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EXAMINING TIME-VARYING INTEGRITY AND INTERRELATIONSHIPS AMONG GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS 检查时变的完整性和相互关系之间的全球股票市场
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/iac.2018.935.003
Hazar Altinbaş
This paper examines co-movements and interrelationships among 6 emerging and 5 developed stock market returns between period 2001- 2017. First, principal components are extracted from returns. Results show that, for the period analyzed, there is no strong global stock market integration and there isn't any change in patterns of correlations of returns except short-term disturbances in global financial crisis time. Second, partial least squares regression models are used for predicting each stock market returns with other stock markets' current and all markets' up to three month lagged returns. Results identify divergence between developed and emerging markets and greater number of latent transmission channels among former ones. Findings indicate a strong integrity among global stock markets is not yet appeared and considered together with previous studies, today's international market structure can be attributed to last two decades of 20th century. China stock market has a disparate position than all other stock markets and deserves further interest.
本文考察了2001- 2017年间6个新兴市场和5个发达国家股市回报率的共同变动和相互关系。首先,从收益中提取主成分。结果表明,在分析的时间段内,除了全球金融危机时期的短期扰动外,全球股市不存在强一体化,收益相关模式没有变化。其次,偏最小二乘回归模型用于预测每个股票市场与其他股票市场当前和所有市场滞后三个月的回报。研究结果表明,发达市场和新兴市场之间存在差异,而前者之间的潜在传播渠道数量更多。研究结果表明,全球股票市场之间尚未出现强烈的完整性,结合以往的研究,今天的国际市场结构可归因于20世纪最后二十年。中国股市与其他所有股市都有不同的地位,值得进一步关注。
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引用次数: 2
SOFT SKILLS AND EARNINGS: EVIDENCE FROM A NATIONWIDE SURVEY IN POLAND 软技能和收入:来自波兰全国调查的证据
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/es.2020.9.1.006
A. Grześkowiak
The purpose of this paper is to examine differences in earnings in Poland with respect to the level of soft skills. The study is based on data from a nationwide survey on human capital carried out in 2014. Eight types of soft skills are taken into consideration: entrepreneurship and showing initiative, resistance to stress, cooperation in a group, communicativeness, ability to resolve conflicts, coordination of the work of other employees, creativity and continuous learning of new things. Distributions of earnings corresponding to groups of individuals declaring low, medium and high soft skills are compared by statistical methods, namely by kernel estimation, one-way ANOVA on ranks and relative distributions. The analysis leads to the conclusion that earnings distributions vary substantially with regard to the level of soft skills. The biggest differences concern such skills as entrepreneurship and showing initiative, coordination of the work of other employees and creativity. This paper contributes to the knowledge about the associations between soft skills level and earnings.
本文的目的是研究波兰在软技能水平方面的收入差异。该研究基于2014年开展的一项全国性人力资本调查的数据。考虑到八种软技能:企业家精神和主动性,抗压能力,团队合作,沟通能力,解决冲突的能力,协调其他员工的工作,创造力和不断学习新事物。通过统计方法,即核估计、秩和相对分布的单向方差分析,比较了低、中、高软技能个体群体对应的收入分布。分析得出的结论是,收入分配在软技能水平方面存在很大差异。最大的差异在于企业家精神和表现主动性、协调其他员工的工作和创造力等技能。本文有助于了解软技能水平与收入之间的关系。
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引用次数: 1
HOW DO DIFFERENT FIRMS PERFORM WHILE TRADING OWN STOCK? A GRANULAR ANALYSIS ON SPECIFIC CHARACTERISTICS AND MARKET CONDITIONS 不同的公司在交易自己的股票时表现如何?对具体特征和市场状况的细粒度分析
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/es.2020.9.2.005
D. Santos, P. Gama
: Which firms are more likely to time the market? This paper uses a relative transaction price approach, focusing on 37997 own stock transactions from Euronext Lisbon listed firms, ranging from 2005 to 2015, to estimate the relationship between the market timing ability of firms and a set of firm specific characteristics. Results show that smaller, more efficient but less valuable companies are more likely to be successful to time the market. Furthermore, we show that a shifting event such as a country bailout can lead to an increased performance from firms when trading own stock. Additionally, we find proof that OTC trading can be linked to lower market timing capabilities. At last, and due to the considerable weight of the financial sector within our sample, we estimated isolated results, which prove that the higher the relative performance of a firm when compared to its share value, the higher the capabilities of a financial sector firm to time the market when repurchasing own stock. earnings for relative valuation, quick ratio for liquidity and finally the total shareholder’s equity for overall financial health. use the Shapiro –Wilk W test for normality to the different RTP’s samples. This is done since, a priori, we do not know the distribution pattern of the relative transaction prices. The Shapiro–Wilk test is a test of normality in frequentist statistics. Published in 1965 by Samuel Sanford Shapiro and Martin Wilk it is commonly used to test series follows or not a normal distribution. stands stands for looking relative transaction Heteroskedasticity and robust standard are used. and * show statistical significance at a level of 1, 5 and 10% respectively.
