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Impact of Institutional Quality on Trade Performance of Small and Medium Enterprises in Pakistan 制度质量对巴基斯坦中小企业贸易绩效的影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i1.a3
Muhammad Fahad Khan, Muhammad Imran Khan, Kamran Abbas Naqvi
The trade economy is dependent upon the institutional quality of the country. It affects the ease of doing business in the economy. It is plausible to think that, how institutional quality can affect the trading performance of Pakistan. Small & medium enterprises (SMEs) are playing the role of the backbone of the trade sector in Pakistan. Contribution SMEs can be significantly improved, by improving the supporting macroeconomic indicators. This paper studies the short-run and the long-run association between SME trade growth and cost of production, relative prices, and Institutional quality in Pakistan. It also examines the Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis, between SME trade growth and institutional quality in Pakistan. This study utilizes secondary data, which is taken from multiple secondary sources, including the SMEDA, Pakistan Economic Survey, and world development indicators. The biannual data is assembled up for 38 observations from (2000 to 2019). This study uses Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) bound testing method to examine the short run and long run connections between SMEs’ trade growth and macro-economic variables, like; relative prices, Cost of production. Gross Domestic Product, exchange rate, and institutional quality. These variables are selected from the available literature. The study finds that the short-run response of SMEs trade is not significant, but it significantly responds to macro-economic indicators in long run. The institutional quality has a non-linear relationship with SMEs trade growth. This indicates that the pollution heaven hypothesis holds valid even for the case of institutional quality and SMEs trading performance. The study focuses on the optimality of institutional quality for the optimal performance level of SMEs in Pakistan.
贸易经济依赖于国家的制度质量。它会影响经济中做生意的便利性。我们有理由认为,制度质量如何影响巴基斯坦的贸易表现。中小企业(SMEs)在巴基斯坦的贸易部门中扮演着中坚力量的角色。通过改善配套宏观经济指标,可以显著提高中小企业的贡献。本文研究了巴基斯坦中小企业贸易增长与生产成本、相对价格和制度质量之间的短期和长期关系。本文还考察了巴基斯坦中小企业贸易增长与制度质量之间的环境库兹涅茨曲线假设。本研究使用的二手数据来自多个二手来源,包括SMEDA、巴基斯坦经济调查和世界发展指标。一年两次的数据是由2000年至2019年的38次观测收集的。本文采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)约束检验方法,考察了中小企业贸易增长与宏观经济变量之间的短期和长期关系。相对价格,生产成本。国内生产总值、汇率和制度质量。这些变量是从现有文献中选择的。研究发现,中小企业贸易的短期响应不显著,但长期对宏观经济指标的响应显著。制度质量与中小企业贸易增长呈非线性关系。这表明污染天堂假说即使在制度质量和中小企业交易绩效的情况下也成立。研究的重点是巴基斯坦中小企业最优绩效水平的制度质量的最优性。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Women Empowerment on Fertility Preferences in Pakistan 巴基斯坦妇女赋权对生育偏好的影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-11 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i1.a2
Naeem Akram
Reproduction is an important aspect of a women's life, unfortunately in Pakistan fertility rates are quite high in comparison to other developing countries as well as in comparison to the other South Asian countries. Different studies have suggested that women empowerment can help reduce fertility rates. The present study has attempted to analyze the role of women empowerment along with other socioeconomic indicators on three different dimensions of the fertility behavior i.e. number of children born (current fertility status), ideal number of children and birth intervals (future fertility status. Data of Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2012-13 has been used. The analysis consists of two levels, at level one a descriptive analysis is carried out. As three different aspects of fertility are the count data. Therefore at the next stage models will be estimated by using poison regression technique and Incidence Rate Ratios (IRR) are reported. It has been found that women’s being empowered in financial matters, seeking health care and in household decision making are helpful in reducing fertility. Furthermore, participation in job by women, living in urban areas, having secondary or higher education, access to awareness created by the media, married at higher age are also significant factors in reducing fertility. However, women facing incidence of miscarriage or death of a child tends to increase the fertility. Study had found that wealth of the household, education of husband and having sons have very limited role on the fertility behavior.
