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Same goal, different measures: Obscure transformation in Japan's food security policy (1970–2020) 同样的目标,不同的措施:日本粮食安全政策的模糊转变(1970-2020 年)
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-27 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12761
Hironori Sasada, Takayuki Ito

For decades, the Japanese Ministry of Agriculture has implemented various measures to ensure a stable food supply, considering food security a top priority due to the increasing uncertainty of the global economy. However, the ministry's food security policy has evolved substantially with a disproportionate focus on the domestic production of specific food products. This policy change occurred without being widely recognized by the public, media, or intellectuals. Why has the Agricultural Ministry's policy changed even though its goal has remained the same? By applying both qualitative and quantitative research methods, we investigated the context behind this obscure policy transition. Our findings reveal that, contrary to conventional understanding, this policy shift occurred not so much due to political pressure from the agricultural sector, but mainly because of a change in the definition of a key policy concept (i.e., the food self-sufficiency rate) in the late 1980s.

几十年来,由于全球经济的不确定性不断增加,日本农业部一直在实施各种措施,以确保稳定的粮食供应,并将粮食安全视为重中之重。然而,农业省的粮食安全政策发生了重大变化,过度关注特定食品的国内生产。这一政策变化并未得到公众、媒体或知识分子的广泛认可。为什么农业部的政策在目标不变的情况下发生了变化?通过运用定性和定量研究方法,我们调查了这一不明显的政策转变背后的背景。我们的研究结果表明,与传统的理解不同,这一政策转变的发生与其说是由于来自农业部门的政治压力,不如说主要是由于 20 世纪 80 年代末一个关键政策概念(即粮食自给率)的定义发生了变化。
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引用次数: 0
The year of democracy's consequential elections 民主选举年
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12768
Aries A. Arugay
<p>2024 will be remembered as the year where a considerable number of democratically-governed countries undertook elections.</p><p>The simultaneous occurrence of these elections could be coincidental, but they are a referendum on political leaders and parties seeking re-election and a fresh electoral mandate. These elections could also be seen as a global referendum on democracy as a system of government itself. Many of the governments that are either seeking reelection or to get to power for the first time find themselves at opposite ends of the democratic spectrum: either they are the eroding agents of democracy or mavericks seeking to depose leaders who have damaged the democratic fabric of their societies. Thus far, critical elections were already held in South Africa, Mexico, Venezuela, and the United Kingdom. In Asia, new governments have been formed in India, Indonesia, and Taiwan. Japan and the United States (US) will hold their elections.