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The Statistical Association between Macroeconomic Indicators and the Performance of Commercial Banks in Pakistan 巴基斯坦商业银行宏观经济指标与绩效的统计关联
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i2.a4
Javedani Ali, Muhammad Imran, Tehseen Iqbal
The banking industry of Pakistan is growing over years and it is playing a dynamic role in enabling the business environment in the country. The idea is Constructed on the fact, that there is a substantial impact of commercial banks (CB) on the economic advancement of the country. in response, the macro dynamics of an economy also influence the very existence of Banking and its footprints on the economy. Banks are operating to smooth out the transaction process in the economy to cause ease for doing daily life business. It is important to investigate that the changes in the macroeconomic factors of a country can have serious implications for the profitability dynamics of these banks. This paper examines the cost-effectiveness of CBs in Pakistan for the duration of (2006 to 2018), against the variations in the macroeconomy. The study is based on Panel data assessment methods, to examine the effects of foremost external factors i.e. Exchange rate, GDP, Interest rate, and Money supply on the profitability of CBS in Pakistan. This study uses Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) to measure the profitability of banks in Pakistan. The study uses a random effect model and the outcomes of this study demonstrate that, in the case of Pakistani CBS, the impact of selected macroeconomic factors is almost negligible to determine a bank's profitability except for only one factor, that is the money supply, which expresses a progressive influence on banks’ profitability in Pakistan.
巴基斯坦的银行业多年来一直在增长,它在创造该国的商业环境方面发挥着积极作用。这一观点是建立在商业银行对国家经济发展有重大影响的事实基础上的。作为回应,经济的宏观动态也会影响银行的存在及其对经济的影响。银行的运作是为了使经济中的交易过程更加顺畅,从而为日常生活中的业务提供便利。重要的是要调查一个国家宏观经济因素的变化可能对这些银行的盈利能力动态产生严重影响。本文根据宏观经济的变化,研究了巴基斯坦在2006年至2018年期间的成本效益。该研究基于面板数据评估方法,以检查最重要的外部因素,即汇率,GDP,利率和货币供应对巴基斯坦CBS盈利能力的影响。本研究使用资产收益率(ROA)和股本收益率(ROE)来衡量巴基斯坦银行的盈利能力。本研究采用随机效应模型,本研究的结果表明,在巴基斯坦CBS的案例中,除了货币供应量这一因素外,所选宏观经济因素对决定银行盈利能力的影响几乎可以忽略不计,货币供应量对巴基斯坦银行盈利能力的影响是渐进式的。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Intangible Assets on Market Value of Firms: Evidence from Pakistan’s Stock Exchange 无形资产对企业市场价值的影响:来自巴基斯坦证券交易所的证据
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i2.a2
Suhrab Khan, M. M. Iqbal
This study estimates the economic value of intangible assets (IAs) on the market values (MVs) of firms. The IAs play an important role in the future development and success of firms. A firm having more IAs and Research and Development (R&D) expenditures can be more innovative and competitive in the production of goods and service delivery. Therefore, this study finds the impacts of IAs on the MVs by taking a sample of 66 firms listed on Pakistan’s Stock Exchange (PSX) from the period 2007 to 2014. For empirical analysis, the conventional Fixed Effect, Random Effect and Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) models are applied on annual data. The results depict that IAs have increased the MVs of firms in Pakistan. Moreover, leverage ratio and managerial efficiency have also increased the MVs while the expenditures on marketing and advertising have decreased the MVs of firms. This study suggests that firms’ managers can increase investment in the accumulation of IAs for maximization of the MVs. Moreover, the investors and other market participants should also look at the level of IAs before investing in stocks as well as other determinants, especially leverage and managerial efficiency. The value relevance of leverage has also been a worthy policy recommendation for Pakistani firms. So, there is a scope for increasing the debt ratio for the shareholders’ value maximization.
