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Wage Differential between Rural Migrant and Urban Workers in the People's Republic of China 中华人民共和国农民工与城镇工人的工资差距
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00140
Hong Cheng, Dezhuang Hu, Hongbin Li
Using a recently constructed dataset that draws on the China Employer–Employee Survey, this paper provides new evidence on the earnings gap between rural migrant and urban manufacturing workers in the People's Republic of China. When we only control for province fixed effects, we find that rural migrant workers are paid 22.3% less per month and 32.2% less per hour than urban workers. We find that the gap in hourly earnings is larger than the gap in monthly earnings because rural migrant workers tend to work an average of 5.6% more hours per month than urban workers. Using these data, we also find that 87.4% of the monthly earnings gap and 73.9% of the hourly earnings gap can be attributed to differences in the individual characteristics and human capital levels of rural migrant and urban workers. Furthermore, we find that this unexplained earnings gap varies among different groups of workers. The earnings gap is much larger (i) for workers in state-owned enterprises than in nonstate-owned enterprises, (ii) for college-educated workers than workers with lower levels of educational attainment, and (iii) in Guangdong province than in Hubei province.
本文利用最近构建的中国雇主-雇员调查数据集,为中国农民工与城市制造业工人之间的收入差距提供了新的证据。当我们只控制省份固定效应时,我们发现农民工的月收入和小时收入分别比城市工人低22.3%和32.2%。我们发现时薪差距大于月薪差距,因为农民工每月平均工作时间往往比城市工人多5.6%。利用这些数据,我们还发现87.4%的月收入差距和73.9%的小时收入差距可归因于农民工和城市工人的个人特征和人力资本水平的差异。此外,我们发现这种无法解释的收入差距在不同的工人群体中有所不同。(1)国有企业职工比非国有企业职工的收入差距大得多,(2)受过大学教育的职工比受教育程度较低的职工的收入差距大得多,(3)广东省比湖北省的收入差距大得多。
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引用次数: 5
Household Debt and Delinquency over the Life Cycle 生命周期内的家庭债务和拖欠
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00141
Sommarat Chantarat, Atchana Lamsam, Krislert Samphantharak, Bhumjai Tangsawasdirat
This paper uses loan-level data from Thailand's National Credit Bureau to study household debt over the life cycle of borrowers. We decompose two aggregate and commonly used measures of debt—debt per capita and delinquency rate—into components that unveil the extensive and intensive margins of household indebtedness. We find a striking inverted-U life-cycle pattern of indebtedness as predicted by economic theories. However, peaks are reached at different ages for different loan products and different lenders. We also find that debt has expanded over time for all age groups. Younger cohorts seem to originate debt earlier in their lives than older generations. Meanwhile, older borrowers remain indebted well past their retirement age. Finally, we find a downward pattern of delinquency over the life cycle. Our findings have important policy implications on financial access and distress of households as well as on economic development and financial stability of the economy.
本文使用泰国国家信贷局的贷款水平数据来研究借款人生命周期内的家庭债务。我们将两种常用的债务总量指标——人均债务和拖欠率——分解为揭示家庭债务的广泛和密集边际的组成部分。我们发现,正如经济学理论预测的那样,负债的生命周期模式呈显著的倒U型。然而,不同的贷款产品和不同的贷款人在不同的年龄达到峰值。我们还发现,随着时间的推移,所有年龄组的债务都在增加。年轻一代似乎比老一辈更早地开始负债。与此同时,年长的借款人在超过退休年龄后仍负债累累。最后,我们发现犯罪在整个生命周期中呈下降趋势。我们的研究结果对家庭的资金获取和困境以及经济发展和金融稳定具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 8
Seasonal Poverty and Seasonal Migration in Asia 亚洲的季节性贫困和季节性移民
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00139
A. Mobarak, M. Reimão
Four in five poor people in the Asia and Pacific region live in rural areas. Crop cycles in agrarian areas create periods of seasonal deprivation, or preharvest “lean seasons,” when work is scarce and skipped meals become frequent. In this paper, we document this phenomenon of seasonal poverty and discuss existing formal mechanisms for coping with it. We then focus on seasonal migration from rural to urban areas as a potential coping strategy and review the evidence on the effects of encouraging seasonal migration through transport subsidies. Over the past 10 years, we have conducted a series of randomized control trials in Bangladesh and Indonesia that provided rural agricultural workers with small migration subsidies to pay for the cost of round-trip travel to nearby areas in search of work. This paper summarizes the lessons learned from this multicountry, multiyear series of seasonal migration trials, the implications of these results for spatial misallocation, urbanization, and growth, and the replicability and relevance of this and other policies encouraging domestic migration more broadly for other areas in the Asia and Pacific region.
