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Explaining the Associations of Education and Occupation with Childlessness: The Role of Desires and Expectations to Remain Childless 解释教育和职业与无子女的关系:保持无子女的愿望和期望的作用
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0016
Renske M. Verweij, Gert Stulp, H. Snieder, M. Mills
Abstract:Although there are well-established relationships between women's higher education, labour force participation (LFP), and occupation on the one hand and childlessness on the other hand in the US, the underlying reasons and the role that childlessness desires and expectations play remain unclear. We use the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth in the United States (N=4,198 women) and apply both logistic regression models to examine the role of childlessness desires early in life, and multilevel models for repeated measures to examine the role of childlessness expectations throughout the life course. We find that higher educational attainment and LFP are positively associated with childlessness. We do not find, however, that higher educated and working women more often desire or expect to remain childless. In contrast, we find that among women who ultimately remain childless, those women who work fulltime and have higher status occupations have higher expectations to have children throughout their life course. These results suggest that education and occupation produce constraints, resulting in the postponement of childbearing which hinders women in realizing their desires and expectations. Since many working women remain childless despite the desire and expectation to become a mother, our findings stress the importance of work-life reconciliation. It furthermore highlights the importance of increasing public awareness regarding the decrease in fecundity with age.
摘要:尽管在美国,女性的高等教育、劳动力参与(LFP)和职业与无子女之间存在着明确的关系,但无子女欲望和期望的根本原因和作用尚不清楚。我们使用了美国全国青年纵向调查(N=4,198名女性),并应用逻辑回归模型来检验生命早期无子女愿望的作用,以及多层次模型来检验重复测量的无子女期望在整个生命过程中的作用。我们发现,较高的受教育程度和LFP与无子女呈正相关。然而,我们没有发现受过高等教育和有工作的妇女更多地希望或期望不要孩子。相比之下,我们发现,在那些最终没有孩子的女性中,那些全职工作和地位较高的职业的女性在一生中对孩子的期望更高。这些结果表明,教育和职业产生约束,导致生育推迟,阻碍了妇女实现自己的愿望和期望。由于许多职业女性尽管有成为母亲的愿望和期望,但仍然没有孩子,我们的研究结果强调了工作与生活协调的重要性。它还强调了提高公众对生育力随年龄增长而下降的认识的重要性。
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引用次数: 2
Cashing in on the Demographic Dividend: Is Bangladesh Moving in the Right Direction? 利用人口红利:孟加拉国正朝着正确的方向前进吗?
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-11-23 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0015
Nusrat Jafrin, Rulia Akhtar, M. M. Masud, Deboshree Ghosh
Abstract:The demographic dividend contributes to a nation’s economic performance by increasing its per capita income, savings and investments. In recent decades, Bangladesh, like other South Asian countries, is passing through its demographic dividend phase, which can promote overall sustainable socioeconomic development of the country. This window of opportunity has a dynamic comparative advantage for Bangladesh compared to its corresponding countries vis-à-vis the youth labour force. This paper conducts a situational analysis of the demographic dividend in Bangladesh by examining data on labour market, savings rate and human capital from different national and international sources. The results from the situational analysis indicate that Bangladesh is yet to realize the demographic bonus. Currently, the country is suffering from higher youth unemployment, lower human capital development, shortage of skilled labour force, lower female labour force participation and fluctuating savings rate, all of which impedes the favorable impact of the demographic dividend on economic growth. The findings of this study depict a path for policymakers and stakeholders to prioritise to fully reap the benefits of the demographic dividend and achieve long-term socioeconomic development of the country.
