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Trading in local markets: A review of concepts and challenges 本地市场交易:概念和挑战综述
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-002002
Olivier Rebenaque, Carlo Schmitt, K. Schumann
With the development of decentralized sources of electricity generation, different ways of organizing electricity exchanges at the local level have been developed. The literature has studied extensively over the past decade how local exchanges can take place. This has resulted in different concepts reflecting different perimeters of study. However, the perimeters of these different concepts are not always well defined in the literature, which can lead to some con- fusion about the organization of the local market under study. There is a lack of harmonization because different terms may be used for the same concept or the same term may be used for several concepts. This paper aims to propose a harmonization of the different concepts for the study of local markets including local energy markets, peer-to-peer trading, local flexibility markets, microgrids, energy communities and transactive energy. These concepts are com- pared by identifying the characteristics of each. For this purpose, a literature review was per- formed in order to understand the context in which these concepts emerged and to identify their specific characteristics. Moreover, this paper proposes to analyze the economic challenges of local exchanges by identifying the economic incentives and solutions developed to make business models viable.
随着分散式发电的发展,在地方一级组织电力交换的方式多种多样。在过去的十年中,文献广泛地研究了如何进行地方交流。这就产生了反映不同研究范围的不同概念。然而,这些不同概念的边界在文献中并不总是很好地定义,这可能导致对所研究的当地市场组织的一些混淆。由于不同的术语可能用于相同的概念,或者相同的术语可能用于多个概念,因此缺乏协调。本文旨在提出一种协调不同概念的地方市场研究,包括地方能源市场、点对点交易、地方灵活性市场、微电网、能源社区和交易能源。通过识别每个概念的特征来比较这些概念。为此目的,为了了解这些概念产生的背景和确定它们的具体特征,进行了文献综述。此外,本文建议通过确定使商业模式可行的经济激励和解决方案来分析地方交易所的经济挑战。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of the impact of natural resources and globalization on environmental quality and economic growth: The study of SANE nations 自然资源和全球化对环境质量和经济增长的影响分析:对SANE国家的研究
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-002010
Charles Ayobola Olufolake, Anthony Onogiese Osobase, Wilson Friday Ohioze, Samuel Olayinka Musa, Tope Joshua Ojo
The outcome of resources and globalization on growth and the quality of the environment among SANE (South Africa, Algeria and Nigeria) nations from 1990 to 2020 was investigated in this study. Economic growth and environmental degradation are the dependent variables, whereas the independent variables are natural resources, population, foreign direct invest- ment, trade openness, globalization, domestic credit to private sector by banks and investment. The study utilizes FMOLS and Granger Causality estimation procedure. Findings from the environmental degradation outcome suggest that per capita gross domestic product, gross fixed capital formation and globalization have positive significant impact on the regressand while trade openness has adverse significant impact on environmental degradation. The result from the economic growth model indicates that natural resources and total population posi- tively and significantly influence per capita gross domestic product. The Granger causality outcome predicts a uni-directional relationship that runs from environmental degradation to globalization, and a one-way causality from globalization to per capita gross domestic prod- uct. Also, a uni-directional causal relationship was observed from natural resources to glob- alization. Based on the outcome, the study recommends that investment in clean technologies should be given high precedence, and since these greener technologies are capital intensive, there is a need for the provision of adequate finance to the private sector to procure these technologies as these would help to alleviate the challenge of degradation of the environment, and increase the value of the environment in the SANE nations.
