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The UK National Energy and Climate Plan 英国国家能源和气候计划
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001011
Steve Thomas
The UK’s draft Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan has been heavily criticised by its independent panel set up to advise on climate change, the Committee on Climate Change (CCC). The CCC found that the UK was not prepared for the likely temperature increases, that policies were not sufficient to meet the targets for the period up to 2032 and that policies for sectors other than electricity needed to be strengthened. The European Commission had some criticisms but in view of the UK’s plans to leave the European Union, they are likely to have little impact.
英国的《综合国家能源和气候计划》草案受到了英国气候变化委员会(CCC)的严厉批评。气候变化委员会是英国为应对气候变化而设立的独立机构。气候变化委员会发现,英国没有为可能的气温上升做好准备,政策不足以实现到2032年的目标,电力以外行业的政策需要加强。欧盟委员会提出了一些批评,但鉴于英国退出欧盟的计划,这些批评可能不会产生什么影响。
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引用次数: 2
On the draft of the Austrian National Energy and Climate Plan 关于奥地利国家能源和气候计划草案
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001003
R. Haas
The Austrian National Energy and Climate Plan is based on five so-called target dimensions which are: (i) decarbonization, (ii) energy efficiency, (iii) supply security, (iv) market integration and (v) Research and development. In this article the major measures and policies in these target dimensions of the NECP are described. These are considered by the Austrian government to be necessary to achieve the objectives of the Energy Union. These measures are all planned to be taken between now and 2030. Similar measures already implemented in many areas of action, which need to be adapted or further strengthened. Other action lines include entirely new measures, particularly in those areas where the use of new technologies and solutions requires adapted instruments. However, in the public, the EU and Austrian NGOs the draft of the NECP has been heavily criticized and more ambitious actions have been requested.
奥地利国家能源和气候计划基于五个所谓的目标维度,即:(i)脱碳,(ii)能源效率,(iii)供应安全,(iv)市场整合和(v)研发。本文介绍了NECP在这些目标方面的主要措施和政策。奥地利政府认为这些是实现能源联盟目标所必需的。这些措施都计划从现在到2030年采取。许多行动领域已经采取了类似措施,需要加以调整或进一步加强。其他行动方针包括全新的措施,特别是在使用新技术和解决方案需要调整手段的领域。然而,在公众、欧盟和奥地利非政府组织中,NECP草案受到了严厉批评,并要求采取更雄心勃勃的行动。
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引用次数: 0
The Italian draft National Energy-Climate Plan 意大利国家能源气候计划草案
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001007
L. D. Paoli
The Italian draft National Energy-Climate Plan (NECP), in accordance with the requirements of the Regulation on the Governance of the EU Energy Union, deals with the five dimensions of the Energy Union. However, energy security, the internal energy market and research, innovation and competitiveness are not examined in this paper. The present assessment of the Italian energy-climate plan proposal is limited to three dominant objectives: decarbonization, energy efficiency (or better: energy savings) and the deployment of renewables. This paper reviews the contents of the 2030 objectives and the tools proposed to achieve them and expresses an overall assessment of the NECP proposal presented by the Italian Government. Globally, the targets presented by Italy for 2030 are slightly higher than those assigned by the EU: 34.6% instead of 33% for emission reduction compared to 2005, a 30% instead of 29% share of energy from renewables in gross final consumption and an approximate 40% reduction of the energy demand instead of 32.5% (compared to the baseline scenario for 2030 of PRIMES 2007, which remains the reference of the European EED). The proposed objectives are ambitious and demonstrate Italy’s full adherence to the long-term vision of the EU Commission, which judged them positively in its assessment. The proposed interventions are very numerous and concern all economic sectors. Their implementation requires a capacity of the public administration which is not always available in Italy, which is also due to an institutional system that requires a high level of coordination between the various stakeholders. The intervention tools indicated are not novel with respect to those developed and used in the past. Furthermore, in some cases they are generic and in other cases, the concrete measures only cover a limited period and therefore only partially guarantee the achievement of the set objectives. This way of proceeding, although criticized by the Commission in its assessment of the Italian NECP, preserves comprehensible and indeed desirable degrees of flexibility due to the impossibility of predicting the evolution of variables such as technology, international prices or the response of private subjects to public interventions over a long period of time. However, if the results were not in line with expectations, action should be taken promptly, which is problematic given the time required for public decisions in Italy.
