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An Inferential Aptness of a Weibull Generated Distribution and Application 威布尔生成分布的一个推论适定性及其应用
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.13052/10.13052/jrss0974-8024.14214
Brijesh P Singh, Utpal Dhar Das
In this article an attempt has been made to develop a flexible single parameter continuous distribution using Weibull distribution. The Weibull distribution is most widely used lifetime distributions in both medical and engineering sectors. The exponential and Rayleigh distribution is particular case of Weibull distribution. Here in this study we use these two distributions for developing a new distribution. Important statistical properties of the proposed distribution is discussed such as moments, moment generating and characteristic function. Various entropy measures like Rényi, Shannon and cumulative entropy are also derived. The kthkt⁢h order statistics of pdf and cdf also obtained. The properties of hazard function and their limiting behavior is discussed. The maximum likelihood estimate of the parameter is obtained that is not in closed form, thus iteration procedure is used to obtain the estimate. Simulation study has been done for different sample size and MLE, MSE, Bias for the parameter λλ has been observed. Some real data sets are used to check the suitability of model over some other competent distributions for some data sets from medical and engineering science. In the tail area, the proposed model works better. Various model selection criterion such as -2LL, AIC, AICc, BIC, K-S and A-D test suggests that the proposed distribution perform better than other competent distributions and thus considered this as an alternative distribution. The proposed single parameter distribution is found more flexible as compare to some other two parameter complicated distributions for the data sets considered in the present study.
本文试图利用威布尔分布建立一种灵活的单参数连续分布。威布尔分布是医疗和工程领域中使用最广泛的寿命分布。指数分布和瑞利分布是威布尔分布的特殊情况。在本研究中,我们使用这两个分布来开发一个新的分布。讨论了该分布的重要统计性质,如矩、矩生成和特征函数。还导出了各种熵测度,如Rényi、Shannon和累积熵。还获得了pdf和cdf的kthkt h阶统计数据。讨论了危险函数的性质及其极限行为。获得了参数的非闭合形式的最大似然估计,从而使用迭代过程来获得估计。对不同的样本量进行了模拟研究,并观察到参数λλ的MLE、MSE和Bias。一些真实的数据集用于检查模型相对于医学和工程科学的一些数据集的其他有效分布的适用性。在尾部区域,所提出的模型效果更好。各种模型选择标准,如-2LL、AIC、AICc、BIC、K-S和A-D检验表明,所提出的分布比其他有能力的分布表现更好,因此将其视为一种替代分布。对于本研究中考虑的数据集,与其他一些两参数复杂分布相比,所提出的单参数分布更灵活。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical Inference Under Step Stress Partially Accelerated Life Testing for Adaptive Type-II Progressive Hybrid Censored Data 自适应II型渐进混合截尾数据阶跃应力部分加速寿命试验下的统计推断
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.13052/10.13052/jrss0974-8024.14211
M. Kamal, Ahmadur Rahman, S. Zarrin, Haneefa Kausar
Accelerated life tests (ALTs) are designed to investigate the lifetime of extraordinarily reliable things by exposing them to increased stress levels of stressors such as temperature, voltage, pressure, and so on, in order to cause early breakdowns. The Nadarajah-Haghighi (NH) distribution is of tremendous importance and practical relevance in many real-life scenarios due to its attractive qualities such as its density function always has a zero mode and its hazard rate function can be increasing, decreasing, or constant. In this article, the NH distribution is considered as a lifetime distribution under the step stress partially accelerated life testing (SSPALT) model with adaptive type II progressively hybrid censored samples. The unknown model parameters and acceleration factors are estimated using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method assuming that the impact of stress change in SSPALT is explained by a tampered random variable (TRV) model. The Fisher information matrix, which is based on large sample theory, is also constructed and used to produce the approximate confidence intervals (ACIs). Furthermore, two potential optimum test strategies based on the A and D optimality criteria are evaluated. To investigate the performance of the proposed methodologies and statistical assumptions established in this article, extensive simulations using R software have been conducted. Finally, to further illustrate the suggested approach, a real-world example based on the times between breakdowns for a repairable system has been provided.
