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A Comparison of the Effects of Capital and Labour Taxes in CEE Countries 中东欧国家资本税与劳动税效果比较
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.20
P. Krajewski, K. Piłat
The aim of the article is to quantify and compare the impact of capital and labour tax on the economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). The impulse‑response functions presented in the paper show that output reacts differently to changes in the taxation of labour and capital. Although there is some heterogeneity in the magnitude and persistence of tax effects between the analysed CEE countries, the simulations generally indicate that the negative impact of increased capital taxation on GDP is stronger than for labour taxation. More importantly, however, the negative effects of higher taxation on capital are more persistent than in the taxation of labour. This is largely because higher capital taxation strongly reduces savings and the desired stock of capital, which has important long‑term macroeconomic consequences.
本文的目的是量化和比较资本和劳动力税对中欧和东欧(CEE)经济的影响。文中提出的脉冲响应函数表明,产出对劳动力和资本税收变化的反应不同。虽然在所分析的中东欧国家之间,税收影响的程度和持久性存在一些异质性,但模拟一般表明,增加资本税对国内生产总值的负面影响强于劳动税。然而,更重要的是,对资本增税的负面影响比对劳动力增税的负面影响更为持久。这在很大程度上是因为更高的资本税大大减少了储蓄和所需的资本存量,这对宏观经济有重要的长期影响。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of International Reserves Among Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) 石油输出国组织(OPEC)国际储备的决定因素
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.24
O. Bada, K. Adetiloye, F. Olokoyo, Grace Ukporhe
Member countries of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are always in the news regarding the prices and supply of crude oil to the international market. One of the economic reasons for this is liquidity and the desire to accumulate international reserves by the respective countries. This paper examined the determinants of international reserves among the cartel against the backdrop of the motives for keeping reserves. With data from 2005 to 2018, the adopted variables that were tested with the system of generalised methods of moments (Sy‑GMM) are inflation, exchange rates, oil prices, crude oil dependence, economic crises and others. The results and outputs show that inflation was negatively impactful externally and internally, while FDI inflows recorded negative significance. Economic crises and economic openness were positively significant, while oil prices and exchange rates were not significant determinants of international reserves accumulation. The paper recommends the maximisation of opportunities available by members during economic crises to accumulate reserves that will enable them to diversify from dependence on crude oil exports to include other products and a higher level of openness to open the economy up for competition to make the economies stronger.
石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国一直是有关国际市场原油价格和供应的新闻热点。造成这种情况的经济原因之一是流动性和各国积累国际储备的愿望。本文以保持国际储备的动机为背景,考察了卡特尔之间国际储备的决定因素。对于2005年至2018年的数据,采用广义矩量方法(Sy - GMM)系统测试的变量是通货膨胀、汇率、油价、原油依赖、经济危机等。结果和产出表明,通货膨胀对外部和内部都有负面影响,而外国直接投资流入则有负面影响。经济危机和经济开放度正显著,而油价和汇率不是国际储备积累的显著决定因素。报告建议成员国在经济危机期间最大限度地利用可获得的机会来积累储备,这将使它们能够从依赖原油出口转向包括其他产品出口,并提高开放程度,使经济开放竞争,使经济更加强大。
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引用次数: 0
Post‑crisis Economic Environment of Two Central and Eastern European Regional Centres: A Comparative Approach 两个中欧和东欧区域中心的危机后经济环境:比较方法
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.21
Zsuzsanna Zsibók, Ildikó Egyed
Our research studies the economic background of recovery and catching‑up after the global financial and economic crisis, comparing the case study areas of Cluj‑Napoca in Romania and Pécs in Hungary. We use explorative statistical data analysis to describe the post‑crisis regional economic environment in the context of the differential outcomes of the high‑pressure economy in these two countries. Then, we analyse the evolution of the per capita gross domestic product in a decomposed form which provides insights into the main challenges of regional development in the two regional centres. The results show that long‑run economic challenges must be handled with an efficiency‑oriented regional policy that relies upon capital and knowl­edge‑intensive growth.
