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China’s economic rebalancing and ‘common prosperity’ 中国经济再平衡与“共同繁荣”
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-26 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2161246
Since August 2021, Chinese leaders have aimed to reduce economic inequality at home through a ‘common prosperity’ campaign. But Beijing’s attempts to reduce the income-inequality gap have worsened other fundamental problems in the Chinese economy related to its growth model, which relies on exports and investment rather than household consumption.
自2021年8月以来,中国领导人一直致力于通过“共同繁荣”运动来减少国内经济不平等。但北京缩小收入不平等差距的努力加剧了中国经济中与增长模式有关的其他根本问题,这种增长模式依赖出口和投资,而不是家庭消费。
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引用次数: 0
Macron’s response to Russia’s war in Ukraine 马克龙对俄罗斯在乌克兰发动战争的回应
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-26 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2167305
French President Emmanuel Macron has long emphasised the importance of European countries strengthening their security and defence capabilities, which would enable them to pursue their strategic interests autonomously. He has also pursued a dialogue with Russian President Vladimir Putin with the purpose of building ‘a new architecture’ of security and trust in Europe. After Putin launched a war against Ukraine in February 2022, Macron could have led the European response to the crisis in terms of military assistance. Instead, the mismatch between some of Macron’s words and actions has weakened his standing among his European allies, and it is not clear that it has raised his standing as an interlocutor in the eyes of Putin.
法国总统马克龙长期以来一直强调欧洲国家加强安全和防务能力的重要性,这将使他们能够自主追求自己的战略利益。他还寻求与俄罗斯总统普京(Vladimir Putin)进行对话,目的是在欧洲建立安全与信任的“新架构”。在普京于2022年2月对乌克兰发动战争后,马克龙本可以在军事援助方面领导欧洲对危机的反应。相反,马克龙的一些言行不一致削弱了他在欧洲盟友中的地位,也不清楚这是否提高了他在普京眼中作为对话者的地位。
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引用次数: 0
Trade negotiations between Taiwan and the United States 台湾与美国的贸易谈判
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2158570
In November 2022, representatives from Taiwan and the United States took early steps towards beginning negotiations over a trade agreement that would focus on lifting non-tariff trade barriers. It is possible that an agreement will be signed by the end of 2023. If a deal is reached, however, ratification by both countries, and then implementation, will take years longer. A trade deal would serve as an additional pillar of the US–Taiwan relationship and would complement the increasing cooperation between Washington and Taipei on technology issues.
2022年11月,台湾和美国的代表采取了早期步骤,开始就一项贸易协议进行谈判,该协议将侧重于解除非关税贸易壁垒。有可能在2023年底前签署一项协议。然而,如果达成协议,两国的批准和实施将需要数年时间。贸易协议将成为美台湾关系的一个额外支柱,并将补充华盛顿和台北在技术问题上日益加强的合作。
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引用次数: 0
The ‘friend-shoring’ of supply chains 供应链的“朋友支持”
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2159551
The idea of ‘friend-shoring’ supply chains is gaining purchase among economic policymakers concerned about relying on geopolitical competitors for accessing critical materials and technologies. But policies that have been implemented or are under consideration to shift existing supply chains towards reliance on allies and partners will face several challenges in practice. For example, critical goods are distributed unevenly globally and in a relatively fixed manner, without respect to political considerations. Thus, scarcity and competition for access to resources will serve as a test of international of friendships and whether friend-shoring policies survive their early implementation periods.
“朋友支持”供应链的想法正在获得经济政策制定者的支持,他们担心依赖地缘政治竞争对手获得关键材料和技术。但是,那些已经实施或正在考虑将现有供应链转向依赖盟友和合作伙伴的政策,将在实践中面临若干挑战。例如,关键商品在全球范围内分布不均,并且以相对固定的方式分布,不考虑政治因素。因此,获得资源的稀缺性和竞争将成为对国际友谊的考验,以及友谊支持政策是否能在早期实施阶段存活下来。
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引用次数: 0
The Cyprus question 塞浦路斯问题
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2157960
Leontios Ierodiakonou
The prospect for reunifying the island of Cyprus is fading, with hardliners in charge of the ethnically Turkish north and, in 2023, the likely election of Nikos Christodoulides as president of the ethnically Greek Republic of Cyprus in the south. Ankara has played a more active role in the political affairs of Northern Cyprus since the collapse of negotiations over reunification in 2017 and has embraced a two-state solution to the crisis. Meanwhile, many Greek Cypriots in the south are content with the status quo, seeing reunification as too politically and economically risky.
