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Evolving Social Movement Strategies Against Green Grabbing: The Rempang Eco-City Case in Indonesia 反对绿色掠夺的社会运动策略演变:印尼伦邦生态城市案例
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70033
Badrudin Kurniawan

Green grabbing has detrimental impacts on local communities. These impacts are potentially exacerbated when they resist the appropriation of resources. Thus, this study delves into the transformation of resistance strategies in the case of the Rempang Eco-City project in Indonesia to defend their land and reduce the risks they may face. Specifically, it explores the shift from violent to nonviolent strategies among local protesters, highlighting the roles of women's participation, NGO support, and the negative consequences of physical confrontation. Despite this shift, state coercion persists, posing a serious threat to the sustainability of nonviolent resistance.

侵占绿地对当地社区有不利影响。当他们抵制资源的挪用时,这些影响可能会加剧。因此,本研究以印尼伦邦生态城项目为例,探讨抵抗策略的转变,以保护他们的土地,减少他们可能面临的风险。具体来说,它探讨了当地抗议者从暴力到非暴力策略的转变,强调了妇女参与、非政府组织支持的作用,以及身体对抗的负面后果。尽管发生了这种转变,但国家的强制仍然存在,对非暴力抵抗的可持续性构成了严重威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: An Offensive Realist Reconsideration of Philippine Grand Strategy 卧虎藏龙:菲律宾大战略的进攻性现实主义反思
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70028
Jomari Jesus G. Tan

In regions riddled with heightened security tensions from great power competition like Southeast Asia, why do states like the Philippines defy conventional rationality and hedge against their treaty ally? This paper seeks to answer this gap in the literature by arguing for a new definition of hedging that covers contemporary cases. Moreover, this paper proposes the theory of Offensive Hedging, a legitimate form of middle power grand strategy that weaponizes limited alignment to accrue relative gains from great power competition. These arguments shall be supported analyzing Sino–Philippine partnerships through quarterly reports, declassified documents, and official diplomatic rhetoric and compare this alongside Sino-Philippine tensions in the South China Sea (2016–2024). Finally, this paper shall briefly argue for the generalizability of Offensive Hedging by analyzing Vietnam's grand strategy, setting the foundation for future research using this lens.

在东南亚等因大国竞争而安全紧张局势加剧的地区,为什么像菲律宾这样的国家要无视传统理性,与他们的条约盟友进行对冲?本文试图通过讨论涵盖当代案例的对冲的新定义来回答文献中的这一空白。此外,本文提出了进攻性对冲理论,这是一种合理的中等大国大战略形式,它将有限的联盟武器化,以从大国竞争中获得相对收益。通过季度报告、解密文件和官方外交言论来分析中菲伙伴关系,并将其与中菲在南海的紧张局势(2016-2024)进行比较,以支持这些论点。最后,本文将通过分析越南的大战略,简要地论证进攻性对冲的普遍性,为未来使用这一视角的研究奠定基础。
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引用次数: 0
Toward an ASEAN Strategic Narrative: Community, Agency, Inclusivity 迈向东盟战略叙事:共同体、代理、包容
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70029
Anthony Milner

At the present time there is a growing interest in strategic narratives. The United States and China, not surprisingly, receive most attention. In an increasingly multi-polar world, however, it is critical to consider the strategic narratives of India, Japan, and Southeast Asia. Significant work has already been focused on individual Southeast Asian states—and some also on ASEAN as a grouping. The present essay seeks to tell the ASEAN story in a manner that helps to formulate a succinct strategic narrative. It presents ASEAN historically in the framework of “Asia” regionalism—stressing the competition with “Pacific” regionalism. It then highlights ASEAN's ambitious region building—first in the “Southeast Asia” sphere and then in the wider “East Asia.” At a third, even broader level ASEAN seeks to contribute to an “Indo-Pacific” order—giving prominence to certain longstanding principles, such as inclusivity, non-intervention and the search for consensus.

