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A Physics-informed Neural Network for Wind Turbine Main Bearing Fatigue 风力发电机主轴承疲劳的物理信息神经网络
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/IJPHM.2020.V11I1.2594
Yigit A. Yucesan, F. Viana
Unexpected main bearing failure on a wind turbine causes unwanted maintenance and increased operation costs (mainly due to crane, parts, labor, and production loss). Unfortunately, historical data indicates that failure can happen far earlier than the component design lives. Root cause analysis investigations have pointed to problems inherent from manufacturing as the major contributor, as well as issues related to event loads (e.g., startups, shutdowns, and emergency stops), extreme environmental conditions, and maintenance practices, among others. Altogether, the multiple failure modes and contributors make modeling the remaining useful life of main bearings a very daunting task. In this paper, we present a novel physics-informed neural network modeling approach for main bearing fatigue. The proposed approach is fully hybrid and designed to merge physics-informed and data-driven layers within deep neural networks. The result is a cumulative damage model where the physics-informed layers are used model the relatively well-understood physics (L10 fatigue life) and the data-driven layers account for the hard to model components (i.e., grease degradation).
风力涡轮机的主轴承意外故障导致不必要的维护和运行成本增加(主要是由于起重机,零件,劳动力和生产损失)。不幸的是,历史数据表明,故障可能在组件设计寿命之前就发生了。根本原因分析调查指出,主要原因是制造过程中固有的问题,以及与事件负载(例如,启动、关闭和紧急停止)、极端环境条件和维护实践等相关的问题。总之,多种失效模式和贡献者使主轴承的剩余使用寿命建模成为一项非常艰巨的任务。本文提出了一种新的基于物理信息的主轴承疲劳神经网络建模方法。所提出的方法是完全混合的,旨在将深度神经网络中的物理信息和数据驱动层合并在一起。结果是一个累积损伤模型,其中物理信息层用于模拟相对容易理解的物理(L10疲劳寿命),数据驱动层用于解释难以建模的部件(即油脂降解)。
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引用次数: 54
Transfer Active Learning Framework to Predict Thermal Comfort 转移主动学习框架预测热舒适
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2019.v10i3.2629
A. Natarajan, Emil Laftchiev
Personal thermal comfort is the feeling that individuals have about how hot, cold or comfortable they are. Studies have hown that thermal comfort is a key component of human performance in the work place and that personalized thermal comfort models can be learned from user labeled data that is collected from wearable devices and room sensors. These personalized thermal comfort models can then be used to optimize the thermal comfort of room occupants to maximize their performance. Unfortunately, personalized thermal comfort models can only be learned after extensive dataset collection and user labeling. This paper addresses this challenge by proposing a transfer active learning framework for thermal comfort prediction that reduces the burdensome task of collecting large labeled datasets for each new user. The framework leverages domain knowledge from prior users and an active learning strategy for new users that reduces the necessary size of the labeled dataset. When tested on a real dataset collected from five users, this framework achieves a 70% reduction in the required size of the labeled dataset as compared to the fully supervised learning  approach. Specifically, the framework achieves a mean error of 0.822±0.05, while the supervised learning approach achieves a mean error of 0.852±0.04.
个人热舒适是指个人对自己的热、冷或舒适程度的感觉。研究表明,热舒适性是人类在工作场所表现的关键组成部分,个性化的热舒适模型可以从可穿戴设备和房间传感器收集的用户标记数据中学习。然后,这些个性化的热舒适模型可以用于优化房间居住者的热舒适性,以最大限度地提高他们的性能。不幸的是,个性化的热舒适模型只有在广泛的数据集收集和用户标签之后才能学习。本文通过提出一种用于热舒适性预测的迁移主动学习框架来解决这一挑战,该框架减少了为每个新用户收集大型标记数据集的繁重任务。该框架利用了来自先前用户的领域知识和新用户的主动学习策略,从而减少了标记数据集的必要大小。当在从五个用户收集的真实数据集上进行测试时,与完全监督的学习方法相比,该框架实现了标记数据集所需大小减少70%。具体而言,该框架实现了0.822±0.05的平均误差,而监督学习方法实现了0.852±0.04的平均误差。
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引用次数: 11
Special Issue on PHM for Human Health & Performance 人类健康与绩效PHM特刊
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2019.v10i3.2624
W. Fink
Predictive Health Management (PHM), originally applied in the Aerospace Industry, tries to predict when what part would fail for what reason(s) in order to make preventive maintenance more efficient and cost-effective. Over the past several years, PHM has been infused increasingly into the human healthcare, precision medicine, and human performance sectors. As such, a diverse and trans-disciplinary group of expert authors presents in this Special Issue on PHM for Human Health & Performance its perspectives on PHM in the context of prognostics and health management for human health and performance, both on Earth and in space, in nine excellent contributions that cover a wide range of current research and application topics related to this emerging field. In particular, these contributions highlight various technological and analytical aspects that in combination contribute and make a reality an autonomous healthcare paradigm. These aspects include, but are not limited to: wearable smart sensors, rehabilitation devices and robotics, image classification, signal processing, data mining, data understanding, machine learning, prediction and diagnosis, electronic health records and databases, and overarching PHM-based healthcare frameworks, etc.
