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Comprehensive Assessment of Resource Efficiency of Russian Gas Industry Companies 俄罗斯天然气工业公司资源效率综合评价
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.3.016
L. Vazhenina, E. Magaril, I. Mayburov
The purpose of this study is to develop methodological foundations for a comprehensive assessment of the resource efficiency of natural gas extraction, processing and pipeline transportation companies as the basis for balanced consumption and resource provision. The study shows that in complex and rapidly changing conditions, the growth of global consumption of hydrocarbons, in particular natural gas, triggers a search for new resource-saving methods and technologies that reduce the resource intensity of industrial production and the impact on the environment, to develop resource-efficient methods and resource-saving policies. The paper proposes a conceptual approach to a comprehensive assessment of the resource efficiency of gas industry companies and highlights its main provisions. A methodological approach and a methodology for a comprehensive assessment of the resource efficiency of the gas industry have been developed, including an integral calculation and a comparative assessment of the resource efficiency indicators of industrial enterprises: extraction, processing and pipeline transport of natural gas. The proposed methodology for a comprehensive assessment of resource efficiency is distinguished by a system of indicators reflecting the functioning of production, economic, financial, investment, energy and environmental spheres of activity, which makes it possible, based on simulation modeling and scenario forecasting, to conduct a comparative analysis of the development of industry companies by the level of resource conservation, resource availability and resource consumption in the post-forecast and forecast period. The proposed methodology for a comprehensive assessment of resource efficiency in the formation of an optimal structure of resource supply and resource consumption of an industrial enterprise is distinguished by the use of predictive and analytical tools and simulation modeling of the activities of industrial companies, which enables them to determine their resource-efficient development option and select promising business processes. The methodological tools were tested using the cases of companies engaged in gas production (Novatek), gas processing (Sibur) and pipeline gas transportation (Gazprom). The analysis of the results of the conducted approbation showed the existing differences in modern mechanisms for resource conservation, consumption and provision of resources in industry companies, as well as possible growth points and prospects for their resource-efficient development.
这项研究的目的是为全面评价天然气开采、加工和管道运输公司的资源效率发展方法学基础,作为平衡消费和资源供应的基础。研究表明,在复杂和迅速变化的条件下,全球碳氢化合物特别是天然气消费的增长促使人们寻求新的节约资源的方法和技术,以减少工业生产的资源强度和对环境的影响,从而制定节约资源的方法和节约资源的政策。本文提出了一种天然气工业公司资源效率综合评价的概念方法,并强调了其主要规定。已经制订了一种方法方法和综合评价天然气工业资源效率的方法,包括工业企业资源效率指标的综合计算和比较评价:天然气的开采、加工和管道运输。拟议的资源效率综合评价方法的特点是采用一套反映生产、经济、财政、投资、能源和环境活动领域运作情况的指标系统,从而能够根据模拟模式和情景预测对工业公司的发展按资源节约水平进行比较分析。预测后和预测期内的资源可用性和资源消耗。在形成工业企业资源供应和资源消耗的最佳结构时,对资源效率进行综合评估的建议方法的特点是使用预测和分析工具以及工业公司活动的模拟建模,这使它们能够确定其资源效率高的发展选择并选择有前途的业务流程。方法工具通过从事天然气生产(Novatek),天然气加工(Sibur)和管道天然气运输(Gazprom)的公司的案例进行了测试。通过对审批结果的分析,揭示了工业企业在资源节约、资源消耗和资源供给等现代机制方面存在的差异,以及工业企业资源节约型发展的可能增长点和前景。
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引用次数: 0
Manifestations of Competition and Quasi-Competition of Russian Universities in the Struggle to Attract Applicants 俄罗斯大学在招生竞争中的竞争与准竞争表现
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.1.006
D. Sandler
Globalization and the development of the knowledge economy increase competition in the higher education market. Improving the competitiveness of higher education in the world market in the second decade of the 21st century has officially become a project to be implemented by the state. In this regard, it is extremely important to study the competition among and competitiveness of universities. The purpose of this study is to substantiate the existence of quasi-competition among Russian universities and assess its impact on improving the efficiency of Russian higher education. The research hypothesis is that despite the inequality in the system of higher education, there is quasi-competition, not only within the groups of leading universities at the federal level and among regional universities, but also against everyone, and this competition increases the efficiency of the system as a