目前,人们对战略叙事的兴趣日益浓厚。不出所料,美国和中国受到的关注最多。然而,在一个日益多极化的世界中,考虑印度、日本和东南亚的战略叙事是至关重要的。重要的工作已经集中在个别东南亚国家上,有些还集中在东盟这个集团上。本文试图以一种有助于形成简洁战略叙事的方式讲述东盟的故事。它将东盟历史地置于“亚洲”区域主义的框架中——强调与“太平洋”区域主义的竞争。然后,它强调了东盟雄心勃勃的区域建设——首先是在“东南亚”领域,然后是更广泛的“东亚”。第三,在更广泛的层面上,东盟寻求为“印度-太平洋”秩序做出贡献——突出某些长期存在的原则,如包容性、不干涉和寻求共识。
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引用次数: 0
It's Way Too Complicated! Trump 2.0 and Southeast Asia 这太复杂了!特朗普2.0和东南亚
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70020
Aries A. Arugay

The return of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States in 2025 has heightened strategic calculations across Southeast Asia. His approach to international relations—marked by a transactional logic, personalistic leadership style, and a general disdain for the rules-based international order (RBIO)—presents both immediate and long-term challenges to the region's security architecture, economic dynamism and diplomatic engagements. Unlike his predecessors that sought to embed Southeast Asia within a broader Indo-Pacific strategy premised on “ironclad commitment” or deeper engagement based on mutual interests, the Trump administration has prioritized short-term reciprocity over enduring relationships. This shift underscores the region's growing imperative to pursue strategic autonomy, recalibrate traditional alignments, and invest in regional mechanisms as buffers against the turbulence that Trump 2. has unleashed to the world.

Trump's foreign policy orientation represents a break from upholding the RBIO that underpinned American strategic engagement since the Cold War. His preference for bilateralism over multilateralism, and for economic coercion over diplomacy mostly based on normative values, reflects an overarching commitment to reasserting US primacy through transactional bargaining. In the context of Southeast Asia, this mode of diplomacy significantly alters the strategic calculus of regional states, many of whom have long relied on the consistency and predictability of US commitments to deter aggression and preserve a rules-based regional order (Tan 2024).

One of the most salient implications of Trump's foreign policy is observed in US–Philippines relations. Despite the long history of the alliance, the Trump administration's prior term revealed an inclination to instrumentalize security partnerships. Episodes such as the temporary suspension of the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) in 2020 highlighted the fragility of bilateral commitments when subordinated to perceived asymmetries in cost–benefit terms. For Manila, the return of Trump renews concerns regarding the reliability of security assurances, particularly in scenarios where Philippine interests may not align with immediate American strategic calculations. Initial indications seem to assuage any worst case conditions. But in such a context, excessive dependence on the alliance could generate strategic liabilities, especially given the administration's erratic signaling and prioritization of short-term leverage over institutional continuity (Misalucha and Amador 2016).

The South China Sea disputes further underscores the limitations of a transactional US policy in Southeast Asia. While Trump's first administration pursued a confrontational posture toward Beijing, including increased freedom of navigation operations and rhetorical support for Southeast Asian maritime claimants, these actions often lacked the institutional follow-th

