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Climate variability and post-harvest food loss abatement technologies: evidence from rural Tanzania 气候变率和收获后粮食损失减少技术:来自坦桑尼亚农村的证据
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.7896/j.1822
S. Ndiritu, R. Ruhinduka
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引用次数: 8
The relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and Portuguese agricultural productivity 二氧化碳排放量与葡萄牙农业生产力的关系
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-12-20 DOI: 10.7896/J.1812
N. Leitão
This study analyses the relationship among carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption, agricultural labour productivity, agricultural land productivity and agricultural raw material exports using a time series for the period 1960-2015. In this article, some theroretical hypotheses are formulated, aiming to explain the bidirectional causality between agricultural productivity and climate change. These hypotheses are tested by using Vector Autoregression (VAR), Granger causality and Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). Results confirm revelant theoretical hypotheses between agricultural productivity and climate change and show that the variables used are stationary. Agricultural labour and land productivity as well as agricultural raw material exports are positively related to CO2 emissions, meaning that these variables stimulate environmental pollution. Empirical results presented in the paper might be of interest to the academic community and also to policymakers.
本文利用1960-2015年的时间序列分析了二氧化碳排放、能源消耗、农业劳动生产率、农业土地生产率和农业原材料出口之间的关系。本文提出了一些理论假设,旨在解释农业生产力与气候变化之间的双向因果关系。运用向量自回归模型(VAR)、格兰杰因果关系模型和向量误差修正模型(VECM)对这些假设进行了检验。结果证实了农业生产力与气候变化之间的相关理论假设,并表明所使用的变量是平稳的。农业劳动力和土地生产率以及农业原材料出口与二氧化碳排放呈正相关,这意味着这些变量刺激了环境污染。论文中提出的实证结果可能会引起学术界和政策制定者的兴趣。
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引用次数: 13
The impact of traditional and non-traditional agricultural exports on the economic growth of Peru: a short- and long-run analysis 传统和非传统农产品出口对秘鲁经济增长的影响:短期和长期分析
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-12-17 DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.280976
Nadia Nora Urriola Canchari, C. Rodriguez, P. Baral
This study aims to analyze and quantify the short- and long-run impact of agricultural exports–both traditional and nontraditional products–on economic growth of Peru using an annual time series data from 2000 to 2016 obtained from the Central Bank of Peru and the World Bank. Traditional agricultural exports value, non-traditional agricultural exports value, labor force and fixed capital formation value for each year of the stipulated period were used as determinant factors of the economic growth. A Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Johansen Co-integration test and Granger Causality test were employed for data analysis. The findings revealed that in the short run, traditional agricultural exports have had a positive but non-significant effect on economic growth while non-traditional agricultural exports have had a positive and significant effect on Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Meanwhile, both fixed capital formation and the labor force have had a significant effect on the GDP, albeit in different directions. The ADF test showed that, with the exception of traditional agricultural exports and fixed capital formation, all determinants became stationary at a level I (0). Moreover, the Co-integration result showed that there is a long-run relationship between the studied variables and a unidirectional causality in the relation between the determinant variables and economic growth.
本研究旨在利用秘鲁中央银行和世界银行2000年至2016年的年度时间序列数据,分析和量化传统和非传统农产品出口对秘鲁经济增长的短期和长期影响。传统农产品出口价值、非传统农产品输出价值、劳动力和固定资本形成价值被用作规定时期内每年的经济增长的决定因素。采用向量自回归(VAR)模型、增广Dickey-Fuller(ADF)检验、Johansen协整检验和Granger因果关系检验进行数据分析。调查结果显示,从短期来看,传统农产品出口对经济增长产生了积极但不显著的影响,而非传统农产品输出对国内生产总值产生了积极而显著的影响。同时,固定资本形成和劳动力对GDP产生了显著影响,尽管方向不同。ADF测试表明,除传统农产品出口和固定资本形成外,所有决定因素都在I(0)水平上保持不变。协整结果表明,所研究的变量之间存在长期关系,决定变量与经济增长之间存在单向因果关系。
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引用次数: 6
The market size for GI food products – evidence from the empirical economic literature GI食品的市场规模——来自实证经济文献的证据
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-12-17 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.280975
Á. Török, H. Moir
In order to understand the global importance of foods with Geographical Indications (GIs), it is essential to get an overview of the market size for such products. In spite of the relative importance of GI policy in EU trade agreements, there are only very limited data available on the actual market size for GI labelled products. Against this background this paper collects all the available data that provides estimates of the market size for GI foods, analysing the available datasets and reports of the European Commission and conducting a systematic literature review on the academic papers related to this topic. Based on the results we can underline the high level of concentration of GI products in terms of origin and product category. The most important GI market is the domestic market of the European Union even though the share of GI production is only a minor part of total agri-food output. On the other hand, GI products with both significant market size (domestic and export) and remarkable market share also exist, but these are a small set of all registered GI products and are concentrated in only a few countries.