亚洲及太平洋地区五分之四的贫困人口生活在农村地区。农业地区的作物周期造成了一段时间的季节性剥夺,或收获前的“淡季”,这时工作很少,不吃饭变得经常。在本文中,我们记录了这种季节性贫困现象,并讨论了现有的应对机制。然后,我们将重点放在从农村到城市地区的季节性迁移作为一种潜在的应对策略上,并回顾了通过交通补贴鼓励季节性迁移的影响的证据。在过去10年里,我们在孟加拉国和印度尼西亚进行了一系列随机对照试验,为农村农业工人提供小额迁移补贴,以支付他们到附近地区寻找工作的往返费用。本文总结了从这一多国、多年的季节性迁移试验中吸取的经验教训,这些结果对空间错配、城市化和增长的影响,以及这一政策和其他鼓励国内迁移的政策在亚太地区其他地区的可复制性和相关性。
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引用次数: 7
Measuring the Ecological Efficiency of Thermal Power Plants: Evidence from Pakistan 衡量火力发电厂的生态效率:来自巴基斯坦的证据
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00145
Imran Qaiser, Theocharis N. Grigoriadis
This paper assesses the environmental and economic efficiency of thermal plants operating on fossil fuels in Pakistan using methods based on data envelopment analysis. Using the material balance principle, we find that cost- and carbon-efficient points can only be obtained simultaneously by switching to gas. However, under an assumption of variable returns to scale, these points can still be obtained without this conversion through the application of best practices. Furthermore, about 26% of costs and about 34% of carbon emissions can be reduced without a switch to gas, but instead by using technically efficient inputs; this approach can also lead to a significant reduction in electricity prices and considerable environmental benefits. Power plants operating on residual fuel oil are significantly more technically efficient than plants operating on gas. Nonetheless, both types of plants have an equal share in forming the metafrontier as exhibited by the meta-technology ratio. There is a definite need to make plants more efficient by using the best possible combination of inputs and overhauling. Bootstrap results also suggest that further improvement in efficiency is possible.
本文使用基于数据包络分析的方法评估了巴基斯坦使用化石燃料的火电厂的环境和经济效率。利用物质平衡原理,我们发现只有改用天然气才能同时获得成本和碳效率点。然而,在规模回报率可变的假设下,通过应用最佳实践,在没有这种转换的情况下,仍然可以获得这些点。此外,在不改用天然气的情况下,而是通过使用技术高效的投入,可以减少约26%的成本和约34%的碳排放;这种方法还可以显著降低电价并带来可观的环境效益。使用剩余燃料油的发电厂在技术上比使用天然气的发电厂效率高得多。尽管如此,正如元技术比率所显示的那样,这两种类型的植物在形成元前沿方面的份额相等。确实需要通过使用投入和检修的最佳组合来提高工厂的效率。Bootstrap结果还表明,进一步提高效率是可能的。
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引用次数: 3
The Effects of Formalization on Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Tax Payments: Panel Evidence from Viet Nam 正规化对中小企业纳税的影响:来自越南的小组证据
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00144
Amadou Boly
Do firms pay more taxes after formalization? The answer to this question is nontrivial. Tax noncompliance can be a persistent behavior among formerly informal firms. Analyzing the relationship between formalization and tax payments can also be challenging if nonswitching and switching firms have different characteristics. I use a panel dataset built from five small and medium-sized enterprise surveys conducted in Viet Nam from 2005 to 2013. By comparing nonswitching informal firms to switchers, I show that switchers are more likely to pay taxes and to pay a higher amount, thereby confirming heterogeneity. By comparing switchers before and after formalization, I find that formalization increases tax payment likelihood by 20% and the tax amount paid by 93%. A control function approach indicates that my results are robust to potential endogeneity of formalization. Therefore, this paper provides supportive evidence for a key public policy rationale to promote formalization: increased tax revenues.
