the empirical literature particularly in the first years of reform, has been far to be reached, and the electricity markets has been characterized by conditions of oligopoly and exercise of market power. This paper aims to analyze welfare loss and deviation from the competitive equilibrium recorded in the day ahead Italian electricity market after the first wave of reforms was almost implemented. The study presents a theoretical and empirical model to construct a competitive equilibrium, estimating market power, both, on the supply and demand sides of the day ahead electricity market. Results show the effect of non-competitive equilibriums for the hourly markets in the period 2013-2014. In an ideal competitive market, prices would be lower than historical prices by about 2-5% and quantities would be higher by about 0.5-1%.
投资电力行业的全球改革浪潮给供需双方的管理带来了新的挑战。放松管制后,电力公司将其运营从垂直整合机制重组为开放市场体系,以建立一个新的竞争部门。意大利电力部门也参与了改革,但正如经验文献所显示的那样,尤其是在改革的头几年,竞争还远远没有达到,电力市场的特点是寡头垄断和行使市场权力。本文旨在分析第一波改革即将实施后,意大利电力市场的福利损失和偏离竞争均衡的情况。该研究提出了一个理论和实证模型来构建竞争均衡,估计未来电力市场供需双方的市场力量。结果显示了2013-2014年期间小时市场的非竞争均衡效应。在理想的竞争市场中,价格将比历史价格低约2-5%,数量将高约0.5-1%。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship between education and households' electricity-saving behaviour in South Africa: A multilevel logistic analysis 南非教育与家庭节电行为的关系:多层次逻辑分析
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2020-002003
K. C. Mulamba
This paper examines the relationship between the education level of household heads and households' energy-saving practices at the micro-level in South Africa. It uses the community survey of 2016 as data source. Multilevel logistic models are estimated to account for similari-ties between households in same municipalities. The results point to a significant and positive relationship between the education level of household heads and households' energy-saving practices. One can therefore infer that a household whose head is educated is more likely to have light bulbs, switch off lights in the house when not in use, and switch off appliances at the wall (not with remotes) when not in use than households whose heads have no education. Therefore, education offers a tool to incentivise households to save electricity, which will also contribute indirectly to the effort of addressing the challenges of climate change, amongst oth-ers.
本文从微观层面考察了南非户主受教育程度与家庭节能行为之间的关系。它使用2016年的社区调查作为数据来源。估计多层逻辑模型可以解释同一城市家庭之间的相似性。结果表明,户主受教育程度与家庭节能行为之间存在显著的正相关关系。因此,我们可以推断,一个户主受过教育的家庭比户主没有受过教育的家庭更有可能拥有灯泡,在不使用的时候关掉家里的灯,在不使用的时候关掉墙上的电器(不是用遥控器)。因此,教育提供了一种激励家庭节约用电的工具,这也将间接有助于应对气候变化等挑战。
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引用次数: 1
The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth: New evidence from Greece 能源消费与经济增长之间的关系:来自希腊的新证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2020-002006
Antonia Gkergki
This paper examines the relationship between the energy consumption and economic growth from 1968 to 2019 in Greece, by employing the vector error-correction model estimation. A series of econometric tests are employed concerning the stationary of the data, and the co-integration and the relationship among the variables during the long- and short-term. The em-pirical results suggest that there is no bidirectional relationship between economic growth and energy consumption. More specifically, GDP per capita does not affect the energy consump-tion of the three primary sources either in the long-term or the short-term. In other words, the economic crisis and its implications for GDP do not affect energy consumption, and they are not responsible for the considerable decrease in energy sources' consumption. On the other hand, the energy consumption of oil and coal negatively affect the GDP per capita. These re-sults are different from previous studies' conclusions for Greece; this is because the never been experienced before. These findings raise new research questions and also show the limi-tations of the Greek market, as it is regulated and controlled by the government.
本文采用向量误差修正模型估计,考察了1968 - 2019年希腊能源消费与经济增长之间的关系。对数据的平稳性、长期和短期变量间的协整和关系进行了一系列计量检验。实证结果表明,经济增长与能源消费之间不存在双向关系。更具体地说,无论是长期还是短期,人均GDP都不会影响三大主要能源的消耗。换句话说,经济危机及其对GDP的影响并不影响能源消费,也不是能源消费大幅下降的原因。另一方面,石油和煤炭的能源消耗对人均GDP产生了负面影响。这些结果与之前对希腊的研究结论不同;这是因为以前从未经历过。这些发现提出了新的研究问题,也显示了希腊市场的局限性,因为它是由政府监管和控制的。
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引用次数: 0
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