首页 > 最新文献

Household Finance eJournal最新文献

英文 中文
Public Pensions and Private Savings 公共养老金和私人储蓄
Pub Date : 2021-03-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3797771
Esteban García-Miralles, Jonathan M. Leganza
How does the provision of public pension benefits impact private savings? We answer this question in the context of a reform in Denmark that altered old-age benefit payouts through a discontinuous increase in pension eligibility ages contingent on birthdate. Using detailed administrative data and a regression discontinuity design, we identify the causal effects of the policy, leveraging our setting to study essentially the entire financial portfolio. We document responses over two distinct time horizons. First, we show a lack of responses after the reform was announced but before it was implemented, inconsistent with the notion that future differences in pension eligibility impact savings. Second, we show large savings responses after implementation, when delayed benefit eligibility induces individuals to extend employment. Specifically, we find increased contributions to both employer-sponsored and personal retirement accounts, whereas we find no evidence of adjustments to other savings vehicles, such as bank or stock market accounts. Additional analyses point to inertia as a leading explanatory channel. The increased savings in personal retirement plans is entirely driven by those who made consistent contributions in the past. Moreover, the increased savings in employer-sponsored plans is largely explained by continuing to contribute at employer default rates, highlighting a role for firm policies in mediating responses to social security reform.
公共养老金福利的提供如何影响私人储蓄?我们在丹麦改革的背景下回答了这个问题,该改革通过根据出生日期不连续地增加养老金资格年龄来改变老年福利支出。使用详细的管理数据和回归不连续设计,我们确定了政策的因果效应,利用我们的设置来研究整个金融投资组合。我们在两个不同的时间范围内记录响应。首先,我们发现,在改革宣布之后,但在改革实施之前,缺乏回应,这与未来养老金资格差异影响储蓄的观点不一致。其次,我们显示了在实施后,当延迟福利资格诱导个人延长就业时,大量储蓄反应。具体来说,我们发现雇主赞助和个人退休账户的缴款都增加了,而我们没有发现其他储蓄工具(如银行或股票市场账户)调整的证据。其他分析指出惯性是一个主要的解释渠道。个人退休计划中储蓄的增加完全是由那些过去一直缴款的人推动的。此外,雇主赞助计划的储蓄增加在很大程度上可以通过继续以雇主违约率缴费来解释,这突出了企业政策在协调社会保障改革反应方面的作用。
{"title":"Public Pensions and Private Savings","authors":"Esteban García-Miralles, Jonathan M. Leganza","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3797771","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3797771","url":null,"abstract":"How does the provision of public pension benefits impact private savings? We answer this question in the context of a reform in Denmark that altered old-age benefit payouts through a discontinuous increase in pension eligibility ages contingent on birthdate. Using detailed administrative data and a regression discontinuity design, we identify the causal effects of the policy, leveraging our setting to study essentially the entire financial portfolio. We document responses over two distinct time horizons. First, we show a lack of responses after the reform was announced but before it was implemented, inconsistent with the notion that future differences in pension eligibility impact savings. Second, we show large savings responses after implementation, when delayed benefit eligibility induces individuals to extend employment. Specifically, we find increased contributions to both employer-sponsored and personal retirement accounts, whereas we find no evidence of adjustments to other savings vehicles, such as bank or stock market accounts. Additional analyses point to inertia as a leading explanatory channel. The increased savings in personal retirement plans is entirely driven by those who made consistent contributions in the past. Moreover, the increased savings in employer-sponsored plans is largely explained by continuing to contribute at employer default rates, highlighting a role for firm policies in mediating responses to social security reform.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126055233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Shoring Up Shortfalls: Women, Retirement and the Growing Gigsupp Economy 填补缺口:女性、退休和日益增长的零工经济
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3801283
C. Bruckner, J. Forman
In recent years, high-profile Silicon Valley firms have engineered billion-dollar IPOs through developing online and app-based platforms that connect service providers and sellers with customers and process their payments (the “online platform economy”). Today, millions of Americans earn income using platforms developed by Uber, Etsy, and Airbnb; and research has identified the limitations of existing federal tax rules to facilitate tax compliance of these workers and considered the consequences of their failure to pay self-employment taxes. However, questions remain as to the changing demographics and motivations of online platform economy workers and their retirement income security. Titled, Shoring Up Shortfalls: Women, Retirement and the Growing Gig Economy, we propose to identify and analyze: (i) the existing demographic data on this workforce; (ii) their economic motivations and retirement income needs; and (iii) the federal tax, retirement policy, and financial literacy proposals that would enable the gig economy workforce to support itself in retirement.