2025年唐纳德·特朗普重新当选美国总统,加剧了整个东南亚的战略考量。他处理国际关系的方法——以交易逻辑、个人主义领导风格和对基于规则的国际秩序(RBIO)的普遍蔑视为特征——对该地区的安全架构、经济活力和外交接触构成了眼前和长期的挑战。他的前任们试图将东南亚纳入以“牢靠的承诺”或基于共同利益的更深层次接触为前提的更广泛的印太战略,而特朗普政府则将短期互惠置于持久关系之上。这一转变凸显了该地区越来越迫切地需要追求战略自主,重新调整传统联盟,并投资于地区机制,以缓冲特朗普所引发的动荡。向世界释放了能量。特朗普的外交政策取向代表着他与冷战以来支撑美国战略接触的RBIO的决裂。他更喜欢双边主义而不是多边主义,更喜欢经济胁迫而不是主要基于规范价值观的外交,这反映出他对通过交易性谈判重申美国主导地位的总体承诺。在东南亚的背景下,这种外交模式显著改变了该地区国家的战略计算,其中许多国家长期依赖美国承诺的一致性和可预测性来阻止侵略并维护基于规则的地区秩序(Tan 2024)。特朗普外交政策最显著的影响之一是美菲关系。尽管美韩同盟有着悠久的历史,但特朗普政府的前一届任期显示出将安全伙伴关系工具化的倾向。《访问部队协定》(VFA)在2020年被暂时中止等事件突显了双边承诺在受制于成本效益方面的不对称时的脆弱性。对马尼拉来说,特朗普的回归重新引发了对安全保证可靠性的担忧,尤其是在菲律宾的利益可能与美国的直接战略考虑不一致的情况下。最初的迹象似乎缓解了任何最坏的情况。但在这种背景下,过度依赖联盟可能会产生战略负债,特别是考虑到政府不稳定的信号和短期杠杆优先于制度连续性(Misalucha和Amador 2016)。南中国海争端进一步凸显了美国在东南亚的交易性政策的局限性。虽然特朗普的第一届政府对北京采取了对抗姿态,包括增加航行自由行动和对东南亚海洋主权声索国的口头支持,但这些行动往往缺乏制度性的后续行动,无法让地区国家放心。奥巴马政府退出《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(TPP)等多边经济倡议,以及不定期参与东盟主导的论坛,加剧了人们对战略不连贯的看法。因此,虽然一些地区参与者——尤其是越南和菲律宾——欢迎美国对中国扩张主义采取更强硬的立场,但他们同时质疑华盛顿在面对成本上升或国内政治变化时是否愿意维持长期承诺(Ibarra 2024)。加剧这些担忧的是特朗普政府对多边主义的普遍蔑视,这对东盟的中心地位构成了直接挑战。几十年来,东盟一直是东南亚地区合作和冲突管控的机制支柱。它的包容性和基于共识的安全方针为小国提供了一个与大国集体接触的平台。特朗普对这些机构的公开怀疑,加上东盟不一贯参与东盟峰会和相关论坛,有可能使该组织在塑造地区安全动态方面的作用边缘化。美国参与的“双边化”对已经磨损的东盟中心地位构成了进一步的风险,削弱了其规范影响力,并加强了权力不对称,有利于具有更强强制能力的区域外行为体(Kraft 2017)。为了应对这种战略不确定性的环境,东南亚国家越来越多地转向对冲和多元化战略。地区行动者不再完全依赖美国,而是寻求扩大其外交和安全伙伴关系。印度尼西亚和越南等国已经扩大了与日本、印度、澳大利亚和欧盟的防务关系,这表明他们更倾向于多极秩序,这种秩序允许灵活性和弹性。 这些发展表明,战略自治不再是一种规范的愿望,而是一种务实的需要。通过培养更广泛的伙伴关系,东南亚国家旨在减轻大国波动的风险,同时保留政策空间,以应对海上安全、经济胁迫和技术依赖等有争议的问题。这种不断演变的地区态势还需要重新构想东南亚的战略环境。特朗普的外交政策表明,将地区安全固定在一个大国的承诺上越来越困难,尤其是一个国内政治和领导风格造成明显外部不确定性的大国。人们对美国将始终如一地提供地区公共产品——无论是安全保障、经济准入还是外交斡旋——的期望已经大大减弱。因此,地区国家被迫深化东盟内部合作,加强建立信任措施,并促进使东南亚免受大国竞争离心力影响的地区规范。在本期《应用》中,我们很高兴主办一个专题,讨论亚洲在一系列环境问题上的公共政策与实际做法之间的差异。这篇文章由亚洲著名的公共政策和环境治理学者娜塔莉·黄(Natalie Wong)精心构思和编辑。这些着眼于中国、印度、印度尼西亚和台湾具体案例研究的原创文章也受益于国立政治大学公共行政学系组织的一个研究研讨会。APP感谢他们的支持,也感谢匿名审稿人熟练地保证了论文的质量和完整性。除了这些原创文章外,APP亦有另外三篇研究文章,内容涉及马来西亚政党政治、韩国对外援助政策,以及泰国立法委员的政治行为。我们希望我们的读者能够欣赏这些文章背后研究的深度和广度。
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引用次数: 0
Participatory Climate Governance in China and India 中国和印度的参与式气候治理
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70019
Robert Mizo

China and India have emerged as key actors in international climate politics. Much of the success of the aspirations of the Paris Agreement 2015 will depend on the extent to which China and India can achieve them domestically. While the state remains the key actor in climate policymaking in China and India, the role of civil society in matters related to climate change cannot be underestimated. The paper attempts a comparative analysis of the nature of civil society participation in climate governance in China and India. It probes how much participatory and deliberative space civil society organizations enjoy through the analysis of their role in climate change governance. The paper thus studies the power relationship between the State and civil society in climate governance. The goal of the paper is to uncover the enabling factors as well as obstacles toward participatory climate governance in China and India.