摘要:人口红利通过增加一国的人均收入、储蓄和投资来促进一国的经济发展。近几十年来,孟加拉国与其他南亚国家一样,正在经历人口红利阶段,这可以促进该国社会经济的整体可持续发展。与相应的国家-à-vis青年劳动力相比,这一机会之窗对孟加拉国具有动态的比较优势。本文通过研究来自不同国家和国际来源的劳动力市场、储蓄率和人力资本数据,对孟加拉国的人口红利进行了情景分析。情境分析的结果表明,孟加拉国尚未实现人口红利。目前,该国面临青年失业率较高、人力资本开发水平较低、熟练劳动力短缺、女性劳动力参与率较低以及储蓄率波动等问题,这些都阻碍了人口红利对经济增长的有利影响。本研究的结果为政策制定者和利益相关者描绘了一条优先考虑充分享受人口红利和实现国家长期社会经济发展的道路。
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引用次数: 0
The Transition from Foster Care to Adulthood in Poland 波兰从寄养到成年的过渡
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0014
J. Grotowska-Leder, Iwona Kudlińska-Chróścicka
Abstract:This paper explores the process of transition into adulthood from the foster care system in Poland in the context of the legal and institutional regulations shaping early adulthood. Despite the paradigm shift and the rule of moving away from institutional forms of foster care towards a diverse range of family based forms of care, the transition to adulthood from foster care is still highly institutionalised in Poland. The paper explains how the state, through its legal and institutional means, shapes biographies of care leavers towards the form of adulthood understood as the stage of reaching economic autonomy and starting a family. The paper draws on original qualitative research conducted with care leavers in Poland which was part of the Public policies for completed adulthood. The case of Poland project, which was conducted in 2015–2020 and funded by the Polish National Science Centre (NCN). The results show that the transition from care to adulthood is both accelerated and compressed and is perceived as rapid and chaotic by care leavers, and that the abrupt withdrawal of support makes the Polish care system less effective.
摘要:本文探讨了在波兰的法律和制度法规的背景下,从寄养系统过渡到成年的过程。尽管模式发生了转变,并且从机构形式的寄养转向以家庭为基础的各种形式的寄养,但在波兰,从寄养向成年的过渡仍然高度制度化。本文解释了国家如何通过其法律和制度手段,塑造照顾离开者的传记,使其走向被理解为达到经济自主和组建家庭的阶段。本文借鉴了对波兰的护理离开者进行的原始定性研究,这是完成成年期公共政策的一部分。波兰项目的案例,该项目于2015-2020年进行,由波兰国家科学中心(NCN)资助。结果表明,从护理到成年的过渡既加速又压缩,并且被护理离开者认为是快速和混乱的,并且突然撤回支持使波兰护理系统效率降低。
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引用次数: 1
Introduction to the 60th Anniversary Issue of Population Review 《人口评论》60周年刊导言
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0013
W. Haller
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引用次数: 0
The Socially Differentiated Impact of School-related Factors on Children’s Life Satisfaction: The French Example 学校相关因素对儿童生活满意度的社会差异影响:以法国为例
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-14 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0012
Kevin Diter, Claude Martin, Julia Buzaud, Zoé Perron
Abstract:Over the past fifty years, the topic of children’s well-being has garnered attention in political and academic debates. In recent decades, the extensive literature on the topic has documented the numerous determinants of children’s life satisfaction, as well as their relative importance according to cultural contexts. This increasing attention paid to children’s subjective well-being includes consideration of school environments (see for example the ISCWeB study, HBSC study, the advancements of Positive Education, World Happiness Report 2015, etc). Until recently, the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) surveys were mainly focused on well-being as linked with academic and professional achievement. Since 2015, PISA has documented ongoing levels of children’s well-being, and how well-being is influenced by school environments, the quality of children’s relationships with their peers and teachers at school, as well as parental involvement in the lives of their children. This article aims to highlight the impact of school-related determinants on children’s life satisfaction and its variations across social classes. Based on the French part of the PISA 2015 Survey (n=4804), we have identified a two steps expression of inequalities. We begin by showing that class differences influence children’s probability of having both a school environment and peer and parental relationships that enhance their level of life satisfaction. We go on to point out that social inequalities also appear when examining the impact of school-related factors on children’s overall life satisfaction. It seems that school bullying, anxiety and parental involvement in school impact children differently depending on their social background.
