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The Role of China’s Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Sub-Saharan Africa: a Gravity Model Approach 中国汇率对撒哈拉以南非洲贸易平衡的影响:重力模型方法
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0032
Hameed A. Khan, Umair Khan, L. Jiang, Muhammad Asif Khan, Syed Hasanat Shah
Abstract This study seeks to investigate theimpactof China’sexchange rate onthe trade balance of 41 Sub-Saharan African countries for the period from 1994 to 2016. Using an augmented gravity model, the grouped and ungrouped results of the study confirm the elasticity and absorption approaches of the trade balance. Similarly, the robustness check, by dividing the sample period into two sub-periods (2005–2016 and 1994–2004), also confirms the elasticity and absorption approaches of the trade balance.
摘要本研究旨在探讨1994年至2016年期间中国汇率对41个撒哈拉以南非洲国家贸易平衡的影响。利用增广引力模型,对分组和非分组的研究结果证实了贸易平衡的弹性和吸收方法。同样,通过将样本期分为两个子期(2005-2016年和1994-2004年)进行稳健性检验,也证实了贸易平衡的弹性和吸收方法。
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引用次数: 2
Education Level and Income Disparities: Implications for Financial Inclusion through Mobile Money Adoption in South Africa 教育水平和收入差距:南非采用移动货币对金融包容性的影响
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0036
Charles Nyoka
Abstract Financial inclusion has recently become an issue of concern the world over for governments, policymakers, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and financial and non-financial institutions alike. McKinnon (1973) and Shaw (1973), in seminal presentations, brought the world’s attention to the importance of an effective financial system for economic development. In recent years, there has been growing theoretical and empirical works showing the strong linkages between financial development with economic growth and poverty alleviation. After conducting statistical analysis using Stata version 14 for Windows with a multivariate binary logistic regression modeling technique applied, this paper tested and concluded that there is a statically significant relationship between educational levels on the one-hand and income levels on the other on the probability of one having a mobile banking account in South Africa. From a policy perspective, this information will assist policymakers in making more informed decisions with respect to education, and from the banking fraternity point of view it will help, them in the developments of products that are more in line with the population’s education and income levels.
近年来,普惠金融已成为各国政府、政策制定者、非政府组织(ngo)以及金融和非金融机构共同关注的问题。麦金农(1973)和肖(1973)在开创性的演讲中,让世界注意到有效的金融体系对经济发展的重要性。近年来,越来越多的理论和实证研究表明,金融发展与经济增长和减贫之间存在很强的联系。在使用Stata version 14 for Windows进行统计分析并应用多元二元逻辑回归建模技术后,本文测试并得出结论,在南非拥有移动银行账户的概率上,一方面教育水平与另一方面收入水平之间存在静态显著关系。从政策的角度来看,这些信息将有助于决策者在教育方面做出更明智的决定,从银行业的角度来看,这些信息将有助于他们开发更符合人口教育和收入水平的产品。
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引用次数: 5
Productivity Performance of the Service Sectors in European Union Countries 欧洲联盟国家服务业的生产力表现
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0029
Joanna Wyszkowska-Kuna
Abstract Economic development has resulted in structural transformation towards economies based on services, which has raised some concerns about the limited opportunities for sustaining productivity growth. The aim of this paper is to examine total factor productivity (TFP) growth in the service sector in comparison with total industries and the manufacturing sector, as well as within the service sector. The study is based on the data from the EU-KLEMS database (2017), and it covers the years 1995–2015. It refers to EU countries, making it possible to carry out a comparative analysis between countries, in particular between the ‘old’ and ‘new’ member states. The study demonstrates that productivity growth in services was significantly lower than in manufacturing, but compared with total industries, the disparity was not significant. Productivity growth was usually higher in the ‘new’ EU countries than in the ‘old’ ones, except for information and communications services, which, on the whole, were the main driving force behind the productivity growth in services.
