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Latin America's Export Trade Prospect of Agricultural Products to China 拉美农产品对华出口贸易展望
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.507
Jun Zhang, Valeska V. Geldres-Weiss, Jorge Heredia
The objective of this research is to analyze the trade prospect of Latin America countries’ exporting agricultural products to China combining the dimensions of competitiveness and trade potential, and using the Boston Matrix. Based on the agricultural product trade data from 2000 to 2019, three categories are analyzed based on Harmonized System: animal, plant, and food processing product. The results show there are 4 LA countries in the zone of bright prospect trading agricultural products with China, which are Mexico, Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina. And 16 countries in the zone of promising prospect, 6 countries in the zone of bottleneck prospect, 5 countries in the zone of dark prospect. From the perspective of the category of agricultural products, plant agricultural product is the category in which there are the most countries with bright prospect. From the perspective of trading region, South America is the area in which countries with bright prospect concentrate. Countries with dark prospect mainly concentrate in Central America and South America. Countries with bottleneck prospect evenly distribute in different regions. Countries with promising prospect mainly concentrate in the West Indies. To promote Sino-LA agricultural trade, trade categories should be expanded and trade potential should be improved. Plans could be made for cooperation according to local conditions. LA should improve the quality control of exported agricultural products. China and LA should promote regional integration and strengthen technology cooperation in agricultural industry.
本研究的目的是结合竞争力和贸易潜力两个维度,运用波士顿矩阵分析拉美国家农产品对华出口的贸易前景。以2000 - 2019年的农产品贸易数据为基础,基于协调体系对动物、植物和食品加工产品三大类进行了分析。结果表明,与中国农产品贸易前景看好的拉美国家有4个,分别是墨西哥、巴西、乌拉圭和阿根廷。前景看好区有16个国家,瓶颈区有6个国家,前景黯淡区有5个国家。从农产品类别来看,植物性农产品是发展前景光明的国家最多的农产品类别。从贸易区域来看,南美洲是具有良好发展前景的国家集中的地区。前景黯淡的国家主要集中在中美洲和南美洲。具有瓶颈前景的国家平均分布在不同地区。有发展前景的国家主要集中在西印度群岛。为促进中美农业贸易,应扩大贸易种类,提高贸易潜力。可以因地制宜地规划合作。加强对出口农产品的质量控制。推动区域一体化,加强农业产业技术合作。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Factors Affecting the Financial Performance of Indian General Insurance Firm: Panel Data Evidence 影响印度一般保险公司财务绩效因素的决定因素:面板数据证据
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.508
Soumya Sasidharan, V. Ranjith, Sunitha Prabhuram
The researchers aim to examine the firm-specific variables that impact the financial performance of general insurance firms in India. The study’s scope is limited to India’s insurance industries from 2010-2011 to 2019-2020. The research considers 21 insurance firms in India out of 35 general insurers. We obtain statistical data from the financial statements of insurance companies. The research used correlation analysis and panel data regression to evaluate financial performance and its impacts. Panel data techniques were employed in the analysis to study the impact of eleven micro factors on the monetary performance of general insurers in India. The influence of micro (internal) variables such as capital adequacy ratio, firm size, age of the firm, retention, liquidity, loss ratio, investment ratio, reinsurance dependence, financial leverage, tangibility, and premium growth rate on the financial performance has been determined using econometric findings in this research. The fixed-effect model results reveal that firm’s age, loss ratio, size, premium growth, and retention ratio are vital in affecting the financial performance of Indian general insurance firms. On the other hand, liquidity and financial leverage are insignificant in determining the financial performance of general insurance firms in India.
