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Changes of Northeast Asian Air Cargo Network During Covid-19 Pandemic 新冠肺炎大流行期间东北亚航空货运网络的变化
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.5.77
Jinhee Lim, S. Woo
While the outbreak of Covid-19 brought in enormous damage throughout world economically, socially, and culturally, the aviation industry was severely damaged because air passenger transportation was barely active during the pandemic due to movement restrictions and blockades imposed in many countries. This study aims at investigating changes of air cargo transportation network which were made before and during the pandemic. To this end, this study collected air freight data among Korea, China, Japan, Hong Kong, and Macau as origin and destination countries. Freight revenue traffic data of On-flight origin and destination were collected from ICAO database from 2016 to 2020 with years of 2016 to 2019 being before the outbreak of Covid-19 and year of 2020 being after it. Social Network Analysis was undertaken using Netminer. It was found that nodes, links, density, and clustering of Northeast Asian air cargo networks significantly decreased after the outbreak of Covid-19 and network connection was also weakened.
新冠肺炎疫情给世界经济、社会、文化带来了巨大损失,同时,由于许多国家实施了行动限制和封锁,航空客运在疫情期间几乎不活跃,航空业受到了严重损害。本研究旨在调查大流行前和期间航空货运网络的变化。为此,本研究收集了韩国、中国、日本、香港和澳门作为始发国和目的地国的航空货运数据。2016 - 2020年航班始发地和目的地的货运收入流量数据采集自国际民航组织数据库,2016 - 2019年为疫情前,2020年为疫情后。使用Netminer进行社会网络分析。新冠肺炎疫情发生后,东北亚航空货运网络的节点、链接、密度和聚集性明显下降,网络连通性减弱。
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引用次数: 1
An Exploratory Study on the Supply Chain Structure of the Last Mile Delivery Industry Using Inter-Industry Analysis 基于跨行业分析的最后一公里配送行业供应链结构探索性研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.5.65
Yun-Jin Kim, Yong-Jeong Kim
The purpose of the study is to identify the degree of production induction effects and industrial synergy effects of the last mile delivery service industry. It also connects the industrial linkage structure of the last mile delivery industry with the concept of the supply chain. Ultimately, it identifies the structure of the service supply chain centered on the last mile delivery. It approaches research problems from a service science perspective. The philosophical basis of the study is the concept of service dominant logic. In addition, the research methodology is an inter-industry analysis of economics, and WIOD is used for analysis data. Petroleum product manufacturing and warehousing are the backward industries of the last mile delivery industry. And it seems clear that wholesale and retail industry are forward industries. Therefore, the last mile delivery industry plays a role in connecting the relationship between the supply industry, the manufacturing industry, and the distribution industry on the supply chain. In addition, the supply chain architecture of the last mile delivery service is significantly different from the existing manufacturing-oriented supply chain structure. Academically, the concept of a traditional manufacturing-oriented supply chain has been expanded to the service sector. And it identified the supply chain structure of the last mile delivery service. In practice, if a strategic industry is selected with limited resources, it will be an important indicator for determining investment priorities.