近年来,备受瞩目的硅谷公司通过开发在线和基于应用程序的平台,将服务提供商和卖家与客户联系起来,并处理他们的支付(“在线平台经济”),策划了数十亿美元的ipo。如今,数以百万计的美国人通过Uber、Etsy和Airbnb开发的平台赚取收入;研究已经确定了现有联邦税收规则在促进这些工人纳税方面的局限性,并考虑了他们未能支付自营职业税的后果。然而,关于网络平台经济工作者的人口结构和动机的变化以及他们的退休收入保障问题仍然存在。题为《弥补不足:女性、退休和日益增长的零工经济》,我们建议确定和分析:(i)劳动力的现有人口数据;(ii)他们的经济动机和退休收入需求;(三)联邦税收、退休政策和金融知识提案,使零工经济劳动力能够在退休后自给自足。
{"title":"Shoring Up Shortfalls: Women, Retirement and the Growing Gigsupp Economy","authors":"C. Bruckner, J. Forman","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3801283","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3801283","url":null,"abstract":"In recent years, high-profile Silicon Valley firms have engineered billion-dollar IPOs through developing online and app-based platforms that connect service providers and sellers with customers and process their payments (the “online platform economy”). Today, millions of Americans earn income using platforms developed by Uber, Etsy, and Airbnb; and research has identified the limitations of existing federal tax rules to facilitate tax compliance of these workers and considered the consequences of their failure to pay self-employment taxes. However, questions remain as to the changing demographics and motivations of online platform economy workers and their retirement income security. Titled, Shoring Up Shortfalls: Women, Retirement and the Growing Gig Economy, we propose to identify and analyze: (i) the existing demographic data on this workforce; (ii) their economic motivations and retirement income needs; and (iii) the federal tax, retirement policy, and financial literacy proposals that would enable the gig economy workforce to support itself in retirement.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"50 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125065566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What Do the Portfolios of Individual Investors Reveal About the Cross-Section of Equity Returns? 个人投资者的投资组合揭示了股票收益的横截面?
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3795690
Sébastien Betermier, Laurent E. Calvet, Samuli Knüpfer, J. Kvaerner
We construct a parsimonious set of equity factors by sorting stocks according to the sociodemographic characteristics of the individual investors who own them. The analysis uses administrative data on the stockholdings of Norwegian investors in 1997-2018. Consistent with financial theory, a mature-minus-young factor, a high wealth-minus-low wealth factor, and the market factor price stock returns. Our three factors span size, value, investment, profitability, and momentum, and perform well in out-of-sample bootstrap tests. The tilts of investor portfolios toward the new factors are driven by wealth, indebtedness, macroeconomic exposure, age, gender, education, and investment experience. Our results are consistent with hedging and sentiment jointly driving portfolio decisions and equity premia.