研究人员旨在研究影响印度一般保险公司财务绩效的公司特定变量。该研究的范围仅限于2010-2011年至2019-2020年期间印度的保险业。该研究考察了印度35家一般保险公司中的21家。我们从保险公司的财务报表中获得统计数据。本研究采用相关分析和面板数据回归来评估财务绩效及其影响。在分析中采用面板数据技术来研究11个微观因素对印度一般保险公司货币绩效的影响。微观(内部)变量,如资本充足率,公司规模,公司的年龄,保留,流动性,损失率,投资比例,再保险依赖,财务杠杆,有形,保费增长率对财务绩效的影响已经确定在本研究中使用计量经济学的发现。固定效应模型结果表明,公司的年龄、损失率、规模、保费增长和留存率对印度一般保险公司的财务绩效有重要影响。另一方面,流动性和财务杠杆在决定印度一般保险公司的财务绩效方面是微不足道的。
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引用次数: 0
Channels for the Impact of the War in Ukraine on the Commercial Banking Sector in Poland – First Results of the Study 乌克兰战争对波兰商业银行业影响的渠道——研究的初步结果
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.504
Michał Bernardelli, Zbigniew Korzeb, Paweł Niedziółka, Krzysztof Waliszewski
The outbreak of war in Ukraine raises questions about its impact on the economies and financial systems of countries directly and indirectly involved in the war, but also on the economies of non-participating countries. The article aims to identify the channels through which the war in Ukraine has affected commercial banking in Poland. The original contribution of this paper to the literature dedicated to the impact of the outbreak of war on financial sector consists in the identification of channels of direct and indirect effects of war on commercial bank performance, adoption of unique empirical strategy to point out features of banks determining their sensitivity to the materialisation of geopolitical risk as well as groups of banks whose shares move along similar trajectories during the war. The conclusions emphasize that the long-term negative indirect effects of the war outweigh the short-term indirect ones. The policy implications consist in the benefits of introduction of new reporting standards for banks that focus on the exposure of their clients to the geopolitical risk, augmentation of scope of risks to be covered by regulatory capital by geopolitical risk as well as creation scenarios of stress tests that would include geopolitical risk. Facing war, the implications for commercial banks’ managers come down to the necessity to prioritize cyber risk management and implement a new paradigm of credit and market risk assessment, taking into account the impact of geopolitical factors.
乌克兰战争的爆发对直接和间接卷入战争的国家的经济和金融体系以及对非参加国的经济产生了影响。本文旨在确定乌克兰战争影响波兰商业银行业务的渠道。本文对专门研究战争爆发对金融部门影响的文献的原始贡献在于确定战争对商业银行业绩的直接和间接影响的渠道,采用独特的实证策略来指出银行的特征,这些特征决定了它们对地缘政治风险具体化的敏感性,以及在战争期间股票沿着类似轨迹移动的银行群体。结论强调,战争的长期负面间接影响超过了短期间接影响。政策方面的影响包括:为侧重于客户面临地缘政治风险的银行引入新的报告标准,扩大地缘政治风险所涵盖的监管资本的风险范围,以及创建包括地缘政治风险的压力测试情景。面对战争,对商业银行管理者的影响归结为必须优先考虑网络风险管理,并在考虑地缘政治因素影响的情况下实施新的信贷和市场风险评估范式。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Agricultural Sustainability: Case Study of Baltic States 农业可持续性评估:波罗的海国家案例研究
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.503
D. Štreimikienė, Asta Mikalauskiene
The agri-food sector is the world’s largest economic sector having the biggest impact on environment. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), sustainable agriculture must meet the needs of present and future generations while ensuring profitability, environmental health and social and economic equity. Therefore, agricultural systems need transition to become more sustainable. The use of renewables in agriculture allows to reduce energy costs and GHG emissions and implement cyclic economy principles. Sustainability assessment of agriculture can be done by applying various sets of indicators. The sustainability assessment of agriculture can be performed on country and micro level. The paper presents assessment of agricultural sustainability of Baltic States based on indicators framework and applies MCDA tool for ranking of Baltic States in terms of agriculture sustainability.
农业食品部门是世界上最大的经济部门,对环境的影响最大。联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)认为,可持续农业必须满足今世后代的需要,同时确保盈利能力、环境健康以及社会和经济公平。因此,农业系统需要转型以变得更具可持续性。在农业中使用可再生能源可以降低能源成本和温室气体排放,并实现循环经济原则。农业可持续性评估可以通过应用各种指标来完成。农业可持续性评价可以从国家和微观两个层面进行。本文提出了基于指标框架的波罗的海国家农业可持续性评估,并应用MCDA工具对波罗的海国家进行农业可持续性排名。
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引用次数: 0
Use of Nudges for Promotion of Sustainable Energy Consumption in Households 使用轻推器促进住户可持续能源消费
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.495
D. Štreimikienė
Sustainable energy consumption in household is linked to energy saving and the use of renewable energy sources. These are also the main measures of GHG emission reduction linked to energy consumption. There is a huge GHG emission reduction potential linked to energy consumption in households as climate change mitigation policies and measures aiming at sustainable energy consumption are mainly targeting energy supply sector. Climate change mitigation policies in households linked to promote of energy savings and use of renewable energy sources were not able to overcome behavioural barriers of sustainable energy consumption in households, as they were targeting economic barriers mainly. Therefore, new policies and measures targeting behavioural barriers of sustainable energy consumption inn households are necessary. The paper analyses behavioural barriers of sustainable energy consumption in households and provides analysis of policies and measures set to overcome behavioural barriers of sustainable energy consumption. The analysis of advantages and disadvantages of nudges is provided policy recommendations were developed based on analysis conducted.
