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Missing the China factor: evidence from Brazil and Mexico 忽略了中国因素:来自巴西和墨西哥的证据
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1933767
Marco Cepik, Fabrício H. Chagas-Bastos, Rafael R. Ioris
Abstract China’s rapid economic growth created new challenges and opportunities for Latin America over the 2000s. Much ink has been spilt analysing how countries in the region surfed the Chinese wave of commodity-based prosperity. However, there is fertile and quite unexplored territory to analyse how these regional powers in the Global South, from a comparative perspective, have interacted with China as they tried to improve their international position over the 2000s. We analyse in this article how Brazil and Mexico dealt with China’s presence and strategic goals in Latin America and assess the outcomes they extracted from this relationship. We draw evidence from and offer comparisons across different presidencies in each country (Lula and Rousseff in Brazil, and Fox, Calderón, and Peña Nieto in Mexico) over the 2000s, which allows us to grasp the variation in ideology, governance style, and electoral legitimacy. We ground our theoretical framework in the concept of international insertion, a Southern-based framework that opens space to understand and explain how countries in the South behave in international politics from a different point of view. We claim that the efforts made by the national governments in both countries to improve their positions achieved limited or transitory results, if considering China as a strategic factor.
2000年代以来,中国经济的快速增长为拉丁美洲带来了新的挑战和机遇。人们花了很多笔墨来分析亚洲各国是如何在中国掀起的大宗商品繁荣浪潮中乘风破浪的。然而,从比较的角度来看,全球南方的这些地区大国在本世纪头十年试图改善其国际地位的过程中,是如何与中国互动的,这是一个丰富而尚未开发的领域。本文分析了巴西和墨西哥如何应对中国在拉丁美洲的存在和战略目标,并评估了他们从这种关系中提取的结果。我们从2000年代以来每个国家的不同总统(巴西的卢拉和罗塞夫,墨西哥的福克斯、Calderón和Peña涅托)中提取证据并进行比较,这使我们能够掌握意识形态、治理风格和选举合法性的变化。我们的理论框架以国际插入的概念为基础,这是一个以南方为基础的框架,为从不同的角度理解和解释南方国家在国际政治中的行为开辟了空间。我们认为,如果把中国作为一个战略因素来考虑的话,两国政府为改善自身地位所做的努力取得了有限的或暂时的成果。
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引用次数: 3
China’s soft power and US public opinion 中国软实力与美国舆论
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1933766
Yao‐Yuan Yeh, Charles K. S. Wu, Wei-hao Huang
Abstract In recent years, China has been using its soft power (most notably, the establishment of Confucius Institutes) to influence public opinion in foreign countries. However, the literature on soft power has yet to provide a definitive answer about whether that has led to a positive image of China in the foreign audience. Additionally, it is not clear if a positive image would influence public attitudes concerning foreign policies in those countries, such as policies related to trade and military conflicts. Based on an online survey experiment in June 2018, this research shows that soft power information (about positive contributions of Confucius Institutes to the American society) does make the US public feel warmer towards China and become more willing to support trade negotiations. However, the warm feeling does not alter public attitudes towards a potential military conflict with China over disputed islands in the South China Sea. Our study provides both empirical support and advice to policymakers interested in the influence of China’s soft power on US public opinion.