摘要:在过去的五十年中,儿童福祉的话题引起了政治和学术界的广泛关注。近几十年来,关于这一主题的大量文献记录了儿童生活满意度的众多决定因素,以及它们在文化背景下的相对重要性。对儿童主观幸福感的日益关注包括对学校环境的考虑(例如,参见ISCWeB研究、HBSC研究、积极教育的进展、2015年世界幸福报告等)。直到最近,国际学生评估项目(PISA)调查主要关注与学术和专业成就相关的幸福感。自2015年以来,PISA记录了儿童福祉的持续水平,以及学校环境、儿童与同龄人和老师的关系质量以及父母对孩子生活的参与对福祉的影响。本文旨在强调学校相关决定因素对儿童生活满意度的影响及其在社会阶层中的差异。根据2015年PISA调查的法国部分(n=4804),我们确定了不平等的两步表达。我们首先表明,阶级差异会影响儿童拥有学校环境、同伴和父母关系的可能性,从而提高他们的生活满意度。我们继续指出,在研究学校相关因素对儿童整体生活满意度的影响时,社会不平等也会出现。似乎学校欺凌、焦虑和父母对学校的参与对儿童的影响是不同的,这取决于他们的社会背景。
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引用次数: 1
The Role of Sociodemographic Factors During a Pandemic Outbreak: Aggravators and Mitigators 大流行爆发期间社会人口因素的作用:加重和减轻
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-08-03 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0011
Masoud Shahmanzari, E. Eryarsoy
Abstract:Many macro- and micro-level factors affect the spread of an infectious disease. Among them are sociodemographic, socioeconomic, sociocultural, health care system infrastructure, use of alcohol or substances, level of life disruptions because of chronic illnesses. Because of accuracy and timeliness issues, officials are often forced to make one-size-fits-all decisions across all regions. This paper offers a framework to analyze and quantify the interrelationships between a wide set of sociodemographic factors and the transmission speed of the pandemic to facilitate custom-fitted regional containment measures. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the role of a comprehensive set of sociodemographic factors in the diffusion of COVID-19 analytically. Our findings suggest that diverse sets of sociodemographic factors drive the transmission during different stages of the pandemic. In specific, we show that variables such as gender, age groups, daily commuting distances, modes of employment, poverty and transportation means are found to be statistically significant in the transmission speed of COVID-19. Our results do not suggest a statistically significant relationship between transmission speed and migration-related variables. We also find that the importance levels for the statistically significant variables vary across different stages of the pandemic. Our results point out a variety of public policy insights and implications.
摘要:影响传染病传播的宏观和微观因素很多。其中包括社会人口、社会经济、社会文化、卫生保健系统基础设施、酒精或物质的使用、因慢性疾病造成的生活中断程度。由于准确性和及时性的问题,官员们经常被迫在所有地区做出一刀切的决定。本文提供了一个框架来分析和量化广泛的社会人口因素与大流行传播速度之间的相互关系,以促进定制的区域控制措施。本文的目的是分析研究一系列社会人口因素在COVID-19传播中的作用。我们的研究结果表明,在大流行的不同阶段,不同的社会人口因素推动了传播。具体而言,我们发现性别、年龄组、日常通勤距离、就业方式、贫困和交通工具等变量对COVID-19的传播速度具有统计学意义。我们的结果并不表明传输速度和迁移相关变量之间存在统计学上显著的关系。我们还发现,在大流行的不同阶段,具有统计意义的变量的重要程度各不相同。我们的研究结果指出了各种公共政策的见解和影响。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of Adult Mortality in Developing Countries Using an Application Based on the Variable-r Method 基于变量-r方法的发展中国家成人死亡率估计应用
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0010
E. C. Nwogu, C. Okoro
Abstract:This paper proposes another approach to estimation of adult mortality in developing countries based on the variable-r method. The method derives estimates of adult mortality from the age distributions of two censuses. It is similar to Preston-Bennett method, but uses a slightly different approach to obtain estimates of person-years lived and expectation of life at age x. The proposed method is very simple and estimates from it compare favorably well with estimates from other related methods.