预测健康管理(PHM)最初应用于航空航天行业,它试图预测什么部件何时会因什么原因发生故障,以提高预防性维护的效率和成本效益。在过去的几年里,PHM越来越多地被纳入人类医疗保健、精准医学和人类绩效领域。因此,一个多元化和跨学科的专家作者小组在本期人类健康与绩效PHM特刊中介绍了其在地球和太空人类健康和绩效预测和健康管理背景下对PHM的看法,在九篇优秀的文章中,涵盖了与这一新兴领域相关的广泛的当前研究和应用主题。特别是,这些贡献突出了各种技术和分析方面,这些方面共同促进并实现了自主医疗模式。这些方面包括但不限于:可穿戴智能传感器、康复设备和机器人、图像分类、信号处理、数据挖掘、数据理解、机器学习、预测和诊断、电子健康记录和数据库,以及基于PHM的总体医疗框架等。
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引用次数: 1
Anomaly Detection on Time Series with Wasserstein GAN applied to PHM Wasserstein GAN在PHM中的时间序列异常检测
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2019.v10i4.2610
Mélanie Ducoffe, I. Haloui, J. Gupta
Modern vehicles are more and more connected. For instance, in the aerospace industry, newer aircraft are already equipped with data concentrators and enough wireless connectivity to transmit sensor data collected during the whole flight to the ground, usually when the airplane is at the gate. Moreover, platforms that were not designed with such capability can be retrofitted to install devices that enable wireless data collection,as is done on Airbus A320 family. For military and heavy helicopters, HUMS (Health and Usage Monitoring System) also allows the collection of sensor data. Finally, satellites send continuously to the ground sensor data, called telemetries. Most of the time, fortunately, the platforms behave normally, faults and failures are thus rare. In order to go beyond corrective or preventive maintenance, and anticipate future faults and failures, we have to look for any drift, any change, in systems’ behavior, in data that is normal almost all the time. Moreover, collected sensor data is time series data. The problem is then anomaly detection or novelty detection in time series data. Among machine learning techniques that can be used to analyze data, Deep Learning, especially Convolutional Neural Networks, is very popular since it has surpassed human capacities for image classification and object detection. In this field, Generative Adversarial Networks are a technique to generate data similar to a potentially high dimension original dataset. In our case, generate new data could be useful to enrich the learning dataset with generated abnormal data to make it less unbalanced. Yet we are more interested in the potential of such techniques to perform anomaly detection for high dimensional data, comparing newly observed data with data that could have been generated from a distribution built from normal examples.