本研究估计无形资产的经济价值对企业市场价值的影响。国际会计准则对公司未来的发展和成功起着重要的作用。拥有更多国际投资机构和研发(R&D)支出的企业在产品生产和服务提供方面可能更具创新性和竞争力。因此,本研究通过选取2007年至2014年期间在巴基斯坦证券交易所(PSX)上市的66家公司作为样本,发现了投资组合对mv的影响。采用常规固定效应、随机效应和广义矩量法(GMM)模型对年数据进行实证分析。结果表明,国际投资机构增加了巴基斯坦公司的mv。此外,杠杆率和管理效率也增加了企业的mv,而营销和广告支出降低了企业的mv。本研究认为,企业经理人可以增加投资于投资组合的累积,以达到最大的mv。此外,投资者和其他市场参与者在投资股票以及其他决定因素,特别是杠杆和管理效率之前,也应该考虑IAs水平。杠杆的价值相关性也为巴基斯坦公司提供了一个有价值的政策建议。因此,为实现股东价值最大化,提高负债率存在一定的空间。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Regional integration on Trade and Economic Cooperation – a key study of Georgia and Azerbaijan 区域一体化对贸易和经济合作的影响——对格鲁吉亚和阿塞拜疆的一项重要研究
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.005
L. Kadagishvili, Rusudan Maisuradze
The South Caucasus is a unique small and densely populated region in the southern part of the Caucasus. It consists of three independent states - Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia. Georgia is actively engaged in the Peaceful Neighborhood Initiative in the South Caucasus and strives to deepen political and economic relations with the countries in the region based on sovereign interests. In these processes, strengthening mutually beneficial, trust-based cooperation with the Republic of Azerbaijan is of special interest to Georgia. After the collapse of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and the regaining of independence by Georgia and Azerbaijan, a completely new phase of diplomatic relations began between the two countries which grew into a strategic partnership. Territorial proximity and the establishment of diplomatic relations have prompted the dynamic development of trade and economic relations between the two countries, which increases the degree of urgency of the study. The presented paper focuses on the priority areas of trade and economic cooperation between Georgia and Azerbaijan. However, at the present stage economics and politics are so closely interrelated that it is impossible to draw a line between them. Therefore, in order to achieve the purpose of the paper, the first chapter focuses on the development of diplomatic relations between the two countries, while the following chapters study trade and economic cooperation between Georgia and Azerbaijan and analyze the development of bilateral cooperation in trade in services; in addition, the trade intensity index is calculated; the importance of investments from Azerbaijan in the Georgian economy is assessed; the transnational energy and transport projects proposed by the Georgian and Azerbaijani governments are discussed; and the growing role of Georgia as trade and transport hub in the Caucasus in both the offshore and onshore components of these projects is assessed. It is noted that trade and economic relations have growing dynamics and show readiness to further develop cooperation. In addition, some suggestions that will be helpful for Georgia to increase the scale of cooperation with Azerbaijan and assist deepening the involvement of the two countries in the world integration processes are proposed. We believe that the paper will enhance further research and discussion on trade and economic cooperation between Georgia and Azerbaijan and, most importantly, ensure support for this kind of cooperation.
