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2007 IEEE International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services最新文献

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Automatically finding experts in large organizations 自动查找大型组织中的专家
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443549
Zhao Ru, Weiran Xu, Jun Guo
Automatically finding experts is a critical need for distributed organizations managing employees' knowledge. This paper presents an approach that models a probabilistic cascading framework to find relevant experts in enterprise corpora. We employ a qualification of experience that is validated as a measure of expertise. A language model for each experience measure is estimated with topical words. Then for each candidate's expertise, a language model is estimated with its associated measures. Cascading of these models, we can capture how the expertise is relevant to a topical query. Our evaluation on TREC Enterprise corpora shows that this is an effective approach for expert finding. Moreover, its performance could be further improved by clustering of relevant experience measures.
自动寻找专家是管理员工知识的分布式组织的关键需求。本文提出了一种建立概率级联框架的方法,在企业语料库中寻找相关专家。我们采用一种经验资格,作为衡量专业知识的标准。每个经验测量的语言模型是用主题词估计的。然后,对于每个候选人的专业知识,用其相关的度量来估计语言模型。通过这些模型的级联,我们可以捕获专业知识如何与主题查询相关。对TREC企业语料库的评价表明,这是一种有效的专家发现方法。此外,通过对相关经验测度的聚类,可以进一步提高其性能。
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引用次数: 1
A hybrid strategy based on multi-agent PSO for arms Optimal apportionment of regional air-defense 基于多智能体粒子群的混合策略区域防空武器优化分配
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443548
Lu Xiaoping, Zhang Libo, Ding Zhu, Yang Jie
Arms apportionment programming is a NP-hard problem. Detailed mathematical models for regional air-defense arms optimal apportionment are established. A novel algorithm named MAHOS (multi-agent hybrid optimization strategy) is proposed in order to solve this problem efficiently. The MAHOS introduces competition-cooperation, self-learning and simulated annealing mechanism into behaviors of particle agents, which improve the convergence rate and optimization precision of the algorithm. Simulation experiments of the problem are made at different scales. The results show that MAHOS is very efficient and effective in obtaining near optimal solutions to the air-defense arms optimal apportionment problems, especially when the scale of problems is very large. The MAHOS can offer a scientific and effective support for a decision maker in command automation of the air-defense combat.
军备分配规划是一个np困难问题。建立了区域防空兵器优化配置的详细数学模型。为了有效地解决这一问题,提出了多智能体混合优化策略(MAHOS)。MAHOS在粒子智能体的行为中引入了竞争合作、自学习和模拟退火机制,提高了算法的收敛速度和优化精度。对该问题进行了不同尺度的仿真实验。结果表明,MAHOS算法对于防空武器优化配置问题的近最优解求解是非常有效的,特别是在问题规模非常大的情况下。MAHOS可以为防空作战指挥自动化的决策者提供科学有效的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Logistics service mode selection based on decision-tree model and grey multi-criteria risk decision-making method 基于决策树模型和灰色多准则风险决策方法的物流服务模式选择
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443388
Hou Jing, Zhao Lindu
The selection of logistics service mode is a strategic decision-making for the development of logistics; complicated circumstances require that the service mode can meet not only the needs of markets, but also the emergency outside. The purpose of this paper is to present what we believe is a useful way to select the optimal logistics service mode assuming there are two possible statuses of the environment-normal status and emergency status. Based on the analysis of logistics service demand and logistics service capability, and by choosing the significant evaluating criteria, a decision-tree model was presented and solved using grey multi-criteria risk decision-making and grey fuzzy relationship method. Finally, simulation results of the model are given. Our methodology will help logistics service providers as well as academics that are considering such issues.
物流服务模式的选择是物流发展的战略决策;复杂的环境要求服务模式既要满足市场的需求,又要满足外部的紧急情况。本文的目的是提出一种可行的方法来选择最优的物流服务模式,假设有两种可能的环境状态:正常状态和紧急状态。在分析物流服务需求和物流服务能力的基础上,通过选取有意义的评价准则,建立了决策树模型,并采用灰色多准则风险决策和灰色模糊关系法进行求解。最后给出了模型的仿真结果。我们的方法将帮助物流服务提供商以及正在考虑这些问题的学者。
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引用次数: 1
Predicting Chinese logistics scale in 10 years with model GM(1,1) 基于GM模型的10年中国物流规模预测(1,1)
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443299
Yanfeng Chu, Sifeng Liu
It is very important to predict Chinese logistics scale in 10 years for drawing up the macroscopic economic policy and promoting economic development. With the grey system model GM( 1, 1), predicting Chinese logistics scale in 10 years can reflect the development scale of logistics in the future and can offer decision base on planning a national logistics industry and making logistics policy according to the last ten years data of freight transportation quantities.
