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Sobre a coevolução das estruturas comercial e tecnológica: teoria e evidência empírica 关于商业和技术结构的共同进化:理论和经验证据
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2018-07-06 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V17I2.8650105
Cecilia Menezes Barbosa de Carvalho, A. Ruiz
O objetivo deste artigo é analisar em que medida os padrões de especialização tecnológica coevoluem com os de especialização comercial. Para isso, o artigo assume que existe interdependência entre as estruturas produtiva, tecnológica e comercial e, portanto, os choques de demanda subjacentes aos processos de integração econômica gerarão impactos na estrutura tecnológica. A hipótese de coevolução é testada para 35 países e 38 setores no período de 1996 a 2013 por meio de estimações em dados em painel. Os resultados mostram que ambos os padrões (comercial e tecnológico) coevoluíram, especialmente nos setores mais intensivos em conhecimento, registrando-se um importante efeito demand pull nos setores mais internacionalizados. A ação das empresas multinacionais se revelou como um direcionador menor da evolução dos padrões de especialização tecnológica dos países hospedeiros. Entre os determinantes autônomos da especialização tecnológica, a cumulatividade parece jogar um papel crucial, enquanto a oportunidade tecnológica só se mostrou relevante nas indústrias intensivas em recursos naturais.
本文的目的是分析技术专业化模式在多大程度上与商业专业化模式共同演变。为此,本文假设生产、技术和商业结构之间存在相互依赖关系,因此,经济一体化过程中潜在的需求冲击将对技术结构产生影响。通过对面板数据的估计,对1996 - 2013年期间35个国家和38个部门的共同进化假设进行了检验。结果表明,这两种模式(商业模式和技术模式)是共同进化的,特别是在知识密集型行业,在更国际化的行业有重要的需求拉动效应。跨国公司的行动已被证明是东道国技术专业化模式演变的一个次要驱动因素。在技术专业化的自主决定因素中,累积性似乎起着至关重要的作用,而技术机会只在自然资源密集型产业中被证明是相关的。
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引用次数: 1
Dinâmica da difusão de inovações no contexto brasileiro 巴西背景下创新扩散的动态
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2018-03-14 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V16I4.8650852
J. Ferreira, Janaina Ruffoni, A. M. Carvalho
Innovation and diffusion are imbricated concepts. Understanding diffusion of innovations means advancing knowledge about technological progress. There is in the literature the understanding that diffusion is context-dependent. The objective of this paper was to analyze the innovations diffusion in Brazil, considering their socioeconomic particularities. With consumption data collected from a national survey (PNAD) for six products in different periods, diffusion curves were estimated from Rogers (1962) and coefficients calculated according to Bass (1969). The main results were: 1) the model was useful for the diffusion analysis in Brazil, stating that Rogers and Bass are relevant theories also for this context; 2) the diffusion of the products investigated is in different stages in this economy, and is, essentially, an imitation process; and 3) should be considered the diffusion peculiarities for the Brazilian economy, since there seems to be endogenous factors that make it differentiated.
创新和传播是复杂的概念。理解创新的扩散意味着推进有关技术进步的知识。在文献中有一种理解,即扩散是依赖于环境的。本文的目的是分析创新在巴西的扩散,考虑到他们的社会经济特殊性。根据国家调查(PNAD)收集的六种产品在不同时期的消费数据,根据Rogers(1962)估计扩散曲线,根据Bass(1969)计算系数。主要结果是:1)该模型对巴西的扩散分析是有用的,表明罗杰斯和巴斯的理论也适用于这一背景;2)所研究产品的扩散在经济中处于不同阶段,本质上是一个模仿过程;3)应考虑巴西经济的扩散特性,因为似乎存在使其分化的内生因素。
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引用次数: 6
Escola Politécnica de São Paulo: engenharias políticas no ensino superior paulista nos inícios republicanos Escola politecnica de sao Paulo:共和党初期sao Paulo高等教育中的政治工程
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2018-03-14 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V17I1.8651950
J. Cerasoli
A Escola Politecnica, origem da instituicao que desde 1934 integra a Universidade de Sao Paulo, foi organizada pelo governo paulista e instaurada em 1893. Este estudo analisa os significados associados a essa instituicao que se articula ao prestigio desfrutado pelas ciencias matematicas no seculo XIX. Identificam-se, na fundacao da Escola e nas acoes dos engenheiros no periodo, as aproximacoes entre os projetos politicos liberais e os saberes e praticas da engenharia, tidos como cientificos e de perfil predominantemente pragmatico. Considerando o projeto da Politecnica e seus meios de difusao de conhecimentos – anuarios e periodicos – discutem-se os efeitos imaginados a partir da criacao da Politecnica, tambem pelo sensivel potencial de inovacao e atualidade a ela associados.