我们的研究研究了全球金融和经济危机后复苏和赶超的经济背景,比较了罗马尼亚的克卢日-纳波卡和匈牙利的普萨梅斯的案例研究区域。我们使用探索性统计数据分析来描述这两个国家高压经济的不同结果背景下的危机后区域经济环境。然后,我们以分解形式分析了人均国内生产总值的演变,从而深入了解了两个区域中心区域发展的主要挑战。研究结果表明,应对长期经济挑战必须采取以效率为导向的区域政策,依靠资本和知识密集型增长。
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引用次数: 0
Demographic Changes in the Countries of the Western Balkans – A Comparative Analysis with the European Union 西巴尔干国家的人口变化-与欧盟的比较分析
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.26
Agata Szymańska
The study analyses the demographic changes in five countries of the Western Balkans – Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia – which are associated with and are potential candidates for European Union (EU) member states. Due to a lack of data, Kosovo was excluded. The research was based on selected measures, both static and dynamic. The analysis was conducted against the background of the indicators presented for the EU, with the longest time sample covering the years 1960–2020. The study presents the scope of demographic changes and the advancement of the population ageing of these countries using selected static measures and showing their dynamics. The methods used are based on data analysis and cluster analysis. The results point to the advancement of demographic changes and ageing in the region. The comparison of calculated measures indicates that the demographic structure in the region has shifted towards “old”, with the share of people aged 65 and over higher than 14% in 2020. The most advanced stages concern Bosnia and Herzegovina, where the transformation from a “young” demographic structure to an “old” was very dynamic and deep.
这项研究分析了西巴尔干地区的五个国家——阿尔巴尼亚、波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那、黑山、北马其顿和塞尔维亚——的人口变化,这些国家与欧盟成员国有联系,也可能成为欧盟成员国。由于缺乏数据,科索沃被排除在外。这项研究是基于选定的静态和动态测量方法。分析是在为欧盟提供的指标的背景下进行的,时间最长的样本涵盖了1960-2020年。这项研究使用选定的静态测量方法介绍了这些国家人口变化的范围和人口老龄化的进展情况,并显示了它们的动态。使用的方法是基于数据分析和聚类分析。调查结果表明,该地区的人口结构变化和老龄化正在加快。经计算的数据对比显示,该地区人口结构已向“老年化”转变,2020年65岁及以上人口比例将超过14%。最先进的阶段涉及波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那,那里从“年轻”人口结构向“年老”人口结构的转变非常活跃和深刻。
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引用次数: 0
The Bayesian Method in Estimating Polish and German Industry Betas. A Comparative Analysis of the Risk between the Main Economic Sectors from 2001–2020 估计波兰和德国工业beta值的贝叶斯方法。2001-2020年中国主要经济部门风险比较分析
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.12
Ewa Feder-Sempach, Piotr Szczepocki
This paper examines the long‑term dependence between the Polish and German stock markets in terms of industry beta risk estimates according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The main objective of this research is to compare the Polish and German beta parameters of five Polish and three German sector indices using the Bayesian methodology in the period 2001–2020. The study has two detailed aims. First, to develop a modified, Bayesian approach (SBETA model) that generates significantly more precise beta than the traditional model. Second, to compare the results of different time‑varying industry betas in the Polish and German economies, giving a simple investment recommendation, i.e., which sector could be classified as aggressive or defensive.The betas were time‑varying in both markets but less persistent in the German industries, which seems characteristic of an advanced economy. The Banking sector betas were the highest in both markets, implying the aggressive nature of that industry in the last twenty years. For the Polish market industry, the betas of Construction, IT, Food and Drinks, and Telecom were classified as defensive. For the German economy, the Technologies (IT) sector was also classified as aggressive, but Telecom was defensive. The results give a valuable insight into the systematic risk levels in Poland and Germany, reflecting the investors' learning process and indicating that Polish Banking and German technologies outperformed the market in the last twenty years.