经济发展导致了以服务业为基础的经济结构转型,这引起了人们对维持生产力增长机会有限的担忧。本文的目的是研究服务业的全要素生产率(TFP)增长与总工业和制造业的比较,以及在服务业内部。该研究基于EU-KLEMS数据库(2017年)的数据,涵盖了1995-2015年。它指的是欧盟国家,使得在国家之间,特别是在“旧”和“新”成员国之间进行比较分析成为可能。研究表明,服务业的生产率增长明显低于制造业,但与全部工业相比,差距并不显著。除了信息和通信服务之外,“新”欧盟国家的生产率增长通常高于“老”欧盟国家,而信息和通信服务总体上是服务业生产率增长背后的主要推动力。
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引用次数: 2
Regional Aspects of the Development of Clustering in the Dairy Branch 乳制品行业集群发展的区域层面
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0034
I. Novikov
Abstract In this paper, we study the classical and modern approaches to the formation of regional agro-industrial clusters. In the current market conditions, the creation of a cluster based on the existing regional infrastructure is impractical. In most cases, clusters are called holding structures that include the full cycle of production, processing and marketing of agricultural products, for example, “dairy clusters” – there are traditional groups of companies that formally follow the classical cluster principles, but do not give individual participants in the production process sufficient organizational and legal autonomy. The conditions for the development of innovation within the cluster, as well as the mechanism for creating the scientific and innovation component of the cluster as a fully-fledged newly created cluster element are investigated. We show that the cluster should be created on the basis and strict adherence to fundamental organizational and economic principles. In particular, while in holdings the economic result of the activity is aimed at achieving the goals of the parent company, in a cluster the maximum interest in the result and the satisfaction of the economic interests of all participants in equal measure should be laid. Moreover, the classical cluster approach in the current market conditions may be unrealizable and the author’s concept of cluster development is preferable.
摘要本文研究了区域农业产业集群形成的古典和现代方法。在目前的市场条件下,在现有区域基础设施的基础上建立集群是不切实际的。在大多数情况下,集群被称为控股结构,包括农产品的生产、加工和营销的整个周期,例如,“乳制品集群”- 有一些传统的公司集团,它们正式遵循经典的集群原则,但没有给生产过程中的个人参与者足够的组织和法律自主权。研究了集群内部创新发展的条件,以及将集群的科技创新组成部分作为一个成熟的新兴集群要素形成的机制。我们表明,应该在严格遵守基本组织和经济原则的基础上创建集群。特别是,在控股中,活动的经济结果是为了实现母公司的目标,而在集群中,应该平等地为结果的最大利益和所有参与者的经济利益的满足奠定基础。此外,经典的集群方法在当前的市场条件下可能无法实现,笔者提出的集群发展概念是可取的。
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引用次数: 3
A Gravity Model Approach towards Pakistan’s Bilateral Trade with SAARC Countries 巴基斯坦与南盟国家双边贸易的引力模型研究
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0030
W. Jan, M. Shah
Abstract This research paper attempts to estimate the bilateral trade of Pakistan with SAARC countries using a gravity model of trade. This panel study covers the period from 2003 to 2016. The empirical results are obtained through pooled OLS, fixed-effects, and random-effects estimators. On the basis of Hausman test results, the paper concentrates only on the findings of the fixed-effects model. The empirical findings reveal that the GDPs of both Pakistan and the partner country have a positive impact on bilateral trade. Market size has a negative impact on trade and this is justified on the basis of the absorption effect. Similarly, distance and exchange rate also have a negative correlation with bilateral trade. The study finds that Pakistan has very low trade with India and Afghanistan, despite the common border. A common language has a positive but insignificant impact on Pakistan’s bilateral trade. The Paper also attempts to calculate the trade potential of Pakistan. The findings reveal that Pakistan has high trade potential with all SAARC member countries except the Maldives and Afghanistan.
摘要本文试图利用贸易引力模型来估计巴基斯坦与南盟国家的双边贸易。本小组研究涵盖2003年至2016年期间。经验结果是通过集合OLS、固定效应和随机效应估计量获得的。在Hausman检验结果的基础上,本文只关注固定效应模型的发现。实证结果表明,巴基斯坦和伙伴国的GDP对双边贸易都有积极影响。市场规模对贸易有负面影响,这是基于吸收效应。同样,距离和汇率也与双边贸易呈负相关。研究发现,尽管有共同的边界,巴基斯坦与印度和阿富汗的贸易额却很低。一种共同的语言对巴基斯坦的双边贸易产生了积极但微不足道的影响。本文还试图计算巴基斯坦的贸易潜力。调查结果显示,巴基斯坦与除马尔代夫和阿富汗外的所有南盟成员国都有很高的贸易潜力。
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引用次数: 4
Do Remittances Enhance Financial Development in Transitional Markets? 汇款能促进转型市场的金融发展吗?