理工学院是圣保罗大学的前身,自1934年以来,该校由圣保罗政府组织,成立于1893年。这项研究分析了与这一机构相关的含义,该机构阐明了19世纪数学科学所享有的声望。在学校的成立和这一时期工程师的行动中,自由主义政治项目与工程知识和实践之间的近似关系被认为是科学的,主要是务实的。考虑到理工学院项目及其传播知识的手段——年鉴和期刊——我们讨论了创建理工学院所产生的影响,以及与之相关的敏感的创新潜力和现实。
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引用次数: 0
Macro-comparative analysis of environmental innovation ( 1990 , 2000 and 2010 ) 环境创新的宏观比较分析(1990、2000和2010)
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.20396/rbi.v17i2.8651298
R. L. Montenegro, Gustavo Britto, L. Ribeiro
317 Rev. Bras. Inov., Campinas (SP), 17 (2), p. 317-344, julho/dezembro 2018 Rev. Bras. Inov., Campinas (SP), 17 (2), p. 317-344, julho/dezembro 2018 Macro-comparative analysis of environmental innovation (1990, 2000 and 2010) Rosa Livia Gonçalves Montenegro* https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8383-5131 Gustavo Britto** https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-3684 Leonardo Costa Ribeiro*** https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7772-9313
317 Rev.胸罩。Inov。,Campinas(SP),17(2),第317-344页,2018年7月/12月,Bras。Inov。,Campinas(SP),17(2),第317-344页,2018年7月/12月环境创新宏观比较分析(1990年、2000年和2010年)Rosa Livia Gonçalves Montenegro*https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8383-5131古斯塔沃·布里托**https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-3684莱昂纳多·科斯塔·里贝罗***https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7772-9313
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引用次数: 0
Estimativa econométrica da produtividade do trabalho na indústria manufatureira brasileira nos anos 2000: uma abordagem kaldoriana 2000年代巴西制造业劳动生产率的计量经济学估计:Kaldorian方法
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2017-11-09 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V17I1.8650856
André Nassif, C. Feijo, E. Araújo
In the 2000-2008 period, which covers the analysis of this paper, while the average real GDP growth in Brazil was 3.7 percent per year, labor productivity in the manufacturing industry had a negative variation of 1.0 percent per year. In Brazil, there has been a “cliche” evaluation of the relatively low economic growth rates in the period as being the result of low labor productivity growth in the last few decades. However, according to the so-called Kaldor-Verdoorn law, the reverse could also be true: low growth rates of labor productivity in Brazil could be an effect of low growth rates of the real GDP. Based on Kaldorian assumptions, we regressed the change in labor productivity of 21 Brazilian manufacturing industries, covering the 2000-2008 period, on three main variables: the real GDP (which captures the Kaldor-Verdoorn law), gross investment to value added ratio, and technological innovation. Our results confirmed the validity of the Kaldor-Verdoorn law, as the real GDP growth was the most significant variable to explain the behavior of labor productivity in the manufacturing industries in Brazil in the 2000s, followed by the gross investment rate.
在2000-2008年期间,包括本文的分析,虽然巴西的平均实际GDP增长率为每年3.7%,但制造业的劳动生产率每年有1.0%的负变化。在巴西,有一种“陈词滥调”的评价认为,这一时期相对较低的经济增长率是过去几十年劳动生产率低增长的结果。然而,根据所谓的Kaldor Verdoorn定律,情况也可能相反:巴西劳动生产率的低增长率可能是实际GDP低增长率的影响。基于Kaldorian假设,我们对2000-2008年期间21个巴西制造业的劳动生产率变化进行了三个主要变量的回归:实际GDP(符合Kaldor-Verdoorn定律)、总投资与附加值比率和技术创新。我们的研究结果证实了卡尔多-凡尔登定律的有效性,因为实际GDP增长是解释2000年代巴西制造业劳动生产率行为的最重要变量,其次是总投资率。
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引用次数: 2
Financiamento à inovação e interação entre atividades científicas e tecnológicas: uma análise do Pappe 融资创新与科技活动互动——对Pappe的分析
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2017-10-30 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V16I4.8650854
P. Torres, M. A. D. R. Botelho
From the approach of National Systems of Innovation, this paper analyzes the Program to Support Research in Enterprises (Programa de Apoio a Pesquisa em Empresas - PAPPE). Primary data are obtained from an empirical research with 65 firms that was developed to evaluate the contributions of the program, intending to characterize the supported firms and identify the results on the generation of innovation, cooperation and other impacts on the performance of the firms. As main result, the work reveals that the PAPPE is important to create new products to the national market and new process to the sector, although its impact is more important on a group of firms that were already innovative and cooperative.