家庭可持续能源消费与节约能源和使用可再生能源有关。这些也是与能源消耗相关的温室气体减排的主要措施。由于旨在实现可持续能源消费的气候变化缓解政策和措施主要针对能源供应部门,因此与家庭能源消费相关的温室气体减排潜力巨大。与促进节约能源和使用可再生能源有关的家庭气候变化缓解政策无法克服家庭可持续能源消费的行为障碍,因为这些政策主要针对经济障碍。因此,有必要针对家庭可持续能源消费的行为障碍制定新的政策和措施。本文分析了家庭可持续能源消费的行为障碍,并分析了克服可持续能源消费行为障碍的政策和措施。在分析的基础上,提出了政策建议。
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引用次数: 1
Green Innovation for Competitiveness: Impact on GDP Growth in the European Union 绿色创新促进竞争力:对欧盟GDP增长的影响
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.501
Since the start of the Industrial Revolution, the global climate has changed dramatically. Concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere have increased sharply, followed by an increase in global average temperatures. However, business activities related to environmental protection are mostly focused on the implementation of legal rules instead of voluntary initiatives such as green innovation due to doubts about costs and profit. The goal of this research is to identify the impact of green innovation on economic growth in an innovative environment and digitalization conditions by using sophisticated indexes and regression analysis. The results show that green innovations have a positive impact on economic growth in the European Union (EU). However, the impact of digitalization on economic growth is still under discussion and depends on qualitative aspects of coverage and how they are reflected in digitalization indicators. It is important to emphasize that the data of this empirical study only cover EU countries that are subject to EU regulation and have similar trends in the development and diffusion of green innovations. Non-EU countries may have different approaches and policies influencing the maturity and diffusion of green innovations. The results of this research provide a scientific basis for strategic planning at the national and business levels, encouraging a focus on the development of green innovation not only as a means of reducing the impact of climate change but also as a strategic direction for increasing competitiveness and economic growth.
自工业革命开始以来,全球气候发生了巨大变化。大气中温室气体(ghg)的浓度急剧增加,随之而来的是全球平均气温的升高。然而,由于对成本和利润的质疑,与环保相关的商业活动大多集中在法律规则的实施上,而不是绿色创新等自愿行动。本研究的目的是通过复杂指数和回归分析来确定创新环境和数字化条件下绿色创新对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明,绿色创新对欧盟经济增长具有正向影响。然而,数字化对经济增长的影响仍在讨论中,这取决于覆盖的定性方面以及数字化指标如何反映这些影响。需要强调的是,本实证研究的数据仅涵盖受欧盟监管且在绿色创新发展和扩散方面具有类似趋势的欧盟国家。非欧盟国家可能有不同的方法和政策影响绿色创新的成熟和扩散。本研究结果为国家和企业层面的战略规划提供了科学依据,鼓励关注绿色创新的发展,不仅将其作为减少气候变化影响的手段,而且作为提高竞争力和经济增长的战略方向。
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引用次数: 1
Open and Distance Learning (ODL) : Traditional or Frugal Innovation? 开放式远程教育:传统创新还是节俭创新?
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.497
M. Okano, Henry de Castro Lobo dos Santos, E. Ursini, M. Fernandes, Jaqueline Geisa Cunha Gomes
New information and communication technologies (ICTs) are contributing to the advancement and popularization of distance learning, and its use by educational institutions is accelerating. Some characteristics of distance learning are remarkable, such as its quantity, scalability, ability to serve many students at the same time, scope, lower costs, and so on. Some of these characteristics refer to a type of innovation called frugal, which is the ability to "do better with fewer resources for more people", that is, create significantly more value and minimize the use of resources. The objective of this research was to analyze the characteristics of distance learning through the theoretical lens of frugal innovation using the conceptual model of frugal innovation. The characteristics listed in the Rossetto model were researched qualitatively and quantitatively to obtain a solid conclusion, as this model uses a scale to identify and measure frugal innovation. The Rossetto model was developed and tested using the results of five collections of data from three different countries (Brazil, the United States of America, and India), with the entire development and refinement processes being subjected to an exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and a confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). The final validation of the scale was based on data from 1130 companies. The mixed (qualitative and quantitative) methodological procedures were used to analyze the data obtained from the field research. The qualitative analysis consisted of verifying the characteristics of frugal innovation through Rossetto's conceptual model, and exploratory factor analysis was chosen for the quantitative analysis. Ten of the characteristics of the model sought, analyzed in three dimensions, identified, and strongly indicated that ODL can be considered as a frugal innovation, convincing and confirming that ODL has as main characteristics of the FI such as cost reduction, focus on essential functionalities and improved performance in relation to face-to-face teaching and thus, highlighting that the main value created is to do better with fewer resources than traditional teaching for a greater number of students served.
