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Data-driven approach for labelling process plant event data 数据驱动的方法标记过程工厂事件数据
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-24 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2022.v13i1.3045
Débora C. Corrêa, A. Polpo, Michael Small, Shreyas Srikanth, Kylie Hollins, M. Hodkiewicz
An essential requirement in any data analysis is to have a response variable representing the aim of the analysis. Much academic work is based on laboratory or simulated data, where the experiment is controlled, and the ground truth clearly defined. This is seldom the reality for equipment performance in an industrial environment and it is common to find issues with the response variable in industry situations. We discuss this matter using a case study where the problem is to detect an asset event (failure) using data available but for which no ground truth is available from historical records. Our data frame contains measurements of 14 sensors recorded every minute from a process control system and 4 current motors on the asset of interest over a three year period. In this situation the ``how to'' label the event of interest is of fundamental importance. Different labelling strategies will generate different models with direct impact on the in-service fault detection efficacy of the resulting model. We discuss a data-driven approach to label a binary response variable (fault/anomaly detection) and compare it to a rule-based approach. Labelling of the time series was performed using dynamic time warping followed by agglomerative hierarchical clustering to group events with similar event dynamics. Both data sets have significant imbalance with 1,200,000 non-event data but only 150 events in the rule-based data set and 64 events in the data-driven data set. We study the performance of the models based on these two different labelling strategies, treating each data set independently. We describe decisions made in window-size selection, managing imbalance, hyper-parameter tuning, training and test selection, and use two models, logistic regression and random forest for event detection. We estimate useful models for both data sets. By useful, we understand that we could detect events for the first four months in the test set. However as the months progressed the performance of both models deteriorated, with an increasing number of false positives, reflecting possible changes in dynamics of the system. This work raises questions such as ``what are we detecting?'' and ``is there a right way to label?'' and presents a data driven approach to support labelling of historical events in process plant data for event detection in the absence of ground truth data.
任何数据分析的一个基本要求是有一个代表分析目的的响应变量。许多学术工作都是基于实验室或模拟数据,对实验进行控制,并明确定义了基本事实。对于工业环境中的设备性能来说,这很少是现实,而且在工业环境中,经常会发现响应变量的问题。我们通过案例研究讨论了这一问题,其中问题是使用可用数据检测资产事件(故障),但历史记录中没有可用的基本事实。我们的数据框架包含过程控制系统每分钟记录的14个传感器的测量值,以及三年内感兴趣资产上的4个电流电机。在这种情况下,“如何”给感兴趣的事件贴上标签至关重要。不同的标记策略将生成不同的模型,直接影响所生成模型的在役故障检测效果。我们讨论了一种数据驱动的方法来标记二进制响应变量(故障/异常检测),并将其与基于规则的方法进行比较。时间序列的标记是使用动态时间扭曲进行的,然后是聚集层次聚类,以将具有类似事件动态的事件分组。两个数据集都存在显著的不平衡,有1200000个非事件数据,但在基于规则的数据集中只有150个事件,在数据驱动的数据集中有64个事件。我们研究了基于这两种不同标记策略的模型的性能,分别处理每个数据集。我们描述了在窗口大小选择、管理不平衡、超参数调整、训练和测试选择方面做出的决策,并使用逻辑回归和随机森林两个模型进行事件检测。我们估计了这两个数据集的有用模型。通过有用,我们了解到我们可以在测试集中检测前四个月的事件。然而,随着时间的推移,两个模型的性能都有所恶化,误报数量不断增加,反映出系统动力学可能发生变化。这项工作提出了诸如“我们检测到了什么?”以及“有正确的标签方式吗?”并提出了一种数据驱动的方法,以支持在缺乏地面实况数据的情况下对过程工厂数据中的历史事件进行标记,用于事件检测。
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引用次数: 5
Multilayer Architecture for Fault Diagnosis of Embedded Systems 嵌入式系统故障诊断的多层体系结构
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-16 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.3067
Daniel Maas, Renan Sebem, André Bittencourt Leal
This work presents a multilayer architecture for fault diagnosis in embedded systems based on formal modeling of Discrete Event Systems (DES). Most works on diagnosis of DES focus in faults of actuators, which are the devices subject to intensive wear in industry. However, embedded systems are commonly subject to cost reduction, which may increase the probability of faults in the electronic hardware. Further, software faults are hard to track and fix, and the common solution is to replace the whole electronic board. We propose a modeling approach which includes the isolation of the source of the fault in the model, regarding three layers of embedded systems: software, hardware, and sensors & actuators. The proposed method is applied to a home appliance refrigerator and after exhaustive practical tests with forced fault occurrences, all faults were diagnosed, precisely identifying the layer and the faulty component. The solution was then incorporated into the product manufactured in industrial scale.
