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FORMATION OF MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MICE-TOURISM 会展旅游影响下宏观经济指标的形成
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-19
K. Zhylenko, S. Khalatur, O. Pavlenko, O. Pavlenko
The international tourism industry faces a wide range of unique challenges, the solution of which will make it possible to revive the functioning of the industry and offset the unique scale of turbulence in 2022. In our opinion, in modern conditions a proven and effective tool is activation and development of services in the structure of MICE tourism. An analysis of modern scientific research on the effectiveness of the development and functioning of international tourism suggests that there is a wide range of unresolved issues that require additional analysis. The analyzed materials of scientific research allow to draw a conclusion about the indisputable influence of the tourist business on the formation and development of the economic potential of the region at the macro-levels. At the same time, tourism is in close interaction with the geographical, economic, innovative, ecological component. The dynamics, pace and nature of this interaction is affected by a wide range of determinants, which under certain conditions that under certain conditions set the vector and level of influence of tourism business on the overall potential of the region. Specialization and concentration in the production process ensures the sustainable development of the business entity and increases its level of competitiveness in its segment of operation. Differentiation according to the specialization in the provision of tourist services by type will allows to more fully reveal the potential of a particular tourist destination. The purpose of our research is to determine the impact of international MICE tourism on the formation of macroeconomic performance indicators of the region, namely the gross domestic product (GDP) and foreign direct investment (FDI). Using the methods of correlation-regression analysis and dispersion analysis, a close relationship between the number of MICE-tourism events and the level of GDP and FDI was established. For analysis, the top 10 leading countries in business tourism events were selected; data for 2017-2020 were processed. European countries are the leaders in conducting business tourism events (51% of the total volume). In second place, by a large margin (17% of the total volume), are the countries of North America. The study of indicators of the dynamics and structure of international business events by topic for the period 2017–2020 revealed the top five: medicine, technology, science, education, industry, social sciences. The results of the study have showed that the indicators of the number of conducted MICE-events in the region and the level of economic effect from their implementation are directly proportional to the level of GDP and FDI attracted in the region. In addition, it was established that such a region as China stands out from the general trend.
国际旅游业面临着一系列独特的挑战,解决这些挑战将有可能重振该行业的运作,并抵消2022年独特的动荡规模。我们认为,在现代条件下,激活和发展会展旅游结构中的服务是行之有效的工具。对国际旅游业发展和运作的有效性的现代科学研究的分析表明,有许多尚未解决的问题需要进一步分析。通过对科学研究资料的分析,可以得出一个结论,即旅游业在宏观层面上对该地区经济潜力的形成和发展具有无可争辩的影响。同时,旅游与地理、经济、创新、生态等要素密切互动。这种相互作用的动态、速度和性质受到一系列决定因素的影响,这些决定因素在某些条件下决定了旅游业对该地区整体潜力的影响方向和程度。生产过程中的专业化和集中化确保了企业实体的可持续发展,并提高了其在其业务部门的竞争力水平。按类型提供旅游服务的专业化进行区分,可以更充分地揭示特定旅游目的地的潜力。我们的研究目的是确定国际会展旅游对该地区宏观经济绩效指标的形成,即国内生产总值(GDP)和外国直接投资(FDI)的影响。运用相关回归分析和离散分析的方法,建立了会展旅游事件数量与GDP和FDI水平之间的密切关系。为了进行分析,选择了商务旅游活动排名前10位的国家;对2017-2020年的数据进行处理。欧洲国家在举办商务旅游活动方面处于领先地位(占总数的51%)。排在第二位的是北美国家,增幅很大(占总量的17%)。对2017-2020年期间国际商业活动动态和结构指标的研究揭示了前五名:医学、技术、科学、教育、工业、社会科学。研究结果表明,该地区举办的会展活动数量及其实施的经济效果水平的指标与该地区吸引的GDP和外国直接投资水平成正比。此外,它还确立了像中国这样的地区在总体趋势中脱颖而出。
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引用次数: 3
THE PRINCIPLE OF COGNITIVE HIERARCHY IN MAKING INDIVIDUAL AND COLLECTIVE DECISIONS 个人和集体决策的认知层次原则
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-14
G. Mazhara
The purpose of this study was to analyze the methods of k-levels and cognitive hierarchy, their approbation and application to solve various problems of an individual and collective nature with the help of an applied experiment. The task was to conduct the analysis several times and in different time frames, in several iterations. Effects such as cooperation and additional information were additionally investigated since in addition to individual decision-making under conditions of asymmetric information, a second attempt was also offered, after everyone heard the winners and heard the results of the first attempt, i.e., the information was symmetrical and available to everyone. At the third attempt, it was suggested to join any groups and make collective decisions. The experiment was conducted on the basis of differently formed groups. Students of specialized fields of education of various years of study, and scientific and pedagogical workers with professional education (candidates and doctors of economic, technical, physical and mathematical sciences) were selected. Two models for k-levels, k-LR and cognitive hierarchy (CH), were chosen and built for the study. Although the models are similar, they have some differences. The goal was to compare the indicators of the models with those that will be obtained in practice, and to prove or disprove the relevance of their use in decision-making evaluation. An experiment was conducted, data were collected, and their analysis was carried out by calculating and comparing experimental and model data. As a result, it was established that the experimental results were close to the CH model and not to the k-LR model. Factors such as awareness and cooperation increased the number of higher (deeper) level players at the expense of lower-level players. Changes due to awareness or cooperation occurred, but were not significant, and only brought the experimental results closer to the point of convergence with the model ones, which once again emphasized the possibility of using this model in different circumstances. Under circumstances such as information or cooperation, no optimal solution (saddle point) was found under pure strategies, according to Nash and Pareto. This finding is especially promising for the future economic analysis since it proves that even with an obvious solution to the model, it cannot always be solved according to “classical” theories and equilibrium, and people’s behavior is described by more complex cognitive processes in decisionmaking and operations research.