研究的目的是识别最后一公里配送服务业的生产诱导效应和产业协同效应的程度。并将最后一公里配送行业的产业联动结构与供应链的概念联系起来。最后,它确定了以最后一英里交付为中心的服务供应链的结构。它从服务科学的角度来看待研究问题。服务优势逻辑概念是本研究的哲学基础。此外,研究方法为跨行业经济学分析,分析数据采用WIOD。石油产品制造和仓储是最后一公里配送行业的落后行业。批发和零售业显然是前沿行业。因此,最后一英里配送行业在供应链上起着连接供应行业、制造行业和分销行业之间关系的作用。此外,最后一公里配送服务的供应链架构与现有的以制造业为导向的供应链结构有显著不同。在学术上,传统的以制造业为导向的供应链概念已经扩展到服务业。并确定了最后一英里配送服务的供应链结构。在实践中,如果选择了资源有限的战略产业,这将是确定投资重点的重要指标。
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引用次数: 0
A Simulation Study on Rider-order Matching in Meal Delivery Service 外卖服务中骑手-订单匹配的仿真研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.5.89
Dong-Yun Kim, Hee-Yeon Jo, Yunhong Min
Since the untact trend brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic, one of the fastest growing industries is the meal delivery industry. Unlike in the past, the meal delivery industry has been restructured to focus on ordering using delivery apps as the spread of mobile devices expands, and competition between the three major platform(Baemin, Yogiyo, Coupang Eats) is ongoing. A special turning point came in the competition between them in 2019, and that is “One order per trip” service introduced by Coupang Eats, a latecomer. This service was later introduced to other platforms due to high customer satisfaction, but it caused a problem in rider revenue under insufficient rider supply, causing a social issue. This study is based on the fact that this service fee does not take into account the number of deliveries, but only the simple delivery distance, and using simulation of rider-order matching, analyzes the correlation between the number of deliveries and the delivery distance and the imbalance in the delivery distance of riders. As a result of the simulation experiment conducted by fixing the number of riders and changing the number of orders, the ratio of the number of deliveries and the delivery distance is constant on average. And as the ratio of number of orders/number of riders increases, the standard deviation decreases. In addition, as the ratio of the number of orders to the number of passengers increases, the standard deviation of the travel distance decreases. This is also true when the locations of restaurants are concentrated, but in this case the absolute value of the standard deviation is smaller.
由于新冠疫情带来的非接触式趋势,外卖行业成为增长最快的行业之一。与过去不同的是,随着移动设备的普及,外卖行业已被重组为专注于使用外卖应用程序订餐,三大平台(百民、Yogiyo、Coupang Eats)之间的竞争正在持续。2019年,它们之间的竞争出现了一个特殊的转折点,那就是后来者Coupang Eats推出的“单程一单”服务。由于用户满意度高,该服务后来被引入其他平台,但在骑手供给不足的情况下,导致骑手收入出现问题,引发社会问题。本研究基于该服务收费不考虑送货数量,只考虑送货距离的事实,通过模拟骑手与订单匹配,分析送货数量与送货距离的相关性以及骑手在送货距离上的不平衡。通过固定骑手数量和改变订单数量进行的仿真实验,配送数量与配送距离的比值平均保持不变。随着订单数/乘客数之比的增大,标准差减小。此外,随着订单数与乘客数之比的增大,出行距离的标准差减小。当餐馆的位置集中时也是如此,但在这种情况下,标准差的绝对值较小。
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引用次数: 0
An Analysis of the Economic Effects of Logistics Industry through I-O Table: Focusing on China’s logistics industry 基于I-O表的物流业经济效应分析——以中国物流业为例
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.69
Xinyue Tian, Xindan Zhang, Kihyung Bae
The purpose of this study is to make econometric analysis on the economic effects of China’s logistics industry by using the China industry association table, and provide help for the promotion of China’s logistics industry policy in the future. For this reason, 17 industrial fields, including 5 fields of transportation equipment and 12 fields of transportation service industry, are classified as logistics industry in the 2020 industrial association table issued by the China Bureau of statistics in 2022, and the industrial association table of China’s logistics industry for all 28 industries is compiled and analyzed. The analysis results show that, first of all, the production inducement coefficient of China’s logistics industry is 2.7956, and the line cooperation coefficient is 4.6270, indicating that China’s logistics industry is a basic strategic industry supporting the development of national economy. Second, the influence coefficient (backward chain effect) of China’s logistics industry is 1.0466, and the sensitivity coefficient (forward chain effect) is 1.7322, both greater than 1. China’s logistics industry is an intermediate demand manufacturing industry. Third, the final demand of China’s logistics industry is 8382 billion yuan for input into the national economy. The total production induced amount is 626916.8 trillion yuan (38783.5 trillion yuan, 6.2%) and the value-added induced amount is 224227.75 billion yuan (13718.8 trillion yuan, 6.1%) respectively. The income induced amount is 11420.4 trillion yuan (691.34 billion yuan, 6.1%) respectively, The induced amount of production tax is 23469.2 billion yuan (1379.3 trillion yuan, 5.9%) in the logistics industry. Fourth, China’s logistics industry has a total of 30627 labor inducing effects, including 849 direct labor inducing personnel and 29778 indirect labor inducing personnel, showing its role as an employment creating industry.