本文提出了一种基于离散事件系统(DES)形式化建模的嵌入式系统故障诊断多层体系结构。在工业生产中,执行器是磨损较大的设备,目前对其诊断的研究大多集中在执行器故障上。然而,嵌入式系统普遍受到成本降低的影响,这可能会增加电子硬件故障的概率。此外,软件故障难以跟踪和修复,常见的解决方案是更换整个电路板。我们提出了一种建模方法,其中包括模型中故障源的隔离,涉及嵌入式系统的三层:软件,硬件,传感器和执行器。将该方法应用于某家电冰箱,经过强制故障的详尽实际测试,对所有故障进行了诊断,准确地识别出了故障层和故障部件。然后将该解决方案纳入工业规模生产的产品中。
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引用次数: 0
Domain Adaptation for Structural Fault Detection under Model Uncertainty 模型不确定性下结构故障检测的域自适应
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-11-26 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.2948
A. Ozdagli, X. Koutsoukos
In the last decade, the interest in machine learning (ML) has grown significantly within the structural health monitoring (SHM) community. Traditional supervised ML approaches for detecting faults assume that the training and test data come from similar distributions. However, real-world applications, where an ML model is trained, for example, on numerical simulation data and tested on experimental data, are deemed to fail in detecting the damage. The deterioration in the prediction performance is mainly related to the fact that the numerical and experimental data are collected under different conditions and they do not share the same underlying features. This paper proposes a domain adaptation approach for ML-based damage detection and localization problems where the classifier has access to the labeled training (source) and unlabeled test (target) data, but the source and target domains are statistically different. The proposed domain adaptation method seeks to form a feature space that is capable of representing both source and target domains by implementing a domain-adversarial neural network. This neural network uses H-divergence criteria to minimize the discrepancy between the source and target domain in a latent feature space. To evaluate the performance, we present two case studies where we design a neural network model for classifying the health condition of a variety of systems. The effectiveness of the domain adaptation is shown by computing the classification accuracy of the unlabeled target data with and without domain adaptation. Furthermore, the performance gain of the domain adaptation over a well-known transfer knowledge approach called Transfer Component Analysis is also demonstrated. Overall, the results demonstrate that the domain adaption is a valid approach for damage detection applications where access to labeled experimental data is limited.