whole. Particular attention is paid to such specific feature of university competition as competition for public funding, competition in a regulated market with high concentration and even monopoly. As a practical case for studying the competition of universities, the fight for applicants is considered as a vivid manifestation of competition. The information base of the study is the results of annual surveys of applicants of Ural Federal University. The main method of research is the economic and mathematical analysis of the results of surveys of graduates. It is concluded that the quasi-competition model best describes the established higher education markets. The Russian system of higher education operates under the dominance of state funding and quasi-market competition. An important aspect of the study is to identify the relationship between competition in the field of higher education and university funding. Competition between universities increases financial inequality in the higher education system. At the same time, in a number of areas, especially in terms of preparing bachelors, regional universities can compete with leading universities. The influence of competition on the higher education system contributes to the increase in the efficiency of universities through their struggle for a limited set of resources. An interesting practical finding of the study, which can be useful when planning admission campaigns, is that price competition for undergraduate applicants is inferior to competition for the quality of education in the campaign to attract students to master's programs.
全球化和知识经济的发展加剧了高等教育市场的竞争。21世纪第二个十年,提高高等教育在世界市场上的竞争力已正式成为国家实施的一项工程。在这方面,研究大学之间的竞争和竞争力是非常重要的。本研究的目的是证实俄罗斯大学之间存在准竞争,并评估其对提高俄罗斯高等教育效率的影响。研究的假设是,尽管高等教育系统存在不平等,但准竞争存在,不仅在联邦一级的一流大学集团内部和地区大学之间,而且针对所有人,这种竞争提高了整个系统的效率。本文特别关注了大学竞争的特点,如公共资金竞争、高度集中的规范市场竞争甚至垄断竞争。作为研究大学竞争的一个实际案例,对申请者的争夺被认为是竞争的生动表现。本研究的信息库是乌拉尔联邦大学学生年度调查的结果。研究的主要方法是对毕业生调查结果进行经济学和数学分析。结论是准竞争模型最能描述现有的高等教育市场。俄罗斯的高等教育体系是在国家资助和准市场竞争的主导下运作的。这项研究的一个重要方面是确定高等教育领域的竞争与大学资助之间的关系。大学之间的竞争加剧了高等教育系统的财政不平等。与此同时,在许多领域,特别是在学士学位的培养方面,地方大学可以与一流大学竞争。竞争对高等教育系统的影响有助于大学通过争夺有限的资源来提高效率。这项研究的一个有趣的实际发现是,在吸引学生攻读硕士课程的过程中,本科申请者的价格竞争不如教育质量竞争,这在规划招生活动时可能很有用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the Impact of Tax Incentives on Investment Activity in Special Economic Zones of the Russian Federation 评价税收优惠对俄罗斯联邦经济特区投资活动的影响
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.2.011
M. Kakaulina, D. R. Gorlov
The article examines tax incentives established in the special economic zones of the Russian Federation. The topic seems to be extremely relevant, since such an instrument of state support as tax incentives does not have a clear economic efficiency. In this regard, having high hopes for it in the current post-pandemic situation, the state risks depriving many enterprises of the opportunity to carry out their activities uninterrupted. This dictates the need for a comprehensive assessment of the effectiveness of the introduced tax incentives. The purpose of the article is to assess the impact of tax incentives on the investment activity of residents of special economic zones of the Russian Federation in the period 2016-2020. The hypothesis of the study is the absence of a significant impact of tax incentives, as well as the existence of a negative impact of such benefits on the investment activities of residents of special economic zones of the Russian Federation in some cases. The assessment is carried out by building power econometric models for all zones in the aggregate for each year of the five years under consideration. As a result, a significant positive relationship was found between the number of tax benefits for the previous time period and the volume of investments made within the zones in the current time period. Thus, a 2-fold increase in the intensity of the use of tax benefits by residents of the zones causes an increase in the size of current investments by 60-74%, depending on the period under consideration. The authors concluded that, contrary to popular belief about the inefficiency of tax incentives and their harmful impact to the budget system in the form of shortfalls in tax revenues, they are actually a unique and useful tool that promotes business development in specific areas. The practical significance of the study is expressed in the possibility of the Government of the Russian Federation applying the obtained results when making decisions on expanding the list of tax incentives operating in special economic zones or on extending their period of validity.