本研究的目的是利用中国行业协会表对中国物流业的经济效应进行计量分析,为未来中国物流业政策的推广提供帮助。为此,在中国统计局于2022年发布的《2020年行业关联表》中,将交通运输设备5个领域、交通运输服务业12个领域等17个行业领域归类为物流业,并对全部28个行业的中国物流业行业关联表进行编制分析。分析结果表明,首先,中国物流业的生产诱导系数为2.7956,线路协同系数为4.6270,表明中国物流业是支撑国民经济发展的基础性战略性产业。其次,中国物流业的影响系数(后向链效应)为1.0466,敏感性系数(前向链效应)为1.7322,均大于1。中国物流业是一个中间需求制造业。第三,中国物流业最终需求为国民经济投入8382亿元。总产值诱导额为626916.8亿元(38783.5亿元,6.2%),增加值诱导额为2242277.5亿元(13718.8亿元,6.1%)。物流业收入诱导金额11420.4亿元(6913.4亿元,6.1%),生产税诱导金额234692亿元(1379.3亿元,5.9%)。第四,中国物流业共有劳务诱导效应30627人,其中直接劳务诱导人员849人,间接劳务诱导人员29778人,显示出其创造就业的产业作用。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Consumer Loneliness on Chatbot Recommendation Intention: Moderating Effects of Chatbot Conversation Style 消费者孤独感对聊天机器人推荐意向的影响:聊天机器人会话风格的调节作用
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.93
Eun-Young Park
Anthropomorphizing chatbots can produce more effective consumer interactions owing to the human warmth provided by the chatbot. This study expands the scope of previous studies by examining the influence of loneliness, a personal consumer characteristic, on the acceptance intention of a chatbot recommendation. Additionally, the moderating effect of chatbot conversation style (warmth vs. competence) on this relationship was examined. To verify this hypothesis, we conducted two pretests and one laboratory experiment. The results of the analysis indicate that the higher the degree of loneliness, the stronger the tendency to accept chatbot recommendations (Hypothesis 1). Particularly, when the chatbot interacts in a warm manner, consumers who are experiencing loneliness are more likely to accept chatbot recommendations. However, when the chatbot interacts competently, the degree of loneliness does not affect the acceptance intention of the chatbot recommendation (Hypothesis 2). This finding contributes to the literature on chatbot anthropomorphism and provides practical information for chatbot conversation decisions in relation to consumer characteristics.
