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The Hirschman effect re-examined from the perspective of security perception: A case study of Southeast Asian countries and China 从安全认知的角度重新审视赫希曼效应:东南亚国家和中国案例研究
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12750
Xinlei Zhao

The dependency relationship in economic and trade cooperation between countries has long been a subject of ongoing debate among scholars of international relations. Albert Hirschman proposed his theory, known as the “Hirschman effect,” which examines how profit-making groups influence the foreign policies of nations. However, this article contends that interest groups alone cannot fully account for the Hirschman effect. Through examining cases involving Southeast Asian countries and China, it becomes evident that security needs and interest preferences collectively influence the strength of the Hirschman effect between small and large countries. Specifically, Cambodia, Malaysia, and the Philippines illustrate varying degrees of the Hirschman effect, with Cambodia exhibiting a positive effect, Malaysia demonstrating a composite effect, and the Philippines displaying a negative effect.

长期以来,国家间经贸合作中的依存关系一直是国际关系学者们争论不休的话题。阿尔伯特-赫希曼(Albert Hirschman)提出了被称为 "赫希曼效应 "的理论,研究了牟利集团如何影响国家的外交政策。然而,本文认为,利益集团本身并不能完全解释赫希曼效应。通过研究涉及东南亚国家和中国的案例,可以发现安全需求和利益偏好共同影响着小国和大国之间赫希曼效应的强度。具体而言,柬埔寨、马来西亚和菲律宾在不同程度上表现出赫希曼效应,其中柬埔寨表现出积极效应,马来西亚表现出综合效应,而菲律宾则表现出消极效应。
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引用次数: 0
Inconsequential setback: The elusive impact of the Afghanistan withdrawal on Chinese assessment of US credibility 无足轻重的挫折:阿富汗撤军对中国评估美国公信力难以捉摸的影响
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12755
Yves-Heng Lim, Jon Cottam

On August 31, 2021, 20 years after the beginning of Operation Enduring Freedom, President Biden announced the completion of the United States (US) withdrawal from Afghanistan. The difficult conditions of the withdrawal raised major questions about US credibility, as images from Kabul were broadcasted around the world. Pundits, scholars, and former decision makers warned that reputational damages incurred by Washington could lead Chinese decision makers to reassess the credibility of US commitments in the Indo-Pacific. Few studies have, however, examined how China interpreted the Afghanistan withdrawal. This article proposes to fill this gap. It argues that though Chinese observers did see the Afghanistan withdrawal as caused by a lack of US resolve, this perceived lack of resolve did not translate into general reputational costs for the United States and, consequently, calculations made by Chinese observers about US credibility in the Indo-Pacific region remain largely unimpacted by the Afghanistan setback.

2021 年 8 月 31 日,在 "持久自由行动 "开始 20 年后,拜登总统宣布美国完成从阿富汗的撤军。随着来自喀布尔的画面在世界各地播出,艰难的撤军条件引发了对美国公信力的重大质疑。专家、学者和前决策者警告说,华盛顿的声誉受损可能导致中国决策者重新评估美国在印度洋-太平洋地区所做承诺的可信度。然而,很少有研究探讨中国是如何解读阿富汗撤军的。本文拟填补这一空白。文章认为,尽管中国观察家认为阿富汗撤军是由于美国缺乏决心造成的,但这种缺乏决心的看法并没有转化为美国的总体声誉损失,因此,中国观察家对美国在印度洋-太平洋地区的可信度的计算基本上没有受到阿富汗挫折的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Explaining the expansion of the NGO sector in China: Through the lense of adaptive corporatist governance 解释中国非政府组织部门的扩张:通过适应性公司治理的视角
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12752
Esther E. Song

What explains the exponential growth of the number of nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) in China during the recent decades? Moving beyond the extant literature that focuses on the strategic relationship between NGOs and the local state, this article argues that the growth can be also attributed to the central state which has focused on the promotion of different types of NGOs throughout time. The proactive role of the central state has become more conspicuous under the Xi Jinping administration where the party-state plays a more active role in maneuvering the growth of a service-oriented third sector. This adaptive strategy has led to the counterintuitive phenomenon of an increase in institutional space for NGOs in authoritarian China, especially the social service-oriented NGOs in recent years. This article draws from theories of institutional change to explain the process through which the central state has expanded institutional space for NGOs throughout time.