哪些公司更有可能把握市场时机?本文采用相对交易价格方法,以2005年至2015年期间泛欧交易所里斯本上市公司的37997笔自有股票交易为研究对象,估计了公司的市场择时能力与一组公司特定特征之间的关系。结果显示,规模较小、效率更高但价值较低的公司更有可能成功把握市场时机。此外,我们表明,一个转移事件,如国家救助可以导致公司在交易自己的股票时的业绩增加。此外,我们发现证据表明,场外交易可能与较低的市场择时能力有关。最后,由于金融部门在我们的样本中占有相当大的权重,我们估计了孤立的结果,这证明公司的相对业绩与其股票价值相比越高,金融部门公司在回购自己的股票时选择市场时机的能力就越高。相对估值的收益,流动性的速动比率,最后是整体财务健康的股东权益总额。使用夏皮罗-威尔克W检验不同RTP样本的正态性。这样做是因为,先验地,我们不知道相对交易价格的分布模式。夏皮罗-威尔克检验是频率统计中的一种正态性检验。由塞缪尔·桑福德·夏皮罗和马丁·威尔克于1965年出版,它通常用于检验序列是否服从正态分布。表示寻找相对事务,采用异方差和鲁棒性标准。和*分别在1、5、10%的水平上具有统计学意义。
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引用次数: 2
CHALLENGES OF THE INTRODUCTION OF CIRCULAR BUSINESS MODELS WITHIN RURAL SMES OF EU 欧盟农村中小企业引入循环商业模式的挑战
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/es.2020.9.2.008
I. Uvarova, D. Atstāja, V. Korpa
: Recently the circular economy has got a lot of attention within discussions of policy makers, academics and practitioners. The circular economy proposes the treatment of environmental and climate change problems, simultaneously promising benefits for the business. The circular economy promotes the reduction of the consumption and reuse or recycling of the resources that in various aspects contradicts traditional business models that stream to linear growth of sales of their products. Yet the circular economy concept has been more discussed regarding its global scale, but there is a lack of scientific discussions about the approaches of the adoption of circular economy principles on the business level. This paper conceptualises multi-level dimensions of the circular economy and highlights challenges related to the perception of the circular economy principles in the micro business level. The conducted research shows that rural SMEs of six EU countries have rarely heard about the circular economy and even less about circular business models. While rural SMEs are more familiar with the bio and green economies forming good base for developing circular business models, they are reluctant towards introducing new business models. This paper aims to assess the level of the advancement in introduction of the circular business models among rural SMEs of EU countries. This article emphasizes the circular economy as an inseparable part of the business models of rural SMEs and rural economies of EU countries. This study has a policy implication as we suggest that the government should play an important role in promotion of circular business models in rural SMEs. The existing public support system is fragmented, and in most cases just incidentally encourage rural SMEs to adopt new circular business models. Also, the circular economy on a local level, especially in rural areas, has an important role in ensuring social wellbeing of local inhabitants. The methodological approach and research results presented in the paper can be used further developing EU support system and priorities beyond 2020. driven competitiveness and growth of rural SMEs — INNOGROW” funded by the European Union under the Interreg Europe programme. The preparation of this article has been funded by the research project “Management of Circular Business Models and Projects within Economy of Latvia” funded by BA School of Business and Finance, Latvia. Many thanks for the opportunity to publish this research to Latvian Council of Science (Latvia), a research project “Quadruple Helix Concept (QHC) as base of the next generation PPP model” (no. lzp-2020/1-0062). More detailed results of this research will be reflected in the PhD Thesis of Inga Uvarova.
