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Global Income Inequality – A Case Study of OECD Countries and Kazakhstan 全球收入不平等——以经合组织国家和哈萨克斯坦为例
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.35
S. Jumambayev, A. Dzhulaeva, S. Baimukhanova, G. Ilyashova, A. Dosmbek
This article presents the results of a study into the features of the formation of economic inequality in Kazakhstan in the context of global trends in the country’s development. The methodological basis of the study was a comparative analysis of the former Soviet Union (FSU) and OECD countries in terms of economic development and inequality in the context of global changes and trends, implemented with the help of econometric and economic‑statistical methods. The study revealed a direct statistically significant (p < 0.05) correlation between the level of income concentration of the 10% group and the economic growth of Iceland (r = 0.67) and the Republic of Belarus (r = 0.65). In the case of the Republic of Kazakhstan, no such correlation was found. However, in Kazakhstan, the link between the 10% group’s income concentration and gross domestic product per capita has been established. The dynamics of GDP growth and the values of Kazakhstan’s population’s real money incomes have a stable inverse relationship. The correlation coefficient between them is r = –0.46, and the determination coefficient is R = 0.215, based on data from 2008 to 2020. This suggests that economic growth is still the most important factor that influences the population’s real income. The results of the study will be put into practice by familiarizing government officials with the developed proposals for enhancing the state’s policy of overcoming economic inequality and setting the stage for sustainable economic growth. In addition, the results of this study will be of interest to academic science, actualizing new directions for further research.
本文介绍了在国家发展的全球趋势背景下对哈萨克斯坦经济不平等形成特征的研究结果。这项研究的方法基础是在全球变化和趋势的背景下,对前苏联和经合发组织国家在经济发展和不平等方面进行比较分析,并借助计量经济学和经济统计方法加以执行。研究显示,10%群体的收入集中水平与冰岛(r = 0.67)和白俄罗斯共和国(r = 0.65)的经济增长之间存在直接的统计学显著相关性(p < 0.05)。在哈萨克斯坦共和国的情况下,没有发现这种相关性。然而,在哈萨克斯坦,10%群体的收入集中度与人均国内生产总值之间的联系已经确立。GDP增长动态与哈萨克斯坦人口实际货币收入值呈稳定的反比关系。基于2008 - 2020年的数据,两者之间的相关系数为r = -0.46,决定系数为r = 0.215。这表明,经济增长仍然是影响人口实际收入的最重要因素。研究结果将付诸实践,使政府官员熟悉已制定的建议,以加强国家克服经济不平等的政策,并为可持续的经济增长奠定基础。此外,本研究的结果将引起学术界的兴趣,为进一步的研究提供新的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Credit Guarantee Schemes – Are They Efficient? Experience from European Union Countries 信贷保证计划是否有效?来自欧盟国家的经验
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.31
Halina Waniak‑Michalak, M. Wozniak, R. Lisowski
The paper aims to assess selected elements of the business models of credit guarantee schemes (CGSs) implemented in 20 European Union countries within the financial framework between 2007 and 2013. This paper focuses on the CGSs’ financial additionality that depends mainly on how these programs are managed, the institutions implementing them, the objectives set and their distribution constraints. We analyse the implementation costs and the use of the funds allocated to implement the schemes. To reach the goal, we used several methods: the Kruskal‑Wallis by ranks, the median test, discriminant analysis, multidimensional scaling, and correlation. We also did the power analysis. We discovered that the efficiency of CGS implemented by non‑governmental organisations, mutual guarantee funds and regional agencies is related to the level of regional development. The relationship is not visible only when banks are engaged, which may be due to the impossibility of assigning a bank’s activities to a single region. However, we did not find differences in efficiency between types of organisations that implement CGSs. The answers to the research questions posed in the article can help policymakers and researchers conclude whether it is cost‑effective to continue supporting CGSs and whether the management of these schemes should change. The paper contributes to the economic policy theory in the area of state aid to SMEs and public finance.