近几十年来,中国的非政府组织(NGO)数量呈指数级增长,其原因何在?现有文献主要关注非政府组织与地方政府之间的战略关系,本文认为,这种增长也可归因于中央政府一直以来对不同类型非政府组织的重点推动。在习近平执政时期,中央政府的积极作用变得更加明显,党和国家在推动以服务为导向的第三部门发展方面发挥了更加积极的作用。这种适应性战略导致了一种反直觉的现象,即在专制中国,非政府组织的制度空间有所增加,尤其是近年来以社会服务为导向的非政府组织。本文从制度变迁理论出发,解释了中央政府在不同时期扩大非政府组织制度空间的过程。
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引用次数: 0
One policy but different interpretations: A case of agricultural policy implementation in Indonesia 一项政策却有不同解释:印度尼西亚农业政策实施案例
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12756
Muhammad Yamin, Meitry F. Tafarini, Nurilla Elysa Putri, Abdul Kholik, Siti R. Andelia

The Indonesian governments developed the Upsus Pajale policy to achieve a goal and solve the problem of food self-sufficiency. Rice, corn, and soybean were the main commodities in the plan of Upsus Pajale Policy implementation. UPSUS Pajale improve rice, corn, and soybean production for food self-sufficiency. This study examined UPSUS Pajale policy implementation at the province, district, subdistrict, and farmer levels. This study examined rice growing in Banyuasin's tidal lowlands, Ogan Komering Ilir's swamplands, and East Ogan Komering Ulu's irrigated rice fields. The research method used a combination model of quantitative and qualitative (mixed method). Sampling data used purposive sampling. NVivo 12 software examined provincial, district, subdistrict, farmer interviews, and group discussions. Results affected typology management constraints differently. Production input costs were the most common issue. This study found that policy was differently implemented at various levels. It would be impacted to the success of the policy.

印度尼西亚政府制定了 Upsus Pajale 政策,以实现粮食自给自足的目标并解决粮食自给自足的问题。大米、玉米和大豆是 Upsus Pajale 政策实施计划中的主要商品。UPSUS Pajale 提高水稻、玉米和大豆产量,以实现粮食自给自足。本研究考察了 UPSUS Pajale 政策在省、县、分区和农民层面的实施情况。本研究考察了班尤阿辛(Banyuasin)潮汐低地、奥甘科梅林伊里尔(Ogan Komering Ilir)沼泽地和东奥甘科梅林乌卢(East Ogan Komering Ulu)灌溉稻田的水稻种植情况。研究方法采用定量和定性相结合的模式(混合法)。抽样数据采用目的性抽样。NVivo 12 软件对省级、县级、乡级、农民访谈和小组讨论进行了研究。结果对类型管理制约因素的影响各不相同。生产投入成本是最常见的问题。本研究发现,政策在不同层面的执行情况各不相同。这将影响政策的成败。
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引用次数: 0
Can Asia's climate leader please step forward? 请亚洲的气候领袖站出来好吗?
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12754
Indra Overland, Sharon Seah

Asia's contribution will be decisive for the global effort to mitigate climate change. But Asia lacks a country that could take the lead and inspire the rest of the region to accelerate its climate action. To identify countries that could fulfill such a role, this article takes a two-step, mixed-methods approach. First, an index is created to identify some potentially leading countries. Second, the top countries identified by the index are assessed in greater detail qualitatively. The analysis finds that China, Japan, and Singapore are the most plausible candidates to take the lead. By doing so, these countries could potentially inspire their neighbors to step up their own efforts as climate change becomes an increasingly important issue in international affairs. However, to become a leader and influence their peers, they will have to make a conscious choice and dedicated effort.

亚洲的贡献将对全球减缓气候变化的努力起到决定性作用。但是,亚洲缺乏一个可以发挥带头作用并激励本地区其他国家加快气候行动的国家。为了找出可以发挥这种作用的国家,本文采取了两步混合方法。首先,创建一个指数来识别一些潜在的领先国家。其次,对指数确定的领先国家进行更详细的定性评估。分析发现,中国、日本和新加坡是最有可能领先的候选国。随着气候变化成为国际事务中日益重要的问题,这些国家这样做有可能激励邻国加大努力。然而,要成为领导者并影响他们的同行,这些国家必须做出有意识的选择和不懈的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Sanctions with Chinese characteristics: Rhetoric and restraint in China's Diplomacy by  Angela Poh, Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press,  2021,  372 pages. 有中国特色的制裁:中国外交中的修辞与克制》,Angela Poh 著,阿姆斯特丹:阿姆斯特丹大学出版社,2021 年,372 页。
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12757
Enrico V. Gloria
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引用次数: 0
Malaysia's strategic approach: Unpacking the “action-reaction spiral” logic in the South China Sea 马来西亚的战略方针:解读南海的 "行动-反应螺旋 "逻辑
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12751
Emirza Syailendra

The phrase “action-reaction” has been frequently reiterated in public speeches by Malaysian leaders, formal documents, and behind-the-scenes discussions. This article contends that this expression operates as a manifestation of Malaysian policymakers' comprehension of the security dilemma and their strategic assessment of their position within a security ecosystem. As part of the interconnected web of relationships among regional actors, any disturbance has the potential to draw Malaysia, as a small state, into an extended cycle of crises. This article draws on Malaysia's conduct in the South China Sea (1970–2023). To mitigate risks, in alignment with various scholarly perspectives, Malaysia adopts a hedging strategy involving tradeoffs and contingency plans. Beyond hedging, a more proactive perspective is also emphasized: when Malaysia identifies affordances or opportunities to act within the security ecosystem, it endeavors to leverage them for its benefit.