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0033
Kunofiwa Tsaurai, Patience Hlupo
Abstract The paper explored (1) the impact of remittances on financial development and (2) whether the interaction between remittances and human capital development had an influence on financial development in transitional economies using the dynamic GMM approach, with data ranging from 1996 to 2014. Remittances were found to have had a non-significant positive influence on financial development in transitional economies when stock market turnover, stock market value traded, domestic credit to the private sector by banks, and public bond sector development were used as measures of financial development. When stock market capitalisation, domestic credit to the private sector by financial sector, and private bond sector development were used as measures of financial development, remittances had a non-significance negative effect on financial development. Using all other measures of financial development except stock market capitalisation (which produced a negative sign), the interaction between remittances and human capital development had an insignificant positive influence on financial development. Transitional economies are therefore urged to avoid over-relying on remittance inflow and human capital development as sources of financial development.
本文利用1996年至2014年的数据,研究了(1)汇款对金融发展的影响;(2)汇款与人力资本发展之间的相互作用是否对转型经济体的金融发展产生影响。研究发现,当将股票市场成交量、股票市场交易价值、银行向私营部门提供的国内信贷和公共债券部门发展作为金融发展的衡量标准时,汇款对转型经济体的金融发展产生了不显著的积极影响。当股票市值、金融部门对私营部门的国内信贷和私人债券部门发展作为金融发展的衡量标准时,汇款对金融发展的负面影响不显著。使用除股票市值(产生负信号)以外的所有其他金融发展指标,汇款和人力资本发展之间的相互作用对金融发展的积极影响微不足道。因此,敦促转型期经济体避免过度依赖汇款流入和人力资本开发作为财政发展的来源。
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引用次数: 2
A Comparative Analysis of Fiscal Policy Changes in Selected European Union Countries outside the Eurozone 欧元区以外部分欧盟国家财政政策变化的比较分析
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-08-19 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0027
Agata Szymańska
Abstract The aim of this article is to investigate the fiscal policy changes in six Central and Eastern European countries outside the Eurozone: Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Croatia, Hungary, Poland and Romania. The analysis covers the period from 2004 to 2017. The study uses changes in the cyclically-adjusted primary balance as a main indicator to assess the fiscal policy stance. The results indicate that, in general, over the period from 2004 to 2017, the fiscal stance in these countries was somewhat contractionary.
本文的目的是研究欧元区以外的六个中东欧国家:保加利亚、捷克、克罗地亚、匈牙利、波兰和罗马尼亚的财政政策变化。该分析涵盖了2004年至2017年的时间。本研究将经周期调整的基本收支平衡的变化作为评估财政政策立场的主要指标。结果表明,总的来说,在2004年至2017年期间,这些国家的财政立场在一定程度上是紧缩的。
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引用次数: 0
Reserve Currency Status as a Safe Asset Determinant. Empirical Evidence from Main Public Issuers in the Period 2005–2017 储备货币作为安全资产决定因素的地位。2005-2017年主要公开发行人的经验证据
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-08-19 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0023
Joanna Bogołębska, Ewa Feder-Sempach, Ewa Stawasz-grabowska
Abstract Safe assets are recognized as being the cornerstone of contemporary financial systems. Due to financial globalization and massive international capital flows, they transformed into global safe assets, meaning that both demand and supply sides can be created by international investors. The article consists of two main parts. The first one concentrates on the theoretical issues of safe assets: definitions, attributes, categories of investors who search for them, as well as categories of suppliers. The theoretical considerations lead to the conclusions that only debt instruments can be used as safe assets, and due to limited substitutability between private and public issues, only the latter can perform this function properly, especially in times of stress. In the context of global safe asset considerations, it seems reasonable that only countries issuing reserve currencies can become public issuers of safe assets. The empirical analysis presented in the second part of the article confirms the theoretical predictions. A study of sovereign bond yield differentials conducted for two groups of countries (issuers of reserve currency and non-issuers but possessing the highest credit ratings) shows that in the period 2005–2017, the spreads in the first group were depressed by the mere fact they held the status of a reserve currency issuer.
