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Pattern classification on specifics of public sector investments and budgeting principles 公共部门投资具体情况的模式分类和预算编制原则
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.002
Lukáš Bernat, Radka Michlová, H. Mitwallyová
The aim of the study is to find patterns in an exact complete data set containing the annual budget of all municipal subjects in the Czech Republic over the past 20 years. The focus of the analysis is on which resources could enable the development of and investment in municipal assets, especially estate property. The financial and real estate analysis (FAMA) method was chosen, which provides comparable indicators to calculate the debt service and other related features of subject performance on a municipal level. These indicators demonstrate whether municipal subjects follow responsible budgeting principles and/or how they utilize their own resources. Comparing similar studies using mentioned data and methodology there is a gap between context of data in time a relation chosen indicators. The reason of obstacle is to put data in time-series and properly analyze them. This appropriate items of indicators are aggregated so all the connections between them and other items are lost. In enormous amount of data study uses classification tools to unfold hidden patterns how does municipal budgeting develop in time without knowing details about each case in context of debt and assets. Study convert time dimension to static indicator of its dynamics a using pure K-Means classification conclude having 6 different clusters which differ each other in some of indicators. Within broader context of those clusters we propose an overview of municipal budgeting strategies. In big cities dominates financing of investment by debt and the rest of clusters differs usually significantly with small impact of their population size that is one of determinants budget income therefore essential budget part.
这项研究的目的是在一个准确完整的数据集中找到模式,该数据集包含捷克共和国过去20年所有市政科目的年度预算。分析的重点是哪些资源可以促进市政资产的开发和投资,尤其是房地产。选择了金融和房地产分析(FAMA)方法,该方法提供了可比指标,用于计算市一级的偿债情况和主体绩效的其他相关特征。这些指标表明市政主体是否遵循负责任的预算编制原则和/或如何利用自己的资源。比较使用上述数据和方法的类似研究,数据上下文与时间关系选择的指标之间存在差距。障碍的原因是将数据放在时间序列中并对其进行适当的分析。这些适当的指标项目被聚合,因此它们与其他项目之间的所有连接都会丢失。在大量的数据中,研究使用分类工具来揭示隐藏的模式,即在不了解债务和资产背景下每个案例的细节的情况下,市政预算是如何及时发展的。研究将时间维度转换为其动态的静态指标,使用纯K-Means分类得出结论,有6个不同的聚类,在某些指标上彼此不同。在这些集群的更广泛背景下,我们建议对市政预算战略进行概述。在大城市,债务投资融资占主导地位,而其他集群通常差异很大,其人口规模的影响很小,这是预算收入的决定因素之一,因此是必不可少的预算部分。
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引用次数: 0
REAL ESTATE MARKET AT A CROSSROAD - ERA OF AFFORDABLE HOUSING IS GONE 处于十字路口的房地产市场经济适用房时代已经过去
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.003
K. Čermáková, E. Hromada, Ondřej Bednář, T. Pavelka
Within a broad discussion on property price formation and property market specifics this paper aims to investigate the relationship between property price trends and number of transactions occurred on housing market. Specifically, we test if housing transaction volumes and rents are good predictors of housing prices and discuss causalities and differences in this relationship on the sales and rental property markets. We bring evidence from selected European property markets about the relationship between property price trend and number of transactions occurring on this market. We argue that increased number of transactions is predictive of increase in property price, but prices tend to be rigid in the opposite (downward) direction. Thus, cooling down of demand for properties may rather decrease number of transactions than push down property prices. This appealing result may bring light into understanding why property prices appreciate across time and countries.