马来西亚领导人在公开演讲、正式文件和幕后讨论中经常重申 "行动-反应 "这一短语。本文认为,这一表述体现了马来西亚决策者对安全困境的理解,以及他们对自身在安全生态系统中所处地位的战略评估。作为地区行为体之间相互关联的关系网的一部分,任何干扰都有可能将马来西亚这个小国卷入危机的长期循环中。本文借鉴了马来西亚在南海的行为(1970-2023 年)。为了降低风险,马来西亚根据各种学术观点,采取了涉及权衡和应急计划的对冲策略。除了对冲之外,本文还强调了一种更为积极主动的视角:当马来西亚在安全生态系统中发现可采取行动的能力或机会时,它就会努力利用这些能力或机会为自己谋利。
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引用次数: 0
Articulating a Philippine grand strategy: Policy continuities on the South China Sea 阐明菲律宾的大战略:南海政策的连续性
IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12753
Edcel John A. Ibarra

Does the Philippines have a grand strategy? The question is biased in favor of a negative answer. Odds are stacked against detecting a grand strategy in non-great-power states. Operationalizing grand strategy as a consistent pattern of behavior reduces bias, but odds are also stacked against observing policy continuities in the Philippines. Increasing the level of analysis, emphasizing outcomes over intentions, and enlarging the time scale can help. Applying these analytical techniques, I argue that a Philippine grand strategy is evident in continuities in the country's foreign and security policies on the South China Sea from 1995 to 2022 under the successive administrations of Ramos, Estrada, Arroyo, Aquino III, and Duterte. The grand strategy has five component policies: (1) bilateral diplomacy with China, (2) multilateral diplomacy through the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), (3) grounding in the law of the sea, (4) maintaining the alliance with the US, and (5) modernizing the military.