摘要:本文提出了一种基于变量r法的发展中国家成人死亡率估计方法。该方法根据两次人口普查的年龄分布得出成人死亡率估计数。它与Preston-Bennett方法类似,但使用一种略有不同的方法来获得x岁时的人年寿命和预期寿命的估计值。所提出的方法非常简单,其估计值与其他相关方法的估计值相比较有利。
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引用次数: 2
Life Satisfaction and Hope in Conflict-Displaced Children: Influence of Individual Factors, Microsystem Factors and Humanitarian Interventions 冲突流离失所儿童的生活满意度与希望:个体因素、微系统因素与人道主义干预的影响
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.1353/prv.2021.0009
Esther Ariyo, D. Mortelmans, E. Wouters
Abstract:Limited information exists on life satisfaction and hope of internally displaced children in conflict-affected areas. Using both the ecological and resilience frameworks on children's well-being, this study investigates the associations between age, gender, parent-child relationship and livelihood support on life satisfaction and hope of conflict affected children. The study focuses on children aged 7-18 years (n=384) within two states in Northeast Nigeria using regression analysis. The children completed a self-report survey addressing diverse questions, such as age, gender, parent-child relationship, family type, relationship to household head, livelihood support, life satisfaction and hope. Parent-child relationship and living within an extended family system were positively associated with higher life satisfaction and higher levels of hope. Economic stress negatively influenced life satisfaction while livelihood support was positively associated with hope. Our findings suggest that intervention programs should focus on both livelihood factors as well as a positive parent-child relationship in order to produce a positive impact on the life satisfaction and hope of displaced children.
摘要:关于冲突地区流离失所儿童的生活满意度和希望的信息有限。本研究运用生态和弹性框架,探讨了年龄、性别、亲子关系和生计支持对冲突儿童生活满意度和希望的影响。本研究采用回归分析方法对尼日利亚东北部两个州的7-18岁儿童(n=384)进行了研究。孩子们完成了一份自我报告调查,涉及年龄、性别、亲子关系、家庭类型、与户主的关系、生计支持、生活满意度和希望等多种问题。亲子关系和生活在大家庭系统中与更高的生活满意度和更高的希望水平呈正相关。经济压力对生活满意度有负向影响,生计支持对希望有正向影响。本研究结果提示,干预方案应同时关注生计因素和积极的亲子关系,以对流离失所儿童的生活满意度和希望产生积极的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Perspective of Estonian Children and Adults on Children's Right to Participate in Society 爱沙尼亚儿童和成人对儿童参与社会权利的看法
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.1353/PRV.2021.0008
Andra Reinomägi
Abstract:The aim of this paper is to explore the perception of participation right of children in Estonian society from the perspective of adults and children by taking into consideration their sociodemographic background. The study draws on data from Estonia's Second Children's Rights and Parenting Survey (2018; a sample of 1,063 children at age 10–17, and 1,083 adults in the age range of 18–74). The study focused on children's and adults' attitudes, knowledge and experiences concerning children's involvement in decision-making in matters related to children's lives, as expressions of the right of participation. The findings demonstrate the generational and gender differences between children and adults in their perceptions. The study confirms the association between the awareness of children's rights and support to children's possibilities to participate in decision-making in different aspects of life. Furthermore, the analysis shows the importance of the children's own experiences of involvement: children who have more experiences with having a say in issues related to their everyday matters tend to be supportive of the involvement of children.
