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Continuous state reliability analysis 连续状态可靠性分析
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500670
Kai Yang, Jianan Xue
In this paper, the authors extend binary state reliability analysis to continuous state reliability analysis. This extension enables the analysis of both catastrophic failure and performance degradation simultaneously. The modeling of degradation is based on an independent increment random process or a normal random process. Regression analysis is used to estimate degradation parameters. The state tree method is introduced to conduct system reliability analysis for both degradation and catastrophic failures. ANOVA and DOE techniques are used to assess the criticality of product parameters or components to performance degradation.
本文将二值状态可靠度分析推广到连续状态可靠度分析。这个扩展可以同时分析灾难性故障和性能下降。退化的建模是基于独立增量随机过程或正态随机过程。采用回归分析估计退化参数。引入状态树方法对退化故障和灾难性故障进行系统可靠性分析。方差分析和DOE技术用于评估产品参数或部件对性能退化的临界性。
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引用次数: 93
Software Reliability, Availability, and Maintainability Engineering System (SOFT-RAMES) 软件可靠性、可用性和可维护性工程系统(SOFT-RAMES)
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500680
B. Edson, B. Hansen, P. Larter
The Software Reliability, Availability, and Maintainability Engineering System (SOFT-RAMES) has been developed for the Air Force Material Command Space Systems Support Group as a software reliability and maintainability engineering tool to aid in the management and implementation of a post deployment support process for mission computer software. Using failure, change, and source code data, it provides Pareto analyses, R&M trends and predictions, and checklists to identify problems and impacts of software changes. Initial results, and lessons learned are described, along with the capabilities of SOFT-RAMES. Important initial lessons learned are the need to calibrate metrics models to the application, a quantitative means to set metrics based design guidelines, and the usefulness of failure rate trends to investigate the effects of the underlying software change process on software reliability. SOFT-RAMES is implemented for the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellite operations centers mission software.
软件可靠性、可用性和可维护性工程系统(SOFT-RAMES)已经为空军物资指挥空间系统支持小组开发,作为软件可靠性和可维护性工程工具,以帮助任务计算机软件的部署后支持过程的管理和实施。使用故障、变更和源代码数据,它提供了Pareto分析、R&M趋势和预测,以及识别问题和软件变更影响的检查清单。描述了最初的结果和经验教训,以及SOFT-RAMES的功能。重要的初始经验教训是校准应用程序的度量模型的需要,设置基于设计指南的度量的定量方法,以及调查底层软件变更过程对软件可靠性的影响的故障率趋势的有用性。SOFT-RAMES是国防气象卫星计划(DMSP)卫星操作中心任务软件。
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引用次数: 5
Reliability analysis using the ADEPT-REST interface 使用ADEPT-REST接口进行可靠性分析
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500645
R. Rao, A. Rahmam, B.W. Johnson
The Advanced Design Environment Prototype Tool (ADEPT) brings dependability analysis and trade-offs into the mainstream of the design process. ADEPT models are constructed using a collection of predefined library elements, called ADEPT modules. Each ADEPT module has an unambiguous mathematical definition in the form of a colored Petri net (CPN) and a corresponding VHSIC (very high speed integrated circuit) hardware description language (VHDL) description. One of the key features of ADEPT is that the designer need deal with only one model of the system, the ADEPT model, from which alternate representations, for performance and dependability analysis, are derived using provably correct transformations. The use of a single model eliminates the problem of inconsistency between the different models used to perform system-level analysis and trade-offs. The ADEPT toolset supports several simulation and analytical based approaches to dependability analysis of ADEPT models. The focus of this paper is on describing an approach to integrating the ADEPT-VHDL simulation model and the Reliability Estimation System Testbed (REST) engine in order to estimate system reliability from ADEPT models. This paper presents an overview of the ADEPT methodology, the ADEPT-REST interface, and examples which illustrate the capabilities of the methodology.