</p><p>The recently concluded elections in India and Indonesia have massive repercussions in the fates of two of the world's biggest democracies. In India, Narendra Modi's party still secured a majority mandate but it fell short of its expected dominance of the parliamentary elections. This means that Modi's popular mandate shrank and could indicate an opening for the political opposition in the years to come. In a previous issue, the article of Sharma and Dubey (<span>2021</span>) studied Modi's populist rhetoric and how his monthly radio addresses used specific language that resulted in an effective communication strategy that emphasized direction giving, empathetic, and meaning-making language. It is expected that Modi will continue to utilize this strategy as he continues to lead India dynamic growth and expansion in the years to come.</p><p>In Indonesia, the 2024 presidential elections were seen as a significant turnover of power from the decade-long leadership of outgoing president Joko “Jokowi” Widodo. Under this leadership, Indonesia grew in global prominence with its aggressive economic growth and improvement in reputation as it became a member of the highly exclusive G20. But instead of staying in power like the other members of his populist cohort, Jokowi allowed political succession through democratic means with former general Prabowo Subianto winning the presidential election in an overwhelming fashion. However, Jokowi allowed his son, Gibran Rakabuming, to be Prabowo's running mate. He will be sworn in as the youngest vice-president in the country's history. Vermonte (<span>2015</span>) published an analysis of the 2014 Indonesian presidential elections that secured Jokowi's first term against his opponent Prabowo. He was optimistic that the 2014 elections would usher a new era of economic prosperity but also democratic deepening. It seems like Jokowi was able to deliver more of the former than the letter as he steps down this month.</p><p>Another big democracy is having perhaps its most co
这些选举的同时举行可能是巧合,但它们是对寻求连任和新的选举授权的政治领导人和政党的全民公决。这些选举也可被视为对民主作为一种政府制度本身的全球公投。许多寻求连任或首次掌权的政府都处于民主光谱的两端:要么是民主的侵蚀者,要么是寻求罢黜破坏其社会民主结构的领导人的特立独行者。迄今为止,南非、墨西哥、委内瑞拉和英国已经举行了重要选举。在亚洲,印度、印度尼西亚和台湾已组建了新政府。最近结束的印度和印度尼西亚选举对世界上最大的两个民主国家的命运产生了巨大影响。在印度,纳伦德拉-莫迪(Narendra Modi)领导的政党仍然获得了多数授权,但没有达到预期的议会选举主导地位。这意味着莫迪的民意授权缩水,可能预示着政治反对派将在未来几年打开局面。在上一期中,夏尔马和杜比(2021 年)的文章研究了莫迪的民粹主义言论,以及他的每月广播讲话如何使用特定语言,从而形成一种有效的传播策略,即强调方向性、移情性和意义性的语言。在印度尼西亚,2024 年的总统选举被视为即将卸任的总统佐科-维多多(Joko "Jokowi" Widodo)十年领导权的重要交接。在他的领导下,印尼经济积极增长,声誉不断提高,成为极具排他性的二十国集团(G20)成员之一,在全球日益瞩目。但是,佐科威并没有像其他民粹主义成员一样继续掌权,而是通过民主手段让前将军普拉博沃-苏比安托(Prabowo Subianto)以压倒性优势赢得了总统选举,从而实现了政治继任。不过,佐科维允许自己的儿子吉卜兰-拉卡布明(Gibran Rakabuming)成为普拉博沃的竞选伙伴。他将作为该国历史上最年轻的副总统宣誓就职。维蒙特(Vermonte)(2015 年)发表了一篇关于 2014 年印尼总统选举的分析文章,这次选举确保了佐科威战胜对手普拉博沃获得第一个任期。他乐观地认为,2014 年的选举将开创一个经济繁荣、民主深化的新时代。另一个民主大国正在举行也许是迄今为止影响最大的选举,这不仅关系到其国内政治,而且对亚洲乃至整个世界都有深远影响。下月举行的美国总统大选无疑将决定世界上历史最悠久的民主国家之一的前景。专家们认为,唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)和卡马拉-哈里斯(Kamala Harris)这两位候选人在思想、观点和对美国的愿景方面各有千秋,是一场竞争激烈的选举。本期APP有幸刊登著名学者Tan(2024)的分析文章,他分享了美国大选对印度洋-太平洋地区的影响。他认为这次领导层更替对该地区国家来说是一个关键点,是重新与美国接触或保持当前深厚关系的机会,但他也提醒说,无论特朗普或哈里斯是否会担任总统,美国与他们的接触将主要从对抗中国在印太地区的影响力的角度来看待。