根据《欧盟能源联盟管理条例》的要求,意大利国家能源-气候计划草案涉及能源联盟的五个方面。然而,能源安全、内部能源市场和研究、创新和竞争力并没有在本文中进行研究。目前对意大利能源-气候计划提案的评估仅限于三个主要目标:脱碳、能源效率(或者更好:节能)和可再生能源的部署。本文回顾了2030年目标的内容和为实现这些目标而提出的工具,并对意大利政府提出的NECP提案进行了全面评估。在全球范围内,意大利提出的2030年目标略高于欧盟指定的目标:与2005年相比,减排34.6%,而不是33%;可再生能源占最终总消费量的30%,而不是29%;能源需求减少约40%,而不是32.5%(与2007年PRIMES的2030年基线情景相比,后者仍然是欧洲能源需求规划的参考)。拟议的目标雄心勃勃,表明意大利完全遵守欧盟委员会的长期愿景,欧盟委员会在评估中对这些目标做出了积极的评价。拟议的干预措施非常多,涉及所有经济部门。它们的执行需要公共行政的能力,而意大利并不总是具备这种能力,这也是由于体制制度需要各利益攸关方之间的高度协调。与过去开发和使用的干预工具相比,所指出的干预工具并不新颖。此外,在某些情况下,这些措施是一般性的,而在其他情况下,具体措施只涵盖有限的时期,因此只能部分保证实现既定目标。尽管委员会在评估意大利经济发展新经济政策时批评了这种做法,但由于无法预测诸如技术、国际价格或私人主体对长期公共干预的反应等变数的演变,这种做法保留了可理解的和确实理想的灵活性程度。但是,如果结果不符合预期,则应迅速采取行动,考虑到意大利公共决策所需的时间,这是一个问题。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction. A critical overview of the European National Energy and Climate Plans 介绍。欧洲国家能源和气候计划的重要概述
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001002
L. D. Paoli, P. Geoffron
This paper is an introduction to the EPEE’s special issue, which examines nine draft National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs). Firstly, we will briefly review the EU’s energy-climate goals for 2020 and 2030 and we will look at its long-term "climate neutral" vision for 2050. We will then assess how successful or not individual member states were in achieving the EU’s 2020 targets and how they can best achieve 2030 goals. In the third section, we will look at the overall achievement objectives for 2030 based on draft NECPs assessed by the European Commission in June 2019. However, we will express some criticism of the planning process required by the Regulation on the Governance of the Energy Union. Finally, we will present the findings of expert contributors from nine EU countries - Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain and the United Kingdom - who have assessed their respective countries’ energy-climate plans
本文介绍了EPEE的特刊,该特刊审查了9个国家能源和气候计划草案。首先,我们将简要回顾欧盟2020年和2030年的能源气候目标,并研究其2050年的长期“气候中和”愿景。然后,我们将评估个别成员国在实现欧盟2020年目标方面的成功与否,以及它们如何最好地实现2030年目标。在第三部分中,我们将根据欧盟委员会于2019年6月评估的NECPs草案,研究2030年的总体实现目标。然而,我们将对能源联盟治理条例所要求的规划过程提出一些批评。最后,我们将介绍来自9个欧盟国家(奥地利、比利时、法国、德国、意大利、荷兰、波兰、西班牙和英国)的专家贡献者的研究结果,他们对各自国家的能源-气候计划进行了评估
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of the drafted German integrated National Energy and Climate Plan 德国国家能源和气候综合计划草案评估
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001006
Marius Buchmann, Julia Kusznir, G. Brunekreeft
Germany is struggling to meet its 2020 greenhouse gas (GHG) emission and climate goals. Against this background, we analyze the current draft National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) that sets out how Germany aims to achieve its national and European climate goals by 2030. We introduce the current stage of the country’s climate policy and, by looking at the different emission reduction measures under discussion, examine why Germany will probably miss its CO2 emissions reduction goals. We conclude that, based on the climate package announced in September 2019, Germany will get closer to the achievement of its 2030 targets than was anticipated in the NECP draft; nevertheless, the new climate package leaves a significant gap between the new measures and the 2030 climate goals.
德国正在努力实现其2020年温室气体(GHG)排放和气候目标。在此背景下,我们分析了当前的国家能源和气候计划(NECP)草案,该草案阐述了德国如何在2030年之前实现其国家和欧洲的气候目标。我们介绍了德国气候政策的当前阶段,并通过观察正在讨论的不同减排措施,研究了德国可能无法实现其二氧化碳减排目标的原因。我们的结论是,根据2019年9月宣布的气候一揽子计划,德国将比NECP草案中预期的更接近实现其2030年目标;然而,新的一揽子气候措施与2030年气候目标之间仍有很大差距。
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引用次数: 20
Combining discounting and distributional weights. Lessons from climate change economic assessments 结合贴现权和分配权。气候变化经济评估的教训
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001012
Disa Asplund
In some cost benefit analysis (CBA) applications, such as those used for the valuation of climate change damage, distributional weights are used to account for diminishing utility of marginal consumption. This is usually done by means of intra-temporal distributional weights, which are combined with discounting to account for inter-temporal equity and efficiency. Sometimes region-specific discount rates have used to account for differences in projected growth across geographical areas. Here I show that if intra-temporal distributional weights are used in combination with endogenous and region-specific discount rates, then this will lead to a double counting of per capita economic growth. This problem has been known for some years now - in the tight circle of top climate economist - but the peer-reviewed literature has been rather implicit about the matter. The contribution of this paper is therefore to make the problem explicit by handle it formally, and to expand its generality somewhat. It is demonstrated - using the PAGE2002 model - that correct the way of combining distributional weights and discounting yield about 20-30% higher estimates than the incorrect method. .