本文从国家创新体系的角度分析了支持企业研究计划(Programa de Apoio a Pesquisa em Empresas-PAPPE)。主要数据来自对65家公司的实证研究,该研究旨在评估该计划的贡献,旨在描述受支持的公司,并确定创新、合作和其他对公司绩效影响的产生结果。主要结果是,这项工作表明,PAPPE对于为国家市场创造新产品和为该行业创造新工艺很重要,尽管它对一群已经创新和合作的公司的影响更为重要。
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引用次数: 10
Tamanho da cidade e competitividade dos municípios de São Paulo: uma análise de estatística espacial sao保罗市的城市规模和竞争力:空间统计分析
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2017-10-30 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V16I4.8650853
P. Porto, F. Rocha
The objective of this article is to develop a competitiveness index for the 645 cities of the state of Sao Paulo, Brazil (ICM-SP). We ranked cities according to the overall competitiveness index and each one of the five dimensions of competitiveness: urban/environmental, sociodemographic, fiscal/institutional, economic and innovation. Additionally, we performed an Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) in the ICM-SP. Our results show that cities with similar competitiveness levels tend to locate near each other, which show the presence of spatial clusters in the state of Sao Paulo. The cluster of cities with high competitiveness spill over from the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Region to the Campinas Metropolitan Region, reaching another cluster around Ribeirao Preto. Moreover, we found that cities with the highest competitiveness indexes are mostly midsized cities, in general part of metropolitan areas led by one or more large cities. Regarding the five dimensions of competitiveness, we noted that cities with high urban/environmental and sociodemographic competitiveness are composed mostly of medium sized cities. Smaller cities tend to perform better in the fiscal/institutional dimension, whereas larger and midsized cities tend to excel in the economic dimension. In the innovation dimension, we noticed a cluster of cities with high performance which spillover from Sao Jose dos Campos to Sao Paulo and to Campinas, plus another cluster surrounding Ribeirao Preto.
本文的目的是为巴西圣保罗州(ICM-SP)的645个城市制定一个竞争力指数。我们根据整体竞争力指数和五个竞争力维度中的每一个维度对城市进行排名:城市/环境、社会人口、财政/制度、经济和创新。此外,我们在ICM-SP中进行了探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)。研究结果表明,具有相似竞争力水平的城市相互靠近,表明圣保罗州存在空间集群。具有高竞争力的城市群从圣保罗大都市区向坎皮纳斯大都市区扩散,到达里贝罗普雷图周围的另一个城市群。此外,我们发现竞争力指数最高的城市大多是中等城市,一般是由一个或多个大城市主导的部分大都市区。关于竞争力的五个维度,我们注意到,具有高城市/环境和社会人口竞争力的城市主要由中等城市组成。较小的城市往往在财政/制度方面表现较好,而大中型城市往往在经济方面表现优异。在创新方面,我们注意到从圣若塞多斯坎波斯到圣保罗和坎皮纳斯的高绩效城市集群,以及里贝罗普雷图周围的另一个集群。
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引用次数: 0
Uma avaliação da Lei de Informática e seus impactos sobre os gastos empresariais em P&D nos anos 2000 评估信息技术法及其对21世纪初企业研发支出的影响
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2017-10-30 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V17I1.8650858
Paulo César Brigante
O presente artigo tem como objetivo avaliar se a Lei de Informatica tem sido capaz de provocar aumentos significativos de gastos em P&D, dando origem aos chamados efeitos de adicionalidade (crowd in). A analise e feita a partir da base de microdados da Pesquisa de Inovacao (Pintec-IBGE), pela qual foram construidos tres paineis, sendo que cada um abrange dois periodos consecutivos. Com isso, as estimativas possibilitaram verificar os efeitos da lei para os periodos de 2003-2005, 2005-2008 e 2008-2011. Buscando contornar os problemas de vies de selecao, tipicos em estimativas de avaliacao de politicas de inovacao, aplicou-se a metodologia de diferencas-em-diferencas (DID) com covariadas. Embora os resultados indicam nao haver efeitos de crowding out, os efeitos de crowd in ocorreram em apenas um periodo, nao sendo possivel concluir pela eficacia da lei ao longo de todo o periodo estudado.
