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Jan Libich, Real-World Economic Policy: Insights from Leading Australian Economists Jan Libich,《现实世界的经济政策:来自澳大利亚主要经济学家的见解》
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-12-07 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.05
Omer Majeed
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引用次数: 0
Angus Deaton, The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality (Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2013) 安格斯·迪顿:《大逃亡:健康、财富和不平等的起源》(普林斯顿大学出版社,2013年)
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-12-07 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.06
Michael Palmer
Angus Deaton, The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality(Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2013)Professor Deaton's qualification for tackling this ambitious subject is acknowledged by his award of the 2015 Nobel Prize in Economics. There is perhaps no better authority to bring together the wide branches of health, wealth and inequality, which he does so masterfully in this book. It bespeaks a writer who says it all as he sees it; and not from the vantage of a Princeton ivory tower, but as someone who has spent a career thinking about how to measure and improve the lot of the world's worst off. In closing its pages, there is the sense that there is not much more left to say. It is the story of some of humanity's great escape from deprivation beside the inevitable remaining gaps in global wellbeing.This is, overall, an optimistic and uplifting read. The past 250 years have witnessed the most spectacular increase in human wellbeing in history. The economies of China and India, accounting for one-third of the world's population, have seen growth rates that are unparalleled in any country or time in history, supporting recent expansions in global living standards. Life expectancy in most parts of the world has soared on the back of achievements in child mortality (for example, a child born in sub-Saharan Africa today is more likely to live to the age of five than a child born in the UK just a century ago). However, it is a dual story of the 'dance between progress and inequality' where almost a billion people still live in destitution and countless children still die from the same diseases that killed European children in the 17th and 18th centuries.There are many books that tell separate stories of wealth and health inequality but in this book both stories are told at once. Wealth and health, it is argued, are each central parts of the story of human wellbeing. The merit of the book lies not in the telling of each story but in its attempt at weaving health and wealth as a self-reinforcing whole. Gaps in income, both between and within countries, correspond to gaps in health. The intriguing part of the story is the claim that income explains less about health than we would think ,which Deaton attributes (p. 97) to advancing knowledge and technology, human capital accumulation, and government capacity and institutional quality across countries:Turning the germ theory into safe water and sanitation takes time and requires both money and state capacity; these were not always available a century ago, and in many parts of the world they are not available today.While written by a self-professed economist, The Great Escape explores an impressive collection of writings on the subject, from demography, public health, anthropology and history. The book is written for a general audience in a style that is far from that of his earlier works such as An Analysis of Household Surveys. To ease digestion the core contents of the book are summ