本文审查了在俄罗斯联邦经济特区设立的税收优惠。这个话题似乎非常相关,因为像税收激励这样的国家支持工具并不具有明确的经济效率。在这方面,在当前大流行后的形势下,国家对其寄予厚望,可能会剥夺许多企业不间断开展活动的机会。因此,必须全面评估所推行的税务优惠措施的成效。本文的目的是评估2016-2020年期间税收优惠对俄罗斯联邦经济特区居民投资活动的影响。这项研究的假设是,税收优惠没有重大影响,而且在某些情况下,这种优惠对俄罗斯联邦经济特区居民的投资活动有不利影响。评估是通过在审议的五年期间每年为所有地区合计建立电力计量经济模型来进行的。结果发现,前一时期的税收优惠数量与当前时期区内的投资额之间存在显著的正相关关系。因此,特区居民使用税收优惠的强度增加两倍,导致当前投资规模增加60-74%,具体取决于所考虑的时期。作者的结论是,与人们普遍认为的税收激励效率低下及其以税收不足的形式对预算系统产生有害影响相反,税收激励实际上是一种独特而有用的工具,可以促进特定领域的商业发展。这项研究的实际意义在于,俄罗斯联邦政府在作出关于扩大在经济特区实行的税收优惠清单或延长其有效期的决定时,有可能应用所取得的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of the Impact of Direct Taxes on Public Investment in Agriculture in Nigeria 评估直接税收对尼日利亚农业公共投资的影响
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.1.001
C. Omodero
This study investigates the impact of direct taxes on agricultural funding. For this analysis, the petroleum profit tax, personal income tax, and corporate income tax were employed as direct taxes. These are the three largest direct taxes chosen for this analysis. Agricultural finance has long been a cause of concern, forcing the entire country to suffer from acute hunger as a result of unnecessary apathy. Furthermore, Nigeria now has a high degree of hunger index at 28.3, placing the country 103rd out of 116 countries in the 2021 Global Hunger Index record. This research considers all of these problems and aims to assess the extent to which direct taxes may alleviate the load by providing more direct tax revenues to agricultural enterprises. The evaluation is carried out by collecting secondary data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on chosen direct taxes and agricultural spending from the Central Bank of Nigeria's Statistical Bulletin. The study period runs from 2010 to 2020. The study used a multiple regression technique to present real evidence that all of the direct tax types analyzed had a minor impact on agricultural finance, with the exception of personal income tax, which has a positive and considerable impact on agricultural growth. This leads to the request that Nigerian tax rules be altered to allow for significant use of tax revenue for agricultural loans. The insignificance of petroleum profit tax and corporate income tax to agricultural funding necessitates more effective tax processes and a crackdown on malfeasance among tax authorities.