本文旨在评估2007年至2013年金融框架内20个欧盟国家实施的信用担保计划(cgc)商业模式的选定要素。本文关注的是cgs的财务附加性,这主要取决于这些项目的管理方式、实施机构、设定的目标及其分配约束。我们分析了实施成本和用于实施这些计划的拨款的使用情况。为了达到目标,我们使用了几种方法:Kruskal - Wallis秩法、中位数检验、判别分析、多维标度和相关性。我们也做了功率分析。我们发现,非政府组织、互保基金和区域机构实施CGS的效率与区域发展水平有关。这种关系仅在银行参与时才可见,这可能是由于不可能将银行的活动分配到单个地区。然而,我们没有发现实施cgs的组织类型之间的效率差异。文章中提出的研究问题的答案可以帮助决策者和研究人员得出结论,继续支持cgs是否具有成本效益,以及这些计划的管理是否应该改变。本文对国家扶持中小企业和公共财政领域的经济政策理论有一定的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Multinationals in Russia and Ukraine in the Face of War – the Stakeholders’ Perspective 面对战争的俄罗斯和乌克兰跨国公司——利益相关者的视角
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.27
M. Marcinkowska
The article categorises the attitudes of multinational corporations that do business in Russia (and Ukraine) in response to the war between the two countries from the perspective of the importance of their stakeholders. It also identifies the dimensions of responsibility to which the entity is committed. Eight types of strategies and four possible motives for the decision to adopt them are identified. Then, based on stakeholder theory, the companies’ likely prioritisation of their primary interest groups in Russia and Ukraine is identified, and the dimensions of corporate responsibility that they perceive as key are identified. The analysis allows us to illustrate the background and consequences of the different strategies for the main stakeholders and indicate the firms’ priorities and who has an impact on shaping their goals.
本文从利益相关者的重要性的角度,对在俄罗斯(和乌克兰)开展业务的跨国公司的态度进行了分类。它还确定了实体所承担的责任的维度。确定了八种类型的战略和决定采用这些战略的四种可能动机。然后,基于利益相关者理论,确定了公司在俄罗斯和乌克兰的主要利益群体的可能优先级,并确定了他们认为关键的企业责任维度。分析使我们能够说明主要利益相关者的不同战略的背景和后果,并指出公司的优先事项以及谁对塑造他们的目标有影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Impact of COVID–19 on EU‑China Trade Flows 新冠肺炎疫情对中欧贸易流动的影响
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.34
Dominika Choroś-Mrozowska
COVID–19 is expected to have contributed towards changing the geographical structure of world trade, including trade between individual EU countries and China. This article presents the results of an analysis of the impact of the COVID–19 pandemic on Sino‑EU trade flows. The research aims to ascertain whether European Union countries noted a strengthening of their competitive advantage in trade with China in any of the 21 HS sections by increasing the value of the normalized revealed comparative advantage index (NRCA). To identify and select the most significant NRCA observations, Chebyshev’s inequality was used. The analysis was carried out for 2015 to 2020, with a particular emphasis on 2020, when the first effects of the COVID–19 pandemic were recorded. EU‑China trade relations have been the subject of numerous studies, but their nature has not yet been fully elucidated. This article tries to fill that gap. The analysis of mutual trade, especially at such an important moment from the socio‑economic perspective, can bring significant results. The analysis revealed that the pandemic did not result in any decline in EU‑China trade. In fact, global trade rose in 2020, with most of the 27 EU countries recording increases in both imports and exports. There were also no significant changes in the structure of the distribution of comparative advantage. However, in contrast to the previously analyzed years (2015–2019), in 2020, the NRCA index shows a flatter distribution, suggesting that most EU countries with the highest comparative advantages actually observed reductions in them.