近年来,中国一直在利用其软实力(最显著的是孔子学院的建立)影响外国舆论。然而,关于软实力的文献尚未提供一个明确的答案,即这是否导致了中国在外国受众中的正面形象。此外,尚不清楚正面形象是否会影响公众对这些国家外交政策的态度,例如与贸易和军事冲突有关的政策。基于2018年6月的一项在线调查实验,本研究表明,软实力信息(关于孔子学院对美国社会的积极贡献)确实使美国公众对中国感到更温暖,更愿意支持贸易谈判。然而,这种温暖的感觉并没有改变公众对与中国就南中国海争议岛屿发生潜在军事冲突的态度。我们的研究为关注中国软实力对美国公众舆论影响的政策制定者提供了实证支持和建议。
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引用次数: 3
Engaging the dragon: UK government documents on doing business with China 与中国龙接触:英国政府与中国做生意的文件
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-26 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1933770
Yue Ming, M. Plouffe
Abstract China’s rise as a global economic and political power has created a policy puzzle for established global players. For the United Kingdom (UK), the policy towards China has pursued a dual emphasis: seeking commercial benefits and promoting a positive social and political change. We explore the scope and tone of official UK policy publications on doing business with China. We argue that, while these documents reflect some of the predominant concerns of public debates over the UK’s relationship with China, the political neutrality of the civil service and insulation from external forces enable the relationship to continue. We conduct content and sentiment analyses of government publications focussing on China from 2013 to 2018. During this period, the key policy focusses have remained stable, while the extent to which the main topics are discussed changes slightly with time. Sensitive topics are dealt with using a neutral tone, while publications have become increasingly positive on the prospects of business interactions with China.
摘要中国作为一个全球经济和政治大国的崛起给老牌全球参与者带来了一个政策难题。对联合王国(英国)来说,对华政策追求双重重点:寻求商业利益和促进积极的社会和政治变革。我们探讨了英国官方政策出版物关于与中国做生意的范围和基调。我们认为,尽管这些文件反映了公众对英国与中国关系辩论的一些主要担忧,但公务员制度的政治中立性和与外部势力的隔绝使这种关系得以继续。我们对2013年至2018年关注中国的政府出版物进行内容和情绪分析。在此期间,主要政策重点保持稳定,而主要议题的讨论程度随着时间的推移略有变化。敏感话题以中立的语气处理,而出版物对与中国商业互动的前景越来越乐观。
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引用次数: 1
Economic relations and the public image of China in Latin America: a cross-country time-series analysis 拉美经济关系与中国公众形象的跨国时间序列分析
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-04 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1914414
Yi Feng, Qingjie Zeng
Abstract This article investigates the impact of Chinese economic activities in Latin America on the national image of China in the region. Using economic and public opinion data from 17 Latin American countries from 2001 to 2016, this work relates cross-national time-series variations regarding China’s image in Latin America to changes in the economic ties (such as trade, FDI, and contracts) between the perceiving countries and China. Controlling for the size of the economy and the level of its development, the statistical analysis indicates that trade surplus against China in Latin America has a positive effect on the public perceptions of China in the region, while Chinese FDI outflows to Latin America lead to a negative effect. The effects of Chinese contracts, imports, and exports tend not to be statistically significant. We also find less developed Latin American countries with low life expectancy and low educational attainment tend to have a more positive view of China than their richer counterparts in the region. Finally, we find that Latin American countries under presidents with left-wing ideology have a much more positive view of China than countries under presidents with other ideological preferences. Diplomatic relations with China and China’s soft power influence as indexed by the presence of Confucius Institutes do not exhibit a strong impact on China’s national image in Latin America, compared with the dominant political ideology in a Latin American country as reflected in the president’s ideology.