由于聊天机器人提供的人类温暖,拟人化聊天机器人可以产生更有效的消费者互动。本研究通过考察孤独这一个人消费者特征对聊天机器人推荐的接受意愿的影响,扩大了以往研究的范围。此外,研究了聊天机器人的谈话风格(热情vs能力)对这一关系的调节作用。为了验证这一假设,我们进行了两次预试和一次实验室实验。分析结果表明,孤独感程度越高,接受聊天机器人推荐的倾向越强(假设1)。特别是当聊天机器人以温暖的方式互动时,正在经历孤独感的消费者更容易接受聊天机器人推荐。然而,当聊天机器人能够胜任交互时,孤独程度并不影响聊天机器人推荐的接受意愿(假设2)。这一发现有助于聊天机器人拟人化的文献,并为聊天机器人与消费者特征相关的对话决策提供实用信息。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Dynamic Programming-based Algorithm for the Dual-spreader Quay Crane Scheduling 基于动态规划的双吊式码头起重机调度算法研究
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.1
Intaek Gong, Dong-Yun Kim, Moo-Young Kim, Yunhong Min
As economies of scale in container transport are maximized with the introduction of mega container ships, ports and terminals are also making great efforts to prepare for an increase in their capacities. One example of such efforts is the use of a new type of quay crane that can simultaneously lift more than one container at a time. This quay crane can lift one or more containers depending on its lifting mode. However, scheduling of this crane is more complicated than scheduling of existing quay cranes because it is necessary to consider the weight limit of containers to be lifted, and the set-up time required for changing the lifting mode. Previous study has already mentioned the importance of this problem and suggested solutions for it, but since there are not many, verification of various approaches is necessary. This paper addresses the scheduling problem of dual-spreader quay crane that can lift up-to two containers at a time. We propose a Markov decision process (MDP) model for the problem. In order to reduce the computation time required to obtain a solution, instead of applying dynamic programming, we propose a heuristic that only considers a subset of states and transition functions used for searching solutions. Since this heuristic does not consider all possible states and transition functions, it cannot guarantee that an optimal solution is derived. However, as confirmed through experiments, it finds a solution close to the optimal solution for relatively small-sized instances. And, for larger-sized instances, while commercial software did not find an optimal solution for one hour, this heuristic can find a solution. Moreover, the solution from the proposed heuristic has better quality than the solution found by commercial software for one hour.
随着超大型集装箱船的引进,集装箱运输的规模效益得到了最大化,各港口和码头也在为增加运力做准备。这种努力的一个例子是使用一种新型的码头起重机,它可以同时吊起一个以上的集装箱。根据起吊方式的不同,这种码头起重机可以起吊一个或多个集装箱。但是,由于需要考虑被吊装集装箱的重量限制,以及改变吊装方式所需的设置时间,该起重机的调度比现有码头起重机的调度更为复杂。以前的研究已经提到了这个问题的重要性,并提出了解决方案,但由于数量不多,所以有必要对各种方法进行验证。研究了可同时起吊两个集装箱的双吊具码头起重机的调度问题。针对这一问题,我们提出了一个马尔可夫决策过程模型。为了减少获得解所需的计算时间,我们提出了一种启发式算法,该算法只考虑用于搜索解的状态和转移函数的子集。由于这种启发式方法没有考虑到所有可能的状态和过渡函数,因此不能保证得到最优解。然而,通过实验证实,对于相对较小的实例,它会找到一个接近最优解的解。而且,对于较大的实例,虽然商业软件在一小时内没有找到最优解决方案,但这种启发式方法可以找到一个解决方案。此外,该启发式算法的解比商业软件在1小时内找到的解具有更好的质量。
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship between Corporate Environmental Effort and Financial Performance: Focusing on Logistics Industry 企业环境努力与财务绩效的关系:以物流业为例
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.115
C. Ryu, Joungho Lee
Environmental disclosures entail costs, yet increasingly, large listed firms are making higher and better quality disclosures. The purpose of this study is to examine the link between a firm’s environmental effort and financial performance. Specifically, this study investigates the direction of the casual relationship between the environmental disclosures and return on sales in logistics industry. Drawing on literature streams in socio-political theory, legitimacy theory, resource-based view, and voluntary disclosure theory, this study develops and tests the Ganger casualty model of relationships between constructs that form the basis of the proposed theories. Conducting an empirical study of 154 Korean listed firms in logistics industry, this study provides empirical evidences for the direction of the casual relationship between environmental effort and financial performance. Empirical results of this study show that past profitability drives current environmental disclosures. Further analysis reveals that firms that make higher financial performance have higher environmental effort. These findings are consistent with the voluntary disclosure theory and the resource based view of the firm, suggesting that firms with greater economic resources make more extensive environmental disclosures which yield net positive profitability.