本研究探讨了直接税对农业融资的影响。在本次分析中,将石油利得税、个人所得税、法人所得税作为直接税。这是本分析选择的三种最大的直接税。农业财政长期以来一直是一个令人担忧的问题,由于不必要的冷漠,迫使整个国家遭受严重的饥饿。此外,尼日利亚目前的饥饿程度指数很高,为28.3,在2021年全球饥饿指数记录的116个国家中排名第103位。本研究考虑了所有这些问题,旨在评估直接税通过向农业企业提供更多的直接税收入来减轻负担的程度。评估是通过收集经济合作与发展组织(经合组织)关于尼日利亚中央银行统计公报中选定的直接税和农业支出的二手数据进行的。研究期从2010年到2020年。本研究使用多元回归技术提供了真实的证据,表明除了个人所得税对农业增长有积极而可观的影响外,所分析的所有直接税类型对农业财政的影响都很小。这导致要求修改尼日利亚的税收规则,以允许大量使用税收用于农业贷款。石油利得税和企业所得税对农业资金的重要性微不足道,因此需要更有效的税收程序,并打击税务当局的渎职行为。
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引用次数: 0
Social Contract Phenomenon: Evolution of Concepts and Modern Interpretations 社会契约现象:概念演变与现代解释
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.3.021
E. Balatsky, N. Ekimova
The aim of the article is to systematically consider the conceptual foundations of the process of formation and maintenance of the social contract, its properties and meaning. The paper uses historical and structural approaches to the study of the phenomenon of social contract in conjunction with their practical application to contemporary events. The result of the study is the authors' substantiation and disclosure of six provisions of the social contract theory. In particular, it provides a systematic explanation of why the understanding of justice underlying the social contract changes significantly over time. The structure of the social contract, which assumes the presence of a constant (obligations of the population) and a variable (obligations of the authorities) part, is substantiated. It is shown that the constant part in the form of the population's loyalty allows the state itself to be preserved over a long historical period, and the variable part in the form of changing requirements to the authorities ensures the evolution of society. Two conditions of the effectiveness of the social contract, when the fulfillment of obligations by both sides of the contract leads to the strengthening of the country and improvement of the situation of the masses, are formulated and formalized: the level of obligations of the supreme power and society should be approximately equal; the luggage of good deeds of power should exceed the luggage of its not-so-good deeds. It is shown that the first condition generates the property of the social contract, when under extraordinary conditions the demand for loyalty from the authorities to the population sharply increases, and the second condition allows us to understand the long-term existence of ineffective regimes of rule such as dictatorship, when despotism in the face of an authoritarian ruler does more good than harm. The main conclusion of the work consists in the substantiation of the fact that at present in the Russian Federation there is a unique situation for the creation of an effective new the social contract, the need for which has been felt for a long time. The presented theoretical provisions can be used in the system of public administration to form the content of the new social contract.
本文的目的是系统地思考社会契约形成和维持过程的概念基础、社会契约的性质和意义。本文采用历史和结构的方法来研究社会契约现象,并结合它们在当代事件中的实际应用。研究的结果是作者对社会契约理论的六个条款进行了实证和揭示。特别是,它提供了一个系统的解释,为什么理解正义作为社会契约的基础,随着时间的推移发生了显著的变化。社会契约的结构假定存在一个恒定部分(人口的义务)和一个可变部分(当局的义务),这得到了证实。结果表明,以人民的忠诚为形式的不变部分使国家本身在漫长的历史时期得以保存,而以对当局不断变化的要求为形式的可变部分确保了社会的演变。当契约双方履行义务导致国家强盛和群众境况改善时,社会契约有效的两个条件被制定和形式化:最高权力和社会的义务水平应该大致相等;权力的善行的行李应该超过不那么好的行为的行李。研究表明,第一个条件产生了社会契约的属性,在特殊条件下,当局对人民的忠诚需求急剧增加,第二个条件使我们能够理解独裁统治等无效统治制度的长期存在,当专制面对专制统治者时,专制利大于弊。这项工作的主要结论是证实了这样一个事实,即目前在俄罗斯联邦存在着一种独特的情况,即建立一种有效的新的社会契约,人们长期以来一直感到有必要这样做。本文提出的理论规定可以运用于公共行政体系,形成新的社会契约的内容。
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引用次数: 0
Factors of Growth in Income from Research Activities in Universities of the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦大学研究活动收入增长的因素
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.4.028
M. Yurevich