公司在正规化后是否要交更多的税?这个问题的答案很重要。在以前的非正式企业中,不遵守税收可能是一种持续的行为。如果非转换公司和转换公司具有不同的特征,分析正规化和纳税之间的关系也可能具有挑战性。我使用了一个面板数据集,该数据集来自2005年至2013年在越南进行的五个中小型企业调查。通过比较非转换的非正式企业和转换者,我发现转换者更有可能纳税,而且支付的金额更高,从而证实了异质性。通过比较正规化前后的转换者,我发现正规化增加了20%的纳税可能性和93%的纳税金额。控制函数方法表明我的结果对形式化的潜在内生性具有鲁棒性。因此,本文为促进正规化的关键公共政策理论提供了支持性证据:增加税收收入。
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引用次数: 7
Human Capital as Engine of Growth: The Role of Knowledge Transfers in Promoting Balanced Growth within and across Countries 作为增长引擎的人力资本:知识转移在促进国家内部和国家间平衡增长中的作用
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-02-01 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00155
I. Ehrlich, Yun Pei
Unlike physical capital, human capital has both embodied and disembodied dimensions. It can be perceived not only as skill and acquired knowledge but also as knowledge spillover effects between overlapping generations and across different skill groups within and across countries. We illustrate the roles these characteristics play in the process of economic development, the relation between income growth and income and fertility distributions, and the relevance of human capital in determining the skill distribution of immigrants in a balanced-growth global equilibrium setting. In all three illustrations, knowledge spillover effects play a key role. The analysis offers new insights for understanding the decline in fertility below the population replacement rate in many developed countries, the evolution of income and fertility distributions across developing and developed countries, and the often asymmetric effects that endogenous immigration flows and their skill composition exert on the long-term net benefits from immigration to natives in source and destination countries.
与物质资本不同,人力资本有实体和非实体两个维度。它不仅可以被视为技能和获得的知识,还可以被视为重叠世代之间以及国家内部和国家之间不同技能群体之间的知识溢出效应。我们阐述了这些特征在经济发展过程中所扮演的角色,收入增长与收入和生育率分布之间的关系,以及在平衡增长的全球均衡背景下,人力资本在决定移民技能分布方面的相关性。在这三个例子中,知识溢出效应发挥了关键作用。该分析为理解许多发达国家生育率低于人口替代率的下降、发展中国家和发达国家之间收入和生育率分布的演变,以及内源性移民流动及其技能构成对移民对来源国和目的国本地人的长期净收益往往产生的不对称影响提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 13
Wages Over the Course of Structural Transformation: Evidence from India 结构转型过程中的工资:来自印度的证据
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-10 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00134
R. Hasan, R. Molato
This paper uses labor force survey data from India for 2000 and 2012 to examine how wages behave over the course of structural transformation. We find that wage employment between 2000 and 2012 displays the patterns one would expect for an economy undergoing structural transformation, with employment shares shifting from agriculture to industry and services, and from rural to urban areas and larger cities within urban areas. These shifts, as well as a shift to nonroutine occupations and routine manual occupations outside of agriculture, are associated with an improvement in average wages. Finally, simple Mincerian wage regressions confirm that jobs in larger firms and big cities are associated with significantly higher wages—even more so for women. Overall, our results are consistent with the notion that policies that encourage the expansion of the formal sector and employment in larger firms are crucial for development.
本文使用印度2000年和2012年的劳动力调查数据来考察工资在结构转型过程中的变化。我们发现,2000年至2012年间的工资就业表现出了一个正在经历结构性转型的经济体所应有的模式,即就业份额从农业转向工业和服务业,从农村转向城市地区和城市中的大城市。这些转变,以及向非常规职业和农业以外的常规体力职业的转变,与平均工资的提高有关。最后,简单的米瑟尔工资回归证实,大公司和大城市的工作与高工资显著相关——对女性来说更是如此。总的来说,我们的结果与这样一种观点是一致的,即鼓励扩大正规部门和大公司就业的政策对发展至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
From Import Substitution to Integration into Global Production Networks: The Case of the Indian Automobile Industry 从进口替代到融入全球生产网络——以印度汽车工业为例
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-10 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00132
P. Athukorala, C. Veeramani
This paper examines the growth trajectory and the current state of the Indian automobile industry, paying attention to factors that underpinned its transition from import substitution to integration into global production networks. Market-conforming policies implemented by the government of India over the past 2 decades, which marked a clear departure from protectionist policies in the past, have been instrumental in transforming the Indian automobile industry in line with ongoing structural changes in the world automobile industry. India has emerged as a significant producer of compact cars within global automobile production networks. Compact cars exported from India have become competitive in the international market because of the economies of scale of producing for a large domestic market and product adaptation to suit domestic market conditions. Interestingly, there are no significant differences in prices of compact cars sold in domestic and foreign markets. This suggests that the hypothesis of “import protection as export promotion” does not hold for Indian automobile exports.