本研究调查了1990年至2020年资源和全球化对南非、阿尔及利亚和尼日利亚三国经济增长和环境质量的影响。经济增长和环境恶化是因变量,而自变量是自然资源、人口、外国直接投资、贸易开放、全球化、银行对私营部门的国内信贷和投资。本研究采用了FMOLS和Granger因果关系估计程序。环境退化结果表明,人均国内生产总值、固定资本形成总额和全球化对倒退产生了积极的重大影响,而贸易开放对环境退化产生了不利的重大影响。经济增长模型的结果表明,自然资源和总人口对人均国内生产总值有着积极而显著的影响。格兰杰因果关系结果预测了从环境退化到全球化的单向关系,以及从全球化到人均国内生产总值的单向因果关系。此外,还观察到从自然资源到全球化的单向因果关系。根据研究结果,该研究建议应高度重视对清洁技术的投资,由于这些更环保的技术是资本密集型的,因此有必要向私营部门提供足够的资金来采购这些技术,因为这些技术将有助于缓解环境退化的挑战,并提高SANE国家的环境价值。
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引用次数: 0
The role of technological innovation in fostering environmental quality in South Africa: Fresh evidence from the novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach 技术创新在促进南非环境质量方面的作用:来自新颖动态ARDL模拟方法的新证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-002006
Maxwell Chukwudi Udeagha, N. Ngepah
This study revisits the role technological innovation plays in fostering environmental quality in South Africa over the period 1960-2020. Unlike the previous studies, the work employs the novel dynamic autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) simulations framework to assess the positive and negative changes in technological innovation, scale effect, technique effect, for- eign direct investment, energy consumption, urbanization, industrial growth, and trade open- ness on CO2 emissions. Second, the paper uses the Squalli &Wilson (2011)'s innovative meas- ure of trade openness to overcome the limitations associated with the conventional trade in- tensity. Third, the study uses the frequency domain causality (FDC) approach developed by Breitung & Candelon (2006) to robustly capture permanent causality for long, short, and me- dium-term associations among the variables examined. Fourth, the paper employs the second- generation econometric procedures, which take into account the multiple structural breaks considerably overlooked by previous works. For South Africa, our empirical results reveal that: (i) technological innovation contributes to lower CO2 emissions in the short- and long run; (ii) while technique effect improves environmental quality, the scale effect largely con- tributes to escalate CO2 emissions, thus confirming that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis holds; (iii) urbanization, industrial value-added, foreign direct investment and energy consumption increase CO2 emissions; (iv) trade openness contributes to worsen environmental degradation in the long run; (v) scale effect, technique effect, technological innovation, energy consumption, foreign direct investment, trade openness, urbanization, and industrial growth Granger-cause CO2 emissions in the short, medium and long run showing that these variables are fundamental to determine environmental quality. In light of our em- pirical evidence, this paper suggests that South Africa's government and policymakers could consider the role of technological innovation as a clean source of technology in achieving energy security and fostering environmental quality in the country.
本研究重新审视了1960-2020年期间技术创新在促进南非环境质量方面发挥的作用。与之前的研究不同,该工作采用了新的动态自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模拟框架来评估技术创新、规模效应、技术效应、外国直接投资、能源消耗、城市化、工业增长和贸易开放对二氧化碳排放的正变化和负变化。其次,本文使用Squalli&Wilson(2011)的创新贸易开放措施来克服与传统贸易紧张相关的限制。第三,该研究使用Breitung&Candelon(2006)开发的频域因果关系(FDC)方法,稳健地捕捉所检查变量之间长期、短期和中期关联的永久因果关系。第四,本文采用了第二代计量经济学程序,该程序考虑了以前工作中相当忽视的多重结构断裂。对于南非,我们的实证结果表明:(i)从短期和长期来看,技术创新有助于降低二氧化碳排放;(ii)虽然技术效应改善了环境质量,但规模效应在很大程度上导致了二氧化碳排放量的增加,从而证实了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说成立;(iii)城市化、工业增值、外国直接投资和能源消耗增加了二氧化碳排放;(iv)从长远来看,贸易开放会加剧环境恶化;(v) 规模效应、技术效应、技术创新、能源消耗、外商直接投资、贸易开放、城市化和工业增长格兰杰造成了短期、中期和长期的二氧化碳排放,表明这些变量是决定环境质量的基础。根据我们的精神证据,本文建议南非政府和政策制定者可以考虑技术创新作为清洁技术来源在实现能源安全和提高该国环境质量方面的作用。
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引用次数: 2
The impact of oil price shocks on economic growth in Algeria 石油价格冲击对阿尔及利亚经济增长的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-002004
Kamel Malik Bensafta
In this study, we investigate the consequences of oil price shocks on Algerian economic growth, both on an aggregated and a disaggregated level. We adopt the method used in (Kilian, 2009) in which global oil supply shocks, global demand shocks, and anticipated demand shocks are defined. We use a two structural VAR models. The first model identifies shocks to oil prices using monthly data on oil production, oil real prices, and indicators of global eco- nomic activity. The second model describes the dynamics of a set of macroeconomic varia- bles: real overall GDP, hydrocarbon GDP, agricultural GDP, construction GDP, and interna- tional trade variables. To grasp the impact of oil shocks on sectoral growth, the model is aug- mented via three external shocks identified in the first stage. Our results are twofold. First, they show the significance of the oil price shocks' impact on the Algerian economy. Second, they indicate an asymmetry in this impact. Negative shocks to oil prices have depressive ef- fects on economic activity as a whole, including the non-hydrocarbon sector. We detect a delay-effect; global demand shocks affect economic sectors after 5-7 quarters, whereas oil price shocks affect the hydrocarbon sector after 1-2 quarters only.