现代汽车的互联程度越来越高。例如,在航空航天工业中,较新的飞机已经配备了数据集中器和足够的无线连接,可以将整个飞行过程中收集的传感器数据传输到地面,通常是在飞机到达登机口时。此外,在设计上没有这种功能的平台可以进行改装,安装无线数据收集设备,就像在空客A320系列上所做的那样。对于军用和重型直升机,HUMS(健康和使用监测系统)也允许收集传感器数据。最后,卫星不断向地面发送传感器数据,称为遥测。幸运的是,大多数时候,平台运行正常,因此很少出现故障和失败。为了超越纠正性或预防性维护,并预测未来的故障和失败,我们必须在系统行为中,在几乎所有时间都正常的数据中寻找任何漂移,任何变化。此外,采集到的传感器数据为时间序列数据。接下来的问题是时间序列数据的异常检测或新颖性检测。在可用于分析数据的机器学习技术中,深度学习,特别是卷积神经网络,非常受欢迎,因为它已经超越了人类在图像分类和目标检测方面的能力。在这个领域,生成对抗网络是一种生成类似于潜在高维原始数据集的数据的技术。在我们的例子中,生成新的数据可以用生成的异常数据来丰富学习数据集,使其减少不平衡。然而,我们更感兴趣的是这些技术对高维数据执行异常检测的潜力,将新观察到的数据与可能从正常示例构建的分布中生成的数据进行比较。
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引用次数: 9
Remaining Useful Life Estimation Based on Detection of Explosive Changes: Analysis of Bearing Vibration 基于爆炸变化检测的剩余使用寿命估算——轴承振动分析
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/IJPHM.2020.V11I1.2609
Diana Barraza, V´ıctor G. Tercero-G´omez, A. Cordero-Franco, M. Beruvides
The monitoring of condition variables for maintenance purposes is a growing trend amongst researchers and practitioners where decisions are based on degradation levels. The two approaches in Condition-Based Maintenance (CBM) are diagnosing the level of degradation (diagnostics) or predicting when a certain level of degradation will be reached (prognostics). Using diagnostics determines when it is necessary to perform maintenance, but it rarely allows for estimation of future degradation. In the second case, prognostics does allow for degradation and failure prediction, however, its major drawback lies in when to perform the analysis, and exactly what information should be used for predictions. This encumbrance is due to previous studies that have shown that degradation variable could undergo a change that misleads these calculations. This paper addresses the issue of identifying explosive changes in condition variables, using Control Charts, to determine when to perform a new model fitting in order to obtain more accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations. The diagnostic-prognostic methodology allows for discarding pre-change observations to avoid contamination in condition prediction. In addition the performance of the integration methodology is compared against adaptive autoregressive (AR) models. Results show that using only the observations acquired after the out-of-control signal produces more accurate RUL estimations.
监测状态变量的维护目的是一个日益增长的趋势,在研究人员和从业人员的决策是基于退化水平。基于状态的维护(CBM)中的两种方法是诊断退化水平(诊断)或预测何时达到一定程度的退化(预后)。使用诊断可以确定何时需要执行维护,但很少允许估计未来的降级。在第二种情况下,预测确实允许降级和故障预测,然而,它的主要缺点在于何时执行分析,以及应该使用哪些信息进行预测。这种阻碍是由于以前的研究表明,退化变量可能会发生变化,从而误导了这些计算。本文解决了识别条件变量的爆炸性变化的问题,使用控制图来确定何时执行新的模型拟合,以获得更准确的剩余使用寿命(RUL)估计。诊断-预后方法允许丢弃变化前的观察,以避免在状态预测中受到污染。此外,还将集成方法的性能与自适应自回归(AR)模型进行了比较。结果表明,仅使用失控信号后的观测值可以获得更准确的RUL估计。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Maintenance of Lead-Acid Batteries with Sparse Vehicle Operational Data 基于稀疏车辆运行数据的铅酸蓄电池预测性维护
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/IJPHM.2020.V11I1.2608
S. Voronov, Mattias Krysander, E. Frisk
Predictive maintenance aims to predict failures in components of a system, a heavy-duty vehicle in this work, and do maintenance before any actual fault occurs. Predictive maintenance is increasingly important in the automotive industry due to the development of new services and autonomous vehicles with no driver who can notice first signs of a component problem. The lead-acid battery in a heavy vehicle is mostly used during engine starts, but also for heating and cooling the cockpit, and is an important part of the electrical system that is essential for reliable operation. This paper develops and evaluates two machine-learning based methods for battery prognostics, one based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks and one on Random Survival Forest (RSF). The objective is to estimate time of battery failure based on sparse and non-equidistant vehicle operational data, obtained from workshop visits or over-the-air readouts. The dataset has three characteristics: 1) no sensor measurements are directly related to battery health, 2) the number of data readouts vary from one vehicle to another, and 3) readouts are collected at different time periods. Missing data is common and is addressed by comparing different imputation techniques. RSF- and LSTM-based models are proposed and evaluated for the case of sparse multiple-readouts. How to measure model performance is discussed and how the amount of vehicle information influences performance.