新型信息通信技术促进了远程教育的发展和普及,教育机构对远程教育的应用正在加快。远程教育的一些特点是显著的,如它的数量、可扩展性、同时为许多学生服务的能力、范围、较低的成本等。其中一些特征涉及一种被称为节俭的创新,这是一种“用更少的资源为更多人做得更好”的能力,即创造更多的价值,最大限度地减少资源的使用。本研究的目的是运用节俭创新的概念模型,通过节俭创新的理论视角来分析远程教育的特征。通过对Rossetto模型中列出的特征进行定性和定量研究,得出了一个可靠的结论,因为该模型使用了一个尺度来识别和衡量节俭型创新。rossettto模型是利用来自三个不同国家(巴西、美国和印度)的五组数据的结果开发和测试的,整个开发和改进过程都经过探索性因素分析(EFA)和验证性因素分析(CFA)。该量表的最终验证基于来自1130家公司的数据。采用混合(定性和定量)的方法程序来分析从实地调查中获得的数据。定性分析采用Rossetto概念模型验证节俭型创新的特征,定量分析采用探索性因子分析。该模型的十个特征,在三个维度上进行了分析,确定并强烈表明,ODL可以被认为是一种节俭的创新,令人信服并确认ODL具有FI的主要特征,如降低成本,关注基本功能和改善面对面教学的性能,因此,强调所创造的主要价值是用比传统教学更少的资源为更多的学生提供更好的服务。
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引用次数: 1
Do Investors Overreact to COVID-19 Outbreak? An Experimental Study Using Sequential Disclosures 投资者是否对COVID-19疫情反应过度?使用顺序披露的实验研究
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.498
D. Sulistiawan, Y. Feliana, F. A. Rudiawarni, A. Grigorescu
This paper aims to investigate market participants' reactions to sequential information, presenting firm-specific news and market-wide information. Experimental study takes place in the COVID-19 pandemic era, as market-wide information representation. We also provide firm-specific information in the form of company fundamental information. The results show that participants, as representatives of retail investors, do not overreact to COVID-19. The recency effect dominates their decision-making. Neither firm-specific information nor market-wide information can eliminate the recency effect in decision making. Investors still provide valuations based on the latest information they receive. Another interesting finding in this study is that positive framing of information cannot mitigate the effects of bad news contained therein. Our findings contribute to the study of behavioral finance and corporate disclosure strategies. From the market participants' point of view, our results describe that investors' decisions are often not based on the information content but the latest information they received. From the company perspective, this research also contributes to the corporate disclosure strategy valued by investors based on how they disclose information to the public.
本文旨在研究市场参与者对序列信息的反应,呈现公司特定的新闻和市场范围的信息。实验研究在COVID-19大流行时代进行,作为市场范围的信息表示。我们还以公司基本信息的形式提供公司特定信息。结果表明,作为散户投资者的代表,参与者对COVID-19没有过度反应。近因效应支配着他们的决策。企业特定信息和市场范围信息都不能消除决策中的近因效应。投资者仍然根据他们收到的最新信息提供估值。本研究另一个有趣的发现是,积极的信息框架不能减轻其中包含的坏消息的影响。我们的研究结果有助于行为金融学与公司信息披露策略的研究。从市场参与者的角度来看,我们的结果描述了投资者的决策往往不是基于信息内容,而是基于他们收到的最新信息。从公司的角度来看,本研究也有助于投资者所重视的公司披露策略,即公司如何向公众披露信息。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Analysis of SMEs Intensity in Ukraine and Indonesia Using FIS Approach 基于FIS方法的乌克兰与印尼中小企业密集度比较分析
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.499
Evi Thelia Sari, Vitalli Gryga
The purpose of this study is to describe and examine the development of SMEs in Ukraine and Indonesia based on productivity factors of SMEs development measured SMEs contribution to the country’s GDP. The study is based on data from 2000 to 2014, on number of SMEs, contribution of SMEs to GDP, labor in SMEs sectors, exports and import contributions to GDP of each country. Under complex data with uncertainty, Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) was applied to modelling process in estimating the differences between SMEs development in Ukraine and Indonesia. FIS models show the needs to improve policies on SMEs in each country of this study. We found that SMEs intensity development in Ukraine needs more SMEs to increase contribution to GDP and stipulate economic growth. While in Indonesia, growth in quantities of either labors or numbers of SMEs can be problematic, so it should focus on labors quality. Trade openness e.g., ratio export and import to GDP, shows that while Ukraine’s SMEs contribution to GDP is lower, the ratio of Export and Import to GDP is increasing. Whereas Indonesia’s ratio of export and import to GDP increases along with the SMEs contribution to GDP. The policies to increase the intensity development of SMEs in both countries should focus on increasing the quality of labors hired in SMEs, increasing the numbers of SMEs, reviewing and selecting the commodities that are prioritized to export and import in enhancing the ratio of export and import to GDP.