在对房地产价格形成和房地产市场具体情况的广泛讨论中,本文旨在调查房地产价格趋势与住房市场交易数量之间的关系。具体来说,我们测试了住房交易量和租金是否是房价的良好预测因素,并讨论了这种关系在房地产销售和租赁市场上的因果关系和差异。我们从选定的欧洲房地产市场获得了房地产价格趋势与该市场交易数量之间关系的证据。我们认为,交易数量的增加预示着房地产价格的上涨,但价格往往是刚性的(向下)方向。因此,房地产需求的降温可能会减少交易数量,而不是压低房地产价格。这一吸引人的结果可能会让我们理解为什么房地产价格会随着时间和国家的推移而上涨。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluation Of The Antivirus A Programme In The Czech Republic During The COVID-19 Pandemic 新冠肺炎大流行期间捷克共和国抗病毒药物A计划的评估
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.009
A. Zubikova, Kristýna Veselá, P. Smolák
This paper analyses an employment support programme – the Antivirus A Programme – implemented in the Czech Republic during the COVID-19 pandemic aimed at maintaining a constant level of employment. We present this government programme in detail, including individual data related to its effectiveness and examine similar employment support programmes in other EU countries during the pandemic. We also analyse the economic development of sectors that received employment support. The main contribution of the paper is the creation of a counterfactual scenario of unemployment and inflation rate in the Czech Republic in the absence of the Antivirus A Programme using a short-run Phillips curve concept. According to Bajgar et al. (2021), one third of Czech workers could work from home during the pandemic. We find that if these workers had not been supported by the Antivirus A Programme, Czech taxpayers could have saved EUR 0.15 billion and inflation rate could have been reduced (based on our short-run Phillips curve model) by 0.66–0.99 p.p. for the entire duration of the Antivirus A Programme depending on the choice of assumptions related to the possibility of working from home.
本文分析了在新冠肺炎大流行期间在捷克共和国实施的一项就业支持计划——抗病毒A计划,旨在保持恒定的就业水平。我们详细介绍了这项政府计划,包括与其有效性相关的个人数据,并研究了疫情期间其他欧盟国家的类似就业支持计划。我们还分析了获得就业支持的部门的经济发展情况。该论文的主要贡献是使用短期菲利普斯曲线概念,在没有抗病毒a计划的情况下,创建了捷克共和国失业率和通货膨胀率的反事实情景。根据Bajgar等人(2021)的数据,在疫情期间,三分之一的捷克工人可以在家工作。我们发现,如果这些工人没有得到抗病毒A计划的支持,捷克纳税人本可以节省1亿欧元,并且在抗病毒A计划期间,通货膨胀率(根据我们的短期菲利普斯曲线模型)可能会降低0.66–0.99 p.p.,这取决于与在家工作的可能性相关的假设的选择。
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引用次数: 0
An Opinion-based research on Cryptocurrency and it's functioning in India. 一项基于意见的加密货币研究,它在印度发挥作用。
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.004
Rahi Dhond, Shantanou Gangakhedkarr, Shreya Siddanagowder
This paper aims to analyse the crypto market in India from the viewpoint of consumers who could potentially trade in these markets and extend the extent of their behaviour to the importance of a regulatory body within the economy. The central idea of this paper is to estimate the importance of a central bank in the minds of people and how it affects their trust on a currency which is unregulated. This forms the first tier of the paperIn order to get insight into the more technical dynamics of cryptocurrencies, the paper then studies cryptocurrency from the point of view of experts who explain the different dimensions of the crypto markets. This forms the second tier of the paper.The paper aims to analyse from the surveys conducted and the available literature, the nature of the crypto market in India with a more reporting approach than a problem-solving model.The research is based on primary data collected by means of surveys and structured interviews. These are termed as the two tiers in the paper. Using quantitative statistical analysis to find the common trend of the sample and a descriptive approach for the analysis of the interviews, the paper examines how the two tiers behave single-handedly and their dynamic when they interact.