预测性维护的目的是预测系统(重型车辆)部件的故障,并在实际故障发生之前进行维护。由于新服务和自动驾驶汽车的发展,预测性维护在汽车行业变得越来越重要,因为驾驶员无法注意到部件问题的最初迹象。重型车辆中的铅酸电池主要用于发动机启动,但也用于驾驶舱的加热和冷却,是电气系统的重要组成部分,对可靠运行至关重要。本文开发并评估了两种基于机器学习的电池预测方法,一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络,另一种基于随机生存森林(RSF)。目标是基于从车间访问或无线读数获得的稀疏和非等距车辆操作数据来估计电池故障时间。该数据集具有三个特征:1)传感器测量值与电池健康状况没有直接关系;2)每辆车的数据读数数量各不相同;3)在不同时间段收集读数。缺失数据是常见的,并通过比较不同的插入技术来解决。提出了基于RSF和lstm的稀疏多读模型,并对其进行了评估。讨论了如何度量模型性能,以及车辆信息量如何影响模型性能。
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引用次数: 6
Fatigue Crack Length Estimation and Prediction using Trans-fitting with Support Vector Regression 基于支持向量回归变换拟合的疲劳裂纹长度估计与预测
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2020.v11i1.2606
Myeongbaek Youn, Yunhan Kim, Dongki Lee, Minki Cho, Byeng D. Youn
A method is described in this paper for crack propagation prediction using only the initial crack length of the target specimen. The proposed method consists of two parts, (1) crack length estimation using support vector regression (SVR) and (2) crack length prediction using a new trans-fitting method. Features based on the filtered wave signals were defined and a model was constructed using the SVR method to estimate the crack length. The hyper-parameters of the SVR model were selected based on a grid search algorithm. Prediction of the crack length was based on the previous crack length, which was estimated based on the wave signals. In this step, a newly proposed trans-fitting method was applied. The proposed trans-fitting method updated the selected candidate function to translocate the trend of crack propagation based on the training dataset. By translocating the trends to the estimated crack length of the target specimen, the crack propagation could be predicted. The proposed method was validated by comparison with given specimens. The results show that the proposed method can estimate and predict the crack length accurately.
本文描述了一种仅利用目标试样的初始裂纹长度来预测裂纹扩展的方法。该方法由两部分组成,(1)基于支持向量回归(SVR)的裂缝长度估计和(2)基于变换拟合的裂缝长度预测。在滤波后的波信号基础上定义特征,利用支持向量回归方法构造模型估计裂缝长度。基于网格搜索算法选择支持向量回归模型的超参数。裂缝长度的预测是基于先前的裂缝长度,而先前的裂缝长度是基于波浪信号估计的。在这一步中,采用了一种新提出的变换拟合方法。本文提出的变换拟合方法对所选候选函数进行更新,以迁移基于训练数据集的裂纹扩展趋势。通过将趋势转移到目标试样的估计裂纹长度,可以预测裂纹的扩展。通过与给定试样的对比,验证了该方法的有效性。结果表明,该方法能较准确地估计和预测裂纹长度。
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引用次数: 0
Attention and Long Short-Term Memory Network for Remaining Useful Lifetime Predictions of Turbofan Engine Degradation 涡扇发动机剩余使用寿命预测的注意力和长短期记忆网络
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2019.v10i4.2623
P. Costa, A. Akçay, Yingqian Zhang, U. Kaymak
Machine Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) is often concerned with the prediction of the Remaining Useful Lifetime (RUL) of assets. Accurate real-time RUL predictions enable equipment health assessment and maintenance planning. In this work, we propose a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network combined with global Attention mechanisms to learn RUL relationships directly from time-series sensor data. We use the NASA Commercial Modular Aero- Propulsion System Simulation (C-MAPPS) datasets to assess the performance of our proposed method. We compare our approach with current state-of-the-art methods on the same datasets and show that our results yield competitive results. Moreover, our method does not require previous degradation knowledge, and attention weights can be used to visualise temporal relationships between inputs and predicted outputs.
机器预测与健康管理(PHM)通常与资产的剩余使用寿命(RUL)的预测有关。准确的实时RUL预测使设备健康评估和维护规划成为可能。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种结合全局注意力机制的长短期记忆(LSTM)网络,以直接从时间序列传感器数据中学习RUL关系。我们使用美国国家航空航天局商业模块化航空推进系统仿真(C-MAPPS)数据集来评估我们提出的方法的性能。我们在相同的数据集上将我们的方法与当前最先进的方法进行了比较,并表明我们的结果产生了有竞争力的结果。此外,我们的方法不需要先前的退化知识,并且注意力权重可以用于可视化输入和预测输出之间的时间关系。
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引用次数: 30
Design of an Affordable Socially Assistive Robot for Remote Health and Function Monitoring and Prognostication 一种可负担得起的用于远程健康和功能监测和预测的社会辅助机器人的设计
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2019.v10i3.2706
M. Johnson, M. J. Sobrepera, E. Kina, Rochelle J. Mendonca
To address shortages in rehabilitation clinicians and provide for the growing numbers of elder and disabled patients needing rehabilitation, we have been working towards developing an affordable socially assistive robot for remote therapy and health monitoring. Our system is being designed to initially work via remote control, while addressing some of the challenges of traditional telepresence. To understand how to design a system to meet the needs of elders, we created a mobile therapy robot prototype from two commercial robots and demonstrated this system to clinicians in two types of rehabilitation care settings, a daycare setting and a inpatient rehabilitation setting. We propose to introduce the prototype as a social and therapy agent into clinician-patient interactions with the aim of improving the quality of information transfer between the clinician and the patient. This paper describes an investigative effort to understand how clinicians who work with elders accept this prototype. Clinicians from each setting differed in their needs for the robot. Those in daycare settings preferred a more social robot to encourage and motivate elders to exercise as well as monitor their health. Clinicians in the inpatient rehabilitation setting desired a robot with more therapeutic and treatment capabilities. Both groups wanted a robot with some autonomy that was portable, maintainable, affordable, and durable. We discuss these results in detail along with the ethical implications of increasing the robots autonomy and suggest additional requirements for achieving a smarter robot that can meet the clinicians social, health monitoring and prognostication desires.