本研究的目的是通过应用实验,分析k水平和认知层次的方法,以及它们在解决个体和集体性质的各种问题中的认可和应用。任务是在几个迭代中,在不同的时间框架内执行几次分析。由于除了信息不对称条件下的个人决策外,还提供了第二次尝试,即在每个人都听到获胜者和第一次尝试的结果之后,即信息是对称的,每个人都可以获得,因此还研究了合作和额外信息等效应。在第三次尝试中,有人建议加入任何小组并做出集体决定。实验是在不同分组的基础上进行的。选择了不同学习年限的专业教育领域的学生和受过专业教育的科学工作者和教学工作者(经济、技术、物理和数学科学的候选人和博士)。我们选择并建立了两个k水平模型,即k-LR和认知层次(CH)模型。虽然这些模型很相似,但也有一些差异。目的是将这些模型的指标与在实际中将得到的指标进行比较,并证明或反驳它们在决策评价中使用的相关性。进行了实验,收集了数据,并对实验数据和模型数据进行了计算和比较,对其进行了分析。结果表明,实验结果接近CH模型,而不接近k-LR模型。意识和合作等因素以牺牲低级玩家为代价,增加了高级(深层次)玩家的数量。由于意识或合作而产生的变化,但并不显著,只是使实验结果更接近于模型的收敛点,再次强调了在不同情况下使用该模型的可能性。根据纳什和帕累托的理论,在信息或合作等情况下,纯策略下没有最优解(鞍点)。这一发现对未来的经济分析尤其有希望,因为它证明了即使模型有一个明显的解决方案,也不能总是根据“经典”理论和均衡来解决,人们的行为是由决策和运筹学中更复杂的认知过程来描述的。
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引用次数: 0
COMMUNICATION OF STAKEHOLDERS IN THE PROCESS OF COMMERCIALIZATION OF INNOVATIONS IN THE WORLD MARKET 世界市场创新商业化过程中利益相关者的沟通
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-12
V. Shcherbachenko, S. Kotenko, L. Saher, H. Shcholokova
It is impossible to commercialize innovations without properly selected participants. Participants are the key to building a reliable commercialization chain that can quickly and efficiently turn an idea into an innovative product. However, selecting participants in the innovation commercialization chain is a rather complex, lengthy, and appropriate process. The success and speed of commercialization of innovations depend on it. In addition to selecting participants, it is important to ensure communication between them, i.e., to establish communication at a qualitative level, achieving harmonious relations. Properly built communication interaction will accelerate the introduction of innovations to the market and will contribute to the formation of long-term relationships. The article presents the results of a study of stakeholders in the process of commercialization of innovations. The study’s purpose was to analyze stakeholders’ communications and interaction in the process of commercialization of innovations in the international business environment. To achieve this goal, the following objectives were set: to define the stages of stakeholder analysis of innovation commercialization, analyze the degree of their importance and interest, and determine methods of interaction between stakeholders in the international business environment. The main research methods used in writing the article are comparative analysis of scientific publications and research on the work of commercialization of innovations, generalization and visualization map by VOS viewer software analysis of stakeholders, and methods of interaction in the process of commercialization of innovations, in particular the matrix of stakeholders, the Mendelow’s Matrix (“power/interest” matrix), MitchellAgle-Wood Stakeholder Model, Accountability Scorecard, Stakeholder’s Map. With the help of the VOS viewer software product, a visualization map was created in connection with the concepts of “commercialization of innovations”, “stakeholders” and related ideas based on information from the Scopus database. While working on the article, literary sources were analyzed close to the research topic. The analysis results confirmed the theory of the forms of interaction between stakeholders in the process of innovation commercialization.