我们诚邀读者阅读本期的其他文章,包括对日本政党选举、香港公民社会联盟建设、朝韩关系、尼泊尔地方治理和日本粮食安全政策的分析。2025 我们感谢学术界一如既往的支持。 2024年将被铭记为相当多民主国家举行选举的一年。这些选举的同时举行可能是巧合,但它们是一次针对 "寻求连任和新选举授权的政治领导人和政党 "的全民公投。这些选举也可以看作是对民主作为一种政府制度本身的全球公投。许多寻求连任或首次掌权的政府发现自身处于民主光谱的两端:它们要么是民主的侵蚀者,要么是试图罢免 "破坏其社会民主结构的领导人 "的特立独行者。到目前为止,南非、墨西哥、委内瑞拉和英国已经举行了关键的选举。在亚洲,印度、印度尼西亚和台湾已经成立了新政府。日本和美国将举行选举。印度和印度尼西亚最近结束的选举对世界上两个最大民主国家的命运产生了深远影响。在印度,纳伦德拉-莫迪的政党仍然获得了多数席位,但未能达到其对议会选举的预期主导地位。这意味着莫迪的民意支持率缩减,并可能预示着未来几年政治反对派将迎来机会。在本刊曾经发表的一期内容中,Sharma和Dubey(2021)的文章研究了莫迪的民粹主义言论,以及他每月的广播讲话如何使用特定语言,以及他每月的广播讲话如何使用特定语言,从而形成了一种有效的传播策略,从而形成了一种有效的传播策略,后者强调了指引方向、富有同理参见Seng(2024)撰写的分析文章,他分享了美国大选对印度太平洋地区的影响。 他认为,这一领导层更替是该地区国家的关键点,是一个重新与美国接触或维持当前深厚关系的机会,但需要注意的是,无论是特朗普还是哈里斯担任总统,美国与这些国家的接触都将主要从 "对抗中国在印太地区影响力 "的角度来看待。我们也邀请读者阅读本期的其他文章,包括对日本政党选举的分析、香港公民社会联盟建设、朝韩关系、尼泊尔的地方治理、以及日本的粮食安全政策。 由于这是我们2024年的最后一期,APP仍致力于展示亚洲政治和公共政策领域的前沿学术研究。2024 年将成为相当多民主治理国家举行选举的一年。同时举行这些选举可能只是一个巧合,但这是对寻求连任和新的选举授权的政治领导人和政党的一次全民公决。这些选举也可被视为对民主作为一种政府制度本身的全球公投。许多寻求连任或首次掌权的政府处于民主光谱的两端:他们要么是民主侵蚀的推动者,要么是寻求罢黜破坏其社会民主结构的领导人的持不同政见者。迄今为止,南非、墨西哥、委内瑞拉和英国都举行了重要选举。在亚洲,印度、印度尼西亚和台湾都成立了新政府。刚刚结束的印度和印度尼西亚选举对世界上最大的两个民主国家的命运产生了巨大影响。在印度,纳伦德拉-莫迪(Narendra Modi)领导的政党赢得了多数授权,但在议会选举中没有达到预期的主导地位。这意味着莫迪的民意支持率有所下降,可能预示着未来几年政治反对派的机会。在上一期中,Sharma 和 Dubey(2021 年)的文章研究了莫迪的民粹主义言论,以及他每月的广播讲话如何使用特定语言,从而形成一种强调针对性、移情和意义表达的有效传播策略。在印度尼西亚,继即将卸任的总统佐科-维多多(Joko "Jokowi" Widodo)长达十年的领导之后,2024 年的总统选举被视为一次重大的权力转移。在他的领导下,印尼取得了积极的经济增长,并通过成为极具排他性的二十国集团(G20)成员而声名鹊起。但是,佐科威并没有像其民粹主义阵营的其他成员一样继续掌权,而是允许通过民主手段进行政治接班,前将军普拉博沃-苏比安托(Prabowo Subianto)以压倒性优势赢得了总统选举。不过,佐科维允许自己的儿子吉卜兰-拉卡布明(Gibran Rakabuming)成为普拉博沃的竞选伙伴。他将作为该国历史上最年轻的副总统宣誓就职。Vermonte 发表了一篇关于 2014 年印尼总统选举的分析文章,这次选举确保了佐科威战胜对手普拉博沃,获得首个任期。他乐观地认为,2014 年的选举将开创一个经济繁荣、民主深化的新时代。另一个主要民主国家正在举行也许是迄今为止最重要的选举,这不仅关系到其国内政治,而且对亚洲乃至整个世界都会产生深远影响。下个月的美国总统选举将最终决定世界上最古老的民主国家之一的前景。专家们认为这是唐纳德-特朗普和卡马拉-哈里斯之间竞争激烈的选举,这两位候选人在思想、观点和对美国的愿景方面截然不同。
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引用次数: 0
The multiple patterns of factional influence: Evidence from the 2021 LDP presidential election 派系影响力的多重模式:2021 年自民党总裁选举的证据
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12765
Masahiko Asano, Dennis Patterson

Traditionally, factions and seniority determined who became President of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and, thus, Japan's Prime Minister. Since the electoral reform of 1994, however, some scholars have argued that the role of factions has declined, and this has led to ongoing debates over the extent to which factions and other factors have helped determine who will become the leader of Japan's LDP. Using data from the 2021 LDP Presidential election, we find that it is not policy but factional affiliations that matter for LDP members in selecting their leader. In addition to this finding, we disaggregate faction and show that the influence of this political institution in LDP Presidential elections varies across different factions. We also find that electorally weaker LDP incumbents are more likely to support a candidate who is more popular among Japanese voters in general.