本文根据资本资产定价模型(CAPM)考察了波兰和德国股票市场在行业贝塔风险估计方面的长期依赖关系。本研究的主要目的是使用贝叶斯方法在2001-2020年期间比较波兰和德国五个波兰和三个德国部门指数的贝塔参数。这项研究有两个详细的目的。首先,开发一种改进的贝叶斯方法(SBETA模型),该方法产生比传统模型更精确的beta。其次,比较波兰和德国经济中不同时间变化的行业贝塔系数的结果,给出一个简单的投资建议,即哪个部门可以被归类为积极或防御。两个市场的贝塔值都随时间变化,但德国工业的贝塔值不那么持久,这似乎是发达经济体的特征。银行业的贝塔系数在两个市场中都是最高的,这意味着该行业在过去20年里的进取性。对于波兰市场行业,建筑、IT、食品和饮料以及电信的贝塔贝塔被归类为防御性。对德国经济而言,科技(IT)板块也被归为积极板块,但电信板块被归为防御板块。结果对波兰和德国的系统风险水平提供了有价值的见解,反映了投资者的学习过程,并表明波兰银行和德国技术在过去二十年中表现优于市场。
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引用次数: 1
Digitalization’s Effect on the Sectoral Structure Change in the Economy: a Comparative Analysis of Ukraine and Selected Countries 数字化对经济部门结构变化的影响:乌克兰与部分国家的比较分析
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.11
O. Pizhuk, L. Lazebnyk, H. Mamonova
This article examines the impact of digital transformation on changes in the sectoral structure of Ukraine’s economy, other post‑communist countries, and countries with highly developed economies. Firstly, we estimate the structural changes and differences in the sectoral model by gross value‑added and sectoral employment model by country using Ryabtsev’s index. Secondly, we calculated the forecast of changes in the researched economies' sectoral structures for 2021 and 2025 using discrete Markov processes. The forecasts made it possible to determine the direction of socio‑economic progress of highly developed and post‑communist countries. Thirdly, assuming that the development of ICT technologies caused the sectoral changes identified as a result of the assessment, we analyzed available level ratings of the digital transformation of the selected economies and named global trends in ICT. Finally, we determined the impact of the ICT index on the substantiality of sectoral changes in the economies of post‑communist countries and countries with highly developed economies. The study results allowed us to conclude that digital technology development affects the economy’s structural changes indirectly due to the reallocation of labor resources from one sector to another. The article substantiates the need to improve the economy’s sectoral model by adding industries related exclusively to the digital economy.
本文考察了数字化转型对乌克兰、其他后共产主义国家和经济高度发达国家经济部门结构变化的影响。首先,我们利用Ryabtsev指数估计了按国家划分的部门总增加值模型和部门就业模型的结构变化和差异。其次,我们使用离散马尔可夫过程计算了研究经济体2021年和2025年部门结构变化的预测。这些预测使人们能够确定高度发达国家和后共产主义国家的社会经济发展方向。第三,假设ICT技术的发展导致了评估结果所确定的行业变化,我们分析了所选经济体数字化转型的现有水平评级,并命名了ICT的全球趋势。最后,我们确定了ICT指数对后共产主义国家和经济高度发达国家经济部门变化实质性程度的影响。研究结果表明,数字技术发展通过劳动力资源从一个部门向另一个部门的再配置,间接影响了经济的结构变化。这篇文章证实了通过增加专门与数字经济相关的产业来改善经济部门模式的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Selected Aspects of European Integration of the Visegrad Group Countries 维谢格拉德集团国家欧洲一体化的若干方面
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.14
Maria Celina Błaszczyk
This paper analyzes the membership of the Visegrad Group countries (the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia, and Hungary) in the European Union (EU). It presents the parallel process of fundamental systemic transformation and integration with the EU in the analyzed countries. Their integration path is shown, starting from the association with the European Communities, a transitional period to membership, through adjustments to the requirements related to EU accession and membership. A comparative analysis of the main macroeconomic indicators, trade development, and the inflow of foreign direct investment showed that the adopted measures and the membership of these countries in the EU positively impacted their overall socio‑economic development, in particular in the context of modernizing and restructuring their economies, which ultimately translated into the civilizational leap of the analyzed countries.
本文分析了维谢格拉德集团国家(捷克共和国、波兰、斯洛伐克和匈牙利)在欧盟(EU)中的成员资格。它呈现了被分析国家的根本性制度转型和与欧盟一体化的平行过程。他们的一体化路径显示,从与欧洲共同体的联系开始,一个过渡时期的成员,通过调整与欧盟加入和成员资格相关的要求。对主要宏观经济指标、贸易发展和外国直接投资流入的比较分析表明,所采取的措施和这些国家在欧盟的成员资格对它们的整体社会经济发展产生了积极的影响,特别是在经济现代化和结构调整的背景下,这最终转化为所分析国家的文明飞跃。
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引用次数: 3
International Determinants of Comprehensive Income Reporting by Groups – An Analytical and Comparative Study of Poland and Germany 集团综合收入报告的国际决定因素——波兰和德国的分析与比较研究
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.18
Jakub Kwaśny, Artur Robert Sajnóg
The mainstream theoretical and empirical research presented in the study is a comparative analysis of comprehensive income reporting by groups listed in the Polish and German capital markets. The theoretical part of the article is dedicated to a scientific discussion on the determinants of the capital market and corporate governance in continental Europe and the so‑called ‘new governance’, related to the convergence of financial reporting standards, including IFRSs, that oblige groups of entities to prepare consolidated statements of comprehensive income. It also assesses the relevance of comprehensive income to capital market players. The empirical part contains the results of comparative research on the format and structure of consolidated statements and the nomenclature of their components, as well as the findings from studies of the value relevance of comprehensive income for the WIG30 and DAX groups in 2009–2019.
