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Gender disparities in wage returns to human capital components: how different are European labour markets? 人力资本组成部分工资回报的性别差异:欧洲劳动力市场有多大差异?
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2022.2033418
Maryna Tverdostup, T. Paas
ABSTRACT The paper investigates the gender wage gap in relation to the multi-dimensional human capital measure, asking which human capital components are most valued in the European labour markets. Relying on the Programme of International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC) data for seventeen European countries and applying Gelbach (2016) decomposition, we document remarkable cross-country disparities in the returns to different human capital components. The only dimension that consistently and significantly decreases gender wage disparities in all countries is work experience related to a currently occupied position. Numeracy cognitive ability is another strong predictors of the gender wage disparity, while job-specific cognitive and non-cognitive skills reveal weaker than expected association with the gender wage gap. Unlike the studies stressing the decreasing importance of human capital in the gender wage gap assessment, we argue that a narrow definition of human capital may undermine the actual effect of the latter.
摘要本文调查了与多维人力资本衡量相关的性别工资差距,询问欧洲劳动力市场中哪些人力资本成分最受重视。根据17个欧洲国家的国际成人能力评估计划(PIAC)数据,并应用Gelbach(2016)分解,我们记录了不同人力资本组成部分回报的显著跨国差异。在所有国家,持续和显著减少性别工资差距的唯一因素是与当前职位相关的工作经验。算术认知能力是性别工资差距的另一个有力预测因素,而特定工作的认知和非认知技能与性别工资差距之间的关联弱于预期。与强调人力资本在性别工资差距评估中重要性下降的研究不同,我们认为,对人力资本的狭义定义可能会破坏后者的实际效果。
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引用次数: 0
Fiscal adjustments: lessons from and for the Baltic states 财政调整:波罗的海国家的经验教训
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.2020985
V. Klyvienė, A. Jakaitienė
ABSTRACT This paper aims to investigate the effects of various fiscal policy measures for small and open economies by analysing the implications of fiscal shocks in the Baltic countries based on data for the period from 1995 to 2018. For this purpose, we have chosen structural VAR estimation methods following Blanchard, O., & Perotti, R. (2002). An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), 1329–1368, approach and relied on local projections for robustness checks. We find that the impact on growth of direct taxes, government consumption and public investment is strong and persistent in the analysed cases. Although the responses of FDI to fiscal shocks are less consistent as compared to output, in most cases, we get strong and persistent negative reactions in FDI to increasing tax burden.
本文基于1995年至2018年的数据,通过分析波罗的海国家财政冲击的影响,旨在研究各种财政政策措施对小型和开放经济体的影响。为此,我们根据Blanchard, O., & Perotti, R.(2002)选择了结构性VAR估计方法。政府支出和税收变动对产出动态影响的实证表征。《经济研究》(季刊),17(4),1329-1368。我们发现,在分析的案例中,直接税、政府消费和公共投资对增长的影响是强烈而持久的。尽管FDI对财政冲击的反应与产出相比不太一致,但在大多数情况下,FDI对税收负担增加的负面反应是强烈而持久的。
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引用次数: 0
The ins and outs of Central European unemployment 中欧失业的来龙去脉
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2022.2083306
V. Flek, Martin Hála, Martina Mysíková
ABSTRACT We examine the role of unemployment inflows and outflows in contributing to unemployment cyclicality in Czechia and Poland, using data from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions, and a three-state model of unemployment variance decomposition. We find that the labour market fluidity is higher in Poland than in Czechia, with Polish workers moving in and out of unemployment more frequently than their Czech counterparts. For both countries, the upward unemployment dynamics was during 2008–2011 driven by counter-cyclical increases in the job-separation rate, rather than by pro-cyclical declines in the job-finding rate. The inflow-outflow split was nonetheless more balanced in Czechia. The two economies further diverged across 2015–2018: Czech unemployment declined prevailingly due to diminishing job separations, while in Poland it was mostly due to improving job-finding prospects. This signals a deeper insider-outsider fragmentation of the Czech labour market, even during the period of economic expansion.