本文旨在从可能在这些市场进行交易的消费者的角度分析印度的加密货币市场,并将他们的行为范围扩展到经济中监管机构的重要性。本文的核心思想是评估央行在人们心目中的重要性,以及它如何影响他们对不受监管货币的信任。这构成了论文的第一层。为了深入了解加密货币的更多技术动态,论文从解释加密货币市场不同维度的专家的角度研究加密货币。这构成了论文的第二层。本文旨在通过调查和现有文献分析印度加密货币市场的性质,采用更多的报告方法,而不是解决问题的模型。这项研究基于通过调查和结构化访谈收集的初步数据。这在论文中被称为两个层次。使用定量统计分析来发现样本的共同趋势,并使用描述性方法来分析访谈,本文考察了两个层次在互动时的单独行为及其动态。
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引用次数: 0
A Tool for Evaluating Public Procurement in the Context of Life Cycle Costs 从生命周期成本角度评估公共采购的工具
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.006
D. Macek
The paper deals with the issue of selection procedures. The goal is to show how it is possible to incorporate a view of life cycle costs into the tender process, and not only deal with the aspect of investment costs. The paper is proposed by the Life Cycle Cost Inspector (LCCI). LCCI divides investment opportunities into individual components with their own operating characteristics and costs, allowing for a clear comparison of different investment alternatives. The tool considers acquisition costs, operating costs, and disposal costs over a specific period. LCCI also allows for reverse evaluation, where investment costs are modified based on efficiency. The tool's universality enables its use across various sectors, not just the construction industry. The author aims to shift public practice from tendering "on price" to "tendering on quality" by providing a simple methodology for comparing investment options based on the entire life cycle costs. The application is based on the Building Cost Information Service (BCIS) standard issued by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS).
该文件涉及甄选程序问题。目标是展示如何将生命周期成本的观点纳入招标过程,而不仅仅是处理投资成本方面。本文由生命周期成本检查员(LCCI)提出。LCCI将投资机会划分为具有各自运营特征和成本的各个组成部分,以便对不同的投资选择进行明确的比较。该工具考虑了特定时期内的收购成本、运营成本和处置成本。LCCI还允许反向评估,即根据效率修改投资成本。该工具的通用性使其能够在各个部门使用,而不仅仅是在建筑行业。作者旨在通过提供一种基于整个生命周期成本比较投资选择的简单方法,将公共实践从“基于价格”的投标转变为“基于质量的投标”。该申请基于英国皇家特许测量师学会(RICS)发布的建筑成本信息服务(BCIS)标准。
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引用次数: 0
Performance of Slovenian Listed Firms during COVID-19 Out-break 2019冠状病毒病疫情期间斯洛文尼亚上市公司业绩分析
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.008
Tomislava Pavić Kramarić
This research aims to estimate the determinants of firm performance during the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, the sample of Slovenian non-financial listed firms operating in the period 2017 – 2021 is used. Firm performance is expressed with market-based as well as accounting-based performance measures, including Tobin's Q, ROA, and ROE, while potential determinants encompass several firm-oriented variables. These are the firm size, liquidity expressed with the current ratio, leverage, tangibility, sales growth, age of the firm as well as COVID-19 dummy variable. The results of dynamic panel analysis disclose that liquidity, leverage, sales growth, and COVID-19 dummy are statistically significant in explaining firm performance. Specifically, liquidity and leverage are found to be significant in explaining Tobin's q, sales growth is a statistically significant determinant of both ROA and ROE while the latter is also negatively impacted by leverage and the COVID-19 dummy.