安格斯·迪顿,《大逃亡:健康、财富和不平等的起源》(普林斯顿大学出版社,普林斯顿,2013年)迪顿教授处理这一雄心勃勃的主题的资格得到了2015年诺贝尔经济学奖的认可。也许没有比他更好的权威将健康、财富和不平等的广泛分支结合在一起,他在这本书中做到了这一点。这说明一个作家把他所看到的一切都说出来;并不是站在普林斯顿象牙塔的角度,而是作为一个花了整个职业生涯思考如何衡量和改善世界上最贫穷的人的人。在书的最后几页,有一种感觉,没有什么可说的了。这是一个关于人类摆脱贫困的伟大故事,同时也讲述了全球福祉中不可避免的差距。总的来说,这是一本乐观向上的读物。过去250年见证了人类历史上最惊人的福祉增长。占世界人口三分之一的中国和印度的经济增长速度是历史上任何国家或任何时代都无法比拟的,这支持了近期全球生活水平的提高。在儿童死亡率方面取得的成就(例如,今天在撒哈拉以南非洲出生的儿童比一个世纪前在英国出生的儿童更有可能活到5岁)的背景下,世界大部分地区的预期寿命都大幅飙升。然而,这是一个“进步与不平等之间的舞蹈”的双重故事,近10亿人仍然生活在贫困中,无数儿童仍然死于17世纪和18世纪导致欧洲儿童死亡的疾病。有许多书分别讲述了财富和健康不平等的故事,但在这本书中,这两个故事同时被讲述了。他们认为,财富和健康都是人类幸福故事的核心部分。这本书的优点不在于讲述了每一个故事,而在于它试图将健康和财富编织成一个自我强化的整体。国家之间和国家内部的收入差距与健康差距相对应。这个故事的有趣之处是,收入对健康的解释比我们想象的要少,迪顿将其归因于各国知识和技术的进步、人力资本积累、政府能力和制度质量(第97页):将细菌理论转化为安全饮用水和卫生设施需要时间,也需要资金和国家能力;这些在一个世纪前并不总是可用的,在世界上许多地方今天也没有。虽然作者自称是经济学家,但《大逃亡》从人口学、公共卫生、人类学和历史等方面探讨了关于这一主题的一系列令人印象深刻的著作。这本书是为普通读者写的,风格与他以前的作品《家庭调查分析》截然不同。为了便于消化,本书的核心内容在前两章或60页中进行了总结。对于时间紧迫的读者来说,这本书可能很容易就写到这里,但我建议你继续阅读存在于测量细节和作者的第一手经验和轶事中的黄金,比如世界银行(World Bank)每日一美元贫困线的制定。此后,本书分为三个部分,分别是健康、金钱和如何帮助那些落后的人。也许这本书的真正价值在于最后一部分,以及迪顿教授关于如何缩小全球不平等差距的路线图。他对对外援助的看法是最有争议的。他概述了有关援助有效性的文献,并得出结论说,过去的援助记录没有显示出总体有益效果的证据。…
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引用次数: 0
Alan Bollard, A Few Hares to Chase: The Life and Economics of Bill Phillips (Auckland University Press, Auckland, 2016) 艾伦·博拉德,《几只野兔追逐:比尔·菲利普斯的生活与经济学》(奥克兰大学出版社,奥克兰,2016)
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-12-07 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.07
S. Cornish
Alan Bollard, A Few Hares to Chase: The Life and Economics of Bill Phillips(Auckland University Press, Auckland, 2016)Thomas Carlyle called economics 'the dismal science'. Some aspects of economics may fairly be described as 'dismal'. But it would be a particularly harsh judgement - and an inaccurate one - if that description were applied to the discipline as a whole. If the increasing size of biographies (and autobiographies) of economists is used as the measure, it would appear that economists are anything but dismal. Take John Maynard Keynes, for example. Robert Skidelsky's life of Keynes covers three volumes, totalling some 1,758 pages; Donald Moggridge's single-volume biography of Keynes is 941 pages in length. And Keynes was only 62 when he died! Susan Howson's life of Lionel Robbins is 1,161 pages; Peter Groenewegen's life of Alfred Marshall is 864 pages; and Marjorie Harper's biography of Sir Douglas Copland, The Australian National University's first Vice-Chancellor, is 548 pages. These economists must have been doing some interesting things to warrant such prolonged engagement by their biographers - and most assuredly they did.Bill Phillips, the author of the eponymous 'Phillips Curve', and the subject of A Few Hares to Chase, was many things: modest, sober, unpretentious, imaginative, inquisitive and a genius; but rarely, if ever, dismal. Alan Bollard, the former Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and the author of this biography of Phillips, refers to his subject as 'remarkable'. And so he was. Here was a man born on a small dairy farm in 1914 in an obscure part of New Zealand, who went to local schools, qualified as an electrician after serving an apprenticeship with a local hydro-electric authority, worked for some years in the back blocks of New South Wales and Queensland, crossed Asia and Europe on the trans-Siberian railway before the outbreak of the Second World War, enlisted in the RAF in London, was captured by the Japanese while trying to escape at the fall of Singapore, spent the rest of the war in appalling conditions in prisoner-of-war camps at various