传统上,派系和资历决定了谁能成为自民党总裁,进而成为日本首相。然而,自 1994 年选举改革以来,一些学者认为派系的作用已经下降,这就导致了关于派系和其他因素在多大程度上帮助决定谁将成为日本自民党领袖的争论。利用 2021 年自民党总裁选举的数据,我们发现,自民党成员在选择其领导人时,重要的不是政策,而是派系关系。除这一发现外,我们还对派别进行了分类,结果表明这一政治机构在自民党总裁选举中的影响力因派别而异。我们还发现,选情较弱的自民党现任者更有可能支持更受日本选民欢迎的候选人。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of social and institutional trust on South Korean perceptions of North Korean arrivals 社会和制度信任对韩国人的朝鲜移民感知的影响 El impacto de la confianza social e institucional en las percepciones de los surcoreanos sobre la llegaada de norcoreanos 社会和制度信任对韩国人的朝鲜移民感知的影响 社会和制度信任对韩国人的朝鲜移民感知的影响
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-20 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12762
Timothy S. Rich, Serena White

How do forms of trust influence South Korean views of North Korean arrivals? While a broad literature addresses the institutional and generalized social trust impacting a range of public perceptions, this has not been extended to views on North Korean arrivals. Meanwhile, research on views of arrivals often relies on only one measure for what are likely complex concerns. Through the use of a 2021 Korean Social Integration Survey, we find evidence of institutional and social trust positively influencing overall views of arrivals, with mixed results on the impact on proximal tolerance of arrivals, suggesting that policy efforts to enhance trust as a means to improve integration efforts may fail to produce substantive improvements for arrivals.

信任的形式如何影响南韩对北朝鲜移民的看法?虽然有大量文献探讨了影响一系列公众看法的制度信任和普遍社会信任,但这些文献尚未扩展到对北朝鲜移民的看法。同时,有关对朝鲜移民看法的研究往往只依赖于一种衡量标准,而这些问题可能是复杂的。通过使用 2021 年朝鲜社会融合调查,我们发现有证据表明,制度信任和社会信任对到达朝鲜者的总体看法有积极影响,但对到达朝鲜者的近似容忍度的影响结果不一,这表明作为改善融合努力的一种手段,加强信任的政策努力可能无法为到达朝鲜者带来实质性的改善。
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引用次数: 0
Media coverage of Maldives parliamentary elections and its implications for India 马尔代夫议会选举的媒体报道及其对印度的影响
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12766
Abhijit Anand, Tanya Pandey
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引用次数: 0
Civil society alliance building in Hong Kong: The case of preservation movements 香港民间社会的联盟建设:保存运动的案例
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12760
Stephan Ortmann

Very little research has focused on types of cooperation between different civil society organizations at the domestic level. This article fills this gap by developing the distinction between organization-based and society-based cooperation. Examining Hong Kong's unique political system, the paper highlights both types. The Save Our Country Park Alliance (SOCP) exemplifies organization-centric collaboration, requiring consensus among diverse NGOs, which can hinder decision-making. Conversely, the Save Lantau Alliance (SLA) demonstrates society-centric cooperation with flexible, quick mobilization through core active member organizations and collaboration with pro-democratic groups. Despite the 2020 National Security Law forcing many liberal organizations to disband, the SLA persists in its efforts to preserve Lantau, though it faces increased challenges in an environment hostile to society-based activism. This distinction enhances our understanding of civil society alliances in varying political contexts.