南高加索是高加索南部一个独特的小而人口稠密的地区。它由格鲁吉亚、阿塞拜疆和亚美尼亚三个独立国家组成。格鲁吉亚积极参与南高加索和平邻邦倡议,并努力在主权利益基础上深化与该地区各国的政治和经济关系。在这些进程中,格鲁吉亚特别关心加强与阿塞拜疆共和国的互利、基于信任的合作。在苏维埃社会主义共和国联盟(苏联)解体,格鲁吉亚和阿塞拜疆重新获得独立后,两国之间开始了一个全新的外交关系阶段,并发展成为战略伙伴关系。领土邻近和建交促进了两国经贸关系的蓬勃发展,这增加了研究的紧迫性。提交的文件侧重于格鲁吉亚和阿塞拜疆之间贸易和经济合作的优先领域。然而,在现阶段,经济和政治是如此紧密地联系在一起,以至于不可能在它们之间划清界限。因此,为了达到本文的目的,第一章重点关注两国外交关系的发展,而接下来的章节则研究格鲁吉亚和阿塞拜疆之间的贸易和经济合作,并分析双边服务贸易合作的发展;此外,还计算了贸易强度指数;评估了阿塞拜疆投资对格鲁吉亚经济的重要性;讨论了格鲁吉亚和阿塞拜疆政府提出的跨国能源和运输项目;评估了格鲁吉亚作为高加索地区贸易和运输枢纽在这些项目的海上和陆上部分中日益增长的作用。人们注意到,贸易和经济关系日益活跃,并显示出进一步发展合作的意愿。此外,还提出了一些建议,这些建议将有助于格鲁吉亚扩大与阿塞拜疆的合作规模,并有助于深化两国对世界一体化进程的参与。我们相信,该文件将加强对格鲁吉亚和阿塞拜疆之间贸易和经济合作的进一步研究和讨论,最重要的是,确保对这种合作的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Job grade camouflage: When low gender pay gap does not mean equal pay 工作级别伪装:当低性别薪酬差距并不意味着同工同酬时
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.003
Jan Čadil, M. Kopecký, Tomas Jurcik
“Equal pay for equal work” is one of the backbone principles of Responsible Leadership. It is also deeply incorporated in legislation, mostly in developed countries. In recent decades, the gender pay gap has been put forward as a general indicator of equality by policy makers and researches alike. Yet, the research outcomes are disturbingly unsettled in comparison to bold political proclamations that are often based on simplified statistics. In our article we show, that gender pay gap shrinks substantially if firm-level job grades (based on Hay methodology) are used. The methodology used is gender neutral and focuses solely on the job size, not on the incumbent. Moreover, we show that the gender pay gap is not reflecting the idea of “equal pay for equal work” well. In fact, we conclude that people are being paid unequally regardless their gender. Low or non-existent gender pay gap then might just camouflage real inequalities leading managers and stakeholders to false feeling that company follows responsible leadership principles as defined by Steve Kempster (2016).
“同工同酬”是负责任领导的核心原则之一。它也被深深地纳入立法,主要是在发达国家。近几十年来,性别薪酬差距已被政策制定者和研究人员作为平等的一般指标提出。然而,与通常基于简化统计数据的大胆政治宣言相比,研究结果令人不安。在我们的文章中,我们表明,如果使用公司级别的工作等级(基于Hay方法),性别薪酬差距将大幅缩小。所使用的方法是不分性别的,只注重工作规模,而不是在职人员。此外,我们发现性别薪酬差距并没有很好地反映“同工同酬”的理念。事实上,我们得出的结论是,无论男女,人们的收入都是不平等的。那么,低或不存在的性别薪酬差距可能只是掩盖了真正的不平等,导致管理者和利益相关者错误地认为公司遵循Steve Kempster(2016)定义的负责任的领导原则。
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引用次数: 0
The Covid-19 pandemic economic costs in terms of labour force loss 2019冠状病毒病大流行造成的劳动力损失经济成本
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.001
Ondřej Bednář, B. Kadeřábková
Within a broader context of economic costs of the recent pandemic we calculate the excess deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic over the whole population and split them into age subgroups. Further, we estimate the cost of the labor force lost due to the pandemic. We employ a general additive model to set up a counterfactual time series of weekly deaths to count the number of deaths if the pandemic did not occur. Subtracting counterfactual series from the actual number of fatalities provides us with the excess deaths. The amount of excess deaths in the whole population is not statistically different from the COVID-19 victims reported by the Ministry of Health. However, we find excess deaths that are substantially higher than the reported COVID-19 causalities in the age group from 35 to 59 years. We estimated the costs of the lost labor force to be approximately 0.03% of the Czech 2021 GDP.