加速寿命测试(ALTs)旨在通过将非常可靠的东西暴露在温度、电压、压力等压力源的应力水平增加的情况下,来研究它们的寿命,从而导致早期故障。Nadrajah Hagheii(NH)分布在许多现实场景中具有巨大的重要性和实际意义,因为它具有吸引人的特性,例如其密度函数始终为零模式,其危险率函数可以是增加、减少或恒定的。在本文中,NH分布被认为是具有自适应II型渐进混合截尾样本的阶跃应力部分加速寿命测试(SSPALT)模型下的寿命分布。假设应力变化对SSPALT的影响由篡改随机变量(TRV)模型解释,使用最大似然估计(MLE)方法估计未知的模型参数和加速度因子。还构建了基于大样本理论的Fisher信息矩阵,并将其用于生成近似置信区间。此外,还评估了基于A和D最优性准则的两种潜在的最优测试策略。为了研究本文中提出的方法和统计假设的性能,使用R软件进行了广泛的模拟。最后,为了进一步说明所提出的方法,提供了一个基于可修复系统故障间隔时间的真实例子。
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引用次数: 4
Design of Improved EWMA Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean Using New Median Quartile Double Ranked Set Sampling 改进EWMA控制图的设计——用新的中值四分位数双秩集抽样监测过程平均值
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.13052/10.13052/jrss0974-8024.14213
Wasif Yasin, M. Tayyab, M. Hanif
It is essential to monitor the mean of a process regarding quality characteristics for the ongoing production. For enhancement of mean monitoring power of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart, a new median quartile double ranked set sampling (MQDRSS) based EWMA control chart is proposed and named as EWMA-MQDRSS chart. In order to study the performance of the developed EWMA-MQDRSS chart, performance measures; average run length, and the standard deviation of run length are used. The shift detection ability of the proposed chart has been compared with counterparts, under the simple random sampling and ranking based sampling techniques. The extensive simulation-based results indicate that the EWMA-MQDRSS chart performs better to trace all kinds of shifts than the existing charts. An illustrative application concerning monitoring the diameter of the piston ring of a machine is also provided to demonstrate the practical utilization of the suggested chart.
对正在进行的生产的质量特征过程的平均值进行监控是至关重要的。为了增强指数加权移动平均(EWMA)图的平均监测能力,提出了一种新的基于中位数四分位数双排序集抽样(MQDRSS)的EWMA控制图,并命名为EWMA-MQDRSS图。为了研究EWMA-MQDRSS图表的性能,制定了性能指标;使用平均行程长度和行程长度的标准偏差。在简单的随机抽样和基于排序的抽样技术下,将所提出的图表的偏移检测能力与同行进行了比较。基于大量模拟的结果表明,EWMA-MQDRSS图表在跟踪各种变化方面比现有图表表现得更好。还提供了一个关于监测机器活塞环直径的说明性应用,以证明所建议的图表的实际应用。
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引用次数: 1
Ratio in Ratio Type Exponential Strategy for the Estimation of Population Mean 人口均值估计的比率型指数策略中的比率
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-11-20 DOI: 10.13052/jrss0974-8024.1429
Anurag Gupta, Rajesh Tailor
This paper is an attempt to develop an estimator for finite population mean. Motivated by Kiregyera (1984), a ratio in ratio type exponential strategy is developed for estimation of population mean in double sampling for stratification. To compare with relevant considered estimators, expressions for bias and mean squared error of the developed estimator have been derived. The developed estimator has been compared with usual unbiased estimator, Ige and Tripathi (1987), ratio estimator and ratio type exponential estimator given by Tailor et al (2014) theoretically as well as empirically.
本文试图发展一个有限总体均值的估计量。在Kiregyera(1984)的启发下,提出了一种比率型指数策略,用于在分层的双抽样中估计人口平均值。为了和相关的估计量进行比较,导出了所发展的估计量的偏差和均方误差的表达式。将所开发的估计量与通常的无偏估计量Ige和Tripathi(1987)、Tailor等人(2014)给出的比率估计量和比率型指数估计量进行了理论和实证比较。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling Age at Menstrual Onset and Developing Menarcheal Life Table 模拟月经开始年龄和制定月经周期生命表
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-10-14 DOI: 10.13052/jrss0974-8024.1428
Brijesh P Singh
Population scientists are generally developing mathematical models/techniques in demography and to provide brief explanation of extensive data sets. The prime objective of the present paper is to propose a probability model to illustrate the distribution of female’s age at first menstrual onset. Menarcheal age distribution is used to evaluate risk associated to reproductive issues and may be used as a demographic indicator of female fecundity. The suitability of proposed model is tested with the real data sets. Parameters of the proposed distribution have been estimated through least square estimation technique. It is observed that older female’s age at menarche is somewhat higher than the younger female’s age at menarche. Also we have constructed a life table for menarcheal age using a probability model. This life table is enable to provide expected duration of getting menarche for a girl of a particular age.