生育是女性生活的一个重要方面,不幸的是,与其他发展中国家和其他南亚国家相比,巴基斯坦的生育率相当高。不同的研究表明,赋予妇女权力有助于降低生育率。本研究试图分析妇女赋权的作用以及其他社会经济指标在生育行为的三个不同维度上的作用,即出生子女数量(当前生育状况)、理想子女数量和生育间隔(未来生育状况)。使用2012-13年人口与健康调查(PDHS)数据。分析包括两个层次,在第一个层次进行描述性分析。生育率的三个不同方面是统计数据。因此,下一阶段将使用毒性回归技术对模型进行估计,并报告发病率比(IRR)。人们发现,妇女在经济事务、寻求保健和家庭决策方面获得权力有助于降低生育率。此外,妇女参加工作、居住在城市地区、受过中等或高等教育、获得媒体的宣传、结婚年龄较晚也是降低生育率的重要因素。然而,面临流产或儿童死亡的妇女往往会提高生育率。研究发现,家庭财富、丈夫的教育程度和是否生儿子对生育行为的影响非常有限。
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引用次数: 1
Study of Intertemporal Discounting According to Age Groups 基于年龄组的跨期折扣研究
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.008
Jiří Rotschedl
The paper focuses on the topic of intertemporal discounting of individuals according to age groups. Using the sample of examined individuals, it aims to verify the hypothesis that the patience of individuals decreases with their increasing age. The study included a total of 599 individuals with an average age of 38.3 years (min. 16 and max. 82 years) who answered classical questions focused on time discounting and impulsive behaviour. In total, four possible scenarios were analysed: a small reward (CZK 100) with a delay of 1 day, a small reward with a delay of 1 month, a large reward (CZK 100,000) with a delay of 1 day and a large reward with a delay of 1 month. The delayed reward was always increased by 10% (i.e., CZK 110 or CZK 110,000). The basic hypothesis was that with increasing age, the subjective discount rate increases i.e., patience decreases. The above-mentioned 4 scenarios were evaluated for the hypotheses, while only three of the four scenarios were confirmed for all hypotheses. The results in the examined individuals suggest that with increasing age, there is a decrease in patience and at the same time a decrease in impulsive behaviour. These findings may have an overlap in consumption or savings in relation to the aging population.
本文主要研究按年龄组对个体进行跨期贴现的问题。使用被检查个体的样本,旨在验证个体的耐心随着年龄的增长而下降的假设。这项研究共包括599名平均年龄38.3岁(最小16岁,最大82岁)的人,他们回答了关于时间折扣和冲动行为的经典问题。总共分析了四种可能的情况:延迟1天的小额奖励(100捷克克朗)、延迟1个月的小额奖励、延迟1天(100000捷克克朗)的大额奖励和延迟1个小时的大额奖励。延迟奖励总是增加10%(即110捷克克朗或110000捷克克朗)。基本假设是,随着年龄的增长,主观贴现率增加,即耐心下降。对上述4种情景进行了假设评估,而四种情景中只有三种情景得到了所有假设的证实。受试者的研究结果表明,随着年龄的增长,他们的耐心会下降,同时冲动行为也会减少。这些发现可能与老龄化人口在消费或储蓄方面存在重叠。
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引用次数: 0
The Causal Impact of the Rapid Czech Interest Rate Hike on the Czech Exchange Rate Assessed by the Bayesian Structural Time Series Model 用贝叶斯结构时间序列模型评估捷克快速加息对捷克汇率的因果影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.001
Ondřej Bednář
I have employed the Bayesian Structural Time Series model to assess the recent interest rate hike by the Czech Central Bank and its causal impact on the Koruna exchange rate. By forecasting exchange rate time series in the absence of the intervention we can subtract the observed values from the prediction and estimate the causal effect. The results show that the impact was little and time limited in one model specification and none in the second version. It implies that the Czech Central Bank possesses the ability to diverge significantly from the Eurozone benchmark interest rate at least in the short term. It also shows that the interest rate hike will not be able to curb global inflation forces on the domestic price level.
我使用贝叶斯结构时间序列模型来评估捷克中央银行最近的加息及其对克朗汇率的因果影响。通过在没有干预的情况下预测汇率时间序列,我们可以从预测中减去观测值并估计因果关系。结果表明,在一个模型规范中,影响很小且有时间限制,而在第二个版本中没有影响。这意味着,至少在短期内,捷克央行拥有明显偏离欧元区基准利率的能力。这也表明,加息将无法抑制全球通胀对国内物价水平的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of the Approach of the Czech National Bank and the European Central Bank to the Effects of the Global Financial Crisis 捷克国家银行和欧洲央行应对全球金融危机影响的方法比较
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.002
Andrea Čečrdlová
The latest global crisis, which fully erupted in 2008, can have a significant impact on central banks credibility in the long run. During the last crisis, monetary authorities encountered zero interest rate levels and, as a result, started to use non-standard monetary policy instruments. The Czech National Bank decided to use a less standard instrument in November 2013, when it started to intervene on the foreign exchange market in order to keep the Czech currency at level 27 CZK / EUR. However, the European Central Bank also adopted a non-standard instrument, when chose a path of quantitative easing in 2015 in order to support the euro area economy by purchasing financial assets. The question remains whether the approach of Czech National Bank or the approach of European Central Bank in the crisis and post-crisis period was a more appropriate alternative. With the passage of time from the global financial crisis, it is already possible to compare the approaches of these two central banks and at least partially assess what approach was more appropriate under the given conditions. When comparing the central banks approaches to the crisis, the Czech National Bank was better, both in terms of the rate of interest rate cuts and the resulting inflation with regard to the choice of a non-standard monetary policy instrument. The recent financial crisis has revealed the application of moral hazard in practice, both on behalf of the European Central Bank and the Czech National Bank, which may have a significant impact on their credibility and independence in the coming years.