摘要:本文旨在结合爱沙尼亚儿童的社会人口背景,从成人和儿童的角度探讨儿童在爱沙尼亚社会中的参与权认知。该研究利用了爱沙尼亚第二次儿童权利和养育调查(2018年;样本包括1063名10-17岁的儿童和1083名18-74岁的成年人。这项研究的重点是儿童和成人对儿童参与有关儿童生活事项的决策的态度、知识和经验,作为参与权的表现。研究结果表明,儿童和成人在认知上存在代际和性别差异。这项研究证实了对儿童权利的认识与支持儿童参与生活不同方面决策的可能性之间的联系。此外,分析显示了儿童自身参与经验的重要性:在与他们日常事务有关的问题上有更多发言权的儿童往往支持儿童的参与。
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引用次数: 0
Child Rights, Poverty, and Well-being: Measurement Debates and Empirical Advances 儿童权利,贫困和福祉:测量辩论和实证进展
IF 0.7 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-05-25 DOI: 10.1353/PRV.2021.0007
E. Delamónica
Abstract:Children experience poverty differently from adults. This is the fundamental premise of the work to design specific, child-focused policies to eliminate child poverty. Devising, planning, and monitoring the impact of these policies without a proper measure of child poverty is almost impossible. However, most attempts to measure and analyze child poverty are challenged by the steps needed to measure it properly. In this article a solution is offered in this regard. In the context of global efforts, including by governments, to eliminate child poverty, UNICEF has developed a position on how to measure child poverty, based on a few simple and clear principles. These principles are meant to guide the measurement of child poverty. The main objective of this article is to explain and provide a rationale for this position as well as its relationship to related debates on child poverty measurement. Child poverty should be measured at the level of the individual child, not just as a disaggregation by age of household-level or adult-centered measurement. The measurement should be based on constitutive rights of poverty (i.e., those crucially and directly determined by access to material resources) and not on all possible problems children may face. As all rights are equally important, all dimensions should be equally weighted. The measurement should provide the prevalence as well as the depth/breadth/severity of child poverty. There are various groups of children who require different or special goods and services to fulfill the same rights constitutive of poverty as all other children. These needs ought to be incorporated into the measurement (e.g., children with disabilities may require assistive devices or indigenous children may require culturally appropriate learning materials). Implications and opportunities for flexibility and adjustment of such measures at the country level (while applying the principles) are also addressed in this article as well as a description of the most recent estimates of child poverty across developing countries using the same dimensions, indicators and thresholds.
摘要:儿童对贫困的体验与成人不同。这是设计以儿童为重点的具体政策以消除儿童贫困工作的基本前提。如果没有适当的儿童贫困衡量标准,几乎不可能制定、规划和监测这些政策的影响。然而,衡量和分析儿童贫困的大多数尝试都受到适当衡量所需步骤的挑战。本文在这方面提供了一个解决方案。在包括各国政府在内的全球努力消除儿童贫困的背景下,儿童基金会根据一些简单而明确的原则,就如何衡量儿童贫困问题制定了立场。这些原则旨在指导对儿童贫困的衡量。本文的主要目的是解释和提供这一立场的基本原理,以及它与有关儿童贫困衡量的相关辩论的关系。儿童贫穷应在个别儿童的水平上加以衡量,而不仅仅是按年龄分列家庭一级或以成人为中心的衡量。衡量应以贫穷的基本权利(即由获得物质资源的机会直接决定的权利)为基础,而不是以儿童可能面临的所有问题为基础。由于所有权利都同等重要,因此所有方面的权重都应相同。测量应提供儿童贫困的普遍性和深度/广度/严重程度。有不同的儿童群体需要不同的或特殊的物品和服务,以实现与所有其他儿童一样构成贫困的同样权利。这些需求应纳入衡量(例如,残疾儿童可能需要辅助装置,土著儿童可能需要文化上适当的学习材料)。本文还讨论了在国家一级(在适用这些原则的同时)灵活和调整这些措施的影响和机会,并描述了使用相同的维度、指标和阈值对发展中国家儿童贫困的最新估计。
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引用次数: 0
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Population Review
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