很少有研究关注国内不同民间社会组织之间的合作类型。本文通过区分基于组织的合作和基于社会的合作,填补了这一空白。通过考察香港独特的政治体制,本文重点介绍了这两种合作类型。拯救郊野公园联盟(SOCP)是以组织为中心的合作的典范,它要求不同的非政府组织达成共识,这可能会阻碍决策。相反,"拯救大屿山联盟"(SLA)则体现了以社会为中心的合作,通过活跃的核心成员组织和与亲民主团体的合作,灵活、快速地进行动员。尽管 2020 年《国家安全法》迫使许多自由派组织解散,但拯救大屿山联盟仍坚持努力保护大屿山,尽管它在敌视以社会为基础的激进主义的环境中面临更多挑战。这一区别加深了我们对不同政治背景下公民社会联盟的理解。
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引用次数: 0
A study of the first five-year tenure (2017–2022) of provincial governments in Nepal 对尼泊尔省级政府第一个五年任期(2017-2022 年)的研究
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12767
Thaneshwar Bhusal, Michael G. Breen

Nepal introduced federalism in 2015 with three levels of government: federal, provincial, and local. The preamble of the constitution mentions that the country's new federal system of government shall address three key perennial political and policy problems: (i) centralized governance structure, (ii) geographically disbalancing developmental approach, and (iii) social injustice leveraged by caste-based social structures and unequal economic opportunities. This research is an attempt to understand the first 5-year tenure of provincial governments (2017–2022) regarding their efforts to attain the aforesaid constitutional aims. Findings indicate that provincial governments operated in ambiguity during their first electoral tenure, resulting in no tangible outcomes. Instead, they generated rather pessimistic public impressions about provincial government structure in Nepal. The research contributes to broadening the insights on intermediary government mechanisms across federal countries, with empirical evidence from Nepal.

尼泊尔于 2015 年引入联邦制,实行联邦、省和地方三级政府。宪法序言提到,尼泊尔新的联邦制政府应解决三个长期存在的关键政治和政策问题:(1)中央集权的治理结构;(2)地域不平衡的发展方式;(3)基于种姓的社会结构和不平等的经济机会所导致的社会不公。本研究试图了解省级政府在第一个五年任期(2017-2022 年)内为实现上述宪法目标所做的努力。研究结果表明,省政府在其第一个选举任期内的运作模棱两可,没有取得任何实际成果。相反,他们给公众留下了对尼泊尔省级政府结构相当悲观的印象。通过尼泊尔的经验证据,本研究有助于拓宽对联邦制国家中间政府机制的认识。
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引用次数: 0
America's foreign policy after Biden: What can the Indo-Pacific region expect? 拜登之后的美国外交政策:印度洋-太平洋地区可期待什么?
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-06 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12763
See Seng Tan

What might the foreign policy of a potential Trump presidency or that of a Harris presidency look like, and what could their respective implications for the Indo-Pacific be? The likelihood that Trump will revive his “America First” doctrine, including his trade war with China, suggests that the region may be in for another bumpy ride from a “Trump 2.0.” A Harris presidency will likely continue Biden's policy in engaging deeply (but selectively) with the Indo-Pacific, while “de-risking” America from China and resisting Chinese efforts to delimit the global commons and deny others access to it. Whether led by Trump or Harris, it is likely that the United States will proactively take on China but in slightly different ways. In either instance, Southeast Asia stands to benefit if the Association of Southeast Asian Nations countries play their cards right, but it will be in terms of their perceived usefulness to America's effort to counter China.

潜在的特朗普总统或哈里斯总统的外交政策会是怎样的?特朗普有可能重提其 "美国优先 "理论,包括与中国的贸易战,这表明该地区可能会再次经历 "特朗普 2.0 "的颠簸。哈里斯担任总统后,可能会延续拜登的政策,与印度洋-太平洋地区进行深入接触(但有选择性),同时 "消除 "美国对中国的风险,抵制中国划定全球公域并拒绝其他国家进入的努力。无论是由特朗普还是哈里斯领导,美国都有可能以略有不同的方式主动与中国对抗。在这两种情况下,如果东南亚国家联盟(Association of Southeast Asian Nations)国家正确出牌,东南亚都将受益,但受益的程度将取决于它们对美国对抗中国的努力是否有用。