在最近大流行的经济成本的更广泛背景下,我们计算了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间整个人口的超额死亡人数,并将其划分为年龄亚组。此外,我们估计了因大流行而损失的劳动力成本。我们采用一般加性模型来建立每周死亡人数的反事实时间序列,以计算如果大流行没有发生的死亡人数。从实际死亡人数中减去反事实序列,我们就得到了超额死亡人数。在总人口中,超额死亡人数与卫生部报告的COVID-19受害者在统计上没有差异。然而,我们发现35岁至59岁年龄组的超额死亡人数远高于报告的COVID-19死亡人数。我们估计,劳动力流失的成本约为捷克2021年GDP的0.03%。
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引用次数: 1
Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Growth: The Role of the Financial Sector Development 外国直接投资与包容性增长:金融业发展的作用
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.008
Emeka Nkoro, Aham Kelvin Uko
This study examined the role of the domestic financial sector development in the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and inclusive growth in Nigeria over the period, 1981-2020 using annual time series. Analytically, the study employed the autoregressive distributed lag approach of cointegration. The bound test result shows that there is a long-run relationship between inclusive growth and financial sector development, as well as the other underlying variables. Empirically, the result reveals that the FDI exerted a significant positive effect on inclusive growth when the domestic financial sector has reached a certain minimum level of development. The result further shows that the FDI alone has a significant negative effect on inclusive growth. This means that FDI alone does not necessarily increase the well-being of the people, except when a certain minimum level of financial sector development is attained. This is evidence that the domestic financial sector development is a pre-condition for FDI to effectively promote inclusive growth in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommends that the development of the domestic absorptive capacity-financial sector development should be extended by promoting reforms that will translate FDI inflow into inclusive growth.
本研究利用年度时间序列考察了1981-2020年期间尼日利亚国内金融部门发展在外国直接投资(FDI)流入与包容性增长之间的关系中的作用。分析上,本研究采用协整的自回归分布滞后方法。约束检验结果表明,包容性增长与金融部门发展以及其他潜在变量之间存在长期关系。实证结果表明,当国内金融部门达到一定的最低发展水平时,FDI对包容性增长具有显著的正向作用。结果进一步表明,FDI本身对包容性增长具有显著的负向影响。这意味着,只有外国直接投资并不一定会增加人民的福祉,除非金融部门发展达到某种最低水平。这证明国内金融部门的发展是FDI有效促进尼日利亚包容性增长的前提条件。因此,本研究建议,国内吸收能力的发展应通过推动将FDI流入转化为包容性增长的改革来扩大金融部门的发展。
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引用次数: 1
Regional migration and the dimension of distance in empirical analysis 区域迁移与距离维度的实证分析
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.006
Lucie Kureková
The phenomenon of migration is addressed by several disciplines, such as demography, sociology, economics, political science and history. Therefore, a wide range of analytical tools can be used to analyse this phenomenon. This study focuses primarily on regional migration and capturing the dimension of distance in empirical analysis. Cartograms can be used to analyse regional migration, and Webb diagrams that capture the evolution of net international and internal migration over time. It is also appropriate to use the efficiency matrix of migration indices and nodal graphs to analyse migration flows between different regions. Spatial econometrics is then important for migration analysis to test the validity of theoretical concepts of migration. However, it is often not possible to track the exact distance of migration flows in the data. Therefore, it is necessary to resort to proxy methods to determine the distance. Tracking internal migration plays a crucial role in regional development and is vital in assessing political, economic and social change. Therefore, appropriate analytical tools must be used to analyse it at the regional level.
人口、社会学、经济学、政治学和历史学等几个学科都在研究移民现象。因此,可以使用广泛的分析工具来分析这一现象。本研究主要关注区域迁移,并在实证分析中捕捉距离维度。地图可以用来分析区域移民,而韦伯图可以捕捉到国际和国内净移民随时间的演变。用迁移指数效率矩阵和节点图来分析不同区域间的迁移流动也是合适的。因此,空间计量经济学对于移民分析非常重要,可以检验移民理论概念的有效性。然而,通常不可能在数据中跟踪迁移流的确切距离。因此,有必要采用代理方法来确定距离。跟踪国内移徙对区域发展起着至关重要的作用,对评估政治、经济和社会变革至关重要。因此,必须使用适当的分析工具在区域一级对其进行分析。
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引用次数: 2
Pension tracking system application: A new supervision challenge in the EU 养老金跟踪系统应用:欧盟面临的新监管挑战
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.004
S. Dimitrov, Elroi Hadad
Different areas serve as sources of pension protection for the citizens of the European Union. Along with pensions from public systems, capital pensions are playing an increasing role. Financial institutions-providers of pension savings products operate on a different business model; the diversity cause difficulties in tracking individual’s pension savings, and in promoting pension protection. The pension tracking system is seen as a mechanism for achieving a more efficient market for pension products. This paper examines the development of the pension tracking system (PTS) for European Union member states with multi-pillar pension system. We study the application of the PTS in Bulgaria, to exemplify the structure of the PTS for other EU member states. We conclude that the development of PTS is a necessary set of measures that would be a prerequisite for improving the well-being of the savers.