我们根据持有股票的个人投资者的社会人口特征对股票进行分类,构建了一套简约的股票因素。该分析使用了1997年至2018年挪威投资者持股的行政数据。与金融理论一致,一个成熟-年轻因子,一个高财富-低财富因子,和一个市场因子价格股票回报。我们的三个因素跨越了规模、价值、投资、盈利能力和动量,并且在样本外自举测试中表现良好。投资者投资组合向新因素的倾斜是由财富、负债、宏观经济风险、年龄、性别、教育和投资经验驱动的。我们的结果与对冲和情绪共同推动投资组合决策和股票溢价是一致的。
{"title":"What Do the Portfolios of Individual Investors Reveal About the Cross-Section of Equity Returns?","authors":"Sébastien Betermier, Laurent E. Calvet, Samuli Knüpfer, J. Kvaerner","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3795690","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3795690","url":null,"abstract":"We construct a parsimonious set of equity factors by sorting stocks according to the sociodemographic characteristics of the individual investors who own them. The analysis uses administrative data on the stockholdings of Norwegian investors in 1997-2018. Consistent with financial theory, a mature-minus-young factor, a high wealth-minus-low wealth factor, and the market factor price stock returns. Our three factors span size, value, investment, profitability, and momentum, and perform well in out-of-sample bootstrap tests. The tilts of investor portfolios toward the new factors are driven by wealth, indebtedness, macroeconomic exposure, age, gender, education, and investment experience. Our results are consistent with hedging and sentiment jointly driving portfolio decisions and equity premia.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"62 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130488065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Inferring Financial Sophistication: Evidence Using Credit Card Balance Transfers and the CARD Act 推断金融复杂性:使用信用卡余额转账和信用卡法案的证据
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3606693
Young-Hwa Seok, James Wang
We measure financial sophistication by observing the use of a credit card balance transfer strategy. Examining trends before and after the phase-out of this strategy due to the 2009 CARD Act, financially sophisticated borrowers are less risky, face more attractive card terms, and pay lower fees. We find no evidence that card lenders price sophistication into initial card terms such as APR or credit limits. The prevalence of sophisticated borrowers in a zip code strongly correlates with local graduation and unemployment rates. We also document positive spillovers of credit card sophistication onto usage and risk for other consumer loans.
我们通过观察信用卡余额转移策略的使用来衡量财务成熟度。根据2009年《信用卡法案》逐步取消这一策略前后的趋势,财务经验丰富的借款人风险更小,面临更有吸引力的信用卡条款,支付的费用也更低。我们没有发现任何证据表明,信用卡贷款机构在初始信用卡条款(如年利率或信用额度)中定价复杂。在一个邮政编码地区,老练借款人的普遍程度与当地的毕业率和失业率密切相关。我们还记录了信用卡复杂性对其他消费贷款的使用和风险的积极溢出效应。
{"title":"Inferring Financial Sophistication: Evidence Using Credit Card Balance Transfers and the CARD Act","authors":"Young-Hwa Seok, James Wang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3606693","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3606693","url":null,"abstract":"We measure financial sophistication by observing the use of a credit card balance transfer strategy. Examining trends before and after the phase-out of this strategy due to the 2009 CARD Act, financially sophisticated borrowers are less risky, face more attractive card terms, and pay lower fees. We find no evidence that card lenders price sophistication into initial card terms such as APR or credit limits. The prevalence of sophisticated borrowers in a zip code strongly correlates with local graduation and unemployment rates. We also document positive spillovers of credit card sophistication onto usage and risk for other consumer loans.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"52 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133641138","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Switching from Cash to Cashless Payments during the COVID-19 Pandemic and Beyond 在COVID-19大流行期间及之后从现金支付转向无现金支付
Pub Date : 2021-02-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3794790
T. Wisniewski, Michał Polasik, Radoslaw Kotkowski, Andrea Moro
Using a survey of 5,504 respondents from 22 European countries, we examine preferences regarding cash and cashless payments at the point of sale (POS) during the COVID-19 crisis. Consumers favor cashless transactions when they believe that handling cash presents a higher risk of infection. Moreover, the habits they develop during periods of restrictions and lockdowns appear to further diminish their appetite for transacting in cash. Not only do these factors affect current choice of payment method, but also influence declared future intentions to move away from cash after the pandemic is over.