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引用次数: 0
TikTok's influence on Indonesia's 2024 election: From general to “gemoy” TikTok 对印尼 2024 年大选的影响:从将军到 "gemoy
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12764
Muhammad Edy Susilo,  Pawito, Andrik Purwasito, Andre Noevi Rahmanto
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引用次数: 0
The agency of small states in the United States-China rivalry 小国在中美竞争中的作用
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12759
Aries A. Arugay
<p>How do small states navigate the current geostrategic rivalry between the United States (US) and China? If one solely takes the view of <i>realpolitik</i> or power politics, there seems to be very few options for weaker states. The history of international relations showed us that they played derivative roles as proxies for great powers, sites or theaters of conflict, and worst, possible victims of collateral damage in superpower clashes. A known African proverb resembles small states as the grass that gets trampled by elephants (superpowers) regardless whether they fight (conflict) or make love (cooperation). And in times of deep and pernicious polarization between great powers, the precarity of small states are heightened to unprecedented degrees.</p><p>Nonetheless, attempts to mitigate the negative repercussions stemming from the Sino-US geostrategic rivalry from the collective of small states have not gathered sufficient success thus far. On the contrary, there is increasing pressure for states to choose a side despite the benefits of taking an ambiguous stance given superpower competition. In a recent keynote speech in the 2024 Shangri-La Dialogue, Philippines President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. admitted that superpower rivalry has constrained the choices of small powers and has exacerbated regional flashpoints. He warned that small states could be included in new geopolitical spheres of influence and become buffer states. Instead, small and middle powers have the agency to forge consensus, build bridges, and even shape the rules. Instead of paws, another perspective offers that small states can be credible pathfinder, trusted partners, and committed peacemakers. To fulfill these potentials, there is a need for small states to assert their agency but to also collectively organize and band together.</p><p>Previous articles published in <i>Asian Politics & Policy</i> emphasized the moments where the agency of small states can be seen. For example, the hedging strategy between competing regional powers has been the default approach of small Arab Gulf states to address their respective security dilemmas (Hamdi & Salman, <span>2020</span>). Using Malaysia as a case study, Kuik (<span>2016</span>) also argued that hedging is the strategy of smaller powers, especially those that hedge on a wide variety of security risks, rather than focused on any major power. Using other countries in Southeast Asia like Cambodia and Vietnam, Železný (<span>2022</span>) revealed the diverse types of hedging behavior given US-China competition during the Obama administration. These research articles suggest the states can creatively navigate the competition between great powers. It remains to be seen whether these strategies are sustainable as the rivalry between US and China intensifies.</p><p>In this issue of <i>APP</i>, we also feature similar studies that reflect on the ability of Asian states to manoeuvre around superpower rivalry. The articles written by