安全资产被认为是当代金融体系的基石。由于金融全球化和大规模的国际资本流动,它们转变为全球安全资产,这意味着需求和供给都可以由国际投资者创造。本文主要由两个部分组成。第一部分集中于安全资产的理论问题:定义、属性、寻找安全资产的投资者类别,以及供应商类别。理论上的考虑得出的结论是,只有债务工具才能作为安全资产,由于私人和公共问题之间的可替代性有限,只有后者才能适当地履行这一职能,特别是在紧张时期。在全球安全资产考虑的背景下,似乎只有发行储备货币的国家才能成为安全资产的公开发行人。文章第二部分的实证分析证实了理论预测。一项针对两组国家(储备货币发行国和非发行国,但拥有最高信用评级)的主权债券收益率差异的研究表明,在2005年至2017年期间,第一组国家的利差因其拥有储备货币发行国的地位而受到抑制。
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引用次数: 2
The Role of Exchange Rates in the Stock Price Development of Chemical Companies in the Visegrad Four Countries 汇率在维谢格拉德四国化工公司股价发展中的作用
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-08-19 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0026
J. Šimáková, N. Rusková
Abstract The aim of the paper is to evaluate the effect of exchange rates on the stock prices of companies in the chemical industry listed on the stock exchanges in the Visegrad Four countries. The empirical analysis was performed from September 2003 to June 2016 on companies from the petrochemical and pharmaceutical industry. The effect of the exchange rate on stock prices is analyzed using Jorion’s approach on monthly data. In contrast to the selected petrochemical companies, the pharmaceutical companies did not use any hedging instruments in the tested period. The effect of the exchange rate on the stock price was proved only in the case of companies from the pharmaceutical industry. This suggests that exchange rate risk could be eliminated by using hedging instruments.
摘要本文的目的是评估汇率对维谢格拉德四国证券交易所上市的化工公司股票价格的影响。实证分析时间为2003年9月至2016年6月,研究对象为石化和制药行业的公司。汇率对股票价格的影响使用Jorion的方法对月度数据进行分析。与选定的石化公司相比,制药公司在测试期间没有使用任何套期保值工具。汇率对股价的影响仅在制药行业的公司中得到证实。这表明,汇率风险可以通过使用对冲工具来消除。
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引用次数: 3
Regulations for Returning Labour Migrants to Ukraine: International Background and National Limitations 劳工移徙者返回乌克兰的条例:国际背景和国家限制
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-08-19 DOI: 10.2478/cer-2019-0022
O. Dluhopolskyi, T. Zatonatska, I. Lvova, Yuriy Klapkiv
Abstract The current situation on the Ukrainian labour market is not only characterised by a high rate of unemployment, but also by low-wage jobs with relatively severe requirements from potential employers. The intensive labour migration from Ukraine is forced by factors such as lower standards of living when compared to the standards in neighbouring countries, the flexibility of changing the place of living and working, and the military crisis in the eastern parts of Ukraine, among others. The article is devoted to the policy on the return of labour migrants to Ukraine. The issues of the increasing number of asylum seekers arriving from Ukraine to other European countries from 2008 to 2017, and the analysis of the main migration trends and legal norms relevant to the migration issues have revealed the mismatch in directions of labour migration flows from Ukraine and boundary crossings by other migrants. By means of analysing the interaction between the rate of human development and the efficiency of migrant integration policies, the authors have proposed several strategic tools to ease the return of the labour force to Ukraine, including the cessation of military actions, raising the level of economic progress, fighting corruption, expanding opportunities for small and medium-sized businesses, and solving environmental problems.
目前乌克兰劳动力市场的现状不仅是失业率高,而且是潜在雇主要求相对严格的低工资工作。来自乌克兰的密集劳动力移徙是由以下因素造成的:与邻国的生活水平相比,乌克兰的生活水平较低,改变生活和工作地点的灵活性,以及乌克兰东部的军事危机等等。这篇文章专门讨论有关劳工移民返回乌克兰的政策。从2008年到2017年,越来越多的寻求庇护者从乌克兰抵达其他欧洲国家,以及对主要移民趋势和与移民问题相关的法律规范的分析,揭示了乌克兰劳动力移民流动方向与其他移民过境的不匹配。通过分析人类发展速度与移民融合政策效率之间的相互作用,作者提出了几种缓解劳动力返回乌克兰的战略工具,包括停止军事行动,提高经济进步水平,打击腐败,扩大中小企业的机会,以及解决环境问题。
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引用次数: 18
期刊
Comparative Economic Research-Central and Eastern Europe
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