人口科学家一般都在发展人口统计学的数学模型/技术,并对大量的数据集提供简短的解释。本文的主要目的是提出一个概率模型来说明女性第一次月经的年龄分布。月经初潮年龄分布用于评估与生殖问题有关的风险,并可作为女性生育能力的人口指标。用实际数据集验证了所提模型的适用性。利用最小二乘估计技术对所提出的分布参数进行了估计。观察到,老年女性的初潮年龄略高于年轻女性的初潮年龄。我们还利用概率模型构造了月经初潮年龄的生命表。这个生命表能够提供特定年龄的女孩月经初潮的预期持续时间。
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引用次数: 0
The Poisson Nadarajah-Haghighi Distribution: Different Methods of Estimation Poisson-Nadrajah-Hagheii分布:不同的估计方法
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-08-30 DOI: 10.13052/jrss0974-8024.1423
Sajid Ali, S. Dey, M. H. Tahir, M. Mansoor
Estimation of parameters of Poisson Nadarajah-Haghighi (PNH) distribution from the frequentist and Bayesian point of view is discussed in this article. To this end, we briefly described ten different frequentist approaches, namely, the maximum likelihood estimators, percentile based estimators, least squares estimators, weighted least squares estimators, maximum product of spacings estimators, minimum spacing absolute distance estimators, minimum spacing absolute-log distance estimators, Cramér-von Mises estimators, Anderson-Darling estimators and right-tail Anderson-Darling estimators. To assess the performance of different estimators, Monte Carlo simulations are done for small and large samples. The performance of the estimators is compared in terms of their bias, root mean squares error, average absolute difference between the true and estimated distribution functions, and the maximum absolute difference between the true and estimated distribution functions of the estimates using simulated data. For the Bayesian inference of the unknown parameters, we use Metropolis–Hastings (MH) algorithm to calculate the Bayes estimates and the corresponding credible intervals. Results from the simulation study suggests that among the considered classical methods of estimation, weighted least squares and the maximum product spacing estimators uniformly produces the least biases of the estimates with least root mean square errors. However, Bayes estimates perform better than all other estimates. Finally, we discuss a practical data set to show the application of the distribution.
本文从频率论和贝叶斯的角度讨论了Poisson-Nadrajah-Hagheii(PNH)分布参数的估计。为此,我们简要描述了十种不同的频率论方法,即最大似然估计量、基于百分位数的估计量、最小二乘估计量、加权最小二乘估计量,空间的最大乘积估计量、最小空间绝对距离估计量、最小空间绝对对数距离估计量和Cramér-von Mises估计量,Anderson-Darling估计量和右尾Anderson-Darlin估计量。为了评估不同估计量的性能,对小样本和大样本进行了蒙特卡罗模拟。使用模拟数据,根据估计的偏差、均方根误差、真实分布函数与估计分布函数之间的平均绝对差以及真实分布函数和估计分布函数的最大绝对差来比较估计量的性能。对于未知参数的贝叶斯推断,我们使用Metropolis–Hastings(MH)算法来计算贝叶斯估计和相应的可信区间。模拟研究的结果表明,在所考虑的经典估计方法中,加权最小二乘和最大乘积间距估计一致地产生具有最小均方根误差的估计的最小偏差。然而,贝叶斯估计的性能要好于所有其他估计。最后,我们讨论了一个实际的数据集来展示分布的应用。
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引用次数: 5
Estimation R=Pr(Y>X) for a Family of Lifetime Distributions by Transformation Method 用变换法估计一类寿命分布的R=Pr(Y>X)
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-08-23 DOI: 10.13052/JRSS0974-8024.1422
Surinder Kumar, P. Gautam
For a Family of lifetime distributions proposed by Chaturvedi and Singh (2008) [6]. The problem of estimating R(t) = P(X > t), which is dened as the probability that a system survives until time t and R = P(Y > X), which represents the stress-strength model are revisited. In order to obtain the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE'S), uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators (UMVUS'S), interval estimators and the Bayes estimators for the considered model. The technique of transformation method is used.
对于Chaturvedi和Singh(2008)提出的终身分布族[j]。重新研究了估计R(t) = P(X > t)的问题,即系统存活到时间t和R = P(Y > X)的概率,这代表了应力-强度模型。为了得到所考虑模型的极大似然估计量(MLE’s)、一致最小方差无偏估计量(UMVUS’s)、区间估计量和贝叶斯估计量。采用了变换法技术。
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引用次数: 0
PCM Transformation: Properties and Their Estimation PCM变换的性质及其估计
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-07-10 DOI: 10.13052/JRSS0974-8024.1421
D. Kumar, Priyesh Kumar, Pradip Kumar, S. Singh, U. Singh
In the present piece of work, we are going to propose a new trigonometry based transformation called PCM transformation. We have been obtained its various statistical properties such as survival function, hazard rate function, reverse-hazard rate function, moment generating function, median, stochastic ordering etc. Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) method under classical approach and Bayesian approaches are tackled to obtain the estimate of unknown parameter. A real dataset has been applied to check its fitness on the basis of fitting criterions Akaike Information criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information criterion (BIC), log-likelihood (-LL) and Kolmogrov-Smirnov (KS) test statistic values in real sense. A simulation study is also being conducted to assess the estimator’s long-term attitude and compared over some chosen distributions.