没有适当选择的参与者,创新是不可能商业化的。参与者是建立可靠的商业化链的关键,可以快速有效地将一个想法转化为创新产品。然而,选择创新商业化链中的参与者是一个相当复杂、漫长和适当的过程。创新的成功和商业化的速度取决于它。除了选择参与者之外,重要的是确保参与者之间的沟通,即在定性层面上建立沟通,实现和谐关系。适当建立的沟通互动将加速将创新引入市场,并有助于形成长期关系。本文介绍了对创新商业化过程中利益相关者的研究结果。该研究的目的是分析国际商业环境中创新商业化过程中利益相关者的沟通和互动。为实现这一目标,设定了以下目标:界定创新商业化利益相关者分析的阶段,分析其重要性和利益程度,确定国际商业环境中利益相关者之间的互动方式。撰写文章时主要采用的研究方法是对科学出版物和创新商业化工作的研究进行比较分析,利用VOS查看器软件对利益相关者进行概括和可视化地图分析,以及创新商业化过程中的互动方法,特别是利益相关者矩阵、门德罗矩阵(“权力/利益”矩阵)、米切尔agle - wood利益相关者模型、问责计分卡、涉众的地图。在VOS查看器软件产品的帮助下,根据Scopus数据库的信息,创建了与“创新商业化”、“利益相关者”和相关想法相关的可视化地图。在撰写这篇文章的过程中,我们对接近研究主题的文学来源进行了分析。分析结果证实了创新商业化过程中利益相关者互动形式的理论。
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引用次数: 0
ASSESSING THE REGIONAL LABOR MARKET BY USING DATA MINING METHODS: WAYS OF EFFECTIVE FUNCTIONING 利用数据挖掘方法评估区域劳动力市场:有效运作的方法
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-3
L. Harmider, S. Fedulova, Yuliia Bartashevska, Vitalina Komirna
As a result of the uneven development of certain territories, it is more feasible and effective to tackle the practical issues of labor market regulation at the regional level. This ensures sufficient regulation of the system. Since it is necessary to properly account for the regional differences in practice, it is required that these issues be methodologically justified. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to investigate regional labor markets based on indicators of the socio-economic development of regions using the data mining methods. The current study has clustered regions of Ukraine on the basis of the level of their socio-economic development using data mining methods, in particular Kohonen maps and the k-means methods. One of the most critical stages in the assessment of Ukraine’s regions in terms of socio-economic development by using data mining methods is to determine the information base, criteria of evaluation, and a list of estimates. The data mining methods have gained much popularity in the assessing regional differentiation. The conducted analysis based on data mining methods included the use of the Deductor software, which includes the following analytical algorithms: neural networks, Kohonen’s self-organizing maps, autocorrelation and regression, associative rules, decision trees. For our study, we used the cluster analysis method based on Kohonen’s self-organizing maps as one of the most popular and frequently used methods for solving problems of the regional economy and assessing the differentiation of regions. In the context of our task, the result of cluster analysis is clusters of regions, united by indices of socioeconomic development. The main aspects of the socio-economic and demographic development of the regions are characterized by a set of statistical indicators related to four blocks of key factors: 1. Assessment of the demographic situation in a region. 2. Assessment of the social situation in a region. 3. Assessment of the economic situation in a region. 4. Assessment of the organizational environment in a region. The study, by no means, claims to detect all the dependences in the labor market related to all the above-mentioned factors. Based on public data, given in the statistical yearbook “Ukraine in Figures” (2020), by using mathematical methods (correlation-regression and cluster analysis), we obtained two groups of factors that characterize different aspects of the socio-economic and demographic development. The ranking of the regions by the level of extensive and intensive development shows that the development of the regions in Ukraine mainly proceeds in the extensive path of development. Almost all regions of Ukraine demonstrate a low level of intensive development. The integrated coefficient of intensive development for many territories is far from a maximum value; there are well distinguishable and huge discrepancies in the levels of the regions’ intensive development. Such a gap between the natural an
由于某些地区的发展不平衡,在区域层面解决劳动力市场调控的实际问题更为可行和有效。这确保了对系统的充分监管。由于有必要适当地考虑到实践中的区域差异,因此需要在方法上证明这些问题是合理的。因此,本文的目的是利用数据挖掘方法,在区域社会经济发展指标的基础上,对区域劳动力市场进行研究。目前的研究使用数据挖掘方法,特别是Kohonen地图和k-means方法,根据乌克兰各区域的社会经济发展水平将其聚集在一起。在利用数据挖掘方法评估乌克兰各地区的社会经济发展方面,最关键的阶段之一是确定信息库、评价标准和估算清单。数据挖掘方法在区域差异评价中得到了广泛的应用。基于数据挖掘方法进行的分析包括使用演绎软件,演绎软件包括以下分析算法:神经网络、Kohonen自组织图、自相关和回归、关联规则、决策树。本文将基于Kohonen自组织图的聚类分析方法作为解决区域经济问题和评估区域分化最常用的方法之一。在我们的任务背景下,聚类分析的结果是由社会经济发展指标联合起来的区域集群。各区域社会经济和人口发展的主要方面的特点是与四个关键因素有关的一套统计指标:对一个地区人口状况的评估。2. 对一个地区社会形势的评估。3.对一个地区经济形势的评估。4. 对一个地区的组织环境进行评估。这项研究并没有声称发现了劳动力市场中与上述所有因素相关的所有依赖关系。根据统计年鉴《数字中的乌克兰》(2020)中的公共数据,我们使用数学方法(相关回归和聚类分析),获得了表征社会经济和人口发展不同方面的两组因素。通过对各地区粗放型和集约型发展水平的排名可以看出,乌克兰各地区的发展主要是走粗放型发展道路。乌克兰几乎所有地区都表现出低水平的集约化发展。许多地区集约发展综合系数远未达到最大值;区域集约发展水平差异明显,差异巨大。一方面,自然资源和人力资源潜力与区域内经济活动的发展水平及其领土组织之间的这种差距,另一方面,导致一些地区的投资缺乏吸引力。因此,根据其社会经济发展水平对该国各地区的估计证明,在乌克兰大多数地区的发展中,广泛的因素占主导地位。在劳动力市场上对所有地区群体实施的政策的共同领域是实施积极政策的措施(促进自营职业和小企业;创造新的就业机会;对失业人员进行职业培训和再培训;公共工程;改善就业服务等)。
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引用次数: 0
ECONOMIC DYNAMICS OF DESIGN IN THE CONTEXT OF INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE 国际经验背景下设计的经济动态
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-16
Elfana Nasimi Gasimova, Lala Hamlet Mammadova, Gulchohra Salehzadeh, N. B. Huseynova