通过对来自22个欧洲国家的5504名受访者的调查,我们研究了在COVID-19危机期间销售点(POS)对现金和无现金支付的偏好。当消费者认为处理现金有更高的感染风险时,他们倾向于无现金交易。此外,他们在限制和封锁期间养成的习惯似乎进一步削弱了他们对现金交易的兴趣。这些因素不仅影响当前支付方式的选择,而且还影响大流行结束后宣布的未来不再使用现金的意图。
{"title":"Switching from Cash to Cashless Payments during the COVID-19 Pandemic and Beyond","authors":"T. Wisniewski, Michał Polasik, Radoslaw Kotkowski, Andrea Moro","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3794790","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3794790","url":null,"abstract":"Using a survey of 5,504 respondents from 22 European countries, we examine preferences regarding cash and cashless payments at the point of sale (POS) during the COVID-19 crisis. Consumers favor cashless transactions when they believe that handling cash presents a higher risk of infection. Moreover, the habits they develop during periods of restrictions and lockdowns appear to further diminish their appetite for transacting in cash. Not only do these factors affect current choice of payment method, but also influence declared future intentions to move away from cash after the pandemic is over.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122304372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 40
Multiple Reference Points and Length of Ownership in the Housing Market 住房市场中的多重参考点和所有权期限
Pub Date : 2021-02-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3791283
Naqun Huang, J. Lien, Jie Zheng
Reference-dependent utility has been shown to have a significant influence on housing market activity. Sellers facing a nominal loss on their home due to market conditions, tend to inflate the asking price and thus the transaction price of their home, indicative of loss aversion. However, the original purchase price of a home may lose influence as a reference-point as the period of ownership increases, while homeowners rely increasingly on other benchmarks such as neighboring homes’ sales prices as reference points. In other words, a homeowner may have multiple reference points in their underlying utility function, whose relative influences shift in importance over time. We use comprehensive administrative data on residential real estate transactions in Singapore’s private housing market to test the influences of original purchase price and recent neighborhood price as reference points over the length of homeownership. Purchase price and neighborhood price are each valid reference points based on established empirical methods in the behavioral and housing economics literature. By testing for their relative influences as a function of length of ownership, we find that prior purchase price is more influential for the first years of ownership, while neighborhood price becomes more influential during the subsequent holding years. Finally, we provide a theoretical framework for understanding the relative influences of multiple reference points over time, which supports the empirical findings.
参考依赖效用已被证明对住房市场活动有重大影响。由于市场状况,卖家面临着房屋的名义损失,他们往往会抬高要价,从而抬高房屋的交易价格,这表明他们对损失的厌恶。然而,随着所有权期限的延长,房屋的原始购买价格可能会失去作为参考点的影响力,而房主越来越依赖其他基准,如邻近房屋的销售价格作为参考点。换句话说,房主在其潜在效用函数中可能有多个参考点,其相对影响的重要性随着时间的推移而变化。我们使用新加坡私人住房市场住宅房地产交易的综合行政数据来测试原始购买价格和最近的邻里价格作为参考点对房屋所有权长度的影响。根据行为经济学和住房经济学文献中建立的经验方法,购买价格和邻里价格都是有效的参考点。通过测试它们的相对影响作为所有权长度的函数,我们发现先前的购买价格在所有权的头几年更有影响力,而邻居价格在随后的持有年中变得更有影响力。最后,我们提供了一个理论框架来理解多个参考点随时间的相对影响,这支持了实证研究结果。
{"title":"Multiple Reference Points and Length of Ownership in the Housing Market","authors":"Naqun Huang, J. Lien, Jie Zheng","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3791283","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3791283","url":null,"abstract":"Reference-dependent utility has been shown to have a significant influence on housing market activity. Sellers facing a nominal loss on their home due to market conditions, tend to inflate the asking price and thus the transaction price of their home, indicative of loss aversion. However, the original purchase price of a home may lose influence as a reference-point as the period of ownership increases, while homeowners rely increasingly on other benchmarks such as neighboring homes’ sales prices as reference points. In other words, a homeowner may have multiple reference points in their underlying utility function, whose relative influences shift in importance over time. We use comprehensive administrative data on residential real estate transactions in Singapore’s private housing market to test the influences of original purchase price and recent neighborhood price as reference points over the length of homeownership. Purchase price and neighborhood price are each valid reference points based on established empirical methods in the behavioral and housing economics literature. By testing for their relative influences as a function of length of ownership, we find that prior purchase price is more influential for the first years of ownership, while neighborhood price becomes more influential during the subsequent holding years. Finally, we provide a theoretical framework for understanding the relative influences of multiple reference points over time, which supports the empirical findings.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133743333","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Attention Triggers and Investors' Risk-Taking 注意力触发与投资者的风险承担
Pub Date : 2021-02-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3612799
M. Arnold, Matthias Pelster, M. Subrahmanyam
This paper investigates how individual attention triggers influence financial risk-taking based on a large sample of trading records from a brokerage service that sends standardized push messages on stocks to retail investors. By exploiting the data in a difference-in-differences (DID) setting, we find that attention triggers increase investors' risk-taking. Our DID coefficient implies that attention trades carry, on average, a 19-percentage point higher leverage than non-attention trades. We provide a battery of cross-sectional analyses to identify the groups of investors and stocks for which this effect is stronger.
