Investigacion Economica最新文献

This paper discusses about the problem of decision-making on economic agents in uncertainty contexts. It is argued that economic institutions are central structures in this process because they facilitate the selection of heuristics and decision rules, allowing the emergence of common behavioral patterns. The central argument suggests that interplay of economic agents within their own interaction environment allow the emergence of learning processes and strategy decisions, generating an adequate problem solving behavior, therefore no need to assume that agents are fully rational. This document shows an institutional perspective of decision-making, that could be an epistemological alternative to the theory of rational choice.

A model of dynamic interplay between the real estate cycle and dynamic population in Spain is analyzed for the period 1986-2015. The empirical evidence is evaluated according to the traditional methodology of time series studies. A model error correction (MEC) that allows to consider the dynamic adjustment of the variable short and long term is specified. The domain of the long-term effect on the short term is evaluated. The resulting model detects a long-term equilibrium between the two series, cointegrating equation.

The competitiveness's discussion has taken a central place in the academic debate as a result of productive divergences, and consequently, the trade imbalances that characterize the economies of the Eurozone. Understanding that currency devaluation is not possible within euro framework, the alternative to reduce the competitiveness gap between these economies is driven through internal adjustment processes in economies with trade deficits. Therefore, policy discussions have focused on analyses of unit labour costs.

This paper addresses the reasoning process that establishes the relation between labour costs and competitiveness in the case of the Spanish manufacturing industry in the period between 2008 and 2013. The main conclusion of this research is that there is no clear relationship between the behavior of labour costs and the improvement in commercial activity.

In this paper, the stability of the Mexican Republic's states’ stationary state is dealt with applying a relatively new panel stationarity test including structural breaks. Such technique allows for controlling: a) non-observed heterogeneity of structural breaks in the trend function; b) cross-section dependency among units, using bootstrapping methods; and c) error serial correlation. Most Mexican states, according to our empirical results, exhibit heterogeneous types of breaks. Those states experiencing economic deceleration in the aftermath of structural breaks are unable to recover from adverse impacts and, thereby, will not return to their previous path of balanced economic growth.

Mexico is a country with a significant gap in social protection. Therefore, it is not to be surprised that social segregation is reproduced in diverse domains. This article analyses the afore mentioned segregation within sport and how it is misused as a potential contribution to collective welfare. Under current conditions, sport in Mexico reflects the exclusion of those with less and continues to prevail for a pecuniary vision that seeks sport spectacles with high financial profitability. This leaves aside its substantial contribution to public health as well as the development of human values that enhance human coexistence and encourage social inclusion, which in the end constitute the great contributions from sport to democratic systems.

This article discusses the reasons why, unlike what happened during the First World War, when the nations involved wished to return to the previous situation, during the Second World War nobody aspired to return to the situation of the thirties, so the designers of the future had to make an intense and creative effort of imagination, by which the figure of Lord John Maynard Keynes was an exceptional one.

This paper proposes an empirical method to estimate the value of the neutral interest rate in the U.S. and investigates whether the non-conventional monetary policy that has been in effect since the 2008 recession should continue. Specifically, a procedure is established based on a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression (cvar) model that enables us to conclude that the expansionary monetary policy could continue for at least three more years. Our estimates suggest that the neutral real rate, consistent with full employment and the inflation target in the U.S., will remain negative until 2018. This trend will continue until 2019, when the nominal neutral rate will reach a level of 2%, which remains below the pre-crisis level of 4%. In fact, it seems that the neutral rate has permanently shifted toward a lower level associated with the new fundamentals of the U.S. economy.