The transition from a raw model of development to a creative one, the transformation into a technologically dynamic country capable of developing, producing, and applying high technologies, innovations for large-scale production of competitive goods and services, are considered the most significant components of the strategy for modernizing the economy at the present stage. The study mainly discusses the concept of “creative economy”, its main characteristics, principles, and the international experience of the design economy. Attention is also paid to the consideration of design as a tool and factor in the country’s economic development. The main purpose of writing the article is to study the expanded innovative reproduction system of the economy, to identify its main structural elements. In the last decade, the intensification of globalization, regionalization, modernization and transformation of the economic system has led to a kind of creative development, whose direction and pace are determined by man as an innovator, which increases the relevance of the research topic. The methodological basis of the research was the works of German and other foreign scientists on the problems of economic design. The following research methods were used to perform the tasks: monographic (to study the principles of management of the economic system); system-structural (to study the essence of sustainable economic design); institutional (to study the application of the design problem in institutions); abstract-logical (to make theoretical and methodological generalizations and formulate the results). The main result of the research over time is that the study of the relationship between economics and culture in existing economic models allows for a more in-depth study of the phenomenon of creativity as a factor in innovative processes. The development of research on the role of culture in the formation of human capital can be useful in the study of the main categories of economic development, such as productivity, innovation, creativity. Changes in the focus of cultural economics from the study of cultural heritage and art (welfare model and neoclassical model), as well as a reconsideration of the concept and content of culture, which we observe in these models, can lead to changes in cultural development. Originality/scientific novelty. The scientific novelty of the research consists of its plan and the points that were clarified for the first time. The rationality of the funds allocated by the state for creativity, the inactivity of business in this area, the lack of scientific research, the reduction in the number of researchers and engineers were cited as factors hindering the development of the creative economy. Practical value/implications. The practical significance of the research is related to the fact that the research topic, i.e, the creative economy, affects not only the creation of new products, but also their production methods. For example, pra
从原始的发展模式过渡到创造性的发展模式,转变为一个技术上充满活力的国家,能够开发、生产和应用高技术,大规模生产有竞争力的商品和服务的创新,被认为是现阶段经济现代化战略的最重要组成部分。本研究主要探讨了“创意经济”的概念、主要特征、原理以及设计经济的国际经验。人们还注意到设计作为国家经济发展的工具和因素的考虑。本文的主要目的是研究扩大的创新再生产经济体系,确定其主要结构要素。近十年来,全球化、区域化、现代化和经济体制转型的加剧导致了一种创造性的发展,这种发展的方向和速度是由作为创新者的人决定的,这增加了研究课题的相关性。这项研究的方法论基础是德国和其他外国科学家关于经济设计问题的著作。以下研究方法被用来执行任务:专论(研究经济系统的管理原理);系统结构(研究可持续经济设计的本质);机构(研究设计问题在机构中的应用);抽象-逻辑(做出理论和方法上的概括,并制定结果)。随着时间的推移,研究的主要结果是,在现有的经济模型中研究经济与文化之间的关系,可以更深入地研究创造力作为创新过程中的一个因素的现象。关于文化在人力资本形成中的作用的研究进展,可以对经济发展的主要类别,如生产力、创新、创造力的研究有所帮助。从文化遗产和艺术的研究(福利模型和新古典模型)的文化经济学的焦点的变化,以及我们在这些模型中观察到的对文化概念和内容的重新思考,可以导致文化发展的变化。创意/科学新颖。该研究的科学新颖性包括其计划和首次阐明的要点。国家分配给创意的资金不合理、这一领域的企业不活跃、缺乏科学研究、研究人员和工程师数量减少被认为是阻碍创意经济发展的因素。实用价值和意义。研究的现实意义在于,研究主题即创意经济不仅影响新产品的创造,而且影响新产品的生产方式。例如,实践研究表明,日本在这个问题上是积极的。众所周知,鉴于创意经济形成和发展的特殊性,日本是第一个采用非传统和创造性方法的国家。考虑到日本的经验,可以在体力劳动的基础上运用员工的创造能力。鉴于日本正在不断改进技术、方法、方向、形式、工业理念、模式和组织来管理生产过程和人员,我们可以考虑将这种做法应用于我们国家的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY THROUGH MOTIVATING EMPLOYEES IN TYPICAL STATE-OWNED ECONOMIC GROUPS IN VIETNAM 越南典型国有经济集团通过激励员工实现企业社会责任
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-17
Phan Minh Duc, Duong Ngoc Anh
In Vietnam, among 10 biggest economic groups (SEGs), four representatives, which are Viettel, Mobifone (belonged to VNPT in the period 1994-2016), Bao Viet Insurance (belonging to Bao Viet Group), Petroleum Insurance (belonging to PVN Group), have been ranked in the top list of 100 most desired employers in the market by Anphabe. This means that the working environment at the parent company or some subsidiaries of these four groups retains good employees and constantly attracts new talents to join. However, with the great potential and incentives on resources received from the Government, the business performance indicators of those State Economic Groups are not really commensurate. The root of the problem lies in the motivation of the workers. Also, the picture of corporate social responsibility is also much more energetic when the business situation of the groups becomes positive. When international partners and importers require Vietnamese enterprises to comply with global standards on occupational safety, worker health care, and environmental protection, Vietnamese enterprises will have stronger motivation to change and improve their performance, which means increased competitive advantage in the globally integrated environment. Therefore, this paper focuses on the relationship between CSR and the process of motivating employees to suggest new and more groundbreaking research directions on this issue in the future. This study is one of very few studies which have examined the potential relationship between Corporate Social Responsibility and Employee Motivation, with a look from the inside of the company towards the outside connection with society, communities and the customers. The effects can be imposed in back-and-forth directions between CSR and Employee Motivation activities of the company.