本文基于向散户投资者发送标准化股票推送信息的经纪服务的大量交易记录样本,研究了个人关注触发因素如何影响金融风险承担。通过利用差异中的差异(DID)设置的数据,我们发现注意触发会增加投资者的风险承担。我们的DID系数表明,注意力交易的杠杆率平均比非注意力交易高19个百分点。我们提供了一系列横断面分析,以确定这种效应更强的投资者群体和股票。
{"title":"Attention Triggers and Investors' Risk-Taking","authors":"M. Arnold, Matthias Pelster, M. Subrahmanyam","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3612799","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3612799","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates how individual attention triggers influence financial risk-taking based on a large sample of trading records from a brokerage service that sends standardized push messages on stocks to retail investors. By exploiting the data in a difference-in-differences (DID) setting, we find that attention triggers increase investors' risk-taking. Our DID coefficient implies that attention trades carry, on average, a 19-percentage point higher leverage than non-attention trades. We provide a battery of cross-sectional analyses to identify the groups of investors and stocks for which this effect is stronger. <br>","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131236868","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
The Sustainability of (Global) Withdrawal Strategies (全球)退出战略的可持续性
Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3783047
Javier Estrada
The most important financial issue retirees have to deal with is whether their strategy will be able to sustain all the withdrawals they expect to make in retirement, as well as a bequest they aim to leave. For this reason, it is critical to periodically monitor the evolution of a financial plan in order to detect early signs of trouble, which may lead a retiree to introduce dynamic adjustments to a strategy. To that purpose, this article features two tools, a sustainability test and the sustainable withdrawal, and shows how to apply them. It also discusses the empirical evidence on both tools based on a comprehensive sample of 22 countries over a 120-year period.
退休人员必须处理的最重要的财务问题是,他们的策略是否能够维持他们期望在退休时提取的所有资金,以及他们希望留下的遗产。出于这个原因,定期监测财务计划的演变是至关重要的,以便发现问题的早期迹象,这可能导致退休人员对战略进行动态调整。为此,本文提供了两个工具,可持续性测试和可持续性退出,并展示了如何应用它们。它还讨论了基于22个国家120年期间的综合样本的两种工具的经验证据。
{"title":"The Sustainability of (Global) Withdrawal Strategies","authors":"Javier Estrada","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3783047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3783047","url":null,"abstract":"The most important financial issue retirees have to deal with is whether their strategy will be able to sustain all the withdrawals they expect to make in retirement, as well as a bequest they aim to leave. For this reason, it is critical to periodically monitor the evolution of a financial plan in order to detect early signs of trouble, which may lead a retiree to introduce dynamic adjustments to a strategy. To that purpose, this article features two tools, a sustainability test and the sustainable withdrawal, and shows how to apply them. It also discusses the empirical evidence on both tools based on a comprehensive sample of 22 countries over a 120-year period.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132614577","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modélisation statistique du surendettement des particuliers (Statistical Modelization of Overindebtedness) 个人过度负债的统计建模(过度负债的统计建模)
Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3840227
Amandine Tran
French Abstact:
La procédure de surendettement est née vers la fin des années 1980, dans un contexte de forte expansion des crédits à la consommation. En 2010, un meilleur encadrement des pratiques commerciales de la part des pouvoirs publics a permis de limiter l’ampleur des crédits à la consommation. Le surendettement se concentre désormais sur des populations financièrement fragiles à faibles niveaux d'endettement. L'objectif de cette étude est de mettre en place un modèle explicatif du surendettement. Un premier modèle permet de mettre en évidence l'impact significatif du niveau de vie sur le fait d'être surendetté. Des disparités demeurent toutefois entre les structures familiales. La limite principale de ce premier modèle est le fait qu'il se fonde essentiellement sur des données agrégées. Un second modèle s'intéressant uniquement à la population des ménages surendettés et exploitant une base de données individuelles riche permet cette fois-ci de rendre compte de différents facteurs jouant un rôle dans l'orientation vers le rétablissement personnel, qui est l'orientation proposée aux ménages surendettés les plus en difficulté.