中国和印度已成为国际气候政治的重要参与者。2015 年巴黎协定》的愿望能否成功实现,在很大程度上取决于中国和印度在国内实现这些愿望的程度。在中国和印度,国家仍然是气候政策制定的主要参与者,但民间社会在气候变化相关事务中的作用也不容低估。本文试图对中国和印度民间社会参与气候治理的性质进行比较分析。通过分析民间组织在气候变化治理中的作用,探讨民间组织享有多大的参与和审议空间。因此,本文研究了国家与民间社会在气候治理中的权力关系。本文的目标是揭示中国和印度实现参与式气候治理的有利因素和障碍。
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引用次数: 0
(En)Gendering Democracy in an Emerging Donor? Gender Equality and Civil Society Participation in Korea's International Development Cooperation Policies 新兴捐助国的性别民主?韩国国际发展合作政策中的性别平等和公民社会参与
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70016
Jeongseong Lee, Jamie Doucette

This article examines the politics of change and transition within South Korea's identity as an iconic emerging donor in the field of international development cooperation. From 2017, Korea's assistance policies witnessed a significant transformation under the liberal administration of Moon Jae-in, whose normative emphasis on democratic values contrasted deeply with the strategic approach taken by previous conservative administrations' assistance policies. We examine the sources of this transformation and its influence on Korea's development cooperation policies with a focus on the promotion of gender equality by its flagship international cooperation agency and the development of an official framework for civil partnership in international development cooperation. We argue that the influence of domestic drivers such as norm-oriented, “facilitator” institutions, “regime reformers,” and civil society organizations is key to understanding these changes and the limits they face: an analytic focus that can be useful for understanding dynamics of change in other emerging donors.

本文考察了韩国作为国际发展合作领域一个标志性的新兴捐助国身份下的变革和过渡政治。从2017年开始,文在寅政府执政以来,韩国的援助政策发生了重大转变。文在寅政府规范性地强调民主价值,与历届保守政府的援助政策采取的战略方针形成鲜明对比。我们研究了这一转变的来源及其对韩国发展合作政策的影响,重点是通过其旗舰国际合作机构促进性别平等,并制定了国际发展合作中的民间伙伴关系的官方框架。我们认为,国内驱动因素的影响,如以规范为导向的“促进者”机构、“制度改革者”和民间社会组织,是理解这些变化及其面临的限制的关键:这一分析重点可能有助于理解其他新兴捐助国的变化动态。
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引用次数: 0
Government-Opposition Voting and the Truth Behind It: An Empirical Analysis of Thai Legislators' Voting (1997–2013) 政敌投票及其背后的真相:泰国立法委员投票的实证分析(1997-2013)
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70017
Attasit Pankaew

What accounts for the inconsistency of Thai legislative behavior according to the traditional theories of legislative behavior? Previous studies have determined that partisanship and coalition membership and the electoral connection between voters and MPs in their legislative behaviors are the most significant predictors of legislative behavior, aligning with institutional theories regarding Members of Parliament voting behavior within parliamentary systems. In clientelistic and/or semi-democracies, such as Thailand, these predictors are less likely to hold. This article examines the 20th–24th Houses (1997–2013) by analyzing government-opposition dynamics based on substantive and procedural classifications of bills. The alternative theory of “tactical intra-parliamentary maneuvers” is proposed to provide a better explanation for the inconsistency of Thai legislative behavior according to the traditional theories of legislative behavior found in this Thai data and suggest a modification of traditional theories on legislative voting behavior.

传统的立法行为理论解释泰国立法行为不一致的原因是什么?先前的研究已经确定,党派和联盟成员以及选民和议员在立法行为中的选举联系是立法行为最重要的预测因素,这与议会制度下议员投票行为的制度理论相一致。在庇护主义和/或半民主国家,如泰国,这些预测不太可能成立。本文以法案的实质和程序分类为基础,分析了政府与反对派的动态关系,考察了第20 - 24议院(1997-2013)。为了更好地解释泰国数据中发现的传统立法行为理论所导致的立法行为的不一致性,并对传统立法投票行为理论进行修正,本文提出了“战术议会内部机动”的替代理论。
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引用次数: 0
The Blueway and the Red Line Spiderweb: Assessing the Impact of Repressive and Ideological State Apparatuses on Environmental Protests in China 蓝路和红线蜘蛛网:评估高压和意识形态国家机器对中国环境抗议活动的影响
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70018
KuoRay Mao, Zhong Zhao, Yue Xu

This study examines China's environmental governance through the framework of Althusser's Repressive and Ideological State Apparatuses, using the 2021 Shenzhen Blueway Ecological Belt Project as a case study. Despite the formalization of public participation, the authoritarian state employs legal, bureaucratic, and ideological mechanisms to suppress dissent while preserving legitimacy. The findings reveal how control over information flows and media narratives, coupled with legal and bureaucratic constraints on NGOs, systematically undermines public engagement and reinforces top-down governance. The Shenzhen case demonstrates the state's dual strategy of repression and ideological control, wherein environmental governance operates both as a political instrument and a means of consolidating state authority. By co-opting NGOs, restricting transparency, and framing environmental contention as a national security threat, the state effectively neutralizes opposition and fortifies its state-capitalist accumulation model. This study contributes to the discourse on authoritarian environmentalism, underscoring its long-term implications for sustainability, public participation, and state-society relations.