在越南,在10个最大的经济集团(seg)中,四个代表,即Viettel, Mobifone(1994-2016年期间属于VNPT), Bao Viet保险(属于Bao Viet集团),石油保险(属于PVN集团),被Anphabe评为市场上100个最理想的雇主。这意味着这四个集团的母公司或一些子公司的工作环境保留了优秀的员工,并不断吸引新的人才加入。但是,由于从政府获得的资源具有巨大的潜力和奖励,这些国家经济集团的业务业绩指标实际上并不相称。问题的根源在于工人的积极性。同时,企业社会责任的图景也会随着企业经营状况的好转而更加活跃。当国际合作伙伴和进口商要求越南企业遵守职业安全、工人保健和环境保护方面的全球标准时,越南企业将有更强的动力改变和改善其绩效,这意味着在全球一体化环境中增加竞争优势。因此,本文将重点研究企业社会责任与员工激励过程之间的关系,为未来这一问题提出新的、更具开创性的研究方向。本研究是极少数研究企业社会责任和员工激励之间潜在关系的研究之一,从公司内部看向与社会,社区和客户的外部联系。这种影响可以在企业社会责任和员工激励活动之间来回施加。
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引用次数: 0
MEASURING THE PARTICIPATION OF COUNTRIES IN GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN 衡量各国在全球价值链中的参与度
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-4
I. Pavlovska, Viktoriia Khaustova, I. Hubarieva
The article is devoted to the generalization and systematization of the main theoretical approaches and practical methods of measuring the participation of countries or industries in global value chains (GVC). The work provides the definition and main content of global value chains. It has been noted that the growing role of global value chains and their importance not only changes the approach to the ways of generating income and ensuring economic growth, but also gives an awareness that the most important driver of economic growth of an industry or country is direct participation in global value chains. Significant arguments have been presented in favor of the participation of countries in global value chains. Summarizing the existing methods of calculating the degree of a country’s participation in global value chains, the authors have singled out four index based methods: Index of Vertical Specialization, Export complexity index, GVC participation index and GVC position index. Index of Vertical Specialization assumes using data on the country’s expenditure-output for the distribution of the value of imported foreign goods contained in export products of a certain industry in this country, on the total export value of the industry. Export complexity index based on export volume and income of a country that participates in global value chains, as well as the export of goods of a specific country and the industry index of goods to measure the national product index. GVC participation index is measured in terms of the value of goods and services added as a result of trade. GVC position index shows the “status” of a certain industry in a country: the higher the value, the higher the “status” of a certain industry in the country’s global value chain, and vice versa. The main formulas for calculating indices, advantages and disadvantages of their use have been presented. Thus, it has been proven that the GVC participation index, which is based on the Index of Vertical Specialization, reflects the dynamics of the integration of countries in the GVC and allows for inter-country and inter-industry comparative analysis, but does not provide an opportunity to assess the benefits received from participation in the GVC. The use of the GVC Status Index allows to solve this task both at the country and at the sectoral level. It has been proposed to use GVC participation index and GVC position index as a basis for analyzing Ukraine’s participation in global value chains. This will allow not only to reveal the degree of Ukraine’s participation in the modern international division of labor but also, based on the conclusions of such an analysis, to develop recommendations for improving the place of Ukraine in the GVC and change the position of Ukraine from a raw material supplier country to a raw material processing country.