locations on the island of Java, returned to London via New Zealand after the war, enrolled for a degree in sociology at the London School of Economics (LSE), successfully completed a PhD in economics at LSE, was appointed to one of the most prestigious chairs of economics in the world (the Tooke chair, which had previously been occupied by Friedrich Hayek), wrote one of the most cited articles in economics, accepted a research chair in economics at ANU and died in 1975 at the of 60, lecturing, at the University of Auckland, until the day before he died.Bollard has written a superb biography of the man, at once concise, elegant and extensively researched. The essential biographical details of Phillips's life are told against the backdrop of local and world history, with the contemporary events linked to the personal story in such a way that the two appear to be sea
艾伦·博拉德,《几只野兔可追:比尔·菲利普斯的生活与经济学》(奥克兰大学出版社,奥克兰,2016)托马斯·卡莱尔称经济学为“沉闷的科学”。经济学的某些方面可以用“令人沮丧”来形容。但如果这种描述适用于整个学科,那将是一个特别苛刻的判断——而且是不准确的判断。如果以经济学家传记(和自传)的数量不断增加作为衡量标准,那么经济学家似乎一点也不令人沮丧。以约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)为例。罗伯特·斯基德尔斯基(Robert Skidelsky)的《凯恩斯生平》(life of Keynes)有三卷,共计约1758页;唐纳德·莫格里奇(Donald Moggridge)的单卷本凯恩斯传记长达941页。凯恩斯去世时才62岁!苏珊·豪森的《莱昂内尔·罗宾斯的一生》有1161页;Peter Groenewegen的阿尔弗雷德·马歇尔传记有864页;玛乔丽·哈珀为澳大利亚国立大学首任副校长道格拉斯·科普兰爵士撰写的传记长达548页。这些经济学家一定做了一些有趣的事情,才有理由让他们的传记作者如此长时间地参与其中——而且他们确实做了。比尔·菲利普斯是同名“菲利普斯曲线”的作者,也是《追逐几只野兔》一书的主人公,他具有许多特质:谦虚、冷静、朴实、富有想象力、好学,是个天才;但很少是令人沮丧的。Alan Bollard,新西兰储备银行前行长,也是菲利普斯传记的作者,称他的主题是“非凡的”。他确实是。就是一个人出生在一个小奶牛场1914年在新西兰的一个不起眼的一部分,谁去了当地的学校,后合格的电工学徒服务与当地水电权威,工作了几年在新南威尔士和昆士兰,穿过西伯利亚铁路亚洲和欧洲在第二次世界大战爆发之前,加入了英国皇家空军在伦敦,被日本人在试图逃跑的新加坡,度过剩下的战俘集中营骇人听闻的战争条件在爪哇岛上的不同位置,通过新西兰战争结束后返回伦敦,报名参加了一个社会学学位在伦敦经济学院(LSE),成功地完成了在伦敦政治经济学院经济学博士学位,被任命为一个世界上最著名的椅子的经济学(男女椅子,以前被弗里德里希•哈耶克),写了一个经济学的最常被引用的文章,他接受了澳大利亚国立大学经济学研究主席的职位,并于1975年去世,享年60岁,生前一直在奥克兰大学讲学,直到去世前一天。博拉德为他写了一本极好的传记,既简洁、优雅,又研究广泛。菲利普斯生活的重要传记细节是在当地和世界历史的背景下讲述的,当代事件与个人故事以这样一种方式联系在一起,两者似乎天衣无缝。成功地完成这一壮举而不显得做作是一种非凡的技能,它确实增加了阅读这本书的乐趣。在他的社会学本科学习期间,菲利普斯开始考虑经济学——他对这门学科几乎没有兴趣或天赋,结果只得了可怜的三分之一。在另一位在伦敦政治经济学院攻读经济学学位的归国军人沃尔特•纽林(Walter Newlyn)的帮助下,菲利普斯利用有机玻璃水箱和抽水管道,建立了凯恩斯宏观经济的流体力学模型。该模型通常以首字母缩略词MONIAC(货币国民收入自动计算机)而为人所熟知,它经历了许多越来越复杂的版本,证明了如果总需求发生变化或政策改变,产出和就业可能会发生什么。伦敦政治经济学院的高级经济学家,包括詹姆斯·米德和莱昂内尔·罗宾斯,很快就看到了它作为一种教学设备的潜力,大学(墨尔本大学获得了一台)、政府和央行的订单也很快涌来。...
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引用次数: 0
Section 18C, human rights, and media reform: An institutional analysis of the 2011-13 Australian free speech debate 第18C节,人权与媒体改革:2011-13年澳大利亚言论自由辩论的制度分析
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.01
C. Berg, S. Davidson
The paper examines two Australian freedom-of-speech controversies between 2011 and 2013 – the debate over section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act, and the debate over the Gillard Government's print media laws. These controversies featured rhetorical and ideological debate about the limits of free speech and the nature of human rights. The paper applies a subjective political economy framework to these debates in order to trace the effect of increased perceived disorder costs and dictatorship costs of freedom-of-speech restrictions. The paper concludes that policy change is driven by exogenous changes in perceived institutional costs. In the case of the Gillard Government's media laws, those costs were borne by the Gillard Government, and one would not expect print media laws to be a major political issue in the absence of a further exogenous shock. In the case of section 18C the revealed dictatorship costs of legislation, which includes the words 'offend' and 'insult', suggest the section 18C controversy will endure.