在过去的十年里,结构健康监测(SHM)社区对机器学习(ML)的兴趣显著增长。用于检测故障的传统监督ML方法假设训练和测试数据来自相似的分布。然而,在真实世界的应用中,例如,在数值模拟数据上训练ML模型并在实验数据上测试ML模型,被认为无法检测到损伤。预测性能的恶化主要与数值和实验数据是在不同条件下收集的,并且它们不具有相同的基本特征有关。本文针对基于ML的损伤检测和定位问题提出了一种域自适应方法,其中分类器可以访问标记的训练(源)和未标记的测试(目标)数据,但源域和目标域在统计上不同。所提出的域自适应方法试图通过实现域对抗性神经网络来形成能够表示源域和目标域的特征空间。该神经网络使用H-散度准则来最小化潜在特征空间中源域和目标域之间的差异。为了评估性能,我们提出了两个案例研究,其中我们设计了一个神经网络模型,用于对各种系统的健康状况进行分类。通过计算有域自适应和无域自适应的未标记目标数据的分类精度,表明了域自适应的有效性。此外,还证明了领域自适应相对于称为转移成分分析的众所周知的转移知识方法的性能增益。总体而言,结果表明,在对标记实验数据的访问受限的情况下,域自适应是损伤检测应用的有效方法。
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引用次数: 2
Diagnostics of actuation system by Hadamard product of integrated motor current residuals applied to electro-mechanical actuators 应用于机电致动器的电机综合电流残差Hadamard积诊断致动系统
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2019.v10i1.2754
Sreedhar Babu G, Sekhar A.S., Lingamurthy. A
The paper presents diagnostics methodology that can identify the event of occurrence of fault in the actuator or the linkage system of the flight control actuation system driven by Linear Electromechanical Actuators (LEMA). The standard data analysis like motor current signature analysis (MCSA) is good at identifying the incipient faults within the elements of the actuators in situations where-in the actuators are driving control surfaces. But in back driven cases, where-in LEMA is driven back by control surfaces, the faults outside the LEMAs are difficult to be detected due to higher mechanical advantages of transmission elements like roller screws, gear train and linkage arms scaling down their effects before reaching the motor. One such event occurred in a ground test, wherein the jet vanes were sheared when back driven by excessive gas dynamic forces. Neither the motor current nor the LEMA position feedback data has any clue of the instance of occurrence of such shearing. The case study is discussed in detail and diagnostics solution for such failures is proposed. A new methodology to pin point the event of occurrence is arrived at based on ground static test data of four independent channels. The same is reassured for its applicability using lab experiments on three samples mimicking the failure. The method's applicability is also extended for extracting events in actual flight, by comparing the flight telemetry data with the mimicked lab level (dry runs) data. The methodology uses the analysis of LEMA motor current data to arrive at the vital diagnostic information. The current data of LEMA directly cannot be interpreted due to non-stationary nature arising from variable speed and its pulsating form because of the pulse width modulation (PWM) switching, threshold voltages and closed loop dynamics of the servo. Hence the motor current is integrated using cumulative trapezoidal method. This integrated data is spline curve fitted to arrive at residuals vector. The Hadamard product is used on the residuals vector to amplify the information and suppress the noise. Further, normalizing is done to compare data across tests and samples. With this, necessary diagnostic information was extracted from static test data. The method is extended for extracting diagnostics information from actual flight using comparison analysis of, the test data in actual environment with mimicked lab level dry runs. It is also verified for applicability in faults directly driven by actuators in lab level experiments on three samples.