本文利用欧盟收入和生活条件统计数据和失业方差分解的三态模型,研究了失业流入和失业流出对捷克和波兰失业周期性的影响。我们发现,波兰的劳动力市场流动性高于捷克,波兰工人比捷克工人更频繁地进入和摆脱失业。对于这两个国家来说,2008-2011年期间失业率上升的动力是由工作离职率的逆周期上升驱动的,而不是由求职率的顺周期下降驱动的。然而,在捷克,流入-流出的分裂更为平衡。2015年至2018年,两国经济进一步分化:捷克的失业率下降主要是由于离职人数减少,而波兰的失业率下降主要是由于就业前景改善。这表明,即使在经济扩张时期,捷克劳动力市场的内部和外部分化也更加严重。
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引用次数: 0
Local business environment, managerial expertise and tax corruption of small- and medium-sized enterprises 当地营商环境、管理经验与中小企业税收腐败
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-10-16 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.1990473
N. Vu, T. Bui, N. Nguyen, Ngoc Hiep Luu
While tax corruption is widespread in many countries with inferior business environments, it is unclear how the characteristics of taxpayers influence their tax behaviour. This study investigates t...
尽管税务腐败在许多商业环境较差的国家普遍存在,但尚不清楚纳税人的特点如何影响他们的税务行为。本研究调查了。。。
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引用次数: 5
Short-term inflation projections model and its assessment in Latvia 拉脱维亚短期通货膨胀预测模型及其评估
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.2003997
Andrejs Bessonovs, O. Krasnopjorovs
ABSTRACT This paper builds a short-term inflation projections (STIP) model for Latvia. The model is designed to forecast highly disaggregated consumer prices using cointegrated ARDL approach of [Pesaran, M., & Shin, Y. (1998). An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis. Econometric Society Monographs, 31, 371–413.]. We assess the forecast accuracy of STIP model using out-of-sample forecast exercise and show that our model outperforms both aggregated and disaggregated AR(1) benchmarks. Across inflation components, the forecast accuracy gains are 20–30% forecasting 3 months ahead and 15–55% forecasting 12 months ahead.
摘要本文建立了拉脱维亚的短期通货膨胀预测(STIP)模型。该模型旨在使用Pesaran, M., & Shin, Y.(1998)的协整ARDL方法预测高度分解的消费者价格。协整分析的自回归分布滞后建模方法。计量经济学会专论,31,371-413。我们使用样本外预测练习评估了STIP模型的预测准确性,并表明我们的模型优于聚合和分解AR(1)基准。在通货膨胀因素中,预测3个月的准确性提高了20-30%,预测12个月的准确性提高了15-55%。
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引用次数: 0
Are we there yet? Intergenerational mobility and economic assimilation of second-generation immigrants in Estonia 我们到了吗?爱沙尼亚第二代移民的代际流动和经济同化
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.1993601
Laura Helena Kivi, Janno Järve, Sten Anspal, Marko Sõmer, Indrek Seppo
ABSTRACT This study investigates the role of intergenerational mobility in explaining the native-immigrant income gap in Estonia. A rich registry dataset on yearly earnings and different background characteristics for the period of 2007–2017 is used. We find that an increase of 1 percentile in parent income rank is associated with on average 0.2 percentile increase in child income rank for both natives and second-generation immigrants. Results from a detailed Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition indicate that up to 21% of the gap between income ranks of second-generation immigrants and natives is related to differences in parental background. Once we control for education, family, residence and industry related choices, differences in the parental income rank account for around 8% of the overall gap. The results indicate that although the intergenerational income mobility is relatively high in Estonia both for natives and children of foreign-born, the native-immigrant earnings gap has not decreased for the second generation.