在这项研究中,我们从总体和分类两个层面调查了油价冲击对阿尔及利亚经济增长的影响。我们采用(Kilian,2009)中使用的方法,其中定义了全球石油供应冲击、全球需求冲击和预期需求冲击。我们使用两个结构VAR模型。第一个模型使用石油产量、石油实际价格和全球经济活动指标的月度数据来识别油价的冲击。第二个模型描述了一组宏观经济变量的动态:实际总体GDP、碳氢化合物GDP、农业GDP、建筑业GDP和国际贸易变量。为了把握石油冲击对部门增长的影响,该模型通过第一阶段确定的三个外部冲击进行了分析。我们的结果是双重的。首先,它们显示了石油价格冲击对阿尔及利亚经济影响的重要性。其次,它们表明了这种影响的不对称性。油价的负面冲击对包括非碳氢化合物行业在内的整个经济活动产生了抑制性影响。我们检测到延迟效应;全球需求冲击在5-7个季度后影响经济部门,而油价冲击仅在1-2个季度后才影响碳氢化合物部门。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical evaluation of the socio-economic impacts of renewable energies in Morocco by 2035: An input-output model 到2035年摩洛哥可再生能源社会经济影响的实证评估:投入产出模型
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-002009
Bikrat Fatiha, Mohamed Karim, Znagui Zineb, Ghazi Anouar
The objective of the study is to identify scenarios relating to solar and wind renewable energy technologies by 2035 in Morocco, and to simulate their socio-economic effects (GDP, Value added by sector and employment). This consists in calculating the effect of these scenarios in comparison with a trend scenario that extends recent developments and takes into account the industrial integration policy already decided on both solar and wind technologies. The methodology applied is based on a dynamic Input-Output (IO) model. Three simulation sce- narios are discussed in this study for the assessment of the socio-economic impacts of con- centrated solar power, photovoltaic and wind energy on the Moroccan economy during the period 2020-2035. Also, a comparative analysis between the scenarios developed and the tar- gets indicated in the national strategies, in terms of economic and job creation indicators, reveals a significant potential in terms of job creation and value added.
该研究的目标是到2035年在摩洛哥确定与太阳能和风能可再生能源技术相关的情景,并模拟其社会经济影响(GDP、按部门和就业增加值)。这包括与趋势情景进行比较,计算这些情景的影响,该趋势情景扩展了最近的发展,并考虑到已经决定的太阳能和风能技术的产业整合政策。所采用的方法基于动态输入输出(IO)模型。本研究讨论了三个模拟场景,用于评估2020-2035年期间集中太阳能、光伏和风能对摩洛哥经济的社会经济影响。此外,在经济和创造就业指标方面,对国家战略中制定的情景和tar-gets进行的比较分析显示,在创造就业和增加值方面具有巨大潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Recoupled: A simulation tool for renewable energy communities coupling electric and thermal energies 耦合:可再生能源社区耦合电力和热能的模拟工具
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-002003
Francesco Gullí, P. Lazzeroni, Gianmarco Lorenti, I. Mariuzzo, Francesco Moraglio, M. Repetto
Renewable energy communities (RECs) are legal entities where citizens, small-to-medium en- terprises (SMEs) and local authorities join to manage cooperatively energy from renewable sources. Since the regulation requires to evaluate energy fluxes on the hour base, the operative control and performance assessment of these new energy hubs become complex and require the handling of data such as production from renewable energy sources (RES) and end user con- sumption, that are intrinsically affected by uncertainties. In this contribution, an optimization tool for the operational management of a REC is proposed. RECs can contain renewable energy technologies (photovoltaic or solar thermal panels, biofuel burners), electric, heating and cooling end users and coupling components (e.g., heat pumps). The tool can be used at the planning level to compare different REC configurations based on their performances, assuming optimal man- agement of the available technologies. In this paper, the tool is tested in the simulation of three case studies of collective self-consumption (that in Italy is a REC where all end users are in the same building), located at different latitudes of the Italian country.