该研究中提出的主流理论和实证研究是对在波兰和德国资本市场上市的集团的综合收益报告进行比较分析。本文的理论部分致力于科学讨论欧洲大陆资本市场和公司治理的决定因素,以及所谓的“新治理”,与财务报告准则的趋同有关,包括国际财务报告准则,要求实体集团编制综合收益合并报表。它还评估了综合收入与资本市场参与者的相关性。实证部分包括对合并报表格式和结构及其组成部分命名法的比较研究结果,以及2009-2019年WIG30和DAX集团综合收益价值相关性的研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated Evaluation of Innovative Development of the New EU Member States and Other EU Countries 欧盟新成员国和其他欧盟国家创新发展的综合评价
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.16
O. Dovgal, N. Goncharenko, Viktoriia Karp, G. Revyakin
This study investigates the problem of estimating various aspects and qualitative features of innovative development. A new methodological approach to comprehensively assessing the polystructural nature of modern innovative development in the new EU member states and other EU countries is proposed, which allows us to identify growth points and promising areas to increase their innovative development. Aspects such as information adaptability, innovative orientation, and synergetic efficiency are considered. The analysis is based on a logical evaluation of indicators that characterize science, technology, and the digital society in accordance with the data presented in the public domain, from which the main indicators that characterize these three aspects of the EU’s innovative development were selected. According to the algorithm of the matrix method for the new EU member states and other EU countries, the maximum (reference) value was chosen for each indicator and the coefficient of compliance with the reference value of a particular indicator was calculated. As a result, integrated indicators of assessing information adaptability, innovative orientation, and synergetic efficiency and the integrated indicator of innovative development of the EU countries were calculated, which allowed us to rate them. The innovative development of the economies of the EU countries differs significantly in some indicators and aspects. The assessment and comparison of innovative development at the national level depends on many factors but is primarily determined by public policy and national priorities of a particular country. That is why a promising direction of increasing the innovative development of all EU countries should be, first of all, the further development of their mutual exchange of technologies based on the existing integration scientific and technical potential.
本研究探讨了创新发展的各个方面和定性特征的估计问题。本文提出了一种新的方法来综合评估欧盟新成员国和其他欧盟国家现代创新发展的多结构性质,从而使我们能够确定其创新发展的增长点和有希望的领域。从信息适应性、创新导向、协同效率等方面进行了分析。该分析基于对科学、技术和数字社会特征指标的逻辑评估,根据公共领域提供的数据,从中选择了表征欧盟创新发展这三个方面的主要指标。根据欧盟新成员国和其他欧盟国家的矩阵法算法,为每个指标选择最大值(参考值),并计算特定指标参考值的符合性系数。因此,我们计算出了评估信息适应性、创新导向和协同效率的综合指标和欧盟国家创新发展的综合指标,并对它们进行了评级。欧盟国家经济的创新发展在一些指标和方面存在显著差异。在国家一级对创新发展的评估和比较取决于许多因素,但主要是由一个特定国家的公共政策和国家优先事项决定的。因此,加强欧盟各国创新发展的一个有希望的方向应该是,首先,在现有一体化科技潜力的基础上,进一步发展彼此之间的技术交流。
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引用次数: 0
Integration of Post‑Communist Countries in the EU –Leaders and Losers? 后共产主义国家在欧盟的整合——领导者和输家?
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.18778/1508-2008.25.10
Lukáš Cíbik, Peter Horváth, R. Brix
The economic indicators of the new member states of the EU that joined after 2004 have been generally positive. In this paper, we analyse and interpret the economic development results of the 11 new Member States from the Eastern bloc. The set of individual economic indicators gives us a relatively realistic picture of the differences in development in individual post‑communist countries. The paper points out several factors which, in principle, create two groups of countries for us in terms of the development of economic indicators: A more progressive group of countries, which for the most part is showing progress towards catching up with the EU average, and a less progressive group, whose pace of convergence is significantly slower.
2004年以后加入欧盟的新成员国的经济指标总体上是积极的。本文对东欧集团11个新成员国的经济发展成果进行了分析和解读。这套单独的经济指标为我们提供了一个相对现实的情况,说明了各个后共产主义国家的发展差异。这篇论文指出了几个因素,原则上,从经济指标的发展来看,这些因素为我们创造了两类国家:一类是进步较大的国家,它们在很大程度上正在向欧盟平均水平追赶,另一类是进步较小的国家,它们的趋同速度明显较慢。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Comparative Economic Research-Central and Eastern Europe
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