预测未来10年中国物流规模对制定宏观经济政策和促进经济发展具有重要意义。运用灰色系统模型GM(1,1)对未来10年中国物流规模进行预测,可以反映未来10年物流的发展规模,可以根据近10年货运量数据为国家物流业规划和物流政策制定提供决策依据。
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引用次数: 2
Study on the third-party logistics by symmetric evolutionary game under strong correlation between individual pay-off and evolution stage 个体收益与演化阶段强相关下的第三方物流对称演化博弈研究
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443473
Xiaoyan Pang, Qingmei Tan, Ruan Aiqing, Xie Chunxun
One category chain model of evolutionary game is proposed to study the process of some economic conditions. It could be used to describe some real life conditions that the income of some one is in strong correlation with the stage at that time he makes decision, and also condition that decision maker is with bounded rationality and limited knowledge. This paper discusses its evolutionary stable strategy (ESS), and some important conclusions are found, that in some situation ESS could be gotten directly, but in another condition ESS could not be worked out and it will be sensitive to initial condition. On the basis of these, this model is used to explain an alliance of Third-Party Logistics(TPL, or 3PL), and a valuable conclusion is gotten and in some situation an alliance of Third-Party Logistics could be created by some ways.
提出了一类进化博弈的范畴链模型,用于研究某些经济条件下的博弈过程。它可以用来描述一个人的收入与他所处的决策阶段有很强的相关性的现实生活条件,也可以用来描述决策者是有限理性和有限知识的条件。本文对其进化稳定策略(ESS)进行了讨论,得出了一些重要的结论,即在某些情况下可以直接得到ESS,而在另一种情况下无法计算出ESS,并且对初始条件敏感。在此基础上,运用该模型对第三方物流联盟进行了解释,并得出了有价值的结论,在某些情况下,可以通过某种方式建立第三方物流联盟。
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引用次数: 0
The research of time lag effect of productivity and GDPbased on GM(1,2) model 基于GM(1,2)模型的生产率与gdp的时滞效应研究
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443332
Wu Xin, Fang Zhi-geng, Shi Hong-xing
With the theory of physics and chemistry, the author constructs a calculating model of productivity which takes production factors as system input and GDP as output. The article puts forward the model about the relationship of productivity, input factors and GDP, and productive forces are activators which transmit all the production factors into GDP. With the calculating model, the article calculates the productivities of world main representative countries such as China, America, France, Germany, Japan, Korea and Thailand from 1971 to 2004. And then the author calculates the fluctuating period of productivity ahead of GDP in these countries with a Time-lag-existing GM(1,2) Model. Through the result, we can find that nearly in all countries GDP are lag productive forces for some cycle which indicates the fact that productive forces drive.
本文运用物理和化学理论,构建了以生产要素为系统投入,GDP为产出的生产率计算模型。本文提出了生产率、投入要素与GDP的关系模型,认为生产力是将所有生产要素转化为GDP的活化剂。本文运用该计算模型,对1971 - 2004年中国、美国、法国、德国、日本、韩国和泰国等世界主要代表性国家的生产率进行了计算。然后利用时滞GM(1,2)模型计算了这些国家生产率先于GDP的波动周期。通过结果我们可以发现,几乎所有国家的GDP都滞后于生产力的某个周期,这表明了生产力驱动的事实。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the weight of evaluation index based on the rule of maximum entropy 基于最大熵规则的评价指标权重研究
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443493
Yuannian Li, Sifeng Liu, Zhigeng Fang
Rationality of index weight designing is one of the most important factors which relate to whether the result for one of multi-object evaluation problem is correct or not. However, weights got from the major objective weight methods at present are all excessively highlighted separating capacity of the index, but neglect the importance and contribution for the evaluated object. Because of these above, this paper proposes the concept of "standard object", and constructs a multi- goal program model based on the maximum entropy to design weights for indexes. During the construction process of this model, we put forwards one useful supposition and two definitions, construct an evaluation matrix and carry on "equivalent" processing to the matrix. This model not only concludes the separating capacity of the index, but also includes the importance and the contribution of it. So the evaluation result of this model is much more accurate. Finally, this model is applied to a real case, and the result demonstrates that the model is a good model for solving multi-object evaluation problems.
指标权重设计的合理性是关系到多目标评价问题的结果是否正确的重要因素之一。然而,目前主要的客观权重法所得到的权重都过分强调了指标的分离能力,而忽略了对评价对象的重要性和贡献。基于此,本文提出了“标准对象”的概念,并构建了基于最大熵的多目标规划模型来设计指标的权重。在该模型的构建过程中,我们提出了一个有用的假设和两个定义,构造了一个评价矩阵,并对矩阵进行了“等价”处理。该模型不仅总结了指标的分离能力,而且还包括了指标的重要性和贡献。因此,该模型的评价结果更加准确。最后,将该模型应用于实际案例,结果表明该模型是解决多目标评价问题的良好模型。
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引用次数: 5
Polar grey relational analysis and its application in clinical trial 极坐标灰色关联分析及其在临床试验中的应用
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443242
T. Xue-rui, D. Julong, Liu Sifeng, Pan Hong-xing, C. Xiaojun
Using grey relational analysis (GRA) to analyze the grey relation between the cardiovascular medicine and fatality rate in hospitalized patients with acute coronary heart disease events in Beijing. A few valid data from the published results of the study "the fatality trends of acute coronary heart disease events in Beijing", which was a part of the National Key 75' Project, shared with WHO MONICA Project. GRA with order test of these data was performed. Positive grey relation was found between cardiovascular fatality rate and medicine including non-beta adrenoceptor blocker antiarrhythmics (NBAA), positive inotropic drugs (PID), calcium channel blockers (CCB). Negative grey relation between cardiovascular fatality rate and medicine including nitroglycerin (NG), antiplatelet agents (APT), beta-adrenoceptor blockers (BB) and ACEI was revealed. Grey relation between fatality rate and anticoagulants or thrombolytics was very weak. Cardiovascular fatality rate can be increased by CCB and NBAA, and decreased by NG, APT, BB and ACEI. GRA with order test is a more effective method in trial data.