Theoretical concepts of the modern university pay a lot of attention to the evaluation of financial performance of research activities. The attraction of government-provided R&D funding is associated with the creation and enhancement of the scientific potential, and the accretion of scientific knowledge, rather than its practical application, is prioritised. Research projects commissioned by the private sector represents the university's contribution to the needs of the real economy or the "market" value of the accumulated potential. In Russian management practice, both of these criteria have become part of the regular evaluation of HEIs performance along with many other parameters characterizing the success of HEIs in achieving the benchmarks of scientific development. The objective of the study is to identify the factors that increase the financial success of Russian universities in the field of R&D. The fundamental hypothesis is that there is a direct correlation between universities' revenues from R&D and the priority directions of the state S&T policy with regard to universities, including the increase in publication activity, enhancement of human resources potential and formation of innovation infrastructure. The information base of the study was formed by the results of monitoring the activities of educational institutions of higher education in Russia in 2016-2022 for 590 institutions. The financial performance of HEIs' research activities is assessed using three indicators: the share of R&D revenues in the total revenues of an educational organization; the amount of extra-budgetary revenues from R&D per one research project and faculty member; the share of extra-budgetary funds in R&D revenues. To assess the statistical significance of the relationships, the tools of regression analysis of panel data were applied. The main conclusion of the study is to prove the mutual correlation between the vectors of scientific development of the university sector, which have been set at the state level in the last 10 years. The focus on strengthening university science coupled with intensification of cooperation with the real sector of the economy has been synchronized with the tasks of growth of publication activity, material provision of scientists, renovation of the instrumentation base, construction of research and innovation infrastructure.
现代大学的理论概念十分重视对科研活动财务绩效的评价。吸引政府提供的研发资金与创造和增强科学潜力有关,优先考虑的是科学知识的增加,而不是其实际应用。私人部门委托的研究项目代表了大学对实体经济需求的贡献或积累潜力的“市场”价值。在俄罗斯的管理实践中,这两个标准已经成为高等学校绩效的常规评估的一部分,以及许多其他参数,这些参数表征了高等学校在实现科学发展基准方面的成功。该研究的目的是确定增加俄罗斯大学在研发领域的财务成功的因素。本文的基本假设是,国家科技政策对高校的优先发展方向,包括论文发表活动的增加、人力资源潜力的提升和创新基础设施的形成,与高校的研发收入直接相关。该研究的信息库是根据2016-2022年对俄罗斯590所高等教育机构活动的监测结果形成的。高等学校研究活动的财务绩效用三个指标来评估:研发收入占教育组织总收入的份额;每个研究项目和每位教员的研发预算外收入;预算外资金占研发收入的比例。为了评估这些关系的统计显著性,我们使用了面板数据的回归分析工具。该研究的主要结论是证明了大学部门科学发展向量之间的相互相关性,这些向量在过去10年里已经在国家层面上设定。重点加强大学科学,同时加强与实体经济部门的合作,与增加出版活动、为科学家提供材料、改造仪器基地、建设研究和创新基础设施的任务同步进行。
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引用次数: 0
Nonbank Financial Intermediation in Times of Crisis: Identifying Leadership in the G20 Countries 危机时期的非银行金融中介:确定G20国家的领导地位
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.3.015
Y. Evlakhova, N. Amosova
Non-banking financial intermediation, which means the conduct of credit operations by financial institutions that do not have a license for this and was previously interpreted as “shadow banking”, has become a long-term trend in the development of the global financial market. The purpose of the study is to determine the changes in non-banking financial intermediation during periods of crises and the inter-crisis period, as well as to identify the leading countries in the development of non-banking financial intermediation in a long-term retrospective. A hypothesis is formulated that during periods of crises, not only does the volume of non-banking financial intermediation decrease (on a global scale and within national markets), but its structure also changes. To test the hypothesis, a cross-country comparative analysis of the level of development of non-banking financial intermediation based on the corresponding index was carried out, as well as clustering using the FOREL method to identify