本研究的目的是描述和考察乌克兰和印度尼西亚中小企业的发展基于中小企业发展的生产力因素衡量中小企业对国家GDP的贡献。该研究基于2000年至2014年的数据,包括中小企业数量、中小企业对GDP的贡献、中小企业部门的劳动力、出口和进口对GDP的贡献。在具有不确定性的复杂数据下,运用模糊推理系统(FIS)对乌克兰和印度尼西亚中小企业发展差异进行建模。FIS模型表明,本研究涉及的每个国家都需要改进中小企业政策。研究发现,乌克兰中小企业强度的发展需要更多的中小企业来提高对GDP的贡献,从而促进经济增长。而在印度尼西亚,无论是劳动力数量还是中小企业数量的增长都可能存在问题,因此应注重劳动力质量。贸易开放度,如进出口占GDP的比例,表明乌克兰中小企业对GDP的贡献较低,但出口和进口占GDP的比例在上升。而印尼的进出口占GDP的比例随着中小企业对GDP的贡献而增加。两国提高中小企业发展强度的政策应侧重于提高中小企业的劳动力质量,增加中小企业的数量,审查和选择优先进出口的商品,以提高进出口占GDP的比例。
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引用次数: 0
Negative Word of Mouth (NWOM) using Compartmental Epidemiological Models in Banking Digital Transformation 银行数字化转型中使用分区流行病学模型的负面口碑(NWOM
IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.500
Mariano Méndez-Suárez, Ignacio Danvila-del-Valle
Our article is among the first to model the reactions of customers to the digital transformation of European banks in a scenario of declining interest margins. Motivated by the hypothesis that customers’ feelings, perceptions and negative reactions towards digital transformation are channeled through the spread of negative word-of-mouth (NWOM) in a way analogous to the spread of a disease epidemic, we propose and analyze a compartmentalized mathematical model using data from a medium-sized Spanish commercial bank. To understand the NWOM phenomenon with an epidemiological approach we consider some realistic interactions in a social network and we formulate a novel application of the susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-mortality (SEIRM) model. The results indicate that a better understanding of consumers’ negative reactions and their correct monitoring can help banks improve profitability when facing a digital transformation process. In summary, the research warns commercial bank managers about the need to carefully assess the effects of changes brought about by digital transformation and the development fee management strategies based on the behavior of customer groups, as well as the deployment of new churn risk management methods to deal with the most disengaged customers.
我们的文章是第一批模拟客户在息差下降的情况下对欧洲银行数字化转型的反应的文章之一。假设客户对数字化转型的感受、认知和负面反应是通过负面口碑(NWOM)的传播来引导的,就像一种流行病的传播一样,我们利用西班牙一家中型商业银行的数据提出并分析了一个划分的数学模型。为了用流行病学方法理解NWOM现象,我们考虑了社会网络中一些现实的相互作用,并制定了易感暴露-感染-恢复-死亡率(SEIRM)模型的新应用。结果表明,更好地了解消费者的负面反应并对其进行正确的监控,可以帮助银行在面临数字化转型过程时提高盈利能力。总之,该研究警告商业银行经理,需要仔细评估数字化转型带来的变化的影响,并根据客户群体的行为制定费用管理策略,以及部署新的流失风险管理方法来处理最不投入的客户。
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引用次数: 3
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Contemporary Economics
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