小国如何在当前中美地缘战略竞争中游刃有余?如果仅从现实政治或强权政治的角度来看,弱国的选择似乎很少。国际关系史告诉我们,弱国扮演着大国代理人、冲突地点或战场的衍生角色,最糟糕的是,它们可能成为超级大国冲突中附带损害的受害者。非洲有句谚语把小国比作被大象(超级大国)践踏的小草,无论它们是战斗(冲突)还是做爱(合作)。而在大国之间严重分化的时代,小国的不稳定性达到了前所未有的程度。尽管如此,小国集体试图减轻中美地缘战略竞争带来的负面影响的努力迄今尚未取得足够的成功。相反,尽管在超级大国竞争的背景下采取模糊立场有其益处,但各国面临的选边站队压力却与日俱增。菲律宾总统小费迪南德-马科斯最近在 2024 年香格里拉对话会上发表主旨演讲时承认,超级大国的竞争限制了小国的选择,加剧了地区热点问题。他警告说,小国可能会被纳入新的地缘政治势力范围,成为缓冲国。相反,中小强国有能力达成共识、搭建桥梁,甚至制定规则。另一种观点认为,小国可以成为可信的探路者、值得信赖的合作伙伴以及坚定的和平缔造者。要发挥这些潜能,小国需要坚持自己的能动性,但也需要集体组织和联合起来。《亚洲政治与政策》(Asian Politics &amp; Policy)以前发表的文章强调了小国能动性的体现时刻。例如,在相互竞争的地区大国之间采取对冲策略一直是阿拉伯海湾小国解决各自安全困境的默认方法(Hamdi &amp; Salman, 2020)。以马来西亚为例,Kuik(2016)也认为,对冲是小国的战略,尤其是那些对冲各种安全风险的国家,而不是专注于任何大国。Železný(2022 年)通过柬埔寨和越南等东南亚国家,揭示了奥巴马政府执政期间中美竞争背景下对冲行为的多样性。这些研究文章表明,国家可以创造性地驾驭大国之间的竞争。随着中美竞争的加剧,这些战略能否持续还有待观察。在本期APP中,我们还介绍了类似的研究,这些研究反映了亚洲国家在超级大国竞争中周旋的能力。伊巴拉(Ibarra,2024 年)和赛伊伦德拉(Syailendra,2024 年)撰写的文章分析了菲律宾和马来西亚等小国在南海争议问题上与中国打交道的尝试。这可能是本刊史无前例的一期,因为所有原创文章都与中国有关,其余文章则深入探讨了中国对美国信誉的看法(Lim &amp; Cottam, 2024)、经济行为体对中国外交政策的影响(Zhao, 2024)以及中国非政府组织部门的扩张(Song, 2024)等主题。我们希望我们的读者能够欣赏这一重点,同时也鼓励其他研究人员对中国在地区和全球的重要性以及中国如何显著塑造亚洲和世界其他地区的地缘政治和地缘经济格局保持批判性的关注。中文翻译:编者按中美竞争中的小国能力小国如何应对当前中美地缘战略竞争?如果仅从现实政治或强权政治的角度来看,弱国的选择似乎非常有限。国际关系史告诉我们,它们主要扮演着大国代理人、冲突地点或战场、甚至超级大国冲突中的附带损害等衍生角色。一句著名的非洲谚语将小国比喻成草地,大象(超级大国)无论是打架(冲突)还是做爱(合作)都会践踏这片草地。在大国之间出现深刻而恶性的极化时代,小国的不稳定性被提升到了前所未有的程度。尽管如此,迄今为止所有小国为“减轻中美地缘战略竞争带来的负面影响”而所作的努力尚未获得足够的动力。相反,尽管对超级大国竞争采取模棱两可的立场会带来好处,但各国选边站的压力越来越大。菲律宾总统费迪南德·马科斯(Ferdinand小马科斯他警告称,小国可能会被纳入新的地缘政治势力范围和缓冲状态。相反,中小国有能力达成共识、搭建桥梁,甚至制定规则。&amp;以马来西亚为例,Kuik(2016)还论证,对冲是小国的策略,尤其是那些对冲各种安全风险而不是专注于任何大国的国家。APP 中,我们还收录了类似的研究,这些研究反映了亚洲国家在超级大国竞争中回旋的能力。Ibarra (2024)和 Syailendra (2024)撰写的文章分析了菲律宾和马来西亚等小国在南海争议问题上与中国打交道的尝试。这可能是本刊前所未有的一期内容,因为所有原创文章都涉及中国,其余文章则深入探讨了中国对美国信誉的感知(Lim &;我们希望读者能够欣赏这一重点,同时也鼓励其他研究人员保持批判性眼光,关注中国在地区和全球的重要性,以及它如何显著影响亚洲的地缘政治及地缘经济格局。-C.-(2016),《中美之间的马来西亚:What do Weaker States Hedge Against?Asian Politics &amp; Policy, 8: 155-177. https://doi.org/10. Ibarra(2024 年)和 Syailendra(2024 年)撰写的文章分析了菲律宾和马拉西亚等小国就两国在 "中国经度之海 "所面临的政治问题与中国进行交涉的意图。这可能是该杂志没有先例的主题,因为所有原创文章都涉及中国,而其他文章则深入探讨了中国对美国信誉的看法(Lim &amp; Cottam 2024);经济行为体对中国对外政策的影响(Zhao 2024);以及中国非政府组织部门的扩张(Song 2024)。我们希望我们的听众能够理解这一观点,同时也希望其他研究者能够对中国在地区和全球的重要性以及如何显著改变亚洲地缘政治和地缘生态全景保持一种批判性的视角:Weaker States Hedge Against What?https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12240Hamdi, S. and Salman, M. (2020).The Hedging Strategy of Small Arab Gulf States.Asian Politics &amp; Policy, 12: 127-152. https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12528Ibarra, E. J. A. (2024).Articulating a Philippine grand strategy:Articulating a Philippine grand strategy: Policy continuities on the South China Sea.https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12753Lim, Y.-H., &amp; Cottam, J. (2024).Inconsequential setback:Inconsequential setback: The elusive impact of the Afghanistan withdrawal on Chinese assessment of US credibility.https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12755Song, E. E. (2024).解释中国非政府组织部门的扩张:通过适应性公司治理的视角。Asian Politics and Policy, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12752Syailendra, E. (2024).马来西亚的战略方
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