摘要本文考察了中国在拉美的经济活动对中国在该地区国家形象的影响。利用2001年至2016年17个拉美国家的经济和民意数据,本研究将中国在拉美的形象的跨国时间序列变化与感知国与中国之间的经济联系(如贸易、外国直接投资和合同)的变化联系起来。在控制经济规模和发展水平的情况下,统计分析表明,拉美对中国的贸易顺差对该地区公众对中国的看法有积极影响,而中国对拉美的FDI流出则有负面影响。中国合同、进口和出口的影响在统计上并不显著。我们还发现,与该地区较富裕的拉美国家相比,预期寿命较低、受教育程度较低的欠发达拉美国家对中国的看法往往更为积极。最后,我们发现左翼总统领导下的拉美国家对中国的看法要比其他意识形态总统领导下的国家积极得多。与总统意识形态所反映的拉美国家的主导政治意识形态相比,与中国的外交关系和孔子学院所反映的中国软实力影响对中国在拉美的国家形象并没有太大影响。
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引用次数: 3
US economic and trade sanctions against China: A loss-loss confrontation 美国对中国的经贸制裁:一场损失惨重的对抗
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1920195
Liang Guo, Sizhu Wang, Nicole Z. Xu
Abstract The economic and trade sanctions implemented by the United States (US) against China have lasted for a few decades and the structural imbalance of the US–China trade relationship has ultimately been escalated to a trade war recently. We examine the economic impacts of US sanctions against China on both sponsor and target countries during the last 20 years. We find that such impacts have significantly changed over time. On one hand, US economic sanctions have gradually extended from China’s labour-intensive to high value-added products and they have largely slowed down China’s trade growth for the last decade. On the other hand, US consumers and businesses have faced higher prices and production costs for Chinese imports (or import substitutes) in the wake of the increasing US trade sanctions, leading to great deadweight losses to the sponsor country. In addition, US economic and trade sanctions against China have largely impacted other economies involved in US–China trade as well. The intermediary status of the Hong Kong SAR has been greatly challenged. Overall, US economic and trade sanctions have caused pain on both China and the US, but their impact on China (the target country) has been largely weakened.
摘要美国对中国实施的经济和贸易制裁已经持续了几十年,美中贸易关系的结构性失衡最近最终升级为贸易战。我们研究了过去20年美国对中国的制裁对赞助国和目标国的经济影响 年。我们发现,随着时间的推移,这种影响发生了显著变化。一方面,美国的经济制裁已从中国的劳动密集型产品逐渐扩展到高附加值产品,并在很大程度上减缓了中国过去十年的贸易增长。另一方面,随着美国贸易制裁的加剧,美国消费者和企业面临着中国进口产品(或进口替代品)的更高价格和生产成本,这给赞助国带来了巨大的沉重损失。此外,美国对中国的经济和贸易制裁也在很大程度上影响了参与美中贸易的其他经济体。香港特别行政区的中介地位受到极大挑战。总体而言,美国的经济和贸易制裁给中美双方都带来了痛苦,但对中国(目标国)的影响在很大程度上被削弱了。
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引用次数: 1
Urban wage inequality: The reform of state-owned enterprises in China’s great transition 城市工资不平等:中国大转型中的国企改革
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1914417
Shiyu Sun, Xixi Chu, Xiangbo Liu
Abstract Along with the further reforms of state-owned enterprises (SOEs), urban China has experienced an evident increase in wage inequality. Using provincial-level data for the period 1993–2013 and individual-level data from five waves of the China Household Income Project from 1988 to 2013, this paper investigates how the SOE reform affects wage distribution in urban China by considering three mechanisms: wage determination, ownership structure and institutional segmentation. The results of this study show that overall inequality increased with the reduction of SOEs’ share in the economy. Moreover, through a detailed Oaxaca–Blinder re-centred influence function decomposition, this experiment obtains consistent and robust results. Based on the theory of soft budget constraint, this study demonstrates that the increase in urban wage inequality has been mainly caused by wage structure effects. Since the SOE reform in the 1980s, the wage determination mechanism has changed with the increase in the return of the labour force to education. During this period, institutional segmentation was of less significance in explaining the wage gap between SOEs and non-SOEs. Furthermore, the accelerating ageing process of China’s population had no significant effects on the trajectory of urban wage inequality throughout this period.