可再生能源社区是公民、中小企业和地方当局共同管理可再生能源的法律实体。由于该法规要求以小时为基础评估能源通量,这些新能源中心的运行控制和性能评估变得复杂,需要处理可再生能源生产和最终用户消费等数据,这些数据本质上受到不确定性的影响。在这篇文章中,提出了一种用于REC运营管理的优化工具。REC可以包含可再生能源技术(光伏或太阳能热电池板、生物燃料燃烧器)、电力、供暖和制冷终端用户以及耦合组件(如热泵)。该工具可用于规划级别,根据不同REC配置的性能对其进行比较,前提是对可用技术进行最佳管理。在本文中,该工具在三个集体自我消费案例研究的模拟中进行了测试(在意大利,这是一个REC,所有最终用户都在同一栋楼里),位于意大利不同的纬度。
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引用次数: 0
Do export quality, urbanization and fertility rate affect the ecological footprint? Case study: A panel of developing countries 出口质量、城市化和生育率是否会影响生态足迹?案例研究:发展中国家小组
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-001004
Fariba Osmani, M. Homayounifar, Mohammad Javad Gorjipour
The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of export quality and fertility rate on ecological footprint in a panel of developing countries. For this purpose, panel quantile regression in the period 1990-2014 has been used. Also in this study, the variables of trade openness, urbanization, and GDP per capita were considered as observer variables. Experi- mental results show that the quality of exports and Fertility rate at all levels of the quantile improve the quality of the environment. Open trade and urbanization help to improve the quality of the environment. GDP per capita further degrades the environment. Therefore, policymakers should take into account these factors affecting the ecological footprint and adopt appropriate policies.
本研究的目的是调查一组发展中国家的出口质量和生育率对生态足迹的影响。为此,使用了1990-2014年期间的面板分位数回归。此外,在本研究中,贸易开放度、城市化和人均GDP等变量被视为观察变量。实验结果表明,出口质量和生育率在各个水平的分位数都能改善环境质量。开放贸易和城市化有助于改善环境质量。人均国内生产总值进一步恶化了环境。因此,决策者应该考虑到这些影响生态足迹的因素,并采取适当的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Confronting the gas crisis: Can we REPowerUE? 面对天然气危机:我们能重新发电吗?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-001001
P. Geoffron
This paper aims to analyse the first collective responses, at European level, to the energy (and very acutely for gas) crisis that began in the second half of 2021, but particularly accentuated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Since the beginning of the conflict, discussions have been held to identify policy levers to reduce Russian gas imports, while ensuring a satisfactory level of security of supply. This type of exercise implies considering different horizons, the first of which is the winter of 2022-2023, with the concern of managing to fill gas stocks sufficiently early. Beyond this emergency, which stems from crisis management, the perspective is also to establish a horizon at which the countries of European Union could do without Russian gas altogether. These two horizons are addressed by two European Commission initiatives: ‘Save gas for a safe winter' for the shorter term (i.e. winter 2023), and ‘REPowerEU' beyond, plans whose main mechanisms will be presented here, after reminding the regulatory framework for its security of gas supply at the EU level developed in response to the tensions already ob- served over the last two decades.
本文旨在分析欧洲层面对2021年下半年开始的能源危机(尤其是天然气危机)的首次集体反应,但俄罗斯入侵乌克兰尤其加剧了这场危机。自冲突开始以来,一直在进行讨论,以确定减少俄罗斯天然气进口的政策杠杆,同时确保令人满意的供应安全水平。这种类型的演习意味着考虑不同的地平线,第一个地平线是2022-2023年的冬天,关注的是如何尽早填补天然气库存。除了这场源于危机管理的紧急情况之外,我们还希望建立一个欧盟国家完全没有俄罗斯天然气的前景。欧盟委员会的两项举措解决了这两个问题:短期内(即2023年冬季)的“为安全冬季节约天然气”和之后的“REPowerEU”计划,在提醒欧盟层面为应对过去二十年中已经出现的紧张局势而制定的天然气供应安全监管框架后,这些计划的主要机制将在这里介绍。
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引用次数: 0
Financial development and development of renewable energy technologies: A comparison of developing and developed countries 金融发展与可再生能源技术的发展:发展中国家与发达国家的比较
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-001006
M. Rezagholizadeh, Younes Abdi