高级设计环境原型工具(ADEPT)将可靠性分析和权衡纳入设计过程的主流。ADEPT模型是使用一组预定义的库元素(称为ADEPT模块)构建的。每个ADEPT模块都有一个明确的数学定义,以彩色Petri网(CPN)的形式和相应的VHSIC(非常高速集成电路)硬件描述语言(VHDL)描述。ADEPT的一个关键特性是设计人员只需要处理系统的一个模型,即ADEPT模型,从这个模型中可以使用可证明正确的转换导出用于性能和可靠性分析的替代表示。单个模型的使用消除了用于执行系统级分析和权衡的不同模型之间不一致的问题。ADEPT工具集支持多种基于仿真和分析的方法来对ADEPT模型进行可靠性分析。本文的重点是描述一种集成ADEPT- vhdl仿真模型和可靠性估计系统测试平台(REST)引擎的方法,以便从ADEPT模型中估计系统可靠性。本文概述了ADEPT方法、ADEPT- rest接口,并举例说明了该方法的功能。
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引用次数: 3
Proposed new DoD standard for product acceptance 提出新的产品验收DoD标准
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500637
D. Ermer, D. Kedzie
Total quality and productivity improvement is a basic tenant in the DoD/Defense industries Quality Excellence Program. As part of this program, the DoD stated that Military and Federal Specifications which prescribe fixed levels of defects, such as acceptable quality levels and lot tolerance percent defectives, inhibit quality and productivity improvement and have been eliminated. In response to this mandate, the Technical Concepts Committee of the American Defense Preparedness Association (ADPA) has developed a new Standard (herein called STD-XXX) for product acceptance which emphasizes prevention versus detection. This paper describes STD-XXX, how it is intended to be used, and the underlying details of its development. This standard offers a practical approach for continuous improvement of the procurement process, and encourages industry innovation and flexibility to achieve the benefits of total quality. Furthermore, the new standard allows the transition from ineffective, inefficient, and costly sampling inspection to prevention by process control and improvement to be made in partnership with the Government.
全面质量和生产力改进是国防部/国防工业质量卓越计划的基本内容。作为该计划的一部分,国防部表示,规定固定水平缺陷的军事和联邦规范,如可接受的质量水平和批次公差百分比缺陷,抑制了质量和生产率的提高,并已被消除。为了响应这一要求,美国国防准备协会(ADPA)的技术概念委员会制定了一项新的产品验收标准(此处称为STD-XXX),强调预防而不是检测。本文描述了STD-XXX,它是如何被使用的,以及它的开发的底层细节。本标准为持续改进采购过程提供了实用的方法,并鼓励行业创新和灵活性,以实现全面质量的效益。此外,新标准允许与政府合作,从无效、低效和昂贵的抽样检查过渡到通过过程控制和改进进行预防。
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引用次数: 1
Inferring coverage probabilities by optimum 3-stage sampling 通过最优的三阶段抽样来推断覆盖概率
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500643
C. Constantinescu
Reliability assessment is an important step in the development of fault-tolerant computing systems. Availability, MTTF, and, in general, any reliability measure is determined by the system ability to handle faults and errors and the rate of occurrence of these events. A special parameter, the coverage probability, provides information about the effectiveness of the fault tolerance mechanisms embedded into the system. Practically, physical or simulated fault injection experiments are conducted for evaluating the coverage. Unfortunately, the extremely large number of events which can perturb the operation of a computing system makes exhaustive testing intractable. As a consequence, statistical inference has been employed to derive meaningful results after performing a relatively small number of fault injection experiments. This paper presents a new method for inferring the coverage probability by means of optimum 3-stage sampling. A three-dimensional space of events is considered. It is represented by the cross product of system inputs, times of injection, and fault locations. The fault injection consists of a pilot experiment followed by the main injection experiment. The sample size of the main experiment is chosen to minimize the cost of the fault injection for a fixed value of the variance. This approach is used for estimating the coverage probability of a hypothetical fault-tolerant system. Based on our experiments, we conclude that the optimum 3-stage sampling method is especially useful when a low variance of the coverage probability is required.