摘要本研究调查了代际流动在解释爱沙尼亚本土移民收入差距中的作用。使用了一个关于2007-2017年期间年收入和不同背景特征的丰富注册表数据集。我们发现,无论是本地人还是第二代移民,父母收入排名增加1个百分点,子女收入排名平均增加0.2个百分点。详细的Blinder Oaxaca分解结果表明,第二代移民和本地人之间高达21%的收入差距与父母背景的差异有关。一旦我们控制了教育、家庭、住所和行业相关的选择,父母收入等级的差异约占总差距的8%。结果表明,尽管爱沙尼亚本地人和外国出生的子女的代际收入流动性相对较高,但第二代本地移民的收入差距并没有缩小。
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引用次数: 0
What determines the capital structure of farms? Empirical evidence from Poland 是什么决定了农场的资本结构?来自波兰的经验证据
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.1972587
G. Enjolras, G. Sanfilippo, M. Soliwoda
ABSTRACT The purpose of this paper is to analyse capital structure and its dynamics for farms in Poland, a leading European Union producer. The theoretical framework is based on the trade-off and pecking order theories of capital structure. We use data from the Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN), which is representative of Polish professional farms during the period 2009–2018. We adopt a dynamic partial adjustment model using the generalized method of moments in order to explain the financing of farms through debt. The results show that Polish farms exhibit low target levels of debt, which they adjust dynamically, thus partially validating the trade-off theory. While size and growth opportunities positively influence the indebtedness of farms, profitability and land have the opposite effect. Polish farmers therefore use available internal funds, especially retained earnings, as a substitute for debt, in line with the pecking order theory.
摘要本文旨在分析欧盟主要生产国波兰农场的资本结构及其动态。该理论框架建立在资本结构的权衡和等级理论的基础上。我们使用农场会计数据网络(FADN)的数据,该网络代表了2009-2018年期间的波兰专业农场。为了解释农场的债务融资,我们采用了一个使用广义矩方法的动态局部调整模型。结果表明,波兰农场表现出较低的债务目标水平,并对其进行动态调整,从而部分验证了权衡理论。虽然规模和增长机会对农场的负债有积极影响,但盈利能力和土地却有相反的影响。因此,波兰农民使用可用的内部资金,特别是留存收益,来代替债务,这符合等级制度理论。
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引用次数: 4
The investment behaviour of dairy farms in transition economies 转型经济体中奶牛场的投资行为
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.1920754
I. Fertő, Š. Bojnec, J. Fogarasi, A. Viira
ABSTRACT This article investigates dairy farm investment behaviour and the presence of soft budget constraints in the dairy farms of Baltic and Central European transition countries – Estonia, Hungary and Slovenia – using individual dairy farm accountancy panel data for the years 2007–2015. The empirical results confirm that gross dairy farm investment is positively associated with gross dairy farm investment for the previous year for financially unconstrained dairy farms, and negatively for financially constrained dairy farms. It is also positively associated with public investment subsidies, and, except for Slovenia, with growth in real sales for financially unconstrained dairy farms. Mixed results are found for gross dairy farm investment squared and cash flow variables. A particularly significant negative cash flow regression coefficient implies significant soft budget constraints for financially unconstrained Estonian and Slovenian dairy farms, while insignificant cash flow regression coefficients imply weak soft budget constraints for financially unconstrained Hungarian dairy farms.
本文利用2007-2015年各个奶牛场会计小组的数据,调查了波罗的海和中欧转型国家(爱沙尼亚、匈牙利和斯洛文尼亚)奶牛场的投资行为和软预算约束的存在。实证结果证实,对于资金不受约束的奶牛场,总奶牛场投资与上一年的总奶牛场投资呈正相关,而对于资金受约束的奶牛场,则呈负相关。它还与公共投资补贴呈正相关,而且,除了斯洛文尼亚,与资金不受限制的奶牛场的实际销售增长呈正相关。对于总奶牛场投资平方和现金流变量,发现结果好坏参半。一个特别显著的负现金流回归系数意味着财政不受约束的爱沙尼亚和斯洛文尼亚奶牛场存在显著的软预算约束,而不显著的现金流回归系数意味着财政不受约束的匈牙利奶牛场存在较弱的软预算约束。
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引用次数: 4
Fiscal deficit forecasts in Europe: evidence for a double standard? 欧洲财政赤字预测:双重标准的证据?