不同地区是欧洲联盟公民养老金保护的来源。与公共系统的养老金一样,资本养老金也发挥着越来越大的作用。养老储蓄产品的金融机构提供商采用不同的商业模式;这种多样性给追踪个人养老金储蓄和促进养老金保护带来了困难。养老金跟踪系统被视为实现养老金产品更高效市场的一种机制。本文考察了具有多支柱养老金制度的欧盟成员国养老金跟踪系统(PTS)的发展情况。我们研究了临时技术秘书处在保加利亚的应用,以举例说明其他欧盟成员国的临时技术秘书的结构。我们的结论是,临时技术秘书处的发展是一套必要的措施,这将是改善储蓄者福祉的先决条件。
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引用次数: 2
Advances in costs optimization methods – key study of maintenance and restoration of cultural heritage 成本优化方法的进展——文化遗产维护和修复的关键研究
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.009
J. Pojar, D. Macek, R. Schneiderová Heralová, S. Vitásek
The article deals with the issue of restoration and care of cultural heritage buildings in the Czech Republic. The content is focused mainly on the topic of valuation of construction works. Obtaining quality documents is very important for planning reconstruction and maintenance works on a building of cultural heritage. Proper and timely maintenance work is the key to maintaining the value of the building and increasing its viability.The tool for assessing the economic sustainability of an immovable cultural heritage is a life cycle cost analysis carried out on the basis of relevant input data on the technical parameters of the building, structural elements and equipment, the time period of the occurrence of costs related to them. The analysis becomes an important basis for decision-making by the owner, the designer and the future user on choosing the optimal variant of the technical solution for restoration, also with regard to ecological aspects, cultural and historical value and long-term economic consequences.
本文论述了捷克共和国文化遗产建筑的修复和保护问题。内容主要围绕建筑工程估价这一主题展开。获得高质量的文献资料对于规划文化遗产建筑的重建和维护工作至关重要。适当和及时的维修工作是保持建筑物价值和提高其生存能力的关键。评估不可移动文化遗产的经济可持续性的工具是在建筑、结构构件和设备的技术参数以及与之相关的成本发生的时间段的相关输入数据的基础上进行的生命周期成本分析。该分析成为业主、设计师和未来用户选择最佳修复技术方案的重要决策依据,同时也考虑到生态方面、文化和历史价值以及长期经济后果。
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引用次数: 6
A Housing Market with Cournot Competition and a Third Housing Sector 具有库诺竞争的住房市场与第三住房部门
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI: 10.52950/es.2022.11.2.002
T. Borgersen
This paper integrates a non-profit third-housing sector (THS) into a housing market with Cournot competition. The paper analyses the indirect effects of a THS on the aggregate housing market, on a commercial housing supplier and on the market adaption of households not embraced by the THS. While beneficial for households included in the THS, a question arises related to the indirect effects of a THS. The paper argues for crowding-out and higher house prices in the commercial housing market in response to a THS expansion. In addition, a THS also affects the strategic behaviour of the commercial housing supplier. Compared to a conventional Cournot housing market, a fixed THS housing supply changes the market structure from one where the housing supply of different housing providers are alternative to one-another, to a market structure where housing supply is complementary.
本文将非营利的第三住房部门(THS)整合到具有库诺竞争的住房市场中。本文分析了THS对总住房市场、商品房供应商以及未被THS接受的家庭的市场适应的间接影响。虽然对纳入THS的家庭有利,但出现了一个与THS的间接影响有关的问题。本文认为,为了应对THS的扩张,商品房市场应该出现挤出和房价上涨。此外,THS还影响商品房供应商的战略行为。与传统的库诺住房市场相比,固定的THS住房供应改变了市场结构,从不同住房提供商的住房供应可以相互替代,转变为住房供应互补的市场结构。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
International Journal of Economic Sciences
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