本文考察了印度汽车工业的增长轨迹和现状,关注了支撑其从进口替代向融入全球生产网络转变的因素。印度政府在过去20年中实施的符合市场的政策明显背离了过去的保护主义政策,有助于根据世界汽车业正在发生的结构变化改变印度汽车业。印度已成为全球汽车生产网络中重要的紧凑型汽车生产国。从印度出口的紧凑型汽车在国际市场上具有竞争力,这是因为其在国内大市场的生产规模经济和适应国内市场条件的产品。有趣的是,在国内外市场销售的紧凑型汽车的价格没有显著差异。这表明,“进口保护即出口促进”的假设不适用于印度汽车出口。
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引用次数: 7
Providing a Safe Working Environment: Do Firm Ownership and Exporting Status Matter? 提供安全的工作环境:企业所有权和出口地位重要吗?
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-10 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00137
Zara Liaqat
This paper hypothesizes that there exists a relationship between the exporting and ownership characteristics of firms and the incidence of accidents at work, using a detailed dataset of manufacturing firms in Viet Nam. There appears to be a positive and highly significant effect of both exporting and foreign ownership on the frequency of accidents. The results obtained are robust across various specifications as well as alternative measures of exporting status and the severity of accidents. The study highlights a greater need for the implementation of labor standards in countries that are becoming increasingly reliant on globalization as a source of economic growth.
本文利用越南制造业企业的详细数据集,假设企业的出口和所有权特征与工作事故发生率之间存在关系。出口和外国所有权似乎对事故发生频率产生了积极和高度显著的影响。所获得的结果在各种规格以及出口状态和事故严重程度的替代衡量标准中都是稳健的。该研究强调,在越来越依赖全球化作为经济增长来源的国家,更需要实施劳工标准。
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引用次数: 0
Global Value Chains and Employment Growth in Asia 全球价值链与亚洲就业增长
IF 1.5 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-10 DOI: 10.1162/adev_a_00133
Neil Foster-McGregor
This paper considers the sources of employment demand in Asian economies. Using data from the World–Input Output Database, I examine the relative importance of domestic and foreign demand in generating employment. Despite some degree of heterogeneity across the sample, domestic demand is found to be the major driver of employment in all cases. Further, the relative importance of final and intermediate exports in generating employment varies by economy, with some economies relying on intermediate exports to generate employment to a greater extent than others, reflecting their importance as suppliers of intermediate inputs in global value chains, while others rely to a greater extent on final exports, reflecting their role as assemblers within global value chains. Considering developments over time, I find that employment is driven by two offsetting factors: (i) final demand (either domestic or foreign) and (ii) labor productivity, with changes in interindustry structure also being important in the case of intermediate exports.
本文考虑了亚洲经济体就业需求的来源。利用世界投入产出数据库的数据,我研究了国内外需求在创造就业方面的相对重要性。尽管样本之间存在一定程度的异质性,但国内需求在所有情况下都是就业的主要驱动力。此外,最终和中间出口在创造就业方面的相对重要性因经济体而异,一些经济体在很大程度上依赖中间出口创造就业,这反映出它们作为全球价值链中中间投入供应商的重要性,而另一些经济体则在更大程度上依赖最终出口,反映了他们作为全球价值链中组装者的角色。考虑到一段时间以来的发展,我发现就业是由两个抵消因素驱动的:(I)最终需求(国内或国外)和(ii)劳动生产率,在中间出口的情况下,行业间结构的变化也很重要。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Asian Development Review
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