本文提出了一种诊断方法,该方法可以识别由线性机电执行器(LEMA)驱动的飞行控制执行系统的执行器或连杆系统发生故障的事件。标准数据分析,如电机电流特征分析(MCSA),在致动器是驱动控制表面的情况下,能够很好地识别致动器元件内的初始故障。但在反向驱动的情况下,其中LEMA由控制表面反向驱动,由于传动元件(如滚柱螺钉、齿轮系和连杆)具有更高的机械优势,在到达电机之前缩小其影响,因此很难检测到LEMA外部的故障。一个这样的事件发生在地面试验中,其中,当过度的气体动力反向驱动时,射流叶片被剪切。电机电流和LEMA位置反馈数据都不具有发生这种剪切的情况的任何线索。详细讨论了案例研究,并提出了此类故障的诊断解决方案。基于四个独立通道的地面静态测试数据,提出了一种确定事件发生点的新方法。通过对三个模拟故障的样本进行实验室实验,同样的适用性得到了保证。通过将飞行遥测数据与模拟的实验室级(试运行)数据进行比较,该方法的适用性也扩展到提取实际飞行中的事件。该方法使用LEMA电机电流数据的分析来获得重要的诊断信息。由于脉宽调制(PWM)开关、阈值电压和伺服的闭环动力学,变速及其脉动形式产生的非平稳性,LEMA的电流数据无法直接解释。因此,使用累积梯形法对电机电流进行积分。将该积分数据进行样条曲线拟合,得到残差向量。在残差向量上使用Hadamard乘积来放大信息并抑制噪声。此外,还进行了归一化,以比较测试和样本之间的数据。由此,从静态测试数据中提取了必要的诊断信息。该方法被扩展为通过对实际环境中的测试数据与模拟的实验室级试运行进行比较分析,从实际飞行中提取诊断信息。在三个样品的实验室级实验中,还验证了它在由致动器直接驱动的故障中的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Unscented Kalman Filtering for Prognostics Under Varying Operational and Environmental Conditions 无气味卡尔曼滤波在不同的操作和环境条件下的预测
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.2943
Luc Keizers, R. Loendersloot, T. Tinga
Prognostics gained a lot of research attention over the last decade, not the least due to the rise of data-driven prediction models. Also hybrid approaches are being developed that combine physics-based and data-driven models for better performance. However, limited attention is given to prognostics for varying operational and environmental conditions. In fact, varying operational and environmental conditions can significantly influence the remaining useful life of assets. A powerful hybrid tool for prognostics is Bayesian filtering, where a physical degradation model is updated based on realtime data. Although these types of filters are widely studied for prognostics, application for assets in varying conditions is rarely considered in literature. In this paper, it is proposed to apply an unscented Kalman filter for prognostics under varying operational conditions. Four scenarios are described in which a distinction is made between the level in which real-time and future loads are known and between short-term and long-term prognostics. The method is demonstrated on an artificial crack growth case study with frequently changing stress ranges in two different stress profiles. After this specific case, the generic application of the method is discussed. A positioning diagram is presented, indicating in which situations the proposed filter is useful and feasible. It is demonstrated that incorporation of physical knowledge can lead to highly accurate prognostics due to a degradation model in which uncertainty in model parameters is reduced. It is also demonstrated that in case of limited physical knowledge, data can compensate for missing physics to yield reasonable predictions.
在过去十年中,预测获得了很多研究关注,尤其是由于数据驱动预测模型的兴起。此外,正在开发混合方法,将基于物理的模型和数据驱动的模型结合起来,以获得更好的性能。然而,对变化的操作和环境条件的预测给予的关注有限。事实上,不同的操作和环境条件会显著影响资产的剩余使用寿命。一个强大的预测混合工具是贝叶斯过滤,其中物理退化模型是根据实时数据更新的。尽管这些类型的过滤器被广泛研究用于预测,但在文献中很少考虑在不同条件下资产的应用。本文提出了一种无气味卡尔曼滤波器用于不同操作条件下的预测。本文描述了四种情景,在这些情景中,对实时负荷和未来负荷的已知水平以及短期负荷和长期负荷的预测进行了区分。该方法在两种不同应力剖面中具有频繁变化应力范围的人工裂纹扩展实例中得到了验证。在此具体案例之后,讨论了该方法的一般应用。给出了定位图,说明了所提出的滤波器在哪些情况下是有用和可行的。研究表明,由于模型参数的不确定性降低,物理知识的结合可以导致高度准确的预测。在物理知识有限的情况下,数据可以弥补物理知识的缺失,从而产生合理的预测。
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引用次数: 5
Creation of Publicly Available Data Sets for Prognostics and Diagnostics Addressing Data Scenarios Relevant to Industrial Applications 创建用于预测和诊断的公开可用数据集,解决与工业应用相关的数据场景
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.3087
Fabian Mauthe, Simone Hagmeyer, P. Zeiler