摘要随着国有企业改革的深入,中国城市工资不平等现象明显加剧。本文利用1993-2013年的省级数据和1988-2013年中国家庭收入项目五波的个人数据,从工资决定、所有制结构和制度分割三个机制考察了国有企业改革对中国城市工资分配的影响。这项研究的结果表明,总体不平等随着国有企业在经济中所占份额的减少而增加。此外,通过详细的瓦哈卡-布林德重新中心影响函数分解,本实验获得了一致和稳健的结果。基于软预算约束理论,本研究表明,城市工资不平等加剧的主要原因是工资结构效应。自20世纪80年代国有企业改革以来,工资决定机制随着劳动力教育回报率的增加而发生了变化。在这一时期,制度分割在解释国有企业和非国有企业之间的工资差距方面的意义不大。此外,在这一时期,中国人口老龄化进程的加速对城市工资不平等的轨迹没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 6
The path, value and limits of the Confucius Institute in carrying out public diplomacy 孔子学院开展公共外交的路径、价值与局限
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1914416
Yanwei Wang, Chinenye Gerlof Uzodinma, Caoyuan Niu
Abstract On the basis of Chinese language teaching and cultural communication activities, the Confucius Institute carries out a variety of cultural exchange activities between China and the host country, which has become an effective way for China to carry out public diplomacy and participate in global cultural governance. By analysing the concepts of public diplomacy, cultural diplomacy, people-to-people exchange and cultural governance, this paper summarises three typical paths of Confucius Institutes in carrying out public diplomacy: ‘from the government to foreign nationals’, ‘from the government to Chinese citizens and then to foreign nationals’, and ‘from the government to foreign nationals and then to foreign nationals’. The value of the Confucius Institute in carrying out public diplomacy is reflected on the level of national diplomacy, international exchange and global governance. Furthermore, the capability of the Confucius Institute as a language and cultural communication institution initiated by China and in cooperation with other countries in carrying out public diplomacy is limited. This limitation, on one hand, originates from the nature of the Confucius Institute as a language and cultural communication organisation, and on the other hand, is related to the difficulties and challenges that China faces in its participation in global governance. Public diplomacy and cultural diplomacy are based on national interests. They also transcend national interests and, furthermore, become a way for a country to actively participate in global cultural governance. The experience of and challenges faced by the Confucius Institute can have important implications for China in participating in global cultural governance.
孔子学院在汉语教学和文化交流活动的基础上,开展丰富多彩的中国与东道国文化交流活动,已成为中国开展公共外交、参与全球文化治理的有效途径。本文通过对公共外交、文化外交、人文交流、文化治理等概念的分析,总结出孔子学院开展公共外交的三条典型路径:“从政府到外国人”、“从政府到中国公民再到外国人”、“从政府到外国人再到外国人”。孔子学院开展公共外交的价值体现在国家外交、国际交流和全球治理层面。此外,孔子学院作为中国发起并与其他国家合作开展公共外交的语言和文化传播机构的能力有限。这种局限一方面源于孔子学院作为语言文化传播机构的性质,另一方面也与中国参与全球治理所面临的困难和挑战有关。公共外交和文化外交是以国家利益为基础的。它们也超越了国家利益,成为一个国家积极参与全球文化治理的一种方式。孔子学院的经验和面临的挑战,对中国参与全球文化治理具有重要启示。
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引用次数: 3
The intention of banks to adopt green banking in an emerging market: the employees’ perspective 银行在新兴市场采用绿色银行的意图:员工视角
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-03-30 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1899621
Eugene Okyere-Kwakye, Khalil Md Nor
Abstract Green banking is a comparatively new development in the financial world. It is a form of banking that considers the social and environmental impacts of banking activities. Most studies on green banking focussed on customers, management, and other stakeholders without considering the perspective of employees, whose daily work is normally affected. To fill in the gap, the primary aim of this study is to assess factors affecting the intention of banks to adopt green banking from the perspective of employees. A questionnaire was used to collect data from 94 employees at selected banks in Koforidua, the eastern region of Ghana. Multiple regression was used to analyse the data. The study finds a significantly positive relationship between management support and intention of banks to adopt green banking. However, pressures from competitors and customers are found not to have a significant impact on banks’ intention to adopt green banking. While these results are unexpected and disappointing, they provide important insights in the context that changing initiatives from the perspective of common employees are internally driven instead of externally driven. This suggests the importance of management’s role in facilitating green banking initiatives.
