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Understanding the Effects of Coronavirus on Australian Households: A Macro–Micro Analysis 了解冠状病毒对澳大利亚家庭的影响:宏观-微观分析
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12361
Marc Jim Mariano, George Verikios

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic brought economic recession that affected nations, businesses, and households globally. The severity of this global economic crisis is large and the impact has been asymmetric across socioeconomic groups. We examine the distributional effects of the COVID-19 pandemic across household types using a specially-designed model that combines macro (computable general equilibrium) and micro (heterogenous households) approaches. Computable general equilibrium models are able to capture behavioural changes in macroeconomic and sectoral variables but they often lack the rich distributional detail found in microsimulation models. In this paper, we address this limitation by incorporating 10,046 actual households into a computable general equilibrium model to capture the heterogeneity through which the pandemic may influence household behaviour. We find that the income effects are asymmetric across income groups leading to a slight increase in income inequality. The distributional effects are more progressive for non-wage income sources and uniform for wage income. For younger cohorts, income changes are dominated by employment effects whereas income changes for older cohorts are dominated by changes in capital rentals and government transfers. Spatially, the income effects follow a similar pattern for city and non-city dwellers.

新型冠状病毒感染症(COVID-19)大流行带来了经济衰退,影响了全球国家、企业和家庭。这场全球经济危机的严重性是巨大的,对社会经济群体的影响是不对称的。我们使用结合宏观(可计算一般均衡)和微观(异质家庭)方法的特殊设计模型,研究了COVID-19大流行在家庭类型之间的分布效应。可计算的一般均衡模型能够捕捉宏观经济和部门变量的行为变化,但它们往往缺乏微观模拟模型中发现的丰富的分布细节。在本文中,我们通过将10046个实际家庭纳入可计算的一般均衡模型来解决这一限制,以捕捉大流行可能影响家庭行为的异质性。我们发现,不同收入群体的收入效应是不对称的,导致收入不平等略有增加。非工资收入来源的分配效应更为累进,而工资收入的分配效应更为均匀。对于年轻人来说,收入变化主要受就业影响的影响,而老年人的收入变化主要受资本租金和政府转移的影响。在空间上,城市居民和非城市居民的收入效应遵循类似的模式。
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引用次数: 0
Is it Time to Rationalise Humanities Education in Australian Public Universities? 澳大利亚公立大学是时候理性化人文教育了吗?
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12359
Michael B. Charles, Marcus Harmes, Michael A. Kortt

This study examines how Australian public universities have a presence in the various discipline areas recognised by the Australian Academy of the Humanities. Using the prism of public value, we interpret how universities articulate the legitimacy of teaching humanities. Through a careful audit of available secondary data, we advance a typology of humanities education. Our principal finding is that Australia's humanities presence is surprisingly homogenous, with only a few universities proposing a specialised offering. We contend that this creates an environment where universities may be forced to consider abandoning their humanities offerings unless a higher degree of differentiation takes place.

这项研究考察了澳大利亚公立大学如何在澳大利亚人文学院认可的各个学科领域中占有一席之地。利用公共价值的棱镜,我们解释了大学如何阐明人文学科教学的合法性。通过对现有二手数据的仔细审核,我们提出了人文教育的类型学。我们的主要发现是,澳大利亚的人文学科呈现出惊人的同质化,只有少数几所大学提出了专门的课程。我们认为,这创造了一种环境,大学可能会被迫考虑放弃人文学科,除非出现更高程度的分化。
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引用次数: 1
Bringing Credibility Back to Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks 恢复宏观经济政策框架的可信度
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12360
Stephen Anthony, Hamid Yahyaei

For most of the past decade, unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) have affected the wealth of savers, renters and younger generations. These policies, which enlarge central bank balance sheets – supporting credit expansion in the economy – but have no reliable mechanism for reversal, raise the simultaneous risk of higher inflation and deflation. In this paper, we critique UMPs by drawing on extant literature and empirical data that elucidate the undesired economic effects they cultivate. In particular, we focus on the implications of UMPs on efficient portfolio holdings by proposing an intuitive ex-ante measure of dynamic efficiency loss that has applications for future research.