预计新冠肺炎疫情将改变世界贸易的地理结构,包括欧盟个别国家与中国之间的贸易。本文介绍了新冠肺炎疫情对中欧贸易流动影响的分析结果。本研究旨在确定欧盟国家是否注意到,通过提高标准化显示比较优势指数(NRCA)的值,在与中国的贸易中,其竞争优势在21个HS部门中的任何一个部门都得到了加强。为了识别和选择最显著的NRCA观测,使用Chebyshev不等式。该分析是在2015年至2020年期间进行的,特别强调了2020年,当时记录了COVID-19大流行的首批影响。欧中贸易关系一直是众多研究的主题,但其性质尚未得到充分阐明。本文试图填补这一空白。对相互贸易的分析,特别是在这样一个重要的时刻,从社会经济的角度来看,可以带来显著的结果。分析显示,疫情并未导致欧中贸易下降。事实上,全球贸易在2020年出现增长,27个欧盟国家中的大多数都实现了进出口增长。比较优势的分布结构也没有明显变化。然而,与之前分析的年份(2015-2019年)相比,2020年NRCA指数的分布更为平坦,这表明大多数具有最高比较优势的欧盟国家实际上都出现了下降。
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引用次数: 0
Ukrainian Agro‑Food Sector in the Context of Global Patterns of Environmental Innovation Development 全球环境创新发展模式背景下的乌克兰农业粮食部门
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.29
B. Burkynskyi, L. Kupinets, N. Andryeyeva, O. Shershun
The structure of the process of introducing innovative technologies in the agricultural sector, the competitive position of Ukraine in the world rankings of the development of agricultural science and training of personnel for the needs of the agro‑industrial complex are considered and analyzed. Scientific and patent‑investment activities of enterprises of the agro‑industrial complex of Ukraine are studied. The methodology of bringing the mechanism of analytical and statistical observation of the state of innovative economic development in line with the standards of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and the EU is analyzed. The main strengths and weaknesses of innovative activity of the agricultural sector of Ukraine are identified. As a result of the study, the authors propose adaptive changes in the process of implementing environmental innovations in the rational use of natural resources in the agricultural sector.
考虑和分析了在农业部门引进创新技术的过程结构,乌克兰在农业科学发展的世界排名中的竞争地位以及为满足农工综合体的需要而进行的人员培训。研究了乌克兰农工综合体企业的科学和专利投资活动。分析了创新经济发展状态分析与统计观察机制与经济合作与发展组织和欧盟标准接轨的方法。确定了乌克兰农业部门创新活动的主要优势和劣势。根据这项研究,作者提出了在农业部门合理利用自然资源的过程中实施环境创新的适应性变化。
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引用次数: 1
A Gain or a Loss? The Consequences of Brexit in the Opinions of Polish Migrants 是得还是失?波兰移民眼中英国脱欧的后果
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.28
S. Fel, Marek Wódka, Jarosław Kozak
The aim of the article is to present the opinions of Polish migrants in Britain on the gains or losses that Brexit may bring to the European Union (EU), the United Kingdom (UK), and Poland, as well as the respondents themselves and their families. These opinions were determined based on the analysis of the results of a survey carried out among these migrants and presented against the backdrop of the results of public opinion polls on EU membership, which have been conducted in the British Isles regularly since the 1970s. The article analyses the beliefs held on this issue by economic migrants, who are faced with a choice as Brexit is underway: to remain expatriates or to return to their country of origin. Among the answers to questions about the possible benefits or negative outcomes of Brexit, it was the latter that predominated. In the discussion, the authors seek to ascertain why migrants from Poland fear the negative consequences of Brexit for the UK and for Europe more often than they fear those for Poland or for themselves and their close family members.