摘要绿色银行是金融界一个比较新的发展方向。它是一种考虑银行活动对社会和环境影响的银行形式。大多数关于绿色银行的研究都集中在客户、管理层和其他利益相关者身上,而没有考虑员工的角度,因为员工的日常工作通常会受到影响。为了填补这一空白,本研究的主要目的是从员工的角度评估影响银行采用绿色银行意愿的因素。调查问卷用于收集加纳东部地区Koforidua选定银行94名员工的数据。采用多元回归分析数据。研究发现,管理支持与银行采用绿色银行的意愿之间存在显著的正相关关系。然而,来自竞争对手和客户的压力并没有对银行采用绿色银行的意图产生重大影响。虽然这些结果出乎意料,令人失望,但它们提供了重要的见解,因为从普通员工的角度来看,变革举措是内部驱动的,而不是外部驱动的。这表明了管理层在促进绿色银行倡议方面的作用的重要性。
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引用次数: 6
The political economy of city diplomacy 城市外交的政治经济学
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1899622
J. Manfredi-Sánchez
Abstract City diplomacy is a major trend in the soft power development. As cities face daily political issues deriving from globalisation (such as mass tourism, migration, climate change, and commodification of culture), they demand for, rather than contesting with a nationstate, an operational reinterpretation of sovereignty oriented to solve problems. Political economy approach is a useful method to understand the role of global cities where the nation state has many deficiencies. The global city establishes rules to influence international legal development and practice, even without a traditional legal basis (such as sovereignty, monopoly on violence, and legal exclusivity). As these ‘superstar cities’ grow, other cities are losing opportunities to develop and take advantage of globalisation. The risk of inter-urban inequality feeds populism. Cities will become the middle power in global political organisations in the future, and political economy will shed light on how power and values operate at the urban level.
城市外交是软实力发展的一大趋势。由于城市每天都面临着全球化带来的政治问题(如大众旅游、移民、气候变化和文化商品化),它们要求,而不是与民族国家竞争,以解决问题为导向,对主权进行可操作的重新解释。在民族国家存在诸多不足的地方,政治经济学是理解全球城市作用的有效方法。全球城市建立规则来影响国际法律的发展和实践,即使没有传统的法律基础(如主权、对暴力的垄断和法律排他性)。随着这些“超级明星城市”的发展,其他城市正在失去发展和利用全球化的机会。城市间不平等的风险助长了民粹主义。未来,城市将成为全球政治组织中的中间力量,政治经济学将揭示权力和价值观如何在城市层面上运作。
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引用次数: 5
The political economy of climate change: the impasse and way out 气候变化的政治经济学:僵局与出路
IF 2.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-03-18 DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2021.1885780
Fusheng Xie, Han Cheng
Abstract Mainstream economics attributes climate change to negative externalities of carbon emissions and the lack of climate property rights. Although market-based strategies such as emission trading are widely implemented under the guideline of mainstream economics, there is no evidence that the accelerating trend of global warming has been contained. Marxian economists criticise the theoretical point of departure of the mainstream perspective about climate change and climate governance, and propose an alternative analytical framework focussing on the relationship between climate and capital accumulation. Following the Marxian perspective, we discuss the subject, nature, strategy, and possibility of a popular climate movement that could serve as an alternative to the existing mainstream climate governance.
主流经济学将气候变化归因于碳排放的负外部性和缺乏气候产权。虽然在主流经济学的指导下,排放权交易等市场化策略得到了广泛的实施,但没有证据表明全球变暖的加速趋势得到了遏制。马克思主义经济学家对气候变化和气候治理的主流观点的理论出发点提出了批评,并提出了另一种分析框架,重点关注气候与资本积累之间的关系。根据马克思主义的观点,我们讨论了大众气候运动的主题、性质、策略和可能性,这种运动可以作为现有主流气候治理的替代方案。
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引用次数: 4
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Economic and Political Studies-EPS
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