changes in the structure of global non-banking financial intermediation. As data sources, data from the Financial Stability Board Monitoring Dataset on Non-Bank Financial Intermediation and OECD. Stat data were used. The results of the study confirmed the correctness of the formulated hypothesis. On their basis, the directions for the development of non-banking financial intermediaries in the current conditions of the approaching recession of the world economy are determined: (1) maintaining the index of non-banking financial intermediation in the current range of values; (2) preservation of the polycluster structure of non-banking financial intermediation, since the decrease in the number of clusters occurs during periods of relative stability of the world economy; (3) increased heterogeneity of countries in terms of the level of non-banking financial intermediation. It is shown that the crisis caused by the pandemic had a stronger negative impact on non-banking financial intermediation than the global financial crisis. The theoretical significance of the results obtained is to identify the structure of global non-banking financial intermediation, as well as to propose a criterion for countries' leadership in terms of its level. The practical significance lies in the possibility of using the results obtained in the development of measures to ensure the stability of financial markets both at the global and national levels.
非银行金融中介是指由没有牌照的金融机构进行信贷业务,以前被解释为“影子银行”,已成为全球金融市场发展的长期趋势。本研究的目的是确定非银行金融中介在危机时期和危机间时期的变化,并在长期回顾中确定非银行金融中介发展的主要国家。一个假设是,在危机期间,不仅非银行金融中介的数量减少(在全球范围内和国家市场内),而且其结构也发生了变化。为了验证这一假设,我们基于相应的指数对非银行金融中介的发展水平进行了跨国比较分析,并使用FOREL方法进行聚类,以确定全球非银行金融中介结构的变化。数据来源为金融稳定委员会非银行金融中介监测数据集和经合组织数据集。使用统计数据。研究的结果证实了公式化假设的正确性。在此基础上,确定了非银行金融中介机构在世界经济接近衰退的当前条件下的发展方向:(1)将非银行金融中介机构的指数维持在当前的数值范围内;(2)保持非银行金融中介的多集群结构,因为集群数量的减少发生在世界经济相对稳定的时期;(3)各国在非银行金融中介水平方面的异质性增加。结果表明,与全球金融危机相比,疫情引发的危机对非银行金融中介的负面影响更大。所得结果的理论意义在于确定了全球非银行金融中介的结构,并就其水平提出了各国领导的标准。其实际意义在于,在制定确保全球和国家层面金融市场稳定的措施时,有可能利用所获得的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Mobile Money Services: An Enabler of Development Processes in Africa 移动货币服务:非洲发展进程的推动者
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.4.022
J. Okrah, A. Nepp
Access to finance has been a major constraint in a lot of developing countries, especially in Africa. This research seeks to explore the role of mobile money in the development of the financial sector and its role in enforcing financial inclusiveness by making banking easily accessible and convenient. We look at data of сountries which operate mobile money credit facilities. Looking closely at how these loan services are increasing financial accessibility and the intensity of entrepreneurship, we hypothesize that mobile money positively influences entrepreneurship and domestic saving by providing an avenue for financial inclusiveness. To explore our objectives, we use panel data consisting of developing countries. With repeated observations of enough cross-sections, panel data analysis permits us to study the dynamics of change with time series. Our data consists of 28 developing countries from the year 2010 to 2018. Our results indicated a positive effect of mobile money registered accounts on new business density and positive effect of transactional volume on domestic savings. We realized that the mobile money system has increased people's confidence in saving and investment since their money is easily accessible with just a click away. People now feel much safer, and this system is educating more people rapidly in developing the culture of saving. This improves how banks treat their clients in rural communities and it also creates employment for young graduates. Access to loans has become much easier by replacing the collateral system with the credit score system. We also realized that since there are no regulations regarding access to loans, mobile money operators seem to take advantage of the people by taking interest rates of more than 10% per month.