本研究旨在估计新冠肺炎大流行期间企业绩效的决定因素。为此,使用了2017-2021年期间运营的斯洛文尼亚非金融上市公司的样本。企业绩效用基于市场和会计的绩效指标来表示,包括托宾Q、ROA和ROE,而潜在的决定因素包括几个面向企业的变量。这些是公司规模、以流动比率表示的流动性、杠杆、有形资产、销售增长、公司年龄以及新冠肺炎虚拟变量。动态面板分析的结果显示,流动性、杠杆率、销售增长和新冠肺炎模型在解释公司业绩方面具有统计学意义。具体而言,流动性和杠杆率被发现在解释Tobin的q时具有重要意义,销售增长是ROA和ROE的统计显著决定因素,而ROE也受到杠杆率和新冠肺炎模型的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
HOW THE ENERGY SECTOR IS AFFECTING ECONOMIC GROWTH – COMPARING THE UNITED KINGDOM WITH INDIA 能源部门是如何影响经济增长的——比较英国和印度
Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.52950/es.2023.12.1.001
Merlin Thanga Joy Atchuthen, S. Sankara Muthu Kumar
A country's economy depends heavily on energy. Economic productivity and industrial growth depend on the use of energy in modern economies. In a modern economy, energy is responsible for more than one-tenth of the cost of production but accounts for most industrial growth, according to Barney and Franzi (2002). The economy’s need for energy has grown at about the same rate as that of wealth. It is a fact that wealth creation is predominantly calculated based on the usage of energy by society. At the beginning of the 19th century, biomass is the preferred choice of fuel. Energy demand in the west and advanced economies increased more rapidly because of rising standards during the end of the 20th century. In most production and consumption activities, energy plays a significant role in economic growth. An analysis of the energy sector components and their impacts on economic progress in two countries, the United Kingdom and India, was conducted based on an analytical approach. It is found in both countries that energy efficiency and foreign direct investment (net inflows) are positively correlated. Both the United Kingdom and India have significant correlations between energy efficiency and GDP (percentage of GDP). Employment rates and energy efficiency go hand in hand in both countries. India's GDP per capita growth (annual %) is positively correlated with energy efficiency (0.447). This study followed only the economic indicators from the World Bank Development Indicators report.
一个国家的经济在很大程度上依赖能源。现代经济的经济生产力和工业增长取决于能源的使用。根据Barney和Franzi(2002)的说法,在现代经济中,能源占生产成本的十分之一以上,但却占工业增长的大部分。经济对能源的需求与财富的增长速度大致相同。事实上,财富创造主要是根据社会对能源的使用来计算的。在19世纪初,生物质是首选的燃料。由于20世纪末标准的提高,西方和发达经济体的能源需求增长得更快。在大多数生产和消费活动中,能源对经济增长起着重要作用。根据一种分析方法,对联合王国和印度这两个国家的能源部门组成部分及其对经济进展的影响进行了分析。研究发现,两国的能源效率与外国直接投资(净流入)呈正相关。英国和印度在能源效率和GDP(占GDP的百分比)之间都有显著的相关性。在这两个国家,就业率和能源效率齐头并进。印度的人均GDP增长率(年%)与能源效率正相关(0.447)。这项研究仅遵循世界银行发展指标报告中的经济指标。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Managerial Awareness Level on Negotiation and Conflict Resolution in Nepalese Banking Sectors: Descriptive Cross-sectional Analysis 确定尼泊尔银行业谈判和冲突解决的管理意识水平:描述性横断面分析
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i2.a1
Neha Kayastha, Niranjan Devkota, Sushanta Kumar, Ranjana Koirala, Udaya Raj, S. Parajuli
These days conflict resolution and negotiation seem to be tough and challenging tasks for managerial-level employees. Conflict with various stakeholders in the banking industry can be considered a major aspect. The study employs a descriptive data analysis procedure that covers a sample of 267 managerial-level staff. The purpose of this study is to identify the managerial awareness level of negotiation and conflict resolution in Nepalese banking sectors. The results of the study illustrated that managerial levels at commercial banks in Kathmandu Valley have high (86.14%) negotiation skills. Also, 67.16% of managers in the banking sector focus on maintaining a good relationship with another party while trying to resolve conflict through negotiation. Managerial employees even agreed that they faced challenges in the process of negotiation and conflict resolution. One of the major challenges is the lack of timing among the employees at commercial banks, due to which proper negotiation rarely takes place.