环境信息披露需要成本,但越来越多的大型上市公司正在进行更高质量的披露。本研究的目的是检验一个公司的环境努力和财务绩效之间的联系。具体而言,本研究探讨了物流行业环境信息披露与销售回报率之间的因果关系。借鉴社会政治理论、合法性理论、资源基础观点和自愿披露理论的文献流,本研究发展并检验了构成所提理论基础的构式之间关系的Ganger伤亡模型。通过对154家韩国物流业上市公司的实证研究,本研究为环境努力与财务绩效之间因果关系的方向提供了实证证据。本研究的实证结果表明,过去的盈利能力驱动当前的环境披露。进一步分析表明,财务绩效越高的企业对环境的努力也越大。这些发现与自愿披露理论和企业资源基础观点相一致,表明拥有更大经济资源的企业进行更广泛的环境披露,从而产生净正盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
Text Mining Analysis on Robot and Logistics: Employing NAVER News Article Big Data 基于NAVER新闻文章大数据的机器人与物流文本挖掘分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.55
Joonhyeong Joseph Kim
This research aims to highlight issues related to logistics and robot applying a text mining technique to Naver news article big data at the time of paying much attention to AI and big data technology as well as agenda on fourth industrial revolution. In ordr to analyze the role of robots in the logistics industry, this study employed 609 NAVER news articles from January 21, 2020 to December 31, 2020 for the analysis, excluding redundant and irrelevant articles. News article frequency analysis, news article keyworkd analysis, cosine similarity and co-occurence frequency analysis were conducted for the visualization of the research findings employing R program in order to invegstigate into the main issues related to news articles.. Cosine similarity and co-occurrence frequency as well as wordcloud analysis was visualized. It was found that the the news articles dealing with robots and logistics addressed the subjects related to corporations, robot, technology, and logistics together, presenting these keywords in the ranking of keyword frequency from the various perspectives. It is suggested that specific projects on delivery of products/services in an efficent manner needs to be initiated in order to apply the technology of robotics to not only the logistics industry, but also service industry (e.g., hotel and tourism-related businesses). This study has contributed to the presentation of the issue on robot among the fourth industrial revolution technologies.
此次研究的目的是,在关注人工智能和大数据技术以及第四次产业革命议程的情况下,将文本挖掘技术应用到Naver新闻大数据中,突出物流和机器人相关的问题。为了分析机器人在物流行业中的作用,本研究采用了2020年1月21日至2020年12月31日的609篇NAVER新闻文章进行分析,剔除了冗余和不相关的文章。运用R程序对新闻文章进行频次分析、新闻文章关键词分析、余弦相似度分析和共现频率分析,将研究结果可视化,探讨新闻文章相关的主要问题。余弦相似度和共现频率以及词云分析可视化。研究发现,机器人与物流相关的新闻文章将企业、机器人、技术和物流相关的主题结合在一起,从不同的角度呈现这些关键词在关键词频次排名中的位置。建议启动以有效方式交付产品/服务的具体项目,以便将机器人技术不仅应用于物流业,还应用于服务业(例如,酒店和旅游相关业务)。该研究有助于提出第四次工业革命技术中的机器人问题。
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引用次数: 0
Turn-time Prediction System Implementation of Container Trucks at the Port Terminal 港口码头集装箱货车周转时间预测系统的实现
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.105
M. Cho, Taeyong Kim, Bowon Lee
In the field of logistics, port congestion can cause a seriously negative impact on the cost and efficiency of port operations, due to increased container processing time. Although numerous logistics companies are trying to make their transportation system more efficient, solving the port congestion problem has seldom been studied. In this paper, we explore methods for turn-time prediction of container trucks for efficient port operations. For the dataset, real-world data containing complex data such as truck license plate number, time, and loading/unloading information accumulated for five years at a port terminal company are used and the turn-time prediction algorithm based-on the LSTM model was constructed. For the implementation of the turn-time prediction algorithm, a given time series data was classified into three types: time, day, and week, and used as the input data for the model. When constructing a prediction algorithm based on the time type, it was found that when the input time interval was 7 hours, the time error was 18.31 minutes, which is about a 27% decrease in the time error compared to the time error of 25.17 minutes at 20 hours, which is the lowest input time interval. In the case of the day type, when the time interval is longer, the higher the prediction accuracy can be obtained. When setting the time interval to 20 days, the time error was the highest at 18.18 minutes and the time error was decreased by 30% compared to the time error of 25.82 minutes at the time interval of the 3-day with the lowest accuracy. For the week type, the time error was the lowest at 32.03 minutes when set to a three-week time interval. On the other hand, when the time interval was set to 7 weeks, the time error was 14.13 minutes, showing the time error reduction of more than 57% and the best performance among the total results. In addition, in order to increase the utilization of the above prediction model, we introduced a system consisting of various components such as data acquisition, processing, and analysis along with a mobile user application.