菲律宾有大战略吗?这个问题偏向于否定的答案。在非大国中发现大战略的可能性很小。将大战略操作化为一贯的行为模式可以减少偏差,但也不利于观察菲律宾政策的连续性。提高分析水平、强调结果而非意图以及扩大时间尺度都会有所帮助。运用这些分析技术,我认为菲律宾的大战略在 1995 年至 2022 年拉莫斯、埃斯特拉达、阿罗约、阿基诺三世和杜特尔特历届政府的南海外交和安全政策的连续性中显而易见。大战略有五个政策组成部分:(1)与中国的双边外交;(2)通过东南亚国家联盟(东盟)开展多边外交;(3)以海洋法为基础;(4)维持与美国的联盟关系;(5)军队现代化。
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引用次数: 0
Australia-ASEAN relations: A special relationship 澳大利亚-东盟关系:特殊关系
IF 0.9 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12744
Aries A. Arugay
<p>Regions are social constructs. What constitutes “Asia” is an evolving label and the region's consensual name has evolved over the decades. This can be thorny debate and the current campaign to decolonize epistemic handles has led to interesting discourses on why the region is now more called “Indo-Pacific” than Asia-Pacific, for example.</p><p>Last month, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and Australia commemorated its 50th year of diplomatic relations with a special summit that gathered leaders and sectoral members of these two important entities. The meeting had the increasing regional uncertainty and turbulence as its backdrop. The United States (US)-China rivalry remains a strategic challenge that both ASEAN and Australia must face together.</p><p>As a long standing partner, Australia is perceived to be one of the more reliable and dependable partners of Southeast Asian states individually and ASEAN collectively. Australia has cultivated comprehensive and strategic partnerships with ASEAN member-states, invested heavily in economic, security, and people-to-people exchanges. Unlike other major powers, its visibility and reliability was seldom questioned by ASEAN. What was notable is Australia's perspective of the relationship with ASEAN as one that is defined by equanimity, mutual respect, reciprocity, and shared values. As Australia has regularly declared, its interest and therefore identity is with the Asia-Pacific. It has consistently matched this rhetoric with concrete actions and investment in the region. Australia has also been seen as a middle power who genuinely listens to Southeast Asian states and uses them as inputs for meaningful engagement.</p><p><i>Asian Politics & Policy</i> has provided the epistemic space to probe intro Australia's relationship with Asia. For example, Kim and Raswant (<span>2023</span>) looked into Australia's relationship with South Korea as another important pillar in buttressing the former's Indo-Pacific strategy. On the other hand, Snyder (<span>2015</span>) studied the Australia-Malaysia relationship and how closer security cooperation has improved bilateral relations previously defined by thorny sociopolitical issues. Finally, Taylor (<span>2020</span>) examined Australia's Indo-Pacific concept and how it seeks to engage it as a middle power. His conclusion that Australia should strategize its engagement in the region with careful monitoring and tempered patience has been the middle power's paradigm as it seeks to further enhance its relationship with ASEAN.</p><p>Our April 2024 issue continues this scholarly gaze on Australia's engagement with the Asia-Pacific. Yoshimatsu and Maso (<span>2024</span>) differentiated between Australia and China's economic relationship with Pacific Island countries. Contrary to China, they argued that Australia employed economic statecraft defined by multilateralism and normative considerations. Dell'Era and Martín (<span>2024</span>) compared two a
Regions are social constructs. What constitutes “Asia” is an evolving label and the region's consensual name has evolvedover the decades. This can be thorny debate and the current campaign to decolonize epistemic handles has led to interesting discourses on why the region isnow more called “Indo-Pacific” than Asia-Pacific, for example.Last month, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and Australia commemorated its 50th year of diplomatic relations with a special summit that gathered leaders and sectoral members of these twoimportant entities. The meeting had the increasing regional uncertainty and turbulence as its backdrop. The United States (US)-China rivalry remains astrategic challenge that both ASEAN and Australia must face together.As a long standing partner, Australia is perceived to be one of the more reliable anddependable partners of Southeast Asian states individually and ASEAN collectively. Australia has cultivated comprehensive and strategicpartnerships with ASEAN member-states, invested heavily in economic, security, and people-to-people exchanges. Unlike other major powers, itsvisibility and reliability was seldom questioned by ASEAN. What was notable is Australia's perspective of the relationship with ASEAN as one that isdefined by equanimity, mutual respect, reciprocity, and shared values. As Australia has regularly declared, its interest and therefore identity iswith the Asia-Pacific. It has consistently matched this rhetoric with concrete actions and investment in the region. Australia has also been seen as amiddle power who genuinely listens to Southeast Asian states and uses them as inputs for meaningful engagement.Asian Politics &amp; Policy has providedthe epistemic space to probe intro Australia's relationship with Asia. For example, Kim and Raswant (2023) looked into Australia's relationship withSouth Korea as another important pillar in buttressing the former's Indo-Pacific strategy. On the other hand, Snyder (2015) studied the Australia-Malaysia relationship and how closer security cooperation has improved bilateral relations previously defined by thorny sociopolitical issues.Finally, Taylor (2020) examined Australia's Indo-Pacific concept and how it seeks to engage it as a middle power. His conclusion that Australia shouldstrategize its engagement in the region with careful monitoring and tempered patience has been the middle power's paradigm as it seeks to further enhanceits relationship with ASEAN.Our April 2024 issue continues this scholarly gaze on Australia's engagement with the Asia-Pacific. Yoshimatsu and Maso (2024) differentiated between Australia and China's economic relationship with Pacific Island countries. Contrary to China, they argued thatAustralia employed economic statecraft defined by multilateralism and normative considerations. Dell'Era and Martín (2024) compared two alliances:US-Japan and ANZUS and the role played by middle powers like Australia. They found that Australia acted mo
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引用次数: 0
What motivates South Korean Official Development Assistance? 韩国官方发展援助的动机是什么?
IF 0.9 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12734
Joel Atkinson

Official Development Assistance (ODA) is defined by a motive: the promotion of the economic development and welfare of developing countries. This review article considers the motives of one donor, South Korea, with a close reading and comparison of three authoritative texts. It argues that Korean ODA is primarily motivated by increasing status and influence, and supporting the overseas expansion of Korean companies. There is also a contribution from secondary motivations more clearly related to the definition of ODA: humanitarianism and being a good global citizen.

官方发展援助 (ODA) 的动机是:促进发展中国家的经济发展和福利。这篇评论文章通过仔细阅读和比较三篇权威文章,探讨了一个捐助国--韩国的动机。文章认为,韩国官方发展援助的主要动机是提高地位和影响力,以及支持韩国公司的海外扩张。此外,还有一些次要动机与官方发展援助的定义有更明确的关系:人道主义和成为良好的全球公民。
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引用次数: 0
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Asian Politics & Policy
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