在过去十年的大部分时间里,非常规货币政策(UMPs)影响了储蓄者、租房者和年轻一代的财富。这些政策扩大了央行的资产负债表,支持了经济中的信贷扩张,但没有可靠的逆转机制,从而加大了通胀和通缩同时加剧的风险。在本文中,我们通过利用现有文献和实证数据来批评UMPs,这些文献和实证数据阐明了它们所产生的不良经济影响。特别是,我们通过提出一种直观的事前动态效率损失测量方法来关注UMPs对有效投资组合持有的影响,该方法可用于未来的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring First Nation Community Well-being in Canada: The Impact of Geographic and Financial Factors 探索加拿大第一民族社区福祉:地理和金融因素的影响
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12358
Shawn Blankinship, Laura Lamb

First Nation community well-being is examined with a lens on the role of geographic location and financial indicators as potential determinants of well-being. Regression analysis makes use of data from the 2016 Canadian Census and First Nation government financial statements to examine six well-being indices for 446 First Nation communities. The results suggest that geographic location is the most critical factor explaining well-being with more remote and northern communities experiencing relatively lower levels of measures of well-being, with the exception of Indigenous language. Numerous well-being distinctions are also identified among the Canadian provinces and regions. The financial indicators assessing transfer revenue from First Nation entities and Nation-owned business activity are found to be positively associated with community well-being. These insights are valuable to public policy-makers and Indigenous leaders, in Canada and other countries, as they shape policy for the benefit of First Nation people.

第一民族社区的福祉是通过对地理位置和财务指标作为福祉的潜在决定因素的作用的镜头进行检查。回归分析利用2016年加拿大人口普查和第一民族政府财务报表的数据来检查446个第一民族社区的六项福祉指数。结果表明,地理位置是解释幸福感的最关键因素,除了土著语言外,偏远和北部社区的幸福感水平相对较低。在加拿大各省和地区之间也发现了许多福利差异。评估来自第一民族实体和国家拥有的商业活动的转移收入的财务指标被发现与社区福祉呈正相关。这些见解对加拿大和其他国家的公共政策制定者和土著领导人很有价值,因为他们为第一民族人民的利益制定政策。
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引用次数: 0
Engaged Egalitarianism: Why the Australian Recovery Must Prioritise Openness* 参与平均主义:为什么澳大利亚的复苏必须优先考虑开放*
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-03 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12336
Andrew Leigh

Australian living standards, relative to the rest of the world, have been highest in eras of economic openness. Openness can also increase equality. Tariffs tend to be regressive, so poor households benefit most from trade liberalisation. In the case of immigration, skilled permanent migrants tend to earn considerably more than the Australian-born population, so any wage pressures are felt at the upper end of the distribution. Foreign investment can also have an equalising effect, by raising wages and lowering the rate of return on domestic capital. An approach of engaged egalitarianism – ensuring that the gains from globalisation are broadly shared – will benefit the most disadvantaged Australians.

在经济开放的时代,澳大利亚的生活水平相对于世界其他国家是最高的。开放也能促进平等。关税往往是递减的,因此贫困家庭从贸易自由化中获益最多。就移民而言,有技术的永久移民往往比在澳大利亚出生的人口挣得多得多,因此任何工资压力都是在收入分配的高端人群中感受到的。外国投资还可以通过提高工资和降低国内资本的回报率,产生一种平衡效应。积极的平等主义——确保全球化的收益得到广泛分享——将使处境最不利的澳大利亚人受益。
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引用次数: 0
Inflation Shocks – Do Monetary Variables Matter?* 通货膨胀冲击——货币变量重要吗?*
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-05-22 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12337
David Cronin
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引用次数: 0
Birth Weight and Cognitive Development during Childhood: Evidence from India 出生体重和儿童时期的认知发展:来自印度的证据
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-04-10 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12335
Santosh Kumar, Kaushalendra Kumar, Ramanan Laxminarayan, Arindam Nandi

Health at birth is an important indicator of human capital development over the life course. This paper uses longitudinal data from the Young Lives survey and employs instrumental variable regression models to estimate the effect of birth weight on cognitive development during childhood in India. We find that a 10 per cent increase in birth weight increases cognitive test scores by 0.11 standard deviations at 5–8 years of age. Low birth weight infants experience a lower test score compared with normal birth weight infants. The positive effect of birth weight on a cognitive test score is larger for girls, children from rural households and those with less educated mothers. Our findings suggest that health policies designed to improve birth weight could improve human capital in resource-poor settings.

出生时的健康状况是整个生命过程中人力资本发展的一个重要指标。本文使用来自Young Lives调查的纵向数据,并采用工具变量回归模型来估计印度儿童时期出生体重对认知发展的影响。我们发现,出生体重每增加10%,5-8岁时的认知测试成绩就会提高0.11个标准差。与正常出生体重的婴儿相比,低出生体重婴儿的测试成绩较低。出生体重对女孩、农村家庭的孩子和母亲受教育程度较低的孩子的认知测试成绩的积极影响更大。我们的研究结果表明,旨在改善出生体重的卫生政策可以改善资源贫乏环境中的人力资本。
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引用次数: 0
An Evaluation of the Financial Sustainability of Remote Australian Local Councils* 澳大利亚偏远地区地方议会财政可持续性评估*
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12334
Caillan Fellows, Brian Dollery, Rui Marques

Spatial remoteness in the sense of great distances between population centres and limited access to public services is an on-going problem in Australian local government, where there exist large, sparsely populated regions dominated by the 'tyranny of distance'. From a public policy perspective, it is important to understand the impact of remoteness on local authorities. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the relationship between remoteness and financial sustainability using a 2014–2018 sample of Australian local governments. In general, we find only limited empirical evidence for a relationship between geographical remoteness and financial sustainability as we have proxied it.