在这项工作中,我们将提出一种新的基于三角的变换,称为PCM变换。我们已经得到了它的各种统计性质,如生存函数、风险率函数、反向风险率函数,矩母函数、中值、随机排序等。在经典方法和贝叶斯方法下的最大似然估计(MLE)方法被用来获得未知参数的估计。在Akaike信息准则(AIC)、Bayesian信息准则(BIC)、对数似然(-LL)和实际意义上的Kolmogrov-Smirnov(KS)检验统计量的拟合准则的基础上,应用真实数据集来检验其适合性。还进行了一项模拟研究,以评估估计器的长期态度,并对一些选定的分布进行了比较。
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引用次数: 1
Reliability Test Plan for an Extended Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution 扩展Birnbaum-Saunders分布的可靠性测试计划
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.13052/jrss0974-8024.14117
Jiju Gillariose, Lishamol Tomy
Birnbaum-Saunders distribution has been widely studied in statistical literature because this distribution accommodates several interesting properties. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new parametric distribution based on the Birnbaum-Saunders model and develop a new acceptance sampling plans for derived extended Birnbaum-Saunders distribution when the mean lifetime test is truncated at a predetermined time. For various acceptance numbers, confidence levels and values of the ratio of the fixed experimental time to the specified mean life, the minimum sample size necessary to assure a specified mean lifetime worked out. The results are illustrated by a numerical example. The operating characteristic functions of the sampling plans and producer’s risk and the ratio of true mean life to a specified mean life that ensures acceptance with a pre-assigned probability are tabulated. This paper presents relevant characteristics of the new distribution and a new acceptance sampling plans when the lifetime of a product adopts an extended Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. Based on this study, the optimal number of testers demanded is decreases as test termination time increases. Moreover, the operating characteristic values increases as the mean life ratio increases, which indicate that items with increased mean life will be accepted with higher probability compared with items with lower mean life ratio.
伯恩鲍姆-桑德斯分布在统计文献中得到了广泛的研究,因为这种分布包含了几个有趣的性质。本文的目的是在Birnbaum-Saunders模型的基础上引入一种新的参数分布,并针对平均寿命试验在预定时间截断时推导出的扩展Birnbaum-Saunders分布提出一种新的接受抽样方案。对于固定实验时间与规定平均寿命之比的各种可接受数字、置信水平和值,计算出保证规定平均寿命所需的最小样本量。最后通过数值算例说明了计算结果。抽样计划的操作特征函数和生产者的风险,以及确保以预先分配的概率接受的实际平均寿命与指定平均寿命的比率被制成表格。本文给出了产品寿命采用扩展Birnbaum-Saunders分布时的新分布的相关特征和一种新的验收抽样方案。研究表明,随着试验终止时间的增加,所需的最优测试仪数量逐渐减少。此外,随着平均寿命比的增加,工作特征值也随之增加,这表明与平均寿命比较低的项目相比,平均寿命增加的项目被接受的概率更高。
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引用次数: 2
A Comparative Study for Weighted Rayleigh Distribution 加权瑞利分布的比较研究
IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-06-21 DOI: 10.13052/jrss0974-8024.14112
Sofi Mudasir Ahad, Sheikh Parvaiz Ahmad, Sheikh Aasimeh Rehman
In this paper, Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are used for parameter estimation of weighted Rayleigh (WR) distribution. Posterior distributions are derived under the assumption of informative and non-informative priors. The Bayes estimators and associated risks are obtained under different symmetric and asymmetric loss functions. Results are compared on the basis of posterior risk and mean square error using simulated and real life data sets. The study depicts that in order to estimate the scale parameter of the weighted Rayleigh distribution use of entropy loss function under Gumbel type II prior can be preferred. Also, Bayesian method of estimation having least values of mean squared error gives better results as compared to maximum likelihood method of estimation.
本文将贝叶斯和非贝叶斯方法用于加权瑞利分布的参数估计。后验分布是在信息先验和非信息先验的假设下导出的。在不同的对称和非对称损失函数下,得到了贝叶斯估计量和相关风险。使用模拟和现实生活数据集,在后验风险和均方误差的基础上对结果进行了比较。该研究表明,为了估计加权瑞利分布的尺度参数,在Gumbel II型先验下使用熵损失函数是优选的。此外,与最大似然估计方法相比,具有最小均方误差值的贝叶斯估计方法给出了更好的结果。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Reliability and Statistical Studies
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