从长远来看,2008年全面爆发的最新全球危机可能会对央行的信誉产生重大影响。在上一次危机期间,货币当局遇到了零利率水平,因此开始使用非标准货币政策工具。2013年11月,捷克国家银行决定使用标准较低的工具,当时它开始干预外汇市场,以将捷克货币保持在27捷克克朗/欧元的水平。然而,欧洲央行也采用了非标准工具,为了通过购买金融资产来支持欧元区经济,他在2015年选择了量化宽松的道路。问题仍然是,捷克国家银行的做法还是欧洲央行在危机和危机后时期的做法是更合适的选择。随着全球金融危机的时间推移,已经有可能比较这两家央行的做法,并至少部分评估在特定条件下哪种做法更合适。在比较各国央行应对危机的方法时,捷克国家银行在选择非标准货币政策工具方面的降息率和由此产生的通货膨胀率都要好。最近的金融危机表明,欧洲中央银行和捷克国家银行在实践中都存在道德风险,这可能会在未来几年对它们的信誉和独立性产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 6
TOWARDS THE CONSTRIBUTION OF ECONOMICS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ITS SCIENTIFIC NEIGHBORS. The case of a legal scholarship 论经济学对其邻近科学发展的贡献。法律奖学金的案例
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.009
D. Tříska
In Tříska (2017) have been suggested ways how legal scholarship (LS) may contribute to the development of economics - economic theory (ET). The objective of the present article is to corroborate a reverse know how transfer, i.e. from ET to LS. Its method is thus primarily derived from how micro-economics approaches the institution of a homo economicus.The articles objective is to show under what conditions can this economic method be expanded and generalized so as to open ways for its application upon neighboring disciplines of societal studies. The outcome of this endeavor– for want of a better term - is presented under the label of a General Theory of Choice and Behavior (GTCB). Moreover, it is argued that – under the umbrella of GTCB – the disciplines can establish their genuine scientific underpinning and hence also absorb a formalized analytical tool-kit. For concreteness, this conclusion is illustrated for legal scholarship, namely its concept a contract to be strictly taken in the economics sense of a collective choice.On the highest level of generalization, the article should be understood as a response to the seminal Elinor Ostrom’s call for an agreement amongst societal scholars upon universally acceptable analytical building blocks.
在Tříska(2017)中,已经提出了法律奖学金(LS)如何为经济学-经济理论(ET)的发展做出贡献的方法。本文的目的是证实一个反向的知识转移,即从ET到LS。因此,它的方法主要来源于微观经济学如何研究经济人制度。本文的目的是说明在什么条件下,这种经济方法可以被扩展和推广,从而为其在邻近的社会研究学科中的应用开辟道路。这种努力的结果——因为没有一个更好的术语——在选择和行为的一般理论(GTCB)的标签下提出。此外,有人认为,在GTCB的保护伞下,学科可以建立真正的科学基础,因此也吸收了形式化的分析工具包。具体地说,这个结论是为法律学术所说明的,即它的概念是一个契约,在集体选择的经济学意义上是严格采取的。在概括的最高层次上,这篇文章应该被理解为对开创性的埃莉诺·奥斯特罗姆(Elinor Ostrom)呼吁社会学者就普遍接受的分析构建模块达成一致的回应。
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引用次数: 0
Multilevel research of migration with a focus on internal migration 以内部迁移为重点的多层次迁移研究
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.005
Lucie Kureková
In the research of migration, we can encounter the application of multidisciplinary approaches with the use of knowledge from existing theories, which implies the need for statistical reporting. It is not always easy to determine who a migrant is, and studies exploring migration can be dividing up according to many criteria. Contemporary literature contains a whole score of studies dealing with migration, its determinants and impacts on the economy, etc. However, there are very few studies dealing primarily with regional (i.e. internal) migration in comparison to the number of studies analyzing international migration. The goal of this study is to point out problems in reporting migration and to propose a strategy to analyze migration based on multilevel research of migration while making this strategy applicable to internal migration.