为了了解带有地理标志的食品在全球的重要性,有必要了解这些产品的市场规模。尽管GI政策在欧盟贸易协议中相对重要,但关于GI标签产品的实际市场规模,现有数据非常有限。在此背景下,本文收集了所有可用的数据,这些数据提供了胃肠道食品市场规模的估计,分析了欧盟委员会的可用数据集和报告,并对与该主题相关的学术论文进行了系统的文献综述。根据这些结果,我们可以强调GI产品在原产地和产品类别方面的高浓度。最重要的GI市场是欧盟的国内市场,尽管GI生产份额仅占农业食品总产量的一小部分。另一方面,也存在具有显著市场规模(国内和出口)和显著市场份额的GI产品,但这些产品只是所有注册GI产品中的一小部分,仅集中在少数国家。
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引用次数: 12
The impact of crop rotation and land fragmentation on farm productivity in Albania 轮作和土地破碎化对阿尔巴尼亚农业生产力的影响
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-11-19 DOI: 10.7896/J.1815
M. Rajcaniova, P. Ciaian, F. Guri, E. Zhllima, E. Shahu
We estimate the impact of land fragmentation and crop rotation on farm productivity in rural Albania. We employ stochastic production frontier estimation approach and Tobit regression on survey data collected among farm households in Albania in 2013. Our estimates suggest that land fragmentation improves farm efficiency likely because it allows a better use of household labour during the production seasons. Our estimates also suggest that crop rotation increases farm efficiency. However, the land fragmentation dominates the crop rotation in impacting farm efficiency.
我们估计了土地破碎化和作物轮作对阿尔巴尼亚农村农业生产力的影响。本文采用随机生产前沿估计方法和Tobit回归对2013年阿尔巴尼亚农户调查数据进行分析。我们的估计表明,土地碎片化提高了农业效率,可能是因为它允许在生产季节更好地利用家庭劳动力。我们的估计还表明,作物轮作提高了农业效率。然而,土地破碎化在轮作中对农业效率的影响占主导地位。
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引用次数: 8
Productivity of organic and conventional agriculture – a common technology analysis 有机农业和传统农业的生产力——常见技术分析
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-11-19 DOI: 10.7896/j.1808
J. Djokoto, Paragon Pomeyie
The raging debate on organic versus conventional agriculture, and with regard to the aspect of productivity in particular, is far from conclusive. In this analysis, we explore the productivity comparison further through the evaluation of a common production technology used in 74 countries around the world, over the period 2005 to 2014. We found conventional agriculture to be more productive than organic agriculture. Whilst productivity of conventional agriculture is exponentially rising, that of organic is declining, although it has a quadratic growth path. For every hectare of conventional agricultural land given up, only 0.54 hectares of organic land area is substituted. Based on an elasticity of substitution of 0.36, the isoquant is relatively vertical; therefore, much more conventional lands need to be substituted with an organic land area. Research into new and improved fertilising and pest control methods is essential as positive developments there would have a significant impact on organic land productivity.
关于有机农业与传统农业,特别是生产力方面的激烈辩论远未得出结论。在本分析中,我们通过对2005年至2014年期间全球74个国家使用的一种通用生产技术的评估,进一步探讨了生产力比较。我们发现传统农业比有机农业更有生产力。虽然传统农业的生产力呈指数级增长,但有机农业的生产力却在下降,尽管它有一条二次增长路径。每放弃一公顷传统农业用地,就只有0.54公顷有机土地被取代。基于0.36的替代弹性,等量子是相对垂直的;因此,更传统的土地需要用有机土地面积来取代。研究新的和改进的施肥和害虫控制方法至关重要,因为那里的积极发展将对有机土地生产力产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 3
Implicit Cost of the 2010 Foot-and-Mouth Disease in Korea 2010年韩国口蹄疫隐性成本
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-11-16 DOI: 10.7896/J.1804
Man-Keun Kim, Hernan A. Tejeda
The most destructive foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in Korea occurred in November 2010. Various studies have quantified the economic impact of culling affected animals, mostly swine, from the event by applying different assumptions to the Input-Output (IO) model. The present study takes into account a type of implicit cost, considering the types of effects in the previous literature, as well as costs that have been unaccounted for in prior studies. A seasonal autoregressive model (SARIMA) is estimated employing the number of swine slaughtered leading up to the 2010 FMD outbreak, and forecasts from the model are compared to the actual drop and rebound. The unaccounted implicit cost is estimated to be more than 2 trillion Korean Won (≈ 1.8 billion US dollars), which is a cost Korea must give up or cannot recover. This study serves to strengthen the justification of applying preventive efforts to reduce the likelihood and economic impact of an animal disease outbreak and may be applied in other countries.