在物流领域,由于集装箱处理时间的增加,港口拥堵会对港口运营的成本和效率造成严重的负面影响。尽管许多物流公司都在努力提高运输系统的效率,但解决港口拥堵问题的研究却很少。在本文中,我们探索的方法,集装箱卡车的周转时间预测有效的港口作业。该数据集以某港口码头公司5年积累的卡车车牌号、时间、装卸信息等复杂数据为基础,构建了基于LSTM模型的转弯时间预测算法。为了实现转弯时间预测算法,将给定的时间序列数据分为时间、日和周三种类型,并将其作为模型的输入数据。在构建基于时间类型的预测算法时,发现当输入时间间隔为7小时时,时间误差为18.31分钟,与最低输入时间间隔为20小时时的时间误差25.17分钟相比,时间误差降低了约27%。对于日型,时间间隔越长,预测精度越高。将时间间隔设置为20天时,时间误差最大,为18.18分钟,与精度最低的3天时间间隔的25.82分钟相比,时间误差减小了30%。对于周类型,当设置为三周时间间隔时,时间误差最低,为32.03分钟。另一方面,当时间间隔设置为7周时,时间误差为14.13分钟,时间误差降低了57%以上,是所有结果中性能最好的。此外,为了提高上述预测模型的利用率,我们引入了一个由数据采集、处理和分析等各个组件组成的系统以及一个移动用户应用程序。
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引用次数: 1
Novel Framework for Evaluating Container Port Risks: The Case of Incheon Port 集装箱港口风险评估的新框架——以仁川港为例
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.17825/klr.2022.32.4.79
Hw Lee, M. Ha
This study is the second step in a series of research on risk management and evaluation of container ports in Korea and focuses on the development of the risk evaluation framework. And then, the framework was applied to Incheon port to evaluate the risk levels of the selected risk factors and the total risk level in the context of container operations. The port risk evaluation framework developed in this study is a hybrid model of the FER algorithm and Utility Techniques by incorporating AHP to evaluate the weights and risk level of each risk factor, leading to driving the weighted risk level of the individual risk factor as well as the total risk level of the alternative port. Consequently, the results obtained by the risk evaluation model are expected to be used by port risk managers as diagnostic tools to mitigate port risk or to improve risk management practices. In addition, the results will be used as basic data for the risk control options(RCOs) selection and the cost-benefit(C/B)analysis for further study.
本研究是韩国集装箱港口风险管理与评估系列研究的第二步,重点是风险评估框架的开发。然后,将该框架应用于仁川港集装箱作业环境下,对所选风险因素的风险等级和总风险等级进行了评价。本研究建立的港口风险评估框架是FER算法和效用技术的混合模型,结合层次分析法对各风险因素的权重和风险水平进行评估,从而驱动单个风险因素的加权风险水平和备选港口的总风险水平。因此,风险评估模型获得的结果有望被港口风险管理者用作诊断工具,以减轻港口风险或改进风险管理实践。此外,研究结果将作为风险控制选项(RCOs)选择和成本效益(C/B)分析的基础数据进行进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
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Korean Logistics Research Association
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