English Abstract:
The procedure for overindebtedness was born in the late 1980s, in a context of strong expansion of consumer credit. In 2010, better supervision of business practices by the public authorities helped to limit the scale of consumer credit. Overindebtedness now concerns financially fragile populations with low levels of debt. The main goal of this paper is to set up an explanatory model of overindebtedness. A first model highlights the significant impact of the standard of living on being overindebted. However, disparities remain between family structures. The main limitation of this first model is the fact that it relies essentially on aggregated data. Therefore, a second model, which is focused on the population of overindebted households only and uses a rich database, allows accounting for different factors playing a role in the orientation towards personal recovery, which is the orientation that is offered to the most financially vulnerable overindebted households.
法国禁欲主义:过度债务程序始于20世纪80年代末,当时消费信贷大幅扩张。2010年,政府对商业行为的更好监管限制了消费信贷的规模。过度负债现在集中在负债水平较低的财务脆弱人群身上。本研究的目的是建立一个解释过度负债的模型。第一个模型显示了生活水平对过度负债的重大影响。然而,家庭结构仍然存在差异。第一个模型的主要局限性是它主要依赖于聚合数据。第二种模型只关注过度负债家庭的人口,并利用一个丰富的个人数据库,这一次允许考虑在个人康复导向中起作用的各种因素,这是为最困难的过度负债家庭提供的导向。在20世纪80年代后期,在消费信贷强劲扩张的背景下,出现了过度负债的程序。2010年,公共当局加强对商业实践的监督有助于限制消费信贷的规模。过度负债现在影响到负债水平低的经济弱势群体。这篇论文的主要目的是建立一个解释过度债务的模型。第一种模式强调生活标准对过度负债的重大影响。然而,家庭结构之间仍然存在差异。第一个模型的主要限制是它主要依赖于聚合数据。因此,第二种模式只关注负债过多的家庭的人口,并使用丰富的数据库,允许对在指导个人恢复方面起作用的不同因素进行核算,这是向财务上最脆弱的负债过多的家庭提供的指导。
{"title":"Modélisation statistique du surendettement des particuliers (Statistical Modelization of Overindebtedness)","authors":"Amandine Tran","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3840227","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3840227","url":null,"abstract":"<b>French Abstact:</b><br>La procédure de surendettement est née vers la fin des années 1980, dans un contexte de forte expansion des crédits à la consommation. En 2010, un meilleur encadrement des pratiques commerciales de la part des pouvoirs publics a permis de limiter l’ampleur des crédits à la consommation. Le surendettement se concentre désormais sur des populations financièrement fragiles à faibles niveaux d'endettement. L'objectif de cette étude est de mettre en place un modèle explicatif du surendettement. Un premier modèle permet de mettre en évidence l'impact significatif du niveau de vie sur le fait d'être surendetté. Des disparités demeurent toutefois entre les structures familiales. La limite principale de ce premier modèle est le fait qu'il se fonde essentiellement sur des données agrégées. Un second modèle s'intéressant uniquement à la population des ménages surendettés et exploitant une base de données individuelles riche permet cette fois-ci de rendre compte de différents facteurs jouant un rôle dans l'orientation vers le rétablissement personnel, qui est l'orientation proposée aux ménages surendettés les plus en difficulté.<br><br><b>English Abstract:</b> <br>The procedure for overindebtedness was born in the late 1980s, in a context of strong expansion of consumer credit. In 2010, better supervision of business practices by the public authorities helped to limit the scale of consumer credit. Overindebtedness now concerns financially fragile populations with low levels of debt. The main goal of this paper is to set up an explanatory model of overindebtedness. A first model highlights the significant impact of the standard of living on being overindebted. However, disparities remain between family structures. The main limitation of this first model is the fact that it relies essentially on aggregated data. Therefore, a second model, which is focused on the population of overindebted households only and uses a rich database, allows accounting for different factors playing a role in the orientation towards personal recovery, which is the orientation that is offered to the most financially vulnerable overindebted households.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131358712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Paycheck Protection Program: Small Business Balances, Revenues, and Expenses in the Weeks after Loan Disbursement 薪水保护计划:贷款发放后几周内小企业的收支平衡、收入和支出