这篇文章的目的是展示在英国的波兰移民对英国脱欧可能给欧盟(EU)、英国(UK)和波兰带来的得失的看法,以及受访者自己和他们的家人的看法。这些观点是根据对这些移民进行的一项调查结果的分析得出的,并以自20世纪70年代以来在不列颠群岛定期进行的关于欧盟成员国身份的民意调查结果为背景。这篇文章分析了经济移民在这个问题上的看法,随着英国脱欧的进行,他们面临着一个选择:保持侨民身份还是返回原籍国。在关于英国脱欧可能带来的好处或负面结果的问题的答案中,后者占主导地位。在讨论中,作者试图确定为什么来自波兰的移民更担心英国脱欧对英国和欧洲的负面影响,而不是担心波兰或他们自己和他们的亲密家庭成员的负面影响。
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引用次数: 1
Forecasting of the Employment Rate in the EU ICT Field 欧盟信息通信技术领域就业率预测
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.19
T. Zatonatska, Yuriy Klapkiv, O. Dluhopolskyi, Olha Fedirko
The ingrained tendency to implement information and communication technologies (ICT) in EU enterprises over the last decade has caused dramatic changes in the labor market. Since the de­mand for ICT personnel is growing, there is still a need to create a comprehensive strategy to effectively manage ICT specialists when restructuring enterprises. The aim of the research is to identify transferring processes between low‑ and high‑skilled ICT personnel and predict the employment rate in the ICT field until 2025. A Markov chain was used as the method of anal­ysis. Using statistical data about the employment rate of ICT personnel by education attainment level, we have built a Markov chain model that describes the processes of ICT personnel with different levels of education. Data from 2005 to 2019 was used to build forecasting because of the absence of the latest information. We demonstrate that with the help of digitalization, the employment rate of ICT staff in 2025 will increase by 64% compared to 2018. The research verifies that ICT personnel will be in great demand until 2023 and, importantly, low‑ and mid­dle‑skilled personnel will be in demand, as well as high‑skilled personnel. The employment rate in the ICT field will be at its highest level in 2022 as the favorable economic conditions for ICT adoption will help it. The growing demand for low‑ and medium‑skilled ICT staff are met both by staff relocation processes and by the increasing digitalization of business units and public sec­tor institutions. The added value of the analysis is the prediction that the largest growth in ICT personnel employment will occur by 2023, but employment growth will slow down after that. The main obstacle to employment growth through digitalization is the global economic crisis because of different reasons.
在过去十年中,在欧盟企业中实施信息和通信技术(ICT)的根深蒂固的趋势导致了劳动力市场的巨大变化。由于对信息通信技术人员的需求不断增长,因此在企业重组时仍需要制定一项全面的战略,以有效地管理信息通信技术专家。这项研究的目的是确定低技能和高技能信息通信技术人员之间的转移过程,并预测到2025年信息通信技术领域的就业率。采用马尔可夫链作为分析方法。利用信息通信技术人员受教育程度的就业率统计数据,建立了描述不同受教育程度信息通信技术人员就业过程的马尔可夫链模型。由于缺乏最新信息,我们使用了2005年至2019年的数据来建立预测。我们证明,在数字化的帮助下,2025年ICT人员的就业率将比2018年增加64%。研究证实,到2023年,信息通信技术人员的需求将会很大,重要的是,低技能和中等技能人员以及高技能人员的需求将会很大。信息通信技术(ICT)领域的就业率将在2022年达到历史最高水平,因为有利于信息通信技术(ICT)采用的经济条件将对其有所帮助。对低技能和中等技能的信息通信技术人员日益增长的需求,可以通过人员搬迁过程以及业务单位和公共部门机构日益数字化来满足。该分析的附加价值是预测到2023年将出现ICT人员就业的最大增长,但此后就业增长将放缓。由于种种原因,阻碍数字化就业增长的主要障碍是全球经济危机。
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引用次数: 2
Generalized Trust, Helpfulness, Fairness and Growth in European Countries A Revised Analysis 广义信任、乐于助人、公平与欧洲国家经济增长——修正分析
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.25
J. Sztaudynger, Ewa Ambroziak, Paweł Starosta
This research is an attempt to assess the impact of trust, helpfulness, and fairness on economic growth in Europe. The first part of the paper highlights the concept of social capital and the related concept of trust, while the second part gives an overview of selected research hitherto conducted on the subject. The third part presents an econometric growth model based on a modified Cobb‑Douglas production function. The model we propose includes three interrelated variables: generalized trust, helpfulness, and fairness, which can be combined into an aggregated variable, called ‘cooperation capital’. The pooled sample covers the years 2006–2018 and includes 22 European countries. European Social Survey data provides a chance to examine the previously inaccessible measurement of the impact of bridging social capital increase on economic growth. The results suggest that approximately 1/8 of economic growth (measured by the GDP growth rate) may be ascribed to the effect of an increase in cooperation capital. In addition, 86% of this effect occurs with a 1–4 year lag. The three‑component cooperation capital explains economic growth better than generalized trust exclusively. The estimated model suggests that an increase in helpfulness among people has the largest impact on economic growth. As the outcomes of this research also clearly show, fairness and trust are key factors for economic growth in Europe.
