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A Random Item Response Model of External Territorial Threat, 1816–2010 外部领土威胁的随机项目反应模型,1816-2010
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac012
Steven V. Miller
Multiple scholars have shown that external territorial threat, conceptually the level of concern for a state that its territorial integrity is subject to violent conflict and imposed contraction by other states, has major implications for the state's domestic political environment. However, the strand of scholarship that agrees on the domestic political effects of external territorial threat disagrees on how to code this important concept. These works either rely on binary indicators that do a poor job communicating “increasing” or “decreasing” territorial threat or use dyad-year indicators of conflict propensities as a stand-in for a state-year-level observation. I use this research note to offer an empirical measurement of state-year external territorial threat from a Bayesian random item response model for all states from 1816 to 2010. I assess the face validity and construct validity of the data these models generate, all of which suggest the measure does well to capture the concept in question. I close with a statement of the availability of the data and their potential applications.
许多学者已经表明,外部领土威胁,概念上是一个国家对其领土完整受到其他国家暴力冲突和强制收缩的关注程度,对该国的国内政治环境具有重大影响。然而,对外部领土威胁的国内政治影响持一致看法的学术界在如何对这一重要概念进行编码方面存在分歧。这些工作要么依赖于二元指标,而二元指标在传达“增加”或“减少”领土威胁方面做得很差,要么使用冲突倾向的双年指标作为国家年度观察的替代品。我使用这篇研究笔记,从1816年到2010年所有州的贝叶斯随机项目响应模型中,提供了一个州-年度外部领土威胁的实证测量。我评估了这些模型生成的数据的面效度和构造效度,所有这些都表明该措施很好地捕捉了有问题的概念。最后,我陈述了数据的可用性及其潜在的应用。
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引用次数: 1
Performances of Trust: Ritualized Diplomacy in Southeast Asian Regionalism 信任的表现:东南亚地区主义的仪式化外交
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-16 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac014
M. Davies
What happens when trust ends? This article identifies a hitherto overlooked possibility, a performance of trust. Comprising ritualized diplomacy, performances of trust communicate the products of trust, the values that define membership of an international organization, but do not constitute those values. Realizing the obscuring, subjunctive, orthopraxic, and located nature of these ritual performances helps distinguish performance from other social processes of identity and interest construction. Demonstrated in the context of Southeast Asian regionalism, performances of trust suggest the relevance of trust in explaining what states and their leaders say and do may outlive the presence of trust itself.
当信任结束时会发生什么?本文指出了一种迄今为止被忽视的可能性,即信任的表现。信任的表现包括仪式化的外交,传达信任的产物,即定义国际组织成员资格的价值观,但不构成这些价值观。认识到这些仪式表演的隐晦性、虚拟性、矫正性和定位性,有助于将表演与其他身份和兴趣建构的社会过程区分开来。在东南亚地区主义的背景下,信任的表现表明,信任在解释国家及其领导人的言行方面的相关性可能比信任本身的存在更持久。
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引用次数: 0
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac003
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引用次数: 3
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac007
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引用次数: 0
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac006
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引用次数: 5
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac001
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引用次数: 1
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac002
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引用次数: 0
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac004
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引用次数: 0
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac010
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引用次数: 2
OUP accepted manuscript OUP接受稿件
IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac008
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Global Security Studies
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