:最近,循环经济在政策制定者、学者和实践者的讨论中受到了很多关注。循环经济提出了解决环境和气候变化问题的方法,同时也为企业带来了好处。循环经济促进资源的减少消耗和再利用或再循环,这在许多方面与传统的商业模式相矛盾,传统的商业模式是产品销售的线性增长。然而,循环经济概念在全球范围内得到了更多的讨论,但在商业层面上采用循环经济原则的方法缺乏科学的讨论。本文概念化了循环经济的多层次维度,并强调了与微观商业层面对循环经济原则的认知相关的挑战。研究表明,欧盟六个国家的农村中小企业很少听说循环经济,更不了解循环商业模式。虽然农村中小企业更熟悉生物和绿色经济,为发展循环商业模式奠定了良好的基础,但他们不愿引入新的商业模式。本文旨在评估欧盟国家农村中小企业在引进循环商业模式方面的进步水平。本文强调循环经济是欧盟国家农村中小企业商业模式和农村经济不可分割的一部分。本研究具有政策意义,建议政府在推广农村中小企业循环商业模式方面发挥重要作用。现有的公共支持体系支离破碎,在大多数情况下只是偶然鼓励农村中小企业采用新的循环商业模式。此外,地方一级的循环经济,特别是农村地区的循环经济,在确保当地居民的社会福利方面发挥着重要作用。本文提出的方法方法和研究结果可用于进一步发展欧盟2020年以后的支持系统和优先事项。“促进农村中小企业的竞争力和增长- INNOGROW”,由欧洲联盟在“欧洲互联计划”下资助。本文的准备工作由拉脱维亚BA商业和金融学院资助的“拉脱维亚经济中的循环商业模式和项目管理”研究项目资助。非常感谢有机会将这项研究发表给拉脱维亚科学委员会(拉脱维亚),这是一个研究项目“作为下一代PPP模式基础的四倍螺旋概念(QHC)”(no. 6)。lzp - 2020/1 - 0062)。更详细的研究结果将反映在Inga Uvarova的博士论文中。
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引用次数: 16
SOCIAL HOUSING POLICY IN A SEGMENTED HOUSING MARKET: INDIRECT EFFECTS ON MARKETS AND ON INDIVIDUALS 细分住房市场中的社会住房政策:对市场和个人的间接影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-20 DOI: 10.20472/es.2019.8.2.001
T. Borgersen
This paper analyses indirect effects of social housing policy (SHP) in a segmented housing market. A two segment-housing ladder, where equity determines up trading, shows how SHP-measures targeting either housing supply or housing demand impact market developments and individual housing careers. When addressing market developments the paper considers house prices and housing supply. Analysing housing careers we highlights the ability of households indirectly exposed to SHP to trade up a housing ladder. The segmented housing market model contains both multipliers, along the lines of the Balanced Budget Multiplier of Haavelmo (1945), and non-neutral price effects across segments. These features allow some novel results when discussing indirect effects of SHP. Relating SHP to up-trading and a housing ladder where households simultaneously act as buyers and sellers, we first of all show the effect of SHP on the supply of used homes, an important part of housing supply. Second, this framework makes us able to position crowding-out across market segments. Both features are novel in the SHP-discussion. The paper also shows how SHP might create negative indirect effects on the up-trading ability of households that do not benefit from SHP measures.