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2021.1888439
Jakub Rybacki
ABSTRACT Fiscal forecasts produced by international institutions came under strong criticism after the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis due to excessive optimism. Presently, international organizations are also accused of applying a double standard. Their opponents claim they depict negative picture for populist governments. This paper evaluates forecasts provided by the IMF, European Commission and the OECD based on a panel of EU economies and selected large countries. Five years after the Sovereign debt crisis, we still find excessively optimistic forecasts for Portugal and Spain. Moreover, the EC and OECD are being indulgent to countries under the excessive deficit procedure. There is also a strong autocorrelation of forecast errors and cyclical biases – European Commission overestimates governments’ propensity to tighten fiscal policy during expansion and forecasts an overly pessimistic picture during a slowdown. However, we find no evidence suggesting that fiscal forecasts stigmatize the governments accused of populism.
欧元区主权债务危机后,国际机构的财政预测因过于乐观而受到强烈批评。目前,国际组织也被指责采用双重标准。他们的反对者声称他们描绘了民粹主义政府的负面形象。本文对国际货币基金组织、欧盟委员会和经合组织提供的预测进行了评估,这些预测基于欧盟经济体和选定的大国。主权债务危机爆发5年后,我们仍发现对葡萄牙和西班牙的预测过于乐观。此外,欧共体和经合发组织正在纵容过度赤字程序下的国家。预测误差和周期性偏差之间也存在很强的自相关性——欧盟委员会(European Commission)高估了各国政府在经济扩张期间收紧财政政策的倾向,而在经济放缓期间的预测则过于悲观。然而,我们没有发现任何证据表明财政预测会使被指责为民粹主义的政府蒙受耻辱。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of credit shocks on the European labour market 信贷冲击对欧洲劳动力市场的影响
IF 1.1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/1406099X.2020.1871213
Katalin Bodnár, Ludmila Fadejeva, M. Hoeberichts, Mario Izquierdo Peinado, Christophe Jadeau, Eliana Viviano
ABSTRACT The sovereign debt crisis led to financial difficulties for European firms and a decline in the use of labour input. We use qualitative firm-level data for 24 European countries, collected within the third wave of the Wage Dynamics Network (WDN3) of the ESCB, to propose a cross-country analysis of the relationship between a credit shock and labour markets. We first derive a set of indices measuring difficulties in accessing the credit market for the period 2010–2013. Second, we provide a description of the relationship between credit difficulties and changes in labour input, both along the extensive and the intensive margins as well as on wages. We find strong and significant correlation between credit difficulties and adjustments along both the extensive and the intensive margin. In the presence of credit market difficulties, firms also cut wages by reducing the variable part of wages. This evidence suggests that credit shocks can affect not only the real economy, but also nominal variables.
摘要主权债务危机导致欧洲企业陷入财务困境,劳动力投入使用率下降。我们使用在ESCB的第三波工资动态网络(WDN3)中收集的24个欧洲国家的定性企业级数据,对信贷冲击与劳动力市场之间的关系提出了跨国分析。我们首先得出了一组衡量2010-2013年期间进入信贷市场困难的指数。其次,我们描述了信贷困难与劳动力投入变化之间的关系,包括广义和集约边际以及工资。我们发现,信贷困难与广义和集约边际的调整之间存在着强烈而显著的相关性。在信贷市场出现困难的情况下,企业还通过减少工资的可变部分来削减工资。这一证据表明,信贷冲击不仅会影响实体经济,还会影响名义变量。
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引用次数: 3
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Baltic Journal of Economics
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