这项研究试图评估信任、乐于助人和公平对欧洲经济增长的影响。本文的第一部分重点介绍了社会资本的概念和相关的信任概念,而第二部分则概述了迄今为止对该主题进行的选定研究。第三部分提出了一个基于修正Cobb - Douglas生产函数的计量经济增长模型。我们提出的模型包括三个相互关联的变量:广义信任、乐于助人和公平,它们可以组合成一个聚合变量,称为“合作资本”。汇总样本涵盖2006-2018年,包括22个欧洲国家。欧洲社会调查(European Social Survey)的数据提供了一个机会,可以检验以前无法获得的衡量桥梁社会资本增加对经济增长影响的方法。研究结果表明,约1/8的经济增长(以GDP增长率衡量)可归因于合作资本增加的影响。此外,86%的效果发生在1-4年的滞后期。三成分合作资本比广义信任更能解释经济增长。估计模型表明,人们乐于助人的增加对经济增长的影响最大。这项研究的结果也清楚地表明,公平和信任是欧洲经济增长的关键因素。
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引用次数: 1
Using Acemoglu and Robinson’s Concept to Assess Leviathans in CEECs in the Long Term 用阿西莫格鲁和罗宾逊的概念评估中东欧国家的长期利维坦
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.22
R. Matera
The main objective of the paper is to use the following terms of Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson – Despotic, Real, Paper, Shackled Leviathans – to check and evaluate the state of democracy, governance and social power in Central and Eastern European Countries (CECCs). Six states were included in the study: Poland, Czechia, Slovakia (before 1993 Czechoslovakia), Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria. Based on a historical analysis, Leviathan types were identified in the interwar period, communism, and the transition time. In the most recent period (the twenty‑first century), eight democracy and freedom indices were presented, which take into account the quality of governance, the state of institutions and the potential of social capital in the six CEECs. The usefulness of these indices for assessing whether (and when) a country managed to shackle Leviathan were checked.
本文的主要目的是使用Daron Acemoglu和James Robinson的以下术语-专制,真实,纸,束缚的庞然大物-来检查和评估中欧和东欧国家(CECCs)的民主,治理和社会权力状况。这项研究包括六个国家:波兰、捷克、斯洛伐克(1993年以前的捷克斯洛伐克)、匈牙利、罗马尼亚和保加利亚。在历史分析的基础上,确定了两次世界大战之间时期、共产主义时期和过渡时期的利维坦类型。在最近的时期(21世纪),提出了八个民主和自由指数,这些指数考虑了六个中东欧国家的治理质量、机构状况和社会资本的潜力。这些指标对于评估一个国家是否(以及何时)成功束缚住利维坦的有效性得到了检验。
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引用次数: 0
Similarity and Granger Causality in Polish and Spanish Stock Market Sectors During the COVID–19 Pandemic COVID-19大流行期间波兰和西班牙股市部门的相似性和格兰杰因果关系
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.23
D. Żebrowska-Suchodolska, Iwona Piekunko-Mantiuk
Capital markets react almost immediately to crises. Such relationships can be both international and local. The research focuses on the stock markets of two countries: Spain and Poland. These countries are often compared in terms of various economic and social criteria. The research covers the period from March 3, 2019, to March 31, 2021. The aim is to identify sectors and indices similar to each other at the local level and to identify, among pairs of similar indices, those that provide a boost to another sector. The research uses the hierarchical cluster analysis method (Ward’s method) and the Granger causality test. This work presents a novel approach to sectoral comparison at the local level.
资本市场对危机的反应几乎是立即的。这种关系可以是国际性的,也可以是地方性的。研究的重点是两个国家的股票市场:西班牙和波兰。这些国家经常根据各种经济和社会标准进行比较。研究时间为2019年3月3日至2021年3月31日。其目的是找出在地方层面上彼此相似的行业和指数,并在类似指数对中找出那些对另一个行业有推动作用的行业和指数。本研究采用层次聚类分析方法(Ward’s method)和格兰杰因果检验。这项工作提出了一种在地方一级进行部门比较的新方法。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Comparative Economic Research-Central and Eastern Europe
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