可靠性评估是容错计算系统开发的重要环节。可用性、MTTF以及一般情况下的任何可靠性度量都是由系统处理故障和错误的能力以及这些事件的发生率决定的。一个特殊的参数,即覆盖概率,提供了关于嵌入到系统中的容错机制有效性的信息。在实际应用中,通过物理或模拟断层注入实验来评估覆盖范围。不幸的是,大量的事件会干扰计算系统的运行,这使得详尽的测试变得难以处理。因此,在进行相对少量的断层注入实验后,采用统计推断来得出有意义的结果。本文提出了一种利用最优三阶段抽样来推断覆盖概率的新方法。考虑事件的三维空间。它由系统输入、注入次数和故障位置的叉积表示。断层注入由先导实验和主注入实验组成。选择主实验的样本量是为了在方差固定的情况下使故障注入的代价最小。这种方法用于估计假设的容错系统的覆盖概率。通过实验,我们得出结论,当需要较低的覆盖概率方差时,最佳的3阶段抽样方法特别有用。
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引用次数: 6
Fault tree analysis and binary decision diagrams 故障树分析和二元决策图
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500665
Roslyn M. Sinnamon, John Andrews
Fault tree analysis is now commonly used to assess the adequacy, in reliability terms, of industrial systems. For complex systems, an analysis may produce thousands of combinations of events which can cause system failure (minimal cut sets). The determination of these minimal cut sets can be a very time consuming process even on modern high speed digital computers. Also, if the fault tree has many minimal cut sets, calculating the exact top event probability will require extensive calculations. For many complex fault trees this requirement is beyond the capability of the available machines, thus approximation techniques need to be introduced resulting in loss of accuracy. This paper describes the use of a binary decision diagram for fault tree analysis and some ways in which it can be efficiently implemented on a computer. The work to date shows a substantial improvement in computational effort for large, complex fault trees analysed with this method in comparison to the traditional approach. The binary decision diagram method has the additional advantage that as approximations are not required, exact calculations for the top event parameters can be performed.
故障树分析现在通常用于评估工业系统在可靠性方面的充足性。对于复杂的系统,一次分析可能会产生数千个可能导致系统故障的事件组合(最小割集)。即使在现代高速数字计算机上,这些最小割集的确定也可能是一个非常耗时的过程。此外,如果故障树有许多最小割集,计算精确的顶部事件概率将需要大量的计算。对于许多复杂的故障树,这一要求超出了现有机器的能力,因此需要引入近似技术,导致精度下降。本文介绍了二叉决策图在故障树分析中的应用,以及在计算机上有效实现二叉决策图的几种方法。迄今为止的工作表明,与传统方法相比,使用该方法分析大型复杂故障树的计算量有了实质性的提高。二元决策图方法还有一个额外的优点,即由于不需要近似值,因此可以执行对顶级事件参数的精确计算。
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引用次数: 65
Designing for fault-tolerance in the commercial environment 商业环境中的容错设计
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500671
M. Karyagina
Fault-tolerant techniques have been successfully used for implementing highly reliable electronic systems. There is a range of fault-tolerant techniques to cater for any desired level of fault-tolerance. However, only cost-effective techniques can be used for commercial systems. The cost of implementing fault-tolerance can be estimated from the extra hardware required. The possible savings to the user can be estimated from the cost of "prevented failures". To estimate the cost of electronic failures to the user of computer numerically controlled (CNC) machines, maintenance records from several machine tools were analysed. The results of the study show that electronic failures constitute less than 10% of all failures of CNC machines. However, they top the list of average repair costs for different failure categories. Permanent electronic failures also have longest down-times and may result in substantial losses. Fault-tolerance techniques can be used to make machine controllers more reliable. The challenge is how to do it cost-effectively. Apart from the original investment, some fault-tolerant implementations increase maintenance expenses thus offsetting the benefits to the user. An example of the cost-benefit analysis for a double-redundant system shows how the major components of the life cycle cost change depending on the implementation.
容错技术已经成功地用于实现高可靠性的电子系统。有一系列容错技术可以满足任何期望的容错级别。然而,只有具有成本效益的技术才能用于商业系统。实现容错的成本可以通过所需的额外硬件来估计。用户可能节省的费用可以从“防止故障”的成本中估计出来。为了估计电子故障对计算机数控(CNC)机床用户的成本,分析了几台机床的维护记录。研究结果表明,电子故障占数控机床所有故障的比例不到10%。然而,它们在不同故障类别的平均维修成本列表中名列前茅。永久性电子故障也有最长的停机时间,并可能导致大量损失。容错技术可用于使机器控制器更可靠。挑战在于如何经济有效地做到这一点。除了原始投资之外,一些容错实现还增加了维护费用,从而抵消了对用户的好处。双冗余系统的成本效益分析示例显示了生命周期成本的主要组成部分如何根据实现而变化。
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引用次数: 10
FMEA automation for the complete design process FMEA自动化完成整个设计过程
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500638
T. A. Montgomery, D. Pugh, S.T. Leedham, S.R. Twitchett
Performing an FMEA during the design stage is a valuable technique for improving the reliability of a product. Unfortunately, the traditional brainstorming approach is also very tedious, time consuming, and error prone. Automating the process promises the generation of a more complete, consistent FMEA worksheet in a fraction of the time currently required. However, to be truly valuable, this automation must follow the product though the entire design cycle at each level of design: architecture; subsystem; and component. This paper presents an FMEA automation approach that spans the entire design cycle for electrical/electronic circuits. Brainstorming is replaced by computer simulation of failure modes and their effects. Qualitative simulation is used in the early (architectural) stages when design detail is not available. As the design progresses, the qualitative simulation gives way to quantitative simulation. Throughout, the information required to perform the FMEA is gleaned from that used to understand the nominal behavior of the circuit; thus the relief from brainstorming is not offset by a new modeling burden. Sample results from software supporting this approach are presented.