在移民研究中,我们可能会遇到使用现有理论知识的多学科方法的应用,这意味着需要统计报告。确定谁是移民并不总是那么容易,而且关于移民的研究可以根据许多标准进行划分。当代文学包含了大量关于移民、移民的决定因素和对经济的影响等方面的研究。但是,与分析国际移徙的研究数量相比,主要处理区域(即国内)移徙的研究很少。本研究的目的是指出迁移报告中存在的问题,并提出一种基于迁移多层次研究的迁移分析策略,同时使该策略适用于国内迁移。
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引用次数: 5
Ambiguous effects of minimum wage tool of labour markets regulation – key study of V4 countries 劳动力市场监管中最低工资工具的模糊效应——对V4国家的关键研究
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.004
E. Jašová
In this paper we analyze the effect of minimum wage change on selected labour market indicators such as duration of employment, hours worked, unemployment by education or profession or long-term unemployment. Our research is based on Eurostat and OECD data for V4 countries. The hypothesis discussed is whether the effect of minimum wage increase is positive or negative and we discuss the issue of economic regulation more generally. The output values of the regressions coefficients of all the V4 countries showed that the effects are more positive than negative. Mapping the overall intensity of effects of the minimum wage on selected indicator of the labour market in the Czech Republic and Hungary indicated a low sensitivity. The effects were very weak in Slovakia and Poland. The results of the analysis complied with the results of the domestic and international research in 13 cases and the results were different in 6 cases. Slightly more often they confirmed more positive effects of the minimum wage on selected indicators of the labour market than negative effects.
在本文中,我们分析了最低工资变化对选定的劳动力市场指标的影响,如就业时间、工作时间、教育或职业失业率或长期失业率。我们的研究基于欧盟统计局和经合组织V4国家的数据。讨论的假设是最低工资上调的影响是积极的还是消极的,我们更广泛地讨论了经济监管问题。所有V4国家的回归系数的输出值表明,这种影响是积极的,而不是消极的。绘制最低工资对捷克共和国和匈牙利劳动力市场选定指标影响的总体强度图表明敏感性较低。斯洛伐克和波兰的影响非常微弱。13例分析结果与国内外研究结果一致,6例分析结果不一致。略为常见的情况是,他们确认最低工资对劳动力市场选定指标的积极影响大于负面影响。
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引用次数: 6
The Optimum Allocation of Consumption of the Fisherian Shipwrecked Sailors 渔业海难水手消费的最优配置
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.007
Pavel Potužák
The theory of interest of Irving Fisher was designed to explain positive, zero, and negative interest rate. One of the intertemporal equilibria with the zero interest is an economy with a given supply of hardtacks for shipwrecked sailors. Hardtacks can be fully saved for the future, but their stock cannot be enlarged by production. Fisher presented several streams of consumption of hardtacks over time. This paper shows that the Fisherian paths are not consistent with the dynamic optimization model. Different trajectories of the optimum consumption are calculated and sketched. Their shape depends on the value of the subjective discount rate, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution in consumption, and the lifetime horizon of the shipwrecked sailors. None of them resemble the original Fisher examples.
欧文-费舍尔的利率理论是用来解释正利率、零利率和负利率的。零利息的跨期均衡之一是一个为沉船船员提供一定数量硬背的经济体。硬钉可以完全保存到未来,但它们的库存不能通过生产来增加。费舍尔介绍了随着时间的推移,硬背鱼的几种消费流。本文证明了Fisherian路径与动态优化模型不一致。计算并绘制了最佳消耗的不同轨迹。它们的形状取决于主观贴现率的价值、消费替代的跨期弹性以及沉船船员的寿命范围。它们都不象最初的Fisher例子。
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引用次数: 1
EFFECTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE IN GROWTH ACCOUNTING AND LABOUR MARKET DECOMPOSITIONS 人口结构对增长核算和劳动力市场分解的影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.52950/es.2021.10.2.006
P. Maleček
Impact of demographic structure on labor market and macroeconomic aggregates might be pronounced in some countries. Despite this fact, only a handful of approaches dealing with quantifications such effects have been derived so far. The aim of this paper is therefore to fill this methodological gap and to introduce methodological approaches for capturing changes in demographic structure, with many applications in growth accounting and labor market decompositions. Firstly, a novel additive decomposition will be presented, as an alternative to traditional models using fixed population weights. This will be followed by the presentation of a multiplicative decomposition, which can be applied to all kinds of growth accounting exercises based on multiplicative identities.
在一些国家,人口结构对劳动力市场和宏观经济总量的影响可能会很明显。尽管如此,到目前为止,只有少数几种方法可以量化这类效应。因此,本文的目的是填补这一方法学上的空白,并介绍捕捉人口结构变化的方法学方法,在增长核算和劳动力市场分解中有许多应用。首先,将提出一种新的加性分解方法,作为使用固定人口权重的传统模型的替代方案。接下来将介绍乘法分解,它可以应用于基于乘法恒等式的各种增长核算练习。
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引用次数: 1
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International Journal of Economic Sciences
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