本文对衡量国家或产业参与全球价值链的主要理论方法和实践方法进行了归纳和系统梳理。提出了全球价值链的定义和主要内容。人们注意到,全球价值链的作用和重要性日益增强,不仅改变了创造收入和确保经济增长的方式,而且使人们认识到,一个行业或国家经济增长的最重要动力是直接参与全球价值链。支持各国参与全球价值链的重要论据已经出现。在总结现有的计算一国参与全球价值链程度的方法的基础上,提出了四种基于指数的方法:垂直专业化指数、出口复杂性指数、全球价值链参与指数和全球价值链地位指数。垂直专业化指数是利用该国某一产业出口产品中所含的进口外国商品价值的支出产出分布数据,对该产业的总出口价值进行假设。以参与全球价值链的国家的出口量和收入为基础的出口复杂性指数,以及以特定国家的商品出口和商品的行业指数来衡量国家产品指数。全球价值链参与指数是根据贸易增加的商品和服务的价值来衡量的。全球价值链地位指数反映了某一产业在一国的“地位”:该值越高,说明该产业在该国全球价值链中的“地位”越高,反之亦然。介绍了各指标的主要计算公式及其使用的优缺点。因此,事实证明,基于垂直专业化指数的全球价值链参与指数反映了全球价值链中各国整合的动态,并允许进行国家间和行业间的比较分析,但没有提供评估参与全球价值链所获得的利益的机会。利用全球价值链状况指数可以在国家和部门层面解决这一任务。提出以全球价值链参与指数和全球价值链地位指数作为分析乌克兰参与全球价值链的基础。这不仅可以揭示乌克兰参与现代国际分工的程度,而且可以根据这种分析的结论,制定改善乌克兰在全球价值链中的地位的建议,并将乌克兰从原材料供应国转变为原材料加工国。
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引用次数: 1
THE PECULIARITIES OF POVERTY RESEARCH IN THE COUNTRIES OF THE WORLD 世界各国贫困研究的特殊性
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-2
R. Kliuchnyk, E. Lymonova
The article attempts to generalize some features of the study of poverty in the modern world. The use of various indicators that demonstrate the level of poverty has been shown. It has been explained that GDP per capita is one of the most accurate ways of assessing the economic development of the state. It has been demonstrated that all the poorest countries are located on the African continent. Almost all of them used to be colonies of European empires, and now they face political instability, civil wars, natural disasters, etc. These problems have been considered on the examples of Niger and Egypt. Another indicator of poverty is the percentage of people living below the poverty line. The difficulty of using this indicator is that national poverty lines in different countries can differ significantly. According to this indicator, 8 African and 2 Latin American countries (Guatemala and Haiti) are in the top ten. The Global Hunger Index (GHI) has been considered, according to which African countries and Syria are among the top ten starving countries. It should be noted that for some countries there is very little data on the number and share of the hungry. When studying the situation in some countries (North Korea, Turkmenistan, Somalia, etc.), it should be borne in mind that the governments of these countries do not always publish real official statistics, and those data that get into the mass media are not always true. It has been proven that the Human Development Index (HDI) is an integrated indicator that can be used to study the problem of poverty. It has been shown that 10 countries with the lowest HDI are located in Africa. Their place in this ranking is influenced not only by material factors, but also by the average life expectancy and education. Africa is still a continent with a large number of illiterate people. The Corruption Perceptions Index is also important for the study of poverty, because corruption slows down reforms and harms transparent market relations. Therefore, it becomes one of the factors of poverty. Using the statistics provided by Transparency International, we have found out that the most corrupt countries are more evenly distributed around the globe, among them are not only African ones, but also Asian and Latin American states. It can be summarized that the nature of poverty is different in the developed and developing countries. In the developing countries, natural conditions, peculiarities of the organization of socioeconomic life, the political system and even the personality of political leaders are important. In the developed countries, poverty is mostly a consequence of individual psychological characteristics, behaviour, specific life circumstances, etc. In these countries, poverty can be easily overcome.