人口中心之间距离遥远,获得公共服务的机会有限,这是澳大利亚地方政府面临的一个持续存在的问题,那里存在着由“距离暴政”主导的人口稀少的大片地区。从公共政策的角度来看,重要的是要了解偏远对地方当局的影响。因此,在本文中,我们使用2014-2018年澳大利亚地方政府的样本来估计偏远程度与财务可持续性之间的关系。总的来说,我们只发现有限的经验证据表明地理位置偏远和财务可持续性之间的关系,正如我们所代理的那样。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Services FDI on Services Exports in NICs 服务业FDI对新兴市场国家服务出口的影响
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12333
Syed Hasanat Shah, Syed Ali Raza

This paper investigates the impact of services FDI inflows on services exports in Newly Industrialised countries (NICs) by employing panel data techniques. FDI inflows in Services are a good tool to connect local services producers to the global value chain and boost services exports. The findings in the paper suggest that FDI inflows in services sector significantly contribute to services exports in NICs. Recently, many NICs countries wanted to strategically shift their reliance from manufacturing export to services export and our findings support this policy shift. Beside FDI inflows in services, increase in global demand for services and improvement of local infrastructure in NICs positively contribute to services exports in NICs.

本文采用面板数据技术研究了服务业FDI流入对新兴工业化国家服务出口的影响。服务业的外国直接投资流入是将当地服务生产者与全球价值链联系起来并促进服务出口的好工具。本文的研究结果表明,服务业FDI流入对新兴国家服务出口的贡献显著。最近,许多新兴市场国家希望从战略上将其对制造业出口的依赖转向服务出口,我们的研究结果支持这一政策转变。除了服务业的外国直接投资流入外,全球服务需求的增加和新兴国家当地基础设施的改善对新兴国家的服务出口也有积极的贡献。
{"title":"The Impact of Services FDI on Services Exports in NICs","authors":"Syed Hasanat Shah,&nbsp;Syed Ali Raza","doi":"10.1111/1759-3441.12333","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1759-3441.12333","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper investigates the impact of services FDI inflows on services exports in Newly Industrialised countries (NICs) by employing panel data techniques. FDI inflows in Services are a good tool to connect local services producers to the global value chain and boost services exports. The findings in the paper suggest that FDI inflows in services sector significantly contribute to services exports in NICs. Recently, many NICs countries wanted to strategically shift their reliance from manufacturing export to services export and our findings support this policy shift. Beside FDI inflows in services, increase in global demand for services and improvement of local infrastructure in NICs positively contribute to services exports in NICs.</p>","PeriodicalId":45208,"journal":{"name":"Economic Papers","volume":"41 2","pages":"176-181"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2022-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127316397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Information Communication Technologies, Globalisation and Growth: Evidence from the ASEAN Economies* 信息通信技术、全球化与经济增长:来自东盟经济体的证据*
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/1759-3441.12332
Hazwan Haini, Pang Wei Loon

This study examines the impact of information and communication technologies (ICT) and globalisation on economic growth in the (Association of South-East Asian) ASEAN economies from 1999 to 2019 using dynamic panel estimators. Previous literature has shown that ICT and globalisation can impact growth through the role of knowledge dissemination and information. Subsequently, this study examines the moderating impact of globalisation on the relationship between ICT and economic growth. Our results show that both ICT and globalisation are positive to growth. Interestingly, the marginal impact of ICT and globalisation suggests that the marginal impact of ICT is insignificant at low levels of globalisation. Policy implications are discussed.

本研究采用动态面板估计方法,考察了1999年至2019年信息通信技术(ICT)和全球化对东南亚联盟(ASEAN)经济体经济增长的影响。以前的文献表明,信息通信技术和全球化可以通过知识传播和信息的作用影响增长。随后,本研究考察了全球化对信息通信技术与经济增长之间关系的调节作用。我们的研究结果表明,信息通信技术和全球化对经济增长都是积极的。有趣的是,信息通信技术和全球化的边际影响表明,在低全球化水平下,信息通信技术的边际影响是微不足道的。讨论了政策影响。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Economic Papers
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