在一些成本效益分析(CBA)应用中,例如用于评估气候变化损害的应用中,分配权重用于解释边际消费的效用递减。这通常是通过时间内分配权重来实现的,它与贴现相结合,以说明时间间的公平和效率。有时,特定区域的贴现率被用来解释不同地理区域的预期增长差异。在这里,我表明,如果将时间内分配权重与内生和区域特定贴现率结合使用,那么这将导致人均经济增长的双重计算。在顶级气候经济学家的小圈子里,这个问题已经为人所知好几年了,但同行评议的文献对这个问题却相当含蓄。因此,本文的贡献是通过形式化的处理使问题变得明确,并在一定程度上扩展了它的普遍性。使用PAGE2002模型证明,将分配权重和贴现相结合的正确方法比不正确的方法产生约20-30%的估计值。
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引用次数: 0
The French Energy & Climate draft Plan 法国能源和气候计划草案
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001005
M. Cruciani, P. Geoffron
Since the French NECP is "embedded" in a now long period of energy transformations, the credibility of this plan must be confronted with the recurring difficulties observed in the implementation of the French energy transition strategy. On one side, this whole process is very ambitious, in line with the French commitment during the COP 21, and accelerates the implementation of the commitment under the Paris Agreement (OECD, 2016). But on the other side, much uncertainty persists. Those uncertainties include: the way and time horizon for reduction of nuclear power; the development of potential substitutes for fossil fuels; the effectiveness of demand side measures. All things considered, while the French commitment to an energy transition is credible, the implementation of a coherent governance system remains challenging in France.
由于法国NECP“嵌入”在现在漫长的能源转型时期,该计划的可信度必须面对在执行法国能源转型战略中反复出现的困难。一方面,这整个过程非常雄心勃勃,符合法国在cop21期间的承诺,并加速了《巴黎协定》下承诺的实施(OECD, 2016)。但另一方面,很多不确定性依然存在。这些不确定性包括:减少核能的方式和时间范围;开发化石燃料的潜在替代品;需求侧措施的有效性。综上所述,尽管法国对能源转型的承诺是可信的,但在法国实施一个连贯的治理体系仍然具有挑战性。
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引用次数: 0
Dutch climate and energy policy: Targets and progress for 2020 and 2030 荷兰气候和能源政策:2020年和2030年的目标和进展
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001008
E. Fumagalli, S. Akerboom
The Netherlands has formulated ambitious energy and climate targets for 2030: 49% CO2 emission reduction by 2030 and 80 to 95% by 2050 in comparison to 1990. This target has been laid down in a Climate Act and pathways to meet this target have been negotiated and agreed upon in a public-private Climate Agreement, which will be signed in 2019. This way, the Netherlands has its ‘greenest government’ ever and by means of the dual approach - Climate Act in accordance with a Climate Agreement, the Netherlands is set out to become a sustainability leader. Yet, the Netherlands lags behind on meeting the European Union targets for 2020: 20% energy efficiency, 20% share of renewable energy, translated to 14% for the Netherlands and 20% CO2 emission reduction. In other words, catching up and becoming a leader will present a challenge. The objective of the present paper is to introduce and discuss the Dutch climate and energy policy, looking back at the decade 2000-2020 first, and then addressing the vision for the next decade (2020-2030). By doing so, an analysis is provided of the instruments introduced to support the pathways to meet the targets, exposing some issues and even some contradictions in Dutch policy. This paper is timely, as the minister of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy has introduced a legislative agenda in September 2019, of Acts to be updated or introduced in order to execute and realize the Climate Act and Climate Agreement successfully. This paper will contribute to the consistency of the policy and instruments to be introduced.