本文试图概括现代世界贫困研究的一些特点。已经说明了使用各种指标来显示贫穷程度。有人解释说,人均国内生产总值是评估一个国家经济发展的最准确的方法之一。事实证明,所有最贫穷的国家都位于非洲大陆。几乎所有这些国家都曾经是欧洲帝国的殖民地,现在他们面临着政治不稳定、内战、自然灾害等。以尼日尔和埃及为例审议了这些问题。贫困的另一个指标是生活在贫困线以下的人口百分比。使用这一指标的困难之处在于,不同国家的国家贫困线可能差别很大。根据这一指标,8个非洲国家和2个拉丁美洲国家(危地马拉和海地)名列前十。全球饥饿指数(GHI)已被考虑,根据该指数,非洲国家和叙利亚位列十大饥饿国家之列。应该指出的是,有些国家很少有关于饥饿人数和比例的数据。在研究一些国家(朝鲜、土库曼斯坦、索马里等)的情况时,应该记住,这些国家的政府并不总是公布真正的官方统计数据,而那些进入大众媒体的数据并不总是真实的。事实证明,人类发展指数(HDI)是一个可以用来研究贫困问题的综合指标。研究表明,人类发展指数最低的10个国家位于非洲。这些国家的排名不仅受到物质因素的影响,还受到平均预期寿命和教育程度的影响。非洲仍然是一个有大量文盲的大陆。清廉指数对研究贫困也很重要,因为腐败会减缓改革,损害透明的市场关系。因此,它成为贫困的因素之一。根据透明国际提供的统计数据,我们发现全球最腐败的国家分布更为均匀,其中不仅包括非洲国家,还包括亚洲和拉丁美洲国家。可以概括地说,发达国家和发展中国家的贫困性质是不同的。在发展中国家,自然条件、社会经济生活组织的特点、政治制度甚至政治领导人的个性都是重要的。在发达国家,贫穷主要是个人心理特征、行为、具体生活环境等的结果。在这些国家,贫困很容易克服。
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引用次数: 0
USING CLUSTER ANALYSIS TO ASSESS FINANCIAL STABILITY AS AN OBJECT OF MANAGERIAL IMPACT OF REGIONAL COMPETITIVE IMMUNITY 利用聚类分析评估作为区域竞争豁免管理影响对象的金融稳定性
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-9
Inna Strelchenko, Johanna Koczar, V. Pysarkova
The relevance of considering and analyzing financial stability and competitive immunity at the meso-level in modern conditions is increasing due to changes in the state of both the economic and social spheres. It was found that the “competitive immunity of the territory” reflects a number of new characteristics of modern territorial-regional-interregional competition in the global economy, which distinguishes it from the concept of economic security both at the macro and meso levels. The paper considers the category of “competitive immunity of the region”, which implies the possibility of survival of the peripheral territories of the regions of Ukraine and maintaining their high level of competitiveness. In accordance with the accepted concept of competitive immunity, three problemarea blocks were identified: information-digital approach; information and digital technologies; cost and reputation management, which include objects of managerial influence necessary to evaluate the transition of competitive immunity to sustainable functioning. The main aspect in the study of the financial stability of the local regional budgets as an integral part of the competitive immunity of the region was the search for criteria and the development of a methodology for evaluating efficiency. The following performance indicators of local budgets were used: budget revenues; budget spending; intergovernmental transfers from the state budget; tax revenues; the amount of equalization subsidies; non-tax revenues; average population. An applied study of the methodology for assessing the financial sustainability of the budget as an object of managerial influence at the local level was carried out on the example of selected indicators of local budgets of all regions of Ukraine for 2018-2020. The calculation of the selected indicators was made on the basis of statistical data on the local budgets implementation, reports and decisions of regional councils on the regional budget. The distribution of the initial data set into clusters was analyzed with help of the Deductor business analytical platform, using the k-means clustering algorithm and Kohonen maps. Based on the results of the k-means algorithm, it was found that it is advisable to divide the sample for classifying regions into three groups. To compare and evaluate the effectiveness of the results obtained, as well as to supplement the analysis of the financial stability of the regions of Ukraine, Kohonen maps were used using the Deductor business analytical platform. It was revealed that both methods allow efficient clustering of data in a multidimensional space. The results of clustering obtained by different methods are consistent with each other and, when applied in a complex manner, make it possible to classify the elements of the sample with maximum likelihood and minimum error. The regions of Ukraine were grouped according to the financial stability of the local budget into three groups: regions with high fina
由于经济和社会领域状况的变化,在现代条件下,在中观层面考虑和分析金融稳定和竞争豁免的重要性正在增加。研究发现,"领土的竞争性豁免"反映了全球经济中现代领土-区域-区域间竞争的一些新特点,使其在宏观和中观层面上都有别于经济安全概念。该文件考虑了"区域竞争豁免"的范畴,这意味着乌克兰各地区的外围领土有可能生存下来并保持其高水平的竞争力。根据公认的竞争性豁免概念,确定了三个问题领域:信息-数字方法;资讯及数码科技;成本和声誉管理,其中包括评价竞争性豁免向可持续运作过渡所必需的管理影响对象。将地方区域预算的财政稳定性作为区域竞争性豁免的一个组成部分进行研究的主要方面是寻求评价效率的标准和制定一种方法。使用的地方预算绩效指标如下:预算收入;预算支出;来自国家预算的政府间转移;税收收入;均衡补贴的数额;非税收入;平均人口。以乌克兰所有地区2018-2020年地方预算的选定指标为例,对作为地方一级管理影响对象的预算财务可持续性评估方法进行了应用研究。选定指标的计算是根据关于地方预算执行情况的统计数据、区域理事会关于区域预算的报告和决定进行的。借助演绎业务分析平台,使用k-means聚类算法和Kohonen图对初始数据集的聚类分布进行分析。根据k-means算法的结果,发现将用于区域分类的样本分为三组是可取的。为了比较和评估所获得结果的有效性,并补充对乌克兰地区金融稳定性的分析,我们使用了Kohonen地图,并使用了Deductor业务分析平台。结果表明,这两种方法都可以在多维空间中有效地聚类数据。不同的聚类方法得到的聚类结果是一致的,当应用于复杂的方式时,可以以最大的似然和最小的误差对样本的元素进行分类。根据地方预算的财政稳定性将乌克兰地区分为三组:财政稳定性高的地区、财政稳定性中等的地区和财政稳定性低的地区。利用聚类或神经网络对地方预算相关的金融稳定性进行综合分析所得结果的正确解释,不仅可以分析所得值,而且可以将其与标准进行比较,并与其他地区进行比较分析,确定因素对整体指标变化的影响。对未来作出预测性评估,并说明为加强某一特定区域的竞争免疫力所选择的战略的合理性。