本文考察了2011年至2013年间澳大利亚两次关于言论自由的争议——关于《种族歧视法》第18C条的辩论,以及关于吉拉德政府印刷媒体法的辩论。这些争论的特点是关于言论自由的限制和人权的本质的修辞和意识形态辩论。本文将一个主观的政治经济学框架应用于这些辩论,以追踪言论自由限制增加的感知混乱成本和独裁成本的影响。本文的结论是,政策变化是由感知制度成本的外生变化驱动的。就吉拉德政府的媒体法而言,这些成本是由吉拉德政府承担的,如果没有进一步的外部冲击,人们不会指望印刷媒体法成为一个主要的政治问题。就第18C条而言,立法的独裁成本,包括“冒犯”和“侮辱”这两个词,表明第18C条的争议将会持续下去。
{"title":"Section 18C, human rights, and media reform: An institutional analysis of the 2011-13 Australian free speech debate","authors":"C. Berg, S. Davidson","doi":"10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.01","url":null,"abstract":"The paper examines two Australian freedom-of-speech controversies between 2011 and 2013 – the debate over section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act, and the debate over the Gillard Government's print media laws. These controversies featured rhetorical and ideological debate about the limits of free speech and the nature of human rights. The paper applies a subjective political economy framework to these debates in order to trace the effect of increased perceived disorder costs and dictatorship costs of freedom-of-speech restrictions. The paper concludes that policy change is driven by exogenous changes in perceived institutional costs. In the case of the Gillard Government's media laws, those costs were borne by the Gillard Government, and one would not expect print media laws to be a major political issue in the absence of a further exogenous shock. In the case of section 18C the revealed dictatorship costs of legislation, which includes the words 'offend' and 'insult', suggest the section 18C controversy will endure.","PeriodicalId":41700,"journal":{"name":"Agenda-A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform","volume":"11 1","pages":"5-30"},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2016-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85698007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Optimal Size of Local Government, with Special Reference to New South Wales 地方政府最优规模——以新南威尔士州为例
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.02
P. Abelson
The paper discusses the major criteria for determining the optimal size of local government, and advances an evidence-based critique of the New South Wales Government's program to reduce the number of local councils.
本文讨论了确定地方政府最优规模的主要标准,并对新南威尔士州政府减少地方议会数量的计划提出了基于证据的批评。
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引用次数: 2
Reallocating Australia's Scarce Mental Health Resources 重新分配澳大利亚稀缺的精神卫生资源
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.03
Ruth F. Williams, D. Doessel
This paper applies some simple analytical tools from the economists' toolbox to shed some light on a sleeper issue in Australia's mental health sector. The problem is that there are large numbers of people with no diagnosed mental health condition who consume mental health services. Simultaneously, there are large numbers of people who have very serious mental health problems who receive no mental health services. This untreated group is often referred to as those with ?unmet need?, a much-heard term. We refer to the first group as people with 'met non-need', a term hardly ever heard. Although the solution to the unmet-need problem is the oft-heard call for increased government expenditure, no attention is directed to the wasted expenditure associated with the 'met non-need' group: the met non-need issue is 'the elephant in the room'. We point to an alternative policy response; that is, a reallocation of resources from the met non-need group to the unmet need group. To achieve this, we direct focus upon a structural reform in the processes of supplying mental health services.
本文运用经济学家工具箱中的一些简单的分析工具来阐明澳大利亚心理健康部门的睡眠问题。问题是,有大量没有被诊断出精神健康状况的人在接受心理健康服务。与此同时,大量有严重心理健康问题的人得不到心理健康服务。这种未经治疗的群体通常被称为“未满足需求”的群体。这是一个耳熟能详的术语。我们把第一类人称为“满足非需求”的人,这是一个几乎从未听说过的术语。虽然解决未满足需求问题的办法是经常听到的增加政府支出的呼吁,但没有人关注与“满足非需求”群体相关的浪费支出:满足非需求问题是“房间里的大象”。我们指出了另一种政策回应;也就是说,将资源从满足的非需求组重新分配到未满足的需求组。为实现这一目标,我们将重点放在提供精神卫生服务过程中的结构性改革上。
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引用次数: 0
China and the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement: Misfit or Missed Opportunity? 中国与《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》:错位还是错失良机?