荷兰为2030年制定了雄心勃勃的能源和气候目标:到2030年二氧化碳排放量比1990年减少49%,到2050年减少80%至95%。这一目标已在《气候法》中制定,实现这一目标的途径已在将于2019年签署的公私气候协议中进行了谈判和商定。通过这种方式,荷兰拥有了有史以来“最环保的政府”,并通过双重方法——根据气候协议制定的《气候法》,荷兰将成为可持续发展的领导者。然而,荷兰在实现欧盟2020年的目标方面落后了:20%的能源效率,20%的可再生能源份额,荷兰为14%,二氧化碳减排20%。换言之,迎头赶上并成为领导者将是一项挑战。本文的目的是介绍和讨论荷兰的气候和能源政策,首先回顾2000-2020年的十年,然后阐述下一个十年(2020-2030年)的愿景。通过这样做,分析了为支持实现目标的途径而引入的工具,揭示了荷兰政策中的一些问题,甚至一些矛盾。由于经济事务和气候政策部长已于2019年9月提出了一项立法议程,该议程涉及为成功执行和实现《气候法》和《气候协定》而需要更新或出台的法案。本文件将有助于政策和文书的一致性。
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引用次数: 0
The design of the tenders for natural gas distribution in Italy: How much are territorial districts really contestable? 意大利天然气分配招标的设计:领土地区真正有争议的程度是多少?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001001
Francesco Gullí
This article is aimed at checking the degree of contestability of the tenders to allocate the right to deliver the natural gas distribution service in Italy. This check is based on the analysis of the general rules provided by the D.M. 12 novembre 2011, n. 226 and subsequent modification. The degree of contestability is evaluated by estimating the presumable number of ‘noncaptive’ points (out of 100) related to the different criteria. For this purpose, two representative scenarios of the possible calls for tenders are simulated. The paper concludes that this number is relatively limited. Around 15% only (or just above) of the total score would be really "non-captive".
本文旨在检查意大利天然气配送服务交付权分配投标的可竞争程度。该检查基于对D.M.2011年11月12日第226号提供的一般规则的分析以及随后的修改。可竞争性的程度是通过估计与不同标准相关的“非适应性”分数(满分100分)来评估的。为此,模拟了可能的招标的两种有代表性的情况。论文的结论是,这一数字相对有限。只有15%左右(或略高于15%)的总得分才是真正的“非俘虏”。
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引用次数: 0
Polluter Pays Principle in power production to gradually phase-out fossil fuels in Italy 意大利在电力生产中采用污染者付费原则,逐步淘汰化石燃料
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2019-001013
Andrea Molocchi, Emanuela Recchini, A. Tudini
The paper provides an analysis of Italian environmental taxes on electricity production and consumption in order to verify their consistency with the Polluters Pays Principle (PPP). The environmental external costs of air emissions generated by Italian thermal power plants are compared to environmental taxes paid by the same plants (fuel excise duties, SO2/NOx tax, ETS and levy on energy producers). As a basis for the comparison, the paper applies the methods for environmental external costs assessment recommended by the National Guidelines for the Evaluation of Investment Projects (2017). The PPP comparison highlights that the external costs related to thermal power plants emissions amount to about € 9,400 million (53.8 euro per MWh produced) whereas only € 350 million are actually paid through the above-mentioned environmental taxes (3.8% of the external costs generated). Indeed, the environmental taxes directly paid by all electricity customers in their bills (excise duty on electricity, system charges for subsidising renewable energy sources) are of the same order of magnitude of the external costs of power plants. However, seen from the PPP point of view, these two taxes have the drawback of environmental tax payment being made also by "green" customers, i.e. whose electricity is bought with the guarantee of being "produced from renewable energy sources". The authors argue that environmental taxes directly falling on electricity producers are consistent with the PPP and provide in principle a better price signal to electricity markets, rather than environmental taxes directly paid by customers. Shifting current environmental taxes from electricity consumption to production would support the implementation of two of the main targets of the National Energy Strategy (2017), such as the progressive phase-out of coal at 2025 and the 55% RES electric target at 2030, while increasing the coherence and fairness of taxes paid on electricity.
本文对意大利电力生产和消费的环境税进行了分析,以验证其与污染者付费原则(PPP)的一致性。将意大利火力发电厂产生的空气排放的环境外部成本与同一发电厂缴纳的环境税(燃料消费税、SO2/NOx税、ETS和能源生产商税)进行比较。作为比较的基础,本文采用了《国家投资项目评价指南(2017)》推荐的环境外部成本评价方法。PPP比较强调,与火电厂排放相关的外部成本约为9.4亿欧元(每兆瓦时53.8欧元),而通过上述环境税实际支付的成本仅为3.5亿欧元(占产生的外部成本的3.8%)。事实上,所有电力客户在账单中直接支付的环境税(电力消费税、补贴可再生能源的系统费用)与发电厂的外部成本具有相同的数量级。然而,从PPP的角度来看,这两种税的缺点是“绿色”客户也要缴纳环境税,即他们的电力是在“可再生能源生产”的保证下购买的。作者认为,直接向电力生产商征收的环境税与购买力平价一致,原则上为电力市场提供了更好的价格信号,而不是由客户直接支付的环境税。将当前的环境税从电力消费转向生产将有助于实现《国家能源战略》(2017年)的两个主要目标,如2025年逐步淘汰煤炭和2030年55%可再生能源电力目标,同时提高电力税的一致性和公平性。
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引用次数: 1
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Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment
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