统一塞浦路斯岛的前景正在消失,强硬派控制着北部的土耳其族,而在2023年,尼科斯·克里斯托杜利德斯(Nikos Christodoulides)很可能当选南部的希腊族塞浦路斯共和国总统。自2017年统一谈判破裂以来,安卡拉在北塞浦路斯的政治事务中发挥了更积极的作用,并接受了两国解决危机的方案。与此同时,南部的许多希族塞浦路斯人对现状感到满意,认为统一在政治和经济上都太冒险了。
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引用次数: 6
The UN and Russia’s war in Ukraine 联合国和俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2159705
Russia has predictably blocked the United Nations Security Council from taking action in response to Russia’s invasion and ongoing war in Ukraine. But UN Secretary-General António Guterres and several UN agencies have taken steps to mitigate the political and economic fallout of the war, and a solid majority of UN members have condemned Moscow’s actions.
不出所料,俄罗斯阻止了联合国安理会对俄罗斯入侵乌克兰和正在进行的战争采取行动。但联合国秘书长安东尼奥·古特雷斯和几个联合国机构已采取措施减轻战争的政治和经济影响,绝大多数联合国成员国谴责莫斯科的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Russia’s energy problem 俄罗斯的能源问题
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2153500
Global energy markets have experienced shocks from the coronavirus pandemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine. Moscow may have thought, upon launching the war, that its energy exports would be a strength that would both restrain Europe’s reaction and serve as a financial lifeline to the rest of the world in the face of economic sanctions imposed by the West. This gamble did not pay off, however, partly because of the pace of change taking place in energy markets. Indeed, it now looks as if energy exports may no longer serve as an engine of growth and vitality for the Russian economy.
全球能源市场经历了冠状病毒大流行和俄罗斯在乌克兰战争的冲击。莫斯科在发动战争时可能认为,其能源出口将是一种力量,既能抑制欧洲的反应,又能在西方实施经济制裁时成为世界其他地区的金融生命线。然而,这场赌博没有得到回报,部分原因是能源市场正在发生变化。事实上,现在看来,能源出口可能不再是俄罗斯经济增长和活力的引擎。
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引用次数: 0
Japan’s Economic Security Promotion Act and the implications for businesses 日本经济安全促进法案及其对企业的影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2157625
Japan enacted a far-reaching economic-security law in May 2022. The law has a two-year phased implementation schedule, which will give Japanese companies time to adapt to the law’s requirement that they consider economic security above market efficiency as part of their decision-making processes. This will entail securing supply chains from disruption due to geopolitical conflict by indigenising them or by relying on allies or partners rather than on China. These requirements will have the greatest effect on Japanese companies in the technology sector and on those that work on critical infrastructure.
日本于2022年5月颁布了影响深远的经济安全法。该法律有一个为期两年的分阶段实施时间表,这将使日本公司有时间适应该法律的要求,即在决策过程中,他们将经济安全置于市场效率之上。这将需要通过本土化或依靠盟友或合作伙伴而不是中国来确保供应链不受地缘政治冲突的干扰。这些要求将对科技行业的日本公司和关键基础设施的公司产生最大影响。
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引用次数: 0
The US Army’s multi-domain-operations doctrine 美国陆军的多领域作战学说
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2153499
The US Army released an important new version of its doctrine for conducting multi-domain operations – Field Manual No. 3-0 – in October 2022. These are operations that require the coordinated use of army capabilities and those from other service branches in more than one physical domain (land, sea, air, space or cyberspace) or dimension (physical, human or informational). The doctrine is more specific than previous versions and focuses largely on threats that might be posed by China and Russia. Some questions remain unanswered, however, in part because the doctrine does not distinguish between Chinese and Russian approaches to warfare, which are different at the high-tactical and operational levels.
美国陆军于2022年10月发布了重要的新版多域作战理论——《野战手册3-0》。这些行动需要在一个以上的物理领域(陆地、海洋、空中、太空或网络空间)或维度(物理、人力或信息)协调使用陆军和其他军种的能力。该学说比以前的版本更加具体,主要关注中国和俄罗斯可能构成的威胁。然而,一些问题仍未得到解答,部分原因是该学说没有区分中国和俄罗斯的作战方法,这在高战术和作战层面是不同的。
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引用次数: 0
Pakistan’s fraught political scene 巴基斯坦令人担忧的政治局势
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/13567888.2022.2153525
Pakistan is locked in a three-way contest for power between populist former prime minister Imran Khan, who survived an assassination attempt in November 2022, military leaders and members of the current governing coalition, formed by traditional political parties representing continuity rather than change.
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引用次数: 0
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