For a successful realization of prognostics and health management (PHM), the availability of sufficient run-to-failure data sets is a crucial factor. The sheer number of given data points holds less importance than the full coverage of the potential state space. However, full coverage is a major challenge in most industrial applications. Among other things, high investment and operating costs as well as the long service life of many technical systems make it difficult to acquire complete run-to-failure data sets. Consequently, in industrial applications data sets with specific deficiencies are frequently encountered. The development of appropriate methods to address such data scenarios is a fundamental research issue. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to provide facilitation for this research. Accordingly, the paper starts by specifying the value and availability of data in PHM. Subsequently, criteria for characterizing data sets are defined independent of the actual PHM application. The criteria are used to identify typical data scenarios with specific deficiencies that possess significant relevance for industrial applications. Thereafter, the most comprehensive overview of data sets suitable for PHM and currently publicly accessible is provided. Thereby, not all previously identified data scenarios with their specific deficiencies are addressed by at least one data set. A program is established for the aforementioned facilitation of further research. One objective of the program is to create data sets reflecting these data scenarios using a test bench. First, possible applications and their degradation processes to be studied on the test bench are briefly characterized. Thereby, the final decision to select filtration as a test bench application is argued. Subsequently, the test bench created is introduced, including a description of the functional concept, pneumatic layout and components involved, as well as the filter media and test dusts employed. Typical run-to-failure trajectories are illustrated. Thereafter, the data set published under the name Preventive to Predictive Maintenance is presented. Additionally, a schedule for future releases of data sets on further industry-relevant data scenarios is sketched.
对于成功实现预后和健康管理(PHM),足够的运行到故障数据集的可用性是一个关键因素。给定数据点的绝对数量不如潜在状态空间的全部覆盖重要。然而,在大多数工业应用中,完全覆盖是一个主要挑战。除此之外,许多技术系统的高投资和运营成本以及较长的使用寿命使得很难获得完整的运行到故障数据集。因此,在工业应用中,经常遇到具有特定缺陷的数据集。开发适当的方法来处理这些数据情景是一个基本的研究问题。因此,本文的目的是为本研究提供便利。因此,本文首先阐述了PHM中数据的价值和可用性。随后,定义了独立于实际PHM应用程序的数据集特征标准。这些标准用于识别具有特定缺陷的典型数据场景,这些缺陷与工业应用具有重大相关性。此后,提供了适合PHM且目前可公开访问的数据集的最全面概述。因此,并非所有先前确定的具有特定缺陷的数据场景都由至少一个数据集解决。为促进上述进一步研究,制定了一个方案。该程序的一个目标是使用测试台创建反映这些数据场景的数据集。首先,简要介绍了在试验台上研究的可能应用及其降解过程。因此,最终决定选择过滤作为试验台的应用是有争议的。随后,介绍了创建的试验台,包括功能概念,气动布局和涉及的组件的描述,以及使用的过滤介质和测试粉尘。说明了典型的运行到失效轨迹。此后,以“预防性维护到预测性维护”的名称发布数据集。此外,还概述了未来发布与进一步行业相关的数据场景的数据集的时间表。
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引用次数: 8
Brake Health Prediction Using LogitBoost Classifier Through Vibration Signals 基于振动信号的LogitBoost分类器制动器健康预测
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.3017
H. S, K. K, R. Jegadeeshwaran, G. Sakthivel
Brake is one of the crucial elements in automobiles. If there is any malfunction in the brake system, it will adversely affect the entire system. This leads to tribulation on vehicle and passenger safety. Therefore the brake system has a major role to do in automobiles and hence it is necessary to monitor its functioning. In recent trends, vibration-based condition monitoring techniques are preferred for most condition monitoring systems. In the present study, the performance of various fault diagnosis models is tested for observing brake health. A real vehicle brake system was used for the experiments. A piezoelectric accelerometer is used to obtain the signals of vibration under various faulty cases of the brake system as well as good condition. Statistical parameters were extracted from the vibration signals and the suitable features are identified using the effect of the study of the combined features. Various versions of machine learning models are used for the feature classification study. The classification accuracy of such algorithms has been reported and discussed.