如今,对管理级别的员工来说,解决冲突和谈判似乎是一项艰巨而富有挑战性的任务。与银行业各种利益相关者的冲突可以被认为是一个主要方面。这项研究采用描述性数据分析程序,抽样267名管理级工作人员。本研究的目的是确定尼泊尔银行部门的谈判和冲突解决的管理意识水平。研究结果表明,加德满都谷地商业银行的管理层谈判技巧较高(86.14%)。67.16%的银行管理者注重与另一方保持良好的关系,同时试图通过谈判解决冲突。管理人员甚至一致认为,他们在谈判和解决冲突的过程中面临挑战。商业银行员工面临的主要挑战之一是缺乏时机,因此很少进行适当的谈判。
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引用次数: 1
Nexuses between Economic Growth and Health Indicators: Evidence from Pakistan 经济增长与健康指标之间的联系:来自巴基斯坦的证据
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i2.a5
Reem Gulzar, N. Ahmed
The goal of this article is to look at how various health indices affect Pakistan's economic growth. To achieve this goal, error correction and co-integration methods were used by using time series data from 1990 to 2022. The goal of this research is to examine the short-run and long-term temporal connections between health and per capita GDP growth. In the long-run, there is a significant relationship between per capita GDP and economic health indicators, which are significantly affecting per-capita GDP. According to the results of short run, health indicators have no meaningful influence on per-capita GDP. While indicators of health have a considerable long-run influence in economic growth. It implies that the influence of health indicators can only impact economic growth in the long run. The study's main result suggests financial gain, through growing and raising the stock of healthy human capital, particularly if present stocks are at a low level. Improved health has a two-way interaction with the economic process. This research is to examine the short-run and long-term temporal connections between health and per capita GDP growth, using mistreatment Co-integration and Error Correction. Long-term health and economic process studies would be extremely valuable in determining the achievable magnitudes of the entire cumulative effects of health on economic process. Two key hypotheses would be examined; the first would be that 'health influences economic growth' might be a long-standing temporal development. Second, what role do health output and input factors play in per capita GDP growth?
本文的目的是研究各种健康指数如何影响巴基斯坦的经济增长。为了实现这一目标,采用误差校正和协整方法,使用1990年至2022年的时间序列数据。本研究的目的是检验健康与人均GDP增长之间的短期和长期联系。从长期来看,人均国内生产总值与经济健康指标之间存在显著关系,经济健康指标对人均国内生产总值有显著影响。从短期结果来看,健康指标对人均GDP没有显著影响。健康指标对经济增长具有相当大的长期影响。这意味着健康指标的影响只能长期影响经济增长。这项研究的主要结果表明,通过增加和提高健康人力资本的存量,特别是在现有存量处于较低水平的情况下,可以获得经济收益。改善健康与经济进程具有双向的相互作用。本研究是检验健康和人均GDP增长之间的短期和长期的时间联系,使用虐待协整和误差校正。长期健康和经济进程研究在确定健康对经济进程的全部累积影响的可实现程度方面将非常有价值。将检验两个关键假设;首先,“健康影响经济增长”可能是一个长期的暂时发展。第二,卫生产出和投入要素在人均GDP增长中的作用是什么?
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Remittances on Social Behavior towards Higher Education in District Poonch AJK 汇款对Poonch AJK地区高等教育社会行为的影响
IF 2.4 Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.55603/jes.v1i2.a3
Farrukh Ishtiaq, Muhammad Ajmair
The primary objective of the study is to check the impact of remittances on enrollment, the performance of the students of higher education, and the attitude of the households. For this study, primary data were collected through a questionnaire. Randomly 75 migrants and 75 non-migrants were selected. The Binary Logistic model is used to check the impact of remittances on the enrollment of the students and the ordinary least square is used to check the impact of remittances on students' performance. The study concludes that remittances have a significant impact on the enrollment of the students and the impact of remittances on the performance of the students is not significant. Concerned authorities should focus on improving the performance of the students by providing different incentives through the higher education department of AJK.
本研究的主要目的是检验汇款对入学、高等教育学生表现和家庭态度的影响。在本研究中,主要通过问卷调查收集资料。随机抽取75名移民和75名非移民。使用二元Logistic模型检验汇款对学生入学率的影响,使用普通最小二乘法检验汇款对学生成绩的影响。研究发现,汇款对学生入学有显著影响,而汇款对学生学业成绩的影响不显著。有关当局应该通过AJK的高等教育部门提供不同的激励措施,专注于提高学生的表现。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Economic Sciences
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