为了解决康复临床医生的短缺问题,并为越来越多需要康复的老年人和残疾人提供服务,我们一直在努力开发一种价格合理的社交辅助机器人,用于远程治疗和健康监测。我们的系统最初设计为通过远程控制工作,同时解决了传统远程呈现的一些挑战。为了了解如何设计一个系统来满足老年人的需求,我们用两个商业机器人创建了一个移动治疗机器人原型,并在两种类型的康复护理环境中向临床医生演示了该系统,一种是日托环境,另一种是住院康复环境。我们建议将原型作为社会和治疗代理引入临床医生和患者的互动中,目的是提高临床医生和患者之间的信息传递质量。本文描述了一项调查工作,以了解与老年人合作的临床医生是如何接受这一原型的。不同环境的临床医生对机器人的需求不同。那些在日托环境中的人更喜欢一个更具社交性的机器人来鼓励和激励老年人锻炼,并监测他们的健康状况。住院康复环境中的临床医生希望有一个具有更多治疗和治疗能力的机器人。这两个小组都想要一个具有一定自主性的机器人,它是便携式的、可维护的、价格合理的和耐用的。我们详细讨论了这些结果以及提高机器人自主性的伦理意义,并提出了实现更智能机器人的额外要求,以满足临床医生的社会、健康监测和预测愿望。
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引用次数: 5
Development of data-driven PHM solutions for robot hemming in automotive production lines 汽车生产线机器人卷边数据驱动PHM解决方案的开发
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-06-04 DOI: 10.36001/IJPHM.2020.V11I1.2591
Luca Grosso, Andrea De Martin, G. Jacazio, M. Sorli
Robotic roller hemming is currently one of the most used solution for joining metal sheets in automotive industry, especially for those production lines which need to favor flexibility with respect to raw productivity and is mostly employed to assemble car doors. Hemming is a fairly delicate process since it does not only suffice a technical requirement – to join two panels together – but also an aesthetical one, since the joint panels are an integral part of the vehicle design and as such an important selling point. An unpredicted rupture or an advanced degradation condition of the system would lead to a significant loss in the quality of the final product or to a sudden stoppage of the production line. The development of a PHM system for hemming devices would hence provide a significant advantage, especially if designed to work for both new and legacy equipment. In this paper, we provide the results of a preliminary analysis of a new PHM framework for robotic roller hemming studied to work without having access to PLC data, the employed data-driven methodology is detailed and applied to the case of increasing wear in the head finger roll. Results from different prognostics routines are hence presented and compared.
机器人卷边是目前汽车工业中连接金属板最常用的解决方案之一,尤其是对于那些需要在原始生产力方面具有灵活性的生产线,这些生产线主要用于组装车门。卷边是一个相当精细的过程,因为它不仅满足了将两块面板连接在一起的技术要求,而且还满足了美学要求,因为连接面板是车辆设计的一个组成部分,也是一个重要的卖点。系统的意外破裂或严重退化将导致最终产品质量的重大损失或生产线的突然停止。因此,用于卷边设备的PHM系统的开发将提供显著的优势,特别是如果设计用于新设备和遗留设备的话。在本文中,我们提供了一种用于机器人卷边的新PHM框架的初步分析结果,该框架被研究为在不访问PLC数据的情况下工作,所采用的数据驱动方法被详细介绍并应用于头指辊磨损增加的情况。因此,给出并比较了不同预测程序的结果。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management
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