制动器是汽车的关键部件之一。如果制动系统出现任何故障,将对整个系统产生不利影响。这给车辆和乘客的安全带来了困难。因此,制动系统在汽车中起着重要作用,因此有必要监测其功能。在最近的趋势中,基于振动的状态监测技术是大多数状态监测系统的首选。在本研究中,测试了各种故障诊断模型的性能,以观察制动器的健康状况。实验采用了实车制动系统。压电加速度计用于获得制动系统在各种故障情况下以及良好状态下的振动信号。从振动信号中提取统计参数,并利用组合特征的研究效果识别合适的特征。各种版本的机器学习模型被用于特征分类研究。已经报道并讨论了这种算法的分类精度。
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引用次数: 0
Detection of Rolling-Element Bearing Faults in Non-stationary Quasi-Parallel Machinery Using Residual Analysis Augmented by Neural Networks 基于神经网络残差分析的非平稳准并联机械滚动轴承故障检测
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-09-20 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.2915
Dustin Helm, M. Timusk
This work proposes a methodology for the detection of rolling-element bearing faults in quasi-parallel machinery. In the context of this work, parallel machinery is considered to be any group of identical components of a mechanical system that are linked to operate on the same duty cycle.  Quasi-parallel machinery can further be defined as two components not identical mechanically, but their operating conditions are correlated and they operate in the same environmental conditions. Furthermore, a new fault detection architecture is proposed wherein a feed-forward neural network (FFNN) is utilized to identify the relationship between signals. The proposed technique is based on the analysis of a calculated residual between feature vectors from two separate components. This technique is designed to reduce the effects of changes in the machines operating state on the condition monitoring system. When a fault detection system is monitoring multiple components in a larger system that are mechanically linked, signals and information that can be gleaned from the system can be used to reduce influences from factors that are not related to condition. The FFNN is used to identify the relationship between the feature vectors from two quasi-parallel components and eliminate the difference when no fault is present. The proposed method is tested on vibration data from two gearboxes that are connected in series. The gearboxes contain bearings operating at different speeds and gear mesh frequencies. In these conditions, a variety of rolling-element bearing faults are detected. The results indicate that improvement in fault detection accuracy can be achieved by using the additional information available from the quasi-parallel machine. The proposed method is directly compared to a typical AANN novelty detection scheme.
本文提出了一种准并联机械中滚动轴承故障的检测方法。在本工作的上下文中,并联机械被认为是机械系统中连接在同一占空比上运行的任何一组相同组件。准并联机械可以进一步定义为两个机械上不完全相同的部件,但它们的工作条件是相关的,它们在相同的环境条件下工作。在此基础上,提出了一种新的故障检测体系结构,利用前馈神经网络(FFNN)识别信号之间的关系。所提出的技术是基于对两个独立分量的特征向量之间计算的残差进行分析。该技术旨在减少机器运行状态变化对状态监测系统的影响。当故障检测系统监测大型系统中机械连接的多个组件时,可以从系统中收集信号和信息,以减少与条件无关的因素的影响。FFNN用于识别两个准并行分量的特征向量之间的关系,并在无故障情况下消除差异。对串联的两个齿轮箱的振动数据进行了验证。齿轮箱包含以不同速度和齿轮啮合频率运行的轴承。在这些条件下,检测到各种滚动元件轴承故障。结果表明,利用准并联电机提供的附加信息可以提高故障检测精度。将该方法与典型的AANN新颖性检测方案进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
Fresh new look for system-level prognostics 系统级预测的全新面貌
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-09-10 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.2777
Ferhat Tamssaouet, K. Nguyen, K. Medjaher, M. Orchard
Model-based prognostic approaches use first-principle or regression models to estimate and predict the system’s health state in order to determine the remaining useful life (RUL). Then, in order to handle the prediction results uncertainty, the Bayesian framework is usually used, in which the prior estimates are updated by infield measurements without changing the model parameters. Nevertheless, in the case of system-level prognostic, the mere updating of the prior estimates, based on a predetermined model, is no longer sufficient. This is due to the mutual interactions between components that increase the system modeling uncertainties and may lead to an inaccurate prediction of the system RUL (SRUL). Therefore, this paper proposes a new methodology for online joint uncertainty quantification and model estimation based on particle filtering (PF) and gradient descent (GD). In detail, the inoperability input-output model (IIM) is used to characterize system degradations considering interactions between components and effects of the mission profile; and then the inoperability of system components is estimated in a probabilistic manner using PF. In the case of consecutive discrepancy between the prior and posterior estimates of the system health state, GD is used to correct and to adapt the IIM parameters. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology and its suitability for an online implementation, the Tennessee Eastman Process is investigated as a case study.