本研究通过阿尔都塞的压制性和意识形态国家机器的框架来考察中国的环境治理,并以2021年深圳蓝路生态带项目为例进行研究。尽管公众参与已形式化,专制国家仍利用法律、官僚和意识形态机制压制异议,同时保持合法性。研究结果揭示了对信息流和媒体叙述的控制,加上对非政府组织的法律和官僚限制,如何系统性地破坏了公众参与,并加强了自上而下的治理。深圳的案例展示了国家压制和意识形态控制的双重策略,其中环境治理既是一种政治工具,也是巩固国家权威的手段。通过拉拢非政府组织,限制透明度,并将环境争议视为国家安全威胁,国家有效地中和了反对意见,巩固了其国家资本主义积累模式。本研究有助于权威环境主义的论述,强调其对可持续性、公众参与和国家-社会关系的长期影响。
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引用次数: 0
Down but not Out (Yet): Evaluating the Transition of UMNO's Political Dominance in Malaysia 沉沦但未沉沦(尚未):评估巫统在马来西亚政治主导地位的转变
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70008
Aaron Denison Deivasagayam

This article explores United Malays National Organization's (UMNO) status as a dominant party in Malaysia after its setback in the 2018 and 2022 general elections. In the author's evaluation of the dominant party theory, assertions of UMNO's demise may be a little premature. The fact that UMNO returned as an influential member of the government coalition within 20 months after the 2018 general elections and remains part of the unity government after the 2022 general elections very much demonstrates the party's influence for the time being. While UMNO's electoral dominance might have ended, the party retains influence through its doctrines and symbolic allegiance and remains in the government coalition by having a strong bargaining position. UMNO's influence in the current unity government's public policy initiatives has also remained. It would take a few more election cycles to have a conclusive view of UMNO's dominant position, but for now, the party remains a significant actor.

本文探讨马来民族统一组织(巫统)在2018年和2022年大选受挫后,作为马来西亚的主导政党的地位。在作者对执政党理论的评价中,断言巫统灭亡可能有些为时过早。巫统在2018年大选后的20个月内重新成为有影响力的联合政府成员,并在2022年大选后仍然是团结政府的一部分,这一事实充分说明了该党目前的影响力。虽然巫统在选举中的主导地位可能已经结束,但该党通过其教义和象征性的忠诚保留了影响力,并通过拥有强大的谈判地位而留在联合政府中。巫统在当前团结政府的公共政策倡议中的影响力也依然存在。要想确定巫统的主导地位,还需要几个选举周期,但就目前而言,巫统仍然是一个重要的角色。
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引用次数: 0
Traditional Water Bodies and the Policy-Practice Interface of Water Conservation 传统水体与节水政策-实践界面
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.70011
Radhika Kumar, Pankaj Kumar Jha

India continues to face a clear and escalating “water crises” marked by scarcity of water. There is now an emphasis on revitalizing historical water catchments and rainwater harvesting structures, which would leverage low-cost, decentralized and community centered interventions drawing on traditional knowledge and technology. However, there exists a policy vacuum with respect to revival of the smaller water bodies such as ponds. Through a comparative study of traditional ponds in two districts of two different states, the paper argues that firstly, the state's attempts to revive water bodies has been inadequate and its response has largely been shaped by citizen led litigation. Secondly, third party interventions such as that of corporates under the rubric of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) have shown initial success but are not sustainable. Thirdly, instances of successful rejuvenation of water bodies have been those led by enterprising individuals who have done so by mobilizing the local community.

印度继续面临着以缺水为标志的明显且不断升级的“水危机”。现在的重点是振兴历史上的集水区和雨水收集结构,这将利用利用传统知识和技术的低成本、分散和以社区为中心的干预措施。但是,在恢复池塘等较小水体方面存在政策真空。通过对两个不同州的两个地区的传统池塘的比较研究,本文认为,首先,国家试图恢复水体的努力是不够的,其反应在很大程度上是由公民主导的诉讼形成的。其次,第三方干预,如企业在企业社会责任(CSR)的名义下的干预,已经显示出初步的成功,但不可持续。第三,成功恢复水体的实例是由有进取心的个人领导的,他们通过动员当地社区这样做。
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引用次数: 0
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Asian Politics & Policy
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