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.22459/AG.23.01.2016.04
Bala Ramasamy, Matthew C. H. Yeung
If it eventuates the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement (TPP) will include major economic powerhouses like the US and Japan, but China - the elephant in the room - has been excluded. Our evaluation of how China might fare in the TPP finds that the agreement would be a poor fit at the current stage of China's economic development. Although China would gain both in terms of trade and a reform timetable, some features of this 21st-century agreement - the assistance given to state-owned enterprises, the standards for labour rights, protection of multinationals against the state and competition laws - would be stumbling blocks in the negotiation process. Thus, being left out of the TPP is no big loss for China.
如果最终达成,跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)将包括美国和日本等主要经济强国,但中国——房间里的大象——被排除在外。我们对中国在TPP中的表现的评估发现,该协议不适合中国目前的经济发展阶段。尽管中国在贸易和改革时间表方面都将获益,但这份21世纪协议的一些特征——对国有企业的援助、劳工权利标准、保护跨国公司免受国家和竞争法的侵害——将成为谈判进程中的绊脚石。因此,被排除在TPP之外对中国来说并不是什么大损失。
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引用次数: 0
Whither Business History?: Memory, Message and Meaning 商业历史何去何从?:记忆、信息和意义
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2015-12-07 DOI: 10.22459/AG.22.01.2015.04
D. Merrett
IntroductionI started my Bachelor of Economics at Monash University in 1963. My arrival intersected the publications of Noel Butlin's two seminal pioneering works, Australian Domestic Product (1962) and Investment in Australian Economic Development, 1861-1900 (1964). Of course, I had no idea at the time how Noel's work, and the discipline of Australian economic history he created almost single-handedly, would shape my professional life. I was one of the lucky ones who found gainful employment in the burgeoning departments of economic history that sprang up in so many universities. While I never worked at ANU, I met Noel on many occasions. All of us in the field were drawn to Canberra for conferences and seminars, and to use the wonderful collection of records at the Noel Butlin Archives Centre (NBAC).The question I want to explore is the future of archives, such as the NBAC and the one at my own university. My broad point is that the supply of business history and the demand for it by corporates have changed significantly in the past few decades. The most pessimistic interpretation is that the changing practice of business history within universities and the increasing reluctance of business to permit independent 'outsiders' access to their records bodes ill for specialist archives.Let me start with a paradox. More and more is being written about 'business', but the work of researchers, whom we might describe as business historians drawing on archival material, is situated on the margins of this avalanche. What scholars write tends, with some notable exceptions, to be read only by other business historians. Telling stories about business that reaches a mass audience is done by others, most notably by journalists and critics of various hues, and this information reaches its audience through a variety of media. Archives holding extensive records relating to individual firms will be less useful to those current and future scholars working in a shifting paradigm of 'business history'. A recent paper by de Jong, Higgins and van Driel in Business History showed that only around 20 per cent of the articles published in the leading business history journals from 1970 to 2012 were written about a firm! Moreover, I fear that in the current climate and foreseeable future it will be harder to persuade companies to donate their records to archives that mandate the independence of scholars using them.My argument progresses in a number of steps. First, I want to discuss the changes in what I call the 'practice' of business history that lessen the demand from academic practitioners for access to comprehensive archival material. Second, I want to suggest that firms today are less likely to make over their records for scholarly analysis than they were a generation or so ago. I will conclude by suggesting that the tide may yet turn back to the commissioning of full-blown histories.The practice of business historyThe practice of business history - the questions rais