基于模型的预测方法使用第一性原理或回归模型来估计和预测系统的健康状态,以确定剩余使用寿命(RUL)。然后,为了处理预测结果的不确定性,通常使用贝叶斯框架,在不改变模型参数的情况下,通过内场测量来更新先验估计。然而,在系统级预测的情况下,仅仅根据预先确定的模型更新先前的估计是不够的。这是由于组件之间的相互作用增加了系统建模的不确定性,并可能导致对系统RUL (SRUL)的不准确预测。为此,本文提出了一种基于粒子滤波(PF)和梯度下降(GD)的在线联合不确定性量化和模型估计新方法。考虑部件间的相互作用和任务剖面的影响,采用不可操作性输入输出模型(IIM)对系统退化进行表征;然后,使用PF以概率方式估计系统组件的不可操作性,在系统健康状态的先验和后验估计连续存在差异的情况下,使用GD对IIM参数进行校正和自适应。为了说明所提出的方法的有效性及其对在线实施的适用性,将田纳西伊士曼过程作为案例研究进行调查。
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引用次数: 2
Use of Nonlinear Optics for Assessment of Cable Polymer Aging 非线性光学在电缆聚合物老化评估中的应用
IF 2.1 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-09-05 DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2021.v12i2.2966
Kaylee N. Rellaford, Dallin L Smith, Alex Farnsworth, Shane M. Drake, H. Lee, J. Patterson
Polymer jackets play an important protective role in distribution cabling by providing structure and resistance to moisture, heat, and exposure to harmful chemicals. Current methods of structural assessment, such as elongation at break (E-at-B), are inherently destructive. While other non-destructive methods such as indenter evaluation are available, they are not suitable for in-service use. We propose that second harmonic generation (SHG) could provide a non-destructive means of characterizing the aging of chlorosulfonated polyethylene (CSPE) cable jackets. SHG was used to study cables previously aged and characterized by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Comparative data between the SHG results and indenter modulus tests suggest that SHG can be used to qualitatively differentiate between minimally and significantly aged CSPE cable jackets. The results of this proof-of-concept study suggest additional work that could be done to better understand the mechanisms of the aging of CSPE cable jackets and how SHG could be used to monitor the aging process.
聚合物护套在配电布线中发挥着重要的保护作用,它提供了结构和防潮、耐热和接触有害化学物质的能力。目前的结构评估方法,如断裂伸长率(E-at-B),本质上具有破坏性。虽然可以使用其他无损检测方法,如压头评估,但它们不适合在役使用。我们提出,二次谐波产生(SHG)可以提供一种无损的方法来表征氯磺化聚乙烯(CSPE)电缆护套的老化。SHG用于研究电力研究所(EPRI)先前老化和表征的电缆。SHG结果和压头模量测试之间的比较数据表明,SHG可用于定性区分最小老化和显著老化的CSPE电缆护套。这项概念验证研究的结果表明,可以做更多的工作来更好地了解CSPE电缆护套的老化机制,以及如何使用SHG来监测老化过程。
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International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management
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