Greenhouse gas emissions are a global concern, and many countries around the world are looking for alternative traditional sources of hydrocarbon energy with economic and environ- mental benefits, including considering the effects of rising oil prices and their subsequent shocks, increasing energy security, and reducing consumption of fossil fuels. The effective role of renewable energy in sustainable development, reducing greenhouse gases and increasing energy security on the one hand, and the necessity of assigning major financial resources to renewable energy projects on the other hand, double the importance of financial improve- ment in the development of renewable energy sources. Due to the importance of this issue, using a panel data model, the present study examines the impact of financial development in the stock market, credit market and total financial markets on the development of renewable energy technology in two groups of selected developed and developing countries during the years 2000-2018. According to the results, financial development has a significant positive impact on the development of renewable energy technology. Due to the nature of this type of energy, it can have multiple environmental benefits as well. Furthermore, in this regard, in the selected developed countries, the improved financial market (credit and stock markets) has a positive effect on the development of the annual installed capacity of renewable energy. How- ever, in the selected developing countries, development in financial market has a positive effect on the deployment of renewable energy as well. Based on the coefficients in two re- gression models, credit market improvement has a greater effect on the development of the installed capacity of renewable energy technologies in developing countries rather than in developed countries. Also, the overall financial index indicates that financial development has a greater effect on deployment of renewable energies in developed countries rather than in developing countries. JEL classification: G2, Q43, C23
温室气体排放是一个全球性问题,世界上许多国家都在寻找具有经济和环境效益的替代传统碳氢化合物能源,包括考虑油价上涨及其后续冲击的影响、提高能源安全和减少化石燃料消费。可再生能源在可持续发展、减少温室气体和提高能源安全方面的有效作用,以及将主要财政资源分配给可再生能源项目的必要性,使财政改善在可再生能源开发中的重要性加倍。鉴于这一问题的重要性,本研究使用面板数据模型考察了2000-2018年期间,股票市场、信贷市场和整体金融市场的金融发展对两组选定的发达国家和发展中国家可再生能源技术发展的影响。研究结果表明,金融发展对可再生能源技术的发展具有显著的积极影响。由于这种能源的性质,它也可以具有多种环境效益。此外,在这方面,在选定的发达国家,金融市场(信贷和股票市场)的改善对可再生能源年装机容量的发展产生了积极影响。然而,在选定的发展中国家,金融市场的发展也对可再生能源的部署产生了积极影响。根据两个回归模型中的系数,信贷市场的改善对发展中国家可再生能源技术装机容量的发展的影响大于发达国家。此外,总体金融指数表明,金融发展对发达国家可再生能源部署的影响比发展中国家更大。JEL分类:G2、Q43、C23
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引用次数: 0
Crude oil prices: A curse or a blessing for small businesses in Alberta? 原油价格:对阿尔伯塔省的小企业来说是祸还是福?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/efe2022-001003
Salah U-Din, Usman Sadiq
Small and medium enterprises (SMEs), entrepreneurship, and crude oil are important contrib- utors to the economic growth of several countries. Crude oil revenue facilitated the develop- ment of other economic sectors including SMEs in many countries and became a blessing for economic stability. However, in some countries or regions, it attracted most of the labour, capital, and government support at the cost of other economic sectors and became a curse. This study investigates the relationship between crude oil prices and small business entrepre- neurship activities in the province of Alberta. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) models, along with some other statistical tools, are used to analyze the data for the period 1988-2018. Our findings reveal a positive relationship between crude oil prices and the number of small busi- nesses in Alberta and Canada, which is consistent with the natural resources blessing hypoth- esis. However, some labour-intensive and low-wage small business sectors were found to be negatively associated with crude oil prices. Moreover, the population growth and market in- terest rate hampered small business entrepreneurial activities, while GDP growth promoted them. Some implications are provided at the end of the study to diversify the economy of Alberta through promoting small business entrepreneurial activities.
中小型企业(SME)、企业家精神和原油是几个国家经济增长的重要贡献者。原油收入促进了包括许多国家中小企业在内的其他经济部门的发展,并成为经济稳定的福音。然而,在一些国家或地区,它以牺牲其他经济部门为代价,吸引了大部分劳动力、资本和政府支持,并成为一种诅咒。本研究调查了阿尔伯塔省原油价格与小企业创业活动之间的关系。普通最小二乘(OLS)模型以及其他一些统计工具用于分析1988-2018年期间的数据。我们的研究结果揭示了阿尔伯塔省和加拿大的原油价格与小企业数量之间的正相关关系,这与自然资源的增长趋势一致。然而,一些劳动密集型和低工资的小企业部门被发现与原油价格呈负相关。此外,人口增长和市场利率阻碍了小企业的创业活动,而GDP增长促进了这些活动。研究结束时提供了一些启示,通过促进小企业创业活动使阿尔伯塔省经济多样化。
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引用次数: 0
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