本文分析了分段住房市场中社会住房政策的间接效应。股权决定上行交易的两部分住房阶梯显示了上海医药针对住房供应或住房需求的措施如何影响市场发展和个人住房职业生涯。在谈到市场发展时,本文考虑了房价和住房供应。通过分析住房职业,我们强调了间接接触上海医药的家庭在住房阶梯上进行交易的能力。细分住房市场模型包含两个乘数,即Haavelmo(1945)的平衡预算乘数,以及跨细分市场的非中性价格效应。当讨论SHP的间接效应时,这些特征允许一些新的结果。将上海医药与高端交易和家庭同时充当买家和卖家的住房阶梯联系起来,我们首先展示了上海医药对二手房供应的影响,二手房是住房供应的重要组成部分。其次,这个框架使我们能够定位各个细分市场的挤出。这两个特征在SHP讨论中都是新颖的。本文还展示了上海医药如何对没有从上海医药措施中受益的家庭的上行交易能力产生负面间接影响。
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引用次数: 7
EXPLOITATION OF PAYDAY LOAN USERS: FACT OR FICTION? 发薪日贷款用户的剥削:事实还是虚构?
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-20 DOI: 10.20472/es.2019.8.2.009
Silvia Szilagyiova
This paper explores the existence of different forms and underpinning reasons of exploitation at households level. The empirical analysis, based on data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) collected for the purpose of understanding the social and economic change in Britain, aims to identify underpinning factors of mixed conclusions from empirical evidence on the existence of exploitation of payday loan users. This paper goes beyond traditional economic explanation and focuses on factors defining conditional relative advantage exploitation leading to voluntary exploitation. The results suggest that due to an ?act in desperation?, current regulations on payday loan lending are powerless and cannot prevent households being voluntary exploited. In addition, results show that increased household financial burden and additional borrowing increase the likelihood of households to take a gamble in order to provide basic needs. The results provide more insight into why current policy regulations fail to tackle the problem of payday loan lending.
本文探讨了家庭层面剥削的不同形式及其根本原因。实证分析基于英国家庭小组调查(BHPS)的数据,旨在了解英国的社会和经济变化,旨在从关于发薪日贷款用户存在剥削的实证证据中找出混合结论的基础因素。本文超越了传统的经济学解释,重点研究了条件相对优势剥削导致自愿剥削的因素。结果表明,由于?在绝望中行动?,目前对发薪日贷款的规定是无力的,也无法阻止家庭被自愿剥削。此外,研究结果表明,家庭经济负担的增加和额外的借贷增加了家庭为了满足基本需求而赌博的可能性。研究结果为当前政策法规未能解决发薪日贷款问题提供了更多见解。
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引用次数: 1
EFFECT OF NAFTA ON MEXICO´S WAGE INEQUALITY 北美自由贸易协定对墨西哥工资不平等的影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-06-20 DOI: 10.20472/ES.2019.8.1.009
Martha Rodríguez-Villalobos, Antonio Julián-Arias, Alejandro Cruz-Montaño
One of the benefits that the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) would bring to the country was the reduction of large differences in wages as a result of the increase in productivity. The present study measures the effect of demographic, labor, and sector variables on Mexico?s wage inequality during the period 1988 to 2017, as well as the impact that the incorporation to NAFTA has had. Through a fixed effects model, it was found that the increase in the proportion of people working in the service and agricultural sectors increased the wage gap, as well as the people who occupy managerial positions, since they obtained a relative salary higher than the average. Despite the expected results of NAFTA, this economic trade integration increased the wage differential in Mexico and these levels are invariant over time, giving way to proposals to change the minimum wage.