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引用次数: 0
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY AND WEIGHT OF THE NON-OIL SECTOR IN THE ECONOMY OF AZERBAIJAN 发展战略和非石油部门在阿塞拜疆经济中的比重
IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.32342/2074-5354-2022-2-57-20
I. Mahmudova, Vusal Mubariz Guliyev, Asli Kazimova
After the collapse of the USSR, the socialist system collapsed in Azerbaijan, as well as in other allied states. That collapse completely destroyed almost all sectors of the country’s economy, especially the non-oil sector. This means that the period of recession in both the oil and non-oil sectors in the country reached its peak. The stagnation of the country’s economy was felt in many areas. It should be noted that agriculture, tourism, manufacturing, and engineering reached such a decline that the country became dependent on imports in most areas. The transition to economic development after such a tense situation in the country’s economy was remembered by our economists by highlighting three historical stages of the development of Azerbaijani economy in the period after the restoration of independence. The following stages ca be singled out: 1) A period of economic recession, 1991-1994. 2) A period of stability and consistent growth beginning, 1994-2003. 3) A period of dynamic development, 2003- until now. The period from 1991 to 1994 is considered the first period for the economy development. During that period, the political and socio-economic situation in the country became more complicated. According to the statistics provided for this period, during 1991-1994, the gross domestic product (GDP) decreased by 16.5 per cent annually. It is also known that in Azerbaijan, especially in the non-oil sector, a decrease in industrial production by 10% in 1991, 37% in 1992 and 50% in 1993 compared to 1985 was recorded. As a result of the collapse of the USSR, the production areas were almost completely out of order, and as a result, the level of unemployment increased to a high level. Again, referring to the statistics of that period, we can say that in 1991-1995, the monetary income of the population in real terms decreased by 3.3 times, and monetary income per capita decreased on average by 3.6 times. In parallel with this, the wages of the population decreased by 5.7 times. Since the times of the USSR, in agriculture, which has strong production and economic potential for Azerbaijan, the cultivated area of the main crops, the number of livestock has decreased sharply, and the level of production has almost fallen to the state of recession. Comparing 1996 with 1990 on the basis of given statistical data, it can be concluded that in 1996 agricultural production in the Republic decreased by more than 2-3 times. In parallel with this, the tense situation in agriculture also had a negative impact on the processing sector. Based on the calculations, it was found that in 1995, compared with 1993, the production of cereals and legumes decreased by 19.7%, cotton production – by 3.7%, tobacco production – by 74%, vegetable production – by 13%, fruit production – by 6.4%. At the same time, that trend was observed in meat and eggs production. During that period, meat production decreased by 10 thousand tons, egg production – by 128.7 million units. It was fo
苏联解体后,社会主义制度在阿塞拜疆以及其他盟国垮台。那次崩溃彻底摧毁了该国经济的几乎所有部门,尤其是非石油部门。这意味着该国石油和非石油部门的衰退期都达到了顶峰。许多地区都感到该国经济停滞不前。应该指出的是,农业,旅游业,制造业和工程达到了这样的下降,国家变得依赖进口在大多数领域。我国经济学家通过强调在恢复独立后时期阿塞拜疆经济发展的三个历史阶段,记住了在该国经济出现这种紧张局势之后向经济发展过渡的情况。以下阶段可以单独列出:1)经济衰退时期,1991-1994年。2) 1994-2003年开始的稳定持续增长期。3)动态发展期,2003年至今。1991年至1994年被认为是经济发展的第一阶段。在此期间,该国的政治和社会经济情况变得更加复杂。根据这一期间提供的统计数字,在1991-1994年期间,国内生产总值每年下降16.5%。大家还知道,在阿塞拜疆,特别是在非石油部门,1991年工业生产比1985年减少了10%,1992年减少了37%,1993年减少了50%。由于苏联的解体,生产领域几乎完全失去了秩序,因此,失业率上升到很高的水平。再参照这一时期的统计数据,我们可以说1991-1995年,人口的货币收入实际下降了3.3倍,人均货币收入平均下降了3.6倍。与此同时,人口的工资下降了5.7倍。自苏联时代以来,在农业方面,阿塞拜疆具有强大的生产和经济潜力,主要作物的种植面积和牲畜的数量急剧减少,生产水平几乎下降到衰退的状态。根据给定的统计数据,将1996年与1990年进行比较,可以得出结论,1996年共和国的农业生产减少了2-3倍以上。与此同时,农业的紧张局势也对加工部门产生了不利影响。根据计算,1995年与1993年相比,谷物和豆类产量下降19.7%,棉花产量下降3.7%,烟草产量下降74%,蔬菜产量下降13%,水果产量下降6.4%。与此同时,这一趋势也出现在肉类和蛋类生产中。在此期间,肉类产量减少了1万吨,鸡蛋产量减少了1.287亿只。人们发现,1991-1994年在阿塞拜疆发生的进程导致了该国经济,特别是非石油部门的大规模崩溃。
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