在设计阶段执行FMEA是提高产品可靠性的一种有价值的技术。不幸的是,传统的头脑风暴方法也非常乏味、耗时且容易出错。自动化过程保证在当前所需的一小部分时间内生成更完整,一致的FMEA工作表。然而,为了真正有价值,这种自动化必须在设计的每个层次上遵循产品的整个设计周期:架构;子系统;和组件。本文提出了一种跨越电气/电子电路整个设计周期的FMEA自动化方法。头脑风暴被计算机模拟故障模式及其影响所取代。定性模拟在设计细节无法获得的早期(架构)阶段使用。随着设计的深入,定性仿真逐渐让位于定量仿真。在整个过程中,执行FMEA所需的信息是从用于理解电路的标称行为的信息中收集的;因此,头脑风暴带来的缓解不会被新的建模负担所抵消。给出了支持该方法的软件的示例结果。
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引用次数: 43
Environmental stress screening for a massively parallel vision computer 大规模并行视觉计算机的环境应力筛选
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500659
A. Kostić, R. Wallace
AISI began experiencing a severe field reliability problem with their computers. There was a single point source of failure in the systems in which they were incorporated. An issue with programmable array logic (PAL) had driven the customer return rate to approximately 45% and caused severe production problems for the ultimate users of the computers. The legacy screening process used by AISI was ineffective at screening out the problems. The limited amount of failure analysis performed was inconclusive at identifying root cause of the failures. A screen was developed based on generic information on technology failure mechanism and circumstantial evidence gathered by AISI. The resultant screening used both temperature and voltage stress. Combined with part level screening and change of suppliers the customer return rate was reduced to 1%. Further improvements for part level screening were developed using Iddq as a parametric screen. The board-level screening program required a capital investment of only $50,000. Part screening increased the price of the parts by an additional 10%.
AISI的计算机开始出现严重的现场可靠性问题。在他们被纳入的系统中有一个单点故障源。可编程阵列逻辑(PAL)的问题导致客户退货率降至45%左右,并给计算机的最终用户带来了严重的生产问题。AISI使用的遗留筛选过程在筛选问题方面是无效的。所进行的有限的故障分析在确定故障的根本原因方面是不确定的。基于AISI收集的技术失效机理的一般信息和间接证据,制定了一套筛选方案。所得到的筛分同时使用了温度和电压应力。结合零件级筛选和供应商更换,客户退货率降低到1%。进一步改进了零件级筛选使用Iddq作为参数筛选。董事会级别的筛选项目只需要5万美元的资本投资。零件筛选使零件的价格又增加了10%。
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引用次数: 1
Planning and optimizing environmental stress screening 规划和优化环境应力筛选
Pub Date : 1996-01-22 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1996.500662
Y. Mok, M. Xie
Environmental stress screening (ESS) is widely used in the electronics industries as a means to remove early failures. It is a process that calls for proper planning as inadequate duration is ineffective while prolonged screening can incur unnecessary cost. This note describes an approach utilizing mathematical programming to ensure that the right amount of screening is in place at each assembly level. The factors considered include the screening cost and desired operational reliability.
环境应力筛选(ESS)作为一种消除早期故障的手段被广泛应用于电子工业。这是一个需要适当规划的过程,因为时间不足是无效的,而长时间的筛查可能会带来不必要的费用。本说明描述了一种利用数学规划的方法,以确保在每个装配级别上进行适量的筛选。考虑的因素包括筛选成本和期望的运行可靠性。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Proceedings of 1996 Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium
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