韩国最具破坏性的口蹄疫疫情发生在2010年11月。各种研究通过对投入产出(IO)模型应用不同的假设,量化了扑杀受影响动物(主要是猪)的经济影响。本研究考虑到一种隐性成本,考虑到以前文献中的影响类型,以及在以前的研究中未考虑到的成本。采用季节性自回归模型(SARIMA)对2010年口蹄疫爆发前的生猪屠宰数量进行了估计,并将该模型的预测与实际下降和反弹进行了比较。据估计,未计入的隐性费用超过2万亿韩元,是韩国必须放弃或无法收回的费用。这项研究有助于加强采取预防措施以减少动物疾病爆发的可能性和经济影响的理由,并可在其他国家应用。
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引用次数: 1
Attitudes and preferences of Kosovar consumers towards quality and origin of meat 科索沃消费者对肉类质量和原产地的态度和偏好
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-11-16 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.280977
Rungsaran Wongprawmas, Maurizio Canavari, D. Imami, M. Gjonbalaj, E. Gjokaj
Quality and safety are important attributes for consumers in developed and transitional countries such as Kosovo. This study aims to examine Kosovar consumers’ characteristics, attitude and preferences towards meat as well as to provide meat consumer profiling using a descriptive analysis together with the Food-Related Lifestyle approach. We drew a sample of 300 Kosovar consumers by means of intercept sampling in Prishtina, Prizren and Gjilan. Results suggest that Kosovar consumers perceive country of origin (COO), especially domestic origin, as an indicator of quality and safety for meat. Two consumer profiles were identified through segmentation analysis: conservative and innovative food consumers. The innovative food consumer is the most interesting target segment for Kosovar meat. There is potentially a market for meat products bearing food safety and origin labels. Therefore, private operators could consider the use of safety certification labels to signal to consumers that their products are safer than common products. The paper concludes by discussing the implications of our findings for businesses and policy makers regarding domestic meat promotion strategies.
质量和安全是科索沃等发达国家和转型国家消费者的重要特征。本研究旨在检验科索沃消费者对肉类的特征、态度和偏好,并通过描述性分析和食品相关生活方式方法提供肉类消费者概况。我们在普里什蒂纳、普里兹伦和吉兰采用截距抽样的方式抽取了300名科索沃消费者的样本。结果表明,科索沃消费者将原产国,尤其是国内原产国视为肉类质量和安全的指标。通过细分分析确定了两种消费者特征:保守型和创新型食品消费者。创新食品消费者是科索沃肉类最有趣的目标群体。带有食品安全和原产地标签的肉类产品有潜在的市场。因此,私营经营者可以考虑使用安全认证标签,向消费者表明他们的产品比普通产品更安全。论文最后讨论了我们的研究结果对企业和政策制定者在国内肉类推广战略方面的影响。
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引用次数: 10
Tariffs, trade, and incomplete CAP reform 关税、贸易和不完全的CAP改革
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-08-22 DOI: 10.7896/j.1809
Alan Swinbank
The original CAP’s high levels of border protection on many products involved a variable import levy bridging the gap between world prices and the EU’s much higher minimum import price. The Uruguay Round ended this, but tariffication also meant that subsequent CAP reforms reducing EU levels of domestic market price support would no longer trigger lower tariffs. Moreover the Doha Round’s plans for tariff cuts are in abeyance. The consequences are: i) for these products, only preferential sup¬pliers penetrate the EU’s protected market; ii) negotiation of Free Trade Areas is made more complicated; and iii) “Brexit” is problematic.
最初的CAP对许多产品的高水平边境保护涉及可变进口税,以弥补世界价格与欧盟高得多的最低进口价格之间的差距。乌拉圭回合结束了这一局面,但关税化也意味着随后的CAP改革——降低欧盟国内市场价格支持水平——将不再引发更低的关税。此外,多哈回合削减关税的计划也被搁置。其后果是:i)对于这些产品,只有优惠供应商才能进入欧盟受保护的市场;ii)自由贸易区谈判变得更加复杂;以及iii)“英国脱欧”是有问题的。
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引用次数: 0
Effectiveness of Greening in Poland 波兰绿化的有效性
IF 1.2 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2018-08-22 DOI: 10.7896/J.1810
W. Wrzaszcz
Under the latest reform of the Common Agricultural Policy, 2015 was the first year when greening requirements were imple¬mented. Legal rules obliged farmers to move towards more environmentally-friendly land use practices. The aim of this paper is to present the first effects of the implementation of greening in Poland. The paper is based on an FADN panel of 7.4 thou¬sand private farms participated in the Single Area Payment Scheme in Poland. The sample also enabled to identify organi¬sational changes in agricultural production after greening. Results suggest that Polish farms have adapted well to greening requirements and the new system has not caused productivity and profitability of Polish farms to decrease in 2015.
根据最新的共同农业政策改革,2015年是实施绿化要求的第一年。法律规定迫使农民采取更环保的土地使用方式。本文的目的是提出在波兰实施绿化的第一个效果。这篇论文是基于FADN小组的7.4万家私营农场参加了波兰的单一地区支付计划。该样本还能够识别绿化后农业生产的组织变化。结果表明,波兰农场已经很好地适应了绿化要求,新系统在2015年没有导致波兰农场的生产力和盈利能力下降。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Studies in Agricultural Economics
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