在许多发展中国家,特别是非洲,获得融资一直是一个主要的制约因素。本研究旨在探讨移动货币在金融部门发展中的作用,以及通过使银行业务易于获取和方便,在加强金融包容性方面的作用。我们研究了运营移动货币信贷服务的10个国家的数据。仔细观察这些贷款服务是如何提高金融可及性和创业强度的,我们假设移动货币通过提供金融包容性的途径,对创业和国内储蓄产生积极影响。为了探索我们的目标,我们使用了由发展中国家组成的面板数据。通过对足够截面的重复观察,面板数据分析使我们能够研究随时间序列变化的动态。我们的数据包括2010年至2018年28个发展中国家的数据。我们的研究结果表明,移动货币注册账户对新业务密度有正影响,交易量对国内储蓄有正影响。我们意识到,移动货币系统增加了人们储蓄和投资的信心,因为他们的钱很容易获得,只需点击一下。人们现在感到更安全了,这个系统正在迅速教育更多的人发展储蓄文化。这改善了银行对待农村社区客户的方式,也为年轻毕业生创造了就业机会。通过用信用评分系统取代抵押系统,获得贷款变得容易得多。我们还意识到,由于没有有关贷款的规定,移动货币运营商似乎利用了人们,每月收取超过10%的利率。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling of the Influence of Regional Determinants on Export Diversification in Russia 区域决定因素对俄罗斯出口多样化影响的建模
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.1.004
R. Vasilyeva, V. A. Voitenkov, A. Urazbaeva
The dependence of Russian exports on hydrocarbon products negatively affects the country's economy due to the high volatility of oil and gas prices. The purpose of the study is to assess the degree of export diversification of Russia's regions and to determine the main determinants of export diversification. The hypothesis of the study is that in order to increase the number of exporters and the volume of international trade, the regions of Russia need to balance the structure of exports and actively develop small and medium-sized businesses. To identify regional determinants of export diversification in Russia, we use panel data for 83 entities of the Russian Federation for the period from 2001 to 2019. Within the analysis, we calculate the indicator of export diversification at the regional level using the Herfindahl and Theil indices and implement the quantile regression approach, which allows us to solve the heteroscedasticity problem and identify regions with high, medium, and low levels of export diversification. The study considers such regional characteristics as small and medium-sized businesses, the index of business potential and risk, the region's openness to international trade, the natural resources endowment, and also take into account the impact of sanctions imposed against Russia. The results of the study show that regions with the lowest level of export diversification have more opportunities to reduce the export concentration. The most significant factor contributing to export diversification is the number of small and medium enterprises in the region. At the same time, the analysis revealed that the vast majority of regional characteristics increase export concentration, for example, the extraction of natural resources, the import of technologies, the indicator of openness, risk and potential of companies. The results obtained complement the existing literature on export diversification in Russia and can be used to develop recommendations for improving government policy in terms of the reduction of oil and gas share in the overall exports structure.