应用灰色关联分析(GRA)分析北京地区急性冠心病住院患者心血管内科与病死率的灰色关系。国家75重点项目“北京市急性冠心病病死率趋势研究”已发表的部分有效数据,与世卫组织MONICA项目共享。对这些数据进行GRA排序检验。非肾上腺素受体阻滞剂、抗心律失常药物(NBAA)、正性肌力药物(PID)、钙通道阻滞剂(CCB)与心血管病死率呈灰色正相关。心血管病死率与硝酸甘油(NG)、抗血小板药物(APT)、β -肾上腺素受体阻滞剂(BB)和ACEI呈负灰色关系。死亡率与抗凝或溶栓药物之间的灰色关系非常弱。CCB和NBAA可提高心血管病死率,NG、APT、BB和ACEI可降低心血管病死率。在试验数据中,带序检验的GRA是一种更有效的方法。
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引用次数: 7
Study on two-layer knowledge retrieval technology in conceptual design 概念设计中的双层知识检索技术研究
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443527
Kai-Zhou Gao, Z. Bao, Xiangqing Li, Dan Zhang
This paper studies on knowledge retrieval technology in product conceptual design. In this study, a two-layer retrieval technology is proposed. One is to get the similarities of function units through matching function attribute values which is weighted. The concepts of similarity vector are proposed for searching similar function units or module. Another, extended-rule and restriction matrix is proposed to depict the restrictions and constraints of problem-case and historic-cases. The similarity of restrictions between problem-case and historic-case is accounted by restriction matrix. A conceptual design knowledge retrieval framework is constructed to retrieve the design knowledge of the similar historic-case to problem-case. The framework comprises of requirement analysis, function decomposing, retrieving module of relation design knowledge and knowledge support module. Finally, an application instance for mobile telephone is shown to explain the process of knowledge support process based on case and integrated rule.
本文研究了产品概念设计中的知识检索技术。本研究提出了一种双层检索技术。一种是通过对函数属性值进行加权匹配,得到函数单元的相似度。提出了相似向量的概念,用于搜索相似的功能单元或模块。另外,提出了扩展规则和约束矩阵来描述问题案例和历史案例的约束和约束。用约束矩阵来表示问题情形与历史情形之间约束的相似性。构建了概念设计知识检索框架,用于检索与问题案例相似的历史案例的设计知识。该框架由需求分析、功能分解、关系设计知识检索模块和知识支持模块组成。最后,以一个手机应用实例说明了基于案例和集成规则的知识支持过程。
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引用次数: 4
Research on modeling method of water displacing oil physical simulation based on support vector machine 基于支持向量机的水驱油物理模拟建模方法研究
Pub Date : 2007-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443448
Meijuan Gao, Jingwen Tian, Hao Zhou
An actual physical simulation model was constructed to simulate the course of water displacing oil Under certain physical property parameter conditions, we simulated the water injection well and the oil withdrawal well on the physical simulation model, and continuous measured online the oil and water content of different areas of physical simulation model in three-dimensional spaces using the 512 routes resistivity measuring circuit, then we can obtain large numbers of simulation samples. Considering the issues that the relationship between the remaining oil and every parameters of water displacing oil is complicated and nonlinear, the support vector machine (SVM) was used to establish the water displacing remaining oil model, in order to obtain the distributing situation of remaining oil in various complicated conditions. We proposed a self-adaptive parameter adjust iterative algorithm to confirm SVM parameters. The experimental results show that this method is feasible and effective.
在一定物性参数条件下,对物理模拟模型上的注水井和采油井进行了模拟,并利用512路电阻率测量电路在三维空间连续在线测量了物理模拟模型不同区域的含油量和含油量,获得了大量模拟样本。针对剩余油与水驱油各参数之间关系复杂、非线性的问题,利用支持向量机(SVM)建立了水驱剩余油模型,得到了各种复杂条件下剩余油的分布情况。提出了一种自适应参数调整迭代算法来确定支持向量机参数。实验结果表明,该方法是可行和有效的。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2007 IEEE International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services
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