本文旨在评估信息法是否能够导致研发支出的显著增加,从而产生所谓的附加效应(人群)。该分析是基于创新研究的微观数据库(Pintec-IBGE),该数据库构建了三个面板,每个面板覆盖两个连续的时期。因此,这些估计使我们能够验证该法律在2003-2005年、2005-2008年和2008-2011年期间的影响。为了避免创新政策评估中典型的vie选择问题,我们采用了带有协变量的差异中的差异(DID)方法。虽然结果表明没有拥挤的影响,但拥挤的影响只发生在一个时期,不可能得出法律在整个研究期间的有效性的结论。
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引用次数: 2
A armadilha da baixa complexidade em Minas Gerais: o desafio da sofisticação econômica em um estado exportador de commodities 米纳斯吉拉斯州的低复杂性陷阱:商品出口国经济复杂性的挑战
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2017-10-30 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V17I1.8650857
Fernanda Cimini Salles, Elisa Maria Pinto da Rocha, Ivana Villefort de Bessa Porto, Felipe Lopes Vieira Vasconcelos
Minas Gerais has dealt for decades with the challenge of economic sophistication. In an attempt to build paths for its economy’s transformation, the Government of Minas Gerais launched the Dataviva platform, allowing economic complexity’s approach to be used in the context of public development policies. This article aims to contribute to this debate by analyzing the economic complexity of the Brazilian states from 2002 to 2014, focusing on Minas Gerais. The research reveals that Minas’ economy is stuck in a “low complexity trap”, which requires a close collaboration between the public and private sectors for the discovery and investment in activities that contribute to economic sophistication.
几十年来,米纳斯吉拉斯州一直在应对经济复杂性带来的挑战。为了建立经济转型的路径,米纳斯吉拉斯州政府启动了Dataviva平台,允许在公共发展政策的背景下使用经济复杂性的方法。本文旨在通过分析2002年至2014年巴西各州的经济复杂性,以米纳斯吉拉斯州为重点,为这场辩论做出贡献。研究表明,米纳斯市的经济陷入了“低复杂性陷阱”,这需要公共和私营部门之间的密切合作,以发现和投资有助于经济复杂性的活动。
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引用次数: 7
Inovação e a capacidade de apropriar benefícios associados aos investimentos em P&D no Brasil 在巴西,创新和利用与研发投资相关的利益的能力
IF 0.3 Pub Date : 2017-10-30 DOI: 10.20396/RBI.V17I1.8650855
R. Silva, L. Motta, Marcelo Cabus Klotzle, Antônio Carlos Guedes Pinto, Paulo Vitor Jordão da Gama Silva
This paper seeks to analyze the ability of Brazilian companies to appropriate the benefits associated with R&D investments, following the methodology proposed by Cohen, Dietther and Malloy (2013), in order to reflect the capacity of firms to convert these investments into sales (Ability in Sales). During the period from 07/2009 to 07/2014 a total of 48 companies were analyzed. In addition to Ability in Sales, this paper proposes a new measure that incorporates the benefits of cost innovations (Ability in Margin). The results indicate that in fact, the capital market seems to ignore the ability of firms to efficiently allocate their R&D budgets, they suggest that innovations associated with sales increase produce future returns greater than those associated with cost reduction.
本文试图分析巴西公司利用与研发投资相关的利益的能力,遵循Cohen, diether和Malloy(2013)提出的方法,以反映公司将这些投资转化为销售的能力(销售能力)。在2009年7月至2014年7月期间,共分析了48家公司。除了销售能力之外,本文还提出了一个包含成本创新收益的新度量(利润率能力)。结果表明,事实上,资本市场似乎忽略了企业有效分配研发预算的能力,与销售增加相关的创新比与成本降低相关的创新产生更大的未来回报。
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引用次数: 0
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Revista Brasileira de Inovacao
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