1963年,我开始在莫纳什大学攻读经济学学士学位。我的到来与诺埃尔·布特林的两本开创性著作——《澳大利亚国内产品》(1962)和《澳大利亚经济发展中的投资,1861-1900》(1964)——的出版相交叉。当然,当时我并不知道诺埃尔的著作,以及他一手创立的澳大利亚经济史学科,会对我的职业生涯产生怎样的影响。我是那些幸运的人之一,在许多大学里涌现出来的新兴的经济史专业找到了一份有收入的工作。虽然我从未在澳大利亚国立大学工作过,但我在很多场合见过诺埃尔。我们所有在这个领域的人都被吸引到堪培拉参加会议和研讨会,并使用诺埃尔布特林档案中心(NBAC)的精彩记录。我想探讨的问题是档案的未来,比如NBAC和我所在大学的档案。我的主要观点是,在过去几十年里,企业对商业历史的供给和需求发生了重大变化。最悲观的解释是,大学内部不断变化的商业历史实践,以及企业越来越不愿意允许独立的“外部人士”访问它们的记录,预示着专业档案的不妙。让我从一个悖论开始。关于“商业”的文章越来越多,但研究人员的工作,我们可以称之为利用档案材料的商业历史学家,却处于这种雪崩的边缘。除了一些显著的例外,学者们写的东西往往只有其他商业历史学家才能读到。向大众讲述商业故事是由其他人完成的,最明显的是由各种色彩的记者和评论家完成的,这些信息通过各种媒体传递给受众。对于那些研究“商业史”范式转变的当前和未来学者来说,持有与单个公司有关的大量记录的档案将不那么有用。德容、希金斯和范德里尔最近在《商业史》(Business History)上发表的一篇论文显示,1970年至2012年期间,在主要商业史期刊上发表的文章中,只有大约20%是关于一家公司的!此外,我担心,在当前的环境和可预见的未来,说服企业将它们的记录捐赠给档案馆将更加困难,因为档案馆要求使用这些记录的学者保持独立性。我的论证分几个步骤展开。首先,我想讨论一下我所谓的商业史“实践”的变化,这种变化减少了学术从业者对全面档案材料的需求。其次,我想说的是,与上一代人相比,今天的公司不太可能为了学术分析而修改它们的记录。最后,我认为,编纂完整历史的潮流仍有可能逆转。商业史的实践商业史的实践——提出的问题、作者使用的方法和使用的记录类型——在几个重要的方面随着时间的推移发生了变化。这些变化对持有“整个公司”记录的专业档案的命运也有同样重要的影响。第一次戏剧性的转变可能发生在第二次世界大战后不久,剑桥大学耶稣学院的研究员查尔斯·威尔逊(Charles Wilson)出版了他的开创性著作《联合利华的历史:经济增长与社会变革研究》(1954年),这本书打破了上一代主要是业余作家、家庭成员和长期服务员工的解释,他相当轻蔑地将他们的作品描述为“英雄神话”。从某种意义上说,威尔逊是对的,因为这些作者缺乏专业历史学家的技术技能,而且很可能在叙述的构建中采用了大量的自我审查。我们对成功企业的了解,比那些失败企业的了解要多得多。…
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引用次数: 1
Wider Economic Impacts in Transport Infrastructure Cost-Benefit Analysis - A Bridge Too Far? 运输基础设施成本效益分析的更广泛经济影响-过桥?
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2015-12-07 DOI: 10.22459/AG.22.01.2015.05
L. Dobes, J. Leung
Proponents of transport infrastructure have in recent decades sought to augment the estimated benefit of major projects beyond conventional cost-benefit analysis. Improved transport links are claimed to increase Marshallian external economies of scale; to reduce transport costs experienced by imperfectly competitive industries, and so induce them to increase their output; and to increase supply of labour, in response to lower transport costs, and thereby increase GDP and tax receipts. Estimates of the value of these three additional effects have resulted in multipliers and 'uprate factors' that appear to be applied by some government agencies to transport sector benefits calculated using conventional CBA. However, empirical estimates of these effects are likely to be exaggerated.
近几十年来,交通基础设施的支持者一直在寻求扩大大型项目的估计效益,超越传统的成本效益分析。据称,改善交通联系可以增加马绍尔的外部规模经济;降低不完全竞争产业的运输成本,从而促使它们增加产量;并增加劳动力供应,以应对运输成本下降,从而增加GDP和税收收入。对这三种附加效应价值的估计产生了乘数和“升级因子”,一些政府机构似乎将其应用于使用传统CBA计算的运输部门效益。然而,对这些影响的经验估计可能被夸大了。
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引用次数: 10
The Australian public's preferences over foreign investment in agriculture 澳大利亚公众对外国农业投资的偏好
IF 0.1 Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.22459/AG.22.01.2015.03
J. Laurenceson, Paul F. Burke, Edward Wei
This paper estimates a model of how the Australian public's preferences over foreign investment in agriculture are determined. The results show that the attributes of foreign investment of greatest concern to the public are not the same as those used by the foreign investment approvals regime to flag proposals for scrutiny.
本文估计了澳大利亚公众对外国农业投资的偏好是如何确定的模型。结果显示,公众最关注的外国投资属性与外国投资审批制度用来标记审查提案的属性不同。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Agenda-A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform
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