《北美自由贸易协定》的签署将给该国带来的好处之一是,生产力的提高减少了工资的巨大差异。本研究测量了人口、劳动力和部门变量对墨西哥的影响?1988年至2017年期间的工资不平等,以及加入北美自由贸易协定所产生的影响。通过一个固定效应模型发现,服务业和农业部门工作人员比例的增加,以及担任管理职位的人员的工资差距都有所扩大,因为他们的相对工资高于平均水平。尽管北美自由贸易协定取得了预期成果,但这种经济贸易一体化增加了墨西哥的工资差距,而且这些水平随着时间的推移保持不变,让位于改变最低工资的提议。
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引用次数: 2
ANALYSIS OF THE NEGATIVE AND POSITIVE IMPACT OF INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN VISEGRAD COUNTRIES 维谢格拉德国家制度因素对失业的消极和积极影响分析
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/EFC.2018.009.014
Klara Cermakova-Kaderabkova, E. Jašová
The objective of our analysis is to associate V4 Member States indicators with the selected institutional factors of the labour market. In addition, it aims at extending the Sekhon?s standard model for inflation with institutional factors. For the purposes of estimating the NAIRU in V4 countries, we intend to use the Kalman filter method with a higher than common smoothing coefficient. The model?s data will produce a specific period in which the institutional factors actually have a negative effect or positive effect onto the unemployment rate in individual countries. Finally, the analysis of the character and intensity of the impact of institutional factors onto the unemployment rate in individual V4 countries should indicate space for a wider application of institutional characters by economic policymakers. They should be warned about the threat of overusing the institutional factors having a negative effect onto the development of both structural and cyclical unemployment.
我们分析的目的是将V4成员国的指标与劳动力市场的选定制度因素联系起来。此外,它的目的是扩大香港?考虑制度因素的通货膨胀标准模型。为了估计V4国家的NAIRU,我们打算使用比普通平滑系数更高的卡尔曼滤波方法。这个模型吗?S数据将产生一个特定时期,其中制度因素实际上对个别国家的失业率产生消极或积极的影响。最后,对制度因素对个别V4国家失业率影响的特征和强度的分析应该表明经济政策制定者更广泛地应用制度特征的空间。应该警告他们,过度利用对结构性和周期性失业的发展都有负面影响的体制因素的威胁。
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引用次数: 10
EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MOROCCO: ASSESSMENT AND IMPACTS 摩洛哥的外债和经济增长:评估和影响
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/es.2019.8.2.006
Oumansour Nor-Eddine, Chkiriba Driss
This paper has the aim to study the impact of the external public debt on the economic growth in Morocco. The estimates cover the period 1988-2016. The econometric instrument used for estimating the model parameters is based on the "ARDL bound testing" method. The results confirm the high public debt has a negative and largely significant effect on the economic growth, for the short as well as for the long term. The effect is much more important in the short term than in the long term. The results corroborate most studies stating that the external debt has a negative impact on economic growth.
本文旨在研究外部公共债务对摩洛哥经济增长的影响。这些估计涵盖了1988年至2016年期间。用于估计模型参数的计量工具是基于“ARDL绑定检验”方法。研究结果证实,无论是从短期还是长期来看,高企的公共债务对经济增长都有很大的负面影响。这种影响在短期内比在长期内更为重要。这一结果证实了大多数关于外债对经济增长有负面影响的研究。
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引用次数: 5
ENDOGENOUS FIRM LOCATION WITH A DECREASING DENSITY OF CONSUMERS 消费者密度递减的内生企业区位
IF 2.4 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.20472/IAC.2018.042.017
John F. R. Harter
This note will use the Hotelling?s line model with a non-uniform distribution of consumers. Instead, a linear, decreasing density is employed to represent a decreasing population density as distance from a metropolitan area is increased along some transportation artery. Entry is sequential, and the number of firms is assumed endogenous after an initial firm is located, making the entrants consider the possibility of later firms. Entrants into this market have neither maximum nor minimum differentiation. Earlier entrants generally locate closer to the population center with the possible exception of the equilibrium location closest to the densest point on the line. The differentiation increases as the firms are farther from the population center.
这张便条会用到旅馆吗?消费者分布不均匀的S线模型。相反,我们采用线性的、递减的密度来表示随着一些交通要道与大都市的距离增加而递减的人口密度。进入是顺序的,在初始企业定位后,假设企业数量是内生的,使进入者考虑后续企业的可能性。进入这个市场的人既没有最大的差别也没有最小的差别。较早进入者通常位于靠近人口中心的位置,但可能例外的是,最靠近线路上最密集点的平衡位置。随着企业离人口中心越远,这种差异越大。
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引用次数: 1
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International Journal of Economic Sciences
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