由于石油和天然气价格的高度波动,俄罗斯对碳氢化合物产品出口的依赖对该国经济产生了负面影响。本研究的目的是评估俄罗斯各地区出口多样化的程度,并确定出口多样化的主要决定因素。本研究的假设是,为了增加出口商数量和国际贸易量,俄罗斯各地区需要平衡出口结构,积极发展中小企业。为了确定俄罗斯出口多样化的区域决定因素,我们使用了2001年至2019年期间俄罗斯联邦83个实体的面板数据。在分析中,我们使用Herfindahl和Theil指数计算区域层面的出口多样化指标,并采用分位数回归方法,从而解决了异方差问题,并识别出出口多样化程度高、中、低的区域。该研究考虑了中小企业、商业潜力和风险指数、该地区对国际贸易的开放程度、自然资源禀赋等地区特征,并考虑了对俄罗斯制裁的影响。研究结果表明,出口多元化程度最低的地区有更多的机会降低出口集中度。促进出口多样化的最重要因素是该区域中小型企业的数量。同时分析发现,绝大多数区域特征增加了出口集中度,如自然资源的开采、技术的进口、开放度、风险和公司潜力等指标。所获得的结果补充了关于俄罗斯出口多样化的现有文献,并可用于制定建议,以改善政府在减少石油和天然气在整个出口结构中的份额方面的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Econometric Modeling of the Impact of Ethnic Diversity on Economic Diversification: Analysis of Russian Regions 民族多样性对经济多样化影响的计量经济模型——以俄罗斯地区为例
IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2022.21.4.023
R. Vasilyeva, E.A. Rozhina
The Russian economy is often characterized by dependence on the extraction of natural resources, which leads to high risks in the event of an unstable situation in the international market and volatility in commodity prices. Modern literature notes the significant role of economic diversification in leveling risks for the national economy, which confirms the relevance of the problem and the need to study the determinants of economic diversification. The purpose of the study is to assess the impact of the ethnic diversity of Russian regions on the diversification of the economy. At the same time, the effect of this influence is differentiated based on the results of quantile regression by separating regions with a high, medium, and low level of economic diversification. The hypothesis of the study is the assumption that the ethno-cultural heterogeneity of the regions of the Russian Federation contributes to the diversification of their economy. The regions of Russia differ to a large extent in terms of socio-economic indicators, as well as the national composition. At the same time, different ethnic groups have their own religion, language and traditions, which affects both the conduct of economic activity and the characteristics of production. For econometric modeling, panel data were used for 85 regions of Russia for the period 2000–2019. For analysis, indicators of economic diversification and ethnic diversity were calculated based on the Theil decomposition index and the ethnolinguistic fractionalization index, respectively. Taking into account the high heteroscedasticity in regional data, the method of single-stage quantile regression is used. The results of the study indicate the negative impact of the ethnic diversity index and the number of official languages on the diversification of the economy. However, the indicator of the number of major religions contributes to economic diversification. The results obtained complement the existing literature on economic diversification and ethnic diversity in the context of Russian regions, and can be used to develop public policy in the field of supporting national minorities and expanding economic diversity in Russia.
俄罗斯经济的特点往往是依赖自然资源的开采,这导致在国际市场局势不稳定和商品价格波动的情况下风险很高。现代文献注意到经济多样化在平衡国民经济风险方面的重要作用,这证实了问题的相关性以及研究经济多样化决定因素的必要性。本研究的目的是评估俄罗斯地区的民族多样性对经济多样化的影响。同时,根据分位数回归的结果,对经济多样化程度高、中、低的区域进行了划分,对这种影响的效果进行了区分。这项研究的假设是,俄罗斯联邦各地区的民族文化异质性有助于其经济的多样化。俄罗斯各地区在社会经济指标以及民族构成方面有很大的不同。同时,不同民族有自己的宗教、语言和传统,既影响着经济活动的进行,也影响着生产的特点。在计量经济建模中,使用了2000-2019年期间俄罗斯85个地区的面板数据。为了进行分析,分别根据泰尔分解指数和民族语言分馏指数计算经济多样化指标和民族多样性指标。考虑到区域数据存在较大的异方差,采用单阶段分位数回归方法。研究结果表明,民族多样性指数和官方语言数量对经济多样化产生了负面影响。然而,主要宗教数目的指标有助于经济多样化。所获得的结果补充了俄罗斯地区背景下经济多样化和民族多样性的现有文献,可用于制定支持少数民族和扩大俄罗斯经济多样性领域的公共政策。
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引用次数: 2
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Margin-Journal of Applied Economic Research
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