Pub Date : 2021-01-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3813377
Chris Wheat, Chi Mac
The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) was an unprecedented effort to provide liquidity to and support the payroll of small businesses impacted by COVID-19. Leveraging daily transactions from a de-identified dataset of small businesses that hold Chase Business Banking deposit accounts and received PPP loans, this report explores loan amounts relative to all operating expenses as well as small business cash flows in the weeks before and after PPP loans were disbursed. The analysis includes businesses that received PPP loans in May and July 2020 and shows that the loans helped bolster small business cash balances and supported expenses during a period of depressed revenues. In particular, we found: (1) Among firms with PPP loans, the proceeds were typically enough to cover 3.8 weeks of expenses;(2) PPP increased the typical small business cash balances by 136 percent, supporting an immediate increase in expenses;(3) Other COVID relief programs and transfers may have bolstered balances of firms that received PPP loans later. While the program supported payroll as intended, policymakers should note that payroll is just one of the many expenses small businesses face and consider that relief for small businesses, especially the vast majority which are nonemployers, may need to encompass more than payroll assistance.
工资保障计划(PPP)是一项前所未有的努力,旨在为受COVID-19影响的小企业提供流动性和工资支持。本报告利用拥有大通商业银行存款账户并获得PPP贷款的小企业的去识别数据集的日常交易,探讨了贷款金额与所有运营费用的关系,以及PPP贷款发放前后几周的小企业现金流。该分析包括在2020年5月和7月获得PPP贷款的企业,并显示这些贷款有助于增加小企业的现金余额,并在收入低迷期间支持支出。特别是,我们发现:(1)在获得PPP贷款的公司中,收益通常足以支付3.8周的费用;(2)PPP使典型的小企业现金余额增加了136%,支持了费用的立即增加;(3)其他COVID救济计划和转移可能增加了后来获得PPP贷款的公司的余额。虽然该计划支持工资,但政策制定者应该注意到工资只是小企业面临的众多费用之一,并考虑到对小企业的救济,特别是绝大多数非雇主,可能需要包括更多的工资援助。
{"title":"The Paycheck Protection Program: Small Business Balances, Revenues, and Expenses in the Weeks after Loan Disbursement","authors":"Chris Wheat, Chi Mac","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3813377","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3813377","url":null,"abstract":"The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) was an unprecedented effort to provide liquidity to and support the payroll of small businesses impacted by COVID-19. Leveraging daily transactions from a de-identified dataset of small businesses that hold Chase Business Banking deposit accounts and received PPP loans, this report explores loan amounts relative to all operating expenses as well as small business cash flows in the weeks before and after PPP loans were disbursed. The analysis includes businesses that received PPP loans in May and July 2020 and shows that the loans helped bolster small business cash balances and supported expenses during a period of depressed revenues. In particular, we found: (1) Among firms with PPP loans, the proceeds were typically enough to cover 3.8 weeks of expenses;(2) PPP increased the typical small business cash balances by 136 percent, supporting an immediate increase in expenses;(3) Other COVID relief programs and transfers may have bolstered balances of firms that received PPP loans later. While the program supported payroll as intended, policymakers should note that payroll is just one of the many expenses small businesses face and consider that relief for small businesses, especially the vast majority which are nonemployers, may need to encompass more than payroll assistance.","PeriodicalId":428959,"journal":{"name":"Household Finance eJournal","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114886181","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Household Finance eJournal
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1